>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +1.8%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.7%
    • Siemens Energy Raised to Outperform at Grupo Santander
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +0.7%
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) -0.7%
MDAX:
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +3.4%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +1.3%
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) +1.1%
  • Hugo Boss (BOSS TH) +1%
  • Puma (PUM TH) +1%
  • Lanxess (LXS TH) -1%
  • TeamViewer SE (TMV TH) -1.2%
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) -1.2%
  • Encavis (ECV TH) -1.3%
SDAX:
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) +1.7%
  • Hamborner REIT (HABA TH) +1.6%
  • Thyssenkrupp Nucera AG & Co KGaa (NCH2 TH) +1.4%
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) +1.3%
  • SGL (SGL TH) +1.3%
  • Energiekontor (EKT TH) -1.5%
  • Ionos (IOS TH) -1.9%

>>> What to look at today - 12th of February 2024

European equity futures edged higher following Friday’s gains in US shares amid optimism over eventual Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. Trading in Asia was muted with a swath of markets shut for Lunar New Year. Contracts for the Euro Stoxx 50 show the benchmark is poised to extend its advance after finishing Friday with a third weekly gain. The S&P 500 closed above 5,000 last week for the first time amid a renewed rally in big tech companies. Equities in Australia, New Zealand, India and the Philippines drifted lower amid a lack of leads in the region. Asian markets shut Monday include Japan, China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea, Malaysia and Vietnam. US futures were little changed with investors preparing for US inflation numbers due Tuesday that will help identify the path forward for the Fed.  Australian and New Zealand bonds fell, roughly mirroring declines in Treasuries on Friday that added two basis points to the 10-year yield. Trading of cash Treasuries is closed in Asia due to the holiday in Japan. The yen held near a two-month low reached on Friday following comments from central bankers that the Bank of Japan will take its time raising rates. Japan’s currency has weakened against all its Group-of-10 peers this year. Bitcoin was little changed after earlier edging up toward $49,000 — a level last seen in mid-January when a number of US spot exchange-traded funds began trading. The annual US inflation rate is forecast to have dropped to 2.9% in January from 3.4% the prior month, according to consensus estimates of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. That would be the first reading below 3% since March 2021. The S&P 500 rose 0.6% on Friday to set a fresh record, while the Nasdaq 100 jumped 1%. The gains were helped by technology stocks and positive fourth-quarter earnings. Four in five of the companies that have reported their results so far have exceeded expectations, brightening the outlook for corporate profits. The advance for US stocks came even as traders pushed back expectations for Fed policy easing after relatively hawkish commentary from central bankers and economic data showing no immediate need to trim interest rates. Swaps market pricing shows investors anticipate the chance of a Fed cut in March at 15%, down from 65% a month ago. Traders now foresee four 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2024, down from seven forecast at the end of last year. In commodities, oil prices fell for the first time in six days after Iran’s foreign minister said the war in Gaza may be nearer to a “diplomatic solution.” In Asia, data set for release Monday include inflation and industrial output reports for India. 

Nikkei Closed Hang Seng Closed CSI Closed Shanghai Closed Shenzen Closed

Eur$ 1.0792 CNH 7.2235 CNY 7.1936 JPY 149.22 GBP 1.2629 CHF 0.8746 RUB 91.15 TRY 30.7001 WTI$ 76.58 -0.34% Gold 2,024 BTC 48,100 -0.08% ETH 2,495 -0.38%

S&P -0.04% Nasdaq -0.08% EuroStoxx +0.29% FTSE +0.21% Dax +0.25% SMI +0.28%

Macro :
- US Says Trump’s Russia Threat Remarks to NATO Allies ‘Appalling’
- Germany’s Days as an Industrial Superpower Are Coming to an End
- Hydrogen production and demand to grow in 2024, but only slowly

Keep an eye on :
- ACAST SS : Acast 4Q Net Sales SEK494.2M Vs. SEK454.3M Y/y
- ALTICE Portugal : Saudi Telecom, Iliad, Warburg Advance in Altice Portugal Bidding
- AMZN US : Amazon’s Bezos Sells At Least $2.04 Billion of Shares
- ASML NA : ASML Shows Off $380 Million, 165-Ton Machine Behind AI Shift
- BA US : FAA Adopts New Airworthiness Directive for Some Boeing Planes
- BLV FP : Denis Ladegaillerie, TCV, EQT Offer to Buy Believe at €15/Share
- BLV FP : *TCV Consortium Bid Values Believe at Around EUR1.52 Bln
- BMW GY : BMW, Audi, Mercedes Face 2024 Earnings Risk on Rising Discounts
- BP/ LN : BP to book $700mn windfall due to pension tax changes - FT
- Cobham : Final sell-offs loom for UK defence giant Cobham
- DKNG US : Barstool Signs Multi-Year Sports Betting Deal With DraftKings
- ENEL IM : ANEEL imposes fine of R$ 165 million on Enel for blackout in SP
- GALP PL : Galp Energia: Results presentation - 4Q - 2023
- GMI SW : Groupe Minoteries to Build Flour Mill in Switzerland
- OR FP : L’Oréal Wins Miu Miu Beauty License
- MBG GY : BMW, Audi, Mercedes Face 2024 Earnings Risk on Rising Discounts
- META US : SEC Fines 16 Firms in Latest WhatsApp Probe Penalties
- MDRN US : Metagenomi Closes 31% Below IPO Price in First Trading Day
- MDRN US : Moderna Shares Fall After RSV Vaccine Shows Waning Efficacy
- NDX1 GY : Nordex Prelim FY Ebitda Margin Misses Estimates
- NOVOB DC : Novo Holdings Plans to Invest Up to $7b Annually by 2030: FT
- P911 GY : Porsche Seen Favoring Battery Plant Site in North America: FAZ
- RATOB SS ; Ratos 4Q Ebitda Beats Estimates
- SAB SM : Sabadell Chair Signals Interest in Unicaja Tie-Up: Confidencial
- SAP GY : SAP Splits With Chairman Nominee Ahead of Plattner Retirement
- SRS IM : Moratti Family to Sell Approx. 35% of Saras to Vitol
- SRS IM : Italy’s Moratti Sells Controlling Stake in Saras to Vitol
- SMS LN : Buyout barons KKR set to win battle for British Gas smart meter installer {NSN S8PFEAY2NTOG <GO>}
- SWON SW : SoftwareOne Plans to Hold EGM in Response to Shareholder Request
- 6758 JP : SONY MUSIC ACQUIRES STAKE IN MICHAEL JACKSON CATALOG: VARIETY
- TLGO SM : Ganz-MaVag Europe Zrt. Confirms Talks on Possible Bid for Talgo
- TLGO SM : Spain Securities Regulator Lifts Trading Suspension on Talgo
- TRN IM : Italy’s Terna Said to Mull Bid for €1.5 Billion of Power Assets
- TSLA US : Tesla Cuts Prices of Model Y RWD and Long Range AWD: Website
- TSLA US : Musk Must Testify in SEC Twitter Probe, Court Rules
- TTE FP : Total boss warns governments risk mis-selling energy transition
- UMG NA : Super Bowl Advertisers Squeak Under the Wire of Universal Music's TikTok Blackout -- WSJ
- UNI SM : Sabadell Chair Signals Interest in Unicaja Tie-Up: Confidencial
- VOW GY : Mexico Audi Plant Workers Vote to Reject Pay Proposal: Universal

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 12th of February 2024

>>> Up
* Adyen Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Cass Information Raised to Overweight at Piper Sandler; PT $51
* Finnair Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 5 euro cents
* Kemira Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 19 euros
* Lloyds Raised to Market Perform at KBW; PT 50 pence
* Nexans PT Raised to 108 euros from 98 euros at Berenberg
* Proximar Seafood Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 4 kroner
* Rockwool Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 2,600 kroner
* Standard Chartered Raised to Market Perform at KBW; PT 790 pence
* Sweco Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 110 kronor
* Teva ADRs Raised to Overweight at Piper Sandler; PT $19
* Yara Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 400 kroner

>>> Down
* Aker BP Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 270 kroner
* BP Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* Endomines Finland Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 5.20 euros
* Hoegh Autoliners Cut to Neutral at Clarksons; PT 125 kroner
* HSBC Cut to Underperform at KBW; PT 700 pence
* Kongsberg Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 630 kroner
* NatWest Cut to Underperform at KBW; PT 230 pence
* Orsted Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT 400 kroner
* Revenio Cut to Hold at Nordea

>>> Initiation
* Deliveroo Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 180 pence
* Palmer Square Capital BDC Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan
* Pluxee France Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 33.50 euros

>>> Call
* Aker BP Downgraded to Hold at Berenberg as Outlook Weakens
* EU Tech Stocks' 2024 EPS Dragged by Lower Capex, High Inventory
* Hershey Gets Only Sell as Morgan Stanley Sees Risks to Outlook
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says Operational Efficiency Is in Focus
* Sweco Raised to Hold at ABG, Results Not as Bad as They Looked

>>> Gaussin : vers une cession des parts dans GAMA

Gaussin : vers une cession des parts dans GAMA

Gaussin annonce avoir reçu une promesse unilatérale de la part de Macnica pour lui racheter l'ensemble de ses titres et créances dans leur co-entreprise GAMA, dédiée à la mobilité autonome et zéro émission pour le transport de personnes et de marchandises.
Cette transaction serait effective fin avril/début mai 2024, sous réserve de la finalisation des démarches organisationnelles et opérationnelles par les deux entreprises, et de sa validation par l'ensemble des autorités et instances compétentes.
Ce projet de cession s'inscrit directement dans le recentrage stratégique de Gaussin autour de ses activités les plus rentables. Il permettra également au groupe de renforcer ses flux de trésorerie tout en maîtrisant sa base de coûts opérationnels et frais de R&D.

WSJ : Permian Rivals Near Deal to Create $50 Billion Oil-and-Gas Behemoth

Permian Rivals Near Deal to Create $50 Billion Oil-and-Gas Behemoth
Diamondback Energy and Autry Stephens’s Endeavor are finalizing a merger

Rivals Diamondback Energy FANG -1.13%decrease; red down pointing triangle and Endeavor Energy Resources are finalizing a merger that would create an oil-and-gas behemoth worth more than $50 billion, as higher oil prices and a rush to grab prime acreage fuel consolidation in the energy sector.

Diamondback could announce a deal with the closely held Endeavor as soon as Monday, according to people familiar with the matter, assuming the talks don’t hit a last-minute snag.

Endeavor, founded by wildcatter Autry Stephens, has long been one of the most prized businesses in the consolidating Permian Basin, the largest U.S. oil patch that straddles West Texas and New Mexico.

In striking a deal for Endeavor, Diamondback fended off competition from other parties including ConocoPhillips, some of the people said.

The stock-and-cash deal would value Endeavor at around $25 billion, and Diamondback shareholders would own the majority of the combined company after it closes, they said. Diamondback, based in Midland, Texas, has a market value of around $27 billion.

A pair of megadeals by Exxon Mobil and Chevron late last year helped prompt a flurry of deals in the sector. It is another sign that the U.S. economy is proving surprisingly resilient and that for many companies, it is business as usual even amid elevated interest rates.

Already, deal volumes in the U.S. are up 78% compared with a year earlier, according to Dealogic. Pricier debt and a tighter regulatory environment crimped merger and acquisition activity in 2023, but many advisers expect a busier 2024 as companies put their extra cash to work and rates appear poised to come down.

Diamondback went public in 2012 and has been one of the fastest-growing frackers, with its crude production growing around 50 times in the past decade to reach more than 260,000 barrels of oil per day. It has been adding to its inventory of wells through acquisitions.

A combination with Endeavor would grant the combined company top-tier status in the Permian, endowing it with nearly as much acreage in the basin as rival ConocoPhillips, and crude production likely eclipsing 400,000 barrels per day.

Endeavor’s Stephens is an 85-year-old billionaire who has drilled aggressively in West Texas for decades. He formed a sole proprietorship and drilled his first well in 1979 and turned that proprietorship into Endeavor Energy Resources in 2000.

He has since built it to have one of the most sought-after land positions of any oil-and-gas conglomerate in the world. Its operations cover roughly 350,000 net acres across the Midland Basin counties.

Endeavor has explored selling itself on and off for years, attracting interest from the likes of Shell, Exxon and Pioneer Natural Resources at various times, people familiar with the matter have said.

Stephens himself is known for his intense work ethic, frugal spending and encyclopedic knowledge of his company’s deals. He has been known to work late, show up to his offices on weekends and walk the building’s staircases for exercise. He sometimes flies on commercial flights despite his estimated fortune of nearly $15 billion.

While many American frackers have seen oil-well productivity decline as they have drilled through their best locations—a big factor in recent deals—Endeavor has the largest remaining inventory of top-tier oil acreage of any private Permian company, according to energy-analytics firm Flow Partners.

It has also been one of the most active producers in the region. The company was among private operators that kept drilling through the Covid-19 pandemic and helped U.S. crude production recover rapidly after a lull.

Following Exxon’s nearly $60 billion all-stock deal to buy Pioneer last fall, Chevron announced a $53 billion all-stock deal to purchase Hess the same month. Occidental Petroleum late last year revealed a $10.8 billion agreement to buy West Texas producer CrownRock. Last month, energy company APA agreed to buy smaller peer Callon Petroleum in a deal valued at about $4.5 billion including debt.

Elsewhere in the energy space, Southwestern Energy and Chesapeake Energy agreed to a merger in January that created one of the largest natural-gas producers in the U.S.