>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of February 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Balder Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 90 kronor
* Bergen Carbon Solutions Raised to Buy at Norne Securities
* Expedia PT Raised to $210 from $180 at Piper Sandler
* Iveco Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 17 euros
* Lectra Raised to Buy at TP ICAP Midcap; PT 32 euros (+)
* Marimekko Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 14.60 euros
* Nordic Semiconductor Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley (+)
* Robert Half Inc Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $71.50 (+)
* Saab Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 210 kronor
* Saab Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 260 kronor
* Spectris Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 3,450 pence
* Sweco Raised to Market Perform at Handelsbanken; PT 233 kronor (+)
* Tekova Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 95 euro cents
* Victrex Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 1,280 pence

>>> Down
* Adecco Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 25 Swiss francs
* ADDvise Group Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 1.30 kronor
* Atea Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 145 kroner
* BPER Banca Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 6.95 euros (+)
* Fagerhult Group AB Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Fevertree Drinks Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 800 pence
* IAG Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 375 pence
* Kongsberg Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 1,250 kroner
* NP3 Fastigheter Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
* OMV Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 42 euros
* Pennon Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 475 pence
* Porsche Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 63.10 euros
* Porsche Cut to Hold at Berenberg
* Porsche Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
* Porsche Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 55 euros (+)
* Rockwool Cut to Sell at UBS (+)
* Rovi Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 74 euros
* Safestore Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 650 pence
* Shurgard Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 37 euros

>>> Initiation
* Asmodee Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 127 kronor (+)
* Icop Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 10.80 euros (+)
* Mortgage Advice Bureau Rated New Outperform at KBW
* Pluxee Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 21.60 euros (+)
* SkiStar Rated New Buy at ABG; PT 200 kronor
* Vitec Software Group Rated New Buy at Bryan Garnier (+)

>>> Call
* CITI STRATEGISTS CUT EUROPEAN BASIC RESOURCES STOCKS TO NEUTRAL (+)
* CITI STRATEGISTS RAISE FINANCIAL SERVICES STOCKS TO OVERWEIGHT (+)
* CITI STRATEGISTS DOWNGRADE CONSUMER PRODUCTS STOCKS TO NEUTRAL (+)
* Goldman Strategists See Tariffs as Key US Earnings Downside Risk (+)
* IAG Cut to Neutral at Goldman After Stock’s Outperformance (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says China Tariff Impact More Rotational (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Saab (SDV1 TH) +2.8%
    • Saab Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 210 kronor
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +2.7%
    • BP Faces Pivotal Moment as Activist Investor Elliott Enters Fray
  • 3i (IGQ5 TH) +2.7%
  • Monte Paschi (MPI0 TH) +2.6%
    • Monte Paschi Launches Early Redemption of €750M Senior Bonds
  • Handelsbanken (SVHH TH) +2.2%
  • Var Energi (J4V TH) +2%
  • Argenx (1AE TH) +1.6%
  • Kemira (KEM TH) +1.3%
  • Thales (CSF TH) +1.3%
  • Diageo (GUI TH) +0.9%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) -1%
  • Norsk Hydro (NOH1 TH) -1.1%
    • Watch European Metal and Mining Stocks as Trump Plans Tariffs
  • Philips (PHI1 TH) -1.2%
  • GBL (EAI TH) -1.3%
  • IAG (INR TH) -1.3%
  • K+S (SDF TH) -1.6%
  • Aurubis (NDA TH) -1.8%
  • SocGen (SGE TH) -1.9%
  • Rockwool (R90 TH) -3.1%
  • Voestalpine (VAS TH) -4.4%
    • Watch European Metal and Mining Stocks as Trump Plans Tariffs

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of February 2025

>>> Up
* Balder Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 90 kronor
* Bergen Carbon Solutions Raised to Buy at Norne Securities
* Expedia PT Raised to $210 from $180 at Piper Sandler
* Iveco Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 17 euros
* Marimekko Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 14.60 euros
* Saab Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 210 kronor
* Saab Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 260 kronor
* Spectris Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 3,450 pence
* Tekova Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 95 euro cents
* Victrex Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 1,280 pence

>>> Down
* Adecco Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 25 Swiss francs
* ADDvise Group Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 1.30 kronor
* Atea Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 145 kroner
* Fagerhult Group AB Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Fevertree Drinks Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 800 pence
* IAG Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 375 pence
* Kongsberg Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 1,250 kroner
* NP3 Fastigheter Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
* OMV Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 42 euros
* Pennon Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 475 pence
* Porsche Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 63.10 euros
* Porsche Cut to Hold at Berenberg
* Porsche Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
* Rovi Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 74 euros
* Safestore Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 650 pence
* Shurgard Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 37 euros

>>> Initiation
* Mortgage Advice Bureau Rated New Outperform at KBW
* SkiStar Rated New Buy at ABG; PT 200 kronor

>>> Call

>>> What to look at today - 10th of February 2025

President Donald Trump’s pledge to impose tariffs on all imports of steel and aluminum sent the dollar higher as investors braced for increased global trade tensions. Hong Kong stocks extended their tech-fueled rally into a third day. Equities presented a mixed picture with a benchmark of Asian shares dropping the most in a week, while US and European stock index futures edged higher. The greenback climbed against major peers including the Canadian dollar and the yen on speculation rising tariffs may boost inflation and limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates.  Trump’s intention to announce a 25% levy on steel and aluminum Monday added to already tense sentiment before Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s semiannual congressional testimony this week and the US President’s possible unveiling of reciprocal tariffs on “everyone” this week. Trump said the metals tariffs would apply to imports from all countries, though he didn’t specify when they would take effect. The modest gains in US stock futures during Asian hours indicate some buyers may want to get back into the market following the 1% selloff on the S&P 500 Index on Friday. There are a number of key events on the radar this week including Powell’s speech and US CPI data. Yields on the 10-year Treasury edged lower. Australian and New Zealand bonds held losses from earlier in the session. Separately, Trump said Elon Musk’s government efficiency team has found irregularities while examining data at the US Treasury Department. Powell will deliver his semi-annual testimony at a time when officials are signaling they’re not in a hurry to further ease policy. Nonfarm payrolls moderated last month and revisions show US job gains were softer but still solid in 2024. Inflation data due this week may help buttress those arguments and underpin market pricing for just one Fed rate cut this year. In Singapore, shares in DBS Group Holdings Ltd. rose to a record after Southeast Asia’s biggest lender unveiled a dividend payout plan. Chinese equities in Hong Kong bucked the trend and advanced. The Hang Seng Tech Index hit its highest since October on an intraday basis, as the growing artificial intelligence clout of the world’s second-largest economy sparked a wave of optimism.  China Telecom Corp. stock climbed by the 10% limit in Shanghai to a record as analysts said it stands to benefit from rising capex related to the integration of DeepSeek’s new AI model.   Shares of Chinese e-commerce platform operators climbed as Trump delayed suspension of the de minimis exception, temporarily retaining duty free status for low-value packages coming from the Asian country. Commodities were muted as traders waited for more details on when and how Trump’s latest tariffs would operate. Aluminum futures in London — the global benchmark — were steady, while copper was little changed. Gold edged up toward a record as investors shunned risk.  Elsewhere, South Africa’s rand fell after the US froze all aid to the nation over what Trump falsely claimed were rights violations stemming from a new land-expropriation law, as well as its allegations of genocide against Israel. South Africa’s foreign ministry in a statement Saturday expressed “great concern that the foundational premise of this order lacks factual accuracy.” 

Nikkei +0.04% Hang Seng +1.66% CSI +0.22% Shanghai +0.58% Shenzen +1.01%

Eur$ 1.0324 CNH 7.3099 CNY 7.3042 JPY 151.99 GBP 1.2413 CHF 0.9109 RUB 97.4909 TRY 36.0298 WTI$ 71.52 +0.75% Gold 2,888 +0.93% BTC 97;350 +2.23% ETH 2,644 +3.55%

S&P +0.24% Nasdaq +0.43% EuroStoxx +0.38% FTSE +0.11% Dax +0.15% SMI -0.02%

Macro :
- Aussie Dollar’s Drop on Trump Tariffs Charts Course for Risk
- Trump Says He Plans Reciprocal Tariffs, Will Affect ‘Everyone’
- Crypto ETF Hopefuls View SEC’s Latest Moves as Change of Pace
- Why Trump Wants Canada’s Wealth of Critical Minerals
- Trump Plans to Announce 25% Steel, Aluminum Tariffs on Monday
- Gold Shortage Hinted by Surging Lease Rate as Tariffs Fuel Flows

Keep an eye on :
- AMZN US : German Court Rules in Nokia Favor in Amazon Patent Dispute: WiWo
- AAPL UD : Apple’s Dilemma in UK Over Encryption Alarms Privacy Experts
- BIO Sw : GSK-Backed BioVersys Slides in Swiss Listing Debut After IPO
- BMW GY : BMW to Continue Investing in Combustion Engine, Hybrid Tech: FT
- BA US : Boeing to Lay Off About 400 People From Moon Rocket Program
- BP/ LN : Activist Elliott Said to Build Stake in Struggling Oil Major BP
- BP/ LN : BP Faces Pivotal Moment as Activist Investor Elliott Enters Fray
- DHER GY : Delivery Hero, Finally Profitable, Takes On Larger Asian Rivals
- DKNG US : Super Bowl’s $1.4 Billion In Bets Arrive to Lift Gambling Stocks
- ENI IM : Eni Says Conditions for Exmar Project Bonus Yet to Be Assessed
- EL US : Director bought 87000 shares at various prices from $64.57-68.80 worth ~$5724K. (65.02 +0.75)
Also, CFO bought 700 shares at $65.79 worth ~$46K.
- Ethiad IPO : Etihad Plans Float of up to 20% Stake as Early as Feb.: Times
- GTT FP : GTT Plans Elogen Unit Reorganization as CEO Choimet Resigns
- ITV LN : ITV investors back a potential deal involving UK broadcaster’s studio arm
- MBG GY : Beijing Benz Recalls 17,235 Cars on Transmission Software Faults
- NCCB SS : NCC Net Sales Beat; Starts Strategic Review of Industry Ops
- NESTE FH : Top Oil Short-Seller Target Neste Faces a Day of Reckoning
- NETC DC : Netcompany to Buy SDC for DKK1b to Expand in Banking Services
- NKE US : Nike Returns to Super Bowl Advertising for First Time in 27 Years -- WSJ
- NOKIA FH : Nokia Picks Intel’s Justin Hotard as CEO as Pekka Lundmark Exits
- PLUG Us : EV Charging Stocks Fall as Trump Administration Suspends Funds
- P911 GY : Porsche Careens Toward Trump Tariff Showdown in Weakened State
- PROX BB : Proximus CEO Boutin to Join Vodafone in May (Feb. 7)
- RNO FP : Renault reactivates talks with Foxconn over sale of Nissan stake
- RR/ LN : Rolls Royce PLC awarded a $167.4 mln US Navy contract for production of 40 MT7 turboshaft engines
- RR/ LN : Rolls-Royce to double sourcing from India over the next five years
- 3382 JP : Seven & i’s Blended 7-Eleven and Supermarket Proves a Tough Sell
- SKAB SS : Skanska Signs Pact With Vastra Gotaland Worth About SEK550m
- TSLA US : Trump admin freezes EV charging program that gave Tesla millions - TechCrunch
- TITC BB : European Cement Maker Titan’s US Unit Shares Edge Up After IPO
- 2330 TT : TSMC January Sales Growth Slows After DeepSeek Roils Market
- X US : Trump: Nippon Steel Looking at Investment in US Steel
- X US : Japanese Investors Relieved by Warm Vibes From Ishiba and Trump
- UBER US : Ackman Says Pershing Square Owns 30.3m Shares in Uber
- VOD LN : Proximus CEO Boutin to Join Vodafone in May (Feb. 7)

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

MDAX:
  • RTL (RRTL TH) +1%
  • Aurubis (NDA TH) -1.2%
  • K+S (SDF TH) -1.5%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -4.5%
    • Trump Unveils Plans for 25% Tariffs on Steel, Aluminum Imports
SDAX:
  • Douglas AG (DOU TH) +1.9%
  • Grenke (GLJ TH) +1.6%
  • Stabilus (STM TH) +1.1%
  • Medios (ILM1 TH) +1%
  • SFC Energy (F3C TH) +1%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) -2%
  • Salzgitter (SZG TH) -2.1%
  • Kloeckner (KCO TH) -3%
    • Trump Unveils Plans for 25% Tariffs on Steel, Aluminum Imports
  • SUSS MicroTec (SMHN TH) -3.6%

FT : China imposes retaliatory tariffs on $14bn worth of US goods

FT : China imposes retaliatory tariffs on $14bn worth of US goods

China has imposed retaliatory tariffs on the US, hitting about $14bn worth of goods and dashing hopes that a trade war between the world’s two largest economies could be avoided.

Beijing announced the tariffs last week in response to a US decision to impose an additional 10 per cent levy on Chinese products, which US President Donald Trump called an “opening salvo” in a renewed trade offensive against China.

Compared with the blanket US tariffs, China’s measures — which target US exports of liquefied natural gas, coal, crude oil and farm equipment as well as some automotive goods with levies of 10 per cent to 15 per cent — were seen as creating space for negotiations to avert a wide trade conflict.

But by the Sunday deadline there was no news of a deal and China’s embassy in Washington said the tariffs came into effect at 12.01am Beijing time on Monday (11.01am on Sunday in Washington DC).

Beijing last week also announced an antitrust probe into Google, whose search engine is blocked in China, and Illumina, a US biotechnology company. And it blacklisted the holding company of US clothing brands Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger.

China underlined its control of the rare earths supply chain by restricting exports to the US of five critical metals used in defence-related industries, solar panels, electric vehicle batteries and other green energy products. China produces about 60 per cent of the world’s rare earths and accounts for 90 per cent of processing in the industry.

Financial markets had initially hoped Trump might follow the same playbook with China as with Canada and Mexico — against which he also announced tariffs, but then gave a month’s reprieve following last-minute talks with their leaders.

Trump had suggested he would speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping, but later said he was in “no rush” to do so.

Experts have suggested Beijing might have objected to Trump’s tactics, announcing the tariffs just two days before they came into effect, and before approaching Chinese officials for negotiations.

Trump has accused China, along with Mexico and Canada, of failing to curb the flow of the deadly opioid fentanyl into the US.

He has also instructed the US Trade Representative to investigate Chinese compliance with the first phase of the trade deal he sealed with China in 2020 during his first term in the White House, under which Beijing agreed to buy more American products.

The USTR is due to report the findings from the probe on April 1, at which point there could be another confrontation, analysts said.

Beijing has taken some measures to stem the flow of ingredients for fentanyl — known as precursor chemicals — since a summit in San Francisco in late 2023 involving the then US president Joe Biden and Xi. But the Trump administration accuses Beijing of subsidising Chinese companies that make the precursors.

The US-China trading relationship has shaped both countries’ economies in recent decades.

But China’s share of total US imports has fallen markedly since Trump introduced tariffs during his first term, leading some analysts to suggest that Beijing may be better placed this time to endure the president’s measures.

Frederic Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC, said many Chinese companies would be able to bear a 10 per cent tariff on their goods, given the country’s export prices had declined much more than those of rival producers over the past two years.

“If there was only a 10 per cent tariff on China and we left it at that, I think many investors would sleep more comfortably,” he added. “The big worry, of course, is this is a prelude to potentially larger trade restrictions.”

FT : Trump vows to cut billions of dollars from US defence spending

Trump vows to cut billions of dollars from US defence spending
President says ‘fraud and abuse’ at the Pentagon will be the next target of cost-cutting by Elon Musk

Donald Trump said he would seek to cut billions of dollars from the Pentagon budget as the next big target in the effort led by Elon Musk to slash spending by US government agencies.

In an interview on Sunday, Trump backed Musk’s cost-cutting push through the so-called “Department of Government Efficiency” even as it faces growing setbacks in federal courts and allegations from Democrats that it is exceeding its powers.

Trump said Musk had been “terrific” and a “great help” in scouring the federal government for possible spending cuts so far. He indicated that the defence department, which has an annual budget of about $800bn, would be next in the billionaire’s sights.

“Let’s check the military. We’re going to find billions, hundreds of billions of dollars of fraud and abuse. You know, the people elected me on that,” Trump said.

Musk’s potential role in scouring the Pentagon for savings has already raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest, given that his companies SpaceX and its subsidiary Starlink have contracts with the government.

But Mike Waltz, Trump’s national security adviser, brushed off those worries in an interview with NBC. He said “all of the appropriate firewalls” would be in place to prevent any conflicts, though he did not offer further details.

“The American people have said enough, enough with the bloat and the waste and the debt,” Waltz said. “We do need great minds and we do need business leaders to go in there and absolutely reform the Pentagon’s acquisition process,” he said.

With Musk in a leading role, Trump’s second administration has moved aggressively to grind some federal programmes and agencies to a halt.

In one setback for Musk on Saturday, a federal judge in New York temporarily blocked his team’s effort to gain access to the US Treasury department’s payment data, saying it could lead to the disclosure of sensitive personal information that could cause “irreparable harm” to Americans.

Democrats have increasingly been crying foul.

“This is the most serious constitutional crisis the country has faced, certainly since Watergate,” Chris Murphy, the Democratic senator from Connecticut, told ABC on Sunday.

“The president wants to be able to decide how and where money is spent so that he can reward his political friends, he can punish his political enemies. That is the evisceration of democracy,” he added.

The hardest hit federal agencies include USAID, which administers foreign aid, and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, whose employees were told on Saturday by its acting director Russell Vought to cease virtually all of their activities, including investigations and supervision. Trump has also vowed to eliminate the Department of Education, which has long been a target of conservative ire.

Republicans in Congress have stood by Trump and Musk as they have moved to halt a wide range of federal programmes, even though the push has undermined the constitutional role of lawmakers in authorising spending.

Mike Turner, an Ohio Republican, said on ABC that the Trump administration needed to take a “critical view” of US spending policies because the country’s fiscal path was “unsustainable”. But he also said Musk could be moving more artfully.

“He needs to, in a more professional way, communicate with the American public,” Turner said.

TechCrunch : Investments in French AI ecosystem reach $85B as Brookfield commits

Investments in French AI ecosystem reach $85B as Brookfield commits $20B

Canadian investment firm Brookfield plans to invest €20 billion by 2030 in artificial intelligence projects in France (around $20.7 billion at current exchange rates), according to a report from La Tribune Dimanche confirmed by news agency AFP. The majority of the sum will be used to build AI-focused data centers.

This announcement is the latest in a series of investment commitments as heads of state and global tech leaders plan to gather for the Artificial Intelligence Action Summit in Paris starting on Monday.

According to La Tribune Dimanche, around €15 billion of Brookfield’s investment will go toward a massive data center in Cambrai in the North of France. This data center will have a capacity of up to one gigawatt. The rest will be used for new infrastructure projects, including the construction of new electricity production capabilities.

On Friday, France and the United Arab Emirates announced an AI campus project along with a large investment of up to €50 billion ($52 billion). Once again, most of the investment will go toward a data center with a capacity of up to one gigawatt.

There are two reasons why these mega investment projects are occurring right now. First, on January 21, OpenAI, SoftBank, MGX and other partners unveiled the Stargate Project, a $500 billion investment program to build multiple data centers for AI in the United States.

While it’s unclear how much each investor is actually willing to commit to Stargate, this announcement — combined with Mario Draghi’s recent report on European competitiveness — acted as a wake-up call for many policy-makers in Europe.

Second, the majority of France’s electricity production comes from nuclear power plants (around 65%) and renewable sources (around 25%). It also produces more electricity than it needs. Tech companies are struggling to reduce their carbon footprint and find sufficient electricity capacity, so they are increasingly looking to France as an attractive location for their power-hungry data centers.

Other commitments from local companies
Separately, Bpifrance, France’s public investment bank, announced that it plans to invest as much as €10 billion ($10.3 billion) in the AI ecosystem in France. This isn’t a data center project, as Bpifrance mostly wants to back more AI startups and become a limited partner in VC firms specialized in AI investments. Bpifrance is already a shareholder in Mistral, H and Poolside.

Finally, Iliad, the telecom company founded by French billionaire Xavier Niel, is allocating €3 billion toward AI investments ($3.1 billion) with the help of financial partners, such as Infravia. Around €2.5 billion ($2.6 billion) will be used to build new AI-focused data centers with “hundreds of megawatts of capacity.”

Scaleway, a cloud computing company based in France, is a subsidiary of Iliad. So the new computing power will likely be available through Scaleway. Some European AI companies have already used Scaleway to train their AI models, such as Mistral, H and Photoroom. (Interestingly, Xavier Niel also happens to be an investor in Mistral and H.)

If you add up all these announcements, France could receive €83 billion ($85 billion) in AI-related investments in the coming years, primarily related to data centers and infrastructure projects. And there might be more to come at the AI Action Summit.