>>> US Research Calls II

Research Calls II
  • Upgrades:
    • Infosys (INFY) upgraded to Outperform from Hold at CLSA
    • Jazz Pharma (JAZZ) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS; tgt raised to $179
    • JPMorgan Chase (JPM) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Robert W. Baird; tgt raised to $220
    • Logitech Int'l SA (LOGI) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush; tgt $125
    • Sea Limited (SE) upgraded to Neutral from Reduce at Phillip Securities
    • Steel Dynamics (STLD) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $158
    • Surmodics (SRDX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Lake Street; tgt $43
    • Tesla (TSLA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen; tgt raised to $388
    • The Trade Desk (TTD) upgraded to Hold from Sell at The Benchmark Company
    • Ventas (VTR) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus
    • Viavi (VIAV) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Rosenblatt; tgt $14
    • Vodafone PLC (VOD) upgraded to Buy from Hold at DZ Bank
    • Wayfair (W) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $47
    • Zscaler (ZS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $240
  • Downgrades:
    • BigBear.ai (BBAI) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Northland Capital; tgt raised to $4
    • Lear (LEA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $95
    • Neumora Therapeutics (NMRA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
    • Neumora Therapeutics (NMRA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel; tgt lowered to $2
    • South Bow Corporation (SOBO) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • South Bow Corporation (SOBO) downgraded to Neutral from Sector Outperform at CIBC
  • Others:
    • Ardelyx (ARDX) resumed with a Buy at Ladenburg Thalmann
    • ARS Pharmaceuticals (SPRY) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $30
    • Avidity Biosciences (RNA) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $70
    • Blueprint Medicines (BPMC) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $150
    • C.H. Robinson (CHRW) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $129
    • Cogent Biosciences (COGT) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $17
    • CSX (CSX) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $34
    • Denali Therapeutics (DNLI) resumed with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $33
    • Dyne Therapeutics (DYN) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $50
    • Edgewise Therapeutics (EWTX) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $50
    • FedEx (FDX) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $337
    • Gain Therapeutics (GANX) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $12
    • GXO Logistics (GXO) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $45
    • Hub Group (HUBG) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $41
    • Innoviva (INVA) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $55
    • J.B. Hunt Transport (JBHT) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $167
    • Lucid Group (LCID) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $2.30
    • MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $19
    • Nexxen International (NEXN) resumed with a Buy at Needham; tgt $12
    • Norfolk Southern (NSC) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $293
    • Old Dominion (ODFL) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $236
    • Palvella Therapeutics (PVLA) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $50
    • Perspective Therapeutics (CATX) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $15
    • PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank; tgt $55
    • Rivian Automotive (RIVN) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $12.70
    • RXO, Inc. (RXO) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $19
    • Saia (SAIA) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $570
    • Sandisk (SNDK) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald; tgt $60
    • Sprott Inc. (SII) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital Markets
    • Stellantis (STLA) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $13
    • Teradyne (TER) initiated with a Buy at Vertical Research; tgt $135
    • Under Armour (UAA) initiated with a Neutral at KGI Securities
    • Union Pacific (UNP) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $295
    • UPS (UPS) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $119
    • Vertiv (VRT) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $121
    • Visteon (VC) resumed with a Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $108
    • Werner Enterprises (WERN) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $33
    • XPO, Inc. (XPO) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $156
    • Zai Lab (ZLAB) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $55

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • HPE -19.5%, BBAI -15.4%, SWBI -9.1%, GCO -8.9%, IOT -8.1%, FNKO -6.4%, COO -6.3%, COOK -3.2% (also names new CFO), GHLD -2.9% (also declares $0.50/sh special dividend), PBPB -2.6%, COST -1.6%
Other news:
  • LUNR -35.6% (lander reaches the moon, but its status is unclear, according to CNN)
  • SERV -8.8% (files $300 mln mixed shelf securities offering)
  • AKA -6.4% (to debut 7 new US Princess Polly stores in 2025)
  • SRDX -4.4% (FTC sues to block GTCR's acquisition of SRDX, noting it is anticompetitive; issues statement)
  • SCPH -2.6% (FDA approves sNDA expanding FUROSCIX indication to include edema)
  • LDI -2.2% (CEO steps down)
  • FORM -1.4% (partners with Delft Circuits to revolutionize quantum computing interfacing)
  • UPBD -0.8% (Acima Leasing Announces CFPB's Voluntary Dismissal of Previously Disclosed Lawsuit)
  • XERS -0.7% (files $250 mln mixed shelf securities offering)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • GAP +16.9% (also increases dividend), AVGO +10.4%, WLDN +7.1%, IDT +6.7% (also increases dividend), VEL +5.9%, ADV +5.5%, ASLE +5%, MLNK +4.7% (also authorizes new $129.5 mln share repurchase program), GRNT +3.4%, DOMO +0.7%
Other news:
  • ATYR +7.8% (announces positive review for Efzofitimod in Phase 3 study)
  • SII +6.9% (Toronto exchange approves buyback)
  • WBA +6.1% (to be acquired by Sycamore Partners for $11.45/sh in cash + up to $3/sh additional payout)
  • MBLY +2.3% (Point72 Asset Mgmt (Steven Cohen) discloses 5% stake)
  • CNTA +2% (to present data from Phase 1 trial of ORX750)
  • NVDA +0.9% (in sympathy with strong AVGO earnings)

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • American Public Education (APEI) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at William Blair
    • Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at B. Riley Securities; tgt $13
    • Array Tech (ARRY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim; tgt $10
    • Bank of America (BAC) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt raised to $50
    • CAE (CAE) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities
    • Canadian Natrl Res (CNQ) upgraded to Outperform from In-line at Evercore ISI
    • Dayforce (DAY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen; tgt raised to $68
    • Hawaiian Electric (HE) upgraded to Outperform from In-line at Evercore ISI; tgt raised to $14
    • Huntington Banc (HBAN) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt $18
    • Leonardo DRS (DRS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $40
  • Downgrades:
    • Air Lease (AL) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $50
    • BorgWarner (BWA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $31
    • Gauzy (GAUZ) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $10
    • Traeger (COOK) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Telsey Advisory Group; tgt lowered to $2.50
  • Others:
    • American Axle (AXL) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $5
    • Aptiv (APTV) resumed with a Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $90
    • Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) resumed with a Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $11
    • Aurora Innovation (AUR) resumed with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $8
    • Autoliv (ALV) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $116
    • Cerence (CRNC) resumed with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $11.50
    • Cipher Mining (CIFR) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $6.50
    • Coinbase Global (COIN) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $305
    • Cormedix (CRMD) initiated with an Outperform at Leerink Partners; tgt $18
    • Domo (DOMO) resumed with a Neutral at DA Davidson; tgt lowered to $8
    • Ford Motor (F) initiated with a Hold at TD Cowen; tgt $10
    • General Motors (GM) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $105
    • GH Research PLC (GHRS) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt $31
    • Goodyear Tire (GT) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen; tgt $14
    • HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $6
    • Hut 8 Mining (HUT) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $23

>>> What to look at today - 7th of March 2025 (Early Friday)

Asian stocks followed US equities lower as continual shifts in US President Donald Trump’s approach to tariffs on trade partners whipped up market uncertainty and dented confidence in the economic outlook. Shares in Australia and Japan tumbled more than 1.5% each while a gauge of Chinese stocks in Hong Kong gained to the highest level since November 2021. An index of the dollar fell for a fifth session, its longest losing streak in almost a year. Bitcoin fell as details of a US strategic reserve underwhelmed. Traders pointed to uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs. US stocks failed to stage a rebound even after a decision by Trump to delay levies on Mexican and Canadian goods covered by the North American trade deal, underscoring the fragile appetite for risk. Financial markets have whipsawed this week as investors deal with geopolitical uncertainty and conflicting signals from the US about the levies. Wall Street strategists have been debating whether the Trump administration would be swayed on its tariff plans by a decline in equities. The thinking being that Trump will ditch policies if the stock market — which he touts as a report card — drops and rattles investors. Various firms even mapped out how much pain Trump could tolerate in the S&P 500 Index before retreating. That index level became known as “the Trump put,” in reference to a put option. So far, Trump has given little indication he’ll change course. The president downplayed the reaction to the latest developments, saying “I’m not even looking at the market.” That followed his comments to Congress earlier this week that levies will cause “a little disturbance, but we’re OK with that. It won’t be much.” On Thursday, Trump delayed levies on goods covered by the North American trade deal from the two countries until April 2. Later comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent all but confirmed tariffs will be coming. Bessent rejected the idea that tariff hikes will ignite a new wave of inflation, and suggested that the Federal Reserve ought to view them as having a one-time impact. European stocks have advanced almost 10% this year, as rate cuts and Germany’s plan to raise defense spending boost the market. Meanwhile, a gauge of Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong has surged almost 23% so far this year on optimism over the nation’s artificial-intelligence adoption drive and expected stimulus from Beijing. Bitcoin fell after details of a US cryptocurrency reserve emerged and indicated the government will use digital assets forfeited as part of criminal or civil proceedings. US equity-index futures rose Friday after US chipmaker Broadcom Inc.’s upbeat revenue forecast reassured investors that spending on artificial-intelligence computing remained ongoing, pushing its shares around 13% higher in after-market trading.  The post-hours rally spread to tech companies that were among the hardest hit on Thursday. Nvidia Corp. and Marvell Technology Inc., which plunged during the main session as its outlook disappointed investors, rose after the closing bell.  Treasuries were slightly higher Friday after a muted session on Thursday. The Mexican peso and the Canadian dollar rose on news of the potential tariff reprieve. Australian and New Zealand yields fell early Friday. In Asia, China’s central government has ample fiscal policy tools and space to respond to possible domestic and external challenges, Finance Minister Lan Fo’an said Thursday on the sidelines of the annual legislative session. The People’s Bank of China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy, Governor Pan Gongsheng said, repeating an earlier pledge to cut interest rates and lower the reserve requirement ratio for lenders at “an appropriate time.” China’s exports reached a record so far this year as higher US tariffs, and the threat of more to come, drove frontloading of shipments. Upcoming US nonfarm payrolls data on Friday may help traders identify the path ahead for interest rates, as they grapple with the impact of rocky geopolitics, the impact of tariffs on global growth and the outlook for inflation. Friday’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics will provide an update for Fed officials about momentum in the labor market that’s been the key support — at least until January — of household spending and the economy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is slated to speak at a monetary policy forum Friday afternoon. Policymakers next meet March 18-19 and they’re expected to hold interest rates steady as they gauge the labor market and inflation trends as well as recent government policy shifts.  Meanwhile, Fed Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he wouldn’t support lowering interest rates in March, but sees room to cut two, or possibly three, times this year. In commodities, oil was on track for the biggest weekly decline since October while gold was on track for a gain as traders sought havens. US After Hours After Hours Summary: AVGO +16.3%, GAP +15.4% up big on earnings; WBA +5.6% on deal to go private; LUNR -28.9% as lander reaches moon, but status unclear; HPE -17.8%, BBAI -12.8%, COST -1.2% lower on earnings.

Nikkei -2.17% Hang Seng +0.55% CSI -0.14% Shanghai +0.01% Shenzen -0.03%

Eur$ 1.0811 CNH 7.2433 CNY 7.2431 JPY 147.71 GBP 1.2883 CHF 0.8823 RUB 89.0000 TRY 36.4879 WTI$ 66.30 -0.09% Gold 2,907.45 -0.15% BTC 87,715 -2.35% ETH 2,162 -2.32

S&P +0.11% Nasdaq +0.23% EuroStoxx -1.01% FTSE -0.53% Dax -1.30% SMI

Macro :
- China’s Top Tech Stocks Are Soaring While the ‘Mag Seven’ Sink
- US, China May Reach New Trade Agreement in 2H 2025, Citi Says
- Bitcoin Sinks After Trump’s Executive Order Disappoints Market
- Zelenskiy’s Kyiv Team to Meet With US Officials in Saudi Arabia
- Bitcoin Can Outperform Crypto Peers in Long Run on US Reserve
- Ukraine’s Dependence on Starlink in War Won’t Be Easy to Break
- Ex-Credit Suisse Banker in Bond Scandal Avoids Prison (Correct)
- France, Greece, Saudi Arabia: Credit Ratings Review for March 14
- Junk Bonds Are Set to Outperform ‘Riskier’ Stocks, Fridson Says
- Musk Says Next Starship Ready in 4 to 6 Weeks After Explosion

Keep an eye on :
- AIR FP : Polish Minister Says Buying Airbus Stake Would be Big Decision
- AAPL US : Meta accelerates voice-powered AI push
- ATO FP : Atos Starts Reverse Stock Split
- POST AV : Austrian Post FY Ebit Meets Estimates
- BATS LN : BAT Unit Says Ontario Court Sanctions Mediator’s Plan
- BAVA DC : Bavarian Reports UK Acceptance of Chikungunya Application
- BIM FP : BioMerieux Sees 2025 Organic Sales at Least +7%
- AVGO US : Broadcom Sees 2Q Revenue About $14.9B, Est. $14.59B: Snapshot +7%
- ATD CN : Couche-Tard Holds Talks for Sale of US Shops in Seven & i Deal
- DRX LN : Drax Accused of Misleading Regulators on Sustainability Claims by Former Employee
- EDPR PL : EDPR Is Said to Consider Sale of Stake in Offshore Wind Venture
- ENGI FP : EDPR Is Said to Consider Sale of Stake in Offshore Wind Venture
- EUTL FP : Ukraine’s Dependence on Starlink in War Won’t Be Easy to Break
- SFER IM, : Ferragamo FY Net Loss EU68.1M, Est. Loss EU40.7M
- HPE US : HP Enterprise FY Adj EPS Forecast Misses Estimates: Snapshot -9%
- JD US : JD.com Falls After 4Q Beat as Traders Reassess Rally, AI Ability
- LLOY LN : Lloyds shifts skilled IT jobs from UK to India
- MRVL US : Marvell Sinks as Results Fail to Meet High Hopes: Street Wrap
- META US : Meta accelerates voice-powered AI push
- MBLY US : Mobileye Shares Gain as Cohen’s Point72 Discloses 5% Stake
- NVG PL : Navigator Says Board Member Sandra Santos Resigned
- NEX FP : Nexans Denies Reports On Frozen Payments for Great Sea Project
- NDA FH : Nordea to Launch €250m Share Buyback Program on Monday
- NOS PL : NOS Says Portugal Regulator Clears Acquisition of Claranet
- NVDA US : OpenAI, Oracle Eye Nvidia Chips Worth Billions for Stargate Site
- REN PL : REN FY Net Income EU152.5M Vs. EU149.2M Y/y
- REN PL : REN Says Increase in Investment Is Focused on Power Network
- SFSN SW : SFS FY Ebit Misses Estimates
- STG DC : Scandinavian Tobacco FY Ebitda Before-Items Beats Estimates
- SPIE FP : BioMerieux Sees 2025 Organic Sales at Least +7%
- TIT IM : Vivendi to Exit Telecom Italia When it Gets Good Terms, CEO Says
- TOKMAN FH : Tokmanni 4Q Comparable Ebit Misses Estimates
- TTTE FP : TotalEnergies accused of downplaying oil spill risks in West Coast Business Day.za
- UMG NA : UMG 4Q Ebitda Beats Estimates, Universal Music Revenue Beats Estimates as Subscribers Increase
- VAR1 GY : German Constitutional Court Confirms Varta’s Restructuring Plan
- VIV FP : Vivendi FY Adjusted Net Income EU111M Vs. EU336M Y/y
- VIV FP : Vivendi to Exit Telecom Italia When it Gets Good Terms, CEO Says
- WBA US : Walgreens Will Go Private in $10 Billion Sycamore Deal, WSJ Says
- YOU GY : Zalando Holds Over 90% of About You Share Capital
- ZAL GY : Zalando Holds Over 90% of About You Share Capital
- FHZN SW : Zurich Airport FY Dividend per Share Misses Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 7th of March 2025 (Early Friday)

>>> Up
* Akzo Nobel Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 75 euros
* Bank of America Raised to Outperform at Baird; PT $50
* CVC Capital Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 22.50 euros
* Deutsche Post Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 50 euros
* Eutelsat Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 6.70 euros
* Geberit PT Raised at Barclays tp 515 (500) CHF - Reco still underweight
* Geberit PT Raised at Jefferies to 401 (393) CHF - Reco still underperform
* JPMorgan Raised to Outperform at Baird; PT $220
* Nightingale Health Raised to Accumulate at Inderes
* Piraeus Bank Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* Vodafone Raised to Buy at DZ Bank; PT 80 pence

>>> Down
* Clas Ohlson Cut to Sell at SEB Equities; PT 220 kronor
* Eurobank Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 3.18 euros
* Whitbread Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 3,000 pence

>>> Initiation
* Autoliv Rated New Buy at TD Cowen; PT $116
* BCP Rated New Overweight at Barclays; PT 69 euro cents
* Bruton Rated New Buy at ABG; PT 67 kroner
* Cipher Mining Rated New Buy at Rosenblatt Securities Inc
* DNB Bank Reinstated Buy at HSBC; PT 297 kroner
* Ford Rated New Hold at TD Cowen; PT $10
* Goodyear Rated New Buy at TD Cowen; PT $14
* Rivian Rated New Hold at TD Cowen; PT $12.70
* Stellantis Rated New Hold at TD Cowen; PT $13

>>> Call
* Tesla Rated Buy at TD Cowen on Potential Catalysts, Recent Slump
* US, China May Reach New Trade Agreement in 2H 2025, Citi Says

TechCrunch : Google co-founder Larry Page reportedly has a new AI startup

Google co-founder Larry Page reportedly has a new AI startup
Google co-founder Larry Page is building a new company called Dynatomics that’s focused on applying AI to product manufacturing, according to The Information.

Page is reportedly working with a small group of engineers on AI that can create “highly optimized” designs for objects and then have a factory build them, per The Information. Chris Anderson, previously the CTO of Page-backed electric airplane startup Kittyhawk, is running the stealth effort, The Information reports.

Page isn’t the only entrepreneur exploring ways AI could be used to improve manufacturing processes (although he might be one of the richest).

Orbital Materials is creating an AI platform that can be used to discover materials ranging from batteries to carbon dioxide-capturing cells. PhysicsX provides tools to run simulations for engineers working on project areas like automotive, aerospace, and materials science. Elsewhere, Instrumental is leveraging vision-powered AI to detect factory anomalies.

WSJ : Walgreens Goes From $100 Billion Health Giant to Private-Equity Salvage Pr

Walgreens Goes From $100 Billion Health Giant to Private-Equity Salvage Project
Sycamore’s deal to take Walgreens private follows chain’s decline amid e-commerce and health-industry changes

Not much has gone right for Walgreens Boots Alliance WBA -1.40%decrease; red down pointing triangle in the past decade.

Customers bought more and more household items online at sites such as Amazon.com, instead of Walgreens’s more than 8,000 stores across the U.S. The pharmacy chain inked deals with other drug suppliers and doctors offices, but stood pat while rivals, including CVS and Express Scripts, merged with big health insurers, gaining control of the medical-reimbursement purse strings that were squeezing pharmacies.

Walgreens cash flow sagged, its debt piled up and shares sank. And on Thursday, Walgreens was sold to private-equity firm Sycamore for $10 billion, down a staggering 91% from its $106 billion peak in 2015.

The storied pharmacy chain—which became a ubiquitous seller of everything from diabetes injections to nail files as retailers consolidated across the U.S.—fell after it neglected to keep up with customer preference to buy online and failed to navigate the fierce competition and intense cost pressures of healthcare.

It could shrink more after its sale. Sycamore, a New York-based firm that specializes in retail and consumer investments and, more recently, is better known for smaller deals, is expected to sell off pieces of the business or work with partners to turn it around, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Globally, the transaction ranks as one of the largest leveraged buyouts in the past decade.

Walgreens was founded in 1905, when Chicago druggist Charles R. Walgreen Sr. purchased the store where he worked. By 1929, the company was publicly traded and operated some 525 stores, including locations in New York City and Florida.

Even during the Great Depression, the chain grew thanks in part to innovations such as the malted milk shake, a sweeter version of the original.

Charles “Cork” R. Walgreen III, the founder’s grandson who took the helm in the 1970s, helped pioneer the drive-through pharmacy and made placing stores conveniently a corporate priority, clustering retail outlets closely together in dense urban areas to make it as easy as possible to shop at Walgreens.

By last year, 78% of the U.S. population lived within 5 miles of a Walgreens-owned pharmacy.

The chain was a retail juggernaut, its red cursive logo a common sight on city street corners and in suburban shopping centers. Walgreens’s power started to diminish in the 21st century.

Walgreens didn’t recognize it at first. For years, the company had dangled its thousands of retail locations and loyal customer base to win favorable terms from the powerful firms that pay for patients’ prescriptions—called pharmacy-benefit managers.

In 2011, Express Scripts, one of the biggest PBMs, called its bluff, leading to a nasty public dispute and Walgreens’s losing access to millions of customers.

It was a misstep that made investors antsy about Walgreens executive leadership, and created an opening for an Italian billionaire named Stefano Pessina to step into the picture.

Via dealmaking, Pessina, a trained nuclear engineer, had transformed his family’s wholesaling business into global healthcare giant Alliance Boots. It operated nearly 2,000 pharmacy stores across the U.K., with an emphasis on personal beauty products.

In 2012, he orchestrated a two-step, multiyear deal to have Walgreens acquire Alliance Boots for more than $10 billion in cash and stock. The combination formed one of the world’s largest pharmacy chains. When the merger was completed in late 2014, he became CEO.

“It’s an American dream come true,” Pessina told The Wall Street Journal in 2013. He installed his partner—now spouse—Ornella Barra, as Walgreens chief executive of global wholesaling and international retail operations. And he forecast a long, bright future for the historic retailer.

Behind Pessina’s confidence was his diagnosis of a bloated and inefficient U.S. health system compared with the government-run systems in Europe. He prescribed combining American and European companies as the antidote, betting he could wring out savings from the consolidation that would drive years of growth.

Even after uniting Walgreens and Boots, the company sought to further expand its pharmacy footprint.

In addition, Walgreens Boots sought to leverage its heft at filling prescriptions through partnerships with the firms that distributed medicines to pharmacies. Under Pessina, Walgreens joined with one of the largest U.S. drug wholesalers, AmerisourceBergen, now known as Cencora. The deal connected the drug supply chains of Europe and the U.S. for the first time.

“So how do [I] see the future of this company?” Pessina told the Journal in a 2019 interview. “I see a future that will extend into the next couple of centuries.”

But health insurers and pharmacy-benefit managers, who were responsible for paying for much of Americans’ healthcare, were facing pressure to keep a lid on soaring costs. Companies began linking up vertically to make sure they weren’t squeezed by the cost-control push.

In the winter of 2018, insurer Cigna bought Express Scripts for $67 billion, and CVS acquired insurer Aetna for $70 billion.

The deals helped protect pharmacies from lower reimbursement rates that health insurers and pharmacy-benefit managers were seeking during contract negotiations.

Walgreens Boots missed out. Pessina pulled off the acquisition of thousands of additional Rite Aid stores, but didn’t achieve a purchase of AmerisourceBergen or a tie-up with insurer Humana. The failure to find an insurer parent was, analysts said, a mistake.

“The single biggest issue for Walgreens is pharmacy reimbursement, which in simple terms is they’re getting paid less by PBMs and payers every year to dispense the same prescription,” said Michael Cherny, a Leerink Partners analyst.

Pessina sought to compensate for Walgreens stores’ declining prescription margins by beefing up the “front of the store,” where consumers could buy cosmetics and other home goods. More and more customers, however, were buying goods online.

At the back of the stores, meanwhile, Walgreens sought to create the pharmacy of the future, joining with various healthcare providers to offer services that could attract new customers.

There was an ill-fated deal in 2013 to create dozens of Theranos blood-testing clinics in its pharmacies. In 2020, Walgreens made a $1 billion investment in VillageMD, a network of clinics offering primary medical care.

The moves didn’t pay off, at least not enough to offset the struggles in its core pharmacy business. In 2021, Pessina stepped down as CEO and was succeeded by Rosalind Brewer, the chief operating officer at Starbucks and a healthcare outsider.

Brewer saw a U.S. pharmacy industry stuck in perpetual low-growth mode, and rivals such as CVS betting big on providing healthcare directly to patients. Walgreens should chase a similar formula, she said, capitalizing on the government’s push to pay for how well doctors improve patients’ health, not just each X-ray and procedure they perform.

The company would attach more Walgreens stores to its doctors offices, in hopes that patients would fill their prescriptions at the pharmacy after their doctor visits.

Under Brewer, Walgreens paid $5.2 billion to buy a controlling stake in VillageMD. In 2022, she struck a deal to buy a group of urgent-care centers, including CityMD, for $9 billion.

But the deals added more debt, while failing to stop the damage to Walgreens’s pharmacy margins and stock price. She also clashed with Pessina. Making matters worse, the pandemic hit, accelerating patients’ shift from bricks-and-mortar retailers to e-commerce websites.

By 2023, Brewer was out, abruptly succeeded by healthcare veteran Tim Wentworth. An enthusiastic leader proud of community-college roots in Rochester, N.Y., Wentworth had worked at the highest levels of the PBM industry for decades, most recently as chief executive of Express Scripts, where he oversaw the company’s sale to Cigna.

Wentworth set out to cut costs and return Walgreens back to its roots with a focus on its pharmacy customer experience. He announced plans to close 1,200 stores over three years and to roll back the company’s expansion into medical care, by looking to sell its share in VillageMD and explore its options for the rest.

He also sought to renegotiate better contracts with his old insurer colleagues.

A year into Wentworth’s stewardship of Walgreens, however, investors didn’t give the company credit for its turnaround efforts.

In January, the company said it would suspend its quarterly dividend—paid for 91 straight years—because it needs the cash to refinance debt and deal with litigation, including a recent Justice Department lawsuit over the pharmacy’s distribution of opioids.

A private-equity deal, in which parts of the company—including its Boots pharmacies in the U.K.—would likely be sold off might make it easier to revive the core U.S. retail pharmacy business outside the spotlight.

Pessina’s vision for a cross-continental pharmacy colossus had collapsed. His stake in the company lost $10 billion in value. Now 83 years old, he resides in the tax haven of Monaco.

WSJ : French Shipping Magnate Pledges to Help Trump Revive U.S. Shipping

French Shipping Magnate Pledges to Help Trump Revive U.S. Shipping
CMA CGM’s chief says the world’s No. 3 container line will invest $20 billion in the U.S. over the next four years

French shipping magnate Rodolphe Saadé met President Trump at the White House on Thursday and pledged to invest $20 billion in the U.S. over the next four years as the administration pushes to revive the American maritime sector.

Saadé, the billionaire chairman and chief executive of Marseille’s CMA CGM, intends to triple the size of the container line’s U.S.-flagged fleet, upgrade its U.S. port facilities and create a Chicago airfreight hub, among other moves.

The investments will create 10,000 direct new jobs, Saadé said in an interview, adding most of the announced investment is new money that is being found or reallocated from other areas. It includes $8 billion for containerships, $7 billion for logistics, $4 billion for ports and $1 billion for air cargo, he said.

“We’re talking about a massive investment of a shipping company and a logistics provider in a given country,” Saadé said. “$20 billion over four years is very strong as a commitment to the U.S.”

The commitment comes as Trump presses to resurrect commercial and military shipbuilding in America and to challenge China’s dominance of the global maritime industry in ways that threaten profits at the world’s largest ocean carriers.

Trump, in a video from the White House posted on X, told Saadé that America’s maritime industry had lost its way and that in the coming weeks he will announce “a massive new program for building the largest ships in the world.”

Saadé told Trump: “You will have more ships with the U.S. flag as we move forward, and you can count on us to do as much as we can.”

Trump told Congress this week he would create a new Office of Shipbuilding in the White House. Administration officials are also considering an executive order to boost the domestic shipbuilding industry. Measures include charging fees on Chinese-built ships calling at U.S. ports to raise revenue for the maritime sector, according to a draft summary of the order reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

That idea, which is subject to change, draws on recent proposals under consideration by the U.S. Trade Representative’s office. The fees of up to $1.5 million per port call are opposed by U.S. trade and agriculture groups as well as by the container line industry.

Saadé said the fees would “harm business and global trade.”

China dominates global shipbuilding. Almost 36% of CMA CGM’s container fleet, measured by capacity, is made in China, according to data firm Linerlytica. More than 64% of the company’s new order capacity is being built at Chinese shipyards.

The company operates a U.S.-flagged fleet of 10 containerships under its APL subsidiary. Because the ships are U.S.-flagged, they are crewed by U.S. sailors and are a preferred carrier for U.S. government and military cargo.

Saadé said CMA CGM will add 20 new ships to its U.S.-flagged fleet, most likely from South Korean shipyards. He said the company is talking to U.S. shipyards about whether and when they can make ships for the fleet and what size those ships might be.

CMA CGM routinely orders vessels from South Korea and China capable of carrying the equivalent of about 18,000 containers.

U.S. shipyards build smaller containerships. APL’s U.S.-flagged fleet ranges in size from ships capable of carrying the equivalent of between 1,600 and 6,000 containers.

Saadé said the U.S. accounts for a quarter of CMA CGM’s total revenue. The world’s third-largest carrier by capacity, earned $5.71 billion in net profit in 2024 on revenue of $55.5 billion.

It has spent billions of dollars in recent years building out its global logistics offerings. It purchased logistics specialist CEVA Logistics for $1.67 billion in 2019 and two years later launched its own airfreight service. It has also spent billions of dollars in the U.S. purchasing cargo-handling terminals at the two busiest West Coast and East Coast ports, at Los Angeles and at New York-New Jersey.

CMA CGM was already planning to spend hundreds of millions of dollars upgrading those and other port facilities to move more containers more quickly through congested gateways.

The company and its logistics subsidiaries employ about 15,000 U.S. workers.

Saadé said the company plans to double and modernize its network of about 200 U.S. warehouses and to open a research-and-development hub in the Boston area. He said the new Chicago air hub would be served by five Boeing 777 freighters carrying cargo between the U.S. and Asia.

WSJ : Trump’s Embrace of Putin Has Germany Thinking of Nuclear Weapons

Trump’s Embrace of Putin Has Germany Thinking of Nuclear Weapons
The travails of the Western alliance have injected urgency into a debate about homegrown alternatives to the U.S. nuclear umbrella

BERLIN—President Trump’s embrace of Russia is causing Europeans to rethink their security and giving currency to an idea the U.S. has long sought to avoid: a nuclear-armed Germany.

Friedrich Merz, who is poised to become Germany’s next chancellor, said Berlin should start talks about expanding the French and British nuclear deterrents to cover Europe, according to an interview the conservative politician did with the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung weekly.

Asked if Germany should pursue its own arsenal, Merz didn’t rule it out, saying there “there is no need for this today.”

The remarks broke with a longstanding taboo, showing how violently the foundations of Germany’s and Europe’s security are being shaken. Merz is still negotiating to form a government and has yet to be elected chancellor, but a German leader had not called for an alternative to the U.S. nuclear deterrent in Europe since the end of the Cold War.

After World War II, the Federal Republic of Germany was welcomed into the Western alliance as a bulwark against the Soviet bloc. Yet unlike France and the U.K., it renounced pursuing its own nuclear weapons and was welcomed instead under the American nuclear umbrella.

U.S. tactical nuclear weapons are now stored at the Büchel Air Base in western Germany, ready to be deployed by the German Air Force should the U.S. president give the order.

The U.S. hasn’t said that it wants to pull troops out of Europe. Yet Trump tried to do so in his first term. He is now seeking a detente with Russia’s autocratic leader, Vladimir Putin, which some analysts say might have irreparably damaged the credibility of the U.S. deterrent in Europe.

“Why should Putin think in case of an escalation in Europe that Trump would use a nuclear response? Every step Trump has taken suggests otherwise,” said Maximilian Terhalle, a political scientist and visiting scholar at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University.

Nowhere in Europe is the sense of abandonment more palpable than in Germany, where the U.S. maintains its second largest overseas military presence.

To fill the security gap, Germany would have four options, said Christian Mölling, director of the Europe’s Future program at the Bertelsmann Foundation, a think tank: “The Americans maintain their nuclear deterrent; the Europeans take it on; a mix of the two; or you try to compensate conventionally…All of these are risky,” he said, referring to nonnuclear, military forces.

On the conventional side, Merz and his future coalition partners said this week they would exempt military spending from the country’s tough fiscal rules, de facto removing any limit on spending and allowing Germany to rapidly accelerate its rearmament.

On the nuclear side, researchers and some politicians say Berlin’s fastest route to rebuilding a deterrent could be to replicate its arrangement with the U.S. This could see French nuclear bombers stationed in Germany with the mandate to protect the country or German pilots flying German planes armed with French nuclear weapons, with Paris holding the key to their use.

“Russia has threatened us with nuclear strikes,” said Thomas Silberhorn, a German conservative lawmaker and foreign policy expert. “We Europeans have to take this nuclear threat seriously and face it with a nuclear deterrent. So far, that’s been provided by the U.S., and we are now discussing whether we could organize it at a European level, with France and Great Britain.”

Reacting to “the historical appeal of the future German chancellor,” French President Emmanuel Macron said in a televised address this week that he would start a “strategic debate” about extending Paris’s nuclear deterrent to European allies. Macron had offered such talks in the past, only to be ignored by Berlin.

The French arsenal was developed under President Charles de Gaulle to reduce reliance on the U.S. Unlike Britain’s, it is independent from NATO. Still, with warheads in the low hundreds, neither the British nor the French arsenals are a match for Russia’s nearly 6,000 warheads.

“France and the U.K. already have a minimal credible nuclear deterrent but they’ve always worked with a U.S. backstop,” said Alexander Bollfrass, head of strategy, technology and arms control at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, or IISS.

For Germany, subcontracting its security to France and the U.K. could make it hostage to political shifts in Paris and London, much as it is now subject to Trump’s whims.

Macron stressed that the decision to strike “had always been and would always be in the hands of the [French] president.” Marine Le Pen, the nationalist politician polls suggest could succeed Macron, said this week of the French deterrent that “we shouldn’t share it, let alone delegate it.”

Terhalle has been urging German leaders for months to pursue a national arsenal, suggesting last year that Berlin should offer to purchase some 1,000 currently nonactive strategic nuclear warheads from the U.S.

Germany is a signatory to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, which bans it from developing nuclear weapons and prevents other signatories from helping it do so. It also renounced the weapons in the treaty that paved the way for German reunification.

If Berlin chose to develop an arsenal, it would have to do so clandestinely, not just because it would violate its obligations, but also because the effort would make it a target for enemies.

“A mature industrialized country like Germany should be able to develop a warhead more rapidly than other potential proliferators,” said Fabian Hinz at IISS. But it would face legal and technical obstacles and it would struggle to conceal its program.

Germany has a small stockpile of weapons-grade uranium for use in a civilian research nuclear reactor operated by the Technical University of Munich. It is generally thought to have the scientific and industrial base required for weapons development. Yet it would probably still need outside help to procure enough nuclear material and weapon designs.

“No one has ever managed to produce enough material for a bomb without being detected. And now it’s much more difficult to do so because intelligence and surveillance technologies are much more sophisticated,” said Bollfrass.

Even if it developed a warhead, Berlin might not be able to test it, which is hard to do safely in a densely populated region such as Europe and almost impossible to conceal given seismic, satellite and radiation monitoring by nations and international organizations.

Some experts say this might not be a problem. One avenue, they say, would be for Germany to develop a small batch of untested weapons, trusting they would suffice to deter aggressors. South Africa pursued such an option and built a small number of untested warheads before renouncing its nuclear weapons program.

Another route would be what experts call nuclear edging, a form of brinkmanship whereby a country comes close to developing its own weapons and advertises its readiness to cross the threshold if threatened.

“Still, for Germany to have such self-confidence, to so radically pursue its self-interest and break so many norms,” said Bollfrass. “That’s pretty hard to imagine.”