>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +7.9%
    • Siemens Energy Boosts Midterm Targets on Infrastructure Boom (1)
  • RWE (RWE TH) +4.6%
    • RWE Plans €1.5 Billion Buyback as US Politics Cloud Investments
  • Allianz (ALV TH) +1.8%
    • Allianz Sees Profit at Top of Forecast After Strong Quarter (1)
  • BASF (BAS TH) +1.3%
  • Commerzbank (CBK TH) -0.6%
    • Commerzbank Falls on Report It’s Weighing Buying Midsize Rival
  • VW (VOW3 TH) -0.7%
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) -0.9%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -1%
  • Deutsche Post (DHL TH) -1.1%
    • Deutsche Post Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 37.50 euros
MDAX:
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) +2.2%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +1.2%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +1.2%
  • United Internet (UTDI TH) +1.2%
  • Bechtle (BC8 TH) -1.5%
    • Bechtle Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
  • Evonik (EVK TH) -2.3%
    • Evonik Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 16.60 euros
  • K+S (SDF TH) -2.9%
    • K+S Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 8 euros
SDAX:
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) +17%
    • AUTO1 Boosts FY Adjusted Ebitda Forecast, Beats Estimates
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) +2.6%
  • SGL (SGL TH) -1.7%

>>> What to look at today - 13th of November 2024

Asian stocks fell to a two-month low on concerns that US President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs and picks for key administration posts may stoke inflation.  Equity benchmarks in Japan, Hong Kong and Australia retreated as a regional gauge touched the weakest level since Sept. 13. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index edged higher ahead of a report on US consumer-price inflation, while the yen hovered near the key level of 155 per greenback.  Treasury 10-year yields were little changed after surging 12 basis points on Tuesday. Traders are now pricing in about two US rate cuts through June, against almost four seen at the start of last week. US and European stock futures slipped.
Sentiment toward Asian equities has turned cautious since Trump’s election, as traders expect his planned policies to further drive up inflation and slow the pace of interest-rate cuts. The president-elect’s picks for key government posts are also fueling jitters, as he piles his Cabinet with people set to carry out his “America First” policies on the border, trade, national security and economy. The US election outcome continues to reverberate across the globe, with an MSCI gauge of equities excluding the US capping its worst day since the Aug. 5 global rout. An index of developing-market currencies has lost more than 1% following the US vote, coming close to erasing this year’s gains.  Meanwhile, China indicated its discomfort with yuan weakness through its daily reference rate for the currency amid the threat of higher US tariffs under a Trump administration. The fixing was 445 pips stronger than the average estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Beijing started marketing dollar bonds in Saudi Arabia, marking the country’s first debt sale in the US currency since 2021. On the economic front, US data due Wednesday may reinforce concerns about an acceleration in inflation, with analysts predicting that the overall consumer price index probably increased 0.2% for a fourth month. Fed Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday said he’ll be watching the inflation data closely to determine whether another interest-rate cut is appropriate at the US central bank’s December meeting. Bitcoin declined after a chartbusting rally took the digital asset to almost $90,000 for the first time. Meanwhile, Trump said Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy will lead the Department of Government Efficiency. In corporate news, Seven & i Holdings Co. is said to be considering a management buyout to take itself private with funding from banks, Itochu Corp. and the founding Ito family in a transaction that could be worth ¥9 trillion ($58 billion).  In the commodities market, oil steadied near its lowest level this month, with the outlook for demand in focus after OPEC cut projections on China’s slowdown. Gold edged higher. US After Hours DAVE +32.4%, PAY +26%, CAVA +16.2%, ICUI +6.7%, SPOT +6.4% higher on earnings; RIVN +8.2% to launch JV with VW; HNRG +17.7% on deal with data center developer.

Nikkei -1.66% Hang Seng -0.55% CSI +0.59% Shanghai +0.46% Shenzen +0.03%

Eur$ 1.0602 CNH 7.2346 CNY 7.2242 JPY 155.14 GBP 1.2736 CHF 0.8832 RUB 98.0285 TRY 34.3817 WTI$ 68.33 +0.31% Gold 2,604 +0.25% BTC 86,820 -1.70% ETH 3,150 -4%

S&P -0.23% Nasdaq -0.30% EuroStoxx -0.51% FTSE +0.15% Dax -0.20% SMI -0.28%

Macro :
- Trump’s Mass-Deportation Plan to Hurt Farming, Co-Op Chief Says
- Bitcoin Rally Cools After More Than 30% Jump Since Trump Victory

Keep an eye on :
- ABN NA : ABN Amro 3Q Net Interest Income Beats Estimates, ABN Amro Says Potential Room for Buyback Postponed to 2Q 2025
- AIR FP : Airbus Nears Deal on Funding, Payment Terms W/ Spirit Aero: Rtrs
- AIR FP : Boeing, Airbus Throw Supplier Lifeline Ahead of Takeover (2)
- ALV GY : Allianz 3Q Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- AAPL US : Apple Readies Smart Home Push With AI-Focused Wall Tablet Device
- TATT GA : Attica Bank Agrees Sale of NPE Portfolios to Davidson Kempner
- AG1 GY : AUTO1 Boosts FY Adjusted Ebitda Forecast, Beats Estimates
- BDT GY : Bertrandt Prelim 4Q Revenue About EU265M
- BNP FP : BNP Cuts 10% of China Dealmaker Jobs After 2022 Expansion
- BBVA SM : Spanish Watchdog Opens In-Depth Probe for BBVA’s Sabadell Bid
- Cox ABG IPO : Spain’s Cox ABG to Extend IPO Book-Building Period to Nov. 13
- PBB GY : Deutsche PBB 9M Pretax Profit EU87M Vs. EU91M Y/y
- DISH US : DirecTV Plans to Cancel Dish Deal Unless Debt Swap Resolved (1)
- EVO SS : Galaxy Gaming® Stockholders Approve Acquisition by Evolution
- FNAC FP : Fnac Darty and Ruby Secure 91.15% of Share Capital of Unieuro
- FRA GY : Fraport Oct. Frankfurt Airport Passengers 5.7M
- IMCD NA : IMCD Raises €300M at €141.50/Shr Through Accelerated Bookbuild
- ITP FP : Interparfums Inc 2025 EPS Forecast Misses Estimates
- TKWY NA : US Startup Buys Just Eat Takeaway’s Grubhub for $650 Million
- KOG NO : Kongsberg Gets US Navy Missile Contract Valued at NOK10 Billion
- HLUNB DC : Lundbeck 3Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- EMG LN : Man Group Planning Job Cuts as It Reviews Budget, Talent Needs
- NEX FP : Nexans Sees 2028 Adjusted Ebitda EU1.15B
- 7201 JP : Nissan Enters New Era of Turmoil as Effissimo Takes Stake
- Nordic Bioscience : Nordic Bioscience Hires Banks for Possible IPO, Borsen Says
- PKTM AV : Pierer Mobility in Talks to Secure KTM’s Liquidity Requirements
- R3NK GY : Renk 3Q Sales €268M, Up 10.5% Y/Y; Confirms Forecast
- RWE GY : RWE Plans 1.5 Billion-Euro Share Buyback After Elliott Pressure
- SAN FP : Sanofi Treatment Granted Orphan Drug Status by FDA
- STG DC : Scandinavian Tobacco 3Q Sales Meets Estimates
- SDRL US : Seadrill Boosts FY Adjusted Ebitda Forecast
- 3382 JP : Seven & I Is Said to Consider $58 Billion Management Buyout
- ENR GY : Siemens Energy Raises Mid-Term Targets for FY 2028
- SAVE US : Spirit Airlines Shares Drop on Report of Bankruptcy Preparations
- SWON SW : SoftwareONE Maintains FY Revenue Goal, Plans More Cost Savings (1)
- SAX GY : Stroeer 3Q Adjusted Ebitda Misses Estimates
- TEG GY : TAG Immobilien Sees FY FFO High End of EU170M to EU174M
- TEG GY : TAG Immobilien to Resume Dividend Payments After Two Years
- UBSG SW : US Probes Russia Accounts UBS Took Over From Credit Suisse: Rtrs
- UNIR IM : Fnac Darty and Ruby Secure 91.15% of Share Capital of Unieuro
- DG FP : Vinci Wins Waste Plant Contract Worth Over €100M From Veolia
- VKTX US : Viking Therapeutics Phase 2B NASH/MASH Study Meets Endpoints
- VOE AV : Voestalpine 2Q Ebitda Misses Est., No Europe Rebound Visible
- VOS GY : Vossloh Offers Up to 1.76m New Shares In Private Placement, Vossloh Offering of 1.76m Shares Prices at EU41/Share
- VOW GY : Volkswagen Boosts Bet on Rivian’s EV Tech by $800 Million
- YIT FH : YIT Sets New Strategy, Financial Targets for 2025-2029
- YPSN SW : Ypsomed 1H Ebit Misses Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 13th of November 2024

>>> Up
* Air Liquide Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 190 euros
* AstraZeneca Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 11,253.71 pence
* AstraZeneca Raised to Buy at Intron Health; PT 120 pence
* BASF Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 53 euros
* Bristol Myers Raised to Outperform at Daiwa; PT $65
* Endesa Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 24.20 euros
* Holcim PT Raised to 110 Swiss francs at Oddo BHF
* Siemens Energy PT Raised to 47 euros at Kepler Cheuvreux
* Springvest Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 8.50 euros
* Swiss Life Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 790 Swiss francs
* Systemair Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 110 kronor
* Vitec Software Group Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 575 kronor

>>> Down
* Ageas Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 50 euros
* Baloise Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 159 Swiss francs
* Brenntag Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 58 euros
* Deutsche Post Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 37.50 euros
* Evonik Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 16.60 euros cut from 21 euros
* FLEX LNG Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 276 kroner
* I-RES Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 90 euro cents
* K+S Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 8 euros
* Neste Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 15 euros
* Serco Cut to Hold at Shore Capital
* Starbucks Cut to Sell at Redburn; PT $77
* Storebrand Cut to Underperform at KBW; PT 99 kroner
* Symrise Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 120 euros

>>> Initiation
* Monte Paschi Reinstated Buy at HSBC; PT 7.20 euros

>>> Call

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 13th of November 2024

>>> Up
* Air Liquide Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 190 euros
* AstraZeneca Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 11,253.71 pence
* AstraZeneca Raised to Buy at Intron Health; PT 120 pence
* BASF Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 53 euros
* Bristol Myers Raised to Outperform at Daiwa; PT $65
* Endesa Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 24.20 euros
* Holcim PT Raised to 110 Swiss francs at Oddo BHF
* Springvest Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 8.50 euros
* Swiss Life Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 790 Swiss francs
* Systemair Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 110 kronor
* Vitec Software Group Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 575 kronor

>>> Down
* Ageas Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 50 euros
* Baloise Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 159 Swiss francs
* Brenntag Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 58 euros
* Deutsche Post Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 37.50 euros
* Evonik Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 16.60 euros cut from 21 euros
* FLEX LNG Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 276 kroner
* I-RES Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 90 euro cents
* K+S Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 8 euros
* Neste Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 15 euros
* Starbucks Cut to Sell at Redburn; PT $77
* Storebrand Cut to Underperform at KBW; PT 99 kroner
* Symrise Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 120 euros

>>> Initiation
* Monte Paschi Reinstated Buy at HSBC; PT 7.20 euros

>>> Call

WWD : On’s Co-CEO Marc Maurer Says Zendaya and the Olympics Powered Record Q3 Re

On’s Co-CEO Marc Maurer Says Zendaya and the Olympics Powered Record Q3 Results
The red-hot Swiss brand also raised its projections for 2024 and now expect sales of 2.29 billion Swiss francs.

Zendaya is helping On shine a spotlight on its nascent apparel business.

The company’s fall campaign, which features the actress in the Swiss Alps wearing its apparel collection, is leading to increased sales, On Holdings’ co-chief executive officer Marc Maurer told WWD.

Thanks in part to its partnership with Zendaya and its strong presence at the Paris Olympics this summer, On Holdings continued to outperform in the third quarter, notching a record in net sales and profitability. And the company sees no end in sight, raising its full-year projections as it approaches what it expects to be a strong holiday season.

“Earlier this year, our team spent a full day in the Swiss mountains with Zendaya,” co-CEO Martin Hoffman told investors on its earnings call Wednesday morning. “The result was a beautiful campaign with full head-to-toe looks from our fall-winter season at the center. With millions of impressions across our different channels, we’re excited to continue building long-term brand awareness and momentum for our apparel category.”

The executive team stressed that while the bulk of its business still comes from running shoes, the company has been working to diversify its offerings and has significant businesses in training, tennis and lifestyle products as well.

Growing apparel, as well as scaling the company’s own retail network and increasing its reach in the Asia-Pacific region, were singled out as the key drivers for the company to reach its previously announced goal of doubling its 2023 revenues by 2026.

“We’ve been very consistent in executing that strategy,” Maurer said. “And we’re very happy to also see in the third quarter that it’s working out and that consumers are appreciating it, and we’re really looking forward to the holiday season. We very much feel we’re attacking it from a position of strength, and then we can take the momentum into 2025.”

He said the recent campaign with Zendaya that showed her in the Swiss Alps in On’s apparel is expected to provide a big boost to clothing sales going forward.

In the period ended Sept. 30, net sales for the Zurich-based brand increased 32.3 percent to 635.8 million Swiss francs. The jump was fueled by a significant increase in the company’s direct-to-consumer sales, which were up 49.8 percent to 246.7 million Swiss francs over the prior year. DTC sales now account for 38.8 percent of the company’s overall business.

But it wasn’t just DTC that did well, wholesale sales also increased 23.2 percent in the period, hitting 389.1 million francs.

As Maurer explained: “With everything we do, we really try to focus on long-term brand growth and reaching and tapping into new communities with lots of product innovation. What you saw over the summer with the Olympics, for example, is now playing out. We had a huge jump in brand awareness in the U.S. We grew to 20 percent aided awareness, which still leaves a lot of room to grow, but it is a significant jump from where we were before. I think this really converted into e-comm revenues.”

He also said the company’s partnerships with Zendaya as well as FKA Twigs, an English singer and dancer, “really allow us to gain additional credibility in those communities.”

In terms of profits, On achieved its highest gross profit margin since going public in September 2021, reaching 60.6 percent in the third quarter, up from 59.9 percent in the same period last year.

But net income decreased 48 percent to 30.5 million Swiss francs from 58.7 million francs in the same period last year.

Maurer explained that the company looks at other indices to determine its performance. “What’s important for us is when we look at sales and how it flows through,” he said. Maurer pointed to the gross profit margin that indicates the company’s ability to sell product at full price — a number that “really shows the long-term profitability potential of the brand.” Then adjusted EBIDTA margin, which stood at 18.9 percent, was also strong and an indicator that some distribution issues the company experienced in the second quarter are now basically cured. He credited the company’s team for navigating the “operational headwinds” that had impacted sales in the second quarter.

Now he said the company is able to “look super positively into the fourth quarter and the holiday season.”

Net income was also impacted by currency conversion issues and capital expenditures as On continues to aggressively add stores around the world, he said.

By region, net sales in the Americas rose 34.5 percent to 395.5 million francs, while Europe, Middle East and Africa were up 15.2 percent to 165.8 million francs and Asia-Pacific jumped 79.3 percent to 74.6 million.

By category, net sales of shoes rose 32.1 percent to 603.7 million francs, apparel was up 33.4 percent to 26.8 million francs, and accessories increased 53.9 percent to 5.3 million francs.

As a result, On raised its full-year net sales outlook to at least 32 percent on a constant currency basis, or 2.29 billion Swiss francs. Gross profit margin is now expected to be approximately 60.5 percent for the full year and adjusted EBITDA is expected to come in at the higher end of the previous expectation of 16 percent to 16.5 percent for 2024.

Maurer said On is also pleased with the results of its recent collaborations with Loewe and Post Archive Faction, a technical label from South Korea, that is “gaining a lot of traction.”

“And we have very, very strong momentum on key franchises like the Cloudmonster and the Cloudrunner 2, which is an important run franchise, and our holiday campaign is really building around the strengths of some of our key franchises, and also pushing apparel,” the co-CEO said.

On will also continue to add to its retail footprint. Maurer said the company’s previously announced goal to add roughly 20 to 25 stores every year is on track. He pointed to two new U.S. units that recently opened in Chicago and New York’s Flatiron district, as examples. One more store will be added this year.

“We’re seeing own retail working exceptionally well,” he said. “The stores are elevating the brand experience. The stores allow us to showcase apparel in an even better way. And the stores also allow us to penetrate key markets in Asia-Pacific even further. So a large part of the store rollout is also driven by China. That’s a path we aim to continue. We’re super happy with how the retail strategy, which is basically in its infancy, is yielding very, very strong returns.”

Other On executives were also upbeat following the earnings report.

Caspar Coppetti, cofounder and executive co-chairman of On, said: “Just over a year ago, we shared our ‘Dream On’ vision with the world. This quarter’s record results are a testament to the incredible momentum we have built. From increasing our brand awareness amongst our core communities worldwide, to pushing the boundaries of performance credibility and deepening our sustainability impact, to expanding our premium footprint across all channels, we are turning our dream into a reality. With our continued relentless focus on performance, innovation and authentic partnerships, we are excited to inspire the world to move with even greater purpose.”

Martin Hoffmann, co-CEO and chief financial officer of On, said: “This quarter’s exceptional results are a demonstration of the incredible work of our team, the growing global demand for the On brand, and the power of On’s premium position. Our commitment to innovation and excellence has allowed us to capture this demand and deliver outstanding performance, particularly in our DTC channel. The resulting net sales and profitability ahead of our expectations puts us in a position to significantly increase our outlook for the full year 2024 and fuels our confidence as we head into the holiday season and continue to shape the future of sportswear.”

WSJ : Spirit Airlines Moves Toward Bankruptcy Filing After Frontier Drops Merger

Spirit Airlines Moves Toward Bankruptcy Filing After Frontier Drops Merger Bid
The budget carrier is in advanced discussions with bondholders over a filing that could occur within weeks

Spirit Airlines SAVE -5.29%decrease; red down pointing triangle is preparing to file for bankruptcy protection after merger talks with Frontier Airlines ULCC -0.74%decrease; red down pointing triangle broke down, according to people familiar with the matter.

The Florida-based budget airline is in advanced discussions with bondholders to hammer out a bankruptcy plan that would have support from a majority of creditors, as it struggles with mounting losses and looming debt maturities. A bankruptcy filing is expected to happen within weeks, the people said.

Spirit had also been in discussions with rival Frontier in hopes that the two carriers could revive earlier plans to join forces, likely as part of a broader restructuring in bankruptcy. Frontier decided not to move forward with such a merger at this time, the people said.

Frontier declined to comment.

Spirit said late Tuesday that it was in constructive discussions with a supermajority of bondholders to restructure debt due in 2025 and 2026. An agreement through a “statutory restructuring,” if reached, will wipe out existing shareholders, the company said. If no agreement is reached the carrier said it would consider all alternatives.

The company said the restructuring isn’t expected to impair general unsecured creditors, employees, customers and vendors among others.

Spirit shares fell more than 60% to $1.19 in after-hour trading.

The company also warned Tuesday that its quarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission would be delayed, while providing a snapshot of financial pressures.

The airline said its operating profit margin in the third quarter was 12 percentage points lower than the same period a year ago, reflecting higher expenses and diminished revenue. It said revenue would be about $61 million lower, due in part, to the airline no longer charging change and cancellation fees.

Spirit, a once fast-growing airline, is among carriers that gained favor by offering cheap tickets with add-ons for pretty much everything beyond a seat to appeal to value-minded fliers.

That business model upended the airline industry, inspiring now commonplace surcharges for checked bags and seat assignments. The strategy worked well for years, but has more recently been challenged by high costs and more intense competition from bigger airlines.

Frontier and Spirit had been set to merge in 2022 when JetBlue Airways swooped in with a higher offer and eventually won Spirit’s investors over. But a federal judge in January barred JetBlue from acquiring Spirit, ruling that the deal would be detrimental to competition. Spirit has been on its back foot since.

Spirit this year has sharply cut back its growth plans, furloughed pilots and outlined plans to sell planes. In October, it signed a deal to sell 23 planes to company GA Telesis for $519 million.

However, these measures are likely insufficient to help the company address a $1.1 billion bond maturity in less than a year. Spirit also faces a late December deadline with the company that processes its credit card transactions to refinance those bonds.

WSJ : Inside VW and Rivian’s Big Bet to Rescue Each Other

Inside VW and Rivian’s Big Bet to Rescue Each Other
World’s second-largest automaker and the Silicon Valley startup are trying to address each other’s core weakness

In August, a small team of Volkswagen VOW3 -0.73%decrease; red down pointing triangle executives and engineers flew from Germany to Palo Alto, Calif., to take a top-secret vehicle for a spin.

Originally built as an electric Audi, the vehicle had been shipped to the U.S. startup Rivian RIVN -4.17%decrease; red down pointing triangle Automotive earlier in the year in an experiment to see if it could fuse Silicon Valley tech prowess with German engineering. The Germans were impressed by what they found in California: a car that had been retrofitted so that the controls for everything from air conditioning to rear-axle steering could be updated wirelessly through a laptop.

VW, which is weighing potentially historic job and cost cuts as its business flags, had spent years and billions of dollars trying to build a digital-first car like this, and Rivian had produced a promising prototype in less than three months.

“To get this up and running in the car within such a short time, even if you work day and night, this is really great,” said Michael Steiner, VW’s head of research and development, in a recent interview at the company headquarters in Wolfsburg.

Now the two companies are taking the partnership to the next level, in a deal that aims to address a core weakness for each: VW gets much-needed technology and Rivian gets much-needed cash.

According to terms completed this week, VW will invest up to $5.8 billion in Rivian stock and a joint venture—up from a $5 billion deal value envisaged when the collaboration was announced in June. In return, the German company gets access to a blend of onboard computing and software that Rivian spent billions of dollars to develop for its own vehicles.

The deal between the world’s second-largest automaker and a relatively unproven upstart highlights the depth of the challenges they face in the race to compete with Tesla and Chinese competitors. Traditional carmakers who perfected making combustion vehicles are struggling to match the speed and technology of dedicated EV companies. Meanwhile, innovative startups like Rivian lack the scale and funds to compete with entrenched players.

VW is hoping that some of Rivian’s fast-moving, innovation-minded culture rubs off on the German auto titan, said Wassym Bensaid, Rivian’s software chief.

VW has long prided itself on its engineering prowess. Its self-reliance is such that its vast manufacturing complex in Wolfsburg generates its own power, runs hotels and makes its own sausages to feed the tens of thousands of workers.

Now, under Chief Executive Oliver Blume, it is increasingly turning to technology partners based half a world away to play catch-up. In a statement to The Wall Street Journal, Blume called the partnership with Rivian “a perfect match.”

Car companies today want to make their vehicles as easy to connect and update as a smartphone. The push is partly about keeping infotainment screens fresh, but as manufacturers look to include more autonomous features, it extends to core driving functions too.

So far, EV startups—working without the mechanical complexity of traditional vehicles—have better integrated the new technology, which involves consolidating vehicle electronics around a much more powerful central computer.

The new approach enables the kind of feature-rich, web-connected technology experience that consumers increasingly expect.

The transition to digital controls is tougher for traditional automakers to manage than the shift to big batteries, industry executives including Ford CEO Jim Farley have said.

In a recent ranking of automakers by how “digital” they are, technology consulting firm Gartner put Tesla, Chinese manufacturers NIO and Xpeng and then Rivian, respectively, in the top four spots. VW came 13th, behind General Motors and Ford.

VW wants to use the joint venture for the digital plumbing of all its passenger cars outside of China—some 5.7 million vehicles based on last year’s sales. The first cars to include the new technology could be available for sale by 2027.

For Rivian, the cash injection from Volkswagen could ensure its survival.

The U.S. company has burned through over $19 billion since it went public in 2021, a large chunk of which was spent developing bespoke hardware and software. That investment has yet to pay off, in part because the company produces too few vehicles—likely less than 50,000 this year—to turn a profit.

Rivian aims to use its successful collaboration with VW to open doors for more cooperation with other carmakers.

Both companies face risks in joining hands. Rivian is offering up an asset that it spent billions of dollars to develop, and which it has said is a core competitive advantage. VW is relying on a new venture it won’t fully control for a technology that is vital for its future.

VW is also in the midst of a painful restructuring, the result of tepid sales, intense competition in China and an expensive EV strategy. In continuing negotiations with the company’s powerful union, it has floated the possibility of the first German factory closures in VW’s history.

Of the Rivian deal, “Can we be sure that this isn’t the next billion-dollar grave?” asked Daniela Cavallo, VW’s top union representative, at an employee gathering in September.

The joint venture will be run by co-chief executives, whom the companies named on Tuesday. Rivian appointed Bensaid as the project’s leader with responsibility for technology, while VW put its chief technology engineer Carsten Helbing in charge of the operational side.

Rivian has long struggled with the complexities of manufacturing, and lost $39,000 on every vehicle it sold in the third quarter.

Rivian’s system of minicomputers that VW is acquiring is more expensive than off-the-shelf options from major automotive suppliers. Despite the costs, Rivian believes that its approach when applied at scale will ultimately be cheaper and represents a huge technological leap compared with VW’s current offering.

“There’s lots of opportunities for improvement,” said Bensaid.

For VW, teaming up with Rivian eases its dependence on its software unit Cariad, which has cost VW 7.8 billion euros, equivalent to about $8.3 billion, since it was split out in the company accounts in 2021, including almost €900 million in the latest quarter alone.

VW’s big wake-up call was the Shanghai auto show in April 2023, when the carmaker saw firsthand that digital features such as automated driving and voice control were proliferating on Chinese cars, while Cariad kept on missing deadlines.

A few months later, VW announced a deal to collaborate with Chinese startup Xpeng to jointly develop tech-forward EVs. But Steiner said VW knew that using Chinese technology in the rest of the world was a nonstarter.

Shortly after, Blume met Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe at the Porsche Performance Center in Atlanta.

The talks ultimately became serious enough for the companies to form “clean teams,” whose members would have been contractually barred from working on similar projects if the deal had fallen through.

By early June, they had stripped down a cutting-edge Audi Q6 e-tron shipped from Germany and fitted it with Rivian’s components as a lab project. The teams then started work turning a second Audi into a demonstrator vehicle that could actually be driven. A third Audi remained untouched as a reference point.

“In former times, we had kind of a claim that if something is not invented here within the VW ecosystem, it might not be good enough. Now this is gone,” said VW’s Steiner. “We cannot push the technological barrier in every area on our own.”

WSJ : 7-Eleven Owner Receives Buyout Proposal From Executive, Affiliated Firm

7-Eleven Owner Receives Buyout Proposal From Executive, Affiliated Firm
The company in September rejected a buyout offer from Canada’s Couche-Tard

Seven & i Holdings 3382 12.82%increase; green up pointing triangle has received a buyout proposal from its executive and his affiliated firm, it said Wednesday.

The Japanese retail company said its special committee is reviewing the proposal made by Vice President Junro Ito and his affiliated firm.

Seven & i said nothing has been decided on the proposal.

The 7-Eleven owner in September rejected a $39 billion buyout offer from Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard ATD 0.79%increase; green up pointing triangle, saying the proposal underestimated the company’s value and failed to sufficiently address regulatory issues.

In October, the Japanese company said it received a new proposal from Couche-Tard, without elaborating.

Seven & i has faced pressure from some foreign shareholders in recent years. It responded by shedding some businesses, such as unprofitable department-store operator Sogo & Seibu. In April, Seven & i said it was considering listing the supermarket business.

FT : Hedge funds circle a $20bn telco deal

Hedge funds circle a $20bn telco deal
Hedge funds that specialise in distressed situations don’t often find themselves at the centre of a $20bn deal. But that’s exactly what’s taking place with Verizon’s bid for Frontier Communications.

A group of investors that received equity through Frontier’s bankruptcy process are now in a position to vote on one of the biggest M&A deals of the year.

The transaction is probably headed for a showdown on Wednesday during the scheduled shareholder vote. Several big investors in the fibre network company have already said they plan to vote against it, and are instead demanding that Verizon bumps up its offer.

One significant flashpoint arrived last week with BCE’s proposed $3.6bn acquisition of Ziply — a telco with a fibre network similar to that of Frontier.

The Frontier investors have told Verizon and the Frontier board that the valuation in the Ziply deal implies a far higher purchase price because of the long-term growth prospects for fibre broadband service. (BCE was also a final bidder for Frontier, sources tell DD.)

The shareholders’ calculations show that the company’s projected growth makes its shares worth more than $50 a share — far higher than the deal price of $38.50.

Glendon Capital Management and Cerberus Capital Management are among the investors angling for a higher deal price, DD’s Amelia Pollard and Sujeet Indap report.

But it’s not entirely clear where another major shareholder stands.

Ares Management, the private credit giant and Frontier’s single-biggest shareholder with around a 15 per cent stake, hasn’t said which way it plans to vote. (It did hire boutique bank Houlihan Lokey to evaluate options.)

Meanwhile, Verizon doesn’t seem to be budging. When the deal was agreed in September, the offer represented a 44 per cent premium over Frontier’s trading range at the time.

Frontier, for its part, has said that if the deal doesn’t go through, it’ll return to its strategy as a standalone business. Today, we’ll be keeping a close eye on who blinks first — or if the vote’s postponed.

FT : An activist investor takes on Nissan

An activist investor takes on Nissan
Nissan is again in a crisis. With its market value falling below $10bn, it was a matter of time before it became an activist target.

It turns out a fund managed by Effissimo, one of Japan’s most famous activists behind the campaign that took Toshiba private, has acquired a 2.5 per cent stake in Nissan.

The market was excited by the news, pushing Nissan’s share price up 20 per cent.

Analysts say some activist pressure is probably a good thing for Nissan. Japan’s third-largest carmaker shocked investors last week by announcing emergency measures to stem its losses.

The entire car industry has been under pressure from slowing growth in electric vehicles and the cut-throat competition with the cheaper offerings from Chinese rivals.

But even against those challenges, the sharp deterioration in Nissan’s financial performance has been extraordinary. Following a quarterly loss, the group is cutting 9,000 jobs, slashing production capacity by 20 per cent and selling down its stake in Mitsubishi Motors by 10 per cent.

So what does Effissimo bring to the table?

The news immediately spurred market hopes that the fund would trigger a wider shake-up in Japan’s car industry.

As its alliance with France’s Renault fades, Nissan is seeking deeper ties with Honda, and speculation is growing that Nissan’s crisis may force Honda to take a stake in its struggling rival.

But according to what Leo Lewis, the FT’s Tokyo bureau chief, is hearing, Effissimo’s real target is more likely to be Nissan Shatai, a car assembly company half-owned by the carmaker.

The fund has a near 30 per cent stake in Shatai and bankers say its stake-building in Nissan may be an attempt to put more direct pressure on the carmaker to fully acquire Shatai.

The question is whether Nissan would have the money to convert Shatai into a fully-owned subsidiary.