FT : Sirius Real Estate strikes Germany deal as it targets €1bn in defence inves

Sirius Real Estate strikes Germany deal as it targets €1bn in defence investments
FTSE 250 group to acquire site mostly let to Rheinmetall for almost €100mn

Sirius Real Estate is acquiring a business park in Germany for close to €100mn, as part of a plan to increase its bet on the booming defence sector to about €1bn over the next 18 months.

The FTSE 250 company is buying a Kiel property that is mostly let to Rheinmetall, the German defence group, and others across the defence, infrastructure, testing and automation sectors, for €93.6mn. It is buying the site from Union Investment, one of Germany’s largest asset managers.

The acquisition comes as some real estate companies seek to capitalise on a sector that has mushroomed in recent years as European states bolster their defence spending.

The industry “has dire needs for property”, said Andrew Coombs, Sirius’s chief executive, adding it “makes more sense to sell the real estate to us” so companies can continue investing in their operations.

Including the Kiel property, Sirius has spent more than €170mn over the past year on defence-related acquisitions in the UK and Germany and planned to boost that figure to €1bn over the next 12 to 18 months, Coombs said.

Rheinmetall researches and develops electrical systems for land vehicles at the Kiel site while the tenant at the UK business park in Bedford makes parts for ejector seats in military jets.

Coombs said Sirius, which has a market capitalisation of £1.4bn and also owns offices and industrial developments, was on the hunt for sites specialising in manufacturing and research, except for explosive materials or bombs. “If it goes ‘bang’ it’s not us,” he said.

He is focused on the UK and Germany as well as companies whose factories can’t easily be located elsewhere, due to the experience of the local workforce or being located near similar businesses.

Rheinmetall has been investing heavily across technologies and geographies in its quest to emulate big US defence contractors, the FT has reported.

Its order backlog — an important measure of future income for defence contractors — reached a new high of almost €64bn, it was recently reported, and the company said that sales were forecast to increase at least 40 per cent this year to about €14bn.

Anticipating a rise in demand from defence companies, Sirius last year appointed a retired major general in the British Army as a strategic adviser. Its £77mn fundraising in February was four times oversubscribed, Coombs said. He added that institutional investors such as pension groups had become more comfortable investing in Sirius.

In light of the wars with Russia and Iran, “the climate has shifted, people want to defend our way of life”, he said. “There’s a return of Germany as the backbone of European defence.”

In recent weeks, he said he had fielded calls from US private equity groups asking how to become involved in the sector, while demand has been rising among potential tenants.

Coombs called on the UK to invest more in defence, such as issuing “defence innovation bonds”, which would be similar to those issued during the second world war.

FT : UK government on verge of full nationalisation of British Steel

UK government on verge of full nationalisation of British Steel
Talks with Chinese owner Jingye continue while losses mount

The UK government is on the verge of fully nationalising British Steel, almost a year on from using emergency legislation to take control of the business, three people close to the situation said.

Last year a special measures bill granted the government emergency powers to take control of the business and safeguard jobs amid fears that Chinese owner Jingye was running down the site after halting coke imports.

But British Steel is heavily lossmaking and the government spent £377mn between April and the end of January to keep it afloat. The National Audit Office has warned that this could hit £615mn by June and £1.5bn by 2028 if current spending continues.

Jingye still has economic control of British Steel, meaning the government is legally unable to sell all or part of the business or make decisions about its strategy. One person familiar with the situation said that nationalisation was a “necessary step” for British Steel’s future.

The government is now considering how to use legislation to take legal control of the business. The person familiar with the situation said the government’s recent move to designate steel as a “strategic national asset” could pave the way for the government to use national security laws to force through nationalisation.

Jingye rejected a £100mn offer for British Steel from the government last month and had originally demanded more than £1bn in compensation.

A senior UK government official said negotiations with Jingye were still active and taking place in good faith: “There is clearly a defined timeline, they cannot go on forever.” British Steel declined to comment.

A government spokesperson said: “We have been clear that safeguarding UK steelmaking is our priority. We continue to engage with the owner to find a solution that protects workers, production and the national interest, and we will not comment further while discussions are ongoing.”

Gareth Stace, director-general at industry group UK Steel, said the industry would “strongly welcome” the full nationalisation of British Steel. “This would provide vital certainty for the workforce, the company’s customers and the wider supply chain at a critical moment.”

British Steel’s Scunthorpe site is home to Britain’s last two operating blast furnaces and produces 95 per cent of the steel used on UK rail tracks. The government favours a shift to greener electric arc furnaces but this transition would cost thousands of jobs.

Britain’s other major steelmaker, Tata Steel, has announced plans to shift to electric arc furnaces at its Port Talbot site in Wales but at the cost of £1.25bn and thousands of jobs. The government has already provided a £500mn grant to Tata Steel to fund the transition as part of a wider £2.5bn package of support for the UK steel sector.

Against a volatile backdrop of US tariffs and the UK’s high energy costs, the government this month announced its much delayed steel strategy, focused on reworking trade quotas designed to protect steelmakers from a glut of Chinese imports.

Michael Flacks, a Manchester-born turnaround investor, has expressed an interest in acquiring British Steel and combining it with other European steel operations. Bankers have also been sounding out interest from other strategic partners, but people close to the situation said that it was a moot point until the government had the legal ability to actually sell the business.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of March 2026 V3(++)

>>> Up
* AMD Raised to Buy at Phillip Secs; PT $280
* Carnival Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $30.10
* Colgate-Palmolive Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $98
* Compass Group Raised to Neutral at BNP Paribas; PT 2,150 pence
* Elekta Reinstated Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 70 kronor
* Expedia Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $300
* Ferragamo Raised to Outperform at Bernstein (+)
* ID Logistics Group SACA Raised to Buy at IDMidcaps; PT 482 euros
* Klepierre Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 41.80 euros
* Land Sec. Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 690 pence
* Montea Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
* Nokia Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 8 euros
* Nokia ADRs Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT $9.20
* Orsted Raised to Buy at BofA
* Sagax Raised to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 170 kronor
* Sartorius Stedim Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 214 euros
* Secunet Security Networks Raised to Buy at mwb research AG (++)
* Segro Raised to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 700 pence
* Sodexo Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 55 euros
* Swedish Logistic Property Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen
* YPF ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $60

>>> Down
* BFF Bank Cut to Reduce at Equita; PT 2.50 euros (++)
* BFF Bank Cut to Underperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 2.75 euros (++)
* Big Yellow Group Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 860 pence
* CTP Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 17 euros
* Electrolux Cut to Underperform at BofA (+)
* Hexatronic Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 33 kronor
* Kardex: UBS abaisse à 357 (360) CHF - buy
* Kinnevik Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 52 kronor (+)
* Redcare Pharmacy NV Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 40 euros (+)
* Richemont: UBS abaisse à 182 (205) CHF - buy

>>> Initiation
* Alcoa Rated New Outperform at CICC; PT $73.20
* FuboTV Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $13
* Fuller Smith & Turner Rated New Buy at Shore Capital (+)
* Liberty Formula One Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens
* Live Nation Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $190
* Netflix Rated New Market Perform at Citizens
* Sphere Entertainment Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens
* TKO Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $240

>>> Call
* CTP Set for Another Soft Year, Oddo BHF Downgrades to Neutral
* Ferragamo Raised to Outperform at Bernstein on Turnaround (+)
* Hexatronic Slips as SEB Equities Cuts on Cost, Macro Headwinds (++)
* Klepierre, Landsec Upgraded to Buy at Goldman on Retail Exposure (+)
* Kinnevik Slips as SEB Cuts to Hold, Slashes Price Target (++)
* Mildef Jumps as Dagens Industri Recommends Stock After Slump (++)
* Orsted Jumps Most Since November After BofA Upgrades on Outlook (++)
* Serica Energy Gains After Canaccord Boosts PT to Street-High (++)
* Sodexo Resetting Expectations, Upgraded to Buy at Jefferies

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Adecoagro (AGRO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS, tgt $16.20
    • Analog Devices (ADI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Arete, tgt $389
    • Badger Meter (BMI) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird, tgt $173
    • Banco Santander Chile (BSAC) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, tgt $40
    • Carnival (CCL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at HSBC, tgt $30.10
    • Celsius (CELH) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank, tgt $44
    • Colgate-Palmolive (CL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank, tgt $98
    • CrowdStrike (CRWD) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research, tgt $450
    • Expedia (EXPE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies, tgt $300
    • Group 1 Automotive (GPI) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Benchmark, tgt $425
    • Insmed (INSM) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $212
    • Instacart (CART) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies, tgt $45
    • Macerich (MAC) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at Scotiabank, tgt $22
    • Nokia (NOK) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman
    • Novanta (NOVT) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird, tgt $144
    • Openlane (OPLN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast, tgt $34
    • Salvatore Ferragamo (SFRGY) upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at Bernstein
    • SLM (SLM) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Compass Point, tgt $22
    • Sodexo (SDXAY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies
    • South32 (SOUHY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
  • Downgrades:
    • Boston Scientific (BSX) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James, tgt $88
    • BYD Electronic (BYDIF) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
    • Dole (DOLE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank, tgt $15
    • Hartford (HIG) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette, tgt $149
    • Nomad Foods (NOMD) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank, tgt $10
    • Ovintiv (OVV) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup, tgt $62
  • Others:
    • Alcoa (AA) initiated with an Outperform at CICC, tgt $73.20
    • CBIZ (CBZ) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital, tgt $33
    • Crescent Capital BDC (CCAP) initiated with a Neutral at B. Riley, tgt $13.50
    • Forestar Group (FOR) assumed with a Neutral at BTIG
    • FuboTV (FUBO) initiated with an Outperform at Citizens, tgt $13
    • Guardian Pharmacy (GRDN) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies, tgt $44
    • Liberty Formula One (FWONA) initiated with an Outperform at Citizens, tgt $100
    • Live Nation (LYV) initiated with an Outperform at Citizens, tgt $190
    • Netflix (NFLX) initiated with a Market Perform at Citizens
    • Opus Genetics (IRD) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $15
    • ProPetro Holding (PUMP) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities, tgt $18
    • Qualcomm (QCOM) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman, tgt $135
    • Sanmina (SANM) initiated with a Neutral at JPMorgan, tgt $145
    • Seagate (STX) initiated with an Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $525
    • Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) initiated with an Outperform at Citizens, tgt $150
    • Starbucks (SBUX) initiated with an Underperform at BNP Paribas, tgt $84
    • Sweetgreen (SG) initiated with an Underperform at BNP Paribas, tgt $4.50
    • Sylvamo (SLVM) initiated with a Buy at Truist, tgt $54
    • TKO Group (TKO) initiated with an Outperform at Citizens, tgt $240
    • TSS, Inc. (TSSI) initiated with a Buy at Needham, tgt $16
    • Vor Bio (VOR) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies, tgt $50
    • Voyager Technologies (VOYG) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup, tgt $36
    • Waystar (WAY) initiated with an Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $28

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • FRMI -3.9%, UNCY -0.9%
Other news:
  • VRDN -24.5% (announces positive topline data from the elegrobart REVEAL-1 phase 3 clinical trial in patients with active thyroid eye disease)
  • CAR -9.7% (files for common stock offering; Files prospectus supplement, enters into equity distribution agreement to offer up to 5 mln shares)
  • SYY -4.8% (to acquire Jetro Restaurant Depot in $29.1 bln deal, expands into cash & carry channel; reaffirms FY26 outlook)
  • CCLD -2.6% (discloses cybersecurity incident; highlights preferred conversion progress, reaffirms growth outlook)
  • XIFR -0.9% (files for $300 mln common unit offering)
  • ALTS -0.8% (files to delay 10-K)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • SGML +10.3%, USAR +1%
Other news:
  • ROMA +33% (authorizes $100 mln share repurchase program)
  • UTHR +14.8% (announces that its TETON-1 study evaluating the use of nebulized Tyvaso for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis met its primary efficacy endpoint)
  • IQ +11.7% (proposes Hong Kong listing, authorizes $100 mln buyback)
  • CNTB +11.3% (announces $20.2 million private placement financing; results from a Phase 3 52-week study in patients with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis conducted by the Company's partner in China, Simcere Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. , which were presented during the Late-Breaking Research session of the 2026 American Academy of Dermatology (AAD) Annual Meeting)
  • SGHT +8.2% (secures order on post-trial motions that preserves the Jury's Verdict and awards monetary damages to Sight Sciences against Alcon (ALC) and its Hydrus Microstent)
  • CORT +7.7% (presents data from MOMENTUM trial at American College of Cardiology Annual Scientific Session)
  • ROIV +5.7% (reports New England Journal of Medicine publishes Phase 3 VALOR Trial Results of Brepocitinib in Dermatomyositis)
  • NKTR +4.1% (reports data from Phase 2b REZOLVE-AD and REZOLVE-AA studies of Rezpegaldesleukin presented at 2026 American Academy of Dermatology Annual Meeting)
  • RIO +3.8% (resumes Pilbara iron ore operations after cyclone disruption)
  • ALMS +3.3% (Envudeucitinib delivers early and robust improvements in skin clearance, quality of life and psoriasis symptoms in two Phase 3 Trials, Underscoring Its Potential as a Leading Oral Therapy for Plaque Psoriasis)
  • MLTX +2.5% (reports Week 40 results from its Phase 3 Clinical Trials of Sonelokimab in Hidradenitis Suppurativa at the 2026 AAD Annual Meeting)
  • PANW +2.5% (CEO disclosed the purchase of 68,085 shares at $146.46 - $147.48 worth ~ $10 mln)
  • KYMR +2.2% (presents KT-621 BroADen data in late-breaking research session at the American Academy of Dermatology (AAD) Annual Meeting)
  • TAK +2% (Zasocitinib delivered rapid and durable skin clearance in a convenient once-daily pill, affirming promise to reshape psoriasis care)
  • IDYA +2% (announces first-patient-in for Phase 1 combination study of IDE849, DLL3 TOP1 ADC, and IDE161, PARG Inhibitor, in DLL3 upregulated solid tumor indications, including SCLC, NETs, NECs, and melanoma)
  • ARBK +2% (entered into a subscription facility agreement with controlling shareholder Growler Mining Tuscaloosa providing access to a subscription facility of up to $5mln; has received $2.5 mln in initial proceeds)
  • NPK +1.9% (announces U.S. Army defense segment award)
  • BUR +1.9% (addresses YPF appeal outcome, expects write-down but no cash impact)
  • BTDR +1.8% (partners with DCI to advance Norway AI data center project)
  • ARQT +1.7% (presents new Phase 2 results in infants with atopic dermatitis in late-breaking session at the 2026 American Academy of Dermatology Annual Meeting)
  • ZYME +1.7% (gains FDA Fast Track for ZW191 in ovarian cancer)
  • WBI +1.3% (files for 83,250,000 Class A share offering by selling shareholders)
  • BSX +1.2% (reports HI-PEITHO trial demonstrates EKOS Endovascular System is superior to standard of care for treatment of acute pulmonary embolism; CHAMPION-AF study of the WATCHMAN FLX Left Atrial Appendage Closure Device as a first-line therapy for stroke risk reduction meets all primary and secondary safety and efficacy endpoints)
  • ARWR +1.2% (presents new long-term efficacy and safety data for Plozasiran Across a Spectrum of Hypertriglyceridemia at the American College of Cardiology's 75th Annual Scientific Session and Expo)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • IQ +11.3%, ROMA +10.6%, SGML +6.6%, BUR +5.1%, ALMS +4.9%, NKTR +4.8%, RIO +3.7%, HNRG +2.4%, KYMR +2.2%, BTDR +2.1%, NPK +1.9%, MLTX +1.6%, WBI +1.5%, ARQT +1.4%, GSK +0.9%, NVS +0.9%, RKLB +0.9%, USAS +0.9%
  • Gapping down:
    • CAR -11.2%, ROIV -3.1%, XIFR -2.1%, ARWR -1.9%, SYY -1.8%, SNY -1.5%, NBTX -1%, ALTS -0.8%, NOC -0.8%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of March 2026 V2(+)

>>> Up
* AMD Raised to Buy at Phillip Secs; PT $280
* Carnival Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $30.10
* Colgate-Palmolive Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $98
* Compass Group Raised to Neutral at BNP Paribas; PT 2,150 pence
* Elekta Reinstated Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 70 kronor
* Expedia Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $300
* Ferragamo Raised to Outperform at Bernstein (+)
* ID Logistics Group SACA Raised to Buy at IDMidcaps; PT 482 euros
* Klepierre Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 41.80 euros
* Land Sec. Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 690 pence
* Montea Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
* Nokia Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 8 euros
* Nokia ADRs Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT $9.20
* Orsted Raised to Buy at BofA
* Sagax Raised to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 170 kronor
* Sartorius Stedim Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 214 euros
* Segro Raised to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 700 pence
* Sodexo Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 55 euros
* Swedish Logistic Property Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen
* YPF ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $60

>>> Down
* Big Yellow Group Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 860 pence
* CTP Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 17 euros
* Electrolux Cut to Underperform at BofA (+)
* Hexatronic Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 33 kronor
* Kardex: UBS abaisse à 357 (360) CHF - buy
* Kinnevik Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 52 kronor (+)
* Redcare Pharmacy NV Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 40 euros (+)
* Richemont: UBS abaisse à 182 (205) CHF - buy

>>> Initiation
* Alcoa Rated New Outperform at CICC; PT $73.20
* FuboTV Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $13
* Fuller Smith & Turner Rated New Buy at Shore Capital (+
* Liberty Formula One Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens
* Live Nation Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $190
* Netflix Rated New Market Perform at Citizens
* Sphere Entertainment Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens
* TKO Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $240

>>> Call
* CTP Set for Another Soft Year, Oddo BHF Downgrades to Neutral
* Ferragamo Raised to Outperform at Bernstein on Turnaround (+)
* Klepierre, Landsec Upgraded to Buy at Goldman on Retail Exposure (+)
* Sodexo Resetting Expectations, Upgraded to Buy at Jefferies

>>> What to look at today - 30th of March 2026

Stocks sold off and crude oil climbed as tensions in the Middle East intensified, with Iran-backed Houthi forces entering the conflict and an expanded US military presence raising concerns about a prolonged confrontation. Bonds advanced. Equities in Japan and South Korea slumped more than 3%, while the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 2.4%, as investors cut exposure on concern that higher crude oil prices will weigh on economic growth. US equity-index futures retreated about 0.5%, while contracts for Europe tumbled 1.4%. Brent crude advanced 2.7% to trade above $115 a barrel, bringing year-to-date gains to about 90% as the conflict broadened in its fifth week. Aluminum climbed as much as 6% after Iran attacked two production sites in the Middle East. The moves came as additional US troops arrived in the Middle East, fanning fears of a risky ground attack on Iran. President Donald Trump is weighing a military operation to extract uranium from Iran, the Wall Street Journal reported. Trump hasn’t made a decision on whether to give the order, it said.  After weeks of resilience amid extreme volatility driven by turmoil in crude oil markets as the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, risk assets have begun to show signs of capitulation in recent sessions. Traders are also gauging how prolonged elevated energy costs may affect global economic growth and whether they will force policymakers to keep interest rates higher for longer. Meanwhile, Trump said the US had good negotiations with Iran and the Islamic Republic gave permission for 20 oil vessels to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Trump said he does see a deal with Iran and that could be soon. Even so, Israel struck Tehran anew Sunday and Saudi Arabia intercepted almost a dozen drones, a day after Yemen-based Houthi militants entered the war.  The conflicting comments are adding to the strain in the equity markets. The 3.4% drop in the S&P 500 over Thursday and Friday was its worst two-day decline in a year, leaving the benchmark more than 8% below its January record. The Nasdaq 100’s two-day, slide sent it into a 10% correction. In other corners of the market, gold dropped 0.5% to trade around $4,470 an ounce. A Bloomberg gauge of the dollar strengthened for a fifth day, while Bitcoin traded around $66,600. The yen rose versus its Group-of-10 currency peers after Japan’s currency chief Atsushi Mimura said the nation may take bold action in the foreign-exchange market if current situation continues. Treasuries rose on Monday, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year falling three basis points to 4.40%. Some Wall Street bond-fund managers say markets are underestimating the risk that the US war in Iran will cause a sharp slowdown in an already sputtering economy.  At companies including Pacific Investment Management Co., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Columbia Threadneedle Investments money managers are preparing instead for an economic hit that will eventually trigger a bond-market rebound and cause yields to come sliding back down.  Economists have started to dial back their growth forecasts and nudge up the odds of a recession as higher energy prices, rising borrowing costs and the stock-market slump start to squeeze businesses and consumers. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the probability of a downturn over the next 12 months has risen to about 30%, while Pimco sees a more than one-third chance. Oil may hit a record $200 a barrel if the Iran war drags on until June, with the Strait of Hormuz staying shut, Macquarie Group Ltd. warned. A conflict that stretches through the second quarter would result in historically high real prices, analysts including Vikas Dwivedi said in a note, outlining a scenario with odds of 40%. An alternative outlook, with a probability of 60%, suggested the war may finish at the end of this month, they said.

Nikkei -3.25% Hang Seng -1.24% CSI -0.56% Shanghai +0.23% Shenzen +0.02%

Eur$ 1.1511 CNH 6.9144 CNY 6.9097 JPY 159.73 GBP 1.3274 CHF 0.7988 RUB 81.7076 TRY 44.4672 WTI$ 101.05 +1.43% Gold 4,507 +0.30% BTC 67,600 +1.57% ETH 2,054 +2.60%

S&P +0.05% Nasdaq +0.04% EuroStoxx -0.77% FTSE -0.32% Dax -0.66% SMI -0.44%

Macro :
- Distressed-debt funds target private credit downturn as ‘greatest opportunity’ since 2008 - FT
- Foiled BofA Bombing in Paris Linked to Mideast War, France Says
- US Sees First Combat Loss of Valuable E-3 Jet in Missile Strike
- JPMorgan Bumps Up Rating on High-Grade Tech Bonds to Neutral
- VIX Closes at Highest Level Since April’s Tariff Turmoil
- Investor Khosla Says US Tax Overhaul Needed Because of AI: FT
- China, EU Work With Other Countries on Global E-Commerce Rules
- Why the Cost of Your Coffee Has Soared—and Isn’t Going Down Soon - WSJ
- French Factory Closures Jump 30% on Asia Pressure, US Tariffs

Keep an eye on :
- ATO FP : Atos Says US Court Ordered Syntel to Pay $236.9M to Cognizant
- ATO FP : US Court Upholds Order for Atos' Unit to Pay Damages to Cognizant's TriZetto
- BBVA SM : BBVA to Sell Romania Business to Raiffeisen for $680 Million
- BAC US : France Detains Two More Suspects After Foiled BofA Paris Bombing
- BFF IM : BFF Bank Receives Bank of Italy Regulatory Measure
- BLK US : BlackRock’s Fink Gets 23% Raise After Private Markets Push
- CEC GY : Ceconomy: Uncertain Whether Austria to Grant Merger Clearance
- CO FP : Casino: Creditors Extend Term Loan B, RCF Consents to May 28
- CPI AV : CPI Europe FY Rental Income EU562.5M
- CREDIA GA : *CREDIABANK TO OFFER NEW SHARES AT €0.80 A PIECE
- CSG NA : CSG Shares Fall 19% in Two Days After First Earnings Since IPO
- FGR FP : Eiffage Prepares Its Next Move at Getlink - Agefi
- LLY US : Lilly, Insilico Ink Deal on AI Drugs Worth Up to $2.75 Billion
- ENT LN : Washington State Sues Kalshi for ‘Illegal Gambling’
- EL FP : Meta to Launch New AI Glasses Aimed at Prescription Wearers
- FMCC US : Ackman Says Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Are ‘Stupidly Cheap’
- GALD SW : Late-Breaking Nemolizumab Data Demonstrate Clinically Meaningful Benefits for Children Aged 2 to 11 With Moderate-to-Severe Atopic Dermatitis
- GET FP : Eiffage Prepares Its Next Move at Getlink - Agefi
- GOOGL US : Google Nears Deal to Help Finance Anthropic Data Center: FT
- HAL NA : HAL 4Q Net Asset Value per Share EU181.84
- RMS FP : Hermès Said Building Design Team Ahead of Haute Couture Launch - WWD
- 3696 HK : Lilly, Insilico Ink Deal on AI Drugs Worth Up to $2.75 Billion
- Ineos : Ineos Warns of Flagship Project Delays Due to Hormuz Crisis: FT
- INW IM : Ardian Warns Telecom Italia About Early Tower Contract Exit
- JDEP NA : Keurig DR Pepper Declares Offer for JDE Peet's Unconditional
- Kailera Ther. IPO : Kailera Therapeutics Files for US IPO to Fund Obesity Drugs
- LDO IM : Meloni Mulls Changes at Italian State-Owned Firms After Setback
- MAERSKB DC : aersk Flags 48-hour Operations Halt Amid Port Security Incident in Oman
- META US : Meta to Launch New AI Glasses Aimed at Prescription Wearers
- MB IM : Trevi Group in Pact With Mediobanca Over €100M Rights Offering
- BMPS IM : Monte Paschi Urges Shareholders to Back Board Slate at AGM
- NHY NO : Watch Firms Like Norsk Hydro After Attacks on Aluminum Plants
- NOC US : Northrop Grumman Wins $884.9 Million U.S. Army Contract
- Open AI : The Sudden Fall of OpenAI’s Most Hyped Product Since ChatGPT - WSJ
- ORCL US : Oracle CDS traded at 198.175 friday highest level, means 15% probability of default
- PTON US : Peloton Surges as Eric Jackson Says He’s Long the Stock
- PRX NA : Just Eat Owner Targets 20% Annual Order Growth Before 2030: FT
- RBI AV : Raiffeisen Bank International to Buy Garanti BBVA Group Romania
- RIO LN : Rio Tinto Says Iron Ore Port Ops Resumed After Cyclone Narelle
- Space X IPO : SpaceX’s IPO Challenge - The Information
- SF SS : Stillfront Group Issues SEK1 Billion Bonds, Plans Redemption of SEK569 Million Bonds
- SMHN GY : SUSS MicroTec Sees 2026 Sales EU425M to EU485M
- TECN SW : Tecan Names Camila Japur as CFO Effective June 1
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Scraps Plan to Renew Inwit Tower Contract in 2030, Telecom Italia to Terminate Contract With Inwit
- TIT IM : Ardian Warns Telecom Italia About Early Tower Contract Exit
- TFIN IM : Trevi Group in Pact With Mediobanca Over €100M Rights Offering
- UBSG SW : UBS Banker L’Esperance to Leave Investment End-March: Reuters
- VWS DC : Vestas to Cut 440 Jobs at Lindo Factory in Denmark: MarketWire
- VH2 GY : Friedrich Vorwerk Group Investor Declares 3.04% Voting Rights

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of March 2026

>>> Up
* AMD Raised to Buy at Phillip Secs; PT $280
* Carnival Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $30.10
* Colgate-Palmolive Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $98
* Compass Group Raised to Neutral at BNP Paribas; PT 2,150 pence
* Elekta Reinstated Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 70 kronor
* Expedia Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $300
* ID Logistics Group SACA Raised to Buy at IDMidcaps; PT 482 euros
* Klepierre Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 41.80 euros
* Land Sec. Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 690 pence
* Montea Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
* Nokia Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 8 euros
* Nokia ADRs Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT $9.20
* Sagax Raised to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 170 kronor
* Sartorius Stedim Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 214 euros
* Segro Raised to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 700 pence
* Sodexo Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 55 euros
* Swedish Logistic Property Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen
* YPF ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $60

>>> Down
* Big Yellow Group Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 860 pence
* CTP Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 17 euros
* Hexatronic Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 33 kronor
* Kardex: UBS abaisse à 357 (360) CHF - buy
* Richemont: UBS abaisse à 182 (205) CHF - buy

>>> Initiation
* Alcoa Rated New Outperform at CICC; PT $73.20
* FuboTV Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $13
* Liberty Formula One Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens
* Live Nation Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $190
* Netflix Rated New Market Perform at Citizens
* Sphere Entertainment Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens
* TKO Rated New Market Outperform at Citizens; PT $240

>>> Call
* CTP Set for Another Soft Year, Oddo BHF Downgrades to Neutral
* Sodexo Resetting Expectations, Upgraded to Buy at Jefferies