>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • PSIX +12.1%, SFD +3.3%
Other news:
  • ALMS +12.3% (Alumis and Kaken Pharmaceutical announce licensing agreement and collaboration for ESK-001 in dermatology in Japan)
  • FFAI +11.6% (secures new cash financing)
  • MBLY +9% (to collaborate with Valeo (VLEEY) and Volkswagen Group (VWAGY) to enhance driver assistance in future MQB vehicles)
  • DJT +8.2% (to partner with Crypto.com)
  • ACIU +2.8% (Announces Upcoming Presentations and Industry Symposium on Active Immunotherapies at AD/PD 2025)
  • SHEL +1.9% (to present the next steps in the execution of its strategy at its Capital Markets Day)
  • SNY +1.6% (announces Tolebrutinib regulatory submission accepted for priority review in the US for patients with multiple sclerosis)
  • TIGO +1.3% (completes delisting from Nasdaq Stockholm and SEB informs Millicom of its intent to initiate the sale of shares not withdrawn from Swedish Depositary Receipts program)
  • AZN +1.1% (presents new study results reinforcing Tagrisso as the backbone therapy for EGFR-mutated lung cancer)
  • CADE +1% (to complete merger with FCB Financial)

FT : Schneider Electric set to invest more than $700mn in US energy sector

Schneider Electric set to invest more than $700mn in US energy sector

Exclusive: Schneider Electric set to invest over $700mn in US energy sector
Schneider Electric is set to invest over $700mn in the US energy sector over the next couple of years, the largest single planned investment in the company’s 135-year history in the American market. 

The French industrial giant told Energy Source that the investment would create more than 1,000 new jobs and that the “vast majority” of capital would be directed towards the manufacturing of electrical equipment, including expansions in its factories in Missouri, Ohio and Tennessee. 

“There’s an industrial renaissance happening in the US. It requires us to think differently about energy systems, about resiliency, about efficiency, about interactions with the grid, and frankly, about automation,” Aamir Paul, Schneider Electric’s head of North America, told Energy Source. 

The announcement arrives as the US electricity system undergoes a historic surge in power demand driven by the race to lead in artificial intelligence and the renewed focus on domestic manufacturing.

US electricity consumption, which is at record highs, is expected to grow by another 16 per cent by 2029, according to think-tank Grid Strategies.

In addition to expanding manufacturing capacity, Schneider Electric is opening a laboratory in Massachusetts to test power systems for the AI data centre market and an innovation centre in Texas. While the latter project was announced at the S&P Global CERAWeek energy conference earlier this month, today’s announcement marks the first time the company has made public its cumulative capital plans to invest in the US market.

Schneider Electric’s investment comes amid a flurry of large manufacturing commitments across corporate America in the first months of Trump’s presidency as executives seek to minimise tariff threats. 

Paul denied the role that Trump’s economic policy played in the company’s announcement and called for more clarity on the US president’s tariff plans. North America is the largest and fastest-growing market for the French company, making up 36 per cent of revenue, according to Schneider Electric. 

“We have to respond, like everybody, in the market where the conditions change. But at this point, we’re looking for more clarity on that,” Paul said.

FT : Donald Trump considers two-step tariff regime on April 2

Donald Trump considers two-step tariff regime on April 2
Possible phased approach to new US levies reflects debate over trade strategy within administration

Donald Trump is considering a two-step approach to his new tariff regime, deploying rarely used powers to impose emergency duties while probes into trading partners are completed.

The proposals the administration’s officials are debating would seek to ground the president’s “reciprocal” tariff regime in a more robust legal framework while enabling Trump to raise money for planned tax cuts, said people familiar with the discussions.

Trump has pledged to unveil his new tariffs on April 2, dubbing the event “liberation day”, and prompting a race by foreign countries to lobby his administration’s top officials for exemptions.

Trump on Monday vowed to impose “substantial” tariffs on the US’s trading partners, even as he suggested he may “give a lot of countries breaks”.

“They’ve charged us so much that I’m embarrassed to charge them what they’ve charged us, but it’ll be substantial,” he said, hours after announcing new tariffs on buyers of Venezuelan oil, which includes China.

The latest mixed message from the president reflected a continued debate within his administration over exactly how Trump will enforce his new tariff regime — and to what end.

Among proposals his team has been discussing is a plan to launch so-called Section 301 investigations into trading partners, while simultaneously using rarely invoked emergency powers to apply immediate tariffs in the interim.

The tools used to hit partners immediately could include the use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or a little-known US trade law, Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, to potentially apply tariffs of up to 50 per cent on the country’s trading partners.

Lawyers and people familiar with the plans also say Trump could immediately apply tariffs on vehicle imports on April 2, resurrecting a national security study into the global car industry from his first term. Trump on Monday said tariffs on cars could be announced “over the next few days”.

Another option discussed recently — but now considered a long shot — is an obscure piece of US trade law known as Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which allows Washington to temporarily impose tariffs capped at 15 per cent for up to 150 days.

But the administration has not settled on its approach, with the purpose of the tariffs now in flux.

While Trump has complained of foreign countries’ unfair treatment of the US, his officials are more focused on using tariffs to raise revenues for planned tax cuts rather than as a bargaining chip with foreign capitals, say people familiar with the discussions.

This has prompted a quest to find tested legal options the president can use to hit multiple trade partners with steep tariffs as quickly as possible.

The two main points of contact have also differed in their approaches, say people familiar with the discussions. While commerce secretary Howard Lutnick has served as the administration’s chief negotiator, he has lambasted trading partners over their trade surpluses and tax policies, before demanding “a deal”.

US trade representative Jamieson Greer, a lawyer who previously worked for Trump’s first-term trade chief Bob Lighthizer, has increasingly asserted himself as the legal planner, seeking to create a durable blueprint for the president’s drive to reorder global trade.

To that end Greer, has advocated launching investigations into trading partners before applying tariffs, said people familiar with his thinking. This approach would rely on tested trade law but take up to six months.

Kush Desai, a White House spokesperson, said: “Although the final reciprocal tariff plan for April 2 has yet to be unveiled by President Trump, every member of the Trump administration is aligned on finally levelling the playing field for American industries and workers.”

The administration’s apparent determination to pursue its tariff plan on April 2 has prompted a last-minute effort by nations to offer concessions. The UK is weighing up options to soften its tax on US tech companies as part of its overtures to Washington.

EU trade commissioner Maroš Šefčovič is scheduled to meet Lutnick and Greer for talks on Tuesday.

Any reciprocal tariffs unveiled next week will be an evolution of the universal tariff on exporters to the US that Trump first pitched as he campaigned for the White House last year.

Trump’s trade policy has been erratic, with the president announcing devastating tariffs on allies such as Mexico and Canada, only to roll them back — often hours later — in the face of intense business lobbying.

Since being in office, he has applied a blanket tariff of 25 per cent to all steel and aluminium imports, along with a range of new products made with the two metals.

After the EU said it would respond in kind to the metals tariffs, Trump threatened a 200 per cent retaliatory tariff on French wine and other alcoholic products.

FT T: Ministers give green light to £10bn Lower Thames Crossing

Ministers give green light to £10bn Lower Thames Crossing
Private sector expected to finance much of the project to the east of London after years of delay

Ministers have given the go-ahead for a £10bn road tunnel between Kent and Essex called the Lower Thames Crossing after years of delay, with the private sector expected to finance much of the project. 

Transport secretary Heidi Alexander on Tuesday approved a development consent order for the long-awaited project.

The 14-mile road and tunnel will be the first wholly new Thames river crossing east of London in 60 years. 

The decision was reported earlier on Tuesday by the Financial Times.

The government is looking for positive announcements to make ahead of Rachel Reeves’ Spring Statement on Wednesday, which is expected to be gloomy, with growth forecasts to be slashed and deep departmental spending cuts.

One official said the project would be a “key strategic route” for drivers, freight and logistics, improving connectivity between southern England and the Midlands and unlocking regional economic growth.

“This demonstrates this government’s commitment to delivering the vital infrastructure the country needs,” they said.

The scheme has become a symbol of Britain’s sclerotic planning system, with more than £1.2bn spent on the project despite construction not having yet started.

The money has been spent on planning, consultations, traffic modelling, environmental assessments, legal and advisory fees and land purchases. 

The planning document for the project runs to 359,070 pages, equivalent to nearly 300 times the complete works of William Shakespeare. 

The cost of the tunnel project has already risen from between £5.3bn and £6.8bn when it was first agreed in 2017 to a current forecast of about £10bn. 

It is expected that construction will start in 2026 or early 2027 ahead of a planned opening by 2032.

The government is yet to decide what method of private finance to use on the project, with a decision expected later this year by the Treasury.

A proposal to have a “regulated asset base” (RAB) model — in which private investors would collect toll revenues from the road to pay back their investments over the life of the projects — is favoured by the Treasury, according to people with knowledge of the discussions.

This option would cost the Treasury £200mn more in upfront costs than if the government paid for the scheme directly, according to a recent National Highway document.

The model, which has been used on London’s new Tideway sewer, would require nearly £2bn of taxpayer funding to attract £6.3bn of private investment, taking the total cost of the project to at least £9.4bn, the figures show.

National Highways says there is likely to be a “market interest for the regulated private entity delivery option”, citing projects that use the same structure including the Sizewell C nuclear plant.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • FFAI +18.8%, ALMS +13.4%, MBLY +10.1%, PSIX +9.8%, DJT +9.4%, SFD +3.6%, SHEL +1.9%, SNY +1.5%, TIGO +1.3%, KKR +1%, AZN +0.8%, CSIQ +0.6%, FTI +0.5%, BG +0.5%
  • Gapping down:
    • MURA -27.7%, PROP -22%, UNF -10.2%, KBH -8%, OKLO -6.7%, PONY -4.5%, MKC -4.2%, EPAC -3%, MRT -2.5%, OMCL -2.3%, AEP -1.7%, CADE -1.2%, CCI -1.1%, BKH -1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 25th of March 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Air France-KLM Raised to Buy at Redburn; PT 9.50 euros
* Alcon AG Raised to Buy at BofA (+)
* Barclays PT Raised to 410 pence from 370 pence at JPMorgan
* BYD Target Price Raised to HK$460.00 From HK$400.00 by Deutsche Bank >1211.HK
* Deutsche Bank PT Raised to 26.30 euros from 22 euros at JPMorgan
* Fuchs Raised to Buy at BofA (+)
* Inmobiliaria Colonial Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley (+)
* Intesa Sanpaolo PT Raised to 6.20 euros at JPMorgan
* KH Group Oyj Raised to Accumulate at OP Corporate Bank
* Raspberry PI Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 480 pence
* Shaftesbury Capital Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley (+)
* T-Mobile PT Raised to $300 from $255 at UBS
* Tomra Raised to Buy at Bryan Garnier; PT 200 kroner (+)
* UniCredit PT Raised to 69 euros from 53 euros at JPMorgan

>>> Down
* Air France-KLM Cut to Neutral at UBS
* Alcon AG Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 88 Swiss francs
* Carl Zeiss Meditec Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 60 euros
* Daimler Truck Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 45 euros
* Hammerson Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley (+)
* Johnson Matthey Cut to Neutral at BofA
* K-fast Holding Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Land Sec. Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley (+)
* LEG Immobilien Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley (+)
* L'Oreal Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 385 euros
* L'Oreal ADRs Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT $83.20
* Neste Cut to Neutral at UBS
* SGL Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Stef Cut to Add at IDMidcaps; PT 138 euros (+)
* TietoEVRY Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 21 euros
* Traton Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 38 euros
* Volvo Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 280 kronor

>>> Initiation
* AO World Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT 150 pence (+)
* Azerion Group Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 2 euros
* Coty Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT $7.50
* FD Technologies Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan (+)
* HBX Group International Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane
* HBX Group International Rated New Strong Buy at Alantra Equities (+)
* NCAB Group Rated New Hold at SEB Equities; PT 53 kronor
* Puig Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 19.90 euros
* Selectirente Rated New Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 87 euros

>>> Call
* AO World Gets New Buy Rating as Profits To Hit Top-End of Goal (+)
* Barclays Cuts European Truckmakers on US Tariff, Regulation Risk (+)
* European Banks on Track for Long-Term Rerating, JPMorgan Says
* L’Oreal Cut to Hold at Berenberg Amid Tougher Beauty Outlook (+)

>>> What to look at today - 25th of March 2025

Chinese shares led losses in Asia, with regional markets struggling to build on the risk-on momentum driven by earlier bets of less expansive tariffs in April.  A widely watched gauge of Chinese technology shares in Hong Kong slumped as much as 3.8%, the most in three weeks, with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Xiaomi Corp. among the biggest losers. US and European equity-index futures edged lower. Cryptocurrencies declined and Treasury 10-year yields fell 1 basis point to 4.33%.  Trading in Chinese shares has been choppy in recent sessions as investors become more vigilant toward corporate developments following a world-beating rally. Global markets, gripped by anxiety about the economic impact of an all-out trade war, got relief from signs the coming wave of US tariffs is shaping up as more focused than what President Donald Trump had occasionally threatened.  Beijing-based Xiaomi fell as much as 6.6% after it raised funds selling shares at a discount. The stock had more than tripled from a low in August, making it the best performer on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index. Alibaba slid more than 3% after its chairman warned of a potential bubble forming in datacenter construction. The moves in China contrast with Wall Street’s risk-on bid lifting shares of nearly all stripes Monday in a rebound from a sharp selloff.  Trump twice signaled trading partners would receive possible exemptions or reductions. The president has touted his April 2 announcement as a “Liberation Day”, heralding the start of a more protectionist policy meant as retribution against trading partners he has long accused of “ripping off” the US. On Monday, he issued an order allowing a 25% tariff to be imposed on any nation purchasing oil and gas from Venezuela, ratcheting up his dispute with the Latin American country. Blackstone Inc. President Jon Gray warned investors against making knee-jerk decisions around Trump’s tariff moves and instead advised waiting to see how the underlying negotiations play out. China’s 30-year bond futures advanced after the country’s central bank unveiled a new method for pricing its one-year loans to banks, the latest move in policymakers’ efforts to revamp their monetary toolkit. The People’s Bank of China announced that banks will be able to bid for different prices on its one-year loans, known as the medium-term lending facility.   Later Tuesday, Australia’s Treasurer Jim Chalmers is due to unveil the government budget. Economists reckon it will show an underlying cash deficit in the 12 months through June 2026 of A$40 billion ($25.1 billion), slightly better than the A$46.9 billion predicted in Treasury’s mid-year review in December. In Indonesia, the currency declined to its weakest level since the Asian Financial Crisis as fears mounted over the nation’s fiscal trajectory. In Europe, car sales fell 3.1% to from a year earlier in February, declining the most in five months as uncertainty about the economy prompted consumers to hold back on bigger purchases. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic on Monday cited the impact of tariff hikes impeding progress on disinflation for why he now sees just one interest-rate cut as likely this year, rather than two. In commodities oil held gains and gold stayed steady near a record high. US After Hours DJT +4.6% higher on possible Crypto.com partnership; KBH -7.7% slides following underwhelming FebQ results, weak guidance.

Nikkei +0.46% Hang Seng -2.29% CSI -0.13% Shanghai -0.10% Shenzen -0.69%

Eur$ 1.0805 CNH 7.2676 CNY 7.2618 JPY 150.55 GBP 1.2919 CHF 0.8831 RUB 84.1756 TRY 37.9793 WTI$ 69.12 +0.01% Gold 3,016 +0.18% BTC 86,754 -1.28% ETH 2,055 -1.48%

S&P -0.17% Nasdaq -0.18% EuroStoxx -0.09% FTSE -0.34% Dax -0.08% SMI -0.19%

Macro :
- EU February Car Registrations Drop 3.4% Y/y to 0.854m Units
- China’s DeepSeek Unveils Latest Update in Race With OpenAI

Keep an eye on :
- AMD US : AMD Issues $950 Million in Unsecured Commercial Paper
- AEP US : American Electric Power to Offer $2 Billion of Shares, American Electric Power Prices Its Shares at $102 Apiece
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca Seeks to Move Past China Probe With Beijing R&D Hub
- BALDB SS : Balder to Distribute Its Entire Norion Bank Stake as a Dividend
- BALN SW : Baloise FY Dividend per Share Matches Estimates
- BA US : Boeing Seeks to Withdraw 737 Max Guilty Plea Deal, WSJ Says
- BAMI IM : *ITALY EXTENDS UNICREDIT-BPM REVIEW TO END OF APRIL: MESSAGGERO
- 1211HK : BYD Sales Top Tesla as Tech Focus Wins Over Chinese Drivers -->-3.5% in HK (Auto Tariff to be announecd soon by Trump
- CATL IM : Caltagirone to Adhere to Banco BPM Offer for Anima
- ATD CN : Seven & i Reiterates Couche-Tard Refused to Sign NDA (2)
- ELE SM ; Endesa Agrees to Sell EGPE Solar-2 Stake to Masdar for EU184m
- EGLA IM : Eurogroup Laminations FY Net Income Misses Estimates
- FEVR LN : Fevertree Drinks FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- HOLN SW : Holcim’s Amrize Sees 5%-8% Revenue Growth for 2025-2028 Period
- HBH GY : Hornbach Holding FY Sales Meet Estimates
- ITH LN : Japex to Sell Oil, Gas Stake in UK to Ithaca Energy for $223m
- JEN GY : Jenoptik Sees 2025 Ebitda Margin 18% to 21%, Est. 19.6%
- KRAKEN : Crypto Exchange Kraken Explores Up to $1 Billion Debt Package
- KNIN SW : Kuehne+Nagel Sees 2025 Recurring EBIT at CHF1.5B-1.75B
- MOVE SW : Medacta Sees 2025 Adjusted Ebitda Margin About 27%
- META US : New York Post: European Union to slap Meta with fine up to $1B or more for breaching strict antitrust rules: sources
- MC US : Moelis Asks Staff to Work 5 Days/Week in Office: Financial News
- NORIONSS : Balder to Distribute Its Entire Norion Bank Stake as a Dividend
- PEAN SW : Peach Property Says Talks for €300M Bond Repayment ‘Advanced’
- PIRC IM : *PIRELLI COULD ASK HOLDER SINOCHEM TO REDUCE STAKE: STAMPA
- RR/ LN : Rolls-Royce warns UK risks losing out in small nuclear reactor race
- SAN FP : Sanofi’s Tolebrutinib Accepted for Priority Review in US
- ENR GY : TPG-Led Group to Buy Siemens Gamesa Renewable at $550M EV: ET
- 4XO GY : Steyr Motors Plans at Least One Acquisition This Year for Growth
- TEG GY : TAG Immobilien FY FFO Beats Estimates
- TSLA US : Tesla Chair Denholm Ignores All Questions About Musk’s Focus
- TSLA US : Tesla’s Dismal Run in Europe Continues With 40% Drop in February
- TSLA US : *TESLA SHARES RISE 12% IN LARGEST ONE-DAY GAIN SINCE NOV. 6
- THG LN : THG Proposes Debt Refinancing With New Equity Contribution
- TLW LN : Tullow Agrees Heads of Terms for $300m Sale of Gabon Assets
- TLW LN : Tullow FY Profit After Tax Misses Estimates
- UCG IM : *ITALY EXTENDS UNICREDIT-BPM REVIEW TO END OF APRIL: MESSAGGERO

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 25th of March 2025

>>> Up
* Air France-KLM Raised to Buy at Redburn; PT 9.50 euros
* Barclays PT Raised to 410 pence from 370 pence at JPMorgan
* *BYD Target Price Raised to HK$460.00 From HK$400.00 by Deutsche Bank >1211.HK
* Deutsche Bank PT Raised to 26.30 euros from 22 euros at JPMorgan
* Intesa Sanpaolo PT Raised to 6.20 euros at JPMorgan
* KH Group Oyj Raised to Accumulate at OP Corporate Bank
* Raspberry PI Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 480 pence
* T-Mobile PT Raised to $300 from $255 at UBS
* UniCredit PT Raised to 69 euros from 53 euros at JPMorgan

>>> Down
* Air France-KLM Cut to Neutral at UBS
* Alcon AG Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 88 Swiss francs
* Carl Zeiss Meditec Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 60 euros
* Daimler Truck Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 45 euros
* Johnson Matthey Cut to Neutral at BofA
* K-fast Holding Cut to Hold at Nordea
* L'Oreal Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 385 euros
* L'Oreal ADRs Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT $83.20
* Neste Cut to Neutral at UBS
* TietoEVRY Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 21 euros
* Traton Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 38 euros
* Volvo Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 280 kronor

>>> Initiation
* Azerion Group Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 2 euros
* Coty Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT $7.50
* HBX Group International Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane
* NCAB Group Rated New Hold at SEB Equities; PT 53 kronor
* Puig Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 19.90 euros

>>> Call
* European Banks on Track for Long-Term Rerating, JPMorgan Says

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Fuchs (FPE3 TH) +2%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +1%
  • ASM Intl (AVS TH) -1%
  • Talanx (TLX TH) -1%
  • Daimler Truck (DTG TH) -1.2%
    • Daimler Truck Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 45 euros
  • Tomra (TMRA TH) -1.5%
  • Carl Zeiss Meditec (AFX TH) -1.6%
  • Voestalpine (VAS TH) -2.3%