FT : US stocks rally could falter in face of strong dollar, warn analysts

US stocks rally could falter in face of strong dollar, warn analysts
Wall Street equities have recently bucked historical trend of moving inversely to greenback

US stocks have risen in tandem with the dollar this year, in a break with historical trends that has led some analysts to question how much longer the rally can withstand the greenback’s strength.

The dollar has climbed 4.7 per cent against a basket of six peer currencies this year, while in the same period Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 has added 7 per cent.

“If the dollar continues to trend higher, equities will struggle,” said Mislav Matejka, head of global equity strategy at JPMorgan. “Historically, equities and the dollar exhibited a strong inverse correlation.”


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The dollar’s rise — driven by the Federal Reserve’s rate increases — was one of the factors weighing on stocks in 2022, according to strategists. The dollar index gained 8 per cent that year, while the S&P 500 shed almost one-fifth of its value, the biggest annual drop since the global financial crisis in 2008.

When the dollar is strong, US companies’ overseas sales convert into fewer dollars, offering smaller profits and a potential hit to earnings and valuations.

However, equities have been better able to “digest” the greenback’s rise this year because “the pace of the dollar strength is not as stark as 2022”, said Karim Chedid, head of investment strategy for iShares Emea at BlackRock.

He also noted that most major central banks, including the Fed, appeared to be moving from a tightening to an easing cycle, in contrast to 2022, with any US rate cuts likely to weigh on the dollar. “We’re at the peak of the rate cycle. Yes, the expectations have been pushed back, but we’re still expecting the rate-cutting cycle to begin.”

Stocks have continued to rally this year even as traders have rapidly scaled back lofty expectations for US rate cuts. Swaps markets are fully pricing in just one quarter-point interest rate cut in the US by the end of 2024; at the end of the 2023 they were expecting more than six.

Indeed, equities and the dollar appear, unusually, to have been moving in response to the same driver in recent months, according to Binky Chadha, chief global strategist at Deutsche Bank.

“Better US growth means better prospects for US earnings and equities [but] it also means higher US rates — fewer interest rate cuts — and a stronger dollar, as growth elsewhere has been lacklustre,” said Chadha.

Some strategists warn, however, that the equity rally may not be able to withstand the dollar’s strength for much longer.

“Earnings are quite decent — for now — but if this state of affairs continues it might start getting a bit more tricky,” said Kevin Thozet, a member of the investment committee of French asset manager Carmignac. 

The impact may be felt unevenly across the market. Major technology stocks, which have powered much of the S&P 500’s advance over the past year, may prove more resilient than some other companies to the impact on the price of US firms’ goods and services abroad from a strong dollar.

“Having a stronger currency makes US goods and services less competitive on an international basis,” said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital. “I’m not sure a strong currency is going to prevent someone from buying an Nvidia chip or using Amazon [but] we would probably see an impact in the midsection of the S&P 500.”

The rising dollar could also mean that, after lagging Wall Street’s gains over the past year, other regions’ equity markets could start to catch up.

“We may find ourselves in a period where markets away from the US could finally outperform,” said Andrew Cole, head of multi-asset at Pictet Asset Management. 

FT : Aircraft seat shortages hamper airlines’ efforts to upgrade planes

Aircraft seat shortages hamper airlines’ efforts to upgrade planes
Continuing supply chain bottlenecks come as carriers race to unveil new cabins to attract customers

A shortage of aircraft seats is adding to bottlenecks in the industry’s supply chains, hampering plans by airlines to refurbish cabin interiors and unveil new upgraded planes. 

Aircraft seats, in particular those for first and business class cabins, are among the most important differentiators for airlines in their bid to draw passengers. A combination of factors, including tighter certification rules and shortages of labour stemming from the pandemic, is continuing to hold up their production.

The supply chain wobbles have come as airlines race to unveil new cabins as the industry recovers from the impact of the pandemic. Lufthansa in Germany this month unveiled a new set of long-haul cabins as part of a €2.5bn investment, which was significantly delayed because of supply chain problems. 

Extensive refurbishment programmes by several airlines, including the biggest ever $2bn retrofit programme from Emirates, have added to the demands on suppliers. 

French jet engine maker Safran, which is also one of the biggest suppliers of aircraft seats, said on Friday that business-class seat deliveries fell 25 per cent in the first quarter as some shipments slipped into the second quarter. 

Olivier Andriès, chief executive, said certification rules by regulators had become “much more demanding” and were impacting the “entire interior industry”.  

Premium seats are “really important to airlines, they are part of the differentiation for passengers but are also really complicated to engineer, to manufacture and to certify”, said Nick Cunningham, analyst at Agency Partners. 

Executives from Boeing and Airbus said this week that the industry’s supply chain remains constrained, including supplies of cabin equipment.

Guillaume Faury, Airbus chief executive, said the company was still struggling with supplies of cabin equipment, not just limited to seats, as well as with supplies of aerostructures. “It reflects the diversity of the difficulties and challenges in the supply chain.”

Boeing, which is struggling to contain its latest crisis following the mid-air blowout of a section of one of its 737 Max aircraft in January, identified seats as a specific reason for constrained production of its 787 wide-body plane.

“Seat suppliers out there are in shorter capacity. A lot of that is buyer furnished, but nevertheless, it holds up an aeroplane,” Boeing chief executive Dave Calhoun told analysts. 

Mark Hiller, chief executive of Recaro Aircraft Seating, the world’s leading economy class seat maker, said electronics shortages for embedded in-flight entertainment systems were continuing to hamper deliveries of seats. Airlines typically order the electronics and provide them to the seat manufacturers for installation. 

“The increased demand and the ramp up in production means even if [suppliers] are delivering more than a year ago, the demand has increased significantly more and therefore there are still bottlenecks,” Hiller told the Financial Times. 

The company has introduced extra shifts, also on weekends, to cope with later deliveries. It has also installed seats on aircraft that are still waiting for the full complement of electronics. Recaro is having to work on a “bespoke solution” for every second customer order, he said, while declining to name any one in particular. 

Cunningham said: “Right now, there is such a recovery going on in long-haul air traffic in particular that it is a collective problem for everybody. What airlines really want is to get their new aircraft.”

Sir Tim Clark, the chief executive of Emirates, told the FT in an interview earlier this year that he was frustrated with the state of the aviation supply chain.

“I’m getting a little bit tired of hearing, years after Covid finished, that we’ve still got issues today . . . we are currently retrofitting at vast expense over 160 of our older aircraft. So I would have thought that any supply chain into that kind of organisation would be set forever,” he said.

WWD : Consumer Stress Index Shows Global Relaxation Amid Geopolitical and Econom

Consumer Stress Index Shows Global Relaxation Amid Geopolitical and Economic Complexities
Kearney’s latest report reveals nuanced factors influencing stress, highlighting the role of media coverage and the ability of consumers to adapt to a new status quo.

While Kearney’s latest Consumer Stress Index report shows less overall stress as compared to the prior quarter, the report’s authors say it is important to understand the nuances at play that create stress. These include geopolitical events, climate change, housing prices and elections, among other factors.

The report pinpoints the media as a trigger in the initial spike in stress, but which slowly recedes. It’s not like consumers become desensitized over time, but more likely they are able to manage the stress by adjusting to “a new status quo” while seeking ways to reduce stress.

As a result, Kearney found that global consumers “in 10 out of 12 countries — including the United States — are slightly more relaxed than they were a quarter ago. What’s behind this apparent de-stressing? Determining that is critically important to all consumer-facing businesses, the media, and politicians in a complicated year economically and geopolitically,” the report stated.

Regarding the nuances that affect stress levels, the report’s authors said when dealing with consumer behavior, “it is critically important to get as complete a picture as possible as there can be lots of anomalies at play. For example, the prior stress index wave, from Q4 2023, was fielded in the midst of the holiday season — traditionally a more stressful time for many people trying to balance last-minute shopping, end-of-the-year finances, entertaining, and travel, which can exacerbate a baseline level of stress across the board.”

With this report, Kearney said consumers had time to settle into new routines, “without the added stress of the holiday season.” It’s also important to note that the components, or pillars, of the index are regularly updated to reflect truer consumer behavior.

Greg Portell, lead partner of global markets at Kearney, said consumers are often viewed as unpredictable, unreliable, and irrational. “But in reality, we just need a better way of understanding their sentiment and actions,” Portell said. “Through our tracking of macroeconomic trends, you can get a sense for how consumer mind space impacts purchasing behavior. In this index, we categorize this into five pillars that drive consumer stress: consumer wallet and finances, health and education, geopolitics and governance, food and the environment, and innovation and technology.”

Meanwhile, media coverage has a strong influence on consumer stress levels. “When the conflict in Ukraine began, consumers around the world were initially deeply concerned about everything from potential gas price increases to the threat of nuclear war,” the report stated. “Intense media coverage heightened this initial anxiety level, but over time it became less top of mind.”

Kearney said when it comes to conflict, severe climate change-related events, or even pop culture, “consumer stress tends to peak at their first exposure to news, and as ‘new news’ is received those stories tend to take over the top-of-mind position and older stories tend to be deprioritized.”

The report’s authors said the role of media is clearly defined, “consumer stress aligns with current coverage and events. However, the longer the elapsed time from when the story first broke, the less shocking the news, and over time, the further from their initial awareness an event becomes, the less of a direct stressor it represents.”

Portell said social media plays a big role in how consumers get their news, “and while consumers may initially feel higher stress upon their first exposure to the news, over time and through repeated exposure it becomes less shocking.”

“Consumers want to know what’s going on, and with social media at the tips of their fingers it’s easily accessible, which leads consumers into the cycle of consuming stressful news, feeling like it’s the status quo, and repeating it,” he added.

WWD : Remo Ruffini’s Archive Srl Makes Investment in Danish Cycling Brand

Remo Ruffini’s Archive Srl Makes Investment in Danish Cycling Brand
Already an investor in The Attico, the firm has acquired a minority stake in Copenhagen-based technical cycling apparel brand Pas Normal Studios.

MILAN — The Ruffini family’s investment vehicle Archive Srl has made its second acquisition in the fashion space after The Attico.

The company said Friday it has acquired a minority stake in Copenhagen-based technical cycling apparel brand Pas Normal Studios.

Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed, but according to market sources the investment firm nabbed between 20 and 25 percent of the Danish company.

“Pas Normal Studios is an example of strong entrepreneurial vision that has been able to successfully evolve the brand beyond the sector’s traditional codes. We are happy to support Pas Normal Studios in its development journey and above all in the ambitious plan to redefine modern cycling by building a strong brand,” said Pietro Ruffini, chief executive officer of Archive Srl, and the son of Moncler’s chairman and CEO Remo Ruffini.

Archive Srl, helmed by Pietro Ruffini and managing director Stefano Marcovaldi, is an investment company controlled by Ou(r) Group, one of the two holding companies of the Ruffini family. The other family holding company is Ruffini Partecipazioni Holding, which controls a 15.8 percent stake in Moncler, through Double R.

“Over the past nine years we grew from a successful start-up to a successful business, challenging the existing cycling market by focusing on creative design, uncompromising functionality, and a global diverse community,” said Pas Normal Studios’ cofounders Peter Lange and Karl-Oskar Olsen in a statement. “We are now proud to have entered in a unique partnership with Archive to further support our journey and ambitions. Their knowledge and experience are extremely inspiring and will be valuable for the whole organization.”

Founded in 2014, Pas Normal Studios has embedded innovation, a fashion-forward design and brand collaborations in its offering of high-performance technical gear aimed at the cycling world. It operates seven flagships in Copenhagen; Munich; Mallorca, Spain; San Francisco; Seoul; Singapore, and Taipei, Taiwan. Lange serves as CEO, while Olsen holds the role of creative director.

This marks the fourth investment for Archive overall and the second in the fashion sphere.

The company acquired a 49 percent interest in womenswear brand The Attico, founded in 2016 by Gilda Ambrosio and Giorgia Tordini, in 2018. As reported, the brand posted revenues above 30 million euros in 2023, up from 27 million euros in 2022. That was swift growth from revenues of 5 million euros in 2018, the year Archive made its investment.

It was followed by the acquisition of a minority interest of 40 percent in Langosteria Holding Srl, which operates the tony seafood restaurants first opened in Milan in 2007 by Enrico Buonocore. The company currently operates seven restaurants in key destinations in Europe, as well as upcoming units in London and Miami.

In 2023, Archive Srl acquired a 47.5 percent in Concettina ai Tre Santi, a cult and storied pizza restaurant in Naples, Italy.

“Archive’s mandate is to try and build over the next 20 years a portfolio of brands and creative languages aimed at the new generation,” Marcovaldi told WWD in an interview late last year commenting on the growth trajectory of The Attico. “Currently we are investing in and supporting the development of brands that, in our view, are defining the language, experience and product codes in a modern way,” the executive said at the time.

WWD : The Renovated Grand Palais Nave, Home to Chanel’s Spectacular Shows, Is Un

The Renovated Grand Palais Nave, Home to Chanel’s Spectacular Shows, Is Unveiled
Its entrance has been named after Gabrielle Chanel, as the Art Nouveau landmark prepares to host 2024 Paris Games competitions amid continuing renovation.
PARIS — “It’s only the Grand Palais,” joked architect François Chatillon as he led visitors toward the nave of the renovated Paris landmark.

After three years heading the most comprehensive overhaul ever undertaken of the protected building, the Frenchman might be used to the sight, but standing under the massive 17,500 square feet of glass and metal arching into a clear blue spring morning left everyone else speechless.

It is the first part of the 466 million euro renovation to be completed and come July, fencing and taekwondo competitions for the 2024 Paris Olympic Games will be taking place on the 145,000-square-foot concrete slab. The renovation has seen the capacity of the nave jump from 3,000 to 9,000 people.

France’s President Emmanuel Macron and Chanel‘s Bruno Pavlovsky in front of the plaque bearing the name of Gabrielle Chanel.
COURTESY OF CHANEL

While sports will inaugurate the new space, fashion isn’t far: the nave’s entrance is now named after Gabrielle Chanel.
The plaque bearing the couturier’s name was unveiled during a visit of French President Emmanuel Macron marking 100 days until the Olympic Opening Ceremony, in the presence of Culture Minister Rachida Dati; Association of French National Museums — Grand Palais President Didier Fusillier, and Bruno Pavlovsky, president of Chanel fashion and Chanel SAS.

The most striking change in the Grand Palais is the monumental glass window that separates the nave designed by Henri Deglane and the Salon d’Honneur section, which is the work of Albert Louvet. A third architect, Albert Thomas, was in charge of the rear section, which became known as the Palais de la Découverte science museum.

This is a perspective that has not been seen since the late 1930s. Above it is another major feature of the nave — a sweeping staircase by Louvet that Chatillon described as “an underestimated piece in the history of Art Nouveau” as it was created at the cusp of two currents of this major artistic movement.

Opening spaces that had been partitioned over the decades was central to the overhaul helmed by Chatillon, one of 30 chief architects of historical monuments qualified to undertake such a task in France.

So was saving some of the features that have been added over time, such as the 1960s remodel of the national galleries that border the Champs-Elysées by French architect Pierre Vivien.

Chatillon regaled visitors with the story of how Chris Dercon, then-chief executive officer of the Association of French National Museums — Grand Palais, put his mandate on the table in defense of this conservation.

Beyond that, many of the evolutions that have been infused into the site’s 775,0000 square feet — and that’s without counting the various stories — are invisible.

The nave’s concrete slab was replaced with an active version with thermo-regulating properties that can adjust the thermal impression on a height of up to three meters.

There are now motorized controls to open windows near the top of the metal-and-glass structure, and much work has been put into ensuring energy saving. Chatillon even spoke of experimentation on new types of solar films to face rising temperatures.


Intumescent paint — utilized as passive fire protection — was used on the metallic structures to allow exhibits to be brought closer and remove the need for further protective fireproof partitions.

Invisible shutters were even added to some of the windows, to give increased modularity — or keep Chanel show preparations under wraps. The fashion house signed on to be principal sponsor of the renovation, contributing 25 million euros to the budget, with the rest footed by the French government.

Chatillon considers the sweeping staircase by Louvet “an underestimated piece in the history of Art Nouveau.”
LAURENT KRONENTAL/COURTESY OF CHATILLON ARCHITECTES

In April, 1,100 workers were still toiling away to get the building shipshape in time — and continue working afterward.
While events such as Chanel’s spring ready-to-wear 2025 show and the Paris+ by Art Basel art fair will be held in the Grand Palais in the fall, renovations are slated to continue into 2025.

Once completed, the Grand Palais complex will once more include the Palais de la Découverte science museum and be the temporary home of the Centre Pompidou as the contemporary art institution undergoes its own renovation.

Remodeled spaces will include the entrances for visitors as well as artworks — the first will be in a newly verdant square just off the Champs-Elysées, while the other was tucked into another leafy avenue nearby. Stables in the underbelly of the building will be turned into a visitor center and other facilities.

CrunchBase : The Week’s 10 Biggest Funding Rounds: Xaira And Other AI Startups H

The Week’s 10 Biggest Funding Rounds: Xaira And Other AI Startups Have Huge Week

After a slowdown in big rounds last week, investors were back at it again dishing out nine-figure rounds. This week’s theme was definitely AI, as many of the largest rounds went to startups using AI in coding or biotech.

1. Xaira Therapeutics, $1B, biotech: The biggest round this week was really big. Xaira Therapeutics came out of stealth and announced it had secured more than $1 billion of committed capital from lead investors Arch Venture Partners and Foresite Capital — both of which jointly incubated the company — as well as several other big-name investors including Sequoia Capital and Lightspeed Venture Partners. The San Francisco-based biotech firm is led by founding CEO Marc Tessier-Lavigne, who previously served as president of Stanford University but resigned last year after questions arose concerning his scientific research. Xaira is the latest — although likely best-funded — startup to try to use AI models to find new drugs.

2. Augment, $227M, artificial intelligence: AI coding startups made a big splash this week. The biggest round went to another startup emerging from stealth — AI coding assistance startup Augment. The Palo Alto, California-based company locked up a $227 million Series B round at a $977 million post-money valuation. The round included cash from the likes of Sutter Hill Ventures, Index Ventures and Lightspeed Venture Partners. Augment helps developers and software teams by giving them AI coding assistance. Founded in 2022, Augment’s total funding now stands at $252 million, per the company, following its $25 million Series A led by Sutter Hill Ventures in January.

3. Rippling, $200M, human resources: HR startup Rippling wrapped up a huge $200 million round that valued the San Francisco-based startup at $13.5 billion. The deal also included a $590 million secondary offering for employees to sell their private shares to investors. The new equity round was led by Coatue. The company offers a workforce management platform that combines HR, information technology and finance to help customers streamline operations. The new round represents about a 20% uptick in valuation for Rippling, which was last valued at $11.3 billion in March 2023.

4. Cognition, $175M, artificial intelligence: Another nine-figure round for an AI coding startup. This one went to San Francisco-based Cognition, which reportedly locked up a $175 million investment led by Founders Fund at a $2 billion valuation. The six-month-old startup has developed an artificial intelligence–powered coding assistant called Devin. Just last month the startup raised a $21 million Series A at a $350 million valuation.

5. Endeavor BioMedicines, $133M, biotech: Yet another big biotech raise this week. San Diego-based Endeavor BioMedicines locked up a $132.5 million Series C led by AyurMaya. The company, which focuses on medicines for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, last raised more than two years ago — a $101 million Series B co-led by Ally Bridge Group and Avidity Partners. Founded in 2018, the company has raised nearly $296 million, per Crunchbase.

6. ThreatLocker, $115M, cybersecurity: Cyber funding has shown some signs of life recently, and this week we have another example. ThreatLocker, a cybersecurity startup offering zero trust endpoint security solutions, raised a $115 million Series D led by existing investor General Atlantic. In the past year, ThreatLocker has doubled its revenue and added 50% to its workforce. Founded in 2017, the company has raised nearly $240 million, per Crunchbase.

7. Lumeris, $100M, healthcare: St. Louis-based Lumeris, a developer of a healthcare spending platform, raised a $100 million investment led by Deerfield Management and Endeavor Health. Founded in 2000, the company has raised $325 million, per Crunchbase.

8. Perplexity AI, $63M, artificial intelligence: It was a busy week for Perplexity AI. The company announced a $62.7 million round on the same day it was reported the AI startup was looking to raise another $250 million-plus at a valuation between $2.5 billion and $3 billion. The newly announced round was first reported last month and was led by Daniel Gross. It also included investors such as Nvidia, IVP, NEA, Jeff Bezos and Garry Tan among others. The new round reportedly values the company at more than $1 billion. However, per the report in TechCrunch, the AI search engine startup is far from done, engaging investors in talks of a megaround that would increase that valuation by at least 150%. IVP and NEA were said to be looking at participating in the new round. It was just in January the company raised a $73.6 million Series B led by IVP that valued it at $520 million.

9. Midi Health, $60M, healthcare: Los Altos, California-based Midi Health, a virtual care clinic for women, closed a $60 million Series B led by Emerson Collective. Founded in 2021, Midi Health has raised $100 million to date, per the company.

10. Givebutter, $50M, CRM: Austin, Texas-based Givebutter, a platform for nonprofit fundraising and CRM, announced it has closed a $50 million strategic growth investment led by BVP Forge. Founded in 2016, the company has raised $57 million, per Crunchbase.


Big global deals
There were not really any large rounds outside the U.S. this week. The biggest came from the Emerald Isle.
  • Dublin-based SynOx Therapeutics, a biotechnology research company focused on developing the treatment of giant cell tumors, raised a $75 million Series B.

WSJ : Deciphering Tesla’s Plans for a Cheaper Car Demands a Muskology Degree and

Deciphering Tesla’s Plans for a Cheaper Car Demands a Muskology Degree and a Pinch of Salt
How the company will make lower-price EVs remains murky, but investors seem OK—for now

Making sense of Tesla’s TSLA decrease; red down pointing triangle manufacturing plans increasingly requires a close study and a grain of salt when listening to Elon Musk describe what’s ahead.

The chief executive loves to talk about the future of robot cars and what might come.

What was less clear this past week, as profit plunged 55% and the company burned through more than $2 billion in cash in the first quarter, was the company’s near-term product plans—“product” being the boring part of the business where metal is bashed together to make cars sold to people who drive themselves.

Investors had grown increasingly concerned that Musk was losing interest in a cheaper, next-generation EV for the masses. In recent weeks, he appeared to signal that he was overly focused on a robotaxi to be unveiled in August—even though the company has yet to demonstrate it can actually deploy driverless cars like Alphabet’s Waymo.

Instead, on Tuesday, Musk tried to assure investors that cheaper cars are in fact coming. His product road map has even been pulled forward, he said, moving the launch of new models ahead of the second half of 2025, to perhaps as soon as late this year.

But those plans weren’t the next-generation vehicle he had conditioned investors to expect—sounding instead like a Frankenstein’s monster of approaches old and new to get something out quickly as U.S. EV sales grow sluggish.

“These new vehicles, including more affordable models, will use aspects of the next-generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and we’ll be able to produce on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle lineup,” Musk told analysts Tuesday.

By platform, he is most likely referring to the underpinnings of its most recent vehicles, the Model 3 sedan and Model Y sport-utility vehicle. Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi, like many, wanted to know what the word jumble actually means in practice.

When the Wall Street analyst asked the CEO if the new vehicles would simply be tweaks of current products, such as the Model Y, or, like, actually new models, Musk didn’t have much to say.

Auto industry veterans suspect that any new model that can begin production later this year on the same production line as existing vehicles is merely an updated version of what we already know from Tesla—a refresh in industry parlance. Tesla just updated the long-in-the-tooth Model 3. And its younger sibling, the Model Y, would presumably be next.

“Tesla does not have a track record of doing model extensions on existing platforms, let alone in short time frames,” Sacconaghi later told investors in a note. “We see it as more likely that Tesla will attempt to launch stripped-down versions of the Model 3 and Y as lower-cost models, however we are unclear on how much cost Tesla can realistically take out.”

Such a tactic runs the risk of failing to ignite interest among new buyers attracted to what is perceived as new and shiny. It could also be seen as cheapening the brand of its current offerings.

The promise of a next-generation platform—including a vehicle priced around $25,000—had become the cornerstone of Tesla’s future for many investors. It was part of Musk’s plan for making Tesla the world’s top-selling automaker with 20 million annual deliveries by 2030 from 1.81 million last year.

A cheaper car was teased in 2020 and how it would be made affordable was detailed in March 2023 during a long presentation to investors. A big part of that pitch was a radically new manufacturing process proposed by Tesla that reimagined how cars would be made, dubbed the “unboxed” process.

Essentially, instead of a vehicle moving along an assembly line like a box with pieces being added as it went, Tesla envisioned it being more efficiently built in chunks that would then come together at the end.

“If we’re going to scale the way we want to do, we have to rethink manufacturing again,” Lars Moravy, vice president of vehicle engineering, told investors at the time.

In January, Musk continued to tease investors with the plan, saying production would begin by the end of next year. He also cautioned it would be hard work, likely requiring sleeping at the factory, a classic signal from him for how momentous things would be.

“I…certainly say things that should be taken with a grain of salt, since I’m often optimistic,” Musk said. “But I am confident that once it is going, it will be head and shoulders above any other manufacturing technology that exists anywhere in the world—it’s next level.”

Then Tuesday’s detour.

Instead of an entirely new production system, Moravy suggested some of the work on the next-generation platform could be salvaged—even if the bold ideas touted last year weren’t happening soon.

“The unboxed manufacturing method is certainly great and revolutionary, but with it comes some risks,” Moravy said. “But all the subsystems we developed, whether it was powertrains, drive units, battery improvements in manufacturing and automation, thermal systems, seating, integration of interior components and reduction of LV controllers, all that’s transferable, and that’s what we’re doing, trying to get it in the products as fast as possible.”

Despite the apparent setback, Tesla this past week assured investors its unboxed process is still in the works, even if a timeline wasn’t given and the breadth of applications was unclear. “Our purpose-built robotaxi product will continue to pursue a revolutionary ‘unboxed’ manufacturing strategy,” the company told investors in its earnings report.

It is easy to see parallels with years ago when Musk predicted breakthroughs in Tesla’s manufacturing processes to speed up and reduce costs around building the then-new Model 3, another bet-the-company moment in the company’s short history.

is insistence on extreme automation proved problematic. Musk later acknowledged that the ramp up of the Model 3 production nearly broke the company.

The eventual success of the Model 3 and Model Y helped make Tesla the world’s most valuable automaker and leader in EVs. Those successes add to the case that while Musk’s ambitions don’t always land as promised or as scheduled, he pushes his team to achieve new things that can pay off eventually and set the company apart from rivals.

After Musk’s call with analysts Tuesday, it seemed some investors were willing to wait—even if their patience with Elon Standard Time is being tested anew. Shares rose 14% for the week ended Friday but remain down 32% this year.

A robot future is the future Musk prefers they focus on, anyway.

“If somebody doesn’t believe Tesla is going to solve autonomy,” he said, “I think they should not be an investor in the company.”

WSJ : You Know LVMH for Its Luxury Bags. It’s Also a Titan of Real Estate.

You Know LVMH for Its Luxury Bags. It’s Also a Titan of Real Estate.
The parent of Louis Vuitton and Dior is buying up real estate to control its brands. It is changing city centers from New York to Miami, Paris to Montreal.

MIAMI—On a recent weekday afternoon, the Miami Design District’s many plazas and pedestrian walkways were a spectacle of multicolored murals and sculptures by world-renowned artists, architects and designers. Anchored by a massive geodesic dome designed by Buckminster Fuller, the neighborhood’s main plaza featured swaying palm trees and pastel blue and pink sculptures glistening under an azure sky. Luxury brands were ubiquitous, both in storefronts and on their young, well-heeled clientele, many wearing Hermès sandals, Cartier bracelets, and clutching Louis Vuitton and Chanel handbags.

Stores in the 30-acre neighborhood resemble miniature museums, with intricately built facades in metal, colored glass and even tree bark. There are two museums—plus an art school, a hotel, offices and soon residences. This Miami district was created over many years by the private-equity arm of luxury giant LVMH, which transformed the former warehouse district as part of an aggressive global real-estate strategy that is reshaping buildings, neighborhoods and whole city centers.

“All roads lead to real estate,” said Michael Burke, who is head of LVMH Fashion Group, the division that comprises eight of the conglomerate’s fashion brands, including Celine and Loewe, and has long worked on the company’s real-estate projects. When it comes to LVMH’s biggest property investments, he added, “we’re creating a city.”

LVMH, the owner of Louis Vuitton and Dior, has poured billions into properties around the world. In prime locations like Champs-Elysées, Fifth Avenue and Rodeo Drive, the company buys buildings to ensure its brands can remain in locations where they have spent decades building a presence. In up-and-coming areas like the Design District, LVMH largely dictates the neighborhood experience, from the location of trees, to which tenants are allowed in, to what artworks dot the many plazas and even the types of events that are held there.

LVMH’s massive scale and deep pockets offer it a degree of control that is unmatched in the global luxury market. It’s a case of an industry leader pressing its advantage with potentially long-term consequences for rivals, customers and other real-estate developers. It’s also a massive bet that in-person retail will persist in the face of online shopping’s inexorable rise.

LVMH uses its own money to fund smaller real-estate developments like individual buildings. For bigger undertakings like the Design District, it also invests via L Catterton, a private-equity firm in which LVMH owns a 40% stake together with the family office of the company’s chief executive, Bernard Arnault, the world’s richest person.

The partnership with L Catterton reassures LVMH investors who want the company to focus its attention and resources primarily on luxury goods. It also allows for arm’s-length transactions with the company’s competitors, which Burke called necessary complements to LVMH brands in large, mixed-use luxury shopping centers.

In the Design District, LVMH claimed two of the four prime corners for Louis Vuitton and Dior, while the other two are occupied by Hermès and Cartier—both competitors.

“If we don’t have the competitors, we don’t have a new city,” said Burke.

Career detour
Burke, 67 years old, has been at Arnault’s side since before there was an LVMH—back when the luxury-goods CEO was a real-estate developer.

In the early 1980s after years of developing commercial real estate in France at his father’s company, Ferret-Savinel, Arnault set his sights on the U.S. He hired Burke to help, who had recently landed an internship with Jean Léon Arnault, Bernard Arnault’s father.

“He needed some young kid who was fluent in English,” said Burke, a son of an Irish-American father and a French mother.

Low-key and understated, Burke switches between French and English with ease. He is based in Paris, but spends time at his waterfront home in Miami Beach. Colleagues know him as an astute negotiator who possesses a rare combination of business acumen and a fine-arts sensibility. During the decade he served as CEO of Louis Vuitton, Burke tripled the brand’s revenue.

Burke’s and Arnault’s careers took a sharp detour in 1984, when Arnault, by then president of his father’s company, purchased Boussac, a bankrupt French textile company that owned the fashion brand Christian Dior.

That purchase launched Arnault’s career in the luxury-goods business and vastly expanded his real-estate empire. Boussac owned two Paris retail institutions that Arnault coveted: Le Bon Marché and La Belle Jardinière, some of the oldest department stores in the world. Arnault, now 75, still runs Le Bon Marché, and La Belle Jardinière now houses the offices of Louis Vuitton. It is one of the anchors of the Pont Neuf neighborhood, which LVMH has spent more than 15 years and about 750 million euros (about $800 million) redeveloping.

“We were reluctant real-estate developers,” said Burke, referring to Arnault and himself. “We were frustrated architects.”

They often partner with Pritzker Prize-winning architects. Frank Gehry designed the Louis Vuitton Foundation Museum in Paris and has designed a series of luxury handbags for the brand.

Gehry is perhaps best known for designing the Guggenheim Bilbao, the museum that led to the coining of the phrase “Bilbao effect”—the idea that word-class architecture can have a place-making effect on a city, contributing to its revitalization and economic growth.

“To this day we’re in awe of Frank Gehry,” said Burke, referring to Arnault and himself. “When you go to his office in L.A. it’s a quasi-religious experience.”

That place-making magic is part of what LVMH wants to harness in its developments.

“We take something that does not exist and when we’re done a city center has been created with the residential, retail, and cultural aspects to it,” said Burke. “Most of our brands were brands that had fallen on hard times. Just like this real estate, we bought it because it was derelict. In ruins.”

Burke says it’s the approach the company used with Dior, which he says was “basically a licensing organization” when Arnault purchased it.

A center of gravity
“It does make sense to create the center of gravity,” said Luca Solca, a luxury-goods analyst at brokerage Bernstein. “You create even more critical mass to attract these consumers.”

In addition to the urban redevelopments, LVMH has spent about €3.5 billion since 2007 acquiring properties in New York, Los Angeles, London and Paris, according to Bernstein.
LVMH’s competitors are trying similar strategies, albeit on a smaller scale, in places like Paris, London and New York.

But no competitor can match the scope and ambition LVMH brings to real-estate development and urban planning.

LVMH, with a market capitalization of about $400 billion, presides over 75 brands including Moët Hennessy, Dior and Tiffany. That gives it the resources to buy and develop entire communities.

The strategy is primarily focused on creating the most iconic settings possible for the company’s brands.

“We make handbags, we’re vintners. It sounds like a hodgepodge,” said Burke. “It all makes sense when you say we’re urban planners. Good urban planning is taking all aspects of life and lifestyle and bringing them together in one place.”

The company spent about €2 billion last year acquiring properties in Paris, according to Bernstein, mostly on Avenue des Champs-Elysées, where it is redeveloping its Louis Vuitton flagship and other major retail locations ahead of the Paris Olympics this summer.

A more extensive project concluded in 2021, when the renovated La Samaritaine department store reopened in a somewhat neglected area near the Louvre Museum. LVMH’s renovations reduced the 19th-century department store’s retail footprint by two-thirds and added a hotel from its five-star Cheval Blanc brand, a children’s daycare and 96 public-housing units.

The company also transformed the surrounding retail district known as Pont Neuf, closing the entrance to an underground parking garage to build a plaza.

To be able to develop high-street real estate in a less luxurious neighborhood like this one, said Burke, LVMH needed to assemble a critical mass—enough land that they could control the entire area and therefore elevate the experience to something that would be a fitting environment for their luxury brands.

“Everyone thought we were crazy by putting a Cheval Blanc in that area,” said Burke. “People didn’t realize we had assembled enough square footage to take that risk.”

At an awards ceremony last year in France, Arnault said his real-estate experience taught him to combine entrepreneurship and creativity in projects to add a “creative, inventive dimension that made them stand out.” It’s a philosophy that Burke says is core to the way the company rehabs the brands it buys, and the communities it redevelops.

Urban planning
In 2010, Burke said, he persuaded Arnault to deepen the company’s real-estate investments with a foray into urban planning. The pitch: a partnership with a local developer to redevelop a Miami warehouse district into a luxury shopping destination.

Burke and Miami developer Craig Robins felt the luxury-goods operator could create buzz in the neighborhood by merging luxury-goods sellers with the local artists who inhabited the district.

Arnault was an easy sell, but executives at the company’s brands opposed the idea because it required them to move out of the area’s dominant luxury mall, Bal Harbour Shops, and into a gritty, underdeveloped environment. Now, says Burke, some of those same brands are competing for more space in the Design District, which many report is their top-performing U.S. store.

In New York, the iconic Tiffany flagship reopened last spring after a three-year renovation that some analysts estimate cost $500 million. The interior windows of the ground-floor showroom where Audrey Hepburn’s character shopped in the 1961 film “Breakfast At Tiffany’s” have been replaced by video screens that project scenes of Central Park and the Manhattan skyline.

The luxury conglomerate’s strategy carries risks. The return on investment in real estate is relatively low. The industry is currently beset by increased construction costs, skyrocketing insurance premiums and interest rates, and plummeting office market values. Last year LVMH conceded defeat after losing a voter referendum to redevelop a Beverly Hills, Calif., property it bought in 2018 for $245 million into a Cheval Blanc hotel.

In 2017, L Catterton jumped into a $2 billion redevelopment project in the Vancouver suburbs, in a predominantly blue-collar neighborhood where a local developer was turning an old shopping mall into a master-planned neighborhood with retail, residences and offices.

The project never took off as a luxury-shopping destination, and high-end retailers, including Louis Vuitton, instead ended up committing to another mall-redevelopment project in a more affluent area.

Like all real-estate developers, LVMH also contends with its share of community pushback. Its Pont Neuf redevelopment in Paris faced lawsuits over their plan to demolish and redevelop one of the facades of La Samaritaine with a modern, undulating glass design. And in Montreal, local residents worry that a large retail project will snarl traffic and cannibalize the city’s downtown.

In that city, LVMH, through L Catterton, is working with a local developer who spent years acquiring 80 acres of land in what used to be a light-industrial part of the city’s center. The $1.5 billion first phase of Royalmount, a luxury mixed-use retail development scheduled to open this year, is to include shopping, dining, an open-air central park and an elevated highline-style walkway.

In a promotional video for the development, Burke said Montreal was the only other city where he saw as much potential as he’d seen in Miami for this kind of project.

LVMH’s influence is clear. L Catterton’s real-estate head, Mathieu Le Bozec, is the former head of an LVMH real-estate affiliate that merged with Catterton in 2016 to create L Catterton.

“We don’t do a project unless we’ve spoken to LVMH,” Le Bozec said.