>>> After Hours Summary: NSPR +28.2%, HLX +0.7%, XOOM -14.0%, E

After Hours Summary: NSPR +28.2%, HLX +0.7%, XOOM -14.0%, EBF -1.4% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: NSPR
+28.2%, HLX +0.7%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: NERV +75.5% (reported positive data showing an analog of Minerva's MIN-301 compound improves symptoms of Parkinson's Disease in primates), OPTT +9.2% (announced its Board of Directors has appointed George H. Kirby as President, CEO, and Director effective January 20, 2015), SLXP +1.7% (Carolyn Logan to retire as Chief Executive Officer), ISIS +0.8% (announced appointment of Sarah Boyce as Chief Business Officer)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: XOOM -14.0%, EBF -1.4%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: XOOM -14.0% (co disclosed it has been the victim of criminal fraud and expects to record a one-time charge of $30.8 mln in Q4; CFO Matt Hibbard has resigned; co also provided upside Q4 rev guidance), MSTX -8.5% (provided update on EPIC study enrollment and 2015 milestones: EPIC study more than one-third complete), CYBX -8.3% (announced the receipt of a decision from the Departmental Appeals Board of the Department of Health and Human Services; coverage for the treatment-resistant depression indication found to be not reasonable and necessary), CERS -7.9% (announced proposed public offering of common stock), FPRX -7.5% (announced $75 mln proposed public offering of common stock)

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Portfolio Ticker Matches:  WRAPX



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>>> Tundra Oil & Gas interested in seeking out more acquisitions

--> Small but very symptomatic of what's happening in the sector...

Tundra Oil & Gas interested in seeking out more acquisitions

Tundra Oil & Gas, a Winnipeg, Manitoba-based entiy wholly owned by private family company James Richardson & Sons, is interested in pursuing more acquisitions, according to a report on The Globe and Mail's website on 5 January.

Tundra CEO Ken Neufeld said in the report that the company wants to seek out further deals after it last month announced a transaction to acquire 550 wells in Manitoba from Houston, Texas-based EOG Resources.

He explained in the report, moreover, that there could "be a buying opportunity" as businesses face "financial difficultiy" due to "sustained low oil" prices.

The Globe and Mail

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: China, Hong Kong, Japan services PMI improve; Australia trade in deficit for 8th month


***Economic Data***
- (HK) HONG KONG DEC HSBC PMI: 50.3 V 48.8 PRIOR (first expansion in 5 months)
- (CN) CHINA DEC HSBC SERVICES PMI: 53.4 V 53.0 PRIOR; 3-month high
- (JP) JAPAN DEC MARKIT SERVICES PMI: 51.7 V 50.6 PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN DEC MONETARY BASE Y/Y: 38.2% V 36.7% PRIOR; End of period: ¥275.9T v ¥262.7T prior
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV TRADE BALANCE (A$): -925M V -1.60BE; 8TH STRAIGHT DEFICIT
- (PH) PHILIPPINES DEC CPI M/M: -0.2% V -0.1%E; Y/Y: 2.7% V 2.8%E; CORE CPI Y/Y: 2.3% V 2.5%E
- (TW) TAIWAN DEC CPI Y/Y: 0.6% V 0.7%E; WPI Y/Y: -4.2% V -4.0%E

***Index Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -2.4%, S&P/ASX -1.9%, Kospi -1.6%, Shanghai Composite -1.0%, Hang Seng -1.4%, Mar S&P500 flat at 2,015

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Feb gold +0.1% at $1,205, Feb crude oil +0.5% at $50.28/brl, Mar Copper +0.3% at $2.78/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings rise 1.8 tonnes to 710.8 tonnes; First rise since Dec 21st
- SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings fall to 10,245 tonnes from 10,250 tonnes priors (lowest since Aug 19th)
- JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥2.19T in 0.3% (0.5% prior) 10-yr notes; Avg Yield: 0.295% v 0.473% prior; bid-to-cover: 3.42x v 3.01x prior
- (KR) South Korea sells 30-yr bond at avg yield of 2.89%
- (CN) PBoC won't conduct open market operations (OMO) in today's session (11th consecutive halt)
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1256 v 6.1248 prior setting (weakest setting since Dec 7th)

***Market Focal Points/Key Themes/FX***
- Plunge in crude oil prices, uncertainty over the spillover of potential Greek exit, and outright profit-taking from year-end rally are widely cited for investor sentiment turning sour over the past week, as US stocks fell for the 4th straight day. Negativity has spread to the far east with all regional indices in the red, led by an over 2% slump in Tokyo where stocks are weighed down by firmer Yen. USD/JPY fell another 50pips below ¥119.10 at the lows, even though EUR/USD is up 20pips above 1.1950 and AUD/USD is up 70pips at 0.8150.

- Strength in the Aussie dollar was spurred by a narrower than expected Australia trade deficit, even though imports topped export for the 8th straight month. Trade data components saw Imports and Exports up 1% - shipments to China rose 1.5% and exports of iron ore spiked some 25% above A$6.2B. Australia weekly consumer sentiment from ANZ also rose slightly, though ANZ economists said confidence is unlikely to rise without a stabilisation in the unemployment rate.

- In spite the broad-based equity selloff, there was some silver lining in the form of improving PMI figures. Hong Kong PMI returned to expansion for the first time in 5 months, as "private sector new orders returning to growth after seven consecutive months." China services PMI hit a 3-month high, with composite marking 8th month of expansion, as HSBC economist cited employment index improving modestly. Lastly, Japan services PMI of 51.7 was up from 50.6, and Markit economists also noted some employment growth despite subdued demand conditions.

***Equities***
US markets:
- AOL: Verizon said to be interested in its programmatic ad technology; Seeking potential acquisition or jv - financial press; +11.9% afterhours
- XOOM: Determined had been victim of a criminal fraud, sees charge of $30.8M; Raises Q4 Rev $43.1-43.6M v $41.7Me (prior guided $41-43M); -12.4% afterhours

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer Discretionary: China Southern Airline 600029.CN +1.4%, Air China 601111.CN +2.9%, China Eastern Airline 600115.CN +1.1% (WTI Crude lower); McDonald's Japan 2702.JP -1.4% (a piece of vinyl found in a chicken nugget)
- Financials: Sunac China 1918.HK -0.1%, Greentown China 3900.HK -4.4% (Sunac accuses Greentown not telling the truth on jv deal); China Vanke -5.0% (despite strong Dec sales result); Shanghai Pudong Development Bank 600000.CN -0.1% (prelim FY14 results)
- Energy: Sundance Energy SEA.AU -6.4%, Drillsearch Energy DLS.AU -7.7%, Beach Energy BPT.AU -5.9% (WTI Crude moves lower)

(BN) Ferrari Spinoff Sets Up Fiat Chrysler for Another Deal: Real M&A



Ferrari Spinoff Sets Up Fiat Chrysler for Another Deal: Real M&A
2015-01-06 00:00:01.3 GMT


(For a Real M&A column news alert: SALT REALMNA <GO>.)

By Tommaso Ebhardt
(Bloomberg) -- Sergio Marchionne, the architect of the auto
industry’s biggest deal in more than a decade, may not be
finished yet.
Even as he completed the merger of Fiat SpA and its U.S.
Chrysler unit last year to create Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV,
Marchionne said the industry is still fragmented and ripe for
further consolidation. His planned spinoff of Ferrari this year
puts the $14 billion automaker into position for another
combination that could form a group to vie with No. 1 Toyota
Motor Corp. or help address shortcomings in Asia.
Manufacturers are under pressure to join forces amid
slowing growth and rising costs to develop cleaner cars and add
automated driving functions and smartphone-like technology. By
lowering debt with the cash raised from cutting loose Ferrari,
Fiat Chrysler becomes a more attractive partner. The spinoff
also gives Marchionne more leeway to set up a transaction by
ensuring the Agnelli family, Fiat Chrysler’s biggest
shareholder, retains control over supercar-maker Ferrari.
While the Agnellis want to keep Ferrari, they would
probably be “open to strategic combinations that will reduce,
or eliminate, their stake” in Fiat Chrysler, said Max
Warburton, an analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.

Suitable Partners

Volkswagen AG, Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co. all
fit criteria that Marchionne outlined last year for a suitable
partner, while Mazda Motor Corp. and Suzuki Motor Corp. could be
viable Asian merger candidates, analysts and investors said.
“There’s room for megadeals in the car industry in the
medium term as carmakers will be forced to share development
costs,” said Stefano Aversa, managing director of strategy
consultancy AlixPartners. “No carmaker can sustain the
investment needed alone, not even the biggest ones.”
By announcing the Ferrari spinoff just days after
completing the Fiat-Chrysler merger in October, Marchionne, a
self-proclaimed corporate “fixer,” signaled he may be open to
another deal down the road. With the 62-year-old chief executive
officer planning to stay at the helm to complete a strategic
plan that runs to 2018, he’s still got time to consider a
transaction.
“I’ve always had the view that this industry over the
middle to long term needs to look at other consolidation
opportunities,” Marchionne said in November after speaking at
an event at Fiat’s test track in Balocco, Italy, where the CEO
is known to take his own Ferraris on high-speed jaunts.
“Eventually it must happen.”
The spinoff of Ferrari is part of Fiat Chrysler’s efforts
to raise about $5 billion to cut debt. The company also issued
shares and convertible bonds last month.

Agnelli Stake

The Agnellis invested $886 million in Fiat Chrysler’s
convertible bond offering to maintain their stake and have no
plans to sell. Still, the family would consider a dilution to
facilitate the creation of a bigger group, John Elkann, chairman
of the automaker and descendant of Fiat founder Giovanni
Agnelli, said in a Sept. 30 interview with Marchionne in Balocco
outside of Turin.
A representative for Exor, the Agnelli family’s holding
company, yesterday said there was no change in its position. A
representative for London-based Fiat also declined to comment
further.

Ford Affinities

Marchionne and Elkann said in the Sept. 30 interview that
Fiat Chrysler is now strong enough on its own and didn’t need
another deal. Still, they outlined an ideal partner for the
company. That would be an automaker that’s global and not too
exposed to the European market, while being culturally
compatible with the Italian-American company. That could put
Ford at the top of the wish list.
“Ford has been the North Star for Fiat ever since Fiat’s
founder Giovanni Agnelli visited Detroit in the 1910s,” said
Giuseppe Berta, a professor at Bocconi University and the former
head of Fiat’s archives. “There are distinct affinities between
Fiat and Ford.”
Susan Krusel, a spokeswoman for Dearborn, Michigan-based
Ford, said the $57 billion automaker has “no plan or interest”
other than focusing on its current business plans. Ford isn’t
interested in owning Fiat Chrysler, said a person familiar with
the company’s thinking.

Volkswagen Fit

Other analysts see Volkswagen, with its European roots and
large operations in China, as an easier fit. Even if there has
been public sparring between Marchionne and VW Chairman
Ferdinand Piech, the $99 billion German automaker’s portfolio
ranging from mass-market Skoda compacts to upscale Audi sedans
and Porsche sports cars serves as a model for Fiat Chrysler’s
multibrand strategy. With VW struggling to gain market share in
the U.S., the Chrysler, Dodge and Jeep nameplates could be
appealing, and Piech has long expressed interest in Alfa Romeo.
“VW would be the most likely hypothesis, given VW is
relatively underexposed in North America,” said George
Galliers, an analyst with Evercore ISI in London. “I don’t see
either Ford or GM as buyers.”
In July, Fiat was linked in media reports to mergers or
deals with Volkswagen and France’s PSA Peugeot Citroen. The
Italian carmaker denied at the time that any discussions were
going on. A representative for Wolfsburg, Germany-based
Volkswagen said yesterday that takeovers aren’t on its agenda as
the automaker focuses on improving efficiency internally,
reiterating a company statement from July.
While Fiat Chrysler has emerged as the world’s seventh-
largest automaker after the merger, its appeal to competitors
may be limited. The company lacks sizable operations in growth
markets such as China and India, with its main strength in the
mature and competitive U.S. and European markets.
“Fiat Chrysler is neither attractive nor rich enough to
attract anyone better than a desperate castoff,” said Erik
Gordon, a business professor at the University of Michigan.
“The next conquest won’t be so easy.”

Big Ambitions

Still, Marchionne, who has long professed that only a
handful of big carmakers will survive long term, is pushing for
expansion. He’s set the goal of boosting Fiat Chrysler’s
deliveries by 60 percent to 7 million cars by 2018. The plan is
underpinned by 48 billion euros ($57 billion) of investment to
add more Jeep, Alfa Romeo and Maserati models that could be sold
worldwide. Making progress on that effort would strengthen his
hand in any negotiations.
Fiat Chrysler yesterday said U.S. vehicle sales climbed 20
percent in December, the 57th consecutive month of rising sales
with Marchionne at the helm.
Marchionne, who studied philosophy before getting into
business, has a tendency to think big and set ambitious targets.
Aiming low would be “to establish mediocrity as a
benchmark of the house,” he said in the September interview.
“If you dream of peanuts, you get monkeys.”

For Related News and Information:
Marchionne Rebuilds Fiat-Chrysler at 200 MPH
Fiat Chrysler Spins Off Ferrari in Cash Grab as Debt Surges
Ferrari Spinoff’s Real Winners Are Agnelli Industry Clan
Bloomberg Intelligence, automakers: BI AUTMG <GO>
Top transportation stories: TRNT <GO>
Real M&A columns: NI REALMNA <GO>
Top deal news: DTOP <GO>

--With assistance from Dan Liefgreen in Milan, Craig Trudell in
Tokyo and Keith Naughton in Detroit.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Tommaso Ebhardt in Milan at +39-02-8064-4231 or
tebhardt@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Chris Reiter at +49-30-70010-6226 or
creiter2@bloomberg.net;
Beth Williams at +1-212-617-2307 or
bewilliams@bloomberg.net
Beth Williams

FT : Merkel visit to lay out extent of help on EU

Merkel visit to lay out extent of help on EU

MESEBERG, GERMANY - APRIL 12: British Prime Minister David Cameron speaks with German Chancellor Angela Merkel during a stroll in the garden following his arrival at the Meseberg government guest house on April 12, 2013 in Meseberg, Germany. Cameron and Merkel are meeting for two days in Meseberg to discuss the current European financial crisis and other matters. (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images)©Getty
Angela Merkel will holds talks with David Cameron in Downing Street on Wednesday on a UK visit that is expected to set out her limits for helping the prime minister renegotiate Britain’s relationship with Europe.
The German chancellor wants to keep Britain in the EU but she has made it clear that she will not support any initiative by Mr Cameron that would unpick existing treaties or challenge the principle of free movement.

Although Ms Merkel’s visit is primarily focused on her chairmanship of the G7 this year — with talks expected on Ukraine and the world economy — she knows the media will want her to set out her ground rules for a UK renegotiation.
Berlin wishes to avoid raising British expectations about what Germany can do to help keep the UK inside the EU in the face of rising euroscepticism in Britain and the prospect of a membership referendum.
The German government said that “bilateral, European and international issues” would be discussed with Mr Cameron. Asked on Monday about the trip’s purpose, Steffen Seibert, Ms Merkel’s spokesman, added little beyond saying that talks on EU issues were “possible”.
Ms Merkel is expected to explain how Germany has tried to allay growing public concern about immigration by curbing access to the country’s welfare state — measures permissible under EU law.
She has warned against opening the “Pandora’s Box” of wholesale treaty renegotiation — with the subsequent need for referendums in a number of member states.
While Ms Merkel has a good personal relationship with Mr Cameron, it has been strained in recent months, with the chancellor reportedly fearing the prime minister was leading Britain “to the point of no return” in Europe.
Their relations were also tested last summer when Ms Merkel ultimately backed Jean-Claude Juncker as the new European Commission president, after privately telling Mr Cameron she would try to block his appointment.
But Mr Cameron attempted to improve relations with Berlin last November in a speech on European reform and immigration that heeded Ms Merkel’s warnings that she would not back quotas or caps on EU migration.
Ms Merkel wants to stay out of the British general election campaign and may be relieved that Ed Miliband, Labour leader, did not seek a meeting.
Berlin kept the visit quiet until last Friday and it is thought that Mr Miliband’s office was unaware of it.
Both Berlin and Mr Miliband’s office say that it would have been unusual to schedule such a meeting on a short G7-related bilateral visit, although Mr Cameron will be relieved that Ms Merkel is not affording the Labour leader any time.
During her visit, Mr Cameron and Ms Merkel will go together to the British museum to see an exhibition on German history, a project driven by the museum’s director Neil MacGregor.
“Germany: Memories of a Nation” has attracted much attention in Germany and includes a Gutenberg Bible, Iron Cross and the inscription from the gates of the Buchenwald concentration camp.
Mr MacGregor, a German speaker, is seen in Berlin as a natural candidate to run the Humboldt-Forum, a new museum and arts complex at the Berlin City Palace, although he is also sought after by museums in Paris and the US.

FT : Merkel faces growing dilemma over Greece

Merkel faces growing dilemma over Greece

German chancellor Angela Merkel asaid organisers of anti-Islamisation protests were 'often full of prejudice, and even hate'
Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative coalition partner on Monday warned the German government against meddling in the Greek elections, as debate intensified in Berlin about how to respond to the prospect of a new populist government in Athens.
Horst Seehofer, head of the Bavaria-based CSU, said on Monday that while it was right to attach conditions to aid for crisis-hit Greece “we should not behave as a schoolmaster in the Greek election campaign”.

Mr Seehofer’s intervention highlights the dilemma facing Ms Merkel as Greeks prepare to go to the polls this month in an election that could bring to power the hard-left Syriza party. Syriza is seeking a relaxation of austerity and a lightening of Greece’s debt load that would put the country at odds with its international creditors.
The chancellor wants Greece to remain in the eurozone, but does not want to grant debt relief or other concessions sought by Greeks for fear of burdening German taxpayers with the costs.
Der Spiegel magazine this weekend sparked a renewed debate in Germany with a report that the government was no longer committed to keeping Greece in the eurozone at any cost. According to the report, Berlin now calculated that the eurozone’s progress since the last crisis in 2012 in creating new bailout funds and crisis-prevention tools would allow Germany and its partners to abandon Greece, if a new government in Athens made unacceptable demands.
Steffen Seibert, Ms Merkel’s spokesman, on Monday became the latest government official to insist that there had been “no change” in German policy.
Strengthening the eurozone — with all its members, including Greece — remained government policy, he said. In an apparent acknowledgment of the concerns raised by Mr Seehofer, he added that eurozone policies were “not a bilateral matter for Germany and Greece to decide but an issue at the EU level”.
Earlier, Sigmar Gabriel, the deputy chancellor, became the most senior minister to speak on the issue saying in a newspaper interview: “The aim of the whole government, the EU and the government in Athens itself is to keep Greece in the eurozone . . . There were and are no contrary plans.”
Such declarations have not stopped other political leaders from warning Greece against leaving the euro or presenting its creditors with demands for a big debt cut.
Detlef Seif, parliamentary deputy spokesman on EU policy for Ms Merkel’s CDU-CSU bloc, told the FT: “The agreements [between Greece and its creditors] must be kept. European nations have helped Greece on the condition that they will get their money back.”
Michael Fuchs, the CDU’s parliamentary deputy leader, argued that the threat of a Greek exit no longer held the same danger for the rest of the eurozone because of the strengthening of the bloc’s financial institutions in recent years.
“I assume that what Greece had three or four years ago — namely the potential to blackmail us — is no longer present,” he told Bavarian radio.
Summing up the debate, Tagespiegel, the centre-left Berlin newspaper, said: “The spectre of a Grexit has, since the announcement of the [Greek] election, retreated. Or at least it has lost its horror. The government no longer denies that it can live with a Grexit scenario.”
German public opinion has been sharply critical of Greece throughout the crisis, one factor that has limited Ms Merkel’s room for manoeuvre in terms of easing conditions attached to the bailout or otherwise granting Athens relief.
Bild, the country’s largest selling tabloid, which often sets the tone of the popular debate, took a scolding tone on Monday as it compared Greece to a wayward footballer.
“What happens to a footballer who breaks the rules and does a crude foul?” it asked. “He leaves the pitch. He is sent off as a punishment. No question.
“What happens with a country that does not keep the rules or implements agreements only reluctantly? It receives broad support and billions of aid — as we have seen so far in the case of Greece.”
Should Syriza win and revoke Greece’s EU agreements, the German government will show Athens “the red card” and “hustle” it out of the euro, Bildt said.
One sign of support for Greece came from the opposition Green party. It called for solidarity with Athens and condemned talk of a possible Grexit. “I think this is an irresponsible discussion,” Simone Peter, the party chair, told German television. “We have here a mutually-supportive group. We must work on stabilising it.”.

>>> Gagfah/Deutsche Annington see BKartA Phase I running to late

Gagfah/Deutsche Annington see BKartA Phase I running to late January

Deutsche Annington’s [ETR:ANN] takeover bid for Gagfah SA [FRA:GFJ] is expected to see the Bundeskartellamt (BKartA) Phase I merger review run into late January, according to two sources close to the situation.

The deal had been notified to BKartA, the German competition watchdog, on 1 December. The original Phase I deadline ran for one month to 2 January (to bypass the 1 January holiday), a BKartA spokesperson told this news service. But BKartA had asked in December for more information on the deal, the first source said.

Given this request and the potential for delays over the festive season, the parties and BKartA decided it was not in their collective interest to “run against a formal deadline that would require [BKartA] to enter into Phase II,” the first source added.

The BKartA spokesperson declined to comment on the Gagfah/Deutsche Annington case. It is possible for the regulator to cancel an initial notification and start a new case in order to give time to investigate the transaction without triggering a Phase II investigation, he added.

This scenario is the track the case has taken and explains why the offer document published on 18 December only references a planned filing with BKartA on 2 January 2015, despite the deal having been initially notified on 1 December 2014, the first source said. The additional information the regulator had requested was filed on 2 January, both sources said. This would bring the official deadline to 2 February, as the BKartA standard Phase I lasts a month.

Tomorrow (Tuesday) BKartA will file its “merger list” update on the cases it is reviewing at approximately 10:00 CET (09:00 GMT), the spokesperson added. This will flag the status of the Gagfah filing, he said.

BKartA had asked for more detail on the companies’ housing portfolios in smaller cities, including Dresden and Kiel, as well as further information on their presence in the North Rhine-Westphalia region, the first source said.

In Dresden, Gagfah has 36,900 rental units and Annington 900 units, according to a Deutsche Annington investor presentation, compared with the city’s population of around 531,000. Gagfah has around 15% of the rental market in Dresden, a person familiar with the situation said. A 40% combined market share generally raises eyebrows in merger review.

Gagfah has 15,100 rental units in Berlin versus Annington’s 15,700 units. The capital had some 2m households in 2013, according to the Federal Statistics Office. In North Rhine-Westphalia, Annington has 95,000 units to Gagfah’s 16,000, totalling 111,000 units in a region with a population of 17.57m.

Both sources said they were confident the deal would be approved in Phase I, though perhaps not before the offer period closes on 21 January. Two local independent lawyers told this news service last month that they expected the deal to secure Phase I clearance.

Deutsche Annington and Gagfah declined to comment.

>>> US Close Dow -1,86% S&P -1,82% Nasdaq -1,57% Russell-1,44%

Closing Market Summary: Greece-Related Fears Rattle Global Markets

The stock market began the first full week of 2015 on a cautious note. The S&P 500 lost 1.8% while the Russell 2000 (-1.3%) outperformed.

Stocks began sliding at the sound of the opening bell amid weakness in Europe that was brought on by renewed fears of a potential Greek exit from the eurozone. With the January 25 Greek snap elections fast approaching, voices out of Germany have tried to calm investors, but those calls have fallen on deaf ears so far. Over the weekend, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that a Greek exit from the eurozone would be manageable, but the comments did not stop the euro from falling below the 1.1900 level against the dollar immediately after the foreign exchange market opened on Sunday evening. The single currency was able to rebound into the 1.1940 area by Monday afternoon, but markets across Europe ended the day broadly lower.

Interestingly, the dollar rallied against the euro, but surrendered almost 100 pips to the yen (119.60), suggesting a sense of caution was present among foreign exchange traders. Treasuries also benefitted from safe-haven demand that sent the benchmark 10-yr yield lower by seven basis points to 2.04%.

As for stocks, there is no denying that today's selling produced notable losses for many influential sectors, but it is worth pointing out that the retreat unfolded over the course of the session and did not have a panicky feel of investors running for the exits. That being said, the return of global macroeconomic concerns was enough for participants to reduce their risk exposure, leaving the S&P 500 up 2.4% from its mid-December low.

All ten sectors finished in the red with energy (-4.0%) spending the entire session at the bottom of the leaderboard. The growth-sensitive group endured aggressive selling in crude oil that caused the commodity to dip below the $50.00/bbl level for the first time since April 2009. The energy component settled lower by 5.3% at $50.03/bbl and continued inching down in electronic trade.

Broadly speaking, the continued crash in oil prices has not been viewed as a positive due to the magnitude of the move. Instead, the market's consciousness is allowing for the possibility that there could be some latent financial, or economic, risk in the plummeting price of oil and the commensurate slippage in copper prices, which have fallen roughly 53% and 16%, respectively, from their highs last summer.

Like energy, four other cyclical sectors ended the day behind the broader market while technology (-1.8%) settled in-line with the S&P 500. Even transport stocks that would be expected to rally on cheaper oil struggled to keep pace. The Dow Jones Transportation Average lost 2.7% to narrow its gain from the December low to 1.3%.

Elsewhere, the four countercyclical sectors finished ahead of the broader market, but they could not stay out of the red. The health care sector (-0.6%) did make an intraday appearance in positive territory, but could not build on that short-lived gain. Gilead Sciences (GILD 96.78, +1.88) spiked 2.0% after an intraday report revealed that CVS Health (CVS 94.16, -0.94) will give preferred status to a pair of Gilead's drugs. Shares of GILD contributed to the outperformance of the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 305.85, -0.49), which shed 0.2%.

Among other movers of note, Morgan Stanley (MS 37.49, -1.22) fell 3.2% after announcing that one of its employees has been terminated after stealing partial account information of about 10 percent of clients of the Wealth Management department. The broader financial sector lost 2.1%.

Today's slide caused participants to increase their hedges, evidenced by a 13.0% spike in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX 20.10, +2.24).

Participation was just ahead of average as 823 million shares changed hands at the NYSE floor.

Tomorrow, Factory Orders for November (consensus -0.4%) and the ISM Services Index for December (consensus 58.5) will both be released at 10:00 ET.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -1.8% YTD 
  • Nasdaq Composite -1.8% YTD 
  • S&P 500 -1.9% YTD 
  • Russell 2000 -1.9% YTD

The Économist : Where Islamic State gets its money

IT WILL not be easy to defeat the brutal jihadists of Islamic State (IS), as the American-led coalition against the group aims to do. IS is one of the best-financed terrorist organisations in the world, except for state-backed ones. There is no credible estimate of the secretive group’s net worth, but in October 2014 an American official described it as amassing wealth at “a pretty massive clip”. It pays fighters around $400 a month, which is more than Syrian rebel groups or the Iraqi government offer. It appears to have no trouble purchasing weaponry, either on the black market or from corrupt officials or militias. And it runs services (even if not always successfully) across the areas it controls, paying schoolteachers and providing for the poor and widowed. So where does it get all its cash from?
Without this wealth, IS, the latest evolution of al-Qaeda in Iraq, could not have expanded so rapidly. It only announced itself in its current form in March 2013 when it expanded into Syria from Iraq (subsequently parting ways with al-Qaeda). It has since has fought to take over swathes of land in the two countries. By June 2013 it had taken control of Raqqa, a city in Syria, and in June 2014 it took over Mosul, Iraq’s second city. By then in control of an area that is home to 6m-8m people, it declared a caliphate at the end of that month. Fighters have flocked to join the group. By September 2014 it was estimated to have 30,000 men (and some women, in a female police force), including 15,000 foreign fighters.

Unlike other terrorist groups, including al-Qaeda in Iraq, IS largely funds itself rather than relying on rich supporters (despite various versions of a conspiracy theory in the region that America, Iran or Israel bankrolls the group). Although IS receives donations, especially from Gulf-based financiers, they are a relatively insignificant contributor to its coffers. Instead the bulk of its money comes from oil revenues from fields under its control in western Iraq and eastern Syria. American officials estimated that it was making $2m a day from oil before air strikes started (locals reckon it was more) but in December an official said the strikes, some of which have been against oil facilities in Syria, meant the group's oil revenues had “significantly” dropped. Controlling so much land also helps IS make money from extortion and taxing people in the areas it controls. Like other jihadist groups, it has learned that kidnapping can be profitable. IS earned at least $20m last year from ransoms paid for hostages, including several French and Spanish journalists.
The group cannot be defeated without cutting off its funds. That is why the coalition says it aims to attack the sources of its revenue as well as stopping the group from advancing militarily. America and its allies have carried out air strikes on IS-controlled oil refineries in Syria. America and Britain, which have a strict policy against paying ransoms for hostages, are pressuring European countries to stop paying up (something they deny doing). Several countries have applied sanctions against IS leaders as well as those known to raise funds for the group. But officials are keen to emphasise it will be a long fight. For now, IS still seems to be able to pay for everything it needs.