BN 09/29 13:21 *WAERTSILAE CEO: INVESTOR AB'S STAKE INCREASE `QUALITY STAMP'
BN 09/29 13:21 *WAERTSILAE CEO SEES MARKETS `CHALLENGING' FOR SEVERAL YEARS
BN 09/29 13:21 *WAERTSILAE HAS FINANCIAL MUSCLE FOR ACQUISITIONS, CEO SAYS
2014-09-29 13:22:06.486 GMT
--BRIAN LYSAGHT
-0- Sep/29/2014 13:22 GMT
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: RCON +7.2%, LAS +2.3%, KOOL +1.7%, CALM +1.2%, ADP +0.7%
M&A news: AMBI +87.8% (Daiichi Sankyo (DSNKY) to acquire Ambit Biosciences for $15 per share in cash through a tender offer), DWA +26.4% (Softbank (SFTBY) is in discussions to purchase DWA, according to reports, Variety discusses comments from sources that chances of Softbank (SFTBY) acquiring DWA are slim), ATHL +24.6% (Encana (ECA) to acquire all of the issued and outstanding shares of common stock of Athlon by means of an all-cash tender offer for $58.50 per share), TIBX +21% (to be acquired by Vista Equity Partners for $24.00 per share in cash), AMAG +15.4% (to acquire Lumara Health for $600 mln in cash and $75 mln in stock and additional contingent consideration of up to $350 mln)
Other news: EXEL +18.6% (announces positive results from Phase 3 pivotal trial of Cobimetinib in combination with Vemurafenib in patients with BRAF V600 Mutation-positive advanced melanoma), ALIM +16.6% (provides details on FDA approval Of ILUVIEN as the first long-term treatment for diabetic macular edema), ECYT +10.2% (Phase 2b TARGET trial results show improved survival in Adenocarcinoma non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with Endocyte's Vintafolide), PSDV +9.8% (reports approval of ILUVIEN for diabetic macular edema; triggers $25 mln milestone payment from Alimera Sciences (ALIM)), CYTR +7.9% (receives multiple FDA Orphan Drug designations for Aldoxorubicin for the treatment of Glioblastoma), PE +5.6% (still checking), ACST +4.1% (reports successful CaPre Phase II TRIFECTA results proving statistically significant improvements in triglycerides & non-HDL-C), ARIA +4% (announces updated clinical results for AP26113, study results show sustained anti-tumor activity), SGEN +3.9% (Seattle Genetics and Takeda (TKPYY) announce positive data from Phase 3 AETHERA clinical trial of ADCETRIS), KMDA +3.3% (announces second extension of Strategic Agreement with Baxter (BAX)), ISR +3.1% (still checking), DATE +3% (declared a special one-time cash dividend of $0.4467 per ordinary share, or $0.67 per American Depositary Share), WEX +1.4% (positive commentary on Friday's Mad Money)
Analyst comments: HIMX +2.2% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Craig Hallum), SAH +1.4% (upgraded to Overweight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley), BIDU +0.7% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS)
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: ELGX -2%, FGP -1.4%
Select EU financial related names showing weakness: HSBC -2.1%, NBG -2%, BCS -1.5%, LYG -1.4%, ING -1.3%, DB -1.1%
Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: VALE -3.6%, CLF -2.4%, X -2.1%, RIO -1.8%, BHP -1.5%
Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: PBR -3.9%, CEO -2.2%, TOT -1%, BP -0.5%.
Other news: NXTD -8.3% (reports Wocket is in production), JNS -1.7% (slight pull back following Friday's 40%+ move higher), OLBK -1.6% (announces plans for branch consolidation), BBRY -1.3% (still checking), TSLA -1.3% (WSJ discusses that many in China are still skeptical regarding TSLA China stations), AAPL -1.2% (several stories out over weekend, may be attributed to news that AAPL may be accused of illegal Irish tax deals)
Analyst comments: EMKR -3.2% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham), AVY -1.2% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan), DE -0.5% (target lowered to $95 from $98 at Credit Suisse), DRC -0.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim)
Buy/TP:€25.80/CP:€21.87
Spanish retail sales fell 0.4% nominal/rose 0.4% constant rices in August, seasonal and calendar adjusted, INE data show. This compares with -1.0%/-0.5% respectively in July (YTD average +0.2%/+0.2% vs. July's +0.2%/+0.1%). Excluding service stations, sales fell 0.8% nominal/0.3% constant (vs. July's -0.8%/-0.5%). Within this, food sales fell 0.6% nominal and grew 1% constant (-0.9% and +1% July) taking food YTD growth to 0.2% and 0.4%, vs. 0.3% and 0.3% in July.
Non-food sales were flat nominal/+0.7% constant (down 0.9%/ 0.5% July). Apparel outperformed at +1.8% nominal/+1.9% constant (July +0.3%/+0.5%). In contrast, Home decreased 0.6% current/0.1% constant (July -0.4%/+0.2%), while "Other" (including expenses such as utility bills) fell 0.8% nominal (-0.1% constant). By distribution class, large chain store sales increased 0.4% nominal/0.9% actual, suggesting a reversal of the previous two months' underperformance (July -2.1%/-1.6%), perhaps thanks to the end of more intense promotional activity at the smaller chain stores and independents over the summer sales period (rebajas).
In terms of the read-across to Inditex, ITX's current trading update (1 Aug to 12 Sept), at its 1H14 results on 17 Sept, showed constant currency sales up 10% (SANe 3.5% LfL vs 4.5% 1H14). We note this period extends beyond the INE data, which is, therefore, somewhat backward looking. That said, incorporated within the +10% CC growth, we estimate that the 1H14 Spain strength (6% LfL) continued, albeit at a slightly more moderate pace given the tougher comp. More broadly, at group level we expect a stronger-than-average August and a slightly weaker-than-average first two weeks of September, as has been the case in many apparel markets, given the warm weather. We note that Inditex's comps ease significantly in the second half of 3Q.
Although there is nothing particularly new to take from this INE update, the continued momentum in Spanish retail sales is encouraging and contributes to our constructive view on ITX (Buy TP EUR25.80/share).