- Hexagon (HXG TH) +7.5%
- Cadence to Buy Hexagon’s Design Business for $3.2 Billion (1)
- Sartorius (SRT3 TH) +2.2%
- Sartorius Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 230 euros
- STMicro (SGM TH) +1.9%
- ASML (ASME TH) +1.6%
- ASM Intl (AVS TH) +1.6%
- Adyen (1N8 TH) +1.6%
- Ageas (FO4N TH) +1.1%
- HSBC (HBC1 TH) +1.1%
- E.On (EOAN TH) -0.4%
- E.On Sells Czech Unit Gas Distribution to GasNet; No Terms
- Adidas (ADS TH) -0.9%
- Watch European Sportswear Companies as Lululemon Slashes Outlook
- Puma (PUM TH) -1.3%
- Watch European Sportswear Companies as Lululemon Slashes Outlook
- Orsted (D2G TH) -4.3%
- *ORSTED SEES FY EBITDA EX-ITEMS DKK24B TO DKK27B, EST. DKK26.07B
DAX:
- Sartorius (SRT3 TH) +2.2%
- E.On (EOAN TH) -0.4%
- E.On Sells Czech Unit Gas Distribution to GasNet; No Terms
- Adidas (ADS TH) -0.4%
- Watch European Sportswear Companies as Lululemon Slashes Outlook
MDAX:
- Evotec (EVT TH) +1.2%
- Puma (PUM TH) -1.3%
- Watch European Sportswear Companies as Lululemon Slashes Outlook
SDAX:
- Grenke (GLJ TH) +4%
- PVA TePla (TPE TH) -0.3%
After Hours Summary: AVGO +4.2%, GWRE +13.8%, IOT +10.2%, DOCU +7.1% higher on earnings; LULU -15.2% sharply lower on earnings; MIR +7.1% on news it will join S&P SmallCap 600
After Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: BRZE +14.6%, GWRE +13.8%, IOT +10.2%, TTAN +8.9% (also partnership with Roto-Rooter), ZUMZ +8.4%, BBCP +7.2%, DOCU +7.1%, AVGO +4.2%, PATH +3.8%, SWBI +2.9%, CPRT +1.2%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: MIR +7.1% (to join S&P SmallCap 600), BILL +7% (Starboard takes sizeable position; activist campaign could follow, according to Reuters), CLPT +3.5% (FDA clearance for Nuero Laser Therapy System), TRTX +0.8% (authorizes new $25 mln share repurchase program), MARA +0.7% (August Bitcoin production), MAX +0.7% (repurchases 3.23 mln shares in private transaction), AMRX +0.5% (FDA approves Risperidone ER Injectable Suspension), DOV +0.4% (launches PEARLO Compact System), COHR +0.4% (announces debut of its EDGE FL30 fiber laser), CIFR +0.4% (August Bitcoin production and operations update), CDNS +0.4% (to acquire the D&E business of Hexagon AB for €2.7 bln), HHH +0.4% (reports $1.2 bln in sales at launch of newest luxury residential towers), COST +0.3% (August same store comps), LGIH +0.2% (reports August home sales)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: LFVN -15.5%, LULU -15.2%, CURV -13.8%, NX -12.3%, PHR -10.5% (also to acquire AccessOne), AGX -7.4%, AMBQ -6.9%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: API -1.2% (expanded support for OpenAI's Realtime API), OBIO -1.1% (presents AVIM Therapy clinical data), CRNC -1% (files patent infringement lawsuit against Apple), AIR -0.9% (awarded new contract by Defense Logistics Agency), SG -0.5% (CFO retires, names new CFO), GCL -0.3% (stock offering by selling shareholders), CBOE -0.1% (August trading volume)
Giorgio Armani Dies in Milan
The designer has died aged 91.
MILAN – Giorgio Armani, one of the most influential and globally known Italian fashion figures of the late 20th century and a pioneer of the celebrity-fashion juggernaut, has died in Milan. He was born in Piacenza on July 11, 1934.
“In this company, we have always felt like part of a family,” his employees and his family stated on Thursday. “Today, with deep emotion, we feel the void left by the one who founded and nurtured this family with vision, passion, and dedication. But it is precisely in his spirit that we, the employees and the family members who have always worked alongside Mr. Armani, commit to protecting what he built and to carrying his company forward in his memory, with respect, responsibility, and love.”
The funeral chamber will be set up from Saturday to Sunday and will be open from 9 a.m. to 6 p.m., in Milan, at Via Bergognone 59, inside the Armani/Teatro. In accordance with Mr. Armani’s explicit wishes, the funeral will be held privately.
The designer, who held the role of chairman, chief executive officer and creative designer, was gearing up to mark his namesake company’s 50th anniversary with a fashion show and party later this month.
On June 20, ahead of his menswear Giorgio Armani and Emporio Armani spring 2026 shows, the company issued a brief statement announcing that the designer was not going to take his final bow at either event and that he was “currently recovering at home” without providing additional details, except that in his place, Leo Dell’Orco, head of menswear design, would take the final bow at the shows.
Armani, whose languid tailoring was viewed as revolutionary in the ’70s and ’80s, also built one of the most admired privately held business empires in the industry – one of the few remaining – spanning everything from T-shirts to evening gowns, candles to hotels and residences, perfumes to skin care — a behemoth group that closed 2023 with net revenues of 2.44 billion euros. At the end of 2023, net cash and financial investments amounted to a whopping 1.03 billion euros.
While staying true to his own vision and strategy throughout his life, he also took bold decisions to ensure the long-term success of his company. After building a diversified portfolio of brands, in 2017 the designer unveiled a new brand strategy for the Milan-based group, revealing his decision to cease the Armani Collezioni and Armani Jeans brands and use only the Giorgio Armani, Emporio Armani and A|X Armani Exchange monikers, effective with the spring 2018 season, adapting to the increasingly changing and competitive market. He launched his couture line, Armani Privé, in 2005, generally shown in Paris.
The year 2016 marked the first time the designer — who turned 90 on July 11, 2024 — revealed details about the future of his company, confirming he had established the long-rumored Giorgio Armani Foundation which, while aiming to fund social projects, also ensured that his $3 billion fashion group will live on.
“I decided to create the Giorgio Armani Foundation in order to implement projects of public and social interest,” said Armani at the time. “The foundation will also safeguard the governance assets of the Armani Group and ensure that these assets are kept stable over time, in respect of and consistent with some principles that are particularly important to me and that have always inspired my activities as a designer and an entrepreneur.
“These founding principles are based upon: autonomy and independence, an ethical approach to management with integrity and honesty, attention to innovation and excellence, an absolute priority to the continuous development of the Armani brand sustained by appropriate investments, prudent and balanced financial management, limited recourse to debt and a careful approach to acquisitions,” he added.
While vocal over the years about his aversion to sell, take on a business partner or publicly list the company, rumors about Armani contemplating forming a foundation emerged in 2012. The foundation reflected a key priority for Armani — independence, which he sought to maintain over the years, especially since the year 2000 when rumors about a possible sale to LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton or then-Gucci Group and L’Oreal swirled around the fashion house.
Since he burst onto the scene in 1975, Armani singlemindedly and sure-handedly championed a modern wardrobe based on an unstuffy and uncontrived aesthetic that earned him a wide and loyal customer base, from the corporate world through to Hollywood A-listers and artists including Sophia Loren, Robert De Niro, Cate Blanchett, Tom Cruise, Glenn Close, George Clooney, Tina Turner and Jodie Foster, to name a few.
Even though he had started his brand years before, Armani really rocketed to international fame in 1980 by dressing Richard Gere for the title role in “American Gigolo” and he went on to become one of the first go-to designers for stars attending the Oscars.
The energetic and overachieving designer, and hands-on manager of his company, built his name into one with a value that ranks among Coca-Cola and Microsoft in Interbrand’s annual listings. “Only I know what I want and my message has to be consistent from beginning to end,” he told WWD in 2005.
Yet Armani spurned the overtures of deep-pocketed investors that clamored for his company during the luxury sector’s acquisition spree in the late ’90s. He preferred to be his own boss and learned to be a shrewd businessman, especially after the 1985 death of his companion and business partner Sergio Galeotti.
“It came as a surprise to me that Giorgio was such a strong businessman in addition to being a talented designer,” said Nino Cerruti, in a 2005 interview celebrating Armani’s 30th anniversary.
Forever clad in jeans and a fitted blue T-shirt to show off his taut, gym-toned physique, Armani worked for Cerruti in the early stages of his career, researching fabrics and trends and designing ties and shirts. Once he set out on his own, Armani expanded his company with the tenacity and meticulousness that characterized his career from day one.
Giorgio Armani Parfums and Cosmetics, under license to L’Oréal, ranks as one of the biggest designer beauty franchises in the world. The French beauty giant since 1988 has developed Armani’s fragrances, skin care and makeup in close collaboration with the Italian designer and in March 2018, it and the designer agreed to renew their beauty license until 2050.
Meticulous, frugal and involved in all aspects of the business, Armani put his stamp of approval on everything from skirt lengths and the flowers strewn around at gala dinners to the colors of the curtains in the offices. Whenever he made an appearance on a photo set or at an event, you could hear his nervous staff murmuring “Sta arrivando,” referring to Armani’s imminent arrival. And the air instantly filled with tension.
A workaholic, Armani would occasionally indulge in la dolce vita: sailing on his Maìn yacht, entertaining at his holiday home on the Mediterranean island of Pantelleria, dining with family at Nobu inside his Milan Via Manzoni Emporio Armani megastore, or spending a quiet night at home watching one of his favorite films, such as Alfred Hitchcock’s “Notorious.” He launched his home and interior design line Casa in 2000, and counted beautiful houses in Antigua; St. Moritz; Tuscany’s beach resort Forte dei Marmi, St. Tropez and Broni, near his hometown of Piacenza.
He always worked tirelessly and passionately—admitting in his later years that he had sacrificed his own personal life for the company—and was only once forced to publicly explain he was recovering from an illness. This was in 2009, when he said he had suffered a case of hepatitis.
Just as his fellow fashion greats Yves Saint Laurent, Valentino, Cristobal Balenciaga, Coco Chanel and Christian Dior, Armani struck a new fashion chord when he launched his signature label. In fact, “the Maestro,” as he was often called, paved the way for Italian ready-to-wear and the Made in Italy brands when he showed his first menswear collection in 1974. His womenswear collection, introduced in 1975, quickly became known for easy shapes and masculine cuts with feminine qualities. Since uptight styles and ornate detailing weren’t up his alley, Armani pursued a less-is-more template of deconstructed suits, fashioned in fluid fabrics such as viscose and wool crepes.
While he sometimes dared shots of strong color like orange and fuchsia, the word “greige” was devised to describe his color palette of muted shades of grays, taupes and beiges. His fashions came at a time when women were climbing the rungs of the corporate ladder and needed to dress accordingly. But instead of overwrought banker’s pinstripes, Armani did it his way, delivering formality in a softer and more feminine manner. He said he wanted women “to wear jackets like men without losing anything of their feminine allure.”
In more recent years, fleeting trends and other fashion antics sometimes sidetracked Armani, especially on the runway, where aviator hats or tricky pants — from bloomers to loose, low-crotch styles — won him barbs from critics. When he tried to blaze new trails, the designer felt haunted by the damned-if-you-don’t, damned-if-you-do syndrome. Once, in the early ’90s, he showed pouf silhouettes that raised eyebrows. “I loved them, but people said, ‘Well, it’s pretty, but it’s not Armani,’” he said at the time. “It’s difficult to convince these people that, even if it’s not Armani, it must be done.”
But when Armani had something to say, he didn’t hold back. Self-assured and temperamental, he never refrained from slamming his colleagues, who in his eyes generated more dash than cash. He often took the gloves off with the press, developing a love-hate relationship. On the one hand, he used the media to broadcast his new projects or vent his frustrations with the industry and designers that he accused of turning fashion into a circus. On the other, he criticized the press for dedicating too many pages to unwearable designs.
“There was always that desire to shock by showing a bare behind — a cheap trick that will only make people speak badly about fashion. I’m sure it will make a lot of magazine covers, but where is the fashion in it?” he once asked. Yet, while Armani took pride in making clothes that sold and left nudity and vulgarity to others, he was nevertheless one of the most recognizable faces in the industry. “I’m only just now getting used to being called king, but if someone wants to call me an emperor, that’s fine by me,” he joked in 2004. In general, he thoroughly enjoyed the attention when he mingled with his customers and fans, to the point that, when he opened the Armani Privé lounge in Milan, he was known to swing by for drinks and chat up patrons.
Armani’s mother Maria played a great role in his life and influenced his sense of fashion to the point that his two yachts bore her nicknames, Mariu and Main. She died in 2001. “She was never a particularly gushy or emotional person; she was quite reserved. She just said, ‘Bello’ when she saw the first collections,” Armani said of his mother. His father, papà Ugo, a shipping manager who worked hard to support his family, died in the early ’60s.
In 1950, Armani moved to Milan, a place he remembers thinking of as a big, scary city, to study medicine, but he threw in the towel after two years to become an assistant buyer for La Rinascente, Milan’s top department store, where he started creating eye-catching store windows. His first hands-on fashion design experience came between 1964 and 1970, when he landed a job at Hitman, Nino Cerruti’s men’s clothing line. In 1972, Armani and Galeotti opened a studio on Corso Venezia. To furnish the two modest rooms, they used the money they made by selling a car.
After designing his first collection in 1974, Armani and Galeotti founded Giorgio Armani S.p.A in 1975, forging a formidable team and creating their own label of men and women’s ready-to-wear.
While Armani suffered emotionally from Galeotti’s premature death, his business acumen and focus hardly faltered as the company gained momentum in the ’80s thanks in large part to the lucrative licenses he signed with the now-defunct storied Italian manufacturer Gruppo Finanziario Tessile (GFT).
This new undertaking, which soon evolved into an inspirational new business paradigm for other firms, launched Armani Le Collezioni and Emporio Armani. Armani was also among the first to understand the importance of licensing details in such key categories as his booming beauty and fragrance division, and forged a formidable partnership with L’Oréal.
He unveiled his first Giorgio Armani women’s fragrance in 1982 and today boasts a dizzying 40-plus scents between men and women for the various lines. He also has a bestselling color cosmetics and skin care line. “I’m very involved in every activity of my business, including the fragrance and cosmetics projects. I love the challenge of creating [something] new. It is never that easy, but always rewarding in the end,” was Armani’s mantra when creating a new product.
That creed also applied to his agreement with Emaar Properties to develop luxurious Armani Hotels and Resorts around the globe, a venture formed in 2005. The first opened in 2010, occupying eight floors of the world’s tallest building, the Burj Khalifa in Dubai. The sumptuous 160-room hotel boasts eight restaurants, a spa and three retail outlets.
In 2011, an Armani Hotel opened in Milan, leaving a further, permanent mark on the city that houses his headquarters. “I like the idea of being remembered not only for my clothes, and I like to bring an element of luxury that adds prestige to the city,” said the designer upon the opening. “I love the Milanese and their sincere and direct approach. We hired 200 employees to work at the hotel. This is what I would like to happen going forward, for young people to find a job.”
The Milan hotel is opposite the city’s prestigious Via Montenapoleone shopping street, and near the La Scala Theater and is located in the 1937 building that also houses Armani’s Via Manzoni flagship. The latest Armani hotel being built is in Diriyah, a 300-year-old site located a 15-minute drive from Riyadh, in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
In 1996, the designer raised a big Emporio Armani sign over a hangar at Linate– a genius stroke of branding in the pre-social media age with hundreds of millions of passenger eyeballs locking on it — and still doing so — as they taxi into, and out of, Linate. In September 2018, Armani decided to hold his coed Emporio show in that hanger, ending it with a performance by Robbie Williams for a crowd that numbered 2,300, including members of the public who won tickets to the event.
In 2006, Armani launched his One Night Only extravaganza, often showing his couture Privé collections and traveling through London in 2006; Tokyo in 2007; Beijing in 2012; Rome and New York in 2013; Paris in 2014; Dubai in 2021 and in Venice in 2023.
In October last year, the designer flew to New York to celebrate the opening of his company’s new building on Madison Avenue, entirely redesigned to include residential units, an Armani/Ristorante and the new Giorgio Armani and Armani/Casa boutiques. Coinciding with the unveiling, Armani decided to parade his namesake brand’s spring 2025 collection in New York and not in Milan.
In 2015, marking his company’s 40th anniversary, he unveiled his Armani Silos exhibition space—walking tirelessly up and down the four levels of the 48,600-square-foot building, in a restored granary of the Nestlé company and constructed in 1950. Armani, whose Tadao Ando-designed Theater stands on the opposite side of the street, conceived and oversaw the renovation project himself. The building is modeled after a basilica layout, an open space four floors high with two levels of naves overlooking it on either side. The ceilings are painted black in contrast to the gray cement floors. In addition to his own designs, Silos presented over the years exhibitions of photos by the likes of Larry Fink and Sarah Moon. He also launched the Filmaking Workshop at Silos, offered free of charge, which will allow participants to produce a short film, partnering with the likes of Luca Guadagnino.
Armani’s achievements earned him a string of high-profile awards that started with the Neiman Marcus Fashion Award in 1979 and included two of Italy’s highest honors — the Commendatore dell’Ordine al Merito della Repubblica and Grand’Ufficiale dell’Ordine al Merito della Repubblica. Others on the long list include the CFDA’s Best International Designer and Lifetime Achievement Award for menswear and for art and fashion, while, in 2006, he was awarded an honorary degree from London’s Central Saint Martin’s College and one in industrial design from the Politecnico of Milan. In 2008, French President Nicholas Sarkozy gave Armani the Legion d’Honneur. In 2019, WWD bestowed him the John B. Fairchild Honor award, named after WWD’s legendary publisher who was a longtime and ardent supporter of Armani – even wearing his clothes for years.
Armani also served as Goodwill Ambassador for the United Nations High Commission for Refugees and in 2003, he was honored on the Rodeo Drive Walk of Style.
In 2014, Armani’s nephew Andrea Camerana, a counselor and former licensing director at his uncle’s fashion house, left his operations role, but remained on the board. Camerana is the son of the designer’s sister Rosanna, who also works in the company. He was often mentioned as a possible successor to Armani as chairman of the group. Roberta Armani, who is the daughter of the designer’s late brother, Sergio, is actively involved in the company, in charge of the group’s relations with high-profile celebrities and often acting as Armani’s deputy on social occasions around the world as the face of the company. Her sister Silvana is part of the design team.
Ex-wife of Russian tycoon Vladimir Potanin wins right to bring divorce case to London
Legal experts say ruling will help secure the city’s reputation as world’s ‘divorce capital’
The ex-wife of Russian oligarch Vladimir Potanin has won an appeal to bring a multibillion-pound divorce case in England, helping cement London’s reputation as the “divorce capital of the world”.
The Court of Appeal ruled on Thursday that Natalia Potanina can proceed with her claim, which could become one of the biggest settlement cases recorded in the country.
Divorce lawyers said the long-running Potanin case could have significant implications for “divorce tourism”, in which spouses turn to the English courts to obtain more favourable payouts than they could elsewhere.
London has earned a reputation for attracting high-value divorce claims from foreign parties because of the perceived generosity of England’s courts in awarding large settlements to financially weaker former partners.
Peter Burgess, partner at Burgess Mee, said the ruling “further cements London’s position as the divorce capital of the world” and for wealthy individuals “who have been badly served abroad, this judgment will be very welcome”.
Potanin, who is among Russia’s wealthiest oligarchs, was sanctioned by the UK government over his connections with the Kremlin after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
He married Potanina in Russia in 1983, but the couple divorced in 2014. The courts in Russia awarded her approximately $40mn but she subsequently brought a claim for financial relief in England, arguing she was entitled to a far larger share of her ex-husband’s fortune.
She has contended that she is entitled to an award of about $6bn, when including wealth tied up in trusts and companies in which her ex-husband is a beneficial owner.
Potanina filed her divorce claim in England seven years ago but the complex case has dragged out. The High Court blocked her claim in 2019 on the basis that the couple had little connection with the UK.
Mr Justice Jonathan Cohen said at the time that if it proceeded, there would in effect be “no limit to divorce tourism”.
But the Court of Appeal on Thursday ruled that this judgment was wrong and Potanina had “solid” grounds for bringing a claim in London.
The panel of three judges said Potanina, although a Russian national, had a “real and meaningful connection” to England, having obtained a UK investor visa and purchased a property in London in 2014.
She had “very largely severed her ties with Russia”, the court said.
Lord Justice Stephen Cobb, Lord Justice Andrew Moylan and Lady Justice Sarah Falk said Potanina was “well placed” to present a strong case that “the outcome of the Russian matrimonial proceedings had been unjust to her”.
The judges said Potanina could make a persuasive case that “having regard to the lavish lifestyle which she had enjoyed while married, her reasonable needs would not be met by the Russian award”.
Hayley Trim, a partner at Irwin Mitchell and a specialist in divorce law, said it was a “landmark decision” that “reinforces the role of the English courts in international divorce proceedings”.
However, Sarah Jane Lenihan, a partner at Dawson Cornwell, said: “The wife may understandably have felt dissatisfied with the Russian settlement, but that alone should not make England the forum of choice.
“Our family courts are already stretched to capacity. However sympathetic one may be to her position, we cannot become the family court of the world.”
Burgess said the case “may still have some way to go as it remains open to Mr Potanin to seek a further appeal to the Supreme Court”.
Goldman to buy $1bn stake in T Rowe Price
Tie-up marks push to pitch private investments to everyday investors
Goldman Sachs has agreed to invest as much as $1bn in US asset manager T Rowe Price as part of a tie-up in which the two businesses will pitch private investments to retail and wealth clients.
Goldman said on Thursday it would buy T Rowe Price shares on the open market and expected to own up to 3.5 per cent of the investment group, making it one of the Baltimore-based company’s largest shareholders.
The investment is the latest tie-up between traditional investment managers such as T Rowe Price and giants in private market investing, amid an all-out push by the industry to begin offering stakes in leveraged buyout funds and private credit vehicles to everyday investors.
Goldman and T Rowe Price plan to offer target date funds — where portfolios are adjusted over time based on a retiree’s age and expected retirement date — and model portfolios to investment advisers, mixing both publicly traded and privately held assets.
The partnership arrives as each of the major US asset managers attempts to stake out their own strategy in private equity and credit, as well as real estate and infrastructure investing.
Vanguard has formed a strategic alliance with Wellington Management and Blackstone, while Capital Group has teamed up with buyout pioneer KKR. BlackRock has forged ahead into private markets with an acquisition spree of its own, buying investment groups Global Infrastructure Partners and HPS Investment Partners.
T Rowe Price has struggled over the past five years as the investing public has shifted to low-cost exchange traded funds and passively managed bond funds over actively managed funds. That has resulted in a wave of redemption requests from clients, sending its stock down more than 20 per cent over the period before accounting for dividends.
Chief executive Rob Sharps said the deal with Goldman would build “on our broad capabilities across public and private markets to offer clients the ability to unlock the potential of private capital”.
For Goldman, the deal offers a road map for its asset management arm to tap the millions of retail investors — and 401k retirement plan participants — who may soon have access to the world of private markets.
The US investment bank has long offered private investment funds — including its flagship private credit franchise — to large endowments, pensions and sovereign wealth funds. But as those institutional investors have slowed their pace of deployment, the industry has looked to retail investors and wealthy individuals to power its future growth.
US President Donald Trump last month signed an executive order that sought to pave the way for the inclusion of private equity and credit in 401k plans, following a heavy lobbying push.
“With Goldman Sachs’ decades of leadership innovating across public and private markets, and T Rowe Price’s expertise in active investing, clients can invest confidently in the new opportunities for retirement savings and wealth creation,” said Goldman chief executive David Solomon.
T Rowe Price shares rose 8 per cent in pre-market trading to $114.07. Goldman shares were unchanged.
A new Russia-China gas pact could reshape global energy markets
Gazprom’s planned Siberian pipeline to Beijing is a geopolitical pivot with global repercussions
Russia and China have just reshaped the global gas game without signing a single supply contract. The proposed Power of Siberia 2 (PoS2) pipeline would deliver up to 50 BCM of gas per year from the Russian Arctic to northern China via Mongolia. The deal marks a geopolitical pivot and the signal it sends — to Washington and LNG markets — is already echoing far beyond the negotiating table.
Vladimir Putin seems to have weighed Donald Trump’s rumoured offer in Alaska — sanctions relief, recognition of Crimea, a frozen front line — and chosen long-term strategic alignment with China over tactical gains from the west. China, in turn, abandoned its studied ambiguity. By signing PoS2, it has signalled its readiness to escalate confrontation with the US amid a deepening trade war.
Since it invaded Ukraine, Russia has courted China as a major gas customer. Beijing responded with caution, maintaining commodity purchases but freezing direct investment and joint projects from 2022 onwards. That has now changed.
The PoS2 deal could reshape demand forecasts, investment decisions and contract strategies across global gas markets. Expectations of growing Chinese demand underpin today’s LNG investment cycle. A pivot to piped Russian gas — even a gradual and conditional one — undermines assumptions of tight markets in the 2030s. The message to LNG exporters — especially those in the US who see China as a growth market in the 2030s — is clear: China will need less gas, and on better terms.
The Russian-Chinese memorandum formalises intent but defers substance. The real negotiation over the gas supply agreement will rest on four key parameters: price, take-or-pay obligations, financing and timing. On all four, Beijing holds the stronger hand. On price, China is unlikely to accept anything close to European or market-based Asian benchmarks. Instead, it will push for a price somewhere between Russian domestic rates and the oil-linked formula used in Power of Siberia 1, already the lowest-priced pipeline gas in China’s portfolio. That would secure a cheap long-term supply for China and offer minimal margins for Gazprom. It also provides China with bargaining power while reinforcing its industrial and energy security.
Long-term gas contracts typically require buyers to pay for a minimum volume whether or not they take delivery. Looser terms would give Beijing maximum flexibility and growing influence over global spot prices and contract design. Combined with the expansion of Chinese trading houses and demand-side flexibility, this positions China as a swing player in the global gas market — capable of shaping prices, arbitrage flows and investment cycles.
Russian pipelines have typically been funded solely by Gazprom. But the $14bn PoS2 could change that. Gazprom’s CEO Alexei Miller recently referred to “discussing financing mechanisms”. China’s provision of loans or capital could alter the project’s economics, easing Gazprom’s financial strain and making the pipeline more viable. It would also mark a turning point in bilateral economic ties. Since 2022, Chinese companies have largely withheld investment in Russia’s energy sector. A Chinese financial stake in PoS2 would reopen that door.
China’s leverage is most visible with regard to the project’s timing. The supply agreement can be delayed indefinitely; PoS2 gives China the right — but not the obligation — to draw on discounted Russian gas in the future. Russia, by contrast, has already made its alignment public, with no guarantee of commercial returns. This asymmetry reflects the broader power dynamics. Russia seeks to project resilience and re-anchor its gas exports eastward. For China, the pipeline is a hedge, an option to be exercised at its convenience.
The strategic implications extend well beyond China and Russia. For the US and the LNG industry, the impact will be immediate. Even though PoS2 gas will not flow until the 2030s, it is already altering expectations. Buyers, project developers, and banks are all watching closely; if China relies more on Russian pipeline gas in the next decade, that reshapes LNG portfolio math today. A shift towards Russia — with flexible volumes and lower prices — could derail some projects before they reach final investment decisions.
A prolonged LNG oversupply could depress prices into the next decade and delay new capacity. Meanwhile, China’s new role as a swing player gives it unprecedented market influence and signals a new phase in the China-Russia-US energy triangle.