(BFW) AbbVie Cannot Use Tax-Law Change to Back Out of Shire Deal


BN 07/18 14:26 *ABBVIE SPOKESWOMAN ADELLE INFANTE CONFIRMS IN E-MAIL
BN 07/18 14:26 *ABBVIE CANNOT USE TAX-LAW CHANGE TO BACK OUT OF SHIRE DEAL

AbbVie Cannot Use Tax-Law Change to Back Out of Shire Deal
2014-07-18 14:27:25.535 GMT


By Courtney Dentch
July 18 (Bloomberg) -- AbbVie spokeswoman Adelle Infante
says in e-mail.

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>>> IBM implications -- security, cloud, analytics & mobile data continue to shi

IBM implications -- security, cloud, analytics & mobile data continue to shine - Oppenheimer


Oppenheimer's recent channel checks are consistent with IBM's positive security software commentary. CHKP, PANW, FTNT and FEYE are all beneficiaries. IBM's view could also explain some of IMPV's 1Q competitive headwinds as the former goes down-market to capture share. IBM invested in security through M&A (Q1Labs, Trusteer) -- they expect more to come.

>>> General Electric on call says structure of Alstom (ALSMY) deal has been alte

General Electric on call says structure of Alstom (ALSMY) deal has been altered, but strategic rational remains the same; deal terms remains unchanged; sees 1-2 cent reduction in EPS accretion (28.61)
GE says ALSMY will be the investor but GE will have operational control. GE says the first JV is renewables it's made up of ALSMY's offshore win and leading hydro business as well as some of their new renewable technologies. GE and Alstom will each own 50% of this venture.

>>> IBM: Color on Quarter --> -1.17% Pre -Market

IBM: Color on Quarter

  • Stifel notes, in sum, hardware was better, services were mixed, but in line, and software was lower than expected. Growth markets, particularly BRIC countries including China improved q/q, while major markets were mixed. They doubt the current quarter will have much impact on sentiment. Still, they continue to believe IBM represents one of the more attractive longer-term risk adjusted opportunities in our group as we believe the co can stabilize the hardware business in 2015, which combined with trend line growth in services and software can yield ~ 1-2% rev growth and sufficient leverage to generate high single-digit EPS growth and stable FCF; Buy.
  • RBC notes IBM reported modest upside to expectations during the Jun-qtr on improved hardware sales and better stability within growth markets. That said, top-line growth remains elusive as secular and cyclical challenges within its end markets are offsetting IBM's initiatives to drive growth in key areas such as cloud (+50% YTD), business analytics (+7% YTD), mobile (+100% YTD), and security (+20% YTD). Although they expect IBM to achieve FY14 EPS guidance of "at least $18.00," it could be due to levers below the operating line (lower tax rate, restructuring savings, share buybacks) in the face of ongoing volume declines. They remain on the sidelines near-term until they see sustainable rev growth.
  • ISI Group remains cautious; strategic imperatives will not be enough to offset pressure in core services and software franchises or for IBM to maintain account control among large enterprises. While no obvious fixes exist for an established ~$100bil revenue co, they continue to believe IBM should consider the following to help catalyze growth: 1) Suspend EPS guidance for ~1-2 years to lower expectations and focus on longer-term positioning, 2) Larger, bolder acquisitions to create leadership positions in new areas (vs. string-of-pearls approach), and3) Greater R&D spending on focused initiatives (vs. flattish R&D budget over the last ~10 years despite M&A activity).
  • Oppenheimer IBM reported 2Q14 results (revenue of $24.4B, down 1% in constant currency) that indicate its increased focused on software-related growth areas while reducing its hardware focus. Results clearly point to the transformation process it is pursuing while dealing with macro headwinds. Its hardware revenue fell 11% Yo,Y but its blended software contribution rose 4%. BRIC contribution is still down 2% YoY but an improvement from double-digit declines of 2013. The AAPL partnership is likely to encompass areas such as enterprise mobility, security, big data, etc. They view it as an additional step by IBM to move away from hardware toward becoming a software-focused player.
  • IBM is down 1% in the premarket after another unimpressive quarter; rev has declined nine straight quarters and efforts to manufacture EPS estimates/targets are disappointing some who are focused on the bigger picture.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
: RP -23.9%, AMD -17.1%, CPHD -6.9%, ZHNE -3.3%, ROG -3%, BGS -2.7%, BK -1.1%, IBM -1%, VFC -1%, ALV -0.9%, STX -0.8%, SLB -0.6%.

M&A news: ABBV -1.5% (Shire plc and Abbvie (ABBV) announced that they have reached agreement on the terms of a recommended combination of Shire with AbbVie), SHPG.

Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: AU -1.1%, ABX -1.1%, ABX -1.1%, NEM -1%, SLV -0.9%, GLD -0.8%, RIO -0.6%, MT -0.6%.

Other news: NQ -17.7% (engages Marcum Bernstein & Pinchuk as its independent auditor), TGP -4.8% (files mixed securities shelf offering; announces public offering of 2.8 mln common units, which represent limited partner interests), PT -3.7% (pull back following recent strength), FNMA -2.2% (increased yields on risk sharing products, according to reports ), FDX -0.8% (disclosed and confirmed requests for info from DoJ in connection with investigation relating to transportation of packages for online pharmacies), WDC -0.7% (following STX earnings), WAG -0.7% (Pension adviser wants probe of WAG offshore moving meeting talks, according to reports), HPQ -0.4% (announces Meg Whitman, HP president and chief executive officer, has been appointed chairman of the board of directors).

Analyst comments: NUS -3.8% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill), SQM -1.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan), MAT -1.4% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham), DNKN -1.1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney), ORLY -1.1% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel), APC -0.8% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Bernstein), AZO -0.6% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel)
.

(BFW) Shire/AbbVie Counterbid Unlikely at This Stage, Bernstein Says


Shire/AbbVie Counterbid Unlikely at This Stage, Bernstein Says
2014-07-18 12:12:27.655 GMT


By Gaurav Panchal
July 18 (Bloomberg) -- Another bidder may enter the party,
is very unlikely at this stage, Bernstein’s Aaron Gal says in
note following confirmation of deal.
* As a risk to deal sees, AbbVie unable to re-domicile Humira,
which accounts for over 50% of current company’s topline;
likely main asset whose tax rate is reduced
* Deal puts more pressure on remaining U.S. drug companies to
re-domicile overseas or at least supports the drive to
change laws in U.S.: Gal
* Orphan drug and other novel science companies could benefit:
Gal
* Says deal values Shire at 24x 2015 EPS, on EV/last 12M
EBITDA; could put prices of companies with novel science
and/or rare disease capabilities higher
* Rates Shire marketperform, PT raised to 5,300p vs 3,700p
* Deal Tearsheet: {NSN N8WJ2S6JTSEA<Go>}
* July 14: AbbVie Chases Shire, Peers May Seek M&A Overseas
War Chest Use {NSN N8PV4I6KLVS1<Go>}


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>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
: SWKS +8.9%, ERIC +7.6%, RECN +3.6%, WAL +2.8%, GOOG +2.5%, CE +2.4%, FHN +1.5%, MATW +1.1%, IPG +1.1%, GE +0.8%, LH +0.8%, GRT +0.7%.

M&A news: GTIV +10.9% (Gentiva Health Svcs Board of Directors unanimously rejects Kindred's amended partial tender offer; Announces receipt of alternative proposal at $17.25 per share).

Other news: USU +7.5% (light volume following 22%+ move higher yesterday), ALU +5.4% (related to ERIC earnings), PBR +4% (extending yesterday afternoon's move higher), PRAN +2.8% (provides update on its clinical development program for Alzheimer's disease; confirmed the top line finding that there is a very promising trend towards the preservation of brain volume (as measured by MRI) in PBT2 treated patients compared to placebo patients), RFMD +2.6% (following SWKS results), NOK +2.6% (related to ERIC earnings), AZN +1.3% (may be attributed to SHPG/ABBV deal announced), SWC +1.2% (reported production of palladium and platinum from the Company's Montana mine operations totaled 126,400 ounces in Q2 compared with total mine production of 131,500 in the same period of 2013), TOT +1.1% (recent strength in oil), ABG +1% (increased total share repurchase authorization to $100 mln), AMZN +0.6% (introduces Kindle Unlimited which offers unlimited reading and listening on any device for $9.99 a month), SYY +0.5% (settled with the State of California all claims related to its past use of drop sites in the state for $19.4 mln), AAPL +0.5% (iPhone 6 to start mass production this month, according to reports), .

Analyst comments: BX +2.4% (target raised to $41 at RBC Capital Mkts), AMH +1.1% (upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James), KONA +0.9% (initiated with a Outperform at Wedbush), ANDE +0.7% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at BB&T Capital Mkts
)