>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +7.4%
    • Siemens Energy Lifts Guidance on Gas, Electricity Growth (1)
  • Siemens (SIE TH) +1%
MDAX:
  • Evotec (EVT TH) +3.1%
    • Evotec SE Sees 2025 Adjusted Ebitda EU30M to EU50M
  • RENK Group AG (R3NK TH) +1.6%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -1%
  • Jungheinrich (JUN3 TH) -1.1%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -1.2%

>>> US After Hours Summary: REXR +2.9%, LBRT +2.3%, FNB +2.2% higher on earnings

After Hours Summary: REXR +2.9%, LBRT +2.3%, FNB +2.2% higher on earnings; QXO -5.3% lower on stock offering

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: REXR +2.9%, LBRT +2.3%, FNB +2.2%, MRC +2.1%, OZK +1.7%, SNV +1.1%, HOMB +0.2%, KMI +0.1% (also increases dividend)

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: NOG +2.3% (reports Q1 update on hedging), FMC +2% (regulatory approval for Keenali herbicide), RIG +0.7% (provides quarterly fleet status report), GSK +0.4% (Penmenvy receives positive rec from US Advisory Committee), PFE +0.2% (CDC panel votes to expand its recommendation for syncytial virus vaccines), COST +0.2% (increases dividend), QUBT +0.2% (CEO to retire), BVN +0.1% (announces Q1 production)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: FR -1.8%, AA -1.2%, SLG -0.6%, CNS -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: QXO -5.3% ($500 mln stock offering), NMAX -1.5% (files for 25,633,636 Class B share offering), AIR -0.9% (co's Trax unit slected by Amerijet for eMRO and eMobility), S -0.5% (Chris Krebs to resign, according to WSJ), INTC -0.3% (needs a license to export AI chips to China, according to FT), GAM -0.1% (increases buyback auth by 2 mln shares under certain conditions)

FT : US places sanctions on Chinese refinery over Iran oil purchases

US places sanctions on Chinese refinery over Iran oil purchases
Trump administration accuses Shandong Shengxing Chemical of buying crude as it increases pressure on Beijing and Tehran

The Trump administration has imposed sanctions on a Chinese refinery for buying Iranian crude oil, as Washington increasingly pushes Beijing to rein in oil purchases from the country to increase the pressure on Tehran.

The Treasury department targeted Shandong Shengxing Chemical for allegedly buying more than $1bn in Iranian crude oil from sources that included a front company for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in violation of US sanctions.

The measure marks the second time in a month that President Donald Trump has put sanctions on a “teapot” refinery — a term for independent Chinese refineries that are the main buyers of Iranian crude.

“Any refinery, company, or broker that chooses to purchase Iranian oil or facilitate Iran’s oil trade places itself at serious risk,” said Treasury secretary Scott Bessent.

“The United States is committed to disrupting all actors providing support to Iran’s oil supply chain, which the regime uses to support its terrorist proxies and partners,” he added.

The Treasury department also imposed sanctions on several companies and vessels for helping Iran transport oil to China on ships that are part of a “shadow fleet” of vessels that seek to avoid detection.

The package marked the sixth round of sanctions that Trump has placed on Iran as part of his “maximum pressure campaign”.

They come as Washington and Beijing are in the middle of a trade war that Trump launched in January and escalated in recent weeks. The US has imposed a 145 per cent tariff on imports from China, which has retaliated with a 125 per cent tariff on American goods.

The Trump administration has also stepped up pressure on China over its purchases of Iranian crude. The Biden administration was criticised by Republicans for failing to exert more pressure on Beijing to stop importing oil from Iran in violation of US sanctions.

Dennis Wilder, who was a White House Asia adviser to president George W Bush, said former president Joe Biden “turned a blind eye to China’s purchase of up to 90 per cent of Iran’s oil exports”.

“This was, in large part, out of concern that a fully enforced embargo on Iran would lead to a sharp rise in oil prices that would affect US consumers,” Wilder said. “Chinese oil purchases have helped build a close relationship between Tehran and Beijing in which China benefits by gaining greater commercial access in the region.”

The new sanctions come as the Trump administration is holding talks with Tehran on curtailing the Islamic republic’s nuclear programme, prompting hopes of a breakthrough in one of the Middle East’s most intractable problems.

Steve Witkoff, Trump’s special envoy, held indirect talks with Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi in Oman on Saturday. The pair are due to hold a second round of talks this coming Saturday.

“We firmly oppose the US abuse of unilateral sanctions and ‘long-arm jurisdiction,’ which undermines international trade order and rules, disrupts normal economic and trade exchanges, and infringes upon the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese companies and individuals,” said Liu Pengyu, the Chinese embassy spokesperson in Washington. 

FT : Siemens Energy expects €1bn profit amid booming electricity demand

Siemens Energy expects €1bn profit amid booming electricity demand
German manufacturer of gas turbines had expected to break even but decarbonisation and AI data centres have driven revenues

Siemens Energy expects to make about €1bn in profit in 2025 after upgrading its outlook because of a booming global electricity market.

In an ad hoc announcement published on Wednesday night, the German producer of gas turbines and power grid equipment increased its profit expectations, projecting a net income of “up to €1bn”. That figure is lower than the €1.3bn profit it posted last year but higher than the guidance previously issued, which had said it expected to roughly break even.

The company also raised its revenue forecasts for the fiscal year 2025, which ends in September, lifting them from 8-10 per cent to 13-15 per cent.

The growth was driven by a particularly strong performance in the gas services and grid technologies division. “There’s a growing electricity market, with huge demand for gas turbines, grid switches,” said a person familiar with the company’s operations. “We’re seeing huge demand.”

The International Energy Agency said in a report in February that global electricity demand would grow about 4 per cent annually between now and 2027 — up from 2.5 per cent in 2023. This is its fastest pace in years and comes as a result of the growing needs of industry, strong demand for electrification as part of the drive to decarbonise, greater use of air conditioning, and an increasing need for the energy-hungry data centres that underpin generative AI.

Siemens Energy has suffered a turbulent ride on the stock market this year, with its share price rising and falling as much as 20 per cent within a matter of days in January.

First, its value was buoyed by US President Donald Trump’s announcement of up to $500bn in private investment to fund infrastructure for AI, which the markets expected to boost demand for data centres and electricity. Then it plunged as the Chinese artificial intelligence start-up DeepSeek shocked Silicon Valley with advances apparently achieved with far less computing power than its US rivals.

The company has also had to grapple with the after-effects of a crisis in its wind turbine division, Siemens Gamesa, that emerged in 2023. The company suffered a €4.6bn loss that year after it revealed technical problems with some of its turbines and was forced to take a €15bn government-backed bailout. It returned to profit the following year. 

The company said on Wednesday that it expected the wind turbine unit to enjoy positive revenue growth in 2025 but still suffer a loss of €1.3bn before special items.

>>> US Close Dow -1.73% S&P -2.24% Nasdaq -3.07% Russell -1.03%

Closing Stock Market Summary
Stocks struggled under selling activity, leading the major indices to close sharply lower. The S&P 500 dropped 2.2%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1.7%.

There was a negative bias through the entire session following NVIDIA's (NVDA 104.49, -7.71, -6.9%) announcement that it expects Q1 results to include up to $5.5 billion of charges associated with H20 products due to export restrictions for China. AMD (AMD 88.29, -7.00, -7.4%) also announced an expected impact of $800 million.

Selling increased noticeably in the afternoon following remarks from Fed Chair Powell, who appeared at an event in Chicago, indicating that he doesn't think the Fed will make progress on its dual mandate goals this year and that there isn't a "Fed put."

This morning's economic data also contributed to the downside bias despite solid headline numbers in the retail sales report. Total retail sales increased 1.4% month-over-month in March (consensus 1.3%) following an unrevised 0.2% increase in February. Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.5% month-over-month (consensus 0.2%) following an upwardly revised 0.7% increase (from 0.3%) in February.

The negative takeaway related to the belief that last month's data may have been inflated by buying activity ahead of the tariff impacts and may decrease in the future.

Mega caps and semiconductor shares led the downside charge amid ongoing uncertainty on the tariff front and related to growth concerns. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) dropped 3.3% and the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) fell 4.1%.

The technology sector registered the largest decline by a decent margin, falling 3.9%. The next worst performing sector was consumer discretionary (-2.7%) and communication services (-2.5%).
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: -6.8% YTD
  • S&P 500: -10.3% YTD
  • S&P Midcap 400: -12.8% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite: -15.6% YTD
  • Russell 2000: -16.4% YTD

Reviewing today's economic data:
  • Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index -8.5%; Prior 20.0%
  • March Retail Sales 1.4% (consensus 1.3%); Prior 0.2%, March Retail Sales ex-auto 0.5% (consensus 0.2%); Prior was revised to 0.7% from 0.3%
    • The complicated element -- and key takeaway from the report -- is that the strength has a lot to do ostensibly with getting ahead of the tariff actions, which is to say the strength may not be sustained. If there is a counterargument to that point, it is that sales at food services and drinking places were up a robust 1.8% in March after declining 0.8% in February.
  • March Industrial Production -0.3% (consensus -0.3%); Prior was revised to 0.8% from 0.7%, March Capacity Utilization 77.8% (consensus 77.9%); Prior 78.2%
    • The key takeaway from the report is that the large decline in the output of utilities overshadowed the increase in manufacturing output and mining output, so the headline decline isn't as bad as it looks at first blush.
  • February Business Inventories 0.2% (consensus 0.3%); Prior 0.3%
  • April NAHB Housing Market Index 40 (consensus 39); Prior 39

Thursday's economic calendar includes:
  • 8:30 ET: March Housing Starts (Briefing.com consensus 1.418 mln; prior 1.501 mln), Building Permits ( consensus 1.455 mln; prior 1.456 mln), weekly Initial Claims (consensus 225,000; prior 223,000), Continuing Claims (prior 1.850 mln), and April Philadelphia Fed Survey (consensus 10.0; prior 12.5)
  • 10:30 ET: Weekly natural gas inventories (prior +57 bcf)

WWD : Moncler Group Q1 Revenue Up 1% to 829M Euros, Driven by DTC Growth and Asi

Moncler Group Q1 Revenue Up 1% to 829M Euros, Driven by DTC Growth and Asian Market Strength
The performance exceeded expectations as business was fueled despite macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.

MILAN — Moncler Group first-quarter revenue beat expectations rising 1 percent to 829 million euros, compared with 818 million euros in the same period last year. The performance was driven by strong direct-to-consumer sales and the Asian market.

By brand, Moncler sales were up 2 percent to 721.8 million euros, compared with 705 million euros in the first three months of 2024.

Stone Island revenues decreased 5 percent to 107.3 million euros compared with 113 million euros in the same period last year, with solid double-digit growth in the DTC channel partially offsetting the decline in the wholesale channel.

“The beginning of the year was marked by ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical complexities, which we continue to navigate with strong operational discipline and sharp focus on our brand-first strategy,” stated Remo Ruffini, chairman and chief executive officer of the group. “This approach enabled us to achieve solid growth in the DTC channel across both brands in the first quarter, despite an exceptionally high comparable base.”

Acknowledging the “growing volatility and unpredictability” of the moment, “we remain even more committed to executing our clear long-term vision for both Moncler and Stone Island,” Ruffini said. “The year has just begun, and while the macroeconomic picture remains highly unstable, our commitment to combine creativity and innovation with operational flexibility and financial rigor will continue to define our path ahead.”

During a conference call with analysts at the end of trading, Luciano Santel, group chief corporate and supply officer, said the volatility in the quarter did not lead to “any particular change in our customers’ behavior,” and that despite the “turbulent situation…we maintain our focus on our business.”

As expected, the conversation often turned to U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and Santel said “production in the U.S. is something we are not evaluating right now,” and that the group is not planning to move production from Italy and Romania “because from the two regions we can deliver high-end quality. It’s premature, for sure, but honestly, I see it as very complex to evaluate any manufacturing facility in the U.S.”

As for the approach to the U.S., “our strategy remains totally unchanged because we strongly believe in the potential of the U.S. as a country and as a market, where we are underpenetrated.”

He admitted the strategy may be slowed down, but not changed, and highlighted “the most important investment, the most important pillar of our strategy for the next future, the opening of the Moncler store on Fifth Avenue is fortunately already locked in. So the store will open in early 2026 and will be a very important strategic step for our future growth in the U.S.”

Asked about China, the executive said the region “did well, and not only as a market, but also as a cluster, because we saw a significant and growing business with the Chinese customers in other regions, specifically Japan and Europe. We are still behind the 2019 contribution of Chinese business on the total business in Europe, but it is growing year after year, as well as in Japan. We are very happy about the strength of the brand in China with the Chinese customers.”

Moncler’s Performance
In the first three months of 2025, the Moncler brand’s revenues in Asia amounted to 380.8 million euros, up 5 percent despite a very demanding comparable base and the ongoing shift of Chinese consumption abroad. Growth in Japan accelerated sequentially, mainly driven by tourist spending, while South Korea showed softer trends compared to the previous quarter.

The Europe, Middle East and Africa region recorded revenues of 244.3 million euros, a decrease of 1 percent, impacted by the negative performance of wholesale.

Revenues in the Americas were flat at 96.7 million euros, or down 2 percent at constant exchange rates, mainly impacted by the negative trend in the wholesale channel.

The DTC channel recorded revenues of 630.5 million, up 4 percent, despite ongoing market volatility and the exceptionally high comparable base last year, which had recorded strong double-digit growth across all regions. The online channel was weaker than the physical one.

The wholesale channel was down 5 percent to 91.3 million euros, as the company optimizes the quality of its distribution.

As of March 31, Moncler monobrand boutiques totaled 284, including the opening of Shanghai Grand Gateway. The Moncler brand also operated 55 wholesale shops-in-shop.

Asked about Moncler Grenoble, following the fashion show staged in Courchevel in March, Santel said it represents about 10 percent of sales, “and it is growing faster than the the rest of the business. So of course we have great expectations for Grenoble, as the most authentic luxury brand for outdoors independently on the season but it will take time.”

Stone Island’s Business
In the quarter, Stone Island revenues in Asia reached 31.2 million euros, up 14 percent mainly driven by a strong performance of Japan and mainland China. South Korea improved sequentially, although underperforming the rest of the region.

Sales in EMEA were down 11 percent to 69.4 million euros, impacted by the decline in the wholesale channel due to a different timing of deliveries and the streamlining of the distribution. France and the U.K. outperformed the rest of the EMEA region.

Revenues in the Americas were down 17 percent to 6.6 million euros, mainly due to a double-digit negative performance in the wholesale channel. The DTC channel, instead, recorded positive growth, improving sequentially.


In the first three months of 2025, the DTC channel grew by 12 perent to 55.3 million, driven by growth in all regions, with Asia outperforming.

The physical channel continued to outperform the online channel across all regions.

The wholesale channel recorded revenues of 52 million euros, down 18 percent, impacted by a different timing of deliveries.

Stone Island’s wholesale channel “is not expected to be positive in the first half of the year and not in the fiscal year but single-digit, in any event, a negative number,” Santel said.

“We are not planning many new openings, because we want, at this stage of the development of the brand, to maximize the potential of organic growth.”

As of March 31, there were 90 directly operated stores and the brand relocated its flagship in Paris. Stone Island also operated 11 mono-brand wholesale stores.

On Wednesday, the board confirmed Alexandre Arnault, deputy CEO of LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton’s wines and spirits division and the son of luxury titan Bernard Arnault, and Sue Nabi, CEO of Coty, as members of the board.

Arnault’s appointment follows the deal inked last September between Ruffini and LVMH, whereby the luxury giant purchased a 10 percent stake in Double R, the investment vehicle controlled by the Italian businessman and the largest Moncler shareholder with a 16.9 percent stake.

Analysts’ Take
James Grzinic at Jefferies in his report wrote that “delivery was likely better than investors had come to fear in the more recent weeks of macro volatility. Still, the lack of engagement on how strongly [the second quarter] has started may dampen some of the enthusiasm. The extent to which [spring] collections can capitalize on much softer comps will be a key point of debate from here.”


Thomas Chauvet at Citi stated that since its IPO in 2013, Moncler “has demonstrated its ability to win the ‘battle of upper body’ in the highly competitive down-jacket segment, particularly during the winter season. Its positioning at the crossroads of luxury fashion and technical, high-quality sportswear is quite unique in the marketplace, we think. The group continues to offer above-industry-average top-line growth in the medium/long-term, supported by white space opportunities in the U.S. and China, pricing potential [about +5 percent for spring 2025], successful expansion into non-outerwear, hidden value at Stone Island and a strong track record of group EBIT margin resilience around 29 to 30 percent.”