(ZH) What Do "Insiders" Know That You Don't?

What Do "Insiders" Know That You Don't? {http://bit.ly/1fNtgof}
Tyler Durden's pictureSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 01/19/2014 12:28 -0500

With your local friendly asset-gatherer constantly promoting the cheapness of stocks of the TINA (there is no alternative) to BTFATH, TV talking-heads jabbering over 'stock-pickers' markets (infuriating Cliff Asness), and CEOs trotted out day after day to espouse how bright the future looks (even if outlooks in the immediate future are down-down-down-graded); it is hardly surprising that sentiment among the sheeple is so extremely bullish. So, when we saw the chart below... we could only ask - what do the insiders know that the average-joe-investor doesn't?

Of course, we are sure someone will try and explain away this avalanche of insider-selling with "tax-related" factors or "taking-profits" but none of that negates the less-than-optimistic tone that it implies about what the short- or medium-term expectations are from management of the firms that comprise the US equity market...

FT : David Cameron faces EU isolation on anti-immigration stance

David Cameron faces EU isolation on anti-immigration stance

EU ministers say they will resist David Cameron's efforts to restrict free movement in the bloc
David Cameron risks “damaging Europe” with his anti-immigration stance, according to some of Britain’s key allies, leaving the prime minister looking increasingly isolated in his attempts to restrict free movement in the EU.
Ministers and officials from several big EU powers told the Financial Times that they would resist Mr Cameron’s attempts to restrict the ability of citizens from new member states to travel freely across the union.
Germany looks poised to become the most powerful opponent of Mr Cameron’s plans. Frank-Walter Steinmeier, the new German foreign minister, has even accused the UK prime minister of posing a threat to German interests with his push to reform the principle of free movement.

Mr Steinmeier said: “Germany has benefited tremendously from this and surely more than others. Now many young people from southern Europe are coming to us, to learn and study. That benefits us and also helps the states from which they come. Whoever questions that damages Europe and damages Germany.”
Free movement was an undeniable part of European integration that could not be changed or renegotiated, he said.
The German position will be a severe blow to Number 10, which has listed Berlin as a fellow advocate of migration reform, due to its support for a limited clampdown on the benefits regime for EU migrants. Mr Cameron is fighting for concessions on free movement to fend off rebellions in the Conservative party over Europe.
Dozens of Tory MPs have called for a national veto over EU laws, which the government has ruled out as unworkable. David Davis, the former Tory leadership challenger, this weekend urged the prime minister to be more explicit over which powers he wants to repatriate from Brussels.
Mr Steinmeier’s opposition is echoed across Europe. In an interview with the FT, Paschal Donohoe, the Irish minister for Europe, said: “The ability of people to move freely around the union is an absolute cornerstone of the European Union. It represents an integral part of the deal overall that keeps the union together. [We have] freedom of people, freedom of services and freedom to move money around.”
He added: “Many of the issues I believe can be dealt with through the implementation of the domestic competencies that have already been enacted through the Lisbon treaty.”
Dutch officials say concerns about immigration can be solved by introducing tougher EU-wide penalties on those who abuse free movement rules rather than scrapping the whole thing together. The French support this approach.
The resistance from some of Britain’s closest allies is a major problem for Mr Cameron’s efforts to reform freedom of movement. In an article for the FT last year the UK prime minister suggested that Europe should “require a new country to reach a certain income or economic output per head before full free movement was allowed”.
The proposals form part of his push to renegotiate the terms of Britain’s membership of the EU before a promised referendum in 2017.
With European elections due in May, polls suggest that his Conservative party could be beaten into third place by Labour and the UK Independence Party, with immigration beginning to top the list of voters’ concerns.
Ukip emerged as the most popular of all UK parties in a ComRes poll published on Sunday, with 27 per cent of voters saying they “liked” it the best.
Separate research by Lord Ashcroft, former Conservative party treasurer and pollster, found that 37 per cent of 2010 Tory voters would not support the party in an election tomorrow. Half of those said they would shift their support to Ukip.
Without back-up from his European allies, Mr Cameron knows his attempts to gain the initiative on such a sensitive political issue are likely to come to little.
Germany and France have supported the UK’s attempts in Brussels to tackle benefit fraud committed by EU migrants, as all three have experienced a high influx of immigration from poorer member states, which put their welfare systems under stress.
But no European country has backed the UK’s stance on curbing free movement in the EU. Even the Netherlands, which has often been seen as the UK’s closest ally in Brussels, opposes Mr Cameron.
One diplomat from one of the bloc’s richest countries summed up the feeling among most in Brussels.
“Weakening of European freedoms is out of question” the diplomat said. “One can only warn against sacrificing the great European achievements on the altar of political populism. Where there is abuse, let us fight this effectively with existing means.”
Downing Street said: “Free movement is a central principle of the EU but it cannot be a completely unqualified one. The government is working with Germany, Austria, the Netherlands and others so that it is not the same as the freedom to claim benefits.”

>>> Morrison Supermarkets plc Sandell Asset Management acquire stake in the comp

Morrison Supermarkets plc Sandell Asset Management acquire stake in the company - UK press
- Though not formally disclosed, Sandell's stake is said to be under 3%.
- Morrisons is currently under pressure from Elliott Management to spin-out the majority of property assets into another company; unlike competitors Tesco and Sainsbury, Morrisons owns 90% of its stores. 
- Morrisons is set to provide an update for shareholders in March.

>>> China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): $1.1T spending bill passed by US Congress

China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): $1.1T spending bill passed by US Congress last week clashes with fair trade - financial press
- Report noting the bill contains clauses that limit technological purchases from China. - Says: "China is resolutely opposed (to legislation)... We have noted that U.S. business groups have already made noises opposing the bill. The U.S. side should correct its mistaken ways, and create good conditions for the healthy development of Sino-U.S. trade and business cooperation."

>>> BT Group plc Vodafone, BSkyB in discussion to limit BT's broadband market sh

BT Group plc Vodafone, BSkyB in discussion to limit BT's broadband market share - financial press
- Sources have indicated that, BSkyB and Vodafone discussed possible deals on Sky's channels and high-speed broadband service, though it is not likely that they would build a nationwide fiber network due to costs. 
- BT is spending over £3B on a high-speed fiber-optic network with the possibility that it could reach 90% of households by next year.

FT : CVC sits on $20bn war chest

CVC sits on $20bn war chest
CVC Capital Partners, the European private equity house that owns Formula One, has the biggest pile of cash to spend on leveraged buyouts, topping US rivals Apollo Global Management and Carlyle Group, as the industry prepares for an acceleration of deals this year.
The Luxembourg-headquartered fund manager, whose main office is in London, has an estimated $20bn of “dry powder” – unspent commitments from investors – according to data compiled by Preqin, the research company, in its annual report.
The sum includes €10.75bn raised last year for European and US deals, $2bn amassed for Asian investments and older commitments yet to be spent from the group’s previous flagship European fund, raised in 2008. Buyout houses have typically five to six years to invest cash that investors commit. If they fail to do so, they have to return it or seek an extension.
Private equity dry powder is piling up again after four years of decline following the financial crisis, when cash-constrained investors reduced new commitments. Preqin estimates the total cash available for leveraged buyouts globally surged to nearly $400bn last year, from $354bn in 2012, even though dealmakers found it hard to unearth bargains as stock markets reached all-time highs. After adding in other types of funds, targeting real estate, credit, infrastructure and venture capital, “dry powder” stands at a record $1.07tn.
New funds, combined with older commitments that will expire soon if not invested, record low interest rates and abundant debt financing, all point to an increase in new private equity buyout deals, Preqin says. Last year, the total value of new buyouts increased by two per cent to $258.4bn, including the debt that private equity groups typically use to fund their acquisitions. That was still less than half the 2007 level, according to Mergermarket.
But the insufficient supply of new deals means competition will be intense, said Graham Elton, head of Bain & Company’s private equity practice in Europe.
“The deal supply and demand imbalance has become something of a fixture, inflating prices,” he said. “Corporate buyers with large cash piles and a need for growth are coming back on the scene, creating yet another layer of competition for quality assets.”
Apollo, the New York-based group run by Leon Black, has an estimated $19.7bn war chest available for buyouts, consisting mostly of a $18.4bn fund closed this month – the largest raised since the credit crash. Washington-based Carlyle, which recently closed a $13bn vehicle for North American deals, has about $17.7bn of unspent pledges to invest in leveraged buyouts, while KKR has about $15.3bn, according to Preqin.
The large US groups, which have diversified beyond buyouts, top the dry powder ranking when all types of funds are included. Blackstone boasts an estimated $33.4bn of unspent commitments across its activities, including credit and real estate, according to Preqin. It is followed by Apollo, with $23.4bn, Carlyle and KKR.

>>> Allergan CEO dismisses talk of acquisitions in Ireland, interested in experi

Allergan CEO dismisses talk of acquisitions in Ireland, interested in experimental companies with growth potential 

Allergan CEO David Pyott dismissed suggestions that the listed Irvine, California-based pharmaceuticals company should buy an Irish company. Pyott, speaking in San Francisco, said he was not convinced of the merits of what he described as “financial engineering,” according to an Irish Examiner report.

The article cited an analyst who said shareholders have been pressing Pyott to look for an acquisition in Ireland. However, the chief executive said there are no more acquisition opportunities left in Ireland following deals involving Elan and Warner Chilcott, according to the report.

Pyott said Allergan is interested in experimental companies with the potential for growth, including new niche areas.

Separately, the article cited an analyst who said Allergan shareholders have pressed Pyott to look for an acquisition in Ireland to take advantage of the country’s tax advantages.

The analyst said Allergan will look to Europe to acquire allergy companies, naming ALK-Abello A/S of Denmark or French counterpart Stallergenes SA as possible targets. Neither the Danish nor the French markets are crowded, the analyst added.


Source Irish Examiner

(NYT) For the love of money

(Sam Polk is a former hedge-fund trader and the founder of the nonprofit Groceryships.)

IN my last year on Wall Street my bonus was $3.6 million — and I was angry because it wasn’t big enough. I was 30 years old, had no children to raise, no debts to pay, no philanthropic goal in mind. I wanted more money for exactly the same reason an alcoholic needs another drink: I was addicted.

Eight years earlier, I’d walked onto the trading floor at Credit Suisse First Boston to begin my summer internship. I already knew I wanted to be rich, but when I started out I had a different idea about what wealth meant. I’d come to Wall Street after reading in the book “Liar’s Poker” how Michael Lewis earned a $225,000 bonus after just two years of work on a trading floor. That seemed like a fortune. Every January and February, I think about that time, because these are the months when bonuses are decided and distributed, when fortunes are made.

I’d learned about the importance of being rich from my dad. He was a modern-day Willy Loman, a salesman with huge dreams that never seemed to materialize. “Imagine what life will be like,” he’d say, “when I make a million dollars.” While he dreamed of selling a screenplay, in reality he sold kitchen cabinets. And not that well. We sometimes lived paycheck to paycheck off my mom’s nurse-practitioner salary.

Dad believed money would solve all his problems. At 22, so did I. When I walked onto that trading floor for the first time and saw the glowing flat-screen TVs, high-tech computer monitors and phone turrets with enough dials, knobs and buttons to make it seem like the cockpit of a fighter plane, I knew exactly what I wanted to do with the rest of my life. It looked as if the traders were playing a video game inside a spaceship; if you won this video game, you became what I most wanted to be — rich.

IT was a miracle I’d made it to Wall Street at all. While I was competitive and ambitious — a wrestler at Columbia University — I was also a daily drinker and pot smoker and a regular user of cocaine, Ritalin and ecstasy. I had a propensity for self-destruction that had resulted in my getting suspended from Columbia for burglary, arrested twice and fired from an Internet company for fistfighting. I learned about rage from my dad, too. I can still see his red, contorted face as he charged toward me. I’d lied my way into the C.S.F.B. internship by omitting my transgressions from my résumé and was determined not to blow what seemed a final chance. The only thing as important to me as that internship was my girlfriend, a starter on the Columbia volleyball team. But even though I was in love with her, when I got drunk I’d sometimes end up with other women.

Three weeks into my internship she wisely dumped me. I don’t like who you’ve become, she said. I couldn’t blame her, but I was so devastated that I couldn’t get out of bed. In desperation, I called a counselor whom I had reluctantly seen a few times before and asked for help.

She helped me see that I was using alcohol and drugs to blunt the powerlessness I felt as a kid and suggested I give them up. That began some of the hardest months of my life. Without the alcohol and drugs in my system, I felt like my chest had been cracked open, exposing my heart to air. The counselor said that my abuse of drugs and alcohol was a symptom of an underlying problem — a “spiritual malady,” she called it. C.S.F.B. didn’t offer me a full-time job, and I returned, distraught, to Columbia for senior year.


After graduation, I got a job at Bank of America, by the grace of a managing director willing to take a chance on a kid who had called him every day for three weeks. With a year of sobriety under my belt, I was sharp, cleareyed and hard-working. At the end of my first year I was thrilled to receive a $40,000 bonus. For the first time in my life, I didn’t have to check my balance before I withdrew money. But a week later, a trader who was only four years my senior got hired away by C.S.F.B. for $900,000. After my initial envious shock — his haul was 22 times the size of my bonus — I grew excited at how much money was available.

Over the next few years I worked like a maniac and began to move up the Wall Street ladder. I became a bond and credit default swap trader, one of the more lucrative roles in the business. Just four years after I started at Bank of America, Citibank offered me a “1.75 by 2” which means $1.75 million per year for two years, and I used it to get a promotion. I started dating a pretty blonde and rented a loft apartment on Bond Street for $6,000 a month.

I felt so important. At 25, I could go to any restaurant in Manhattan — Per Se, Le Bernardin — just by picking up the phone and calling one of my brokers, who ingratiate themselves to traders by entertaining with unlimited expense accounts. I could be second row at the Knicks-Lakers game just by hinting to a broker I might be interested in going. The satisfaction wasn’t just about the money. It was about the power. Because of how smart and successful I was, it was someone else’s job to make me happy.

Still, I was nagged by envy. On a trading desk everyone sits together, from interns to managing directors. When the guy next to you makes $10 million, $1 million or $2 million doesn’t look so sweet. Nonetheless, I was thrilled with my progress.

My counselor didn’t share my elation. She said I might be using money the same way I’d used drugs and alcohol — to make myself feel powerful — and that maybe it would benefit me to stop focusing on accumulating more and instead focus on healing my inner wound. “Inner wound”? I thought that was going a little far and went to work for a hedge fund.

Now, working elbow to elbow with billionaires, I was a giant fireball of greed. I’d think about how my colleagues could buy Micronesia if they wanted to, or become mayor of New York City. They didn’t just have money; they had power — power beyond getting a table at Le Bernardin. Senators came to their offices. They were royalty.

I wanted a billion dollars. It’s staggering to think that in the course of five years, I’d gone from being thrilled at my first bonus — $40,000 — to being disappointed when, my second year at the hedge fund, I was paid “only” $1.5 million.

Launch media viewer
Owen Freeman
But in the end, it was actually my absurdly wealthy bosses who helped me see the limitations of unlimited wealth. I was in a meeting with one of them, and a few other traders, and they were talking about the new hedge-fund regulations. Most everyone on Wall Street thought they were a bad idea. “But isn’t it better for the system as a whole?” I asked. The room went quiet, and my boss shot me a withering look. I remember his saying, “I don’t have the brain capacity to think about the system as a whole. All I’m concerned with is how this affects our company.”

I felt as if I’d been punched in the gut. He was afraid of losing money, despite all that he had.

From that moment on, I started to see Wall Street with new eyes. I noticed the vitriol that traders directed at the government for limiting bonuses after the crash. I heard the fury in their voices at the mention of higher taxes. These traders despised anything or anyone that threatened their bonuses. Ever see what a drug addict is like when he’s used up his junk? He’ll do anything — walk 20 miles in the snow, rob a grandma — to get a fix. Wall Street was like that. In the months before bonuses were handed out, the trading floor started to feel like a neighborhood in “The Wire” when the heroin runs out.


I’d always looked enviously at the people who earned more than I did; now, for the first time, I was embarrassed for them, and for me. I made in a single year more than my mom made her whole life. I knew that wasn’t fair; that wasn’t right. Yes, I was sharp, good with numbers. I had marketable talents. But in the end I didn’t really do anything. I was a derivatives trader, and it occurred to me the world would hardly change at all if credit derivatives ceased to exist. Not so nurse practitioners. What had seemed normal now seemed deeply distorted.

RECENT COMMENTS

Rob 4 minutes ago
"For the LOVE of money" is a ROOT of all kinds of evil, for which some have strayed from the faith in their greediness, and pierced...
JPFerg 4 minutes ago
I LOVE THIS STATEMENT, UNQUALIFIED. This ethic he describes is so pervasive, that any ethics and any sense of shared destiny, or negative...
arbitrot 4 minutes ago
Mitt Romney Style!This is the keenest insight I've ever read into why we missed -- but not by that much -- actually electing an obviously...
SEE ALL COMMENTS
I had recently finished Taylor Branch’s three-volume series on the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. and the civil rights movement, and the image of the Freedom Riders stepping out of their bus into an infuriated mob had seared itself into my mind. I’d told myself that if I’d been alive in the ‘60s, I would have been on that bus.

But I was lying to myself. There were plenty of injustices out there — rampant poverty, swelling prison populations, a sexual-assault epidemic, an obesity crisis. Not only was I not helping to fix any problems in the world, but I was profiting from them. During the market crash in 2008, I’d made a ton of money by shorting the derivatives of risky companies. As the world crumbled, I profited. I’d seen the crash coming, but instead of trying to help the people it would hurt the most — people who didn’t have a million dollars in the bank — I’d made money off it. I don’t like who you’ve become, my girlfriend had said years earlier. She was right then, and she was still right. Only now, I didn’t like who I’d become either.

Wealth addiction was described by the late sociologist and playwright Philip Slater in a 1980 book, but addiction researchers have paid the concept little attention. Like alcoholics driving drunk, wealth addiction imperils everyone. Wealth addicts are, more than anybody, specifically responsible for the ever widening rift that is tearing apart our once great country. Wealth addicts are responsible for the vast and toxic disparity between the rich and the poor and the annihilation of the middle class. Only a wealth addict would feel justified in receiving $14 million in compensation — including an $8.5 million bonus — as the McDonald’s C.E.O., Don Thompson, did in 2012, while his company then published a brochure for its work force on how to survive on their low wages. Only a wealth addict would earn hundreds of millions as a hedge-fund manager, and then lobby to maintain a tax loophole that gave him a lower tax rate than his secretary.

DESPITE my realizations, it was incredibly difficult to leave. I was terrified of running out of money and of forgoing future bonuses. More than anything, I was afraid that five or 10 years down the road, I’d feel like an idiot for walking away from my one chance to be really important. What made it harder was that people thought I was crazy for thinking about leaving. In 2010, in a final paroxysm of my withering addiction, I demanded $8 million instead of $3.6 million. My bosses said they’d raise my bonus if I agreed to stay several more years. Instead, I walked away.

The first year was really hard. I went through what I can only describe as withdrawal — waking up at nights panicked about running out of money, scouring the headlines to see which of my old co-workers had gotten promoted. Over time it got easier — I started to realize that I had enough money, and if I needed to make more, I could. But my wealth addiction still hasn’t gone completely away. Sometimes I still buy lottery tickets.

In the three years since I left, I’ve married, spoken in jails and juvenile detention centers about getting sober, taught a writing class to girls in the foster system, and started a nonprofit called Groceryships to help poor families struggling with obesity and food addiction. I am much happier. I feel as if I’m making a real contribution. And as time passes, the distortion lessens. I see Wall Street’s mantra — “We’re smarter and work harder than everyone else, so we deserve all this money” — for what it is: the rationalization of addicts. From a distance I can see what I couldn’t see then — that Wall Street is a toxic culture that encourages the grandiosity of people who are desperately trying to feel powerful.


I was lucky. My experience with drugs and alcohol allowed me to recognize my pursuit of wealth as an addiction. The years of work I did with my counselor helped me heal the parts of myself that felt damaged and inadequate, so that I had enough of a core sense of self to walk away.

Dozens of different types of 12-step support groups — including Clutterers Anonymous and On-Line Gamers Anonymous — exist to help addicts of various types, yet there is no Wealth Addicts Anonymous. Why not? Because our culture supports and even lauds the addiction. Look at the magazine covers in any newsstand, plastered with the faces of celebrities and C.E.O.'s; the superrich are our cultural gods. I hope we all confront our part in enabling wealth addicts to exert so much influence over our country.

I generally think that if one is rich and believes they have “enough,” they are not a wealth addict. On Wall Street, in my experience, that sense of “enough” is rare. The money guy doing a job he complains about for yet another year so he can add $2 million to his $20 million bank account seems like an addict.

I recently got an email from a hedge-fund trader who said that though he was making millions every year, he felt trapped and empty, but couldn’t summon the courage to leave. I believe there are others out there. Maybe we can form a group and confront our addiction together. And if you identify with what I’ve written, but are reticent to leave, then take a small step in the right direction. Let’s create a fund, where everyone agrees to put, say, 25 percent of their annual bonuses into it, and we’ll use that to help some of the people who actually need the money that we’ve been so rabidly chasing. Together, maybe we can make a real contribution to the world.

Vodafone, BSkyB Hold Talks on Broadband Deals: Sunday Times

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Vodafone, BSkyB Hold Talks on Broadband Deals: Sunday Times 2014-01-19 08:52:55.662 GMT

By Liam Vaughan Jan. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Mobile phone group Vodafone and telecoms company BSkyB discussed deals on Sky’s sports channels and high-speed broadband collaboration: Sunday Times * Talks aimed at curbing BT’s growing power in broadband market: Sunday Times * Sky and Vodafone declined to comment: Sunday Times

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO> First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

--Editor: Hellmuth Tromm

To contact the reporter on this story: Liam Vaughan in London at +44-20-3525-4754 or lvaughan6@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Heather Smith at +44-20-3525-2724 or hsmith26@bloomberg.net

German Government Sees 1.5% Growth Until 2018: Bild am Sonntag

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

German Government Sees 1.5% Growth Until 2018: Bild am Sonntag 2014-01-19 12:21:12.347 GMT

By Nicholas Brautlecht Jan. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Bild am Sonntag cites draft of 2014 annual economic report by economy ministry led by German Vice Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel.

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO> First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

--Editor: Hellmuth Tromm

To contact the reporter on this story: Nicholas Brautlecht in Hamburg at +49-40-31112-260 or nbrautlecht@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Angela Cullen at +49-69-92041-158 or acullen8@bloomberg.net