>>> US After Hours Summary: FIVE +9.8% higher on earnings; PRA +51.2% on deal to

After Hours Summary: FIVE +9.8% higher on earnings; PRA +51.2% on deal to be acquired; FOUR +6.4% as it expands a partnership

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: FIVE +9.8%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: PRA +51.2% (to be acquired by The Doctors Company for $25/sh in cash), FOUR +6.4% (expands partnership with Great Wolf Resorts), EBS +1.9% (completes sale of facility to Syngene), FE +0.9% (increases dividend), NOV +0.2% (names new CFO and new COO), PSEC +0.2% (CEO bought 240000 shares), THO +0.1% (announces restructuring of Heartland RV, which will now be integrated under Jayco)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: WS -5%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: AKBA -20.4% (stock offering), MCHP -3.3% (launches $1.35 bln offering of depositary shares in a new convertible preferred stock; also files mixed shelf securities offering), LQDA -1.5% (stock offering by selling shareholders), CE -0.1% (provides capital structure update)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades -19th of March 2025

>>> Up
* Bridgepoint Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 410 pence
* Leonardo PT Raised to 60 euros from 35 euros at Morgan Stanley
* Meta Raised to Buy at Punto Casa de Bolsa; PT $754.29
* Monte Paschi Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 8.60 euros
* Mosaic Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT $33
* Recordati Raised to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 52 euros
* Savills Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt
* Schneider Electric Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 270 euros
* Tencent Music ADR Price Target Raised at MS on Positive Outlook

>>> Down
* Centrica Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 170 pence
* Compass Group Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 2,500 pence
* Daimler Truck Cut to Hold at DZ Bank; PT 42 euros
* Finnair Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Siemens Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 245 euros
* XPeng ADRs Cut to Hold at Daiwa; PT $24

>>> Initiation
* BP Rated New Hold at TD Cowen; PT 461 pence
* Bravida Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 110 kronor
* Ferrovial Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 48 euros
* Instalco AB Rated New Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 37 kronor
* MPC Muenchmeyer Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities
* Oracle Rated New Equal-Weight at Stephens; PT $167
* Pexip Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 56 kroner
* Shell Rated New Buy at TD Cowen; PT 3,075 pence
* TUI Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
* XPeng ADRs Assumed Buy at Nomura; PT $30

>>> Call
* Defense Rally Has Further to Run, PTs Lifted at Morgan Stanley
* Redeia Upgraded at Morgan Stanley Ahead of Regulatory Review
* Siemens Now Trades at Premium, Cut to Sector Perform at RBC
* TUI on Track for Margin Recovery, New Overweight at JPMorgan

>>> What to look at today - 18th of March 2025

Stocks in Asia rose for a fourth day, serving as a contrast to the US where a selloff continued. Gold rose to a new record.  Shares in Japan and South Korea rose, while Chinese stocks were mixed. S&P 500 futures advanced after benchmarks slid on Tuesday. Investors have slashed holdings of US equities by the most on record while cash levels jumped, according to Bank of America Corp.’s latest survey. Uncertainty over President Donald Trump’s economic policies, particularly around trade and tariffs, has spurred fears of a recession, with traders seeking clarity from the Federal Reserve policy decision later Wednesday. Investors have also been hunting for opportunities elsewhere, with benchmarks in China and Japan rallying in recent weeks.  The yen retreated against the dollar, though fluctuated earlier as the BOJ stood pat and said a virtuous cycle of wages and prices is intensifying, while keeping an eye on the global trade situation. Traders are turning their focus to Governor Kazuo Ueda’s press conference Wednesday afternoon. Separately, Japan’s exports rose at a faster pace as businesses increased orders ahead of the rollout of higher tariffs in the US. Indonesian stocks rebounded slightly after mass selloffs triggered circuit breakers and trading halts on Tuesday. The benchmark Jakarta Composite Index is up as much as 1.3%.   Elsewhere in Asia, Chinese banks are slashing rates on consumer loans to record lows as policymakers ramp up stimulus to stabilize growth and counter US President Donald Trump’s tariffs.  Still, China’s stock rally may face a “meaningful correction soon” given its similarities with the 2015 boom and bust cycle, according to strategists at BofA securities. 
Shares of Xpeng Inc. declined as its volume guidance came in short of some analyst expectations, while tech firm Xiaomi Corp. fluctuated in Hong Kong after reporting its fastest revenue growth since 2021 on electric vehicles.
Earnings are expected later from the likes of Tencent Holdings Ltd., Anta Sports Products Ltd. and Muyuan Foods Co.
In commodities, oil slipped as broader market weakness and concerns about a global glut of crude overshadowed escalating tensions in the Middle East. Meanwhile, gold extended a record high above $3,030 an ounce. The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady and its quarterly dot plot should give investors more insight into the outlook for the economy. Traders will also be focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference and his juggling act between communicating the central bank’s current view of the economy and weighing the potential impact of Trump’s trade policy. Options traders are pricing in a 1.2% move in the S&P 500 in either direction on Wednesday — up from an average of 0.8% for Fed days over the past year, according to data from Stuart Kaiser, Citigroup’s head of US equity trading strategy. US After Hours Lost of NVDA-related announcements from conference, led by SPIR +13.5%, ACN +3.1%, PSTG +2.9%; STNE +9.1% higher on earnings

Nikkei -0.25% Hang Seng -0.02%% CSI -0.13%% Shanghai -0.29% Shenzen -0.71%

Eur$ 1.0933 CNH 7.2387 CNY 7.2287 JPY 149.73 GBP 1.2986 CHF 0.8776 RUB 81.7142 TRY 36.7752 WTI$ 66.66 -0.36% Gold 3,38 +0.17% BTC 83,062 +1.27% ETH 1,937 +1,64%

S&P +0.11% Nasdaq +0.19% EuroStoxx -0.07% FTSE +0.05% Dax -0.18% SMI +0.18%

Macro :
- NASA Astronauts Back on Earth After Months Stuck in Space
- Turkey Detains President Erdogan’s Main Political Rival Imamoglu
- Putin Spurns a Ukraine Ceasefire But Trump Calls Talk a Win

Keep an eye on :
- AF FP : Air France Markets New First Class as Suite Fit for Private Jet
- MT NA : ArcelorMittal, South Africa Near Funding Deal for Stricken Mills
- ADSK US : Activist Starboard Prepares to Launch Proxy Fight at Autodesk -- WSJ
- BALN SW : Swiss Insurers Baloise, Helvetia Said to Explore Combination
- ATDN CN : Couche-Tard 3Q Adjusted EPS Matches Estimates
- ATD CN : Couche-Tard Met Seven & i Investors to Press Case for Takeover
- DNR IM : De Nora FY Dividend per Share EU0.104
- Einride IPO : Sweden’s Einride in Talks With Banks for US IPO Later in ‘25: FT
- ENX FP : Euronext Chief Sees Rethink of Europe-to-US Listings: ECM Watch
- GOMX SS : GomSpace OKs SEK196m Direct Share Issue to Holder Hargreaves
- GSK LN : Watch GSK After Report on US Government Mulling HIV Funding Cuts
- HLN LN : Haleon Holder Pfizer Offers 662m Shares
- KER FP : Kering May Seek Partner for €1.3b Milan Property: Corriere
- MB IM : Mediobanca CEO Says Paschi Bid Would Lead to Earnings Dilution
- BMPS IM : Paschi Shareholders to Meet on Mediobanca April 17
- MBLY US : Mobileye Shares Fall as Nvidia, GM Partner on Self-Driving
- PFE US : Pfizer to Exit Sensodyne-Maker Haleon With Final Stake Sale
- RATOB SS : Ratos to Sell Stake in Airteam to Nalka in SEK1.7 Billion Deal
- RAYB SS : Raysearch Offering of Shares by Holder Prices at SEK250/Share
- RED SM : Redeia Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 18 euros
- SIFG NA : SIF FY Revenue Beats Estimates
- SRAIL SW :Stadler Rail Sees 2025 Ebit Margin 4% to 5%, Est. 5.18%
- STR AV : Strabag Holder Offers 2M Shares: Terms, Strabag Offering by Holder Prices at €66/Share, Terms Show
- SZU GY : Suedzucker Prelim FY Ebitda About EU715M, Est. EU574.4M
- STLN SW : Swiss Steel Group FY Ebitda Loss EU35.5M Vs. Loss EU102.2M Y/y
- TLX GY : Talanx FY Ebit Beats Estimates
- TSLA US : Tesla Gets Approval for Passenger Transportation in California
- UCB BB : UCB Data Show Pyrimidine Nucleoside Decreases Mortality in TK2d
- VNA GY : Vonovia FY Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
- 1810 HK : Xiaomi Raises EV Targets After Sales Grow Fastest Since 2021
- XPEV US : Xpeng Drops on Guidance Miss, Profit-Take Pressure: Street Wrap

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +5.7%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +2.9%
    • TUI Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
  • Lloyds (LLD TH) +2.6%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +2.4%
    • Vonovia FY Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +2.2%
  • NKT (NKT TH) +2.1%
  • BAE (BSP TH) +2%
  • Voestalpine (VAS TH) +1.9%
  • AstraZeneca (ZEG TH) +1.6%
  • Dassault Aviation (DAU0 TH) +1.6%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -1.2%
  • Siemens (SIE TH) -1.2%
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) -1.7%
  • Mowi (PND TH) -1.7%
  • Eurazeo (EUQ TH) -2.1%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +2.4%
    • Vonovia FY Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -1.6%
MDAX:
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +4.8%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +3.5%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +2.9%
    • TUI Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
  • Deutsche Wohnen (DWNI TH) +1.7%
    • Vonovia FY Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
  • Bilfinger (GBF TH) +1.5%
SDAX:
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +27%
  • SFC Energy (F3C TH) +2.9%
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) +2.8%
  • Wacker Neuson (WAC TH) +2.6%
  • AlzChem Group AG (ACT TH) +2.5%
  • Duerr (DUE TH) -0.1%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) -0.5%
  • flatexDEGIRO (FTK TH) -0.6%
  • Suedzucker (SZU TH) -4.8%
    • Suedzucker Prelim FY Ebitda About EU715M, Est. EU574.4M
  • Mutares (MUX TH) -6.9%

WSJ : JX Advanced Metals Shares Rise in Trading Debut After $3 Billion IPO

JX Advanced Metals Shares Rise in Trading Debut After $3 Billion IPO
Eneos said the metals subsidiary will be able to accelerate capital investments as well as research and development

JX Advanced Metals’ shares rose sharply in their trading debut after parent Eneos Holdings 5020 1.18%increase; green up pointing triangle spun off its metals subsidiary through an initial public offering of about $3 billion, the biggest listing in Japan in more than six years.

JX Advanced Metals’ shares were recently 5.6% higher than the IPO price of ¥820, equivalent to $5.49, on Wednesday in Tokyo after opening 2.8% higher.

Tokyo-based energy giant Eneos has said that the metals subsidiary, which makes materials used in the semiconductor and information-technology industries, will be able to accelerate capital investments as well as research and development as a listed company.

Eneos sold a majority of shares in the business that it previously wholly owned, in the offering that raised about $2.96 billion. The company has said it would use part of the proceeds to fund investments needed to expand the supply of next-generation energy sources, such as synthetic fuels and hydrogen. No new shares were issued.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange hosted several large offerings in recent months after the benchmark Nikkei Stock Average hit record highs last year.

In October, the IPO by subway operator Tokyo Metro raised about $2.31 billion, making it the largest since SoftBank Corp. $21 billion IPO in 2018, according to data from Dealogic.

WSJ : Rio Tinto Urges Shareholders to Reject Dual-Listing Review

Rio Tinto Urges Shareholders to Reject Dual-Listing Review
Investors holding Rio Tinto’s London-listed stock will vote on April 3, while those with Australian shares will vote on May 1

Rio Tinto stepped up its defense of its dual-listed structure, warning that an independent review, as urged by an activist investor, could distract the mining giant from its strategic goals as it seeks to increase output of commodities expected to be essential for the energy transition.

Palliser Capital, a London-based hedge fund, is pushing for the Anglo-Australian mining giant to unify its corporate structure into a single Australian-domiciled company, saying the current dual listing in London and Sydney erodes shareholder value. The activist investor has called for an independent review to assess whether unification would be in the best interest of shareholders, and has recently gained support from prominent advisory firms Glass Lewis and Institutional Shareholder Services, or ISS.

In a statement Wednesday, Rio Tinto said its board unanimously recommends that shareholders vote against a resolution for such a review, which was requisitioned by Palliser and some other investors for the miner’s upcoming annual shareholder meetings.

Directors have already conducted a comprehensive review with external advisers, concluding that the existing structure remains effective and beneficial for both Rio Tinto and its shareholders, the company said.

“A further review of this topic would be wholly duplicative at a time of important execution against the group’s strategic objectives,” it said.

Rio Tinto, the world’s second-biggest miner by market value, is shifting toward growth following years of prioritizing shareholder returns and repairing ties with communities–particularly after the destruction of two ancient rock shelters in Australia in 2020.

Chief Executive Jakob Stausholm recently said the miner is focused on building a stronger, more diversified and growing business, reflecting its confidence in the long-term demand for materials essential to the clean-energy transition. The company is expanding in commodities including copper and lithium, and this month completed a $6.7 billion acquisition of Arcadium Lithium.

It is also doubling down on efforts to enhance its existing operations while working to reduce its environmental impact, including cutting carbon emissions.

Founded in London in 1873 to mine copper along the Rio Tinto river in southern Spain, the miner became a dual-listed company in 1995 with the merger of its U.K. and Australian assets.

In pressing for Rio Tinto to unify its structure, Palliser argues that the dual listing has destroyed about $50 billion in shareholder value. Rio Tinto refutes this claim, calling it “both unfounded and misleading,” adding that unifying its corporate structure “would be value-destructive for the group and its shareholders.”

Palliser manages about $1.1 billion in assets and holds a roughly $300 million stake in Rio Tinto, which has a market capitalization of more than $100 billion. In a letter to Rio Tinto’s board in December, Palliser said its investment in the company is one of its largest public equity positions.

The hedge fund says Rio Tinto’s current structure restricts its ability to pursue stock-based deals and fully utilize its Australian tax credits. Rio Tinto disputes these claims.

Palliser engaged Grant Thornton Australia to assess whether the advantages of a potential unification outweighed the disadvantages based on publicly available information. It concluded they did, benefiting shareholders of both the London- and Sydney-listed stock.

Rio Tinto said its own review last year included substantial input from five external advisers, including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan.

The miner said it has held seven meetings with Palliser across 2024 and this year and has spoken to many other shareholders since last summer to understand their views on the issue.

It said the board will continue to periodically examine the merits of the dual listing but cautioned that a public review carries risks. “The board believes that disclosure of further analysis in key commercially sensitive areas would be prejudicial to shareholders’ interests,” the miner said in the statement.

BHP Group, the world’s largest miner by market value, dropped its primary listing in London in 2022 to unify its corporate structure in Australia. However, at the time, most of BHP’s shares were held in Australia, whereas 77% of Rio Tinto stock is held in London, Rio Tinto said.

The tax costs associated with unification have been contested by Palliser and Rio Tinto. The miner said it expects these costs to be in the mid-single-digit billions of dollars. Palliser, however, estimates that unification may trigger one-off transaction costs of roughly $450 million and additional ongoing tax costs of about $145 million per year.

Palliser’s resolution calls for Rio Tinto to form a committee of independent directors to assess whether unification would be in shareholders’ best interests. It also seeks the commissioning of an independent expert report and the publication a detailed review of its findings.

Under the dual-listed structure, Rio Tinto hosts two annual general meetings for shareholders. Investors holding Rio Tinto’s London-listed stock will vote on April 3, while those with Australian shares will vote on May 1.

FT : Vanguard plugs ‘transformational’ idea for Europe ETF trading venue

Vanguard plugs ‘transformational’ idea for Europe ETF trading venue
Euronext’s plan to consolidate ETF trading on to one of its seven bourses would cut costs, senior executive says

Euronext’s ambitious plans to consolidate the thousands of exchange traded product listings scattered across its bourses would be “transformational” for retail investors, according to Vanguard.

The stock exchange operator is in discussions with market participants about consolidating the 3,300 ETP listings spread across its Milan, Amsterdam, Paris, Oslo, Brussels, Dublin and Lisbon bourses on to one exchange.

Paul Young, head of ETF capital markets at Vanguard, the world’s second-largest asset manager, said “we think the initiative is a very positive development and will be transformational for how retail investors access ETFs at a lower cost”.

“This type of initiative is totally unique in the exchange space,” Young added. “All we have seen since Mifid in the early 2000s is more venue fragmentation within national borders, and very little to support cross-border flows, which mostly impacts retail flows since larger institutions at scale can pay for access to other markets.”

Vanguard, which manages the assets of more than 50mn investors globally, most of whom are retail, maintains that the introduction of Mifid, the EU’s Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, in 2007 led to a “proliferation of new platforms” that increased fragmentation in Europe’s capital markets, Young said.

Europe has “more than 10 times as many exchanges for listings” as the US, and no consolidated tape to bring together real-time data on security prices and trading volumes, which means European ETF investors are at a “cost disadvantage” compared to their US peers, Vanguard said in a white paper published in October.

Young said Mifid was designed to increase competition between exchanges, but no attempt was made to address the issue of fragmentation.

“Euronext have spent years acquiring exchanges but not really made any attempt to create a single venue,” Young said.

Vanguard, in its white paper, found Europe has almost four times the number of ETF listings as the US, 11,925, despite having virtually the same number of ETFs as the US (2,967 vs 3,040) and just one-15th of the trading volume ($2.4tn vs $38tn).

It argued there was “a direct relationship between higher levels of market fragmentation within the European market and higher trading costs in the form of wider bid-ask spreads”.

“For S&P 500 [ETFs spreads] are four to five times wider in Europe. Some of that is down to time difference but the additional costs are down to fragmentation,” Young said.

Consolidating Euronext’s ETF listings on to one exchange could significantly eat into this cost differential.

“We have seen 35 per cent quoted by Euronext in terms of bid-offer spread savings,” Young said.

Retail investors are particularly disadvantaged by the higher cost of trading wider spreads. While institutional investors can shop around for the greatest liquidity and tightest trading spreads, Young said small investors were hit in the pocket if they attempted to do the same.

“Retail investors are locked into their ‘national’ capital markets ecosystem and paying too much to access equities even within the EU,” he argued.

“For example a French investor that wants to trade on a more liquid listing somewhere else even within the EU will pay additional costs to their broker because this is deemed an ‘international’ security. We call these ‘search costs’ and there is a level of protectionism at play that this initiative would signal a way to break open”, intensifying price competition in the process.

Retail investors “will have access to a much larger pool of investors to trade with. We think that will hugely reduce costs.”

Young would not be drawn on which of Euronext’s seven bourses Vanguard would prefer its ETFs to be listed on, although he said the asset manager had a “very strong focus on the UK, Italy, Germany, Switzerland and the Netherlands. That is where we tend to have ETFs listed for the reason that investors have a preference for local exchanges.”

On the face of it that would suggest Milan or Amsterdam would be Vanguard’s preferred option (the UK, German and Swiss bourses are outside of the Euronext network).

To Young, though, the choice of exchange is not that important, so long as it is equally accessible to retail investors everywhere.

Unlike some commentators, such as Bruno Poulin, chief executive of French asset manager Ossiam, and Kenneth Lamont, principal of research at Morningstar, Young is not calling for a single Europe-wide ETF exchange incorporating non-Euronext bourses as well.

“I’m not advocating for no fragmentation or competition,” he said. “In the US, other exchanges can compete for trading activity [aided by] a single consolidated tape.

“Ultimately that is what we would like to see in Europe. These venues can compete with each other,” he said.

Euronext declined to comment for this story but had previously told the Financial Times that “we are committed to addressing fragmentation in the European ETF market to unlock its full growth potential”.

FT : Chip sector supplier raises $3bn in Japan’s biggest IPO since 2018

Chip sector supplier raises $3bn in Japan’s biggest IPO since 2018
Semiconductor materials maker JX Advanced Metals had cut price range amid tech sell-off

Semiconductor materials group JX Advanced Metals surged on its first day of trading — in a test of investor appetite for chip-related stocks — after raising $3bn in Japan’s biggest IPO in almost seven years.

Shares traded up 5.8 per cent at ¥868 ($5.80) on their first day, shooting above the ¥820 at which the initial public offering was priced, as investors bought up the stock exposed to artificial intelligence and computing trends despite its peers taking a bruising in recent weeks. The shares traded as high as ¥875 on Wednesday.

The offering provides a windfall for Eneos, which fully owned JX Advanced Metals and will retain 42.4 per cent of shares, as Japan’s largest oil refiner attempts to shift towards low-carbon businesses and reduce its conglomerate discount.

The IPO is the largest on the Japanese market since the $23.5bn float of SoftBank’s telecoms arm in late 2018 and tops the $2.3bn raised in October by Tokyo Metro, the capital’s subway operator.

But the listing of the 120-year-old business comes at a rocky time for semiconductor, tech and AI stocks, which have pulled back significantly since the start of the year on Donald Trump’s tariff threats.

Shifara Samsudeen, analyst at LightStream Research, said she recommended investors stay out because of negative sentiment towards tech stocks, despite the reasonable price of JX Advanced Metals.

“During the past few weeks, tech, AI and semiconductor stocks faced a huge sell-off as investors were more cautious over the US tariffs,” she said in a note.

Eneos had been forced to cut the indicated IPO price range by more than 5 per cent following tepid investor interest and negative sentiment around semiconductor stocks.

However, two longtime Japan investors said such sentiment could change rapidly and falling share prices have been seen as a buying opportunity.

JX Advanced Metals, which had an opening day market capitalisation of about ¥805bn, produces advanced materials from rare metals and copper that are used in semiconductors and other communication devices.

It holds 60 per cent global market share for so-called sputtering targets, solid materials deposited in thin films on semiconductor substrates.

The company has been seeking to shift from metals recycling and processing into higher-growth cutting-edge semiconductor material technologies, including selling stakes in mines and smelters in recent years.

The group’s operating profit rose 18 per cent to ¥86bn in the year ending in March 2024 on revenues that fell 7.6 per cent to ¥1.51tn.

However, the company still derives more than 70 per cent of its profit from its legacy metals and recycling segment centred on copper.

As a result, Sumeet Singh, analyst at Aequitas Research, said the stock was still more of a “commodity play” and he viewed the IPO as more of a test of investor discipline around valuation.

Eneos also hoped the IPO would boost the market value of both companies by separating the semiconductor metals unit and simplifying its own conglomerate structure.

Analysts said they were paying attention to whether the fossil fuel group would announce additional returns policies such as share buybacks and dividends as a result of the IPO.

Daiwa Securities, Mizuho Securities and Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley were among the principal underwriters for the IPO.