>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Bank of America (BAC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Research Partners; tgt $48
    • Comerica (CMA) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Raymond James; tgt $60
  • Downgrades:
    • CrowdStrike (CRWD) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $400
    • CS Disco (LAW) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $5
    • D.R. Horton (DHI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; tgt lowered to $156
    • Fiverr (FVRR) downgraded/assumed to Neutral from Buy at UBS; tgt lowered to $25
    • Goldman Sachs (GS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Seaport Research Partners
    • Incyte (INCY) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt lowered to $48
    • Lennar (LEN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; tgt lowered to $164
    • Lennar (LEN) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
  • Others:
    • Bank of Montreal (BMO) initiated with a Neutral at UBS
    • Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) initiated with a Neutral at UBS
    • CGI Group (GIB) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies; tgt $120
    • CIBC (CM) initiated with a Neutral at UBS
    • Gauzy (GAUZ) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley Securities; tgt $21
    • GE Vernova (GEV) initiated with a Neutral at Redburn Atlantic; tgt $178
    • Life360 (LIF) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $37
    • MiMedx Group (MDXG) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald; tgt $11

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • MSM -1.6%
Other news:
  • RNAC -17.6% (announced topline results from its Phase 2b trial of Descartes-08 in patients with generalized myasthenia gravis; announces $130 million private placement equity financing; first patient dosed in phase 2 trial of descartes-08 in systematic lupus erythematosus)
  • AZTR -8.5% (files mixed shelf and secondary stock offering)
  • DHX -4.4% (to reduce workforce by around 7%)
  • EBR -3.2% (concluded the sale of a 49% minority stake in the share capital of the 15 Special Purpose Companies)
  • ARDX -3.2% (announces that, in an effort to preserve patient access to its phosphate absorption inhibitor XPHOZAH, the Company has chosen not to apply to include XPHOZAH in the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services End-Stage Renal Disease Prospective Payment System Transitional Drug Add-on Payment Adjustment)
  • YMAB -2.3% (appoints new CFO)
  • LOGI -2% (proposes board member changes; company nominates new directors to board chairperson informs board of 2025 transition plan)
  • ALVO -1.9% (issues new shares to holders of convertible bonds)
  • ARCT -1.6% (provides updates for two of its programs)
  • FERG -1.5% (provides notice of cancellation and replacement of uk listing in connection with new corporate structure to achieve a U.S. domicile)
  • TLNE -1.1% (announces additional repurchase of common stock)
  • CDXS -1% (to acquire disease compounds from Crosswalk Therapeutics)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
News:
  • EXEL +5.4% (Ipsen (IPSEY) expands collaboration and license agreement with Exelixis for the development of Cabometyx)
  • OPAL +2.7% (COO to resign)
  • LVO +2% (stock offering)
  • OLP +1.9% (will realize a gain of approximately $2.1 million from sale of a vacant retail property located in Kennesaw, Georgia)
  • LXRX +1.8% (modified the existing financial covenants relating to net sales of INPEFA (sotagliflozin) and minimum cash reserves and increasing the final payment due upon prepayment or maturity of the loans thereunder)
  • AORT +1.8% (amends agreements with Endospan)
  • OWL +1.8% (announces completion of its acquisition of Kuvare Insurance Services)
  • ADEA +1.3% (multi-year license agreement with X corp)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 2nd of July 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Ibstock Raised to Outperform at Davy (+)
* NN Group Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 62 euros
* Siemens Energy Raised to Buy at Redburn; PT 41.99 euros
* SIF Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 17.25 euros
* Teleperformance Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* TGS Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 245 kroner

>>> Down
* ASR Nederland Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 52 euros
* Aumann Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 17 euros
* Cargotec Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 39 euros
* Kuehne + Nagel Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays

>>> Initiation
* Belimo Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Clariant Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 16.80 Swiss francs
* Engie Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 18.20 euros
* Kalmar Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 34 euros
* Kalmar Rated New Buy at Nordea; PT 33 euros
* Novo ADRs Rated New Underperform at Jefferies; PT $82.50
* PureTech Health Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT 455 pence

>>> Call
* RBC’s Calvasina ‘Nervously’ Raises S&P 500 Price Target to 5,700
* Clariant’s Stronger Margin Outlook Earns Buy Rating at Berenberg
* Teleperformance Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, AI Risks Overstated
* TSMC Capex Estimates for 2024-25 Boosted at UBS on AI Needs
* Hedge Funds Net Sell Global Stocks Fastest in Two Years: Goldman
* Hedge Funds Sold TMT Stocks by Most on Record, Goldman Says
* NN Group Upgraded at JPMorgan, While ASR Nederland Rating Cut (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.7%
    • Siemens Energy Seeks Over 10,000 New Hires By 2030: FT
  • Zealand Pharma (22Z TH) +1.4%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +1.3%
  • AstraZeneca (ZEG TH) -1%
  • Bechtle (BC8 TH) -1%
  • Michelin (MCHA TH) -1%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -1.6%
    • TUI Offering by Holder Prices at EU6.30/Share
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) -1.6%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.9%
    • Siemens Energy Seeks Over 10,000 New Hires by 2030: FT
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +0.7%
    • Leonardo in JV Talks With Rheinmetall for Italy Tanks: Sole
MDAX:
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +4.8%
    • JPMORGAN REMOVES HELLOFRESH FROM ‘NEGATIVE CATALYST WATCH’: APA
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +1.9%
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +1.7%
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +1.2%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -1.4%
    • TUI Offering by Holder Prices at EU6.30/Share
  • Bechtle (BC8 TH) -1.5%
SDAX:
  • Mutares (MUX TH) +6%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +2.7%
  • Duerr (DUE TH) +1%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) -0.7%

>>> What to look at today - 2nd of July 2024

Japanese shares rose in Asia, as financial stocks gained from the prospect of higher lending rates, sending a Japan equity benchmark closer to a record high.    Bank and insurance stocks in Japan were among the largest contributors to the Topix index’s gain, after domestic 10-year yields continued their rise above 1% on bets that the central bank will raise policy rates. Hong Kong stocks also advanced after Chinese electric vehicle makers gained following stronger sales and deliveries for June.  Most other regional benchmarks fluctuated in a narrow range as traders weighed the possibility of another Donald Trump presidency in the wake of his debate with Joe Biden last week. Equities in Australia and South Korea slipped. Contracts for US stocks slipped during Asian hours, despite Wall Street edging higher Monday amid a rally in tech megacaps. The greenback strengthened against all of its Group-of-10 peers, while 10-year Treasury yields consolidated after rising seven basis points Monday to approach 4.5%.  The prospect of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike coming later this month increased after an index showed confidence among the nation’s large manufacturers rose from three months earlier. Vanguard sees the yen at risk of falling toward 170 per dollar if potential BOJ policy changes this month fail to boost the country’s bond yields.
In China, pessimism about the domestic economy has sparked a surge in demand for government debt. The central bank said it will borrow government bonds from primary dealers, a sign it may be contemplating selling securities to cool down the rally. After last week’s debate hurt his chances of winning reelection, Wall Street strategists are urging clients to position for sticky inflation and higher long-term bond yields.  Meanwhile, Biden called on voters to “render a judgment” on Trump, after a Supreme Court ruling paved the way for the presumptive Republican presidential nominee to potentially escape prosecution for his role in the Jan. 6 US Capitol riot. The selloff in Treasuries “continued overnight as the rates market starts to price in a Trump election victory, which would likely see continued federal deficits and potentially higher inflation,” said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia. “Higher US Treasury yields will bring with it a stronger US dollar, both of which would be problematic for many Asian share markets. In Europe, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde signaled that there is not sufficient evidence that inflation threats have passed, feeding expectations that officials will take a break from cutting interest rates this month. The euro was little changed after French election results suggested there’s a smaller probability of extreme policies coming from the far-right. In commodities, oil traded near a two-month high on escalating Middle East tensions and concerns over the Atlantic hurricane season as Beryl is named a category 5 hurricane. Elsewhere, gold was little changed. US After Hours Relatively quiet session; SAVE +0.7% up on new CFO announcement; ADEA -0.8% down on license agreement with X Corp (formerly Twitter).

Nikkei +1.05% Hang Seng +0.40% CSI -0.06% Shanghai +0.12% Shenzen -0.56%

Eur$ 1.0732 CNH 7.3057 CNY 7.2712 JPY 161.63 GBP 1.2634 CHF 0.9039 RUB 856.8545 TRY 32.6678 WTI$ 83.51 +0.48% Gold 2,325.32 -0.30% BTC 63,118 -0.15% ETH 3,456

S&P -0.13% Nasdaq -0.20% EuroStoxx -0.04% FTSE -0.30% Dax -0.12% SMI -0.20%

Macro :
- Activist Investor Campaigns Hit Record High, Driven by Japan
- Hedge Funds Net Sell Global Stocks Fastest in Two Years: Goldman
- Hedge Funds Sold TMT Stocks by Most on Record, Goldman Says

Keep an eye on :
- AIR FP : Airbus Delivered Preliminary Total of 67 Planes in June: Reuters
- AI FP : Air Liquide to Simplify Organization Effective Sept. 1
- BAKKA NO : Bakkafrost Reports Prelim 2Q Results
- BRK/A US : Itochu to Distribute Berkshire-Owned Duracell Batteries in Japan
- CARM FP : Carmila: Closing of the Acquisition of Galimmo SCA
- CA FP : Carrefour Raises Cora, Match Synergy Target to €130m by 2027
- DSV DC : DSV, CVC Seen as Lead Contenders for Schenker After Maersk Drops
- EDF FP : EDF to Change Small Nuclear Reactor Design in Fresh Setback
- EDPR PL : EDP Renewables to Expand Footprint in Japan Via Solar Project
- ELIS FP : Elis: Elis Closes the Acquisition of Wonway in Malaysia
- ELE SM : Masdar, Apollo Final Bidders for Endesa Portfolio: Expansion
- EQT SS : EQT Is Said to Near Deal for Stake in €3 Billion Greyhound Owner
- FIE GY : Fielmann Gains as Earlier-than-Expected US Deal Boosts Outlook
- GIVN SW : Givaudan Completes Acquisition of B.kolormakeup & Skincare
- GUBRA DC : Gubra’s Rally Puts Spotlight on Obesity Drug Pipeline
- IPN FP : Ipsen, Exelixis Expand Cabometyx Collaboration and License Deal
- LDO IM : Leonardo in JV Talks With Rheinmetall for Italy Tanks: Sole
- LLB SW : LLB to Buy Zuercher Kantonalbank Austria; No Terms
- META US : Meta DMA Scrutiny Could Be $2-$3 Billion Hit for EU Sales: React
- NFLX US : Ron Howard and Brian Grazer's Imagine Entertainment Seeks Buyer -- WSJ
- NB2 GY : Northern Data Weighs AI Unit US IPO at Up to $16 Billion Value
- PARA US : Barry Diller expresses interest in Redstone family firm (and Paramount controlling shareholder)
- PSH NA : Pershing Square Holdings June Net Performance -1.5%
- RNO FP : Renault’s Ampere Partners with LG, CATL on LFP Batteries
- RNO FP : LG Energy Solution Signs 39GWh Battery Supply Deal With Renault
- RHM GY : Leonardo in JV Talks With Rheinmetall for Italy Tanks: Sole
- CFR SW : Richemont Names Louis Ferla CEO of Cartier From Sept. 1
- ROG SW : Roche Treatment Granted Orphan Drug Status by FDA
- SW FP : Sodexo 3Q Revenue Misses Estimates
- STLA IM : Italy June New Car Sales Rise 15.02% Y/y
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia NetCo Sale Completion Puts Focus on M&A: React
- TUI1 GY : TUI Holder Link Market Services Trustees Offers 7.4M Shrs: Terms
- VK FP : Vallourec Gets Approval for Phase 1 Mine Extension in Brazil

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 2nd of July 2024

>>> Up
* NN Group Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 62 euros
* Siemens Energy Raised to Buy at Redburn; PT 41.99 euros
* SIF Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 17.25 euros
* Teleperformance Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* TGS Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 245 kroner

>>> Down
* ASR Nederland Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 52 euros
* Aumann Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 17 euros
* Cargotec Cut to Sell at Inderes; PT 39 euros
* Kuehne + Nagel Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays

>>> Initiation
* Belimo Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Clariant Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 16.80 Swiss francs
* Engie Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 18.20 euros
* Kalmar Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 34 euros
* Kalmar Rated New Buy at Nordea; PT 33 euros
* Novo ADRs Rated New Underperform at Jefferies; PT $82.50
* PureTech Health Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT 455 pence

>>> Call
* RBC’s Calvasina ‘Nervously’ Raises S&P 500 Price Target to 5,700
* Clariant’s Stronger Margin Outlook Earns Buy Rating at Berenberg
* Teleperformance Upgraded at Morgan Stanley, AI Risks Overstated
* TSMC Capex Estimates for 2024-25 Boosted at UBS on AI Needs
* Hedge Funds Net Sell Global Stocks Fastest in Two Years: Goldman
* Hedge Funds Sold TMT Stocks by Most on Record, Goldman Says

WSJ : Raids Find Luxury Handbags Being Made by Exploited Workers in Italy

Raids Find Luxury Handbags Being Made by Exploited Workers in Italy
Milan court criticizes Dior, Armani for failing to adequately oversee their supply chains following investigation

A series of raids in Italy has exposed the contrast between the glamorous world of Milan’s catwalks and some of the realities of luxury-goods production.

An investigation by Milan prosecutors into working conditions at local factories found workshops making handbags and other leather goods for Dior CDI -0.82%decrease; red down pointing triangle and Armani used exploited foreign labor to produce the high-end products at a fraction of their retail price.

Dior paid a supplier €53 apiece, roughly $57, to assemble a handbag that it sells in stores for €2,600, or about $2,780, according to documents examined as part of the probe. Armani bags, meanwhile, were sold to a supplier for €93, then resold to Armani for €250, and ultimately priced at around €1,800 in stores, the probe found. The cost prices don’t include leather or other raw materials. The companies separately cover the costs of design, distribution and marketing.

Some of the raided workshops, all of which were in Italy, were also making products for other fashion brands, prosecutors said.

“Why does it cost so little to manufacture the product?” said Fabio Roia, president of Milan’s court system, which has overseen the probe. “The brands need to ask themselves this question.”

Court rulings stemming from the investigation criticized the luxury companies for failing to adequately oversee their supply chains. The companies don’t face charges related to these findings. Some of the independently owned suppliers, however, could face charges for worker exploitation and employing workers without proper documentation.

Dior, owned by luxury giant LVMH, declined to comment. The brand recently submitted a memorandum outlining measures to resolve issues in its supply chain, court documents show.

Armani said it had “control and prevention measures in place to minimize abuses in the supply chain,” and that it was “collaborating with the utmost transparency” with authorities.

The Italian investigation highlights a distinctly modern issue in the luxury industry. While other sectors have moved manufacturing to China and other low-wage countries, many luxury brands kept production closer to home, believing it was crucial to their appeal. But despite being stamped with the “Made in Italy” label, prosecutors allege that some luxury goods are made by foreign workers, many of whom are Chinese, under conditions that fall far short of legal standards.

The probe comes as many aspirational shoppers—who have driven a luxury boom in recent years—cool spending on high-end products, deterred by a tougher economic environment and rising prices.

Luxury goods are able to command high price tags in part because of an expectation that they are made by skilled workers in artisanal workshops. In reality, while brands keep product design and development in-house, they often outsource production to suppliers.

Much of that happens in Italy, which is home to thousands of small manufacturers and produces some 50% to 55% of the world’s luxury clothing and leather goods, according to consulting firm Bain.

In recent years, many luxury brands have worked to better control their supply chain to mitigate reputational risk, control quality and abide by new European regulations intended to curb the fashion industry’s impact on the environment. One challenge is that suppliers often contract work to third parties, who sometimes subcontract themselves.

As a result of the Italian investigation, judges in June placed Manufactures Dior SRL—a unit of Dior—under so-called court administration after ruling that its supply chain included Chinese-owned firms in Italy that mistreated migrant workers. The same measure was taken against Armani in April and Alviero Martini, known for its map-print bags and other items, in January.

Court administration is a legal provision originally intended as a way to monitor companies infiltrated by organized crime groups. Under the process, special commissioners are appointed to oversee operations and provide updates to the court on a company’s progress on resolving issues.

Alviero Martini said it was “surprised and disturbed” to learn the findings of the probe, and that two of more than 40 suppliers had illegitimately outsourced parts of the production to third parties without its knowledge.

The company said that its production chain is vast and fragmented, as is typical of the sector, making it a challenge to directly control.

The court ruling related to Dior focused on four Milan-area companies in Dior’s supply chain, two of which directly supplied the brand. The workshops producing the goods employed dozens of workers, including at least two illegal immigrants and seven who were employed off the books, prosecutors said.

Inspections by Italian police in March and April found workers subject to “hygiene and health conditions that are below the minimum required by an ethical approach,” the judges wrote in a 34-page court order.

Workers often operated machines from which safety devices had been removed to increase productivity, compromising safety, prosecutors said. Workers also lived, ate and slept at the workshop. Electricity consumption data indicated that employees typically worked from dawn until after 9 p.m., including on weekends and holidays.

When investigators arrived at one facility, prosecutors said three off-the-books workers attempted to escape by climbing over a fence. They were quickly apprehended. At that workshop and at others, investigators examined documents showing the price brands paid suppliers for each product made.

The court ruling against Armani lays out how one of its subsidiaries, GA Operations, hired two subcontractors, which in turn hired a number of Chinese-owned subcontractors in Italy. Investigators interviewed workers who said they were paid as little as €2-€3 an hour to work long days. That wage is far lower than the level stipulated by the collective bargaining agreement covering the sector, the court ruling said.

Fabio Becheri, a marketing executive who previously worked at Gucci and its owner Kering for almost 20 years, said consumers are increasingly well-informed, and that the use of allegedly unethical labor practices to make a high-end item could be a turn off for them.

“The customer expectation is really high, especially when you are increasing the price so aggressively,” Becheri said.

Roia, the president of Milan’s court system, said he is working on a proposed program for fashion brands to beef up checks on suppliers.

“They have to be responsible for the entire chain,” Roia said. “That’s the only way we can stop this system that leads to the exploitation of workers.”