FT : Volodymyr Zelenskyy accuses Donald Trump of living in a ‘disinformation bub

Volodymyr Zelenskyy accuses Donald Trump of living in a ‘disinformation bubble’
Ukrainian president’s remarks come as US counterpart appeared to blame Kyiv for war with Russia

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has accused Donald Trump of living in a “disinformation bubble” and disputed his $500bn bill for aid to Kyiv, after the US president appeared to blame Ukraine for the war with Russia.

Speaking in Kyiv on Wednesday, Zelenskyy, who was sidelined this week from high-profile talks between the US and Russia in Riyadh over the conflict, blasted Trump for pushing “a lot of disinformation coming from Russia”.

“Unfortunately, President Trump, with all due respect for him as the leader of a nation that we respect greatly . . . is living in this disinformation bubble,” ​he said.

The retort was prompted by Trump’s remarks from his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida on Tuesday, in which the US president falsely claimed Kyiv had started the conflict, the largest on European soil since the second world war.

Trump added he was “very disappointed” that Ukraine was “upset about not having a seat” at Tuesday’s talks in Saudi Arabia.

“Today I heard: ‘Oh, well, we weren’t invited’,” the US president said. “Well, you’ve been there for three years . . . you should have never started it. You could have made a deal.”

Zelenskyy’s comments came a day after the US and Russia US agreed to “lay the groundwork for future co-operation” on ending the war, in their first high-profile talks since Russian President Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Amid a dramatic reversal of decades of US policy towards Russia, Trump last week announced that he had spoken to Putin about ending the Ukraine war, without consulting Kyiv or its European allies.

On Wednesday, Zelenskyy pushed back against Trump’s suggestion that elections should be held in Ukraine, after the US president claimed that his Ukrainian counterpart had an approval rating of just 4 per cent.

Pointing to polling from the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology, which in February found that 57 per cent of Ukrainians trusted their president, Zelenskyy said: “So if anyone wants to replace me right now, that will not work.”

Putin has long sought regime change in Kyiv.

The Ukrainian president also disputed Trump’s claim that Ukraine owed the US $500bn worth of rare minerals and other resources for past military assistance.

Kyiv has spent $320bn on its war efforts against Russia, with $200bn coming from international military assistance, Zelenskyy said.

“The United States has contributed approximately $60bn so far, with an additional $31.5 billion in financial assistance,” he said. “That’s $67bn in weaponry and $31.5bn in direct budgetary support.”

State Department data broadly supports Zelenskyy’s figure for US military support for Ukraine.

The Information : Nvidia-Backed Robotics Startup Field Targets $2 Billion Valuat

Nvidia-Backed Robotics Startup Field Targets $2 Billion Valuation

The Takeaway
Robotics startup Field AI is in talks with investors to raise money at a $2 billion valuation. The Nvidia-backed startup, which has started to generate revenue, is one of several harnessing generative AI to direct robots.

Field AI, a two-year-old startup that makes artificial intelligence models to power robots, is in talks to raise several hundred million dollars at a $2 billion valuation, according to a person with direct knowledge of the fundraising discussions. That would quadruple the startup’s valuation last summer when investors including Nvidia valued it at $500 million.

The talks are the latest sign of intensifying investor interest in startups that are developing hardware and software for robotics by leveraging generative AI, which can train robots to perform humanlike actions more quickly and accurately than a previous generation.

Unlike some new robotics startups, Field has already started to generate revenue in the millions of dollars from selling access to its specialized models to companies in industries such construction and oil and gas. The models direct other providers’ robots to do everything from constructing a data center to monitoring and inspecting a warehouse to manual tasks, such as picking up a drill or carrying an item.

Field’s AI software operates via a piece of hardware attached to robots, such as those made by Boston Dynamics, which models its robots after animals, or Unitree Robotics, which models them after humans.

Prospective investors for the fundraising couldn’t be learned. The 50-person startup previously raised over $100 million from investors including Khosla Ventures and Temasek.

The financing, if completed, would add to a string of investments in young robotics startups at valuations that are steep increases from prices awarded just months before.

For instance, Skild AI, a two-year-old startup that is developing software to direct various robots, has discussed raising capital from SoftBank at a $4 billion valuation, up from $1.5 billion in July. And Physical Intelligence, a startup founded last year that is also developing foundation models for robots, raised money at around a $2 billion valuation in November, up from a $400 million valuation early last year. It recently launched its first model, called Π0 (Pi-zero).

Based in Mission Viejo, Calif., Field AI is building a multimodal large model, which works with text, images, voice and lidar sensors. Part of the company’s pitch to potential customers is that its models don’t just customize those trained by OpenAI and Anthropic. Instead, Field AI makes its own models that incorporate information integral to directing a robot, such as objects in its surroundings.

The company aims to direct robots in chaotic environments such as construction sites versus models that power single tasks such as taking a box off a truck. It has designed the models to work with any existing robots a manufacturer or warehouse already has, which should make it easier for its customers to start using them.

The team behind Field AI has some experience navigating the competitive robotics landscape. CEO and co-founder Ali Agha was a robotics technologist at the NASA Jet Propulsion Lab.

The Information : DeepSeek Weighs Raising Outside Money For First Time

DeepSeek Weighs Raising Outside Money For First Time

The Takeaway
• Alibaba and Chinese state funds have expressed interest in investing in DeepSeek
• Startup has previously rebuffed outside investor interest
• Need to raise more money for chips and servers may change its stance

DeepSeek’s sudden rise to artificial intelligence stardom has created a dilemma for the Chinese startup: whether to raise money.

A two-year-old offshoot of a Chinese quantitative hedge fund, DeepSeek so far has not raised outside funding, partly to avoid pressure from investors to commercialize its products too quickly. But since its AI chatbot app shot to fame a few weeks ago, the need for more AI chips and servers to handle fast-growing usage and support model development has prompted the company to consider outside fundraising, according to people with knowledge of internal discussions.

And in recent weeks, many powerful, deep-pocketed investors, including Alibaba Group and Chinese state–affiliated funds, have expressed interest in financing the company’s next stage of growth, according to two people with direct knowledge of the talks. Among the state investors that have contacted DeepSeek are China Investment Corp., the country’s sovereign wealth fund, and the National Social Security Fund, according to one of the people.

DeepSeek, Alibaba and China Investment Corp. didn’t respond to emailed requests for comment. Calls to the National Social Security Fund were not answered.

In addition to discussing whether they should raise money, executives at DeepSeek and its hedge fund parent, High-Flyer Capital Management, are also talking about whether the startup should pivot away from a primary focus on research toward building a business that generates meaningful revenue and eventually profits, according to people with knowledge of those discussions. It is also considering using data centers in Southeast Asia to gain access to more Nvidia AI chips, according to the people.

DeepSeek founder and CEO Liang Wenfeng—who is also a co-founder of High-Flyer—remains cautious about raising outside capital. It’s unclear what direction he will go in.

Nerdy and Idealistic

People who have worked with Liang describe him as a nerdy and idealistic technologist. He co-founded High-Flyer in 2015 to focus on using AI models for stock trading, then still a novel idea in China. Liang counts Jim Simons, the late founder of New York quant-trading fund Renaissance Technologies, as his role model, according to a preface Liang wrote for the Chinese edition of a biography of Simons written by a Wall Street Journal reporter.

In 2023, after OpenAI sparked the AI revolution with the release of ChatGPT, High-Flyer set up DeepSeek as a separate subsidiary to work mainly on advanced research projects. Liang’s aim was to achieve artificial general intelligence, a milestone where AI achieves human-level cognitive abilities. He set up DeepSeek like an academic laboratory and recruited researchers who also wanted to pursue AGI.

DeepSeek had a leg up over other Chinese AI startups: High-Flyer had stockpiled about 10,000 Nvidia A100 chips before the U.S. restricted sales of those semiconductors to China on national security grounds, according to former employees.

The company showed no interest in raising outside money. Partners of two Chinese venture capital firms who reached out to DeepSeek in late 2023 and early 2024 about possible investment say it made it very clear to them that it had no intention of raising any outside capital.

Meanwhile, Liang was paying close attention to AI developments in the U.S. In September, when OpenAI launched its o1 reasoning model, Liang flew to the U.S. and met with researchers he knows, including some OpenAI employees, to stay up to date, according to two people with knowledge of his U.S. trip.

In an internal meeting with employees late last year, Liang said DeepSeek was lagging behind OpenAI. But Liang also said DeepSeek could contribute to the AI industry’s progress by reducing costs and increasing efficiency, according to a former employee who attended the meeting.

DeepSeek’s older AI models, which were available to users through the company’s website, started to gain recognition late last year among AI researchers in the U.S. At the same time, DeepSeek was holding off on releasing a mobile chatbot app for consumers, even when many other tech companies in both the U.S. and China were rushing to do so.

In the second half of last year, for instance, when other Chinese companies’ AI apps, such as ByteDance’s Doubao, were quickly gaining popularity, Liang told employees in a meeting that the time was still not right for DeepSeek to focus on a consumer app. He said the company’s first priority should always be its research to build better foundation models more efficiently, according to two former employees who heard those comments.

DeepSeek Shock

Meanwhile, DeepSeek was gaining more attention. In late December, DeepSeek released V3, an updated large language model it claimed it had trained with just 2,048 Nvidia chips and at a cost of just $5.5 million, a fraction of what U.S. AI companies were spending on their own LLMs.

On Jan. 20, Liang was invited to a symposium hosted by Chinese Premier Li Qiang. And a few days later, DeepSeek released a new reasoning AI model, DeepSeek-R1. The model shocked Silicon Valley by offering performance comparable to OpenAI’s similar model even though R1 had been developed at a much lower cost by DeepSeek’s account.

DeepSeek’s first mobile app, launched a month ago, suddenly exploded in popularity and racked up 30 million daily active users in China in less than a month, the fastest growth ever in the country, according to research firm QuestMobile.

But it struggled to meet demand. During the Chinese New Year holiday in the first week of this month, when most of the country ground to a halt for the annual festivities, some DeepSeek employees kept working on solving the infrastructure challenge. The company has curbed the usage of its app in an attempt to make the traffic more manageable, but it will likely need to invest more in infrastructure to better accommodate existing users’ activities.

The DeepSeek shock has also sparked concerns in Washington, where lawmakers have long viewed China’s AI advancements as a threat to U.S. national security. Earlier this month, they announced a plan to introduce a bipartisan bill banning DeepSeek’s app from government-owned devices.

Meanwhile, the company’s fundraising plans are a fraught issue. Raising money from any major Chinese investor, especially a state-owned one, could add more fuel to Washington’s concerns and eliminate or limit DeepSeek’s future business opportunities in the U.S. Last month, the U.S. Commerce Department added Chinese startup Zhipu AI, whose investors include multiple state-backed funds, to an export blacklist, alleging that its AI research contributes to China’s military advances.

U.S. investors and funds that raise money from American limited partners would likely face difficulties backing DeepSeek because of U.S. rules that came into effect last month restricting investments in Chinese AI companies.

It is unclear whether High Flyer’s hedge fund business, which has faced more competition from other Chinese quant funds in recent years, can continue to provide all of the capital DeepSeek needs. DeepSeek’s own revenue so far is insignificant. Its chatbot app is free, and the application programming interface for its R1 model charges only 14 cents for input and a little over $2 for output per 1 million tokens—which refers to the units of text that language models process. Those prices are a fraction of those for OpenAI’s o1 reasoning model, which charges $15 for input and $60 for output per 1 million tokens.

Earlier this month, Tencent’s WeChat, the ubiquitous messaging and social networking app in China, started testing a feature that allows users to access DeepSeek’s AI model. It is unclear how much this could add to DeepSeek’s revenue.

Another big challenge for DeepSeek is how to secure its access to more Nvidia AI chips powerful enough for its AI development. While DeepSeek has been using Nvidia’s A100 chips, which High-Flyer acquired in 2021 before the U.S. imposed export restrictions, staffers at the company say they will need to get more Nvidia chips.

Late last year, in a team meeting, Liang talked to employees about the idea of using a data center in Malaysia to gain access to more Nvidia chips superior to H20, according to a former employee who attended the meeting. Other major Chinese AI competitors, such as ByteDance, have already made arrangements to use Nvidia chips without violating U.S. export controls by renting Nvidia-powered servers at data centers outside China.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th of February 2025 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Addnode Group AB Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 140 kronor
* Antofagasta Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 2,400 pence
* Aramis Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane (+)
* BBVA Raised to Buy by AlphaValue
* De Nora Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* DNB Bank Raised to Buy at BofA (+)
* Fincantieri Raised to Buy at Intesa Sanpaolo; PT 10.20 euros (+)
* Rheinmetall PT Raised to 1,098 euros at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Rovi Raised to Outperform at Renta 4; PT 66.50 euros (++)
* Sabadell Raised to Buy by AlphaValue
* Somec Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* STMicro Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 34 euros
* Zehnder Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)

>>> Down
* Banco BPM Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Bouvet Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 76 kroner
* Bouvet Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 78 kroner
* Bouvet Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Evonik Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Heidelberg Materials Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Hermes Cut to Sell at DZ Bank; PT 2,347 euros
* Holcim Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Julius Baer Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 58 Swiss francs
* Multiconsult Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 215 kroner (+)
* Neinor Cut to Hold at Bestinver; PT 16.10 euros
* Qiagen Cut to Neutral at Baird; PT 40.15 euros
* Societe Fonciere Lyonnaise Cut to Underperform at Oddo BHF
* Stendorren Fastigheter Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities
* Swedbank Cut to Underperform at BofA (+)
* Tate & Lyle Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 600 pence
* Trainline Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 400 pence
* Vaisala Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 54 euros
* Wacker Chemie Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 82 euros
* Wood Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 20 pence (+)
* Zumtobel Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)

>>> Initiation
* Adecco Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 29 Swiss francs (+)
* Aixtron Rated New Hold at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 15 euros (++)
* Asmodee Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 110 kronor (+)
* Frequentis Rated New Buy at Erste Group; PT 37 euros
* GE Vernova Rated New Outperform at CICC; PT $423
* Randstad Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 50 euros (+)
* Reply Rated New Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 180 euros

>>> Call
* Ageas Hits 2021 High; KBC Says BNP Paribas Stake Fuels M&A Talk (++)
* Ahold Delhaize Falls as JPMorgan Cuts PT on US Margin Worries (++)
* Aramis Jumps as BNPP Exane Upgrades on Used Car Recovery (++)
* Barclays’ Cau Says European Equities Are at Fair Value (+)
* Cibus Nordic Real Estate Dips, Kepler Blames Weak Finnish Market (++)
* DNB Bank Raised to Buy at BofA; Swedbank cut to Underperform (+)
* Equity Flow Signals for Europe Look Positive: Citi Strategists (+)
* Kepler Gives Wood Group a 20-Pence Target on Capital Raise Worry (++)
* Nexans Reports Strong Finish and Decent Guidance, Says Jefferies (+)
* Ratos Gains as Pareto Raises PT After Plantagen Restructuring (++)
* Trainline Falls on Rail Watchdog News, JP Morgan Cut to Neutral (++)
* Ukraine-Driven Gains Overdone for Some Stocks: Morgan Stanley (+)

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Brighthouse Financial (BHF) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $59
    • Capital One (COF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $235
    • Glaukos (GKOS) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Mizuho; tgt raised to $200
    • Illinois Tool (ITW) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank; tgt $257
    • NetApp (NTAP) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $128
    • STMicroelectronics (STM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies
    • Travelers (TRV) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt raised to $286
  • Downgrades:
    • Baidu (BIDU) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura
    • Bio-Techne (TECH) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W. Baird; tgt lowered to $68
    • Essential Properties Realty Trust (EPRT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at B. Riley Securities; tgt raised to $33.50
    • ICICI Bank (IBN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Erste Group
    • Qiagen (QGEN) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W. Baird; tgt lowered to $42
    • Supernus Pharma (SUPN) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald; tgt lowered to $36
    • Tactile Systems (TCMD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at B. Riley Securities; tgt lowered to $18
    • TRI Pointe Homes (TPH) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt lowered to $37
    • Valmont (VMI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson; tgt $380
    • Workday (WDAY) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $275
  • Others:
    • Candel Therapeutics (CADL) initiated with a Buy at Canaccord Genuity; tgt $20
    • Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald; tgt $10
    • Compass Therapeutics (CMPX) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $12
    • Electronic Arts (EA) initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson; tgt $140
    • Lightspeed (LSPD) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $20
    • Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies; tgt $103
    • Take-Two (TTWO) initiated with a Buy at DA Davidson; tgt $250
    • UroGen Pharma (URGN) resumed with a Buy at Ladenburg Thalmann; tgt $31

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • BMBL -17.8%, PERI -14.9%, CE -13.2%, SPNT -12.6%, PHG -11.3%, TRU -10.7%, FOUR -10.5% (also to acquire Global Blue), THRM -10.4%, GLBE -10.3%, PSN -8.8%, PUMP -7.5%, TX -6.9%, ETSY -6.7%, AU -6.5%, HBM -6.3%, CSGP -5.9%, CLVT -5.8%, FLS -5.6%, TOL -5.5%, OSW -5.2%, WWW -5%, OGE -5%, ANET -4.4%, KRYS -4.3%, KTB -4.2%, MBC -4.1%, IFF -3.9%, RNW -3.8%, CDNS -3.3%, CYH -3%, SSRM -2.5%, WTTR -2.3%, SCL -1.7%, IOSP -1.4%, NGVT -1.4%, ESI -1.4%, GNW -1%, MGY -1% (also increases buyback), CNK -1%
Other news:
  • SUPN -20.7% (released data on Phase 2b study of SPN-820)
  • SBLK -5.4% (reported Q4 net income)
  • SKE -4.8% (stock offering)
  • PACK -3.9% (stock offering)
  • HHH -3.8% (Pershing Square revises proposal to acquire 10,000,000 newly issued shares of HHH for $90/share; confirms receipt of revised proposal from Pershing Square)
  • WAY -3.8% (stock offering)
  • CAAP -2.3% (passenger traffic data for January)
  • BP -1% (mulls sale of lubricants business, according to Bloomberg)
  • FREY -1% (unveiling a strategic rebranding of the Company as T1 Energy)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • ANDE +12.8%, SEDG +10.8%, COMP +8.5%, PEN +8.1%, APPN +8.1%, RBA +7.6%, ADEA +7.6%, MTRN +5.9%, ADI +5.5%, FVRR +4.9%, ENLT +4.9%, JHX +4.7%, GAMB +4.2%, WIX +4%, LBTYA +3.2% (also announces buyback program), CVI +3%, BLCO +2.8%, UIS +2.7%, NPO +2.5%, DVN +1.6%, FOLD +1.5%, HCKT +1.4%, EQT +1.4%, PRDO +1.2%, HALO +1.1%, MTDR +1%
Other news:
  • CMMB +29% (successful completion of its End-of-Phase 2 Meeting with the U.S. FDA and alignment with FDA on the design of a single Phase 3 registration study for its lead product candidate nebokitug)
  • MFH +12.3% (Majority-Owned Subsidiary Aifinity Base Limited Plans to Manufacture Advanced Liquid Cooling Solutions for Nvidia Chip-Powered AI Data Centers and High-Performance Computing)
  • FFIE +7.3% (begins hiring for key positions to support AI)
  • ADI +5.3% (increases quarterly dividend; raises share repurchase by $10 bln)
  • PTCT +5% (FDA acceptance and Priority Review for Vatiquinone NDA)
  • UNM +4% (up to $1 bln repurchase plan)
  • LGO +2.9% (appoints Co-COOs)
  • CAN +2.9% (January 2025 Bitcoin Production and Mining Operation Updates)
  • NEOG +2.8% (NLRB withdraws unfair labor practices claim)
  • VIST +2.7% (reports reserves)
  • RDW +2.6% (releases transcript from interviews with CEO)
  • OTLY +2.3% (confirms change to ratio of ADRs)
  • ANGI +2.3% (CTO to resign)
  • CVEO +1.9% (entered into a definitive asset purchase agreement with a private seller for Civeo to acquire four villages with 1,340 rooms in Australia's Bowen Basin and the associated long-term customer contracts)
  • MATW +1.5% (outlines reasons to vote on the white proxy card for its director nominees)
  • SLDB +1.1% (enters into underwriting agreement)
  • MSTR +1.1% ($2.0 bln convertible note offering)

FT : Bond investors brace for Europe’s defence spending ‘bazooka’

Bond investors brace for Europe’s defence spending ‘bazooka’
Sovereign debt yield curves at their steepest in more than two years as investors anticipate more supply

Europe’s plan to spend more on its defence has poured fuel on a rise in countries’ long-term borrowing costs, investors say, adding to expectations that they will increase debt issuance.

Long-term borrowing costs for big economies such as Germany and the UK have been rising in recent months, driven partly by expectations of more sovereign debt supply.

Bets on increased defence spending have provided the latest catalyst, as US President Donald Trump pushes to end the Ukraine war and warns the region that it has been underpaying for its security. Yield curves on European sovereign debt have reached their steepest in two years this month, as long-term borrowing costs rise faster than short-term yields — a proxy for supply expectations. 

“Higher deficits are coming, with the need to grow defence spending,” said Mark Dowding, chief investment officer for fixed income at RBC BlueBay Asset Management.

That, he said, was mixing with inflation risks and an “uncertainty premium” brought in with the new US administration to push up long-term borrowing costs.


RBC BlueBay has bet on steeper yield curves in Europe and the US this year, a popular bet for asset managers.

Germany’s 10-year bond yield has reached 2.5 per cent, from just above 2 per cent at the start of December. Its spread over 2-year yields has reached close to 0.4 percentage points, the biggest gap since late 2022. Anticipation of growing defence spending has piled on top of speculation in markets that the country will reform its constitutional “debt brake” and increase borrowing to back a fiscal stimulus package, following elections on Sunday.

“Although Germany has a low fiscal deficit, pressure to move wider on the long end comes as an increase in defence spending and uncertainty on the release of the debt brake portend more borrowing and wider deficits,” said Mitch Reznick, a fund manager at Federated Hermes, which is also running steepener trades on European debt.

The recent rise in long-term borrowing costs reflects “primarily the risk that the EU will need to announce a spending bazooka to meet its defence commitments,” said Pooja Kumra, a rates strategist at TD Securities.

Defence shares have surged this week, as investors moved to anticipate greater defence spending. But there is not yet clarity on the extent of the extra spending or how it will be funded.

The EU said last week it would temporarily ease its fiscal rules to allow countries to spend more on their defence. The UK has promised to set out a “pathway” to increase defence spending from 2.3 per cent to 2.5 per cent of GDP, but a move to loosen fiscal rules only established in October might be poorly received by investors.

“It’s another upward source of funding pressure on debt-to-GDP [ratios],” said Frank Gill, sector lead for European sovereigns at rating agency S&P. The EU, he said, needed a financing “initiative quickly to show that they are serious about increasing defence spending at the European level”. 

Some form of joint debt issuance by European governments, potentially including the UK and Norway, is one of the options under consideration by officials.