- Region to continue with its slow recovery
- Risk of adjustment fatigue
- * Casablanca Capital has built up a 5.2% stake in Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF), the Wall Street Journal reports, adding that the hedge fund wants the iron-ore miner to split itself up into its domestic and international operations.
- * Casablanca's activism comes after Cliffs was the worst-performing stock in the S&P 500 in the past year and is the index's most shorted stock.
- * The sides have been in talks for a month, discussions that Cliffs said have been productive. The company noted that it has has strengthened its board and taken measures to improve its financial and operating performance. It has also been replacing senior management.
Reportable Segments and Other Businesses
- Fourth quarter results for co's Flat-rolled segment were comparable to the third quarter. Average spot and market-based contract prices were higher in the fourth quarter; however, a higher percentage of hot rolled shipments resulted in average realized prices that were comparable to the third quarter. A decrease in raw materials and other costs were offset by an increase of approximately $45 million for facility repairs and maintenance costs due primarily to a blast furnace reline at Gary Works and a planned blast furnace maintenance project at Fairfield Works.
- Results for co's European segment improved in the fourth quarter and returned to profitability due to higher shipments and lower facility repairs and maintenance costs as a blast furnace outage was completed in the third quarter. Average realized euro-based prices for the majority of co's products remained relatively unchanged in the fourth quarter; however, overall average realized prices in the fourth quarter declined compared to the third quarter due to a higher level of hot-rolled shipments.
- Fourth quarter results for co's Tubular segment decreased compared to the third quarter due primarily to lower shipments and average realized prices as end users decreased drilling activity in order to operate within their 2013 capital budgets and imports persisted at high levels for which a trade case is pending. Inventory management by co's customers was also a factor as we approached year-end.
- Co expects first quarter results for co's Flat-rolled segment to increase primarily due to higher average realized prices and shipments as well as reduced repairs and maintenance costs.
- Average realized prices and shipments are expected to increase as a result of higher contract and spot market prices and improving end user demand after the fourth quarter holiday down time.
- Repairs and maintenance costs are projected to decrease as compared to the fourth quarter due to the completion of the projects at Gary Works and Fairfield Works.
- Co will also have reduced idled facility costs after the shut down of the iron and steelmaking facilities at Hamilton Works.
- Raw materials costs, primarily for purchased scrap, and energy costs are expected to increase.
- Co expects first quarter results for co's European segment to be comparable to the fourth quarter as the benefits of increased average realized prices are offset by an increase in raw materials costs, primarily for iron ore, and other operating costs.
- Average realized prices are expected to increase compared to the fourth quarter due to a more favorable product mix and an anticipated gradual recovery in the spot market while shipments are expected to remain comparable.
- First quarter results for co's Tubular segment are expected to decrease as the benefits of reduced operating costs and increased shipments are more than offset by a decrease in average realized prices and an increase in substrate costs.
- Average realized prices are projected to decrease primarily due to pricing pressures from continuing high import levels and increased domestic supply.
- Shipments are expected to increase as drilling activity begins to improve.
Apple's 1QFY2014 revs of $57.59bn were below GS est of $58.54bn and above cons of $57.46bn, while EPS of $14.50 topped our forecast of $14.29; cons of $14.09. iPhone shipments of 51.03mn missed our est of 56.67mn and cons of 54.60mn, but revs of $32.5bn were in line with our ests on much higher ASPs. Apple guided to 2QFY2014 revs of $42-$44bn, below GS forecast of $45.92bn and cons of $46.05bn.The disappointing guidance is likely to pressure the stock in the near-term, but we are maintaining our Buy rating for the following reasons:
1) Cash Flow remains solid and leaves room for substantial increases in capital allocation in coming months
2) The ramp of China Mobile is weighted toward the back half of the year, providing room for incremental iPhone growth
3) Apple's enterprise momentum should accelerate in 2014
4) Platform enhancements (mobile payments) are increasingly likely in 2014
5) We believe Apple could be more open to competing more aggressively in the midrange smartphone market.
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Europe Food, HPC 2014 Ests. Cut at JPMorgan, Sector May De-Rate 2014-01-28 08:35:19.451 GMT
By Heather Burke Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) -- European food, household & personal care sector may de-rate as earnings growth slows, JPMorgan says. * Sector valuations at historical highs, earnings growth near a decade low * 2014 ests. cut by ~3%-4% on slowing sales, more cautious outlook on margins, FX; sees flat EPS growth in food, 5% in HPC * Sales have decelerated since last yr; may continue on developed mkt price pressure, low global inflation, emerging mkts slowing; sees LFL growth ~4%-5% for most cos. * 2014 margins may rise 10bps in food, 20bps in HPC * Weak sales probably continued into 4Q, margins may help earnings on savings, lower raw material costs * Top picks Nestle in food, SCA, L’Oreal in HPC * Beiersdorf raised to neutral, sales improvement faster than anticipated * Earlier: L’Oreal Cut on Margin Concern, Henkel Top HPC Pick: Commerzbank
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--Editor: James Cone
To contact the reporter on this story: Heather Burke in London at +44-20-7673-2044 or hburke2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Ludden at +44-20-7673-2645 or jludden@bloomberg.net