>>> Les Echos - alcatel Lucent M. Combes Interview

What are we on the cusp of a major revolution in digital?
Our political leaders have not yet fully aware of the rapid digitalisation of the economy and therefore the importance of digital for economic growth for the sovereignty and security of states. I am also struck by the gap that exists on this point between Europe and the rest of the world. In the United States and China, the government has made every effort to encourage the emergence of industrial technology, telecom operators and powerful giants Net. India in turn has put digital at the center of the project of the new government. If all these countries have this issue at the heart of their public policies, it is without doubt that there is a reason! Europe, by contrast, is completely inaudible on the subject. There is still no digital Europe. And it is no coincidence that the market capitalization of Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon combined exceeds that of all CAC 40 companies ... Among the top ten players of the Net, six are American and none is European.
Why is it so important to invest in new digital networks?
A real "data tsunami" began to wash over the networks. This information circulating and which will not cease to grow in volume are increasingly vital to our economies and our security. Who can still run the risk of a blackout Digital, a giant failure that would make us blind and helpless? In 2020, each consume a terabyte of data per year, or 1,000 times more data than today: communication services, video content, the data exchanged between connected objects ... In addition to everyday objects - lamps or smoke detectors in homes - each will continuously self ten communicating objects. But today's networks were very hierarchically built to carry voice. They have gradually been adapted to transport the data. With the fiber was expanded as the channels. But this is not enough. It is now the same network architecture needs to be reviewed. We'll have to replace them with distributed architectures, much less centralized, for bringing broadband infrastructure closer to end customers. Which implies settle everywhere huge "data centers", with the key to the new security challenges.
What new problems to solve on the security front?
Resilience problems first. It must be all the more able to avoid the failure that the overall economy is going digital, and therefore passes through networks, management of traffic lights in the streets to the sensors in the field of health, for example. But there are still vulnerabilities, as recently shown by the database failures mobile networks, it will in future be decentralized. Arise then cybersecurity issues. We must identify vulnerabilities and watch what equipment should be installed on networks to improve security. The problem is that 50% of the traffic flowing on operator networks is encrypted. It would be illogical to allow the authorities to find out what is going on networks, in an appropriate legal framework, which involves putting in place the tools through which operators can access the information passing through their infrastructures. It is also necessary to have the ability. In the future, there will be no possibility of sovereignty without some control of application and technology layers.
You often say that Europe has to make progress on competition ...
I think we should review thoroughly competition policy at European level and to agree on the definition of relevant market across Europe and even the world. We are the only region in the world to have a completely uncorrelated competition policy of our industrial strategy. It is consumerist and short-termist, and eventually bleed swathes of European industry. And not only in telecoms. And I'm not convinced that in ten or fifteen years that have gone by Europe is so far become more competitive than other regions of the world. We must find the right balance between machine vision and challenges for the consumer. Competition is healthy, but it must be managed.
Is applied in your absurd regulations. Examples?
Take the deletion of "roaming" on a European scale: some argue for Europe to be a single market in which European players offer European services. However, if two players want to merge - there is a hundred operators in Europe - instead of looking at the effects on the European market, we examine the competitive impact of their merger exclusively on the domestic market. Is it really consistent? And assess competition in the digital sector, still does not take into account what happened in the industry for ten or fifteen years, that is to say the emergence of Internet players. We are still in the process of regulating the number portability in some countries. Which is a good thing because it allowed consumers to spend freely from one operator to another. But is that you can switch IoS platform to Android platform? No ... Because once all your content and services on a platform, you no longer have the opportunity to embark on another. A does one adequately considered all these elements to question the way we apply the competition rules?
What to do?
First, remember that competition policy is an industrial strategy service. If you have the lowest prices on the market but do not have the means to invest, you have the greatest difficulty in projecting yourself into the world of tomorrow. Europe must make its businesses more competitive. It should perhaps reconsider the Lisbon Treaty wondering what worked or not and what action should be taken. And go in different countries what works. Then you have to revise the definition of the relevant markets. It has already evolved considerably, with digital, it will completely shatter. Some actors can use their dominant position in a given weaken to come a related activity. I'm not saying it's bad in itself, but would be just as relevant actors have the means to resist ...
How can France take part in this debate?
It may take action in terms of innovation. For example, France's research tax credit: one could Europeanize the device to come and irrigate the whole European industry. I am of course in favor of economic patriotism. This is not a dirty word. I do not see why we scoffed Arnaud Montebourg while all other countries practice one way or another. I am for an ambitious patriotism that enable our industries to develop export, not patriotism that invites withdrawal.
Today, Alcatel-Lucent will remain fragile?
I inherited a company that was in a near-bankruptcy. My initial priority was to restore Alcatel-Lucent, put it back into the game and that's what we did for eighteen months. The Shift transformation plan was implemented to give a future to the group, but above all to build an ambitious industrial project reposition Alcatel-Lucent on future technologies such as IP, cloud, high speed broadband ... It took regain investors want to invest in restoring the company. Alcatel-Lucent also lost the courage to innovate, it took back to the reactor core of our research laboratories, Bell Labs. Replace also honored risk-taking, again emerge startups in the company ... Today, Alcatel-Lucent is back in the race. This is not nothing. But all is not lost. Shift plan is three years and it is only in eighteen months. Already, however, the 2014 results show the extent of transformation.
Do you have the critical mass for the future? We hear regularly speak of a marriage with Nokia ...
There are rumors Nokia for years, I do not comment on rumors. For me, this is not the issue. The subject, it's back to the competitiveness of the group after the Shift plan. In 2014, our revenue was down overall but the technologies of the future, IP, cloud and high-speed broadband access grew annually by 15% per year on average. This means that the reactor core is healthy. After the Shift plan, we have a repositioned business, and the company has regained profitable growth, cash generator.

>>> Les Echos - M. Combes Interview

What are we on the cusp of a major revolution in digital?
Our political leaders have not yet fully aware of the rapid digitalisation of the economy and therefore the importance of digital for economic growth for the sovereignty and security of states. I am also struck by the gap that exists on this point between Europe and the rest of the world. In the United States and China, the government has made every effort to encourage the emergence of industrial technology, telecom operators and powerful giants Net. India in turn has put digital at the center of the project of the new government. If all these countries have this issue at the heart of their public policies, it is without doubt that there is a reason! Europe, by contrast, is completely inaudible on the subject. There is still no digital Europe. And it is no coincidence that the market capitalization of Google, Apple, Facebook and Amazon combined exceeds that of all CAC 40 companies ... Among the top ten players of the Net, six are American and none is European.
Why is it so important to invest in new digital networks?
A real "data tsunami" began to wash over the networks. This information circulating and which will not cease to grow in volume are increasingly vital to our economies and our security. Who can still run the risk of a blackout Digital, a giant failure that would make us blind and helpless? In 2020, each consume a terabyte of data per year, or 1,000 times more data than today: communication services, video content, the data exchanged between connected objects ... In addition to everyday objects - lamps or smoke detectors in homes - each will continuously self ten communicating objects. But today's networks were very hierarchically built to carry voice. They have gradually been adapted to transport the data. With the fiber was expanded as the channels. But this is not enough. It is now the same network architecture needs to be reviewed. We'll have to replace them with distributed architectures, much less centralized, for bringing broadband infrastructure closer to end customers. Which implies settle everywhere huge "data centers", with the key to the new security challenges.
What new problems to solve on the security front?
Resilience problems first. It must be all the more able to avoid the failure that the overall economy is going digital, and therefore passes through networks, management of traffic lights in the streets to the sensors in the field of health, for example. But there are still vulnerabilities, as recently shown by the database failures mobile networks, it will in future be decentralized. Arise then cybersecurity issues. We must identify vulnerabilities and watch what equipment should be installed on networks to improve security. The problem is that 50% of the traffic flowing on operator networks is encrypted. It would be illogical to allow the authorities to find out what is going on networks, in an appropriate legal framework, which involves putting in place the tools through which operators can access the information passing through their infrastructures. It is also necessary to have the ability. In the future, there will be no possibility of sovereignty without some control of application and technology layers.
You often say that Europe has to make progress on competition ...
I think we should review thoroughly competition policy at European level and to agree on the definition of relevant market across Europe and even the world. We are the only region in the world to have a completely uncorrelated competition policy of our industrial strategy. It is consumerist and short-termist, and eventually bleed swathes of European industry. And not only in telecoms. And I'm not convinced that in ten or fifteen years that have gone by Europe is so far become more competitive than other regions of the world. We must find the right balance between machine vision and challenges for the consumer. Competition is healthy, but it must be managed.
Is applied in your absurd regulations. Examples?
Take the deletion of "roaming" on a European scale: some argue for Europe to be a single market in which European players offer European services. However, if two players want to merge - there is a hundred operators in Europe - instead of looking at the effects on the European market, we examine the competitive impact of their merger exclusively on the domestic market. Is it really consistent? And assess competition in the digital sector, still does not take into account what happened in the industry for ten or fifteen years, that is to say the emergence of Internet players. We are still in the process of regulating the number portability in some countries. Which is a good thing because it allowed consumers to spend freely from one operator to another. But is that you can switch IoS platform to Android platform? No ... Because once all your content and services on a platform, you no longer have the opportunity to embark on another. A does one adequately considered all these elements to question the way we apply the competition rules?
What to do?
First, remember that competition policy is an industrial strategy service. If you have the lowest prices on the market but do not have the means to invest, you have the greatest difficulty in projecting yourself into the world of tomorrow. Europe must make its businesses more competitive. It should perhaps reconsider the Lisbon Treaty wondering what worked or not and what action should be taken. And go in different countries what works. Then you have to revise the definition of the relevant markets. It has already evolved considerably, with digital, it will completely shatter. Some actors can use their dominant position in a given weaken to come a related activity. I'm not saying it's bad in itself, but would be just as relevant actors have the means to resist ...
How can France take part in this debate?
It may take action in terms of innovation. For example, France's research tax credit: one could Europeanize the device to come and irrigate the whole European industry. I am of course in favor of economic patriotism. This is not a dirty word. I do not see why we scoffed Arnaud Montebourg while all other countries practice one way or another. I am for an ambitious patriotism that enable our industries to develop export, not patriotism that invites withdrawal.
Today, Alcatel-Lucent will remain fragile?
I inherited a company that was in a near-bankruptcy. My initial priority was to restore Alcatel-Lucent, put it back into the game and that's what we did for eighteen months. The Shift transformation plan was implemented to give a future to the group, but above all to build an ambitious industrial project reposition Alcatel-Lucent on future technologies such as IP, cloud, high speed broadband ... It took regain investors want to invest in restoring the company. Alcatel-Lucent also lost the courage to innovate, it took back to the reactor core of our research laboratories, Bell Labs. Replace also honored risk-taking, again emerge startups in the company ... Today, Alcatel-Lucent is back in the race. This is not nothing. But all is not lost. Shift plan is three years and it is only in eighteen months. Already, however, the 2014 results show the extent of transformation.
Do you have the critical mass for the future? We hear regularly speak of a marriage with Nokia ...
There are rumors Nokia for years, I do not comment on rumors. For me, this is not the issue. The subject, it's back to the competitiveness of the group after the Shift plan. In 2014, our revenue was down overall but the technologies of the future, IP, cloud and high-speed broadband access grew annually by 15% per year on average. This means that the reactor core is healthy. After the Shift plan, we have a repositioned business, and the company has regained profitable growth, cash generator.

>>> The New Huawei Watch looks less a computer more like a watch

http://mashable.com/2015/03/01/huawei-watch-announced/

The new Huawei Watch looks less like a computer and more like a watch

Many smartwatches have a tendency to look like a tiny computer on your wrist. But Huawei's first shot at the wearable looks more like a classic timepiece.

The Chinese manufacturer announced its entry into the smartwatch market on Sunday at Mobile World Congress 2015 in Barcelona, Spain. The Huawei Watch is an elegant circular watch that runs on Google's Android Wear software. The company is targeting both men and women with the product, allowing users to personalize it based on colors (silver, black and gold), a variety of band options (for example, leather and stainless steel) and 40 different watch faces.

The Huawei Watch will launch by mid-2015, likely in June.

The AMOLED display is 42 mm in diameter, which, according to the company, is the most compact design that exists. This was to make it more appealing to both genders; typically, smartwatches skew more masculine-looking because of the limited size and style options. The display is protected with a sapphire crystal covering to prevent scratching, which is a nice touch. Many existing smartwatches on the market are protected with Gorilla Glass, but traditional watches typically come with sapphire crystal glass, which has a different look.

Like other smartwatches, the Huawei Watch will let wearers receive text messages, check email, receive phone call notifications, play with apps and view their calendars directly from the touchscreen. The device is powered by a Qualcomm 1.2GHz processor and syncs up with smartphones running Android 4.3 and higher. Under the hood, the Huawei Watch includes 4GB of storage, 512 MB of RAM and Bluetooth 4.1 compatibility. A physical button is positioned near the 2:00 mark

The watch can also function as a fitness tracker; its sensor can tell whether a person is running, biking or sleeping, and tracks those stats, including calories burned, distance traveled and heart rate via its built-in heart rate monitor.

Huawei added that it will be building a "health and lifestyle ecosystem" to help users stay on top of their goals and progress, with the help of partners and app platforms like Jawbone.

The circular shape and the stainless steel frame is a nod toward traditional watches and a design that most consumers already consider more appealing. As we've noted previously, many smartwatches — including the Apple Watch, slated to be released in April — have square or rectangular-shaped designs, because it's difficult to fit so much technology into a smaller, curved case. But Huawei does a striking job.

The arrival of the Huawei Watch doesn't come as a huge surprise. Manufacturers with roots in the smartphone industry like Apple, Samsung, LG and Motorola have already invested big money and resources into developing a wearable, so it makes sense for Huawei to follow suit. The look of the watch isn't a huge shocker, either; two promotional videos leaked online earlier in this weekend, which were pulled shortly after. A promotional ad for the watch was also spotted at the El Prat airport in Spain.

This isn't Huawei's first attempt at wearables. Last year, it launched the TalkBand 1, a fitness tracker and Bluetooth headset hybrid.

The Huawei Watch has the potential to inch out competitors also banking on the circular look, like the Moto 360. However, unlike other competitors like the Apple Watch, the Huawei Watch runs on Android Wear, which has gotten shaky reviews.

The Huawei Watch will launch in 20 countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Norway, Philippines, Russia, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Arab Emirates. Pricing and availability has not been announced yet and will vary depending on the market, the company said.

(BFW) MORE: Afren Lenders Agree to $50m Amortization Payment Delay


MORE: Afren Lenders Agree to $50m Amortization Payment Delay
2015-03-02 07:28:42.100 GMT


By Tom Freke
(Bloomberg) -- Co. gets agreement from lenders to $300m
Ebok facility for further deferral of $50m amortization payment
due Jan. 31 to March 31, 2015.
* Co. also to use 30-day grace period under 2016 bonds on $15m
of interest due Feb. 1 while review of capital structure,
funding alternatives continues
* Co. continues discussions with ad hoc committee of
bondholders, also other stakeholders, new third party
investors on recapitalization
* NOTE: Yesterday, Sunday Times reported that Fosun backing
$500m cash deal; said bid unlikely to fail as creditors have
own plan for co.
* Feb. 26: Ashmore, Pimco Said to Seek Control of Afren in
Creditor Talks
Link to Statement

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Tom Freke in London at +44-20-3525-8153 or
tfreke@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
James Holloway at +1-212-617-4454 or
jholloway8@bloomberg.net

(BFW) Gategroup Shareholders Team Up to Change Board: Sonntagszeitung


Gategroup Shareholders Team Up to Change Board: Sonntagszeitung
2015-03-01 10:01:22.211 GMT


By Roxana Zega
(Bloomberg) -- RBR Capital forms group with British hedge
fund Camox controlling ~12% of voting rights in Kloten-based
airline-caterer Gategroup, Sonntagszeitung reports.
* While Rudolf Bohli, manager of RBR Capital, is scheduled to
present new candidates at press conference on March 3, both
parties are now working on a joint list of candidates;
compromise still possible: Sonntagszeitung
* NOTE: Fund manager RBR Capital to advise other shareholders
to replace Gategroup Chairman Andreas Schmid and other
directors, FuW reported on Jan. 24

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Roxana Zega in Zurich at +41-44-224-4120 or
rzega@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Cecile Vannucci at +44-20-3525-7032 or
cvannucci1@bloomberg.net
Roxana Zega

(Nomura) Vivendi Dwg to Neutral from Buy

Liquidity not a good enough explanation
The Supervisory Board accepted the offer of EUR40 per share for Vivendi’s
20% stake in SFR-Numericable. The offer was made jointly by Altice and
SFR- Numericable itself. This is a 28% discount to the closing price on
27 February 2015. The company also waived the EUR750m earn-out right
which is worth EUR0.55 per Vivendi share. The company’s explanation was
that it had a) achieved a premium of 20% over the closing price for the shares
on 27/11/14, b) that the total of EUR17bn for SFR had been achieved in-line
with the valuation projected in April 2014 and c) the liquidity in the shares was
too low to allow for a sale on the market (average daily volume 100-200k). Our
view is that the level of discount is too high and that shareholders deserve to
benefit from the equity upside generated by the SFR Numericable stock price
performance, especially in light of the high probability of telecom consolidation
in the French market which should boost value for all operators. One of the
reasons given by Vivendi for favouring the Numericable offer for SFR over that
from Bouygues was that it allowed upside from retaining a 20% stake. We
downgrade our rating to Neutral.

Cash return of EUR5.7bn vs EUR3.5bn but buyback capped at EUR20
The company plans a buyback of EUR2.7bn over 18 months as part of a
EUR 5.7bn cash return (the rest via dividends for 2015 and 2016). However
the buyback is capped at EUR20 per share. Our view is that the buyback
should be either at a higher price than the current share price to illustrate that
management believes the company is undervalued or should take place
without a cap as is typical for other companies. The company did promise to
be conservative on M&A and sees current asset multiples as high.

Increasing net income
The company has guided to a slight increase in sales and a flat operating
income margin. Our FY15 net income estimate rises from EUR 628m to
EUR 688m. This is due to a net income base which was 8% higher in FY14
than our estimate and guidance of a 10% net income increase in FY15 due to
lower restructuring charges and interest expenses. We lower our target price
to EUR22, removing the earn-out and including a potential tax liability.

>>> RSA Insurance deterred from break-up by pension liabilities (FT)

RSA Insurance deterred from break-up by pension liabilities

A potential break-up of RSA Insurance is “disfigured” by the FTSE 100-listed insurer’s pension liabilities, according to chief executive Stephen Hester. The Financial Times said Hester last week told investors and analysts at a presentation in London that the group is deterred from a full break-up because it would have to give its employee retirement schemes a significant portion of the sale proceeds.

Pension trustees could demand several hundred million, if not billions of pounds in the event of major asset disposals, Hester said.

The liabilities also act as a deterrent to prospective buyers considering a takeover of RSA, according to pensions experts cited in the report. The item noted that the company’s liabilities totalled GBP 7.6bn (USD 11.7bn) late last year, while the business itself has a GBP 4.36bn market cap.
Financial Times


Full Article :

RSA Insurance cautions pension liabilities could affect break-up
RSA Insurance's multibillion-pound pensions liabilities are putting the insurer off a break-up as it could be forced to hand over a large share of sale proceeds to staff retirement schemes, its chief executive Stephen Hester has said.
The former Royal Bank of Scotland chief, hired a year ago to lead a turnround, told analysts and investors last week that pension trustees may demand "many hundreds of millions of pounds", and possibly billions, were RSA to sell off big chunks of its operations.

In remarks that demonstrate how swelling pension liabilities are constraining corporate activity at some of Britain's biggest companies, Mr Hester said: “It’s an amount that we think disfigures the full break-up strategy.”
Pensions experts and analysts said the scale of the liabilities would also discourage buyers from launching a takeover bid for the insurer, which is trying to recover from profit warnings and whose results last week disappointed investors.
RSA, whose staff retirement schemes have 46,200 UK members, is one of a small number of FTSE 100 companies whose pension liabilities are greater than its market capitalisation. By the end of last year they had reached £7.6bn, 75 per cent more than its equity market value of £4.36bn. "This is not far off a pension scheme with a sideline in insurance," said Eamonn Flanagan, analyst at Shore Capital.
Mr Hester's comments about the liabilities at a City presentation last week shed further light on why he has avoided selling chunky assets, such as its Scandinavia division, to bolster the insurer's balance sheet.
In the past year, he has launched a £775m rights issue and disposed of businesses from China to the Baltics, expected to fetch another £800m.
But Alex Hutton-Mills, managing director at Lincoln Pensions, the advisers, said: “If they do a break-up, the schemes are going to be concerned that the strength of the business supporting them might be diminished, and they might seek mitigation in the form of a cash contribution.”
Mr Hester pointed to the sale by engineering company Invensys of its rail division two years ago for £1.7bn, of which £625m went to the retirement scheme, as an example of “a pretty good dollar that went to the pension plan”. “The risk is they [the trustees] demand the capital anyway — and you are left in the worst of all worlds,” he said.

Ben Cohen, analyst at Canaccord Genuity, said of RSA: “There would be greater pressure from shareholders for the board to find a buyer, or break-up, were there not [the big] pension fund liability.”
According to a study by JLT Employee Benefits last September, RSA was one of six FTSE 100 companies whose pension liabilities were larger than its equity market value.
However, RSA highlighted it was also in the “top 10 in terms of highest allocation to bonds (a proxy for low risk profile) and in top third in terms of funding level”.
After Mr Hester’s presentation RSA added: “The key reason we don’t think the group should be broken up is that we believe that the current shape and diversification of the group provides a superior alternative for shareholders.”
It added: “The group and trustees have an agreed funding plan in place to eliminate the funding deficits by 2022 . . . We remain committed to ensuring that all members receive their pensions and there is already expected to be enough money set aside in the schemes to do this.
“We continue to make significant contributions to further increase the security of members' benefits.”

>>> What to look at today - 1st of MArch 2015

Dow -0.45% S&P -0.30% Nasdaq -0.49% Russell -0.46% VIX @ 13.34 (-4.10%)
The stock market capped a quiet week with a subdued Friday session. However, it is worth noting that the range-bound week followed sharp gains registered earlier this month. The S&P 500 shed 0.3% on Friday to narrow its February gain to 5.5% while the Nasdaq Composite (-0.5%) underperformed today, but climbed 7.1% since the end of January. Indices spenbt most of Session near their flat line, before some profit taking on the last hour an half. Consumer staples rallied behind Coca-Cola (KO 43.30, +0.84) and Monster Beverage (MNST 141.12, +16.38) after the latter reported better than expected results...The technology sector (-0.5%) finished the day at the bottom of the leaderboard, but still added 7.9% for the month. Similar to the sector, the top-weighted component—Apple (AAPL 128.48, -1.94)—endured some profit taking following a big run in February. Shares of AAPL fell 1.5% today, but still ended the month higher by 9.7%....China central bank PBoC cut interest rates by 25bps over the weekend. Central bank reiterated prudent monetary policy and expressed to create a neutral appropriate monetary and financial environment for economy. PBoC reiterated to be more appropriate on monetary policy, and to use comprehensive monetary tools to fine-tune economy. China also released Feb Manufacturing PMI, slightly better than consensus. Later in the evening, HSBC released China Feb final Manufacturing PMI, revised the final figure much higher to 50.7 from flash reading of 50.1. China think tank State Information Center (SIC) also forecast China Q1 GDP growth at about 7%. Shanghai equity market, despite positive news over the weekend, traded only slightly higher by 0.3% during the morning session. Japan released its 4th quarter capital spending figure, Y/Y at 2.8%, fell short of 4.1% consensus. USD/JPY little changed after the data, but moved generally higher to just below ¥120 handle during today's session, on overall US Dollar's strength. We also saw a slightly better Markit/JMMA Manufacturing final PMI data of 51.6 than flash reading of 51.5, which marked 9th consecutive expansion for Japan

Nikkei +0.15% Hang Seng +0.2% Shanghai +0.68%

RUB $61.95 WTI $49.38 (-0.76%) EURCHF 1.0666

EUR$ 1.1173 S&P +0.11% EuroStoxx +0.14% Dax+0.10% SMI +0.42%

Macro :
- Austria Cuts Off Heta Support, Sees Creditor Bail-in
- HSBC China Feb. Manufacturing PMI 50.7; Est. 50.1
- Russia May Boost Car Rebate Program by 10B Rubles: Interfax
- Negative Rates Not Impossible in Norway, Handelsbanken Says


Keep an eye on :
- AERL LN : AG CEO to hold meetings with Irish government, unions in attempt to salvage Aer Lingus takeover
- AIR FP : Airbus to Keep A380, CEO Tom Enders Tells Frankfurter Allgemeine
- ALU FP : Alcatel to Be Profitable, Cash-Generating in 18 Months: Echos
- AR4 GY : Aurelius 2014 Rev. Up 5%, Ebitda More Than Doubles; Raises Div.
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca Pressured to Link Bonuses to Pfizer Defense: Times
- BKIA SM : Bankia 2014 Net Rises 83% From Year Earlier to EU747M
- EN FP : Bouygues Denies Reports That CEO Martin Bouygues Has Died
- EN FP : SFR makes EUR 7.5bn offer for Bouygues Telecom, discussions ongoing
- CRG IM : Fond. Carige Sells 10.5% of Banca Carige to Malacalza
- DBK GY : German Union Calls for Strike of Deutsche Bank’s Postbank: WSJ
- ERF FP : Eurofins Targets Adjusted Ebitda of More Than EU300M in 2015
- ZIL2 GY : ElringKlinger 2014 Pretax, Revenue Rise; Sees 2015 Acquisitions
- FER SM : Ferrovial Wins EU1.2B Contract in London, Expansion Reports
- GSK LN : *GSK SAYS GBP4B TO BE RETURNED TO SHAREHOLDERS
- MAU FP : Maurel & Prom: Test Rate of Over 1,000 Bopd in 2 Gabon Wells
- ORA FP : Orange to Sell Mozilla’s 3G Firefox Phone in Africa, Middle East
- SEV FP : Suez Environnement Seeks Targeted Takeovers, CEO Tells Investir
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Says It Has Had No Exchange of Views With Orange
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Won’t Be Forced to Swap to Fiber, Official Says
- UCG IM : UniCredit Shareholders May Propose New Chairman, Sole Reports
- VOD LN : Telefonica, Vodafone Want to Develop Standard Sim; Expansion

>>> Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of March 2015

>>> Up
*GLENCORE RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*PEARSON RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS REDUCE AT NOMURA
*RENTOKIL INITIAL RAISED TO BUY AT JEFFERIES
*RSA INSURANCE RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT UBS

>> Down
*AEGON CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT ING
*CAIXABANK CUT TO NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*HENDERSON CUT TO REDUCE VS HOLD AT NUMIS
*HUFVUDSTADEN CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT UBS
*VIVENDI CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT NOMURA

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*BTG RATED NEW SELL AT STIFEL, PT 540P
*CIRCASSIA PHARMACEUTICALS RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 320P
*CONSORT MEDICAL RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 1,075P
*CLINIGEN GROUP RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 650P
*DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 1,010P
*ERGOMED RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 281P
*HIKMA PHARMACEUTICALS RATED NEW HOLD AT STIFEL
*INDIVIOR RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 280P
*SINCLAIR IS PHARMA RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 40P
*NANOBIOTIX RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT EU25.5
*NICOX SA RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT EU3.19
*REX BIONICS RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 150P
*SKYEPHARMA RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 460P
*SSP RATED NEW BUY AT CITI, PT 350P
*VECTURA RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 207P
*VERNALIS RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT 63P
*ZELTIA RATED NEW BUY AT STIFEL, PT EU4.42

>>> Call

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: Shanghai A-shares slightly higher follow PBoC interest rates cut; USD/JPY approaching ¥120 handle on Dollar strength


***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA FEB MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.9 V 49.7E; 2nd month of contraction
- (CN) CHINA FEB NON-MANUFACTURING PMI: 53.9 V 53.7 PRIOR
- (CN) CHINA FEB FINAL HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.7 V 50.1E
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 TERMS OF TRADE INDEX Q/Q: -1.9% V -3.0%E
- (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB AIG PERFORMANCE OF MANUFACTURING INDEX: 45.4 V 49.0 PRIOR (3rd month of contraction)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB RPDATA/RISMARK HOUSE PRICE INDEX M/M: 0.3% V 1.3% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB TD SECURITIES INFLATION M/M: 0.0% V 0.1% PRIOR; Y/Y: 1.3% V 1.5% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 COMPANY OPERATING PROFIT Q/Q: -0.2% V +0.5%E; INVENTORIES Q/Q: -0.8% V +0.1%E
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -3.7% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 1.8% V 1.0%E
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN CYCLICAL LEADING INDEX CHANGE: 1.0% V 0.4% PRIOR
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN CURRENT ACCOUNT: $6.9B V $7.0B PRIOR
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA FEB HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 51.1 V 51.1 PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN Q4 CAPITAL SPENDING Y/Y: 2.8% V 4.1%E; CAPITAL SPENDING EX-SOFTWARE Y/Y: 3.9% V 5.0%E
- (TW) Taiwan Jan HSBC Manufacturing PMI: 52.1 v 51.7 prior
- (VN) Vietnam Feb HSBC Manufacturing PMI: 51.7 v 51.5 prior
- (ID) Indonesia Feb HSBC Manufacturing PMI: 47.5 v 48.5 prior (5th consecutive contraction, record low)

***Index Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.3%, S&P/ASX +0.8%, Kospi +0.2%, Shanghai Composite +0.3%, Hang Seng +0.2%, Mar S&P500 flat at 2,104

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Apr gold +0.6% at $1,221, Apr crude oil -0.1% at $49.40/brl, May Copper -0.1% at $2.69/lb
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1513 v 6.1475 prior setting (weakest Yuan setting since Nov 6th)
- (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥50B in JGBs with maturity less than 1-yr, ¥240B in 10-25yr JGBs and ¥140B in JGBs with maturity over 25-yr

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- China central bank PBoC cut interest rates by 25bps over the weekend. Central bank reiterated prudent monetary policy and expressed to create a neutral appropriate monetary and financial environment for economy. PBoC reiterated to be more appropriate on monetary policy, and to use comprehensive monetary tools to fine-tune economy. China also released Feb Manufacturing PMI, slightly better than consensus. Later in the evening, HSBC released China Feb final Manufacturing PMI, revised the final figure much higher to 50.7 from flash reading of 50.1. China think tank State Information Center (SIC) also forecast China Q1 GDP growth at about 7%. Shanghai equity market, despite positive news over the weekend, traded only slightly higher by 0.3% during the morning session. Some security brokers in Shanghai led the gains, including Northeast Securities, Sinolink Securities.
- Japan released its 4th quarter capital spending figure, Y/Y at 2.8%, fell short of 4.1% consensus. USD/JPY little changed after the data, but moved generally higher to just below ¥120 handle during today's session, on overall US Dollar's strength. We also saw a slightly better Markit/JMMA Manufacturing final PMI data of 51.6 than flash reading of 51.5, which marked 9th consecutive expansion for Japan.

***Equities***
US markets:
- NXPI: NXP and Freescale confirms $40 Billion Merger
- BRK.B: Reports Q4 $2,529 v $2,555e; Found the "right person" as successor to Warren Buffett when he decides to step down
- SAIC: To acquire Scitor Corporation for $790M
- LL: 60 Minutes report says Lumber Liquidators laminate flooring made in China does not meet California health and safety standards, contains unsafe levels of formaldehyde

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer Discretionary: Myer Holdings Ltd MYR.AU -11.1% (names new CEO); Seven West Media SWM.AU +6.1% (jv receives regulator approval)
- Financials: CITIC Securities 600030.CN +1.6%, Poly Real Estate 600048.CN +0.7% (PBoC cuts interest rates)
- Materials: Mirabela MBN.AU -21.2% (FY14 results); Kingsgate KCN.AU -3.2% (H1 results); Sirius Resources SIR.AU -7.2% (issues exploration update)
- Energy: Xinyi Solar 968.HK +0.9% (FY14 results)
- Industrials: Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha 9107.JP -1.1% (FY19 target); Orica ORI.AU +3.1% (announces shares buyback); Dah Chong Hong Holdings 1828.HK -8.6% (FY14 results)