>>> Valeant Pharma beats by $0.12, reports revs in-line; raises Q4, FY15 cash EP

Valeant Pharma beats by $0.12, reports revs in-line; raises Q4, FY15 cash EPS guidance

Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $2.11 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.12 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $1.99; revenues rose 33.4% year/year to $2.06 bln vs the $2.06 bln consensus.
  • Co guided up on Sept 24.
  • Total same store sales organic growth was 19%, including impact from generics Bausch + Lomb organic growth was 12%, adjusted only for foreign exchange.
Co issues upside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $2.45-2.55, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $2.38 Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Expect double-digit same store organic growth in the fourth quarter
Co issues upside guidance for FY15, raises EPS to $10.00, excluding non-recurring items, from $9.65 vs. $9.58 Capital IQ Consensus; raises 2015 outlook to +10% organic growth.

>>> IBM misses by $0.64, misses on revs -- Co will guide on the

IBM misses by $0.64, misses on revs -- Co will guide on the call

Reports Q3 (Sep) non-GAAP earnings of $3.68 per share, $0.64 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $4.32; revenues rose -4% year/year to $22.4 bln vs the $23.37 bln consensus.
  • The company will provide earnings guidance during today's quarterly earnings conference call, and it is included in the presentation charts.
  • "We are disappointed in our performance. We saw a marked slowdown in September in client buying behavior, and their results also point to the unprecedented pace of change in our industry. While we did not produce the results we expected to achieve, we again performed well in our strategic growth areas -- cloud, data and analytics, security, social and mobile - where we continue to shift our business. We will accelerate this transformation."
    • Revenues from the Software segment were $5.7 billion, down 2% (down 2%, adjusting for currency) compared with the third-quarter of 2013. Software pre-tax income decreased 3% and pre-tax margin decreased to 35.5%.
    • The Americas' third-quarter revenues were $10.1 billion, a decrease of 2% (down 1%, adjusting for currency) from the 2013 period. Revenues from Europe/Middle East/Africa were down 2% to $7.2 billion (down 3%, adjusting for currency). Asia-Pacific revenues decreased 9% (down 8%, adjusting for currency) to $5.0 billion.
    • Revenues from the company's growth markets were down 6% (down 5%, adjusting for currency). Revenues in the BRIC countries — Brazil, Russia, India and China — were down 7% (down 7 percent, adjusting for currency).
  • The co has reached an agreement under which GLOBALFOUNDRIES will acquire IBM's Microelectronics OEM semiconductor business and manufacturing operations. The loss from discontinued operations in the third quarter includes a non-recurring pre-tax charge of $4.7 billion, or $3.3 billion, net of tax.
  • At the end of Sept 2014, IBM had ~$1.4 billion remaining from the current share repurchase authorization. The company expects to request an additional share repurchase authorization at the October 2014 board meeting.

>>> Halliburton beats by $0.09, beats on revs

Halliburton beats by $0.09, beats on revs

Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.19 per share, $0.09 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $1.10; revenues rose 16.4% year/year to $8.7 bln vs the $8.53 bln consensus.
  • Completion and Production (C&P) revenue in the third quarter of 2014 was $5.4 billion, an increase of $478 million, or 10%, from the second quarter of 2014.
    • This increase was primarily driven by higher activity in North America and strong growth across the majority of our product lines in the Europe/Africa/CIS and Latin America regions.

FT : Qatar eyes $15bn Asia spending spree

Qatar’s purchase of a stake in a Hong Kong department store chain is the beginning of a potential $15bn spending spree targeting China, Japan and South Korea, according to people familiar with the Gulf state’s plans.
Qatar Investment Authority, which owns stakes in Harrods, Barclays, Credit Suisse and Canary Wharf Group , on Monday said it would pay $616m for a near-20 per cent stake in Lifestyle International Holdings, owner of Hong Kong’s SOGO department stores.

The investment arm of the Qatari government aims to spend up to $15bn in the medium to long-term to bolster its presence in north Asia, according to people familiar with the matter. Singapore is also a potential target for investment.
QIA made headlines in 2010 with a $2.8bn cornerstone investment in Agricultural Bank of China’s initial public offering, but has since kept a low profile in the region, focusing on opportunities elsewhere.
“QIA’s investment in Lifestyle International Holdings is a continuation of QIA’s investment plan to diversify its global portfolio; this time in Asia,” said the fund, adding that the deal would diversify its retail investments, which include a stake in Tiffany & Co, the luxury jeweller, as well as Harrods, the London department store.
SOGO is a mid- to upmarket retailer and its flagship store is located in the popular Causeway Bay shopping district. The store was recently in the news when the territory’s Occupy Hong Kong protesters set up in front of it, although the outlet remained open.
Lifestyle International, which last year made profits of HK2.7bn ($344m) also operates Jiuguang department stores in mainland China.
Qatar paid HK$14.75 a share for its 19.9 per cent stake in Lifestyle, a slight premium to the stock’s last traded price of HK$14.58. The shares fell 5.6 per cent to HK$13.78 by midday in Hong Kong following the news – a drop that roughly matched wider market weakness since the stock was suspended, pending this announcement, in late September.
The deal gives Qatar a seat on a board alongside two of Hong Kong’s best-connected tycoon families. QIA is buying the shares from the Lau family – Thomas Lau is chief executive – and Chow Tai Fook Enterprises, the private investment vehicle of the Cheng family.
“Lifestyle International were looking for a strategic long-term investor in the business, like Chow Tai Fook have been,” said one banker involved in the deal.
After the deal, the Lau family will hold 37 per cent, down from 47 per cent and the Chengs 16 per cent, down from 26 per cent. Both Henry Cheng, chairman of New World, and Cheng Yu Tung, his father and family patriarch, are board members.
Cheng family companies include Chow Tai Fook, the world’s biggest listed jeweller, and the New World empire spanning property development, retail and hotels.

NY Post : SEC sniffing out pot companies for fraud

A massive marijuana probe is in the works — and this time the smoke is coming from Wall Street.
The Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating fresh allegations that a coterie of financiers has been minting millions as they pump the shares of money-losing pot companies, The Post has learned.
Weed-related firms that face the SEC’s sniff test include GrowLife, a supplier to pot farmers, and DigiPath, a consulting outfit that trains people how to market marijuana, sources said.
Also under scrutiny are Vape Holdings, which makes pot-vaporization gear; and GrowBlox, which peddles climate-controlled light chambers designed to grow green, glistening dope buds fit for medical use, according to a person briefed on the situation.
With 20 states now legalizing some sort of pot-related activity — and US sales poised to quadruple to $10.2 billion by 2018, according to ArcView, a research firm — the SEC is stepping up its oversight of companies operating in the sector.
“The concern is that these people are better at putting out press releases and manipulating stocks than they are at running a real business,” said a person close to the situation.
None of the above mentioned companies has been accused of any wrongdoing. Representatives of the firms didn’t respond to repeated requests for comment.
One of the companies, GrowLife, had trading in its shares halted in April by the SEC, which cited concerns about “potentially manipulative transactions” in its shares.
GrowLife reported a net loss of $52.2 million in the first half of 2014 on sales of $4.6 million.
Penny stocks like GrowLife stay in business despite gallons of red ink because when they need more operating cash, they call upon a small number of lenders to pony up the capital in exchange for bonds convertible into stock.
GrowLife rarely, if ever, pays off the bonds — opting rather to convert them into stock. As of June 30, GrowLife had authorized 3 billion shares of stock and had 830 million shares outstanding.
One investor this year agreed to have a $30,000 loan to GrowLife converted into 4.7 million shares priced at just over a half-cent per share. With GrowLife shares closing Friday at 4 cents, down a penny in the session, that financier’s investment is now worth $188,000.
Among those who have attracted the SEC’s attention is David Weiner, the investor who engineered the reverse mergers that created GrowLife and DigiPath. He has lent the companies millions of dollars in exchange for shares priced at fractions of a penny, according to securities filings.
That’s a potential red flag for regulators, says Randy Katz, a Los Angeles-based securities lawyer at Baker Hostetler who has advised pot companies looking to go public, but who has no knowledge of recent SEC probes.
“The fact I’m going to issue stock at half a cent doesn’t make me a fraudster,” Katz told The Post. “But if I issue a gazillion shares at half a cent, especially in a hot industry, then the odds are pretty good that I’m going to attract scrutiny.”
Weiner, who has not been accused of any securities law violations, did not comment.
Other GrowLife investors who have taken big stakes on the cheap include Fred Knoll, an MIT-educated investor who has joined Weiner on deals in the past, filings show. Knoll didn’t respond to requests for comment.

(BFW) Smith & Nephew M&A Attractive, Stryker Bid Possible: Bernstein


Smith & Nephew M&A Attractive, Stryker Bid Possible: Bernstein
2014-10-20 07:03:07.373 GMT


By Allison Connolly
Oct. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Smith & Nephew worth GBP11.50/shr on
standalone basis, deal worth up to GBP14/shr is possible,
Bernstein (outperform) says in note.
* Says takeover of co. “viable possibility” despite new U.S.
tax inversion rules; est. chance at 35%
* Notes Stryker would see strategic benefit w/ cost synergies,
scale, whether structured as an inversion or not; sees no
readacross from failure of AbbVie/Shire deal
* Says dilutive effects, political risk may outweigh benefits
of inversion


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Andrew Rummer

WSJ : Investors Seek to Buy Adidas’s Reebok Unit

Investors Seek to Buy Adidas’s Reebok Unit
Group From Hong Kong, Abu Dhabi Aim to Break Up 8-Year Marriage

A consortium of investors from Hong Kong and Abu Dhabi is launching a bid to buy Reebok from Adidas AG in a move that, if successful, would unwind an eight-year-old marriage of sneaker makers that has shown disappointing results.

Jynwel Capital, the investment arm of the billionaire Low family of Asia, and funds affiliated with the government of Abu Dhabi planned to send a letter to Adidas directors imminently, offering to buy its Reebok business for about €1.7 billion ($2.2 billion), people close to the matter said. They are expected to argue that Reebok would have a brighter future if it were managed independently, echoing a sentiment that has underpinned a recent wave of corporate breakups.

It isn’t clear how receptive Adidas might be to the bid and there is no assurance it would be successful.

Adidas bought Reebok in 2006 for roughly €3 billion ($3.8 billion) with the intention of creating a footwear and sporting-apparel company that would rival Nike Inc. and have more clout with retailers.

Another aim of the deal was to give Adidas more heft in the U.S., where it trailed Nike. Instead, Nike has gained significant ground against both brands since the deal was struck.

In 2005, the year the deal was announced, Adidas and Reebok ranked second and third in U.S. footwear retail-market share, with 10% and 8% respectively, according to industry researcher SportsOneSource.

Adidas’s share of that market has fallen to 6% this year, while Reebok’s is down to 1.8%. Meanwhile, Nike’s market share, including its proprietary Jordan brand, has climbed to nearly 60% from 35% in 2005.

“There’s always been this complaint around Adidas that it didn’t make products that were appropriate for the U.S. market, and instead tried to impose a world-wide product line on the U.S.,” SportsOneSource analyst Matt Powell said. The U.S. accounts for roughly 40% of the global sneaker market.

Adidas has shrunk Reebok through asset sales and other deals. In 2006, it sold the Greg Norman Collection, a brand of golf apparel. It’s also seeking to sell Rockport, a maker of boat and dress shoes. Adidas also took over Reebok’s sponsorship contract with the National Basketball Association, and Reebok didn’t renew its sponsorship deal with the National Football League.

Recently Adidas has worked to reposition Reebok as a fitness brand, and it has struck partnership deals with CrossFit and others. The Reebok brand is showing signs of a turnaround, Ingbert Faust, an analyst at Equinet Bank in Germany, said in a research note.

Reebok generated €712 million in sales, mostly from sneakers and apparel, in the first half of 2014.

The architect of the bid for Reebok is Jho Low, the 32-year-old chief executive of Jynwel Capital. Mr. Low, the grandson of a mining and liquor entrepreneur, is no stranger to big merger deals.

Jynwel, which invests his family’s roughly $1.75 billion fortune, was among groups that purchased New York’s Park Lane Hotel for $660 million in 2013 and EMI’s music-publishing business for $2.2 billion in 2012. It’s unclear which Abu Dhabi fund would partner with Jynwel should the Reebok bid succeed.

People close to the bidders say the group believes Reebok would benefit from management and ownership that would be better able to focus on reviving the brand’s fortunes in the U.S. outside the glare of public shareholders. The group wants to continue down Reebok’s current strategic path and give the business more financing for marketing and store rollouts, the people said. The investors would seek to keep Reebok’s top executives, who work out of the business’s headquarters in Canton, Mass., the people said.

The bidding consortium first approached Reebok’s management late last year about putting together a joint venture to roll out high-end fitness brands and build dozens of additional stores in the U.S and internationally.

As those discussions progressed, the consortium’s ambitions for the deal grew, the people said. By the summer, the group had decided to make a bid for the entire business.

Adidas, the world’s second-largest sportswear maker after Nike, has struggled this year, which has led some shareholders to push for change at the company.

Adidas in late July cut its profit forecast for this year and next–the second time it has done this in a little over a year. The company blamed declining demand for its golf products in the U.S., currency pressure in Russia and marketing costs for the World Cup, which it sponsored.

Adidas stock is down more than 40% this year, compared with a gain of nearly 11% for Nike. It’s still up more than 60% since the company announced its acquisition of Reebok.

In a bid to revive its shares, Adidas this month announced a stock buyback of up to €1.5 billion ($1.9 billion). On its most recent earnings call in August, Adidas noted that the Reebok brand has notched five consecutive quarters of sales growth. Mark King, the newly appointed Adidas North America president, said in an interview in September that he is working to improve the speed with which the company responds to trends in the sportswear industry.

But some investors say the company isn’t doing enough, and they have called on Adidas to accelerate its turnaround or push out its chief executive, Herbert Hainer, who has been at the helm since 2001. Earlier this year, the company announced it had extended Mr. Hainer’s contract through 2017 as it develops a succession plan.

WSJ China Growth Seen Slowing Sharply Over Decade

China Growth Seen Slowing Sharply Over Decade
Conference Board Report Sees Productivity Plummet, Leaders at a Loss

BEIJING—China’s growth will slow sharply during the coming decade to 3.9% as its productivity nose dives and the country’s leaders fail to push through tough measures to remake the economy, according to a report expected to come out Monday.

Such an outcome could batter an already fragile global recovery. But the report by the business-research group the Conference Board also finds that multinational companies in China would benefit. Lean times would give foreign firms more local talent to choose from. Foreign companies and investors could also expect “more hospitable” treatment from Communist Party and government officials and a wider selection of Chinese firms they could acquire, according to the report, which was shared with The Wall Street Journal.

Foreign companies should realize that China is in “a long, slow fall in economic growth,” the report said. “The competitive game has changed from one of investment-driven expansion to one of fighting for market share.”

Officials representing China’s State Council, or cabinet, referred questions to its National Bureau of Statistics, which didn’t respond. Senior officials of the Communist Party are gathering in Beijing for a major policy meeting that opens Monday and is expected to discuss the slowdown.

The Conference Board forecasts that China’s annual growth will slow to an average of 5.5% between 2015 and 2019, compared with last year’s 7.7%. It will downshift further to an average of 3.9% between 2020 and 2025, according to the report.

China is scheduled to report its third-quarter economic growth on Tuesday.

The outlook for the world’s second-largest economy is one of the most important factors affecting the global economy. For the 30 years through 2011, China grew at an average annual rate of 10.2%, a record unmatched by any major nation since at least World War II.

That growth lifted hundreds of millions of Chinese out of poverty and turned the country into a major market for commodity producers in Asia, Latin America and the Middle East, and consumer and capital-goods makers from the U.S., Europe and Japan.

Since 2012, China’s GDP growth has decelerated. Economists say Chinese leaders will struggle this year to meet their growth target of 7.5%.

The New York-based Conference Board argues that productivity in China is declining, in part because investments in infrastructure and real estate don’t have the payoff they once did. Meanwhile, government and Communist Party officials who don’t give market forces a large-enough role are stifling innovation.

“The state is too present in the market,” said David Hoffman, managing director of the Conference Board’s China center.

The report says that China could ease the slowdown by reducing the role of the state and revamping credit markets so lending is done on the basis of commercial decisions rather than political ones. But the Conference Board is skeptical that China will make fundamental changes soon because they could slow short-term growth and cause political pain.

Nicholas Lardy, a China expert at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said the Conference Board conclusions are too gloomy. “China is far from exhausting productivity gains,” he said. It would get a big lift, for instance, from opening for competition the oil, gas and other sectors dominated now by China’s big state-owned firms, he said.

The International Monetary Fund and World Bank also expect China’s economy to slow over the coming years, but at a more modest clip. The Conference Board forecasts are “eye-popping,” said David Dollar, a China scholar at the Brookings Institution who formerly ran the World Bank’s office in China.

He called the report “a pessimistic take on whether China will aggressively pursue structural reforms.” Given the Conference Board’s main audience—its membership includes 2,500 of the world’s largest companies—the report is likely to spark a debate about the direction of the Chinese economy and the leaders’ commitment to change.

Multinational firms should be able to weather a period of much slower growth better than their Chinese competitors, the Conference Board report said, because foreign firms are used to managing their business during recessions and expansions. Chinese firms have known only heady economic growth, it said.

The slowdown will also create opportunities for foreign firms, as China realizes it needs foreign capital and technology and better access to overseas markets.

Foreign firms will need to be savvy, though, to make sure they don’t enter deals that wind up giving away important intellectual property as they did in the past, the report says.

Chinese leaders say they remain committed to revamping the economy. “Just like an arrow shot, there will be no turning back,” Chinese Premier Li Keqiang told a session of the World Economic Forum in the Chinese city of Tianjin in September.

FT : Ferrovial makes A$1bn takeover bid for Australia’s Transfield

Ferrovial makes A$1bn takeover bid for Australia’s Transfield

Spanish infrastructure group Ferrovial has made a A$1bn (US$877m) takeover bid for Transfield Services, the outsourcing and construction services company that runs Australia’s offshore immigration detention centres.
The offer comes just a week after the Madrid-based group agreed two big airports deals in the UK and Spain, signalling a broader revival in Spain’s corporate sector.

Transfield advised shareholders on Monday to take no action with regard to the A$1.95 per share cash offer from Ferrovial, which it said undervalued the company.
“The board of Transfield Services has considered Ferrovial’s proposal with the company’s advisers and has formed the view that the price of $1.95 per share does not reflect the underlying value of Transfield Services shares,” said Diane Smith-Gander, Transfield Services chairman.
However, Transfield said it would engage in “exploratory discussions” with Ferrovial to see whether the company would put forward a better proposal.
The bid is the latest example of increasing foreign interest in Australia’s fast-growing infrastructure sector, in which earlier this year Spanish group ACS seized control of Leighton Holdings.
Canberra is preparing to privatise up to A$100bn in assets as part of a government push to build tens of billions of dollars in new motorways, rail, airports, schools and hospital projects to boost growth.
The $1.95 per share cash offer, less the value of any dividends or other distributions, represents a 30 per cent premium over Transfield’s closing share price on Friday. The stock surged 26.7 per cent on Monday to close at A$1.90, after rising as high as A$1.97.
Transfield is one of the biggest outsourcing and infrastructure development companies in Australia with operations in Australia, New Zealand and the Americas. Earlier this year it won a A$1.2bn contract to run Australia’s asylum seeker detention facilities on Manus Island, Papua New Guinea, and Nauru.
The company said on Monday that it experienced strong trading in the first quarter to September 30, and would update shareholders on the outlook for the current financial year at its annual meeting on November 5.
Ferrovial is in expansion mode following two recent significant transactions. Last week it teamed up with Macquarie of Australia to take over Glasgow, Aberdeen and Southampton airports in a deal that valued the three facilities at £1.05bn including debt.
The group was also revealed as one of the new core investors in Aena, Spain’s national airports operator. Aena is due to be floated on the stock exchange next month. Ferrovial has committed to buying 6.5 per cent of the privatised group.
The Spanish group already has a presence in Australia. In February it was named the preferred bidder for a motorway contract in New South Wales.
Australian media have reported that the group recently pulled out of a bidding contest for John Holland, a subsidiary of the Australian construction company Leighton Holdings.