>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th of February 2026 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Aramis Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 5 euros
* Capgemini Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 117 euros
* DWS Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 70 euros
* FLSmidth PT Raised to 710 kroner from 550 kroner at JPMorgan
* Garmin Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $252
* Gofore Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 13 euros
* T-Mobile Raised to Outperform at Daiwa; PT $240
* Truecaller Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 15 kronor
* Vonovia Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 30 euros
* ZIM Integrated Shipping Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT $31.80

>>> Down
* Allfunds Cut to Hold at Bestinver; PT 8.80 euros
* Arvo Sijoitusosuuskunta Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 83 euros
* BASF Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 40 euros
* Bravida Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 112 kronor
* Ebro Foods Cut to Hold at Intermoney Valores; PT 20 euros
* Enea Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 25.40 zloty
* Freenet Cut to Sell at UBS; PT 28.50 euros
* Maire Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Polestar ADRs Cut to Underweight at Cantor
* Schroders Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 590 pence
* Strabag Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 108.90 euros
* Witted Megacorp Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.70 euros
* Wizz Air Cut to Underperform at Santander Biuro Maklerskie (+)

>>> Initiation
* 74Software SA Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 44 euros

>>> Call
* BASF Cut at Barclays on High Valuation and Overdone Optimism (+)
* DWS Upgraded to Buy at UBS on Dividend Outlook; Target €70 (+)
* FlatexDEGIRO Guidance Targets Appear Cautious, Analysts Say
* Zurich Ins. Earnings Could Be Offset by Equity Raise: Jefferies

>>> What to look at today - 19th of February 2026

Stocks rallied in Asia with tech shares leading gains as concern about the valuations of artificial intelligence firms eased. Samsung Electronics Co. shares surged as much as 4.7%. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.6%, with South Korea’s benchmark Kospi rising to a fresh all-time high. That was after the S&P 500 rose 0.6% Wednesday and the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.8%. Oil steadied after its biggest daily gain since October, while the Australian dollar strengthened following robust jobs data. The tech rebound suggests concerns over the disruption of AI were easing, just as several stock pickers have flagged buying opportunities. Also lifting the mood were comments from people familiar that OpenAI is close to finalizing the first phase of a new funding round that’s likely to bring in more than $100 billion. The MSCI Asia Pacific gauge has climbed about 12% this year, while Korea’s Kospi has surged more than 30%. US stocks have been largely rangebound, with the S&P 500 Index little changed since the end of December. Samsung Electronics shares jumped to a fresh record following a newspaper report that the company is negotiating to sell a new generation of ultrafast chips at around $700, or about 20%-to-30% higher than its previous model. OpenAI’s record-breaking financing deal would give the startup maker of ChatGPT additional capital to build out its AI tools. The company may have an overall valuation of more than $850 billion, including the latest financing, according to some of the people familiar. Financial markets remained shut in mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan for the Lunar New Year holiday.  The Australian dollar rose against all major peers after a report showed the nation’s unemployment rate hold at 4.1%, boosting bets on an interest-rate hike in May. The Aussie climbed as much as 0.4% to 70.71 US cents. Oil steadied after jumping on Wednesday following a report that American military intervention in Iran may come sooner than expected. Brent held above $70 a barrel, after adding 4.3% on Wednesday, while West Texas Intermediate traded near $65. Axios reported that any US military operation would likely be a weeks-long campaign and that Israel’s government is pushing for a scenario targeting regime change in the Islamic Republic. Gold was flat, after rising 2% on Wednesday, with some Asian markets still closed for holidays and traders focused on the Fed’s next move on interest rates. Japan’s sale of 20-year government bonds drew weaker demand than its 12-month average as a decline in yields after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s election victory damped investor appetite. US economic data published Wednesday showing the biggest increase in industrial production in January bolstered investor sentiment, while orders for business equipment rose in December by more than projected and housing starts hit a five-month high.
Stock market bulls shrugged off minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s January meeting that revealed “several participants” said they would have preferred a post-meeting statement that raised the possibility of raising the federal funds rate “if inflation remains at above-target levels.”
Fed funds futures pricing on Wednesday indicated traders slightly pared bets on rate cuts this year but still expect a further two 25 basis-point reductions in 2026. US After Hours RELY +18.3%, FIG +15.3%, HLF +14.9%, DASH +14.3%, NP +10.3%, EBAY +7.4% higher on earnings; DEI +5.1% on insider purchase; CVNA -15.3%, CAR -12.4%, TBI -7.1%, TAP -6.5%, BTG -6.5% lower on earnings.

Nikkei +0.79% Hang Seng closed CSI closed Shanghai closed Shenzen closed

Eur$ CNH CNY JPY GBP CHF RUB TRY WTI$ Gold BTC ETH

S&P +0.15% Nasdaq +0.21% EuroStoxx -0.10% FTSE +0.21% Dax -0.35% SMI +0.52%


Macro :
- OpenAI Funding on Track to Top $100 Billion in Latest Round
- Germany Weighs Ordering More US-Made F-35 Fighter Jets: Reuters
- Is an AI price war about to begin?, Assumptions underpinning valuations of big US groups might be too optimistic - FT

Keep an eye on :
- AC FP : Accor FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- ADP FP : ADP FY Ebitda Beats Estimates
- AIR FP : Boeing Bags Orders for Almost 100 Jets From Vietnamese Carriers - WSJ
- AF FP : Air France-KLM 4Q Operating Income Beats Estimates; Air France-KLM Still Upbeat on Longhaul Travel on Premium Demand
- ARCAD NA : Arcadis 4Q Organic Revenue -2.9% Vs. +2.8% Y/y; Arcadis Cuts Headcount By 1,100, Sees Flat Org. Revenue Growth
- BBVA SM : BBVA Plans to Start Japan Brokerage in First for Spanish Bank
- BESI NA : BE Semiconductor 4Q Orders Beats Estimates
- BITTI FH : Bittium Sees 2026 Operating Profit EU26M to EU32M, Est. EU31.3M
- OWL US : Blue Owl Rises on $1.4 Billion Asset Sale to Institutions
- BC IM : Brunello Cucinelli FY Net Income Misses Estimates
- CAN LN : Viaplay FY Outlook Above Consensus
- CVNA US : Carvana Falls as Higher Costs Trim Used Car Seller’s Profit
- CARM FP : Carmila FY Ebitda Misses Estimates
- CMBN SW : Cembra Money Bank FY Dividend per Share CHF4.60
- COV FP : Covivio FY Adjusted EPRA Profit Beats Estimates
- DEBS LN : Debenhams Aims to Raise About £35M Selling Shares at 18p Apiece
- DASH US : DoorDash Rises, Results Show Improving Fundamentals: Street Wrap
- EAST SS : Eastnine Holder Bonnier Fastigheter Offers 10.6m Shares; Eastnine Offering by Holder Prices at SEK45/Share
- ERA FP : Eramet FY Ebitda Misses Estimates; Eramet Plans €500 Million Capital Increase to Repair Finances
- ETSY US : Etsy Jumps, Selling Depop Will Simplify Business: Street Wrap
- ENX FP : Euronext 4Q Net Income Misses Estimates; Euronext Costs Set to Rise on Athex Deal, Strategic Investments
- EL FP : One Del Vecchio Heirs May Seek to Buy 25% of Delfin: Repubblica
- FDJU FP : FDJ United FY Recurring Ebitda Meets Estimates, FDJ United CFO Pascal Chaffard Takes Over As Online Betting Head
- FCT IM : Fincantieri Offers up to 32.6m Shares, Terms Show, Italian Shipbuilder Fincantieri Offers 10% Stake in Defense Push offered @ 15.32/sh
- FFARM NA : ForFarmers FY Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- GIMV BB : Gimv 9M Portfolio Return of 14.3%
- GTT FP : GTT Gets Order for Tank Design of Two New LNG Carriers
- HNSA SS : Hansa Biopharma’s BLA for Imlifidase Accepted by FDA
- IDR SM : Spain Floats Plan to Allow Indra Defense Deal, Maintain Control
- ISS DC : ISS FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- JCI US : Johnson Controls to Buy Alloy Enterprises
- KIN BB : Kinepolis FY Net Income Misses Estimates
- KBX GY : Knorr-Bremse Sees 2026 Revenue EU8.00B to EU8.30B, Est. EU8.22B
- KRN GY : Krones FY Ebitda Meets Estimates
- LSEG LN : LSEG ADRs Gain as Elliott Pushes for Divestments, £5B Buyback
- LSEG LN : FTSE Russell Seeks Feedback on Fast-Entry IPO Rule Changes
- LMT US : Germany Weighs Ordering More US-Made F-35 Fighter Jets: Reuters
- MAU FP : Etablissements Maurel & Prom SA Added to Amended Venz. License
- META US : Meta Revives Plan for Smart Watch, Targets 2026 Launch - The Information
- MNDI LN : Mondi FY Adjusted Operating Profit Misses Estimates
- MRNA US : Trump administration reverses move to block Moderna flu vaccine trial - FT
- NESN SW : Nestle Sees 2026 Organic Revenue +3% to +4%, Est. +3.18%
- NESN SW : Nestlé Is Said to Weigh Reducing Exposure to Ice Cream Business
- NEX FP : Nexans FY Adjusted Ebitda Misses Estimates
- NLFSK DC : Nilfisk FY Revenue Misses Estimates
- OXY US : Occidental 4Q Net Sales Beat Estimates: Snapshot
- OMC US : Omnicom 4Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- ORA FP : Orange 4Q Ebitda After Leases Meets Estimates
- PDX SS : Paradox Seeks Listing on Nasdaq Stockholm Main Market
- PHM SM : *J&J, PHARMA MAR SETTLE TWO YONDELIS PATENT LAWSUITS: BLAW
- RI FP : Pernod Ricard 1H Recurring Operating Income Meets Estimates
- RI FP : Pernod Ricard Sales Miss Estimates on Worsening Demand Slump
- RNO FP : Renault Sees 2026 Operating Margin About 5.5%, Est. 5.89%
- REP SM : Repsol 4Q Adjusted Income EU661M
- RIO LN : Rio Tinto FY Underlying Profit Meets Estimates
- ROG SW : Hoffmann-La Roche Registers Phase 3 NXT007 Trial for Hemophilia A
- STR AV : Strabag Holder Offers About 2m Shares: Terms; Strabag Offering by Holder Prices at €86.50/Share, Terms Show
- TEN IM : Tenaris 4Q Net Income $461.1M Vs. $519M Y/y, Tenaris Outlook May Imply Consensus Upgrades: Street Wrap
- TKO FP : Tikehau Capital Assets Under Management EU52.8B Vs. EU49.6B Y/y
- VLA FP : Valneva Cuts FY Revenue Forecast, Misses Estimates
- VGP BB : VGP FY Net Income Misses Estimates
- VPLAYB SS : Viaplay 4Q Sales SEK4.98B Vs. SEK4.84B Y/y
- ZEAL DC : Zealand Pharma FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- ZUGN SW : Zug Estates FY Net Income CHF85.2M Vs. CHF58.7M Y/y
- ZURN SW : Zurich Ins. FY Operating Profit Meets Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th of February 2026

>>> Up
* Aramis Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 5 euros
* Capgemini Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 117 euros
* DWS Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 70 euros
* FLSmidth PT Raised to 710 kroner from 550 kroner at JPMorgan
* Garmin Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $252
* Gofore Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 13 euros
* T-Mobile Raised to Outperform at Daiwa; PT $240
* Truecaller Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 15 kronor
* Vonovia Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 30 euros
* ZIM Integrated Shipping Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT $31.80

>>> Down
* Allfunds Cut to Hold at Bestinver; PT 8.80 euros
* Arvo Sijoitusosuuskunta Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 83 euros
* BASF Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 40 euros
* Bravida Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 112 kronor
* Ebro Foods Cut to Hold at Intermoney Valores; PT 20 euros
* Enea Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 25.40 zloty
* Freenet Cut to Sell at UBS; PT 28.50 euros
* Polestar ADRs Cut to Underweight at Cantor
* Schroders Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 590 pence
* Strabag Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 108.90 euros
* Witted Megacorp Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.70 euros

>>> Initiation
* 74Software SA Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 44 euros

>>> Call
* FlatexDEGIRO Guidance Targets Appear Cautious, Analysts Say

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Nestle (NESR TH) +3.2%
    • Nestlé Weighs Reducing Exposure to Ice Cream, Revamps Board (1)
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +2.7%
  • Tenaris (TW10 TH) +1.8%
  • Pernod Ricard (PER TH) +1.5%
    • Pernod Ricard Sales Miss Estimates on Worsening Demand Slump
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) +1.5%
    • Novo Nordisk Layoffs Add Fuel to Denmark’s Economic Anxieties
  • Adyen (1N8 TH) +1.2%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.2%
    • Vonovia Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 30 euros
  • Magnum Ice Cream (7RM TH) +1.1%
  • Glencore (8GC TH) +1%
    • Rio Tinto Posts Flat Earnings as Iron Ore Profits Dip
  • AB InBev (1NBA TH) -1.2%
    • AB InBev, Airbus, Iberdrola, L’Oreal, Sanofi: Term Structure
  • BASF (BAS TH) -1.3%
  • Knorr-Bremse (KBX TH) -1.3%
    • Knorr-Bremse Sees 2026 Revenue EU8.00B to EU8.30B, Est. EU8.22B
  • Hochtief (HOT TH) -1.8%
  • Voestalpine (VAS TH) -1.8%
  • FlatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) -2.1%
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) -3.6%
  • Euronext (ENXB TH) -4.1%
    • Euronext’s Higher Cost Guidance May Be Focus: Street Wrap
  • Amrize (J0J TH) -5.1%
  • Airbus (AIR TH) -6.1%
    • Airbus Says Jet Engine Woes Are Holding Back Delivery Goals (1)

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +2.6%
    • Bayer’s $7 Billion Bid to End Roundup Curse Draws Skepticism
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.5%
    • Vonovia Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 30 euros
  • BASF (BAS TH) -1.3%
    • BASF Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 40 euros
  • Airbus (AIR TH) -5.8%
    • Airbus Says Jet Engine Woes Are Holding Back Delivery Goals
MDAX:
  • DWS (DWS TH) +2.5%
    • DWS Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 70 euros
  • FlatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) -2.1%
    • FlatexDEGIRO Prelim FY Net Income ~EU160m, to Propose Div Boost
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) -3.3%
    • Freenet Cut to Sell at UBS; PT 28.50 euros
SDAX:
  • Verve Group (VRV TH) +3.6%
    • Verve Group shows accelerated new customer growth in Q4 2025, leveraging targeted investments in sales force expansion
  • Schaeffler (SHA0 TH) -1.1%

FT : Hedge funds in face-off over debt of European chemicals casualty

Hedge funds in face-off over debt of European chemicals casualty
Kem One’s bonds have cratered as some funds short them and others ply it with more debt

The debt of one of Europe’s largest chemicals companies has become a battleground for some of the world’s most aggressive credit hedge funds, as fears for the viability of the continent’s chemicals industry have almost wiped out the value of its bonds.

The financial decline of Kem One — a heavily indebted French chemicals producer owned by US private capital group Apollo — has pit credit funds in Europe and the US against each other, with some placing large bets against and some in favour of the company.

Credit funds betting on a recovery have scooped up the company’s bonds at deep discounts to their face value, while others have plied Kem One with even more debt in recent months. Some investors could be on the hook for steep losses as the company’s fortunes have worsened. Others who shorted Kem One’s debt have reaped large windfalls.

Among the company’s largest backers are London-based Arini Capital, one of the most active distressed credit investors in Europe, and New York-based Monarch Alternative Capital. The two funds teamed up to provide Kem One with an extra €200mn of financing early last year.

At the time, Kem One’s other €450mn of publicly traded bonds were changing hands at about 70 cents on the euro. They have since sunk to trade at 2 cents on the euro, with investors anticipating near 100 per cent losses for lenders to what is one of the worst affected constituents of Europe’s ailing chemicals industry.


Arini and Monarch’s debt facility ranks senior to those bonds, meaning they would be repaid first in the event of a default. The two funds doubled down last month, lending the company an additional €30mn that has the same collateral as, and ranks alongside, their previous $200mn loan.

On the other side of the trade, hedge funds including London-based Sona Asset Management and Polus Capital Management have shorted the company’s debt, booking profits as its bonds cratered in value, according to people familiar with the matter.

Diameter Capital Partners — a New York-based credit hedge fund in which Kem One-owner Apollo holds a stake — also built a small short position against Kem One’s bonds as part of a wider bet against the global chemicals industry, according to people familiar with the matter.

“We had success in the fourth quarter in shorts of global chemicals companies bedevilled not so much by sudden drops in demand (RECESSION!) than by the evolution of supply,” Diameter, which oversees $25bn in assets, said in its most recent investor letter. “The problem is China, which seems determined to add capacity up and down the chemicals chain.”

It added: “We have shorts in the most impacted names and believe that 2026 will be a watershed inflection for chemicals.”

One high yield credit investor who used to own Kem One bonds said they expected investors to get a “First Brands-esque recovery — soon to be zero”, a reference to the collapse of the Ohio-based car-parts supplier that sent shockwaves through Wall Street last year, wiping out creditors owed billions of dollars.

Kem One’s difficulties are part of a broader slowdown that has plagued Europe’s chemicals sector in the past 12 months, as it has battled a combination of high production costs, driven by rising energy prices and carbon tariffs, and a huge influx of cheap supply from China.

Industry peer Ineos has also taken a hit in credit markets in recent months, as investors have sold out of its more than $20bn debt pile.

Jim Ratcliffe’s group previously warned that time was “running out” to rescue Europe’s chemicals industry and last year filed anti-dumping cases against imports of cheap chemicals products to the EU.

Apollo, Arini, Monarch, Sona, Diameter and Polus declined to comment.

WSJ : Airbus Warns of Hit to A320 Jet Production From Pratt & Whitney Engine Sho

Airbus Warns of Hit to A320 Jet Production From Pratt & Whitney Engine Shortage
The plane maker expects to make between 70 and 75 of the aircraft a month by the end of next year, compared with a prior target of 75

Airbus AIR 2.11%increase; green up pointing triangle said a persistent Pratt & Whitney engine shortage had forced it to slow down production of its best-selling A320, the latest setback for the company as it struggles to leave supply-chain snags behind.

The European plane maker expects to make between 70 and 75 A320 aircraft a month by the end of next year, compared with a prior target of 75.

“Pratt & Whitney’s failure to commit to the number of engines ordered by Airbus is negatively impacting this year’s guidance and the ramp-up trajectory,” Airbus said. Pratt & Whitney parent RTX didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Airbus said revenue for the three months to the end of December grew 5% on year to 25.98 billion euros, equivalent to $30.61 billion.

Net profit increased 6% to 2.58 billion euros, while adjusted earnings before interest and taxes—Airbus’s preferred measure of profitability—climbed 17% to 2.98 billion euros.

Analysts had expected revenue of 26.51 billion euros, a net profit of 2.36 billion euros and adjusted EBIT of nearly 2.87 billion euros, according to market consensus provided by the company based on estimates from 20 analysts.

Airbus said it would propose a 2025 dividend of 3.20 euros a share at its shareholders’ meeting on Apr. 14, compared with a dividend of 2 euros a share and a special dividend of 1 euro a share for the previous year.

The company is forecasting roughly 870 commercial aircraft deliveries this year, more than the 793 planes it dispatched in 2025. Airbus has dispatched 19 aircraft so far this year.

For 2026, Airbus expects adjusted EBIT of around 7.5 billion euros. Free cash flow before customer financing—a closely watched metric by analysts and investors—is projected at around 4.5 billion euros.

WSJ : Boeing Bags Orders for Almost 100 Jets From Vietnamese Carriers

Boeing Bags Orders for Almost 100 Jets From Vietnamese Carriers
Sun PhuQuoc Airways, Vietnam Airlines sign deals with Boeing totaling more than $30 billion

  • Boeing signed deals for almost 100 jets worth over $30 billion with Vietnamese carriers during a U.S. visit by To Lam.
  • Sun PhuQuoc Airways ordered up to 40 787-9 Dreamliners for $22.5 billion, its first direct aircraft purchase.
  • Vietnam Airlines ordered 50 737 MAX jets for $8 billion, and VietJet secured financing for six 737-8 aircraft.

Boeing BA -2.09%decrease; red down pointing triangle signed deals to sell almost 100 jets to Vietnamese carriers valued at over $30 billion, signaling warming ties between the U.S. and Vietnam as trade talks continue.

The deals were signed during a ​visit to the U.S. by the head of Vietnam’s Communist Party, To Lam, for the inaugural meeting of President Trump’s Board of Peace. The meeting is set to debut Trump’s vision for a new international organization to cement Middle East peace and rebuild Gaza.

The aircraft maker struck a $22.5 billion deal to sell up to 40 787-9 Dreamliners to Vietnam-based carrier Sun PhuQuoc Airways. The order is the largest ever for wide-body aircraft by a Vietnamese airline, and the first direct aircraft purchase by Sun PhuQuoc Airways, parent company Sun Group said in a social-media statement Thursday.

The newly established, privately owned Sun PhuQuoc Airways plans to expand its fleet to 100 aircraft by 2030, Sun Group said.

“Our partnership with Boeing establishes a strong foundation for building a world-class airline that operates in sync with the tourism and resort ecosystem Sun Group has developed,” Sun Group Chairman Dang Minh Truong said in a separate statement.

The deal came as flag carrier Vietnam Airlines HVN 1.66%increase; green up pointing triangle signed an order for 50 Boeing 737 MAX jets, valued around $8 billion, as part of an earlier announced U.S.-Vietnam trade pact. The carrier also plans to invest more than $12 billion in 30 wide-body Boeing aircraft, it said.

Separately, budget airline VietJet signed a financing agreement with Griffin Global Asset Management for six Boeing 737-8 aircraft, valued around $965 million at list prices.

“The agreement marks a significant step in VietJet’s strategy to diversify international funding sources while strengthening its financial capacity and capital structure in line with global standards,” the airline said.

VietJet also signed an engine and maintenance services agreement with Pratt & Whitney, valued around $5.4 billion.

In October, the U.S. said it signed a framework agreement with Vietnam that could provide the foundation for a fuller trade deal. Vietnam agreed to purchase Boeing aircraft as part of the pact, and the U.S. agreed to identify goods it would exempt from its tariff, which otherwise remains at 20% for Vietnam. The two countries have yet to finalize an agreement.

FT : Trump renews attack on Starmer’s plan to cede UK ownership of Chagos Island

Trump renews attack on Starmer’s plan to cede UK ownership of Chagos Islands
US president says Diego Garcia military base may be needed for strikes on Iran

US President Donald Trump has renewed his attack on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s plan to transfer ownership of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, as he highlighted the potential use of the Diego Garcia military base in any strikes on Iran.

Trump and his administration have whipsawed between criticism and support for the British government’s deal to hand over sovereignty of the islands, where the joint US-UK military base is located.

Trump is considering taking military action against Iran as the US tries to strike a deal with Tehran that is aimed at curbing its nuclear programme. Diego Garcia is about 5,200km from Tehran and could serve as a launching point for any attack given its proximity to Iran and its long runways.

The US-UK military base is a key strategic asset for Washington in the Indo-Pacific region, with a deepwater port that can accommodate aircraft carriers and the runways necessary to launch warplanes such as stealth B-2 bombers.

“I have been telling Prime Minister Keir Starmer . . . that he is making a big mistake by entering a 100 Year Lease with whoever it is that is ‘claiming’ Right, Title, and Interest to Diego Garcia,” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post on Wednesday, adding that Starmer is “losing control” of the base.

“Should Iran decide not to make a Deal, it may be necessary for the United States to use Diego Garcia . . . in order to eradicate a potential attack by a highly unstable and dangerous Regime — An attack that would potentially be made on the United Kingdom, as well as other friendly Countries,” Trump said.

He added: “DO NOT GIVE AWAY DIEGO GARCIA!”

The US-UK military base is also important to Washington for surveillance and intelligence gathering.

The US has been building up its forces in the Middle East as Trump weighs his military options against Iran. Washington’s newest and largest aircraft carrier, the USS Gerald R Ford, is on its way to the region, alongside several destroyers. It will join 10 ships already in the Middle East, including the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier.

The US has dispatched thousands of additional troops in the region, as well as fighter jets and air defences.

In the run-up to US strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities last June, Washington sent B-2 bombers to Diego Garcia as a decoy. B-2 bombers from an air force base in Missouri instead hit the facilities.

The UK’s agreement last year to transfer ownership of the Chagos Islands — officially known as the British Indian Ocean Territory — was initially praised by Washington, including US secretary of state Marco Rubio.

But last month Trump accused Britain of “great stupidity” and “weakness” over the deal with Mauritius, and cited the UK plan as a reason for the US to secure Greenland, though he has since backed down from his threats to seize the vast Arctic island by force.

Then earlier this month, Trump rowed back his criticism, saying he understood that Starmer had made “the best [deal] he could make”.

That was followed by an expression of support from the state department on Tuesday.

It said the US “supports the decision of the United Kingdom to proceed with its agreement with Mauritius concerning the Chagos archipelago”.

Asked about the conflicting statements by Trump and the state department on Wednesday, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the president’s “post should be taken as the policy of the Trump administration. It’s coming straight from the horse’s mouth”.

The US is set to hold bilateral talks with Mauritius next week that will focus on security arrangements and co-operation for the Diego Garcia base.

A spokesperson for the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office said: “The deal to secure the joint UK-US military base on Diego Garcia is crucial to the security of the UK and our key allies, and to keeping the British people safe. The agreement we have reached is the only way to guarantee the long-term future of this vital military base.”

Tory shadow foreign secretary Dame Priti Patel said Trump had “once again publicly rebuked Keir Starmer and his government over their ill-judged, unnecessary and expensive Chagos surrender”.