(BFW) Swatch Kept at Outperform at Credit Suisse After Watch Survey


Swatch Kept at Outperform at Credit Suisse After Watch Survey
2014-06-03 07:10:10.209 GMT


By Heather Burke
     June 3 (Bloomberg) -- Swatch’s recent weakness is an
attractive entry point as investors should have factored in
lower margin ests. for this yr, Credit Suisse says in note.
  * Reiterates outperform on Swatch, Richemont
  * Cites its 8th global survey of 20 luxury watch retailers,
    distributors in U.S., Europe, Asia:
    * Those interviewed don’t see growth accelerating in 2H
      after Swiss watch exports rose 4% in Jan.-April
    * Trade stock levels generally enough
    * Mid-price watches ($1k-$5k) may continue to outperform
      in 2H
    * High-end watches (>$5k) to have better European growth
      in 2H
    * Uncertainty over effect on Swiss watch industry from
      smartwatches
  * Uncertainty over smartwatch impact doesn’t help Swatch shrs
  * Positive on Swatch on mid-price watch strength, Richemont on
    jewelry
  * NOTE: Swatch shrs down 10% YTD vs Richemont +5.4%, SMI +5.9%
  * NOTE May 28: Swatch 2014 Ebit Margins May Drop, SocGen Says,
    Cuts to Hold


For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Heather Burke in London at +44-20-7673-2044 or
hburke2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
James Ludden at +44-20-7673-2645 or
jludden@bloomberg.net

(BFW) Abertis Selling 5.01% of Eutelsat in Accelerated Bookbuilding

--> Books are closed, deal priced @€24.95 / share

Abertis Selling 5.01% of Eutelsat in Accelerated Bookbuilding
2014-06-02 17:41:15.282 GMT


By Jim Silver and Ruth David
     June 2 (Bloomberg) -- Abertis selling its entire Eutelsat
stake, co. says in statement.
  * Price guidance EU24.95/shr
  * UBS, Barclays are joint bookrunners

Link to Company News:ABE SM <Equity> CN <GO>
Link to Company News:ETL FP <Equity> CN <GO>

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporters on this story:
Jim Silver in New York at +1-212-617-7342 or
jsilver@bloomberg.net;
Ruth David in London at +44-20-3525-8095 or
rdavid9@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Andrea Snyder at +1-202-624-1831 or
asnyder5@bloomberg.net
Jay Miller

RTR - Japan's GPIF could raise domestic stock allocation to 20 pct-Nikkei

Japan's GPIF could raise domestic stock allocation to 20 pct-Nikkei

* 20 pct in Japanese stocks wouldn't be too high hurdle

* GPIF's portfolio larger than Mexico's economy

* GPIF may pour 1 trln yen in alternative assets

TOKYO, June 3 (Reuters) - Japan's public pension fund, the world's biggest, could raise its investment in domestic stocks to 20 percent of its portfolio from the current 12 percent, a top official with the fund was quoted as saying on Tuesday.

Yasuhiro Yonezawa, the recently appointed head of the investment committee of the $1.26 trillion Government Pension Investment Fund, said: "Twenty percent would not necessarily be too high a hurdle" for the GPIF's weighting of Japanese stocks, the Nikkei financial daily reported.

Global financial markets are keenly watching the GPIF's investment strategy as the fund, bigger than Mexico's economy, is a huge investor and a bellwether for other Japanese institutional investors.

The government overhauled the GPIF's structure in late April, appointing new committee members in a push towards Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's goal of a more aggressive investment strategy.

GPIF now targets 12 percent of its investments in Japanese stocks, 60 percent in domestic bonds, 11 percent in foreign bonds, 12 percent in foreign stocks and 5 percent in short-term assets.

GPIF could lower its weighting in Japanese government bonds and shift the proceeds into Japanese stocks, foreign bonds, U.S. and emerging markets equities, the Nikkei quoted Yonezawa as saying.

The public fund could expand its assets from the current conventional asset classes and pour into alternative assets, he said.

"We would like to set up a new asset class category which would invest in non-conventional assets such as real estate investment trusts (REITs) and infrastructure. We would want to invest about 1 trillion yen ($9.79 billion) in the category," the daily quoted Yonezawa as saying.

In April, Tokihiko Shimizu, director-general of GPIF's research department, said the establishment of the alternative asset category would be decided by the investment committee.

GPIF said in February it had reached an agreement with Canada's Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System and Development Bank of Japan to invest in infrastructure projects through an investment trust fund.

NYT : French Officials Twist U.S. Arms in Bank Inquiry

French Officials Twist U.S. Arms in Bank Inquiry

Facing the prospect of a guilty plea in the United States, the giant French bank BNP Paribas has enlisted the support of a powerful ally: its own government, including top regulators and even the French president.

President François Hollande recently reached out to the White House to raise concerns about a plea deal, according to people briefed on the matter, injecting a political undercurrent into a law enforcement investigation. French officials have also contacted the State Department and Treasury Department, the people said, and made direct appeals to the authorities investigating BNP. The bank is suspected of doing business with Sudan and other countries blacklisted by the United States.

At a meeting last month in New York, state and federal prosecutors discussed the potential fallout from the BNP case with Edouard Fernandez-Bollo, a senior French banking regulator, according to the people briefed on the matter who were not authorized to discuss the private talks. The prosecutors — Cyrus Vance Jr., the Manhattan district attorney; Preet Bharara, the United States attorney in Manhattan; and David O’Neil, then the head of the Justice Department’s criminal division — appeared to resist the overtures.

Undeterred, Mr. Fernandez-Bollo returned to New York last Tuesday with the governor of the Bank of France, Christian Noyer, arguably the country’s highest-ranking financial authority. At Mr. Vance’s offices in Lower Manhattan, Mr. Noyer reiterated that the criminal case could have dire repercussions for BNP and the broader global economy, according to the people briefed on the matter.

The French campaign has focused largely on the concern that BNP, unlike other big banks accused of doing business with Sudan and Iran, might be forced to suspend a core business operation in New York as a result of the guilty plea. French officials have complained that such a penalty, proposed by New York State’s top financial regulator, Benjamin M. Lawsky, could erode some of the bank’s bottom line.

The behind-the-scenes arm twisting — the equivalent of, say, Janet L. Yellen, the chairwoman of the Federal Reserve, intervening in a foreign investigation of an American bank — underscores the international implications of the BNP case. Unlike cases that focus solely on the letter of the law and the extent of wrongdoing, the BNP investigation has inflamed diplomatic tensions and pitted the French government against American authorities.

The pushback from France reflects a cultural and legal divide with the United States, where political intervention in law enforcement is typically taboo. While the White House will coordinate with its allies on terrorism cases, and President Obama routinely discusses matters like trade and climate change with his foreign counterparts, it is rare that foreign leaders weigh in on behalf of specific banks or corporations ensnared in a criminal investigation.

For now, in the case of BNP, the French government has little to show for its effort. The White House did not intervene in the investigation, which began in 2007 with a tip to the Manhattan district attorney’s office. And BNP is still hurtling toward at least an $8 billion fine and a guilty plea for its parent company, according to the people briefed on the matter.

French officials are hardly the first foreign leaders to lean on the Justice Department — Credit Suisse recently dispatched the Swiss finance minister to Washington on the eve of the bank’s pleading guilty to enabling tax evasion — but the effort has coincided with an unusual public outcry in France. One French official recently complained that “the United States can’t treat its allies like this.” And the National Front, the largest far-right party in France, accused American prosecutors of operating a “racket.”

Representatives for Mr. Hollande did not respond to requests for comment. A spokeswoman for the Bank of France said she could not confirm the meetings with Mr. Noyer and Mr. Fernandez-Bollo, and declined to comment further.

Christian Noyer, the Bank of France governor, said BNP Paribas did not violate French or European rules.
Chris Kleponis/European Pressphoto Agency
Christian Noyer, the Bank of France governor, said BNP Paribas did not violate French or European rules.
The two French officials also took up BNP’s cause with Mr. Lawsky, who has the authority to revoke the bank’s license to operate in the state, the Wall Street equivalent of the death penalty. In recent meetings, Mr. Lawsky suggested that he would not withdraw BNP’s license but might temporarily suspend the bank from processing transactions through its New York branch on behalf of foreign clients, a process known as dollar clearing.

The United States investigation into BNP has centered on the bank’s role, from 2002 to 2009, in processing transactions through its American operations for companies and countries that the United States government has hit with sanctions. Prosecutors suspect that BNP, aiming to flout those sanctions, purposely omitted the names of Sudanese clients from paperwork to transfer money so as to not sound alarm bells with bank employees in New York. In some transactions, according to the people briefed on the matter, BNP employees stripped away any information that could tie the payments to entities under sanctions.

Mr. Noyer recently remarked publicly that BNP’s conduct “conformed with European and French rules, laws and regulations.”

At the heart of the French government’s campaign is the concern that American prosecutors have created a two-tiered system of justice: one in which American and British banks escape criminal charges and the other that forces BNP to plead guilty to sanctions violations and pay a record fine.

Hoping to whittle down the financial penalty — prosecutors and regulators initially sought about $10 billion — French officials have contrasted BNP’s case with the fate of other big banks. The British bank HSBC, for example, paid $1.9 billion to settle money laundering and sanctions violations. Credit Suisse paid about $2.6 billion when it recently entered a guilty plea.

For BNP, a bank deemed too big to fail in France, the French officials warned that such a huge settlement could eat into the bank’s capital, according to the people briefed on the matter. The bank’s capital levels, the officials complained, could drop below an important threshold for financial strength.

One French official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said that any discussions were intended to highlight the potential dangers to the financial industry as a whole, and were not meant as direct advocacy for BNP.

At first, the entreaties appeared to give American authorities some pause, the people briefed on the matter said. But when prosecutors discussed the bank’s capital levels with regulators, they concluded that the concerns were overblown.

BNP’s concerns also lost some momentum after the Credit Suisse guilty plea. The Swiss bank’s American chief executive, Brady Dougan, said the case would not cause “any material impact on our operational or business capabilities.”

Now that a guilty plea is no longer seen as a death sentence for banks, the dollar-clearing suspension has emerged as the biggest threat to BNP, according to the people briefed on the matter. In the meetings last month with Mr. Lawsky, the French officials detailed the potential impact.

With BNP unable to handle any dollar-clearing in New York, clients could flee to competitors, the officials argued. The blow to the bank, the French officials warned, would only add to turmoil in the European financial system.


Mr. Lawsky has yet to budge. To be a credible deterrent, a guilty plea has to carry real repercussions, Mr. Lawsky explained in his meetings with the French officials, the people said. Mr. Lawsky added that the bank would receive time to prepare for a temporary suspension, allowing BNP to alert its clients and make other arrangements.

Fearing the sanctions violations at BNP were pervasive, according to two people briefed on the investigation, Mr. Lawsky installed a monitor at the bank’s offices in New York. The monitor has been quietly examining the bank’s operations and record-keeping since October. Mr. Lawsky, the people said, plans to install a monitor on a more permanent basis as part of the settlement with BNP.

In the series of meetings with the bank last month, Mr. Lawsky also reiterated his plans to penalize more than a dozen BNP employees for their role in the suspected scheme, the people said. Of the dozen or so employees, at least two are senior BNP executives.

The employees, however, will not face criminal charges for now. The improper dealings with Sudan and Iran appeared to stop in 2009, putting it just past a five-year legal deadline for prosecuting individuals. The aggressive stance toward BNP traces partly to a concern that the bank was slow to flag wrongdoing to authorities, according to the people briefed on the matter, undercutting their opportunity to charge individuals.

Yet prosecutors from the Justice Department and Mr. Vance’s office have not ruled out charges, the people said. The investigation could benefit from a legal provision that gives Mr. Vance five extra years to pursue cases against individuals based overseas.

(BFW) Exane Makes Changes to QRate List; Aryzta, Shell Among Entrants


Exane Makes Changes to QRate List; Aryzta, Shell Among Entrants
2014-06-03 06:27:01.924 GMT


By Francesca Cinelli
     June 3 (Bloomberg) -- Aryzta, Compass, Eurotunnel, Next,
Royal Dutch Shell, Shire added to QRate List; Elisa, Hugo Boss,
Imperial Tobacco, National Grid, Reed Elsevier, SSE removed.
  * Aim of Exane’s QRate is to offer rigorous, systematic rating
    of stocks relative to one another
    * Premise is that best-rated stocks should have best
      absolute, risk-adjusted return
  * QRate list made up of all stocks with QRate >95%, i.e. 17
    stocks selected within MSCI Europe excl. financials
    * Stocks selected on basis of 11 equally-weighted
      criteria, spread across 4 categories: Valuation, Growth,
      Momentum, Risk
  * QRate list members: Aryzta, BSkyB, BMW Pref, Capita,
    Compass, easyJet, Enagas, Eurotunnel, Next, Persimmon, Red
    Electrica, Royal Dutch Shell, Shire, Snam, Telenet, Terna,
    United Utilities

Link to Company News:{ARYN SW <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{CPG LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{GET FP <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{NXT LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{RDSA LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{SHP LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{ELI1V FH <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{BOSS GR <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{IMT LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{NG/ LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{REL LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{SSE LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{BSY LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{UU/ LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{BMW GR <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{TRN IM <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{SRG IM <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{TNET BB <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{CPI LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{ENG SM <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{EZJ LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{PSN LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{REE SM <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>}
First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Francesca Cinelli at +39-02-80644-252 or
fcinelli@bloomberg.net

(UBS) VOdafone : CEO Meeting feedback

* Optimistic on a turnaround by Q3
While Q1 trends will remain challenging, VOD sounded confident that improving
operational trends would be evident by Q3 (February 2015). This would be driven by a
turnaround in Germany (c25% of EBITDA) and Italy (c10% of EBITDA), rising 4G
penetration driving ARPU growth and continued growth in AMAP (c35% of EBITDA).
* Foundations laid for German improvement / Italy remains competitive
In Germany, VOD believe their mobile network quality is now back on a par with DT.
Although consumer perception will likely lag, VOD has restored pricing parity with DT
in the higher end of the mobile market and post-paid net adds momentum is already
improving. VOD noted that 80% of the German management team has been changed
in the past 12 months. Italy remains competitive with 3 offering tariffs as low as €8pm
for 400 mins/400 SMS/ 2GB data but recent headline price rises are encouraging.
* Scope for portfolio optimisation / Europe to consolidate?
We believe VOD will consider divesting a handful of smaller assets outside the ‘big six’.
Specifically, VOD is focused markets where it can be a clear #1/#2, where it can offer
unified services and where the market structure is attractive. VOD believe there could
be significant change over the coming years with Europe consolidating down to a
handful of larger players with converged (quad-play) offerings. VOD was evaluating
different fixed line options in the UK depending on the success of BT in mobile. VOD
expects German mobile consolidation will go ahead but are wary of generous terms
being awarded to MVNOs that could disrupt the market and lead to a lack of incentives
to invest in infrastructure.
* Valuation: PT based on SOTP/DCF
While recent downgrades to consensus estimates are unhelpful for sentiment, we
believe VOD will emerge stronger and see improving operating momentum over the
coming quarters. We continue to believe VOD could be a direct and indirect beneficiary
of M&A/European consolidation. For calendar 2015, VOD trades on 5.7x EV/EBITDA
and 8% EFCF yield (0% post spectrum/Spring) and offers a 5.5% dividend yield.

NY Times : A Question of Family Ties Between G.E. and Alstom Law Firm

But one of the least foreseeable has to do with the special relationship that G.E.’s chief executive shares with one of Alstom’s advisers.
As it happens, G.E.’s leader, Jeffrey R. Immelt, is the brother of Stephen J. Immelt, who this summer will become the sole chief executive of Hogan Lovells, an American law firm that is working for Alstom on the transaction.
The ties between the Immelt brothers and how they relate to the French deal were briefly mentioned in The American Lawyer last month. But they took on a bit more prominence in the French press a little later. The French satirical weekly Le Canard Enchaîné mentioned them on May 14. Other French media, including Europe 1 radio, then followed, suggesting a possible conflict of interest.
With the French economy in a rut and unemployment high, Jeffrey Immelt has worked hard to assuage the government’s concerns that Alstom, one of the country’s industrial crown jewels, will simply disappear into the American giant.
But opinion polls have showed that a majority of the country supports Economy Minister Arnaud Montebourg’s tough stance in negotiations with G.E., and the revelation that Mr. Immelt’s brother was also involved in the deal might play into dark fears about an American invasion.
But of all the reasons for the Élysée Palace to reject the deal, this is not one.
A spokeswoman for Alstom, Christine Rahard-Burnat, said in a statement that Alstom had worked with Hogan Lovells for years, long before Stephen Immelt had even joined the firm. Moreover, the legal-minded Immelt – a litigator based in the United States – is not working on the transaction.
“There is no conflict of interest,” she said.
G.E. and Hogan Lovells declined to comment.

>>> What to look at today - 03/06/2014

US MArket Closed slightly higher, but small cap continue to to underperformed, Stock weak after ISM but try to rebound with news suggesting that ISM did not contain the originak season adjustement, hearing should have been 56...volume were low @ 537mil shares...AAPL didn't really react to WWDC AAPL -0.7%...GOOGL -1.3% on business dev. head departure annoucmeent...VIX @11.58 +1.65...- China PMIs were mixed and hardly swayed sentiment in either direction. The
official non-manufacturing PMI improved to a 6-month high, while the HSBC final manufacturing slowed from the stronger Flash figure and remains in contraction. HSBC chief economist noted that "the final PMI reading for May confirmed that
the economy is stabilizing, but it is too early to say that it has bottomed out...Japan continues to make steady progress in achievement of policymakers' objectives as latest wage inflation data hit a 2-year high, suggesting that
higher prices are translating into rising wages. BOJ Gov Kuroda reiterated he expects Japan inflation to reach 2% around FY15, while Fin Min Aso remains flexible on the possibility of lower corporate tax rates...Nikkei +0.8% HS+0.66% Shanghai+0.33%...

Eur$1.3604 S&P Fut 0.10% European Fut. -0.10%

Macro
- HSBC China May Manufacturing PMI 49.4; Est. 49.7
- Obama Said to Unveil $1 Billion European Security Fund in Poland
- Goldman Sees Rise in EU Consumer Staples M&A, Lists 10 Targets {NSN N6KW6Y6TTDSA<Go>}
- ECB Rate Cut Would Be ‘Rather Cosmetic,’ Stark Writes in FAZ {NSN N6KHI66JIJVQ <go>}


Keep an eye on :
- AF FP : Etihad to not become shareholder at Air France-KLM for now
- AZA IM : Etihad Alitalia Investment Would Cancel a Third of Debt: Echos
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca May Seek U.K. Fast Track for 2 Drugs: Telegraph Link
- BMW GY : BMW Plans to Cut EU100m/Yr in Personnel Costs: Muenchner Merkur
- BNP FP : BNP to Pay EU140M-EU180M for Cofinoga Stake, Echos Says
- CU FP : Club Med to Allow Counsels of Investindustrial Access to Data
- DIA SM : Carrefour, Casino Make Non-Binding Bids for Dia France: Figaro
- EZJ LN : Rumours of easyJet takeover by Middle Eastern airline - FT ( from dealers - low probability)
- FIS1V FH : Fiskars Cuts Outlook: Sales, Op. Profit Seen Below 2013 Levels
- GDS FP : Attia Plans to Bid for Generale De Sante, Le Figaro Says {NSN N6KUF56K50XZ <go>}
- GPX LN : Gulfsands Petroleum shareholder Waterford said to be eyeing buyout at GBP 1.20-1.50 per share - The Times
- RMS FP : Hermes Says Sales Haven’t Dropped in China, Figaro Says
- JUN£ GY : Jungheinrich may make complementary acquisitions but no large takeovers
- MS IM : Mediaset May Seek to Boost Stake in DTS, La Stampa Reports
- TEF SM : Telefonica Closes Purchase of DTS From Prisa For EU750m
- FP FP : Total Targets 10% Share of German Gas Station Market: Superillu

>>> Brokera Upgrades & Downgrades

>>> Up
*ANGLO AMERICAN PLATINUM RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*BEAZLEY RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT BERENBERG
*BUZZI UNICEM RAISED TO OUTPERFORM AT SANFORD BERNSTEIN
*KGHM POLSKA MIEDZ RAISED TO BUY VS UNDERPERFORM AT BOFAML
*NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE RAISED TO BUY VS REDUCE AT NOMURA
*POP. MILANO RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT NOMURA

>>> Down
*ARYZTA CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*BANCO POPOLARE CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT NOMURA
*CAVERION CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT BERENBERG
*DANONE CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*DAVIDE CAMPARI CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*DE LA RUE CUT TO HOLD VS ADD AT NUMIS
*DET NORSKE OLJESELSKAP CUT TO SELL FROM NEUTRAL AT RS PLATOU
*EDF CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*GRUPA AZOTY CUT TO REDUCE VS HOLD AT RAIFFEISEN
*HEINEKEN CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*HUHTAMAKI CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*KLOECKNER & CO CUT TO REDUCE VS HOLD AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*PIRAEUS BANK CUT TO REDUCE VS NEUTRAL AT NOMURA
*WDF Cut From Conviction Buy at Goldman After Outperformance

>>> PT Changes
*UBI PT RAISED TO EU7 VS EU5.8 AT NOMURA; KEPT AT BUY

>>> Initiation
*BANCO POPOLARE RESUMED AT BUY AT BOFAML; PT EU18.2

>>> Call
>> Stock
*BRENNTAG ADDED TO UBS’S LEAST PREFERRED LIST
*CAIXABANK ADDED TO CITI’S FOCUS LIST EUROPE
*PERNOD REMOVED FROM CONVICTION BUY AT GOLDMAN, STILL A BUY
*RED ELECTRICA EXITS EUROPEAN SELECTED LIST AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*SOCIETE GENERALE REMOVED FROM CITI’S FOCUS LIST EUROPE
*STHREE ADDED TO UBS’S MOST PREFERRED LIST