>>> What to look at today - 14th of March 2025

Asian stocks and US and European equity-index futures rallied Friday as signs the US will avoid a government shutdown boosted sentiment.  Shares in Japan, Australia and China climbed and futures contracts for US equities advanced Friday as a stopgap funding bill looked set to pass and avoid a US government shutdown.  The news from Washington triggered a shift in sentiment after battering stocks through the week. On Thursday, the S&P 500 dropped 1.4% on Thursday to a six-month low, bringing its three-week rout past 10% — a correction in trader parlance. The Nasdaq 100, also in a correction, fell 1.9%. Treasuries eased up some of the gains from the prior session, when investors dashed to haven assets in a move that lifted gold to a record and supported an the dollar. Gains for the greenback extended into Friday, strengthening a gauge of the dollar for a third day. Avoiding the government close down removes an uncertainty for the markets, already nervous about economic growth in the US due to the tariff war of President Donald Trump. Two months into his presidency, sentiment in Wall Street has turned from optimism to nervousness. The slump has erased $5 trillion from US stocks as investors pared risk. The CSI 300 index of mainland China stocks touched the highest level this year, reflecting fresh optimism over the prospect of more policy support to boost consumption.  Congressional Democrats and Republicans have been engaged in a high-stakes game of chicken over Democrats’ insistence that a spending package include some restraints on Elon Musk’s DOGE’s cost-cutting crusade, with Republicans refusing and daring the opposition party to risk blame for a shutdown. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer dropped his threat to block a Republican spending bill, opening the way to avoid a US government shutdown. Treasuries rallied Thursday taking four basis points off the US 10-year yield which ended the session at 4.27% while an index of the dollar edged higher, as investors sought haven assets. US wholesale inflation stagnated in February thanks to a sharp decline in trade margins. In another sign of a trade-war escalation, Trump threatened to enact a 200% tariff on European wine, champagne and other alcoholic beverages. Later Thursday, Trump said he would not repeal tariffs on steel and aluminum that took effect this week, nor back off plans for sweeping reciprocal tariffs on global trading parters set to start as soon as April 2. In Asia, consumption stocks drove Chinese shares higher on policy hopes and gold miner shares tracked a rise in bullion. CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd. plunged Friday after China’s top office on Hong Kong issues reposted a sharp attack on the conglomerate’s decision to appease Trump by selling its stake in Panama ports.  Former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin discounted risks of a US recession, and played down the current selloff in equities, advising investors against overreacting to Trump’s aggressive trade tactics. The Federal Reserve’s Treasury-based recession model flagged year-ahead recession risk a year ago, and may be proven right if tariff uncertainty continues to hamper economic activity, according to Gina Martin Adams and Michael Casper at Bloomberg Intelligence.  Historically, a model reading exceeding 30% has accurately predicted recession one year out. And the current probability is 29.76%. However, US equities are pricing in a recession risk much bigger than credit markets, leaving room for a positive surprise, JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists including Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou and Mika Inkinen wrote in a note. Elsewhere, oil pared weekly loss after US sanctions offset a bleak outlook. An $8 billion exchange-traded fund tracking junk bonds saw one of its biggest losses in 2025. Bitcoin rebounded Friday after declining Thursday. US After Hours RDUS +108.6% to be acquired; AAOI +81.4% after issuing warrant to AMZN to purchase shares; RBRK +14.9%, SMTC +11.8%, DOCU +7.6%, ULTA +5.7%, PD +4% higher on earnings; XPOF -26.4% lower on earnings.

Nikkei +0.72% Hang Seng +2.23% CSI +2.30% Shanghai +1.71% Shenzen +1.96%

Eur$ 1.0855 CNH 7.2432 CNY 7.2413 JPY 148.38 GBP 1.2942 CHF 0.8841 RUB 86.2141 TRY 36.6832 WTI$ 67.02 +0.71% Gold 2,993 +0.12% BTC 81,975 +2.06% ETH 1,894 +2.82%

S&P +0.65% Nasdaq +0.85% EuroStoxx +0.17% FTSE +0.28% Dax +0.25% SMI +0.11%

Macro :
- Goldman Sees Stronger China Construction Activity Aiding Steel
- Trump Vows 200% Tariff on EU Wine, Escalating Trade Tensions
- Spain’s IBEX 35 Stock Index Unchanged After Quarterly Review
- Euronext Makes No Changes to CAC 40 Index in Quarterly Review
- Xiaomi, China EV Makers Defy Tariffs: Asia Earnings Week Ahead
- Ontario’s Ford Says He’s Meeting with the US Again Next Week
- Mexico’s Peso Lifts EM Currency Gauge as Tariff Woes Swirl
- Kremlin Asked for US Envoy to Be Excluded From Talks, NBC Says
- Oil Still Expected to Trade in $70-$75 Range in 2025

Keep an eye on :
- ANIM IM : Banco BPM Says Regulator Approves Document for Anima Bid (1)
- BLV FP : Believe Sees 2025 Organic Revenue Above +13%
- BMW GY : BMW Sees 2025 Automotive Ebit Margin 5% to 7%, Est. 6.65%,*BMW posts 37% drop in annual net profit, warns of 'subdued' Chinese demand
- BOY LN : Bodycote FY Revenue Misses Estimates
- BA US : *CITI, APOLLO TEST NEW PRIVATE CREDIT TIE-UP IN BOEING UNIT SALE
- BP/ LN : BP Seeks to Sell 50% of Solar Unit; Bids Due in June: Rtrs
- BRK/A US : Compass in Talks to Buy Berkshire’s Property Brokerage, WSJ Says
- BN CN : Brookfield Demands $2.7 Billion From Peru Over Toll Roads (1)
- BC IM : Brunello Cucinelli FY Net Income Misses Estimates
- CPRI US : Donatella Versace Assumes Role of Chief Brand Ambassador of Versace --> +8.42%
- 1 HK : CK Hutchison shares fall after Beijing urges group to ‘think twice’ on Panama deal -4.55% in HK
- DTG GY : Daimler Truck Sees 2025 Industrial Business Rev. EU52B to EU54B, to Cut Costs at Mercedes-Benz Trucks Unit After Earnings Decline
- DMP GY : Dermapharm 2025 Revenue Forecast Misses Estimates
- DGE LN : Trump Vows 200% Tariff on EU Wine, Escalating Trade Tensions (1)
- ENEL IM : Enel Profit Beats Estimates on Asset Sales, Lower Debt Costs, Enel FY Adjusted Net Income Beats Estimates
- EQT SS : EQT Gets Proceeds of About $400m from Galderma Share Sale
- EQT SS : EQT's Fund to Buy Crown Castle's Small Cells Solutions Business in $4.3 Billion Deal
- FDE FP : FDE Secures EUR10 Million in Loans from Bpifrance
- GALD SW : Galderma Placed New Dual Tranche CHF 435M CHF Bonds
- GBLB BB : GBL FY Dividend per Share Beats Estimates, GBL to Name Huth as CEO, Gallienne as Chairman
- IMPN SW : Implenia wins major rail project in Sweden
- IDR SM : Indra Creates Land Vehicle Subsidiary to Drive Industrial Growth
- IFX GY : Infineon, ON Semi Scouting For India Partners, ET Reports
- INTRUM SS : Intrum Wins Over Holdout Bondholders by Paying Off Certain Fees
- IPR PL : Impresa FY Net Loss EU66.2M Vs. Loss EU2M Y/y, Impresa Says It Plans to Cut Costs By About 10% in 4 Years
- IPG US : Omnicom, Interpublic Get Second Request From US FTC for Merger
- KER FP : Kering Appoints Demna as Gucci’s Artistic Director, Kering ADRs Fall on ‘Surprise’ Appointment of Demna to Gucci
- KESKOB FH : Kesko Feb. Sales From Continuing Operations EU906.1M
- LNZ AV : Lenzing FY Ebitda Beats Estimates
- MC FP : Trump Vows 200% Tariff on EU Wine, Escalating Trade Tensions (1)
- MBG GY : Mercedes Unveils Entry-Level Electric Sedan in Swipe at Tesla
- PGHN SW : Partners Group to Boost Hiring as it Seeks to Triple Assets
- 1913 HK : Versace Names Ex-Miu Miu Executive Vitale Chief Creative Officer -0.59% in HK
- RGNX US : Regenxbio 4Q Total Revenue Misses Estimates
- RUI FP : Rubis FY Ebitda Beats Estimates
- 9984 JP : SoftBank, OpenAI to Run AI Agents at Former Sharp Plant: Nikkei
- 4X0 GY : Steyr Motors Signs Framework Agreement in Brazil
- 4X0 GY : *STEYR MOTORS SAYS ORDER BACKLOG THROUGH 2027 ALMOST EU200M
- STMPA FP : Italy Set to Use Veto Powers Over STMicro Governance: Sole
- SLHN SW : Swiss Life in 2024: fee result up 33% and net profit up 13% - "Swiss Life 2024" Group-wide programme successfully
- TEF SM : Telefonica Tells Staff in Spain They Must Be in Office More (1)
- TSLA US : Tesla Warns It Faces Retaliation, Costs From Trump Trade War
- HO FP : Thales Sees Europe Defense as Growth Driver With Orders by 2026
- TTE FP : US swings behind TotalEnergies’ vast Mozambique gas project
- UBSG SW : UBS Asks Staff to Be in Office Three Days a Week: Financial News
- UMG NA : Ackman’s Pershing Offers 2.7% Stake in Universal Music Placement
- UMG ?A : Ackman Says Position in UMG Still Largest at ~17% of Portfolio
- UCG IM : UniCredit Gets ECB Nod for Banco BPM Offer Share Issuance
- UCG IM : *ECB AUTHORIZES UNICREDIT TO BOOST COMMERZBANK STAKE UP TO 29.9%
- VIRP FP : Virbac Maintains 2025 Organic Revenue at Constant FX, Scope View
- WKL NA : Wolters Kluwer Prices €500M Seven-Year Eurobond

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 14th of March 2025

>>> Up
* Ahold Raised to Buy at Goldman Amid ‘Solid’ Retail Sales Outlook
* Atlantic Sapphire ASA Raised to Neutral at SpareBank
* Carel Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux
* Carlsberg Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 1,020 kroner
* Erste Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 80 euros
* Heineken Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 92 euros
* Kuehne + Nagel Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
* Micron Raised to Buy at Aletheia Capital; PT $145
* Novo Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 720 kroner
* Redcare Pharmacy NV Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux
* RELX Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 4,275 pence
* Rightmove PT Raised to 840 pence from 700 pence at Peel Hunt
* Schneider Electric Raised to Buy at DZ Bank; PT 270 euros
* SUSS MicroTec Raised to Buy at DZ Bank; PT 52 euros

>>> Down
* AIB Group Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 7.30 euros
* Biovica International Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities
* Forbo Cut to Reduce at Baader Helvea; PT 881 Swiss francs
* Generali Cut to Sell at DZ Bank; PT 29 euros
* Hugo Boss Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 45 euros
* Novartis Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 110 Swiss francs
* Prosus Cut to Neutral at Prescient Securities; PT 49 euros
* T-Mobile Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT $268
* Tecan PT Cut to 205 Swiss francs at Bank Vontobel
* Thyssenkrupp Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 6.60 euros
* Vienna Insurance Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 38 euros

>>> Initiation
* Canal+ SA Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 240 pence
* Halcor Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 2.60 euros

>>> Call
* Burberry, Kering Placed on Negative Catalyst Watch at JPMorgan
* Carlsberg, Heineken Upgraded at RBC on ‘Prudent’ Expectations

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +4%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.9%
  • Enel (ENL TH) +1.9%
  • Nordea Bank (04Q TH) +1.8%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) +1.6%
  • Carlsberg (CBGB TH) +1.5%
    • Carlsberg, Heineken Upgraded at RBC on ‘Prudent’ Expectations
  • BAE (BSP TH) +1.4%
  • Safran (SEJ1 TH) +1.3%
  • BT (BTQ TH) +1.2%
  • RELX (RDEB TH) +1.1%
    • RELX Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 4,275 pence
  • Erste (EBO TH) -0.5%
    • Erste Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 80 euros
  • BNP Paribas (BNP TH) -0.6%
  • Reckitt (3RB TH) -0.7%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) -0.8%
  • Porsche SE (PAH3 TH) -0.9%
  • Porsche (P911 TH) -1.2%
  • Puma (PUM TH) -1.4%
  • Bavarian Nordic (BV3 TH) -1.4%
  • BMW (BMW TH) -2.6%
    • *BMW SEES 2025 AUTOMOTIVE EBIT MARGIN 5% TO 7%, EST. 6.65%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -2.9%
    • Thyssenkrupp Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 6.60 euros

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.4%
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) +1.1%
    • Daimler Truck Sees 2025 Industrial Business Rev. EU52B to EU54B
  • BMW (BMW TH) -1.4%
    • *BMW SEES 2025 AUTOMOTIVE EBIT MARGIN 5% TO 7%, EST. 6.65%
MDAX:
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +4%
  • AUTO1 (AG1 TH) +2.6%
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) +1.4%
  • Hugo Boss (BOSS TH) -1.6%
    • Hugo Boss Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 45 euros
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) -2.8%
    • Thyssenkrupp Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 6.60 euros
SDAX:
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +2.4%
  • Dermapharm (DMP TH) +2.2%
    • Dermapharm 2025 Revenue Forecast Misses Estimates
  • SFC Energy (F3C TH) +1.8%
  • Formycon (FYB TH) +1.7%
  • RENK Group AG (R3NK TH) +1.6%

FT : Tariffs on goods may be a prelude to tariffs on money

Tariffs on goods may be a prelude to tariffs on money
Capital inflows could be the Trump administration’s next target

This month, many investors feel dazed and confused. No wonder: as the US government flirts with another shutdown and President Donald Trump intensifies his trade war, indices of economic uncertainty have skyrocketed above even the 2020 pandemic or the global financial crisis of 2008.

But the uncertainty could get worse. For amid all the tariff shocks, there is another question hovering: could Trump’s assault on free trade lead to attacks on free capital flows too? Might tariffs on goods be a prelude to tariffs on money?

Until recently, the notion would have seemed crazy. After all, most western economists have long seen capital inflows as a good thing for America, since they have helped to fund its $36tn national debt and business. For instance, Elon Musk, Trump’s adviser, has benefited from Chinese investment, some of which is private.

But some maverick economists, such as Michael Pettis, have long dissented from this orthodox view. Pettis sees these capital inflows as not “just” the inevitable, and beneficial, corollary of America’s trade deficit, but as a debilitating curse. That is because inflows boost the dollar’s value, foster excessive financialisation and hollow out America’s industrial base, he says, meaning that “capital has become the tail that wags the dog of trade”, driving deficits.

Pettis wants curbs, like taxes, therefore. And six years ago, Democratic senator Tammy Baldwin and Josh Hawley, her Republican counterpart, issued a congressional bill, the Competitive Dollar for Jobs and Prosperity Act, which called for taxes on capital inflows and a Federal Reserve weak-dollar policy.

The bill seemed to die. But last month American Compass, a conservative think-tank close to vice-president JD Vance, declared that taxes on capital inflows could raise $2tn over the next decade. Then the White House issued an “America First Investment Policy” executive order that pledged to “review whether to suspend or terminate” a 1984 treaty that, among other things, removed a prior 30 per cent tax on Chinese capital inflows.

This did not grab headlines, since Trump was “flooding the zone” with other distractions, notably on tariffs. But it spooked Asian observers and probably contributed to recent US stock market falls, as some investors preemptively flee.

In reality, a tax shift might not happen — or affect anyone other than the Chinese. Trump is (in)famously mercurial, which makes predicting future policy hard, particularly since his entourage is split into at least three warring factions: nationalist populists (such as Stephen Bannon), techno-libertarians (like Musk) and pro-Maga congressional Republicans. The last two factions might fight capital curbs, due to concerns about destabilising Treasury markets.

But Trump is also eager to use all available tools to bolster his leverage on the world stage. And Pettis’s ideas seem to be influential among some advisers, such as Treasury secretary Scott Bessent, Stephen Miran, the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, and Vance.

This trio appears minded to reset global trade and finance, via a putative Mar-a-Lago accord, although their ambitions are on a grander scale than the 1985 Plaza accord. The latter “merely” weakened the dollar via joint currency intervention but Miran’s vision of a Mar-a-Lago accord includes a possible US debt restructuring too, which would force some holders of Treasuries to swap them for perpetual bonds.

Some well-connected financial analysts, like Michael McNair, also expect to see a sovereign wealth fund, backed by America’s gold reserves, that would buy non-dollar assets to balance capital inflows (like, say, Greenland’s resources). A third idea is imposing taxes on capital inflows in a wider sense. This might become the preferred approach if the idea of debt swaps leaves rating agencies threatening to downgrade US debt.

“[The trio’s] ultimate goal isn’t a series of bilateral [trade] deals but a fundamental restructuring of the rules governing global trade and finance [to remove] distorted capital flows,” says McNair. “Whether this approach succeeds remains to be seen, but the strategy itself is more coherent and far-reaching than most observers recognise.”

Let me stress that I am not endorsing this, nor predicting with any confidence it truly will happen. And it must be noted that Pettis’s theories provoke outrage among many mainstream economists. 

But Pettis is unrepentant. And critics should also note that the 2019 Baldwin-Hawley bill was not only applauded by conservative groups like American Compass, but some union voices too. Since it has populist appeal, it might yet fly.

Either way, the key point to understand is that a shift in economic philosophy is emerging that is potentially as profound as the rethinking unleashed by John Maynard Keynes after the second world war or that pushed by neoliberals in the 1980s. As Greg Jensen of the Bridgewater hedge fund recently quipped, paraphrasing Milton Friedman: “We are all mercantilists now.” Don’t expect that to be reversed any time soon.

FT : F1 shifts gear as off-track expansion goes into overdrive

F1 shifts gear as off-track expansion goes into overdrive
Formula 1 is developing its entertainment, merchandise and immersive fan experiences to broaden its appeal and boost revenue

Formula 1 is ramping up its off-track commercial activities as the global car racing series leans into pop culture to pull in new fans, keep their interest and increase revenues.

F1, which is controlled by the US group Liberty Media and whose season starts this weekend, is betting on experiences, merchandising and retail as part of a wider strategy focused on crossing into the entertainment industry.

Under Liberty Media ownership since an $8bn takeover in 2017, F1 has reached new audiences by putting the focus on the drivers, showcasing their personalities through the likes of the Netflix docuseries Drive to Survive. 

At a launch event in front of 15,000 people at the O2 Arena in London in February, all 10 teams presented their cars ahead of the new season. Music artists Machine Gun Kelly, Kane Brown and Take That performed, hosted by comedian Jack Whitehall under light displays and films that honoured F1’s history and connected it to the present.

The F1 75 event was another instalment in a series of immersive experiences being offered to fans. It comes on the back of the travelling F1 Exhibition, which showcases cars and other mementos from the sport’s history, and the gaming-bar business F1 Arcade, which is also backed by Liberty Media. 

F1 chief commercial officer Emily Prazer says the experiential approach was a “huge focus” in efforts to engage with fans and audiences outside the racetrack, in a cost-efficient and tangible way.

“Our sport — you need to be able to smell it, touch it and sell it to understand it,” Prazer says.

In another sign of the sport’s efforts to tap into the entertainment industry, F1 has backed a new film — titled F1 — starring Brad Pitt and scheduled for release in June.

The sport is in “Disneyfication” mode, says Paolo Aversa, professor of strategy at King’s College London, creating a world that provides different experiences and products to people from childhood to retirement, from toys and collectibles to merchandise and high-end hospitality.

“You first meet Mickey when you’re three, you meet the new characters of the franchise and you end up watching Marvel, then something more senior towards the end,” he says. “You can go to Disney theme parks and you can stay in the hotels. This is typical of American business models. Liberty Media knows this model very well.”

Disney-style theme parks, however, remain some way off. “I wish, that’s like my dream,” Prazer says.

Following a string of new deals in recent months, F1 has struck licensing partnerships with Lego Group and Mattel on new product ranges of toys and collectibles. The Lego collection ranges from entry-level Duplo to advanced Technic models, while Mattel is rolling out toy cars under its Hot Wheels brand.

Julia Goldin, global chief product and marketing officer at Lego, says the partnership will “surprise and delight fans” — with not just the products but also content or pop-up shops at Grand Prix events.

Lego’s “activation” video, portrayed Lego F1 cars racing around the Las Vegas Sphere — the city’s music and entertainment venue.

“It’s about enhancing the fans’ experience, giving them something to talk about, and something that will create a sense of awe,” Goldin said. “These are the kinds of things that build the brand for the future.”

Prazer agrees. “A lot of what we are focused on is how we continue to grow off the back of the success of Exhibition, Arcade and what we’re doing in Vegas.”

Under Liberty, F1 has widened its appeal from older, male petrolheads to a far more diverse audience, which skews younger and more female than before the takeover. The sport has built its global appeal with new races in the Middle East and the US, tapping into new fan bases and revenue opportunities. 

“People who watch the race live, beginning to end, will become the minority,” Aversa says. “Most people will enjoy F1 by playing with Lego, shorter summaries on social media, maybe watching the movie inspired by F1 or the Netflix series, which is more and more dramatised and less and less a documentary.”

In its 75th year, F1 is also finding new ways to produce the merchandise and memorabilia that fans want. In a move that complements F1’s existing licensing business, Prazer says the company has created its own wholesaler off the back of the F1 Hub, an initiative at the Las Vegas Grand Prix that featured exclusive merchandise collaborations, including one with the cartoon dog Snoopy, from the Peanuts comics.

The new Las Vegas Grand Prix — and Liberty Media’s decision to become the promoter for the event — is transforming the way F1 does business globally. The series now sends a product book to its Vegas casino partners a year in advance, allowing them to pick the merchandise they want to offer.

“We want to have quality control over what we’re selling — Formula 1 is a premium brand,” Prazer says. “We’re taking it really seriously. We’re not suggesting we’re ever going to take on Nike . . . but I think it helps us as we start selling into those retailers a little bit more.”

“Our biggest challenge is how to capitalise on it and be very thoughtful about what we do and don’t do,” she says. “The sport is on a roll and we’re getting inquiries on a daily basis, but we have to be really, really thoughtful [about it].”

Reuters : Asia hedge funds outperform US peers as markets sell off

Asia hedge funds outperform US peers as markets sell off

HONG KONG, March 14 (Reuters) - Asia hedge funds weathered the March selloff in markets better than their U.S. counterparts, helped by the relative outperformance of Chinese stocks as global investors rushed into that market.

Asia-focused hedge funds posted an average 0.71% loss this month until the 10th, compared with a 2.6% drop for their U.S. peers and a 1.7% drop for global peers, a Morgan Stanley prime brokerage note dated March 12 shows.

While the market rout impacted Asia hedge funds, their year-to-date outperformance relative to the United States has expanded, pointing to how the region is becoming somewhat of a haven for investors fearing a U.S. recession.

“Asian equity long/short, especially single-country managers have been very strong this year," said Nick Silver, head of Asia Pacific prime services at BNP Paribas. "This region feels a little bit insulated from the recent market rout. "

Asian hedge funds that bet on stock rises and falls, tracked by Morgan Stanley, were up 2.8% year-to-date, while the U.S. ones lost 2.6%.

U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies have jolted global markets and triggered a steep sell-off in U.S. stocks.

Global hedge funds rushed to cut risk and losses, causing the largest two-day unwinding of stock positions in four years on March 7 and March 10, according to Goldman Sachs. The tech-loaded Nasdaq (.IXIC), opens new tab plunged 4% on Monday, its biggest single-day percentage drop since September 2022.

In Asia, that unwinding also affected some multi-manager funds trading in Japan, forcing them to unwind their crowded bullish bets on Japanese stocks, according to sources familiar with the matter.

But the casualties were mostly in U.S. investments, they said.

Morgan Stanley estimates that year-to-date hedge fund purchases of Chinese stocks are almost double that in the September 2024 market rally, as losses on Wall Street accelerated investors' capital rotation.

Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index (.HSI), opens new tab - where many major Chinese companies are listed - is up about 20% since Trump entered the White House in January.

Hedge funds are also keen to re-enter the South Korean market once a short-selling ban is lifted on March 31, Morgan Stanley said.

Their positioning in Asia has been extremely light, meaning investors are able to be nimble and have less difficulty in getting out of consensus long positions and crowded shorts, Silver said.

"People have been able to move around a lot quicker here," he said.

WWD : Versace’s New Era: Dario Vitale Takes Reins as Donatella Steps Down

Versace’s New Era: Dario Vitale Takes Reins as Donatella Steps Down
Dario Vitale is joining from Miu Miu as there are reports his former employer, Prada Group, is in talk to potentially buy Versace from Capri Holdings.

MILAN — Fashion’s current spinning wheel on Thursday caught up Donatella Versace, who was named chief brand ambassador of the fashion house she has helped grow on her own for the past 28 years, following the death of her beloved brother Gianni.

On Thursday, Versace said the designer would be succeeded by Dario Vitale, named chief creative officer, effective April 1.

Vitale was previously Miu Miu’s ready-to-wear design director and left the company in January.

As first reported by WWD in December, sources said the contract of Donatella Versace, who held the role of chief creative officer of the Italian brand, was up in February. In her new role, she will dedicate herself to the support of Versace’s philanthropic and charitable endeavours.

In 2018, Donatella Versace reached a $2.1 billion deal to sell her family’s company to Michael Kors Holdings, which subsequently changed its name to Capri Holdings. Sources said Prada Group is in exclusive due diligence with Capri about buying both Jimmy Choo and Versace and have about mid-March to conclude a deal, if one is finalized. Prada could in turn flip Jimmy Choo to another buyer to focus on Versace.

Wall Street seemed to view the Versace news as a positive, sending Capri’s shares up 8.3 percent on Thursday to close at $21.12.

WWD reported in January that sources believed Vitale was headed to Versace, even before speculation about Prada eyeing Versace emerged. Was a potential deal in the cards even before Vitale left Miu Miu? If the deal does materialize, it’s safe to say Prada will be interacting with a designer they feel comfortable with.

“Today’s announcements were part of a thoughtful succession plan for Versace,” stated John D. Idol, chairman and chief executive officer of Capri Holdings. “Since 1997, Donatella has led the creative vision for the house of Versace and played an integral role in the company’s global success. He added that the designer “will continue to champion the Versace brand and its values.”

Idol described Vitale as “a strong design leader, and we are confident that his talent and vision will be instrumental to Versace’s future growth.”

Donatella Versace has been fundamental in spearheading the brand. In addition to her work as a designer, she has acquired A-list popularity on social media, and is widely recognized for her philanthropic work, her support of the marginalized and her initiatives to sustain the rights of the LGBTQIA+ community. She has also supported young designers such as Christopher Kane, who designed Versus with her for years, Jonathan Anderson and Anthony Vaccarello, attending the latter’s show for Saint Laurent on Tuesday night in Paris.

To wit, on Thursday, she said that “championing the next generation of designers has always been important to me. I am thrilled that Dario Vitale will be joining us, and excited to see Versace through new eyes. I want to thank my incredible design team and all the employees at Versace that I have had the privilege of working with for over three decades.”

In her new role, she said she would “remain Versace’s most passionate supporter. Versace is in my DNA and always in my heart.”

Concluding, she underscored that “it has been the greatest honor of my life to carry on my brother Gianni’s legacy. He was the true genius, but I hope I have some of his spirit and tenacity.”

Sources said Idol and Donatella Versace have often clashed over the strategy for the brand, further fueling the speculation over the designer’s contract renewal.

Vitale said he was “truly honored ” to join the company and “to be a part of this special and powerful fashion luxury house created by Gianni and Donatella.” He paid tribute to the brand’s “unique heritage that has spanned decades and has shaped the history of fashion. I want to express my sincere thank you to Donatella for her trust in me, and for her tireless dedication to the extraordinary brand that Versace is today. It is a privilege to contribute to the future growth of Versace and its global impact through my vision, expertise and dedication.”

“Versace’s decision to bring in Dario Vitale reflects a growing trend in luxury fashion: moving beyond traditional in-house succession to secure leadership with a proven track record in brand transformation,” said Roberto D’Incau, fashion headhunter, Lang & Partners. “His tenure at Miu Miu demonstrated his ability to merge creative excellence with commercial success, a rare and highly sought-after talent in today’s industry. If he can channel that expertise into Versace’s universe—without diluting its unmistakable identity—this could be one of the most significant creative shifts of the decade.”

Giovanna Brambilla, partner at Milan-based executive search firm Value Search, concurred, saying the appointment of Vitale “foreshadows a very interesting evolution for the brand.”

The designer, with his “creative vision but also constancy and determination,” contributed to evolve Miu Miu from a brand that was “essentially a fantastic creative exercise” into what it has become today: “a brand that women not only appreciate but love to wear.”

Vitale, she continued, “added concreteness to conceptuality,” with a distinctive creativity “for real women that want to feel unique.”

Brambilla believes the “exceptional results” Miu Miu reported over that past few years prove that creativity, “when channeled correctly, accelerates a positive performance,” and that quiet luxury is not the only road to success.

Rodgy Guerrera, founder of boutique head hunter Rodgy Guerrera & Partners, said she has known Vitale since his days as a student at Istituto Marangoni. “I have always liked him both as a person and as a professional: he is steady, reserved, has excellent taste and a great creative sensibility. I am sure he will breathe new life into Versace.”

Guerrera was confident Vitale will know how to interpret the vision of Gianni and Donatella Versace. “In my opinion he is the right person for this challenge and he will bring a fresher and more modern take to this great brand.”

Emmanuel Gintzburger, CEO of Versace, said “Versace is what it is today because of Donatella Versace and the passion she has brought to her role every day for nearly 30 years. The universal values she stands for and her love for uncompromised creativity anchored Versace far beyond a brand or a company. Working alongside her has been an incredible privilege and pleasure.”

Gintzburger expressed his confidence in the company “as we are well-prepared for the organization to write this new chapter for the house. Dario Vitale is a rare talent, who deeply respects the essence and values of Versace and clearly understands its growth potential.”

The CEO touted Vitale’s “experience and vision,” confident that it “will bring a new perspective to the brand. I am excited to welcome him in the coming weeks and embark on a new and ambitious journey for Versace.”

Donatella Versace was born in Reggio Calabria in southern Italy, the younger sister of Gianni and Santo. The company was founded in 1978 and, while Santo dealt with the business, Donatella started working beside Gianni and was also considered his muse.

She supervised campaigns by photographers such as Richard Avedon, Irving Penn and Helmut Newton, and in 1994 she became head designer of Versus.

She has helped build the brand by connecting luxury with the mood of the street, curious for novelty and leveraging a deep understanding of pop culture.

Besides supervising the successful Versace Home line, a pioneer in the segment as a fashion brand, she has been overseeing fine jewelry, timepieces, fragrances and the Versace interior design facility as well as the palazzo Versace hotels in Australia, on the Gold Coast, in Dubai and Macau.

In December 2017, the British Fashion Council bestowed her with the Fashion Icon Award during the Fashion Awards, and in June 2018, she received the International Award by the CFDA.

In September 2018, the designer received the CNMI Award in recognition of sustainability at the Green Carpet Fashion Awards.

WWD : Demna Is the New Designer at Gucci

Demna Is the New Designer at Gucci
The Georgian creative will wrap up his tenure at Balenciaga with a couture show on July 9. His successor has yet to be named.

Demna is leaving Balenciaga to become the new artistic director of Gucci, tasked with jolting the Italian fashion house out of its doldrums with a gust of strong creativity.

“Demna will bring to Gucci something exceptional. His way of defining fashion today is pretty unique, and this is what Gucci deserves and needs for the future,” said Gucci chief executive officer Stefano Cantino, speaking to a clutch of reporters summoned to the Paris headquarters of Gucci’s parent company Kering for the announcement.

“We are in agreement that Demna is one of the best creative directors of his generation, without any doubt,” he added. “He has proven his capability to reshape Balenciaga during his tenure, its identity and, of course, its fashion point of view.”

At Cantino’s side was Francesca Bellettini, Kering deputy CEO in charge of brand development, who noted Demna would wrap his tenure at Balenciaga with an haute couture show on July 9 and start at Gucci shortly after.

It has yet to be determined when the Georgian designer might unveil his first collection for Gucci.

Ahead of him lies “a holistic work around the brand,” Bellettini stressed.

She also brushed away all questions about Demna’s eventual successor at a house he’s made synonymous with hoodies, oversize tailoring, heavy-soled sneakers and hype collaborations — including one with Gucci in 2021.

Demna succeeds Sabato De Sarno, who exited Gucci in early February after a two-year collaboration. The fall 2025 fashion show in Milan on Feb. 25 was presented by the brand’s design office.

Thursday’s announcement came at the tail end of a fashion month rife with creative upheaval, and rampant speculation about who would ultimately land at Gucci, one of the most troubled megabrands in today’s luxury landscape.

Demna’s appointment sets the stage for another bumper crop of designer debuts, with Matthieu Blazy slated to show his first ready-to-wear collection for Chanel, and Jonathan Anderson said to be headed for Dior, though nothing is official yet.

Both Kering and LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, parent of Dior, seem to be placing bets in putting their strongest horse on their biggest and most crucial brands.

Other European brands with new designers yet to show their first collections include Versace, where Dario Vitale is succeeding Donatella Versace; Jil Sander, which just hired Simone Bellotti from Bally; Celine, now under Polo Ralph Lauren alum Michael Rider; Maison Margiela, which will now be helmed by Glenn Martens; Bottega Veneta, where Louise Trotter succeeded Blazy, and Carven, where Mark Howard Thomas succeeded Trotter as its director of design.

Additional changes are also said to be looming at Loewe, Mugler and Jean Paul Gaultier, to name but a few.

To be sure, many eyes will be on Gucci, which has been losing steam since the 2022 exit of creative director Alessandro Michele, who ignited a renaissance at the brand that lifted it to nearly 10 billion euros in revenues — until the market grew fatigued with his exuberant, retro-tinged designs.

With De Sarno as Michele’s successor, the brand has been pursuing an elevation strategy and, as reported, management had been pinning its hopes on the introduction of new handbag lines, a shorter time to market and a streamlined distribution and offer.

However, De Sarno’s collections were met with mixed reviews and his timeless take on signature pieces did not gain enough traction for a turnaround.

Equity analysts have been pressuring Gucci to name a high-profile designer to help revitalize the brand and regain market prominence.

Gucci reported a 24 percent drop in organic revenues in the three months to Dec. 31, worse than the 23 percent decline forecast by analysts. In 2024, the brand accounted for 63 percent of parent Kering’s operating profit.

Most of Kering’s luxury brands also saw organic sales weaken in the fourth quarter. Saint Laurent was down 8 percent, and the “other houses” group, which includes Balenciaga and Alexander McQueen, reported a 4 percent decline.

Last month, Kering chairman and CEO François-Henri Pinault assured investors that the group had “reached an inflection point, and that after a year of stabilization in 2025 we will gradually resume a trajectory of steady and increasingly profitable growth.

“Gucci will come back. I have absolutely no doubts about this,” he added.

In a joint Kering-Balenciaga press release, issued Thursday after the close of trading on the Paris Bourse, Pinault said: “Demna’s contribution to the industry, to Balenciaga, and to the group’s success has been tremendous. His creative power is exactly what Gucci needs. As I thank him for everything he has accomplished over the past 10 years, I look forward to seeing him shape Gucci’s new artistic direction.”

For his part, Demna said: “I am truly excited to join the Gucci family. It is an honor to contribute to a house that I deeply respect and have long admired. I look forward to writing together with Stefano and the whole team a new chapter of Gucci’s amazing story.”

During the briefing, Bellettini and Cantino touted Demna’s capabilities.

Bellettini said Demna was immediately enthusiastic about Gucci and came up with a compelling proposal “to make the brand cool and relevant.”

The designer subsequently trolled through archives of the Italian brand, which dates to 1921, and liked what he saw.

“We believe in his capability of blending such a strong heritage with an incredible fashion touch,” Cantino said, also lauding Demna’s ability to interpret the contemporary culture and define “what is luxury today for young generations and, of course, for the future.”

Asked about Demna’s penchant for dark, dystopian themes and an underground sensibility, Cantino assured that the designer would not transpose his Balenciaga aesthetic: “His intention is to do at Gucci something that is right for Gucci.”

In retrospect, his fall 2025 show for Balenciaga, more approachable than usual, could be read as a demonstration by Demna that he can design a straightforward men’s suit, a luxurious woman’s coat and less bombastic accessories.

He even donned a black suit and dress shirt instead of his usual grubby hoodies and T-shirts for the backstage scrum after that show, declaring, “Maybe I’m like Demna version 2.0. Maybe I grew up enough to wear a suit as a designer.”

Cantino and Bellettini also took pains to describe the crucial groundwork laid ahead of Demna’s arrival, including production efficiencies, quality improvements, better delivery times and talent upgrades across the organization.

“Now the company is very ready to ignite, to sustain and to give very strong creativity the chance to shine,” Bellettini said.

Asked about De Sarno’s legacy at Gucci, she called his contribution “immense.”

De Sarno was an outside hire, recruited from Valentino, where he rose to the position of fashion director overseeing both men’s and women’s collections. The Naples-born designer also worked at Prada and Dolce & Gabbana earlier in his career.

At Gucci, De Sarno worked under three different CEOs — Marco Bizzarri and Jean-François Palus came before Cantino — and with a revolving door of marketing and communications executives including Robert Triefus, Susan Chokachi, Alessio Vannetti and now Valérie Leberichel.

In contemporary times, Gucci has typically promoted designers from within. Michele was an associate of one-time creative director Frida Giannini, who herself worked under Tom Ford, the designer widely credited with reviving the brand during his tenure from 1995 to 2004.

According to sources, contenders to succeed Demna at Balenciaga could include Pieter Mulier, who has heated up Alaïa to the boiling point, and Daniel Roseberry, so far the most successful creative director at Schiaparelli, having led the couture house into ready-to-wear.

Born in Georgia, Demna studied international economics at Tbilisi State University before he enrolled in Antwerp’s Royal Academy of Fine Arts, which spawned the original Antwerp Six in the early ‘80s.

He graduated with a master’s degree in fashion design in 2006, later that year collaborating with Walter Van Beirendonck, one of the Antwerp Six, on his men’s collections.

He joined Margiela in 2009 after the maverick Belgian founder retired and was responsible for the women’s collections. In 2013, he moved over to Louis Vuitton, where he was senior designer of women’s ready-to-wear collections, initially under Marc Jacobs and briefly under Nicolas Ghesquière.

But it was his Vetements project — cofounded in 2014 with his brother Gurum Gvasalia — that thrust him onto the international radar with an impassive, alternative brand of cool.

He ignited a streetwear juggernaut that had a wide influence on fashion: Soon his extra-long sleeves and monster shoulders were all over the runways, and $800 hoodies with wry slogans or logos became covetable items for sneaker heads and fashionistas alike.

He joined Balenciaga in 2015 and did not change his stripes, gleefully and openly appropriated signposts of consumer culture, taking a sociological approach to analyzing what triggers consumer desire, and stretching the boundaries of what is considered luxurious and chic.


With black fingernails and facial scruff in his debut years, Demna was seen as a ringleader for all things underground and alternative, exalting the grittier elements of Paris in his collections, along with jolts of S&M and punk, seen in kinky face hoods and spiky sunglasses.

He stepped down at Vetements in 2019, stating that he accomplished his “mission of a conceptualist and design innovator at this exceptional brand.”

Armed with Balenciaga’s mightier budgets, he emerged as one of fashion’s consummate showmen, staging gripping runway spectacles in sets evoking submerged stadiums, a grand parliament or a giant pit of mud.

There were dark moments, however. Demna and the house of Balenciaga was engulfed in crisis at the end of 2022 and well into 2023 over advertising images that critics claimed condoned the exploitation of children.

Demna’s two-way collaboration Gucci in 2021 was characterized as “hacking” each other’s collection.

Michele unveiled a Gucci collection that included interpretations of the silhouettes and emblems of Demna’s Balenciaga, while Demna offered a range of “conceptual interpretations of Gucci‘s recognizable signatures as Balenciaga products.”

At the time, Demna told WWD what a thrill it was to “vandalize a bit” a Gucci tote bag with a message in black spray paint. “I had the pleasure of doing that on the prototype.”

TechCrunch : Waymo was slapped with nearly 600 parking tickets last year in SF a

Waymo was slapped with nearly 600 parking tickets last year in SF alone

Waymo now has more than 300 driverless vehicles zipping passengers around San Francisco, but while they follow traffic laws, parking is another matter entirely. According to city records cited by the Washington Post, these rolling robots racked up 589 citations totaling $65,065 in fines last year for parking violations that ranged from blocking traffic to street-cleaning restrictions to parking in prohibited areas.

In fairness to Waymo, getting a parking ticket in San Francisco is aggravatingly easy. The city hands them out like flyers. (Per the San Francisco Standard, the rough number last year was 1.2 million.)

A Waymo spokesman tells The Post that the company is working on solving the problem, but we’d hazard a guess that won’t happen until every car is driverless. Waymo cars sometimes stop in commercial loading zones to drop off riders when the only other option is a congested main road or a spot far from the rider’s destination. They also occasionally “park briefly” between trips if they’re too far from a Waymo facility. They’re the same trade-offs human drivers make all the time, and until we’re out of the picture, Waymo’s vehicles will probably make the same calls – and get the same tickets.