Uranium names trading lower pre-market following Kazatomprom earnings and production update
- Net profit in the first half of 2024 increased 27% compared to the same period of 2023 amounting to KZT 283,244 million (KZT 222,333 million in the first half of 2023). Such increase is due to a higher share of net profit from JVs and associates in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period of 2023, which is mainly driven by the rise in the average selling price of these entities associated with an increase in spot prices for U3O8, as well as an increase in other incomes as mentioned above.
- During the first half of 2024 the Group's consolidated revenue was KZT 701,120 million, an increase of 13% compared to the same period of 2023 (KZT 618,744 million in the first half of 2023)
- Kazatomprom has previously warned that if limited access to sulphuric acid continues throughout this year, and should the Company not succeed in catching up with the construction works schedule at the newly developed deposits in 2024, Kazatomprom's 2025 production plan may also be affected. The Company is now adjusting its initial intentions for 2025 production volumes of 30,500 - 31,500 tU (100% basis). Kazatomprom's 2025 production is now expected to be between 25,000 and 26,500 tU (100% basis), an approximately 12% growth compared to its 2024 guidance.
- A significant portion of the adjusted 2025 production is attributed to JV Budenovskoye LLP's production delays as specified above. JV Budenovskoye LLP's 2025 production is expected at 1,300 tU instead of the previously approved 4,000 tU (more than a 65% decrease).
- Continuing uncertainty in relation to sulphuric acid supplies for 2025 has significantly impacted the Company's 2025 production plans. Due to different geological features of the deposits, consequences of 2023-2024 sulphuric acid deficit have a different degree of impact on uranium mining entities and their production rates. While all uranium-mining entities are supplied with acid volumes equally proportioned to their requirements (to minimize the risk of harm to the uranium mining process and geological structure of the deposit), depending on the geological structure of the deposits, the same amount of undersupply of sulphuric acid to different blocks can have varying effects on production rates.
- As a result, it is expected that in 2025 mining entities will have different percentage rate decreases compared to the levels stipulated in the Subsoil Use Agreements within the acceptable 20% deviation. If changes to Subsoil Use Agreements of certain mining entities as specified above are approved and corresponding Ammendments to Subsoil Use Agreements are signed, these entities are expected to result in producing at 100% level of their revised Subsoil Use Agreements.
- Related stocks: URA, CCJ, NLR, CEG, SMR, UUUU