(BFW) Lafarge/Holcim Significant Terms Change Unlikely, Jefferies Says


Lafarge/Holcim Significant Terms Change Unlikely, Jefferies Says
2015-03-11 07:40:04.669 GMT


By Cormac Mullen
(Bloomberg) -- Jefferies says doubts Lafarge, Holcim
shareholders will risk losing merger synergies worth ~16%-19%
combined stockmarket value and potentially cause double-digit
percentage stock declines, in note.
* Says terms of a merger normally depend on long term
potential rather than outlook over next few quarters;
Lafarge 2015 guidance doesn’t appear to be a compelling
argument for renegotiation
* Says main argument for renegotiation in its view would be
that oil prices could have moved to structurally lower
level, potentially depressing longer-term profitability of
Lafarge’s business in Middle East, Africa
* Questions confidence in longer term oil price estimates
given recent volatility in short-term estimates
* NOTE: March 9, Lafarge/Holcim to Do What It Takes to
Conclude Deal: Analysts

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To contact the reporter on this story:
Cormac Mullen in Dublin at +353-1-523-9526 or
cmullen9@bloomberg.net
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jludden@bloomberg.net