>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Adobe (ADBE) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas; tgt $425
    • CareDx (CDNA) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo; tgt lowered to $24
    • CBRE Group (CBRE) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $160
    • Centerspace (CSR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Janney; tgt $72
    • Devon Energy (DVN) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt $45
    • Digital Realty Trust (DLR) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt raised to $194
    • Edison (EIX) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Ladenburg Thalmann; tgt $56.50
    • EQT Corp. (EQT) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt $73
    • Healthpeak Properties (DOC) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $25
    • KB Home (KBH) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Seaport Research Partners
    • Macerich (MAC) upgraded to Equal-Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $20
    • NNN REIT (NNN) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $48
    • NorthWestern (NWE) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Ladenburg Thalmann; tgt $57.50
    • SAP SE (SAP) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Kepler
    • The Shyft Group (SHYF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson; tgt $15
    • Weyerhaeuser (WY) upgraded to Sector Outperform from Neutral at CIBC; tgt $35
  • Downgrades:
    • Aris Water Solutions (ARIS) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt raised to $27
    • Douglas Emmett (DEI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney
    • Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $53
    • Helmerich & Payne (HP) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $39
    • Intuit (INTU) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Exane BNP Paribas; tgt $530
    • Lam Research (LRCX) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • NNN REIT (NNN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney; tgt $43
    • Noble Corporation (NE) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $41
    • NOV Inc. (NOV) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $18
    • Safehold (SAFE) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $19
    • SentinelOne (S) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS; tgt lowered to $25
    • SLB (SLB) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $44
    • Tidewater (TDW) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $68
    • Transocean (RIG) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $5
    • Valaris (VAL) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $59
    • XPO, Inc. (XPO) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel; tgt lowered to $124
  • Others:
    • Affirm (AFRM) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • CNX Resources (CNX) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $27
    • Curbline Properties (CURB) initiated with a Neutral at Compass Point; tgt $24
    • Enbridge (ENB) initiated with a Buy at TD Securities
    • Pembina Pipeline (PBA) initiated with a Buy at TD Securities
    • SoFi Technologies (SOFI) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • South Bow Corporation (SOBO) initiated with a Hold at TD Securities
    • TC Energy (TRP) initiated with a Buy at TD Securities

>>> Citigroup beats by $0.12, reports revs in-line; guides FY25 revs above conse

Citigroup beats by $0.12, reports revs in-line; guides FY25 revs above consensus (73.50)
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $1.34 per share, $0.12 better than the FactSet Consensus of $1.22; revenues rose 12.3% year/year to $19.58 bln vs the $19.51 bln FactSet Consensus.
    • Revenues increased 12% from the prior-year period, on a reported basis, driven by growth in each of Citi's businesses and the smaller impact from the currency devaluation in Argentina, partially offset by a decline in All Other. Excluding the impact of the Argentina currency devaluation and divestiture related impacts in both periods, revenues were up 7%.
    • Citigroup's total allowance for credit losses was approximately $22.2 billion at quarter end, compared to $21.8 billion at the end of the prior-year period. Total ACL on loans was approximately $18.6 billion at quarter end, compared to $18.1 billion at the end of the prior-year period, with a reserve-to-funded loans ratio of 2.7%, unchanged from the end of the prior-year period. Total non-accrual loans decreased 16% from the prior-year period to $2.7 billion. Corporate non-accrual loans decreased 27% from the prior-year period to $1.4 billion. Consumer non-accrual loans were largely unchanged from the prior-year period at $1.3 billion.
    • Citigroup's end-of-period loans were $694 billion at quarter end, up 1% versus the prior-year period, largely reflecting growth in Branded Cards and Retail Banking in USPB and higher loans in Markets and Services.
  • Outlook: Co issues upside guidance for FY25, sees FY25 revs of $83.5-84.5 bln vs. $83.37 bln FactSet Consensus.
    • NII ex-Markets up modestly YoY
    • Expenses: Slightly lower than ~$53.8 billion
    • Cost of Credit: Cards NCL rates around the top of the 2024 ranges for both businesses, with higher losses in 1H, consistent with seasonal patterns, subject to changing conditions; ACL build will be a function of macroeconomic environment and business volumes
  • Capital:
    • Board of Directors has authorized a $20 billion common share repurchase program
    • $1.5 billion of common share repurchases planned for 1Q25

The Information : Microsoft’s Gaming Business Falls Short, Despite Activision

Microsoft’s Gaming Business Falls Short, Despite Activision

The Takeaway
• Microsoft’s gaming revenue growth fell below targets in fiscal 2024
• Rival gaming studios are reluctant to put games onto Game Pass
• Activision has been slow to migrate to Azure

In 2021, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella faced a choice involving the company’s Xbox and cloud gaming business. The company could either acquire major game studios to drive more subscriptions to its nascent Game Pass subscription service. Or it could wind down its games business entirely, Nadella told two people at the time.

Nadella took the first path, acquiring Elder Scrolls maker Bethesda Studios for $7 billion in 2021 and Call of Duty maker Activision Blizzard for $75.4 billion in the fall of 2023. So far, the returns on the investments appear unimpressive: In the year to June, Microsoft’s gaming business revenue grew 5.8%, well below the 11% target set for the purpose of calculating part of Nadella’s compensation, according to securities filings. (That growth excludes revenue of Activision since its acquisition but includes Game Pass).

Gaming was the only section of his pay evaluation that fell short of Microsoft’s goals. Meanwhile, in the three months ending Sept. 30, Microsoft indicated that its gaming division didn’t grow at all without the first-time contribution of Activision revenue in the quarter.

For many investors, Microsoft’s performance in gaming ranks is likely less important than its progress in artificial intelligence. Questions about whether the company’s big investment in new data centers will generate a return have weighed on investors’ minds and are likely the major reason why the stock rose only 12% last year, well below the number for every other big tech firm.

Even so, given the sheer amount Microsoft has spent on gaming expansion—the Activision purchase was its biggest ever—the outcome of Nadella’s gaming bet is important in the long run.

“Seventy billion dollars is not a pittance—it’s a lot of cash. They might lose money in the short term, which is fine, as long as they can prove that in the long run Game Pass is a solid source of recurring revenue,” said Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter.

Uncharted Territory

Microsoft first launched its Game Pass subscription service in 2017. It charges customers $12 to $20 per month to access a library of PC and Xbox games from any device.

By launching the service, Microsoft is forging into uncharted territory. The company hopes to prove a business model that is now omnipresent in movies and television streaming can also prove successful in videogames.

Big gaming firms, like Activision, have historically been reluctant to put their games on an all-you-can-play subscription service, worried they would make less money than they do by selling games outright at $60 to $70 apiece. Buying Activision allowed Microsoft to change that dynamic.

Since then, however, several leading game studios have resisted Microsoft’s pitch that they should put their titles on Game Pass in exchange for fees that Microsoft offers to pay to the gaming studios, according to people familiar with the discussions.

“I just think the majority of the game market doesn’t really want a game pass” like the one Microsoft is offering, said Gus Zinn, a portfolio manager of the Macquarie Science and Technology Fund, which holds roughly $400 million in Microsoft stock and has kept its Microsoft position roughly flat over the past year.

Microsoft also hoped the Activision deal would attract game developers to rent its Azure cloud servers. But Activision wasn’t using Azure prior to the deal, and it still rents servers from Google Cloud and Amazon Web Services while primarily relying on its own servers for development, according to someone with direct knowledge of the situation and another person briefed on it.

Pushing a New Business Model

Between launch and 2021, the number of Game Pass subscribers grew to 18 million, Microsoft reported. Since 2022, Microsoft has stopped regularly reporting annual numbers, although it said in February last year that Game Pass had grown 36% since 2022 to 34 million subscribers.

Before completing the Activision acquisition, Microsoft targeted having over 100 million Game Pass subscribers by 2030, meaning it would have to triple its current subscriber base in five years—or grow at a rate of 40% annually, which would be faster than its rate of growth every year since 2020.


The company previously included Game Pass growth as one of the metrics that determined CEO Satya Nadella’s pay package, but it eliminated that provision in October 2023 after it failed to meet Game Pass growth targets in the prior two years.

When reached for comment, a Microsoft spokesperson referred to Nadella’s remarks to shareholders in October that Game Pass had set a “new revenue record” in the quarter prior and that a record number of people had signed up for Game Pass on the day Microsoft published Activision’s new Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 title.

Some shareholders say Activision’s contribution won’t matter much as long as Microsoft generates growth in other areas like cloud and artificial intelligence software sales.

“[Activision] has been disappointing,” said Denny Fish, a Janus Henderson Investors portfolio manager who oversees two funds that included a total of more than $800 million in Microsoft stock as of November. “It’s also a business that had some degree of consistency over, like, a three- to five-year period but was highly volatile from year to year, because you’re so dependent on the big releases like Call of Duty.”

However, Microsoft’s heavy spending on data centers for AI is a bigger drag on its stock price than the Activision deal, Fish said.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
Gapping up:
IGT +7.6%, TIGO +6.7%, LOT +6.4%, BBCP +5.5%, PONY +3.3%, BLK +2.8%, PL +2.1%, KARO +2.1%, HLN +1.8%, BHLB +1.7%, NOK +1.6%, NNE +1.5%, DHT +1.4%, KMT +1.1%
Gapping down:
VCEL -8.1%, APLD -6.1%, CVGW -4.8%, LASR -4.3%, EVTL -3.2%, BUSE -2.7%, GPRK -2.2%, GAU -1.6%, PI -1.5%, HPP -1.4%, FSM -1.3%

>>> JPMorgan Chase beats by $0.72, beats on revs

JPMorgan Chase beats by $0.72, beats on revs
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $4.81 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.72 better than the FactSet Consensus of $4.09; reported revenues rose 10.9% year/year to $42.77 bln vs the $41.9 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Net interest income excluding Markets was $23.0 billion, down 2%, driven by lower rates and deposit margin compression across the lines of business, as well as lower deposit balances in CCB. This was largely offset by the impact of balance sheet actions, primarily securities reinvestment, as well as higher revolving balances in Card Services and higher wholesale deposit balances.
  • Noninterest revenue excluding Markets was $13.7 billion, up 30%, largely driven by higher asset management fees in AWM and CCB, higher investment banking fees and lower net investment securities losses compared to the prior year. Markets revenue was $7.0 billion, up 21%.
  • The provision for credit losses was $2.6 billion, reflecting net charge-offs of $2.4 billion and a net reserve build of $267 million. Net charge-offs of $2.4 billion were up $200 million, primarily driven by Card Services. The net reserve build included a $572 million net build in Consumer, predominantly in Card Services, and a $282 million net release in Wholesale. The prior-year provision was $2.8 billion, reflecting net charge-offs of $2.2 billion and a net reserve build of $598 million.
  • Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO, commented: "The Firm concluded the year with a strong fourth quarter, generating net income of $14.0 billion." Dimon continued: "Each line of business posted solid results. In the CIB, clients were active, with IB fees up 49%, and Markets revenue rose 21%. Additionally, Payments fees grew by double digits for the fourth consecutive quarter, helping drive Payments revenue to a record $18.1 billion for the year. In CCB, we continued to acquire new customers across Consumer Banking, Business Banking, Card and wealth management. For example, nearly 2 million net new checking accounts were opened during 2024. Finally, in AWM, management fees rose 21%, and revenue hit a record $5.8 billion. More impressively, client asset net inflows totaled $486 billion in 2024, bringing cumulative net inflows over the past two years to $976 billion." Dimon added: "Regarding regulation, we have consistently said that regulation should be designed to effectively balance promoting economic growth and maintaining a safe and sound banking system. It is possible to achieve both goals. This is not about weakening regulation — we maintain a fortress balance sheet, evidenced by $547 billion of total loss-absorbing capacity and $1.4 trillion of cash and marketable securities — but rather about setting rules that are transparent, fair, holistic in their approach and based on rigorous data analysis, so that banks can play their critical role in the economy and markets." Dimon added: "The U.S. economy has been resilient. Unemployment remains relatively low, and consumer spending stayed healthy, including during the holiday season. Businesses are more optimistic about the economy, and they are encouraged by expectations for a more pro-growth agenda and improved collaboration between government and business. However, two significant risks remain. Ongoing and future spending requirements will likely be inflationary, and therefore, inflation may persist for some time. Additionally, geopolitical conditions remain the most dangerous and complicated since World War II. As always, we hope for the best but prepare the Firm for a wide range of scenarios."

WWD : Rolex Prices at Four-year Low on Secondhand Market

Rolex Prices at Four-year Low on Secondhand Market
A report from Morgan Stanley and WatchCharts shows prices for watches of 35 prominent brands continued to decrease for the 11th consecutive quarter.

PARIS — The secondhand watch market is not immune to the sector’s overall downturn.

According to a new report from Morgan Stanley and WatchCharts, prices fell 5.7 percent year-on-year in 2024, affecting the “big three” — Rolex, Patek Philippe and Audemars Piguet — as well as other luxury watchmakers.

The fourth quarter of the year marked the 11th consecutive quarter of decrease since May 2022’s peak prices for secondhand watches, according to the report published on Tuesday.

Overall, prices tumbled less severely but on a broader base in 2024 than in 2023, with 28 out the 35 Swiss watchmakers tracked seeing decreases of their secondhand market prices.

Only a handful of names saw positive performances this year, including Certina, Frédérique Constant, Montblanc and Longines.

Brands that struggled the most were those priced above $10,000 in average resale price that rely heavily on sports models, while all brands above $3,000 performed negatively, the data found. Entry-level watchmakers fared better, even tracking positively for the year in a handful of cases.

Rolex, Patek Philippe and Audemars Piguet saw their combined market share shrink 2 percent for the year, stemming from the combination of reduced appetite for high-end models and increased demand for other brands.

The three brands were down 5 percent, 5.7 percent and 7.3 percent, respectively, while fewer of their models traded above retail.

Prices for Rolex have hit a four-year low, falling 3 percent below their January 2021 level. Its certified pre-owned program sales are estimated to have more than tripled year-on-year in 2024, reaching $300 million.

Meanwhile Patek Philippe and Audemars Piguet remain up 22 percent and 28 percent, respectively, for the same period, but are at their lowest point in the past three-and-a-half years.

Cartier continued to be a bright spot for Richemont, despite a weaker fourth quarter. While its prices shrank 2.5 percent year-on-year, it performed best out of the Swiss watchmakers in the over-$3,000 category.

The report estimated the brand’s secondary market sales grew 18 percent year-on-year.

Meanwhile, its stablemates also saw a slight uptick in secondhand sales, attributed to a better value proposition stemming from falling resale prices.

Although it outperformed in the fourth quarter, LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton’s secondhand prices declined by 6.4 percent in 2024 across its watchmakers, who all fell more than 5 percent year-on-year. Hublot was the worst affected, while Tag Heuer, Bulgari and Zenith were in line with the market.

Swatch Group was the strongest performing group in 2024, with its entry-level brands posting positive performances, while Swatch was severely dragged down by the MoonSwatch, the report said.

For 2025, the report expects secondary prices will continue to fall, as the gap between retail and secondary market prices continues to widen. It names CPO programs as a possible solution for brands.

Primary market sales are also expected to contract in the first half of the year, with LVMH, Compagnie Financière Richemont and Swatch Group “likely continuing to underperform the market.”

WWD : Burberry CEO Joshua Schulman Shares Where Burberry Went Wrong and How It’s

Burberry CEO Joshua Schulman Shares Where Burberry Went Wrong and How It’s Repositioning
At the NRF Big Show, Schulman also shared how some strange childhood tendencies informed his future in fashion.

Joshua Schulman is candid about Burberry and himself.

Despite very strong brand awareness and affinity around the world, Burberry in recent years went “a little bit off course, lost sight of our core customer” and delivered “a brand expression, which may have been unfamiliar to many of our customers,” Schulman said at the NRF Big Show convention at Manhattan’s Jacob K. Javits Center.

“The outerwear category probably hadn’t been getting as much attention as it should have. More broadly speaking, outerwear and scarves are areas where we have enormous authority,” Schulman said while being interviewed by Pete Nordstrom, president and chief brand officer of Nordstrom Inc., for an edition of “The Nordy Pod” podcast.

After Schulman became Burberry chief executive officer last July, succeeding Jonathan Akeroyd, the company in November launched its “Burberry Forward,” strategy “to reignite our designers, reconnect with our core customer segments and focus again on our core outerwear and scarf categories,” Schulman said. “So making sure those presented in our communications and so forth is super important.”

Burberry’s marketing was among the first areas to evolve, with the “It’s Always Burberry Weather” campaign featuring celebrities speaking with irreverence and humor — British style — on what Burberry means to them.

“The coolest people in the world want the most authentic parts of our brand,” Schulman said.

“The best brand evolutions make you smile and make you think that’s what I always loved about the brand, but it’s also about doing something fresh and different.”

Also crucial to the Burberry repositioning “is what we’re doing is within a luxury context,” Schulman said, noting there was a lot of speculation about Burberry’s future because he previously worked with some aspirational brands, such as Coach.

People, he said, were wondering whether Burberry would rapidly reduce pricing, go down market or open up hundreds of outlets.

“That’s not our plan,” Schulman said. “We are a luxury brand with broad universal appeal. And when I think about the top five luxury brands, those luxury brands have broad universal appeal, and each has a different way of exciting customers. Some use lipstick as the entry point. Some use sunglasses. Our core is outerwear and apparel.”

Because Burberry is “putting the customer at the center of everything we do,” as Schulman said, the brand is not taking a monolithic view of the luxury consumer, and considers five archetypes: the most fashion forward, the investor, the conservative sector, the hedonist and the aspiring customer. The framework was introduced at Schulman’s first town hall for the Burberry teams. “When we come up with our marketing campaigns, we’re thinking through that lens of how we deal with the breadth of the luxury customer,” Schulman said.

He also spoke of staging “luxurious fashion shows…supported by great product at a range of luxury prices — good, better, best — to serve a variety of luxury consumers.”

“It’s a fairly tough consumer environment out there, so we have a lot of work to do, but there is a real sense of purpose and a sense of excitement and ambition,” he said.

Burberry, hurt by the sluggishness in the global luxury market as well as its own missteps, posted a first-half operating loss of 53 million pounds on the back of a 22 percent decline in revenue to 1.09 billion pounds. When those results were issued, Schulman, said the company is “acting with urgency to course correct, stabilize the business and position Burberry for a return to sustainable, profitable growth.” For fiscal 2024, Burberry reported a 4 percent decline in revenue to 2.97 billion pounds, with adjusted operating profit falling 34 percent to 418 million pounds.

Though it’s early days in the turnaround strategy, Schulman told the NRF audience, “We have started to see the shift in the brand sentiment…where we disappointed our customer before, now we’re surprising and delighting them.”

Speaking generally about reviving brands, Schulman said, “You can’t just repeat the past. You have to create an echo of why people love the brand in the first place and adapt.

“Really, the modern Burberry was launched about 25 years ago when Rose Marie Bravo [a former Burberry CEO and Saks Fifth Avenue president] changed the brand from Burberry’s to Burberry and reinvented it into a modern luxury brand the way we know it.” It has a unique identity of being one of the few British fashion brands with scale, Schulman said.

Getting personal, Schulman said, “I was a pretty strange kid, because I was interested in stores, and I was interested in department stores, especially shopping malls, and not necessarily to shop, but I went there to just look at them and to study them. I went to most of the Nordstrom openings” in California.

When Schulman was 14, he sent a letter to Jim Nordstrom [Pete’s late uncle] when Nordstrom opened a department store in his neighborhood. “I gave all sorts of probably unwarranted tips.” Surprisingly, Nordstrom wrote back. “He actually tried to get together with me, when he was in California at Horton Plaza, and at that point, my parents were like, we can’t drive down to San Diego on that day.”

Schulman’s career started at a small clothing store in Beverly Hills where Kris Kardashian and Kathy Hilton shopped among other celebrity moms and where he learned retail operations, curating product and display. He later interned for Marc Jacobs and Robert Duffy at Perry Ellis, and became an account executive and sales manager. Tom Ford also worked there. Schulman felt there was a “mismatch” between the creative ambitions of the designers and the ambitions of the company itself. “They didn’t know how to harness this very creative talent they had. That was a lesson that became very important later in my career that I didn’t even realize I was learning at that point. Marc was fired from Perry Ellis, which was the best thing that happened in his career.”

Schulman subsequently worked at Richard Tyler in Los Angeles. “It was a brand that was emerging and had a great celebrity following.” Because of his interest in Nordstrom as a kid, Nordstrom became a big part of Richard Tyler’s distribution plan.

Later, Schulman joined Gucci, working alongside Ford as that brand’s transformation was already progressing. When Gucci acquired St. Laurent, Schulman moved to Paris to oversee global sales. At the time, Schulman was in his late 20s. Later, he ran Jimmy Choo, Bergdorf Goodman, Coach and Michael Kors.

“I had big jobs, but I also had amazing mentors who gave me opportunities,” Schulman said.

Nordstrom asked about the industry narrative that department stores are a dying breed, to which Schulman replied: “For Burberry and other brands, Nordstrom is an incredible showcase to a very important customer segment in the United States, and it’s important for emerging brands. It is also important, not only for the initial discovery of the brand, but to discover how a brand can be changing and evolving,” as is the case with Burberry.

“We have some customers who come to us once a year for a coat and then [again] for a gift…but not with the frequency that they might at Nordstrom where they’re dressing themselves, and dressing their family.”

TechCrunch : Synthesia snaps up $180M at a $2.1B valuation for its B2B AI video

Synthesia snaps up $180M at a $2.1B valuation for its B2B AI video platform

As the world continues to work through how to handle the explosion of deepfake content online, it seems that not all AI-created videos are stirring controversy. Synthesia, a London startup building products around highly realistic AI avatar technology, says it’s a big hit with enterprises, with some 60,000 of them — 1 million users — tapping the tech to build avatar-based videos from text documents, for sales and marketing, for training and more.

Now VCs also want to get in on the action. Synthesia today confirmed that it has closed a funding round of $180 million, a Series D that catapults the company’s valuation to $2.1 billion. NEA is leading the round, with participation from new investors WiL (World Innovation Lab), Atlassian Ventures, and PSP Growth, plus previous backers GV and MMC Ventures. Synthesia has raised $330 million to date.


The startup plans to use the funding for hiring, particularly to expand in Asia Pacific – the bulk of Synthesia’s business today is in Europe and North America – and to continue evolving its products.

“We’re doubling down on all the things we’re already doing right,” said CEO and co-founder Victor Riparbelli, in an interview. “We want to make our avatars better.” He said the company’s “long roadmap” includes more realistic motion; being able to port avatars into different environments; avatars that can interact with objects to, for example, provide physical demonstrations; and avatars that can interact with users. It’s also going to be eating some of its own dogfood by building more “agents” to help customers create avatar-based content more easily.
One area where it’s not chasing activity is in M&A. Synthesia to date has made no acquisitions and Riparbelli said its preference is for building its technology in house, alongside using APIs for what it does not build itself. For example, it works with Eleven Labs for voice, and it taps and fine-tunes a variety of third-party Large Language Models instead of building its own.

Synthesia’s round has been in the works for at least a few months: The Information reported that it was raising $150 million in November 2024. For a little more fundraising context, it’s been about 18 months since Synthesia last disclosed funding: in June 2023, it closed a $90 million round on a $1 billion valuation with previous backers including Kleiner Perkins and Accel.

In the interim, AI companies have been a huge magnet for VCs, providing a bright spot in a somewhat lackluster funding landscape. AI startups accounted for more than 37% of the $368.5 billion invested across all startups in 2024 globally, according to PitchBook data. In the U.S. the proportion was even more stark, with AI startups garnering nearly 50% of the $209 billion invested last year.

And yes, issues abound the field of AI. The power consumption required to train and run AI models, major copyright issues around how models are trained, AI getting weaponized as in the case of deepfakes or malicious hacking, AI replacing humans and their work, and AI getting it wrong — all huge problems that have yet to be resolved meaningfully. But there are also some significant advocates who will push the AI industry into even loftier, hyped-up heights. Synthesia was one of the companies name-checked by the U.K. government this week when it launched its big AI action plan, with an intention to dole out billions in deals to AI companies to rebuild public services and the economy.

Synthesia says it now has 60,000 businesses as customers, compared to 50,000 in June 2023, and its aim has been to carve out its own niche in the space as the go-to platform for enterprises that are looking to build out their video interactions.

It’s doing so at a time when advanced AI video functionality is getting increasingly more common. There are startups that are working on the ability to extrapolate full product videos out of basic documents, while others aim to build avatars capable of real-time interactions and real-time video assistants. Some claim to be able to create lifelike avatars of their users from just one minute of video. (A simple test to see just how crowded the market is here is to put Synthesia into Google, and check out how many companies are buying search ads against its name. There are a lot.)

Synthesia is not immune to the product race. It’s been building a “2.0” version of its platform for a while now and has already released a number of related features, including its own take on personal avatars that users can make with a laptop camera or phone that feature emotions; a Chrome extension that builds basic videos based on screen data; its own version of an AI video assistant that can convert documents into videos; multi language options; and collaboration features for people to edit a video simultaneously.

More to the point, though, Riparbelli believes that the company has an edge by focusing itself squarely on business users, and its investors say that is what makes the startup attractive.

“Synthesia is one of only a handful of AI companies that can take real cutting edge AI and actually translate those into something with real utility,” said Vidu Shanmugarajah, a partner at Google Ventures in London, in an interview. “It has extreme customer focus. They are obsessed with driving value in a practical setting. Putting that together in a platform that’s safe and compliant is super hard to do.”
It’s interesting, too, to see Atlassian investing in this round.The company has been injecting AI functionality into its various apps, and it seems only a matter of time that a platform like Jira might start adding in more video tools into that mix, opening the door for a collaboration with its portfolio company.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of January 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* AUTO1 Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 20.50 euros
* BioMerieux Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 132 euros
* Bufab Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 460 kronor
* Cargotec Raised to Reduce at Inderes; PT 51 euros
* DCC Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 6,000 pence
* HelloFresh Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 12 euros
* JCDecaux Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 17 euros
* Just Eat Takeaway Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 14 euros
* Orange Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 11.70 euros (+)
* Orsted Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 360 kroner
* Persimmon Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 1,300 pence
* Persimmon Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank (+)
* Stroeer Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 66 euros
* Weyerhaeuser Raised to Outperform at CIBC; PT $35

>>> Down
* Air France-KLM Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 7 euros
* Anglo American Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 2,200 pence
* Antofagasta Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 1,600 pence
* Assystem Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 44 euros (+)
* Beiersdorf Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank (+)
* BioMerieux Cut to Neutral at CIC; PT 117 euros (+)
* Biohit Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 3.20 euros
* Delivery Hero Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 23 euros
* Eurofins Scientific Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 53 euros
* Hafnia Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 74 kroner
* La Francaise des Jeux SACA Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 30.70 euros
* Norwegian Air Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 12 kroner
* Torm Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 179 kroner
* XPO Inc Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT $124

>>> Initiation
* Acerinox Reinstated Hold at Jefferies; PT 10.50 euros
* Aegean Air Rated New Overweight at Barclays; PT 12.50 euros
* Apotea Sverige Rated New Hold at ABG; PT 80 kronor (+)
* Dynavox Group Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 100 kronor
* Elektro Importoren Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities (+)
* Unite Group Rated New Buy at Goldman; PT 1,169 pence

>>> Call
* US Midcap Stocks Are Top Bets to Own Now, Goldman’s Kostin Says

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Bureau Veritas (4BV TH) +7.7%
    • SGS, Bureau Veritas to Create $33 Billion European Testing Firm
  • Nemetschek (NEM TH) +1.7%
  • Continental (CON TH) +1.4%
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.3%
  • Just Eat Takeaway (T5W TH) +1.2%
  • Cellnex (472 TH) +1.1%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) +1.1%
  • National Grid (NNGF TH) +1.1%
    • Naturgy, TVO Bond Spreads vs Utilities Peers Tighten
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +1%
    • Bayer Faces Billions in Payouts for Half Century-Old Toxic Mess
  • Hochtief (HOT TH) -1%
  • Heidelberg Materials (HEI TH) -1.1%
    • Saint-Gobain, DSM Bond Spreads vs Materials Peers Widen
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) -1.5%
    • Turkey’s Polat Enerji, Rolls-Royce Sign 132MWh Battery Deal
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.8%
  • Eurofins Scientific (ESF0 TH) -1.9%
    • Eurofins Scientific Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 53 euros