(Makor) RARe Trading/Special Situations: Smith & Nephew: do not jump - avoid

RARe© Trading/Spesits: Smith & Nephew (SN/ LN)

Do not Jump. Avoid for now

SN/ LN: GBP 11.80

December 24, 2014

Speculation that a takeover of S&N is imminent is resurfacing again.  S&N had been the recurring target of takeover speculations for months, and as before we will argue against such speculations, or at least against a high premium bid. We have been correct for the time being.  Our argument is centered on value.  S&N is simply too expensive, and any acquisition which would involve a premium would be value destructive.  At the current share price, S&N is about as expensive on a relative basis as Covidien in its deal with Medtronic, although S&N’s growth expectations are significantly higher.  A premium for S&N would mean the acquisition to be even more overvalued.  The market is speculating on a 30% premium which we think is totally unrealistic from a value point of view.

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