>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • MODV +18%, CRGY +6.1%, SMC +4.9%, TXG +3.1%, GLDD +3.1%, TTE +2.7%, FANG +2.5%, ORGO +2.5%, SLB +2.5%, USO +2.4%, SHEL +2.1%, AIOT +2%, SD +2%, AVAV +1.9%, BP +1.9%, XOM +1.8%, CVX +1.7%, XLE +1.6%, EQT +1.5%, PBR +1.4%, LFVN +1.1%, CALM +1.1%, DRS +0.7%
  • Gapping down:
    • NKE -5.4%, LW -5.2%, LPLA -4.7%, RGP -3.4%, LQDA -3%, MITK -2.2%, NMRA -2.2%, OPEN -2.1%, TEL -1.6%, IR -1%, AER -1%, SCI -0.8%, TDOC -0.7%, SWBI -0.6%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 2nd of October 2024 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Aedifica Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 78 euros
* Argan Raised to Buy at Invest Securities SA; PT 80.80 euros (++)
* British Land Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 510 pence (+)
* Enagas Raised to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Land Sec. Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 760 pence (++)
* Land Sec. Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 750 pence (++)
* LondonMetric Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 230 pence (++)
* Man Group Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 280 pence (++)
* Redcare Pharmacy NV Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 155 euros
* Rightmove PT Raised to 815 pence from 770 pence at UBS (++)
* Rio Tinto ADRs Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT $79
* Rio Tinto Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 6,200 pence
* Shaftesbury Capital Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 180 pence (++)

>>> Down
* ArcelorMittal Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 27 euros (++)
* Aston Martin Cut to Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 144 pence
* Care Property Invest NV Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF
* Covestro Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 62 euros
* Covestro Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 62 euros
* Derwent London Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 2,750 pence (++)
* Derwent London Cut to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen (++)
* Digital 9 Infrastructure/Fund Cut to Hold at Investec (++)
* DocMorris AG Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 40 Swiss francs
* Elisa Cut to Reduce at OP Corporate Bank; PT 47 euros (++)
* Expert.ai SpA Cut to Hold at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 1.50 euros (++)
* IBM Cut to Hold at DZ Bank; PT $215 (+)
* Inmobiliaria Colonial Cut to Neutral at Alantra Equities (+)
* Kion Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Kojamo Cut to Hold at Danske Bank Markets; PT 10.80 euros
* Mercialys Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 12.50 euros
* Nike Cut to Hold at CFRA
* Orion Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 53 euros
* PVH Cut to Neutral at BofA (++)
* SEB Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 180 kronor
* Segro Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 1,000 pence (++)
* Societe Fonciere Lyonnaise Cut to Underperform at Oddo BHF
* TietoEVRY Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 20 euros

>>> Initiation
* Bytes Technology Reinstated Buy at Berenberg; PT 640 pence
* Computacenter Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 2,675 pence
* Enagas Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 14.50 euros (+)
* Enel Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 7 euros (+)
* Engie Resumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 17.50 euros (+)
* Engie Rated New Outperform at Bernstein; PT 18.90 euros (++)
* Exor Rated New Buy at KBC Securities; PT 120 euros (+)
* Fortum Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 13.70 euros (+)
* Icop Rated New Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 9.60 euros (++)
* Italgas Resumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 6.20 euros (+)
* National Grid Resumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 1,100 pence (++)
* Pebble Group Rated New Buy at Panmure Liberum; PT 95 pence (++)
* Pennon Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 600 pence (++)
* Severn Trent Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 2,700 pence (++)
* Snam Resumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 5.40 euros (+)
* Softcat Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 1,600 pence
* SSE Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 2,000 pence (++)
* Terna Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 8.40 euros (+)
* Zealand Pharma Rated New Hold at Deutsche Bank on Amylin Asset (++)

>>> Call
* Oddo BHF Strategists Upgrade Real Estate to Neutral on Rate Cuts (++)
* Barclays Latest To Downgrade European Banks on Rates Pressure (+)
* Carlsberg Rises; Citi Sees China Stimulus Limiting Downside Risk (++)
* Mercialys Slides as Jefferies Cuts Amid Rising Risks From Casino (++)

WWD : Italian Government Urged to Help Protect Tuscany’s Manufacturing Pipeline

Italian Government Urged to Help Protect Tuscany’s Manufacturing Pipeline
A challenging global economic scenario is slowing down production and impacting the region's pipeline, as signaled by Gucci turning to a temporary government-funded redundancy pay for three of its industrial platforms.

MILAN — Eyes are on Italy’s Tuscany region, a key leather goods manufacturing hub and a fundamental cornerstone in the production pipeline for most international luxury brands.

Conglomerates from LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton to Kering have been investing in protecting the supply chain in the region, and developing their own production chain over the years. However, a challenging global economic scenario affecting the luxury industry is slowing down production, impacting even a company such as Gucci.

The company has been forced to turn to the “cassa integrazione,” an extraordinary and temporary government-funded redundancy pay, in relation to three industrial platforms, the GT in Scandicci, the GPA in Figline Valdarno and the Garpe di Piancastagnaio, all in Tuscany. Together, the three count around 1,000 employees.

These companies have been working directly for the production of Gucci collections for as far back as three generations. Through the redundancy pay, the goal is to maintain the production functioning, although at a reduced rate.

The last time Gucci introduced the measure was during the COVID-19 pandemic.

According to the Tuscan Federmoda branch of CNA, the national confederation of artisans and small and medium sized companies, which comprises 620,000 entrepreneurs that employ 1.2 million people — in the first half of the year, 304 small and medium-sized companies have shut down in the region, 182 of them in the leather goods sector.

Claudia Sequi, president of leather goods association Assopellettieri, told WWD at the Mipel trade show in September that the numbers relating to the first five months of 2024 processed by the Confindustria Accessori Moda Study Center speak of a 9.4 percent drop in exports and that redundancy payments have surged 138.5 percent in the leather supply chain, and 1,832 fewer employees were employed between January and June.

“We need immediate political support, starting with extending redundancy funds and enabling banks to provide easier access to credit,” Sequi said, urging the government to take action. “Loan rates are high; still, companies must invest to move forward. Our supply chain is unique worldwide, we must protect it.”

As reported, the sector’s associations are rallying together seeking more government support. Following the fifth meeting of the so-called Table of Fashion held in the presence of the country’s minister of enterprises and of Made in Italy Adolfo Urso in August, Camera della Moda, associations Confindustria Moda and Sistema Moda Italia underscored the challenges impacting its future.

The government has announced it would support the rescheduling of debt, a tax break on research and development, promotion outside the country and more social welfare measures. Urso also reiterated his ministry’s goal is to implement a Made in Italy law, which would emphasize and add value to the natural and recycled fibers supply chain and provide incentives to the sector.

Carlo Capasa, chairman of Italy’s Chamber of Fashion, reporting a 5 percent decrease in revenues in the first six months of the year compared to the same period in 2023, said it was “necessary to provide the correct support to the Italian industry and especially to small and medium-size companies.”

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 2nd of October 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Aedifica Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 78 euros
* Enagas Raised to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Redcare Pharmacy NV Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 155 euros
* Rio Tinto ADRs Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT $79
* Rio Tinto Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 6,200 pence

>>> Down
* Aston Martin Cut to Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 144 pence
* Care Property Invest NV Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF
* Covestro Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 62 euros
* Covestro Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 62 euros
* Digital 9 Infrastructure/Fund Cut to Hold at Investec '+)
* DocMorris AG Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 40 Swiss francs
* IBM Cut to Hold at DZ Bank; PT $215 (+)
* Inmobiliaria Colonial Cut to Neutral at Alantra Equities (+)
* Kion Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Mercialys Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 12.50 euros
* Nike Cut to Hold at CFRA
* Orion Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 53 euros
* SEB Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 180 kronor
* Societe Fonciere Lyonnaise Cut to Underperform at Oddo BHF
* TietoEVRY Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 20 euros

>>> Initiation
* Enagas Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 14.50 euros (+)
* Enel Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 7 euros (+)
* Engie Resumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 17.50 euros (+)
* Exor Rated New Buy at KBC Securities; PT 120 euros (+)
* Fortum Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 13.70 euros (+)
* Iberdrola Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 13 euros (+)
* Italgas Resumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 6.20 euros (+)
* Bytes Technology Reinstated Buy at Berenberg; PT 640 pence
* Computacenter Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 2,675 pence
* Snam Resumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 5.40 euros (+)
* Softcat Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 1,600 pence
* Terna Resumed Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 8.40 euros (+)

>>> Call
* *BARCLAYS CUTS EUROPEAN BANKS TO MARKET WEIGHT FROM OVERWEIGHT (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) +2.8%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) +2.2%
  • Bavarian Nordic (BV3 TH) +1.4%
  • GEA Group (G1A TH) +1.3%
    • GEA Group Targets 17% to 19% Ebitda Margin by 2030, RoCE of >45%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +1.2%
  • Shell (R6C0 TH) +1.1%
    • Yest., Oil, Defense Stocks Gain on Iran Warning; Airlines Fall (2)
  • Aker BP (ARC TH) +1.1%
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) +1.1%
  • Porsche (P911 TH) -1%
  • OMV (OMV TH) -1.1%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.2%
  • Enel (ENL TH) -1.3%
  • Adidas (ADS TH) -1.4%
    • Watch Nike’s European Peers After Sales Drop, Guidance Withdrawn
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -1.5%
  • Puma (PUM TH) -1.5%
    • Watch Nike’s European Peers After Sales Drop, Guidance Withdrawn
  • D’Ieteren (DJDA TH) -1.6%
  • SEB (SEBA TH) -2.5%
  • Kion (KGX TH) -2.7%
    • Kion Cut to Neutral at BofA

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -1%
  • Adidas (ADS TH) -1.2%
    • Watch Nike’s European Peers After Sales Drop, Guidance Withdrawn
MDAX:
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) +2.9%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +2.8%
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +1.9%
    • Redcare Pharmacy NV Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 155 euros
  • Puma (PUM TH) -1.2%
    • Watch Nike’s European Peers After Sales Drop, Guidance Withdrawn
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.3%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -1.3%
  • Kion (KGX TH) -2.7%
SDAX:
  • Grenke (GLJ TH) +5%
    • Grenke 3Q Leasing New Business Volume EU738.5M Vs. EU591.1M Y/y
  • Thyssenkrupp Nucera AG & Co KGaa (NCH2 TH) -1.8%
  • RENK Group AG (R3NK TH) -3.6%
    • Renk Group Offering Books Are Covered: Terms

>>> What to look at today - 2nd of October 2024

Oil advanced after tensions in the Middle East flared up with Iran firing a barrage of missiles at Israel. Asian stocks gained, led by Hong Kong, as China’s stimulus measures continued to sway investors. Crude extended gains while gold held near a record. Equities in Japan and South Korea declined following Tehran’s sharp but brief strike in reprisal for Israel’s attacks on Lebanon in recent days. The Israel Defense Forces said many of the missiles had been intercepted as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to retaliate. The broad risk-off mood came as geopolitical tensions racheted up in the Middle East and as traders await further clarity over Israel’s response. The flight to safety has sent oil, haven assets higher and stocks lower. Meanwhile, Chinese shares overcame cautious risk sentiment, extending a stimulus-induced rally as traders returned from a public holiday, driven by optimism about China’s economy and attractive valuations.  Markets in mainland China remain shut for Golden Week. The Taiwanese stock market is also closed as Super Typhoon Krathon approaches the island. An index of Chinese stocks rose as much as 6.5%, the most since November 2022, as it headed for a 13th straight winning session. Chinese property stocks extended gains on Wednesday after Beijing followed other major cities in China in relaxing home purchase rules. The Middle East conflict drove the Wall Street’s fear gauge — the VIX — higher on Tuesday, touching a key level that usually indicates more market swings are in store. Australian and New Zealand government bonds rose, along with Asian defense and energy shares.  In corporate news, Samsung Electronics Co. is laying off workers as part of a plan to reduce global headcount by thousands of jobs. Elsewhere, South Korea’s inflation slowed more than expected, supporting the case for a pivot to monetary easing by the central bank when it sets policy next week. Meanwhile, euro-area inflation slowed below the European Central Bank’s 2% target for the first time since 2021, prompting money markets to add to bets on another quarter-point decrease by the ECB this month.  US After Hours CRGY +7.4% up big on inclusion in S&P SmallCap 600; NKE -6.1% slipping on Q1 results and withdrawn FY25 guidance.

Nikkei -2.35% Hang Seng +4.99% CSI Closed Shanghai Closed Shenzen Closed

Eur$ 1.1067 CNH 7.0145 CNY 7.0187 JPY 143.85 GBP 1.3282 CHF 0.8463 RUB 95.7955 TRY 34.2016 WTI$ 70.93 +1.59% Gold 2;655 -0.32% BTC 61,500 +1.17% ETH 2,484 +1.33%

S&P -0.31% Nasdaq -0.40% EuroStoxx +0.18% FTSE +0.13% Dax +0.06% SMI +0.25%

Macro :
- Buybacks Reach $90.4 Billion, Second-Most for September: Birinyi
- Brazil Raised to Ba1 By Moody’s, Outlook Remains Positive (1)

Keep an eye on :
- AGS BB : Saga in Talks With Ageas About a Deal for Insurance Arm: Sky
- AF FP : France Plans to Raise Tax on Plane Tickets: Les Echos
- AAPL US : Apple Readies New iPhone SE and iPads for Release in Early 2025
- ASM NA : ASM Risks Bigger Order Decline From Samsung Than Intel: React
- BARC LN : Activist Investors’ Strategy Demands See US CEOs Depart Quicker
- BBVA SM : BBVA Adjusts Sabadell Offer Due to Dividend Payouts
- BRE IM : Brembo Sells Its Entire Stake in Italian Tiremaker Pirelli
- COR PL : Corticeira Amorim Says Saci Agrees to Acquire Intercap
- ENOG LN : ISRAEL'S KARISH GAS FIELD REMAINS OPERATIONAL, ENERGEAN SAYS
- RF FP : Eurazeo Says Grape Hospitality Sold 22 Hotels
- ENX FP : Euronext Buys Acupay; No Terms
- G1A GY : GEA Group Targets 17% to 19% Ebitda Margin by 2030, RoCE of >45%
- GLJ GY : Grenke 3Q Leasing New Business Volume EU738.5M Vs. EU591.1M Y/y
- Hotelbeds IPO : Hotelbeds Further Delays €4B IPO to at Least 1Q: El Confidencial
- IDR SM : Indra Plans to Sell Majority Stake in IT Unit Minsait: Expansion
- NKE US : Nike Reset Awaits New Strategic Direction as Sales Fall: React
- EUZ GY : Pentixapharm Holding Raises €19.9 Million in Frankfurt IPO
- PIRC IM : Brembo Sells Its Entire Stake in Italian Tiremaker Pirelli
- 1913 HK : -3.75% in HK
- R3NK GY : Renk Group Holder Offers Around €350m Shares: Terms
- SAGA LN : Saga Delays 1H Results As It Explores Partnership Opportunities
- SAGA LN : Saga in Talks With Ageas About a Deal for Insurance Arm: Sky
- SAN FP : Sanofi Is Said to Ask Bidders to Revise Consumer Health Offers
- F3C GY : SFC Energy to Buy Certain Ballard Power Systems Assets
- SMCP FP : SMCP Appoints Ida Simonsen President and Chief Executive Officer for North America - WWD
- 6750 JP : Pink Floyd Agrees to Sell Music Rights to Sony for $400m: FT
- VOW GY : Audi Struggles to Find Investor for Brussels Car Factory
- VOW GY : VW Budget Brand Unveils €33,000 Electric SUV in Answer to BYD