>>> What to look at today - 26th of Septembert 2023

Shares in Asia slid while Treasury yields and the dollar rose in a sign investors are yet to fully recalibrate interest rate expectations. Equity benchmarks for Japan, Australia and China all fell while a decline in South Korean equities dragged the Kospi Index to a six-month low. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index also decreased, falling as much as 0.9%, its lowest level since late November. A gauge of Chinese property developers dropped after slumping by the most in nine months on Monday amid fresh signs of turmoil for the sector. China Evergrande Group missed a debt payment and former executives were detained. That added to fears about the sector’s debt pile and compounded concern that global growth will stall as the economic engine of the world’s second biggest economy sputters. Treasury yields continued to climb after the 10-year rate added 11 basis points to set a 16-year high on Monday to trade above 4.54%. The momentum flowed into Asia, with Australian and New Zealand yields also rising. Increasing yields supported the greenback. The Bloomberg dollar index held its gains from Monday, when it closed at the highest level since December. The yen steadied after weakening to a year low after Bank of Japan officials doubled down on the message that stimulus is still needed. A warning that a US government shutdown would reflect poorly on America’s credit rating from Moody’s Investors Service did little to shift market sentiment Monday. Concerns about a shutdown may intensify later this week as Oct. 1 draws near.  Crude prices edged down Tuesday, falling for a second session. Traders are increasingly concerned that rising oil prices risk fanning inflation, which will make it difficult for policymakers to reduce rates anytime soon. Hedge funds boosted exposure to oil on bets tightening supplies will stoke demand. US After Hours Quiet after-hours session; COTY -4.4% on stock offering; THO -1.4% edges lower on mild FY24 guidance.

Nikkei -0.91% Hang Seng -0.94% CSI -0.34% Shanghai -0.20% Shenzen -0.16%

Eur$ 1.0586 CNH 7.3112 CNY 7.3105 JPY 148.87 GBP 1.2199 CHF 0.9132 RUB 95.83 TRY 27.2106 WTI$ 89.38 -0.33% Gold 1,913 -0.12% BTC 26,367 +0.25% ETH 1,591.85 +0.33%

S&P -0.35% Nasdaq -0.42% EuroStoxx -0.15% FTSE -0.05% Dax -0.05% SMI

Macro :
- Macron Is Pushing Europe Into a $900 Billion Fight With China
- Hedge Funds Cut Stock Leverage at Fastest Pace Since 2020 Crash
- Dimon Warns World May Not Be Prepared for Fed at 7%: TOI
- UAW President to Join Biden on Picket Line on Tuesday: CNN
- Oil Headed for $150 Absent Government Action, Shale CEO Says

Keep an eye on :
- ABN NA : Dutch Government Cuts Stake in ABN Amro to Below 50%
- ADS GY : Nike Slips as Jefferies Cuts on Consumer Squeeze, China Woes
- ADM LN : Admiral Holder Offers 1.39m Shares via BofA Securities
- AIR FP : Indonesia vows to sue UK over Airbus corruption probe settlement
- AIR FP : Air France-KLM to Buy 50 Airbus A350s in Widebody Renewal (1)
- AAD GY : Amadeus Fire to Repurchase Up to 5% of Outstanding Shares
- AAPL US : Apple’s FineWoven Fabric Emerges as Its Biggest Misfire of 2023
- BCART BB : Biocartis Creditors to Take Control in Recapitalization Plan
- ATEB BB : Atenor to Ask Holders to Approve €160.8M Capital Hike at €5.00
- CARLB DC : *CARLSBERG HOLDER BLACKROCK CUTS HOLDING TO 4.93%
- COTY US : Beauty Firm Coty Offers 33 Million Shares Ahead of Paris Listing
- CRH LN : CRH to Boost M&A Strategy in U.S. Amid Views for Growth, CEO Says
- DUNI SS : Duni’s Bid Committee Does Not Recommend Mellby Gard’s Offer
- EUZ GY : Eckert & Ziegler Signs Agreement for Supply of Lutetium-177
- IBE SM : *IBERDROLA, MAPFRE IN TALKS TO SELL INSURANCE JOINTLY: EXPANSION
- NOVN SW : Novartis’s Sandoz Gets EU Approval for MS Biosimilar Tyruko
- PDG LN : Farringdon Netherlands Holds 3.37% of Pendragon
- 1931 HK : Prada Drops After BofA Downgrades to Neutral on Demand Concerns -3.5% in HK
- UBI FP : Streaming will transform video games just like Netflix shook up TV, says Ubisoft
- UCB BB : UCB Gets Rystiggo, Zilbrysq Japan Approval for Myasthenia Gravis
- VIV FP : Vivendi Explores Sale of See Tickets Division: Sky News

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 26th of September 2023

>>> Up
* Adevinta Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 105 kroner
* Barclays Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 230 pence
* Britvic Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 1,000 pence
* DraftKings Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $37
* Elekta Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 86 kronor
* Prada Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT HK$58
* Siltronic Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 111 euros
* Technip Energies Raised to Add at AlphaValue/Baader
* TF Bank Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 175 kronor

>>> Down
* Africa Oil Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT C$3.65
* ERG Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Italgas Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 5.40 euros
* MOL Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 2,900 forint
* Nordnet Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 151 kronor
* Prada downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA
* Richemont Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley

>>> Initiation
* AJ Bell Rated New Underweight at Morgan Stanley
* Barratt Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 550 pence
* Bellway Rated New Outperform at RBC
* Berkeley Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 4,950 pence
* Cie Plastic Omnium SE Reinstated Buy at SocGen; PT 19.60 euros
* Crest Nicholson Rated New Underperform at RBC; PT 205 pence
* Match Group Rated New Hold at HSBC; PT $47.10
* MJ Gleeson Rated New Outperform at RBC; PT 575 pence
* Persimmon Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 1,300 pence
* Redrow Rated New Outperform at RBC; PT 825 pence
* Snap Rated New Reduce at HSBC; PT $7.50
* Taylor Wimpey Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 145 pence
* Vistry Group Rated New Underperform at RBC; PT 875 pence

>>> Call
* Bellway, Redrow Among Preferred UK Building Stocks at RBC
* Britvic Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt on Long-Term Opportunity
* Prada Drops After BofA Downgrades to Neutral on Demand Concerns

WWD : Pharrell Williams Chats New Humanrace Launch, Opens Up About Louis Vuitton

Pharrell Williams Chats New Humanrace Launch, Opens Up About Louis Vuitton
Williams introduces two products: a gel cleanser and moisturizer.


Pharrell Williams is a busy man. While overseeing men’s at Louis Vuitton and on the heels of launching a new book, the multihyphenate star is also introducing new Humanrace skin care products.

“Paris has been exceptional,” he said over Zoom on Monday, from his current home base.

He was in a cheerful spirit, hinting to big news for Humanrace.

“That’s materializing as we speak, so I’m not at liberty to go into it. But, it’s coming. And it’s very exciting,” he said when asked about his ultimate hope for the brand.

Working with Dr. Elena Jones, chief executive officer Rachel Muscat and chief creative officer Edward Robinson, Williams founded Humanrace in 2020. He launched with a rice powder cleanser, lotus enzyme exfoliator and snow mushroom face cream as part of a three-step routine, before expanding into body care with soap-free bars and a body cream, as well as sun care.

Now, he is introducing two gel-based products: the $44 “7D Retrograde Gel Cleanser” (formulated with apple fruit extract and vitamin B) and $58 “7D Mystifying Gel Moisturizer” (with niacinamide, pseudoalteromonas ferment extract and blue light protection). A set is available for $85.

“For me, the interest centers on what it is that I learned from my dermatologist, who I have been going to for over 20 years,” he said of Jones, discussing the new goods. “A beautiful, Black, talented woman out in New York City with her own exploding practice — and just the journey that I’ve been on with her. She’s been teaching me this entire time.”

He’s learned two major lessons, he went on: “Number one, routine is everything. But the second thing, man, the way you get to that baby soft skin and that freshness and that youth is literally by the way that you’re cleansing and the way that you’re exfoliating.”

The regimen is sealed with the last step. “The way that it finishes, the moisturizer is just next level,” he added.


Product testing begins with Williams, and he’s simply “a gel guy,” he said. “I’ve always been the type of person that just loves gels. You know what I’m saying?”

The previous launches set the tone in “laying the foundation for what we’re doing,” he continued. The expansion marks where the brand is heading.

“It’s about offering choice to as many humans as we could,” Muscat said. “And gel versus rice, it’s really about that option of the texture and how it feels to you. That was really important as we’re building out the categories, knowing that we want to ensure that we have that choice for our customer.”

Humanrace is, evidently, for humans — it’s the only demographic in mind. “That’s really all we look at,” Williams said of shoppers. “This has never been about gender. It’s always been about humans, and it’s really not about skin color as much as it’s about skin type. We’re just trying to meet everybody in the intersection of success for skin health.”

Humanrace — now a team of 20, working with consultants — will soon be available worldwide through its direct-to-consumer channel online at humanrace.com. “Right now, we service the U.K., the U.S., Europe, Australia [and] New Zealand, and by the end of the year, Q4, we’ll be global,” Muscat said. U.S. retailers include Credo Beauty, Goop, Nordstrom and The Webster.

Asked about Louis Vuitton, Williams said, “I just feel honored to be at the helm of it all. And I feel like, you know, like I said, this is not a job. I was chosen. So, for me this is a dream. I never dreamt that I would be chosen, you know? When you look like me and you come from where I come from, we have aspirations, we have ambitions. This is not one of them. Because I just couldn’t even fathom it.”

He emphasized the team around him: “This opportunity to work with such an incredible, comprehensive team of masterful artisans just reminds you that — it humbles you. Some things you can beat your chest and pat yourself on the back for, but there’s a lot that your human eyes can’t see. As you stand in front of a mountain, just because you can’t see what’s on the other side doesn’t mean that there isn’t another side. And it doesn’t mean that there aren’t even more mountains that the universe wants for you, if you would just humble down and trust the process. And that’s right where I am.”

WSJ : Saudi Arabia Agrees to Broader U.N. Atomic Agency Oversight

Saudi Arabia Agrees to Broader U.N. Atomic Agency Oversight
Move comes amid talks with Washington to set up uranium enrichment operation as part of possible normalization accord with Israel

BERLIN—Saudi Arabia said Monday it would agree to far greater oversight of its nuclear activities, a step that could help advance negotiations with the U.S. to set up a uranium enrichment operation in the kingdom as part of a possible Washington-backed normalization agreement between Riyadh and Israel.

Speaking at the United Nations atomic agency’s annual General Conference, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said Riyadh would rescind its basic oversight agreement with the Agency and implement a Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement, which gives inspectors much broader powers to inspect nuclear activities.

Abdulaziz said the kingdom was in the process of establishing a safeguards agreement that would follow “best international practices and experiences.”

The Saudi move would give the international community much greater reassurance that any nuclear facility Riyadh opens would be operating a purely peaceful program and wasn’t engaged in trying to produce nuclear fuel for a bomb.

Last week, The Wall Street Journal reported that Israeli officials are working with the Biden administration on a proposal to set up a U.S.-run uranium-enrichment operation in Saudi Arabia as part of a complex three-way deal to establish official diplomatic relations between the two Middle Eastern countries, according to U.S. and Israeli officials.

The International Atomic Energy Agency has been pressing Saudi Arabia to upgrade its oversight agreement for years as the kingdom has become increasingly open about seeking a civilian nuclear program.

In 2009, Saudi Arabia implemented the Small Quantities Protocol, a 1970s-era agreement that the agency uses with countries without active nuclear programs. Under the protocol, Saudi Arabia wasn’t obliged to permit inspections from the IAEA and was exempted from a number of reporting requirements on its nuclear activities.

The protocol is automatically voided when a country introduces nuclear material into a facility, a step the Saudis haven’t taken yet.

By upgrading to a comprehensive safeguards agreement, Saudi Arabia would be undertaking to accept IAEA safeguards on all nuclear material in a civilian program within its territory.

That means inspectors will be able to extensively monitor Saudi’s nuclear facilities.

It could also pave the way for Saudi Arabia to adopt a further oversight arrangement—the Additional Protocol—which allows the IAEA to inspect nonnuclear facilities to ensure that no nuclear material is being diverted for an illicit weapons program.

Those are the standards of oversight the U.S. and European countries demanded Iran accept as part of the 2015 nuclear accord.

“This suggests that Saudi Arabia is serious about developing a nuclear program, even though it doesn’t have an agreement with the U.S. to do so just yet,” said Gregory Brew, energy analyst at the Eurasia Group consulting firm in Washington. The decision will ensure “greater transparency” of its program to ensure it’s a civilian one, he added.

Saudi Arabia has been pushing for years to pursue its own civilian uranium enrichment although it doesn’t operate a nuclear reactor. Saudi leaders have also warned that if regional rival Iran develops a nuclear weapon, it would also seek to do so.

IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi welcomed the Saudi decision.

“I look forward to receiving Saudi Arabia’s formal communication about its decision,” he said. “The IAEA stands ready to provide support in this regard.”

The U.S. and Saudi Arabia have been negotiating the contours of a deal for Saudi Arabia to recognize Israel in exchange for helping the kingdom develop a civilian nuclear program with uranium enrichment on Saudi soil, among other concessions. Other aspects of the evolving deal are expected to include concessions for the Palestinians and U.S. security guarantees.

The Journal reported in 2020 that Saudi Arabia had constructed with Chinese help a facility for extracting uranium yellowcake from uranium ore. In August, the Journal also reported that Saudi Arabia was considering a Chinese bid to build a nuclear-power plant in the kingdom.

FT : Glencore traded thousands of tonnes of Russian copper through Turkey

Glencore traded thousands of tonnes of Russian copper through Turkey
Shipments via third countries obscure Europe’s true reliance on Russian commodities

Commodity trading giant Glencore brought thousands of tonnes of Russian copper routed through Turkey to Italy in July this year, highlighting how shipments via third countries obscure Europe’s true reliance on Russian commodities.

The London-listed oil and metals trader purchased at least 5,000 tonnes of copper sheets made by Russia’s Ural Mining and Metallurgical Company (UMMC) that were exported from Turkey to Italy’s Livorno port in July, according to customs documents and photographs seen by the Financial Times.

Although there are no blanket sanctions over trading Russian metals, restrictions have been put on certain oligarchs and producers since the war began. The UK and the EU placed sanctions on UMMC executives last year but not the company itself.

The US followed with wider sanctions on UMMC in July this year after Glencore’s last trades with Russia’s second largest copper producer were already under way.

There is no suggestion that Glencore has breached sanctions. However, the trades underline Europe’s dependency on Russia for critical commodities as well as the growing role of Turkey as a transshipment hub. It also highlights how Dubai has become a home to middlemen for importing Russian commodities into Europe.

The shipments were sold to Glencore by Haldivor Energy, a UAE-based entity set up in 2019, and were destined for the Carlo Colombo wire rod factory in Lombardy, northern Italy, to manufacture copper products that go into electric cables, transformers and electronics.

“You have Turkey as a staging point for Russian zinc and copper and to a lesser extent aluminium,” said one senior commodity trader. “It creates the entrepot point.”

Glencore said that the transaction was the “final part” of a contract that was in place before Russia waged war on Ukraine and it “has undertaken no new business with UMMC since the outbreak of the war”. It added that it was in line with its own policy not to engage in new Russian business, introduced in March 2022.


Turkey has not joined western sanctions on Russia and has retained close diplomatic and economic ties with Moscow since Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Russia is a pivotal trade partner for Turkey, which needs to import large amounts of energy to fuel its $900bn economy.

Turkey’s energy and natural resources ministry and Haldivor Energy did not respond to requests for comment. Glencore has no other prewar supply contracts in place, according to people familiar with the matter.

Large western trading houses such as Glencore, Trafigura and Mercuria are having to tread carefully between western sanctions in support of Ukraine and European policymakers’ desire to mitigate the harm inflicted on their economies by limiting access to Russian raw materials.

European officials have said that trade with Russia through third countries such as Turkey, China and the UAE is hampering the effectiveness of western sanctions.

“Imports and exports via third countries is the problem the EU is having with sanctions implementation,” said an Italian government official.


Imports of Russian copper by Turkey have nearly tripled to 159,000 tonnes in the first seven months of 2023 compared with the same period a year earlier, according to Trade Data Monitor. This accounts for a third of the country’s imports of the red metal.

CRU Group, a research firm, estimates that overall Turkish imports of copper cathode and wire rod at 330,000 tonnes were 125,000 tonnes higher year on year in the first six months of 2023, which it says is “far in excess of domestic requirements”.

Italy has become Turkey’s largest export destination for copper, growing 3 per cent in this year, compared with steep falls for Germany, and the UK. This points to Italy becoming an integral part of the trade route for Russian copper, said experts.

Glencore continues to trade Russian aluminium under a multiyear supply deal with producer Rusal, a contract that chief executive Gary Nagle expects to expire by the end of next year, depending on the volumes traded.