>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • ALK +1.2% (guidance), NDSN +1.1%
Other news:
  • CDXS +13.9% (enters into agreement with Aldevron)
  • CARM +12.7% (announces nomination of first lead candidate under its collaboration with Moderna (MRNA))
  • ESPR +11.9% (FDA updates LDL-C for NEXLETOL and NEXLIZET)
  • MRNA +11.7% (Moderna and Merck (MRK) announce mRNA-4157 in combination with Keytruda demonstrated continued improvement in recurrence-free survival and distant metastasis-free survival in patients with high-risk stage III/IV melanoma following complete resection versus Keytruda at three years)
  • GKOS +6.8% (FDA approved its New Drug Application for a single administration per eye of iDose TR 75 mcg; reaffirms FY23 revenue guidance and sees FY24 revs above consensus)
  • SDRL +5.2% (initiates new share buy-back program)
  • HOOD +3.3% (reports November data)
  • BCYC +3.2% (provides data updates for three clinical programs and strategy overview at First R&D Day)
  • ISPR +3% (subsidiary enters five-year exclusive global manufacturing and distribution agreement with lifestyle brand: BrkFst)
  • RKLB +2.4% (preparing launch of its Electron missino)
  • TXG +2.4% (releases data from new study)
  • CVE +2.4% (announces 2024 budget)
  • TEX +2.4% (Director disclosed the purchase of 50000 shares at $50.69 - $51.20 worth nearly $2.6 mln)
  • NX +2.3% (CEO to become Chairman)
  • OXY +2.2% (Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway bought another 10482162 shares worth approx. $589 mln (12/11-12/13 transaction dates))
  • CHSN +2.1% (expanding its new coffee brand in China)
  • RILY +1.9% (continued volatility)
  • TOL +1.8% (authorizes new repurchase plan)
  • MAT +1.7% (developing American Girl doll film)
  • SDGR +1.5% (Highlights Progress of Clinical Programs and Discloses Three New Programs at First Therapeutics Pipeline Investor Event)
  • JMIA +1.2% (closing food delivery business)
  • DWAC +1.1% (received termination notices from PIPE Investors representing approximately $17500000 of the PIPE between November 2 2023 and November 20 2023)
  • AEO +1% (raises dividend)
  • EOG +1% (names new COO and CFO)
Analyst comments:
  • ALEC +10% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel)
  • IBP +2.7% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • IVZ +2.6% (upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette)
  • BLD +2.5% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • LYV +2.3% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • HST +2.2% (upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan)
  • BECN +2% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • CHH +1.2% (upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • ESPR +14.6%, CDXS +12.9%, SDRL +5.9%, CHSN +2.7%, NX +2.3%, HOOD +2.3%, TXG +2.3%, OXY +2.2%, JMIA +2%, RKLB +1.8%, CVE +1.8%, MAT +1.7%, CARR +1.6%, EOG +1.3%, DWAC +1.3%, TOL +1.2%, DDD +1%, ALK +1%, LNW +0.9%, CADE +0.8%, MDT +0.8%
  • Gapping down:
    • OCUL -17%, ASLE -10.5%, MDRX -10%, ADBE -5%, PBA -3.1%, ACAD -2.8%, RILY -2.3%, OR -1.4%, AEO -1.1%

WWD : The Clock Is Ticking at Farfetch



From: Laurent Chekroun (MAKOR CAPITAL MARKET) At: 12/13/23 23:27:51 UTC+1:00
Subject: WWD : The Clock Is Ticking at Farfetch
The Clock Is Ticking at Farfetch
Sources on both sides of the Atlantic say that if Farfetch doesn't find a new investor in the coming days, it will have to call in administrators in the U.K.

LONDON — Time is running out for the troubled Farfetch, which will likely have a new owner, or cease to exist in its current state, by Christmas.

WWD has learned that there are at least two investors looking to swoop in and rescue Farfetch.

While the identity of one could not be learned, it’s understood to be a company and not a private investor.

The other is Carmen Busquets, known for her savvy, early-stage investments in tech-driven brands. She is looking to raise between $500 million and $1 billion to rescue the company, and has proposed a five-year plan with the aim of driving fast growth and profitability.

Busquets, a businesswoman and entrepreneur, is best known as the majority cofounding investor of Net-a-porter and as a vocal proponent of sustainability. She has invested in start-ups in the U.S. and Britain including Farfetch, Moda Operandi, Flowerbx, Tagwalk, Cult Beauty and the cosmetics brand Dr Jackson’s.

“Fundamentally, I believe in the fashion and technology marketplace sector and I believe Farfetch remains the leading company in the industry. It has driven fundamental change to the distribution of fashion globally over the last 15 years,” Busquets told WWD.

“The industry is cyclical, and Farfetch is navigating a complex environment, made harder with the complexities of managing multiple corporate transactions. Farfetch remains a strategic asset, and given the collapse in market confidence and valuations in the sector there are a number of strategic tie-ups and consolidation opportunities for Farfetch as a leading e-commerce platform for the 21st century,” she added.

In the event that a rescue does not materialize from either investor, Farfetch has already lined up administrators in the U.K., where the head office is based.

If administrators take control, Farfetch assets — including Browns, New Guards Group, Stadium Goods, Farfetch’s $200 million stake in Neiman Marcus and its Platform Solutions IP — would be sold to pay off the principal debt holders, who are mainly institutional investors.

A source close to Farfetch said that whatever happens in the short term, it will be business as usual for the company’s suppliers, customers and partners.

Two of Farfetch’s biggest commercial partners, Compagnie Financière Richemont and Alibaba, are both keeping their distance and are not interested in rescuing the company.

Richemont was in the final stages of a deal to sell a 47.5 percent stake in Yoox Net-a-porter to Farfetch, but has already said it won’t invest in the ailing company. Alibaba is said to have been willing to put money in, but did not want to buy Farfetch outright.

Last month Richemont said it has “no financial obligations toward Farfetch,” and it does not envisage lending or investing in the company. The luxury giant also said it was “reviewing its options in respect of its arrangements with Farfetch,” calling into question the transfer of YNAP.

Richemont said its maisons and YNAP had not yet adopted Farfetch Platform Solutions, which was part of a wider deal forged with the fashion platform in 2022.

Farfetch has a separate partnership with Richemont and Alibaba, for distribution in China.


The Chinese e-comm giant’s president Mike Evans resigned last week from Farfetch’s board, which the luxury platform attributed to the “furtherance of the arm’s-length commercial relationship between Alibaba…and the company.”

An investor who does not hold shares in Farfetch and who spoke on condition of anonymity said that whatever happens, Farfetch needs to find a way to preserve its core tech expertise.

The investor added that Farfetch should build a new, smaller business around its tech IP, “without getting muddled up in fashion, branding or marketing ever again.”

Many say that tech expertise remains Farfetch’s superpower, with founder José Neves and the Farfetch team continuing to help brands strategize about digital retail, customer and shop-floor experiences.

Chanel’s president of fashion Bruno Pavlovsky told WWD last week that while the French brand no longer holds a stake in Farfetch, the two groups still work together.

“We continue to collaborate, brainstorm together and talk about the future of retail and our relationship with the customer. We are talking about many different initiatives to nourish the future of our boutiques, such as AI tools, to better understand the needs of the customer. We might not end up using those tools, but we want to understand what they mean,” Pavlovsky said.

Despite its allure of uniting the luxury world online, Farfech’s business model has always raised eyebrows among investors and industry members. But Neves has been able to turn things around before, by posting a promising quarter or inking a new high-profile partnership with a big luxe name.

Neves, who leads the business as chairman and chief executive officer, was both architect of Farfetch’s grand vision and technology and relentless cheerleader.

In August, after the company axed its push into beauty and said it eliminated $150 million of planned fixed costs this year over a couple months, Neves put a brave face on the situation and, as usual, remained optimistic.

“This company was built from zero, from nothing, and actually launched in 2008, amid a global financial crisis,” Neves told WWD at the time.

“We got our first venture capital money in 2010, so the first three years were just my money, which was no money. And so we really have that DNA of resiliency and frugality and we’ve grown this business from those humble, very humble origins to be a global platform present in all large luxury goods markets in the world.…The North Star of this company remains absolutely intact, which is to be the global platform for luxury.”

Even so, the money-losing operation has seen its valuation steadily shrivel.

While shares rebounded on Wednesday, rising 18.2 percent to close at 74 cents, the stock has still lost more than 41 percent of its value this week alone, and is well off its 52-week high of $8.02.

Earlier this week, Moody’s Investors Service lowered its rating of Farfetch to “Caa2” from “B3,” and put Farfetch on review for a further downgrade. The Moody’s decision came a week after Standard & Poor’s cut its rating on the luxury platform.

According to industry sources, the YNAP deal, which was supposed to close before the end of 2023, will not go through if the company goes into administration, although it could still be resuscitated if a new owner were to take over.

As reported, Farfetch has also been speaking to potential investors including Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group, about Browns and its stock.

Spokespeople for Farfetch and Frasers declined to comment.

(Makor) Vivendi short comment

VIV FP. : Preliminary view

Our SOP value is E15.6 per share.

VIV is currently trading at a 42.5% discount. Canal + is 29% of the GAV, Havas is 16%.

If 1/Havas and Canal + are spun-off (tax free),
2/ The Investment comapny keeps all the debt and cash
3/ The investment company trades at a similar 42.5% discount than the current VIV discount. The combo is then worth today E12.4 per share.

Key questions will be 1/the discount to be applied on the Investment company
2/ What will Bollore do with it, will it ever be merged into Bollore (what is the point of having 2 separate investment vehicles?) . At 20% discount instead of 42.5% Vivendi is worth E14.1 per share.

Detailed SOTP analysis below :

From: LCHEKROUN@makor-cm.com At: 12/14/23 09:32:36 UTC+1:00
To: Laurent Chekroun (MAKOR CAPITAL MARKET )
Subject: FW: Vivendi short comment

Subject: Vivendi short comment

 

All,

 

Vivendi announced yesterday that

“ The Management Board of Vivendi proposed to the Supervisory Board – which gave its approval on the matter today – to explore the feasibility of a project to split the company into several entities, each of which would be listed on the stock market and structured around:

  • Canal +
  • Havas
  • An investment company with listed and unlisted financial stakes in the cultural, media and entertainment sectors, which would notably include the majority stake in the Lagardère group

 

Very preliminary on VIV FP:

  • Our SOP value is E15.6 per share
  • VIV is currently trading at a 42.5% discount
  • Canal + is 29% of the GAV, Havas is 16%

 

If

  • Havas and Canal + are spun-off (tax free)
  • The Investment company keeps all the debt and cash
  • The investment company trades at a similar 42.5% discount than the current VIV discount

 

The combo is then worth today E12.4 per share.

 

Key questions will be:

  • The discount to be applied on the Investment company
  • What will Bollore do with it, will it ever be merged into Bollore (what is the point of having 2 separate investment vehicles?)

 

At 20% discount instead of 42.5% Vivendi is worth E14.1 per share.

 

VIV latest SOP as of Q3 2023:

 

 

Vivendi press release

Vivendi will study a project to split its activities into several entities

Since the distribution and listing of Universal Music Group in 2021, Vivendi has endured a significantly high conglomerate discount, substantially reducing its valuation and thereby limiting its ability to carry out external growth transactions for its subsidiaries.

Canal+, Havas and Lagardère are currently experiencing strong growth in an international context marked by numerous investment opportunities.

In order to fully unleash the development potential of all its activities, the Management Board of Vivendi proposed to the Supervisory Board – which gave its approval on the matter today – to explore the feasibility of a project to split the company into several entities, each of which would be listed on the stock market and structured around:

 Canal+

Canal+ Group has experienced significant growth in recent years, reaching a subscriber base of over
25 million in nearly 50 countries. Following the acquisitions of M7 and SPI, the company has taken strategic stakes in businesses such as Multichoice, VIU, and Viaplay, demonstrating its ability to identify and seize promising opportunities across all its geographical areas. In light of these successes, Canal+ is well-positioned to capitalize on further consolidation opportunities on a global scale.

 Havas

As one of the global leaders in communications, Havas brings together over 23,000 employees spread across more than 100 countries. The group has maintained a steady pace of targeted acquisitions over the past two years, thereby strengthening its range of expertise and geographic footprint. Havas has also launched numerous innovative solutions to meet the needs of its clients. The impressive momentum demonstrated by Havas on a global scale paves the way for an accelerated development and the continuation of its successful transformation.

 An investment company

An investment company with listed and unlisted financial stakes in the cultural, media and entertainment sectors, which would notably include the majority stake in the Lagardère group, a global leader in publishing and Travel Retail delivering remarkable performances.

The investment company would actively support the strategic development of its portfolio companies and would focus on value creation and capital return to its shareholders, through an effective portfolio rotation and a targeted reinvestment policy.

This split project would provide all the entities with the human resources and the financial agility necessary for their development.

This project will have to prove its added value for all stakeholders and include an analysis of the tax consequences of the various contemplated operations.

To conduct this study, Vivendi will be assisted by its usual banks and advisors.

An update on the progress of the study of this split project, and its feasibility, will be provided in due course.

 

 

 

Laurent Chekroun​​​​
Equity Sales
Makor Securities London Ltd. | Makor Group
E: LCHEKROUN@makor-cm.com
M: +41 79 350 71 09
O: +33 1 42 33 02 05
W: www.makor-group.com
This message has been sent by Makor Securities, London, part of Makor Group, which is authorised and regulated by the FCA (625054). This message is for professional clients and eligible counterparties only, not intended for "retail clients".  The information contained in this message is confidential and is for the exclusive use of the intended recipient. If you receive this message in error please inform us and delete all copies of it. The information is not intended as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. All comments and statements are to be considered the opinions of the author not the Company and are not intended to be relied upon. We cannot guarantee that this message or any attachments are virus free and accept no liability for any viruses or the consequences thereof. v20230124

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 14th of December 2023 V2(+)

>>> Up
* AMS-Osram Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 2.70 Swiss francs
* ArcelorMittal Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 30 euros
* Compass Group Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 2,500 pence
* Credit Agricole Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 13.50 euros
* Deoleo Raised to Outperform at Renta 4; PT 29 euro cents
* Elior Group Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 3 euros
* Figeac-Aero Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 6 euros (+)
* Finnair Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 4 euro cents
* Live Nation Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $110
* Logista Raised to Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 29.50 euros
* Marathon Petroleum Raised to Overweight at Wells Fargo; PT $169
* Marston's Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 58 pence
* Norwegian Cruise PT Raised to $23 from $18 at Stifel
* Oeneo Raised to Add at IDMidcaps; PT 12.70 euros (+)
* Rio Tinto Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 7,000 pence
* UMG Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 29 euros
* U.S. Steel Raised to Strong Buy at CFRA; PT $46
* WithSecure Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.10 euros

>>> Down
* Admicom Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 48 euros
* Aena Cut to Underperform at Renta 4; PT 166.20 euros
* Ahold Delhaize Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 29 euros (+)
* Barratt Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 571 pence
* BBVA Cut to Market Perform at Renta 4; PT 8.90 euros
* Berkeley Cut to Hold at Peel Hunt; PT 4,450 pence
* Cyfrowy Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 15 zloty
* Graines Voltz Cut to Reduce at Gilbert Dupont; PT 28.50 euros (+)
* Komplett Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 15 kroner (+)
* Next Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 8,400 pence (+)
* Severn Trent Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 2,450 pence
* Storebrand Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 100 kroner
* UniCredit Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 34 euros
* Vestas Cut to Hold at Jyske Bank; PT 185 kroner (+)
* Wolters Kluwer Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 112.50 euros

>>> Initiation
* American Tower Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT $245
* Bilia Reinstated Buy at Nordea; PT 140 kronor
* Capital Gearing Trust Rated New Outperform at Peel Hunt (+)
* Care Property Invest NV Raised to Buy at KBC Securities (+)
* d'Amico Intl Shipping Reinstated Buy at Fearnley; PT 7.80 euros (+)
* DiscoverIE Rated New Buy at Redburn; PT 925 pence (+)
* Fasadgruppen Group Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Qiagen Rated New Peerperform at Wolfe
* Quilter Reinstated Neutral at Goldman; PT 100 pence
* Safilo Rated New Hold at Stifel; PT 99 euro cents
* Vonovia Reinstated Buy at ING; PT 35 euros

>>> Call
* Berkeley Cut to Hold on Valuation Grounds by Peel Hunt (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Vivendi (VVU TH) +9.8%
    • Vivendi Explores Breakup of Media Empire in Chase for Deals
  • CNH Industrial (37C TH) +3.5%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +3.4%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +3.3%
    • Vonovia Reinstated Buy at ING; PT 35 euros
  • Nel (D7G TH) +3.2%
  • Anglo American (NGLB TH) +3%
  • AMS-Osram (DQW1 TH) +3%
  • Orsted (D2G TH) +3%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +2.4%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +2.4%
  • Mowi (PND TH) -1.3%
  • Wolters Kluwer (WOSB TH) -2.2%
    • Wolters Kluwer Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 112.50 euros

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +3.4%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +3.4%
    • Vonovia Reinstated Buy at ING; PT 35 euros
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +3.3%
  • Mercedes (MBG TH) +1.5%
  • VW (VOW3 TH) +1.2%
MDAX:
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) +3.3%
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +2.5%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +2.4%
  • RTL (RRTL TH) +2.3%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +1.9%
SDAX:
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +5.5%
    • Deutz and Rolls-Royce’s Power Systems Unit Reach General Pact
  • Metro (B4B TH) +4.4%
    • Metro FY EPS Beats Estimates
  • Aroundtown (AT1 TH) +3.3%
    • Aroundtown Won’t Use Option to Call €400M 2.125% Perpetual Notes
  • Kontron (KTN TH) +3.3%
  • PVA TePla (TPE TH) +2.4%
  • MorphoSys (MOR TH) -10%
    • MorphoSys Offering of 3.4m Shares Prices at EU30/Share