(tagesschau.de) Schulz clearly before Merkel

Schulz clearly before Merkel 


The nomination of Martin Schulz as candidate for chancellor brought the SPD peaks in ARD Germany trend . If the chancellor were elected directly, he would easily pass Merkel. Moreover, the confidence of the Germans in the USA is at a low point.
By Ellen Ehni, WDR
If the Germans could choose the Chancellor directly, then Martin Schulz would have a clear head for the SPD: 50 per cent would choose him, nine points more compared to Wednesday a week, shortly after Schulz was nominated Was. 34 percent would elect Angela Merkel, seven points less than a week ago. This has dimap a poll by Infratest for ARD Germany trend on behalf of tagesthemen result.
For comparison: In autumn 2012, after the nomination of Peer Steinbrück to the chancellor candidate of the SPD, there was no comparable "euphoria effect". In October 2012, 49 per cent of respondents said they would opt for Angela Merkel. 38 percent would have given the challenger Steinbrück their voice if they could have chosen the Chancellor directly.
50 percent want an SPD-led government
The fact that the SPD has now nominated its chancellor candidate strengthens the desire for a change in federal policy among the people: 50 per cent of the interviewees want the next federal government to be led by the SPD. 39 per cent believe that the next federal government is to be managed by the Union.
A desire for a change came shortly after the nomination of Steinbrück, but this was not quite as strong: In October 2012, 46 per cent for a SPD-led federal government, 42 for an unions-led federal government.
How lasting the Schulz euphoria will be depends on how the SPD will position itself in the election campaign. 68 per cent of the party voters say that the party's solution proposals are the most important for their decision. Only 17 per cent find the person most likely to be the top candidate; Twelve per cent decide because of their long-term commitment to the party. Please note that until the next Bundestag election, there are seven months left.
Ex-Foreign Minister Steinmeier most popular politician
On the list of the popular politicians is the former Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier: 79 per cent of the respondents are satisfied with their work (1 point compared to the previous month). He is succeeded by Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble with 62 percent approval (-1). Martin Schulz achieved 55 percent approval (-2). With him, Chancellor Angela Merkel - she loses a point and also comes to 55 percent approval. With the work of Interior Minister Thomas de Maizière, 50 percent are satisfied or very satisfied (-7). Cem Özdemir, the party chairman of the Greens, reached 49 per cent of the vote (+1). The new Foreign Minister and former Minister of Economy Sigmar Gabriel reached 42 percent approval (-1). The Bavarian Prime Minister and CSU chairman Horst Seehofer loses eleven points and comes to 34 percent approval.
Sunday question: Nomination of Schulz strengthens SPD
Also on the Sunday question the nomination of Martin Schulz noticeable: If Sunday would be Bundestag, the union would come to 34 percent, three points less than in January. The SPD can improve by eight points and comes to 28 percent - this is the best value measured so far for the SPD in Germany during this legislature. The left and the Greens lose a point and land both at eight per cent. The FDP improves by one point and comes to six percent. The alternative for Germany lost three points and landed at twelve percent.
In the question of which government coalition the citizens desire, the Grand Coalition finds the greatest agreement: 43 per cent believe the continuation of the CDU / CSU and SPD alliance is good or very good for Germany. This is, however, five points less compared to November 2016. A government of the Union and Greens is preferred by 36 per cent of respondents (+/- 0). A coalition of the SPD, the Greens and the Left would find 33 per cent of the interviewees good or very good for Germany (+/- 0), an alliance of SPD, Greens and FDP 31 per cent (no comparative value in November 2016). The fact that the government, the Greens and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) set the government up 28% were good or very good (-4).
Nine out of ten Germans worried about democracy in Turkey
89 per cent of Germans are very concerned about democracy in Turkey. 83 percent consider that the federal government should be more resolutely opposed to the Turkish government (-5 points compared to August 2016). 76 per cent say that they find it good that Merkel signals with their visit talks about Turkey. 50 per cent are of the opinion that Merkel should do everything to save the refugee agreement with Turkey.
Germany Trend: statements on Turkey and US President Trump
tagesthemen 22:15, 02/02/2017, Ellen Ehni, WDR
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Just four per cent of the interviewees say that they consider Turkey to be a trustworthy partner (-2 compared to November 2016). 93 percent find that Turkey is a partner you can not trust.
Trust in the US falls to the level of Russia
The image of the United States has suffered massively after the change from Barack Obama to Donald Trump: 22 percent of Germans still consider the USA to be a partner for Germany to trust. This is a fall of 37 points compared to the survey just before the election in November 2016 and also the record low in the ARD Germany trend . The US currently enjoys the same low level of confidence in the German population as Russia (21 percent). 70 percent of respondents consider the US to be a partner that can not be trusted.
The first official meetings of Donald Trump as president are meeting the Germans with little approval: only 26 percent of the respondents find it good that Trump is implementing his campaign promises - 69 percent do not like this well. Two-thirds of the citizens (67 per cent) are worried that politics trumps the German economy. 80 per cent believe that the European Union must move closer towards Trump.



Investigation
Population: voter population in Germany over 18 years
Sample: Representative random sample / Dual Frame
(Relation fixed / mobile numbers 70:30)
suspension system: computer assisted telephone interviews (CATI) ***

Sample size: 1006 respondents
questions about their own economic situation: approximately 500 per respondents
survey period: 30th to January 31, 2017
Sunday question: 1506 respondents
the survey period: 30 January to 01 February 2017
fault tolerance: 1.4 * to 3.1 ** percentage points
by Leading Institute: Infratest dimap

* at a price per share of five percent * * at a proportion of 50 percent
*** the results are rounded to whole percentages in order to avoid false expectations on precision. For all representative surveys, fluctuations must be taken into account. In the case of a survey with 1000 respondents, this is about three percentage points for large parties, and about one point for smaller parties. In addition, the rounding error for small parties is considerable. For these reasons, therefore, no party below 3 per cent is indicated in the Sunday question.