(Nomura) European Strategy : In: Ryanair, Akzo, Volvo, AMSL Out: BMW, CRH, ARM

* Since late January we have seen a break in factor leadership, with a strong
rotation out of the Profitability factor (-3.2%) and in favour of Expected
Growth (+2.1%). So although a strong equity rally has been maintained
since October, the composition of this rally has changed materially. We think
that some aspects of this recent factor composition can be maintained.
* The Value factor has been absent from the recent rally. Clients have been
asking frequently when Value can start to participate, but we would not
expect a value-led market recovery.
* We remain negative on high Dividend Yield. It is the worst performing factor
in Europe year to date, but we have concerns that pay-out ratios remain
elevated and that too much capital has flowed somewhat indiscriminately
into such companies.
* We believe this rotation can continue, and we suggest looking at high
Expected Growth stocks that have lagged behind the broader market since
mid-January. We would discriminate between high Growth and high Risk.
* These factor trends are evident at the stock level, so we can be more
precise at the implications of this. We are taking some profit in the Autos
sector (but remain Overweight) and allocating it to Airlines. We are also
reallocating capital within the Technology and Chemical sectors.
* In our portfolio we are removing BMW, CRH and ARM Holdings and adding
Ryanair, Akzo Nobel, Volvo and ASML.

(UBS) European Flow Watch : Cyclical inflows hit 3-year high- is it over?

* Cyclical inflows hit 3-year high while Pharma suffered biggest outflows
Cyclical inflows are back to their early 2012 highs, while excitable this is only one
month and they are not yet 2 standard deviations above the mean (a typical turning
point). With lead indicators surprising to the upside and German Q4 GDP beating
expectations, Pharmaceuticals saw the biggest outflows and General Retail, Industrials
and Mining the biggest inflows. Investors also turned net buyers of Oil & Gas after
persistent net selling. Lastly, within Financials, Insurance (dubbed the safer Financial)
suffered the second-biggest outflows (next to Pharma) as clients nibbled on the Banks.

* Again, the cycle: Germany takes Switzerland's lead for most inflows
Switzerland is the most defensive market In Europe and Germany's the 2nd most cyclical
(after Sweden-fig 10). France and the Netherlands, the 3rd and 4th most cyclical core
markets were left behind in the frenzy. If we look at ETF flows, (figure 8) Germany saw
inflows of 12% of AUM versus 2% outflows for the US. Spain and Italy, preferred in
2013 and 2014, seem to have been left out as dated crisis plays.

* High Yield credit sees biggest inflows in 3 years and Hedge funds lever up
Enthusiasm moves from IG to High Yield credit with the biggest inflows in 3 years –
after a miserable 2014. Hedge funds are also gearing up – net leverage bounced back
from October lows of 30%, to 42% (long-run average) a level not seen since 2013.

* YET, Global ETFs into Europe have not seen cumulative inflows for past 3 years
If investors are worried that the big flows into Europe have happened and might be
waning – look again. Cumulative inflows are right back where they were in January
2012. Even the big flows into Europe in 2014 have all been wiped out. Global ETF
outflows in Q4/14 were close to $12bn and Q1/15 recapped only c$6bn of this

>>> Holcim shareholder Schmidheiny wants special dividend or improved share exch

Holcim shareholder Schmidheiny wants special dividend or improved share exchange ratio for Lafarge merger

Thomas Schmidheiny, the largest shareholder in listed Swiss cement group Holcim, wants a better deal for shareholders in the planned merger with France-based Lafarge as the deal is under threat, Sonntagszeitung reported.

The Swiss weekly cited unnamed sources close to Schmidheiny. An unnamed Holcim board member confirmed Schmidheiny's stance in stating the deal in its original form will fail.

The report said Schmidheiny considers weighing the currently agreed share exchange ratio in favour of Holcim shareholders, or the payment of a special dividend as two possible solutions. The Holcim board is already thought to be considering a special dividend, the report continued. Schmidheiny believes Lafarge is more likely to approve a special dividend than alter the share exchange ratio.

Swiss investor Swisscanto last week called for the share exchange ratio to be improved to 55:45 in favour of Holcim, while Helvea Baader Bank expects the ratio to be improved to 57:43 which would result in an extra one to two billion Swiss francs for Holcim shareholders, the report stated.

The report said Ethos, the Swiss foundation which represents 202 pension funds and institutions, is also against the deal in its current form and is expected to inform the Holcim board that a special dividend is not enough and that it will advise its members to vote against the deal unless the share exchange ratio is improved.

Holcim's largest shareholders Schmidheiny, Eurocement, Harris, Harbour and Black Rock own a total of 42%, while institutional investors own 46%, while the share held by Swiss pension funds, insurers and funds is not clear, the report stated.

Source Sonntagszeitung

>>> Samih Sawiris interested in parts of Kuoni's Swiss business

Samih Sawiris interested in parts of Kuoni's Swiss business 
Samih Sawiris, the Egyptian owner of the German travel company FTI, is interested in parts of Kuoni's Swiss business, Basler Zeitung reported. The Swiss daily quoted Sawiris as saying parts of Kuoni's Swiss business would be a good fit for FTI, but it depends whether Kuoni is looking for one buyer of the whole package.

Basler Zeitung

>>> Diniz raises funds in US to buy control of Carrefour

Diniz raises funds in US to buy control of Carrefour 

Abilio Diniz, former chairman of Brazil’s largest retailer Cia. Brasileira de Distribuicao [BOVESPA: PCAR4] and known as Pao de Acucar, has been in the US and raised money to buy control of listed French retailer Carrefour, newsweekly Veja reported in its current issue.

Diniz is looking to buy worldwide control of Carrefour, the large-circulation Portuguese-language magazine revealed in the unsourced report.

The magazine didn’t say how much money Diniz has raised or give the names of the supposed suppliers of the financing.

Diniz acquired 10% of Carrefour Brazil, the second largest retailer in Brazil, in recent years for BRL 1.8bn (USD 587m) and 3.5% of parent company Carrefour for BRL 1.5bn (USD 490m), as reported (the Brazilian real is converted here into US dollars at current exchange rates.)

Peninsula Participacoes, the company managing the Diniz family's fortune, has just concluded a study that pegs the value of its real estate holdings at BRL 5bn (USD 1.6bn), fortnightly business magazine Exame reported in its current issue.

The real estate consists essentially of 60 stores that Peninsula leases to Pao de Acucar, according to the unsourced report in Portuguese-language Exame.

Exame said it had learned that Diniz would reinvest money from selling the stores in real estate. The report in Exame didn’t mention Carrefour.

Trade publication Beefpoint reported last December that among doubts surrounding the deal was how Diniz would maintain his position as chairman of BRF - Brasil Foods [BOVESPA: BRFS3] if he raised his stakes in Carrefour. Brasil Foods, the world’s largest poultry exporter, is one of the largest suppliers to Carrefour, the Portuguese-language Beefpoint wrote.

Diniz has been chairman of BRF since April 2013.

French listed supermarket chain Casino Guichard Perrachon has controlled Pao de Acucar since June 2012.

Pao de Acuar was founded by the father of Abilio Diniz, Valentim, in 1948, Beefpoint wrote.

Veja, Exame, Beefpoint

>>> What to look at today - 9th of MArch 2015

Dow -1.54% S&P -1.42% Nasdaq -1.11% Russell-1.36% VIX @15.20 (+8.26%)
Greek govt officials sent a set of proposals to their EU "partners" last week, however the latest reports suggest the lenders have scoffed at the vague set of promises that falls short of what the Syriza negotiators promised in Brussels. Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem noted Athens is unlikely to receive a disbursement of aid this month, and PM Tsipras said the new govt could consider another referendum option if European partners reject their promises. After falling to multi-year lows on Friday, EUR/USD traded down further toward $1.0820 before a marginal bounce to $1.0850...This weekend, OPEC chief el-Badri noted the current price does not reflect fundamentals even though the market remains oversupplied. Goldman Sachs has also projected continued decline in WTI all the way down to $40/brl as inventories remain high. Oil prices were down nearly 1% in afternoon electronic trade below $49.50/brl....China markets are leading the regional decline, with mixed February trade data compounded by Friday losses on Wall Street after the better than expected US jobs figures added to expectation of an impending rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Although China posted a record high surplus, imports decline exceeded expectations and marked the largest drop in nearly 6 years. A near 50% rise in exports was also indicative of the data being distorted by seasonality of off-month Lunar New Year timing this year. The decline in demand for basic material components of the trade numbers further underscore the slowing mainland economy - imports of iron ore were down 14% and crude oil down 9% on the year. Speaking over the weekend, China premier Li remarked there is more room for further stimulus measures if economic challenges persist deeper into 2015....Japan Cabinet Office released the final Q4 GDP data that confirmed the economy emerged out of recession, but did so at a slower than expected pace. Private consumption component was up 0.5% - ahead of 0.3% prelim and consensus - but corporate sentiment remained cautious, as investment contracted by 0.1% again vs expected 0.2% pickup. Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga spoke after the release, noting economy is still on recovery track. Likewise, BOJ Dep Gov Nakaso remarked the trend toward achieving the 2% inflation target is more important than the pace, although he still expects to reach that goal some time in FY15 unless oil prices continue to pull CPI lower.
Nikkei -0.95% Hang Seng -0.08% Shanghai +1.90%

RUB $60.52% WTI $49.58 (-0.06%) Brent $59.47 (-0.43%) EURCHF 1.06996 CHF 0.9854

EUR$ 1.0858 S&P -0.07% EuroStoxx -0.52% Dax-0.30% SMI -0.25%

Macro :
- Germany May See EU45b in Financial Transaction Tax: Sueddeutsche
- Greece Could Hold Referendum on Govt Policy, Not Euro: Spokesman
- Greek Reform Plans `Far From’ Complete, Dijsselbloem Says

Keep an eye on :
- AC FP : Accor Is Candidate to Buy Fastbooking, Les Echos Says
- ALPH SW : Alpiq 2014 Ebitda Drops, Offers Scrip Div.; Impairment CHF1.05b
- DTE GY : Deutsche Telekom Vectoring Eyed by Grid Regulator: Tagesspiegel
- DUE GY : Duerr 4Q Rev. Rises 41%, Profit Down 6%; Sees 2015 Sales Rising
- HOLN VX : Holcim Says No Direct Quotes in Media Reports Attributable to Co
- LHA GY : Lufthansa CEO Wants Merkel to Abolish Flight Ticket Tax: Bild
- UG FP : Peugeot Cuts ~1/3 of Workforce in Germany: Wirtschaftswoche
- STAN LN : StanChart Says No Intention to Move Group Headquarters to Asia
- VIV FP : Malone Said to Have Approached Bollore on Universal: N.Y. Post
- VIV FP : Vivendi Likely to Wait Until Summer Before Reconstruction: WSJ

>>> Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 9th of MArch 2015

>>> Up
*GREAT PORTLAND RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*PGE RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT UBS
*POP MILANO RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*RECKITT BENCKISER RAISED TO BUY FROM HOLD AT JEFFERIES
*SEGRO RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*SHAFTESBURY RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*STATOIL RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*UNITE GROUP RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*VASTNED RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*XING RAISED TO BUY AT JEFFERIES


>>> Down
*BANCO POPOLARE CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN
*FINCANTIERI CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*GRAND CITY PROPERTIES CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*ICADE CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT FROM NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*KLEPIERRE CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*RSA INSURANCE CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*ST. MODWEN PROPS CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*TRYG CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN
*UNIBAIL-RODAMCO CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*CAMBIAN RATED NEW BUY AT BERENBERG, PT 305P

>>> Call
>> Sector
*FRANCE EQUITIES CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT AT CREDIT SUISSE

WSJ : Vivendi Awaits Its Chairman’s Next Move

Vivendi Awaits Its Chairman’s Next Move
Bolloré could start remaking French media group within months; in reserve: $11 billion

PARIS— Vivendi SA ’s chairman and single-largest shareholder, Vincent Bolloré, is sitting on a multibillion-dollar reserve that continues to swell from asset sales. Now a big question is swirling: What will he do with the company’s cash?

Mr. Bolloré, who is known as one of France’s savviest but most unpredictable businessmen, is the crucial player in defining the further evolution of Vivendi, a once-sprawling conglomerate that in recent years slimmed down to two media businesses: California-based Universal Music Group and French pay-television provider Canal Plus Group.

Last week, Mr. Bolloré’s family business raised its stake in Vivendi to 8.2% from 5.2%, tightening the billionaire’s grip on the company he has gradually taken hold of since entering with a small stake a little more than two years ago.

Faced with the challenge of reviving growth, Vivendi has sold off assets that accounted for more than half of its revenue, including videogames maker Activision Blizzard and telecommunications companies in France and Morocco, moving toward a much smaller and more media-centric version of its former disparate self. Since Mr. Bolloré became chairman last June, Vivendi has continued to slim down, amassing a cash pile that will soon total roughly €10 billion ($11 billion) after the company returns money to shareholders.

A person close to the company said Vivendi will likely wait until it has closed all asset sales before it begins the company’s reconstruction, around this summer.

“There is probably only one man who knows what the future of Vivendi looks like and that’s him,” said another person close to Vivendi. “I can’t read him, but I am convinced he has a very clear idea of where he is going.”

Mr. Bolloré, who declined to comment for this article, has given few hints about Vivendi’s future.

Last June, he pledged to create closer cooperation between Vivendi’s units that do very different things to create an “industrial integrated content group.” He has pointed to Africa as one area of such closer ties, a continent where Mr. Bolloré could leverage his vast experience. His family business Groupe Bolloré controls logistics networks in nearly 50 African countries.

While such closer ties could create interesting opportunities—a first example was the co-production of an African TV talent-scout show—many analysts question how this can become a significant source of revenue.

Mr. Bolloré has also said he wants Vivendi to become a French version of German media group Bertelsmann SE by bringing together all sorts of media in French-speaking countries, sparking more speculation about what Vivendi might buy.

The lack of clarity about Vivendi’s future has frustrated some investors, especially last week as some of them struggled to understand why Vivendi decided to sell its minority stake in French telecom group Numericable-SFR SA at a price many deemed too low.

“There is a sense that Vivendi is now being run in a less transparent way, with one investor making decisions based on information which we don’t have,” said Claudio Aspesi, senior media researcher at Bernstein Research. “Mr. Bolloré’s track record in media investments is excellent. But right now, no one knows how he will be successful and over what period of time.”

Chief Executive Arnaud de Puyfontaine last month called on investors to be patient, quipping that “Rome wasn’t built in a day.” He said acquisitions were possible, but only under “strict financial discipline.”

In more than three decades of investing in prominent French companies, Mr. Bolloré has made a fortune by seizing control of often poorly run businesses, sometimes in a quick raid, sometimes in a long slow immersion.

“People say he is a corporate raider but I don’t think that’s true. He is a very clever, long-term business builder,” said Martin Sorrell, chief executive of U.K advertising company WPP PLC, a rival to France-based Havas SA, which Mr. Bolloré controls.

Some of Mr. Bolloré’s early moves at Vivendi bear resemblance to how he shook up Havas, his first major venture into the media world.

In 2004, he bought a small stake in Havas, the beginning of a journey that led to him taking control of about 82% earlier this year through a share-swap deal. Mr. Bolloré quickly built up his stake, challenged the company’s strategy and soon after became chairman.

Once in control, Mr. Bolloré overhauled the business. He pulled a plug on acquisitions and cut costs to pay down debt, set precise goals and targets, oversaw almost all financial-committee meetings and charmed companies to win new clients, recalls Mr. Rodés.

“It took him only a few months to learn the workings of advertising. Then, he picked up the phone and called every single client, big or small,” he said. Mr. Rodés’s family owns a small stake in Groupe Bolloré.

Havas clawed its way back to growth, with its share price roughly doubling since 2004. In 2013, Mr. Bolloré handed the chairmanship to his son Yannick to focus on his next project: Vivendi.

It took Mr. Bolloré less than two years to effectively control Vivendi with a 5% stake. He bought his entry ticket on friendly grounds in 2012 by exchanging his TV operations for Vivendi stock. He obtained a board seat and started maneuvers from the sideline that led to a boardroom clash with then-Chairman Jean-René Fourtou over who should run the company, according to people familiar with the situation. The two men quickly settled their dispute and Mr. Fourtou handed over the chairmanship to Mr. Bolloré last summer.

Mr. Bolloré today spends most of his time on Vivendi, where he is involved in all parts of the business, according to people familiar with the matter.

At Canal Plus, he has set up monthly meetings to review the latest results and projects, a step up from quarterly meetings before his tenure, some people said. Mr. Bolloré since 2012 has also regularly flown to Los Angeles to meet with Universal Music group executives, including CEO Lucian Grainge and nearly all the heads of the group’s individual record labels, other people said. Mr. Grainge’s team has received “very firm indications” from Mr. Bolloré that he has no desire to sell the record company, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Mr. Bolloré has also brought in several allies, including cinema producer Tarak Ben Ammar and senior Havas executive Dominique Delport, who were named to the board last month.

People who have done business with Mr. Bolloré describe him as charming and shrewd, disciplined and controlling. They say he has a great talent for quickly seizing people’s psychology, knows how to surround himself with those who won’t challenge his decisions too much and trusts only a handful of confidants.

“Mr. Bolloré is known for taking everyone by surprise, so I don’t know it makes much sense trying to guess his next move,” said Charles Bedouelle, an analyst at BNP Paribas . “But the more he owns the better, as he will be more likely to create real money.”

Mr. Rodés is convinced that waiting for further changes can pay off. “He is a man of mystery, but also a winning Roman warrior.”

NY Post : Malone approaches Bolloré with Universal in mind

Malone approaches Bolloré with Universal in mind
The chairman of Liberty Media approached Vincent Bolloré, the chairman and biggest shareholder of Vivendi, to gauge the French media and entertainment conglomerate’s interest in selling Universal Music Group, The Post has learned.

Malone and his top lieutenant, Greg Maffei, made the overture for the world’s biggest record company in the last few months, sources said.

The French activist investor, whose 5 percent stake in Vivendi makes him a key decision maker, showed little interest in parting ways with Universal, according to sources.

Bolloré, who is considered France’s version of Carl Icahn, has said publicly that his strategy calls for Vivendi to expand its media holdings.

Vivendi spurned a similar approach from Japan’s SoftBank in 2013. The telecom giant made an $8.5 billion all-cash offer — roughly $2 billion more than Universal’s estimated value at the time.

Malone would likely have to cough up even more for Universal.

“They would have to pay an astronomical number,” said one source. “They are not well liked by Vivendi.”

Malone has a history with Vivendi. Liberty won a $950 million verdict against Vivendi in 2013, after it sued the French company for allegedly inflating the value of the shares it used to purchase Liberty’s stake in USA Networks more than a decade earlier. Vivendi vowed to appeal the decision.

Reps for Vivendi and Liberty declined to comment.

Malone’s bid for Universal, which sources said was informal and deemed a long shot, is just one possible path. Music publishing is another area of interest for Liberty, sources said.

Still, his interest underscores the attractiveness of music in the digital era, even as record companies struggle to replace shrinking CD sales.

Universal, whose artists include Taylor Swift, Sam Smith and U2, saw revenue fall 6.7 percent last year, hurt by lost physical sales.

Nevertheless, the music giant stands to benefit as consumers increasingly stream music to their mobile devices.

Spotify, Pandora and other streaming services are rising in popularity. Last year, global streaming revenue topped $1 billion for the first time, according to industry group IFPI.

Universal is also co-owner of Vevo, the online music video hub and a big driver of traffic for Google’s YouTube.

Universal could serve Malone’s interests in more ways than one.

The media bigwig likely sees some overlapping benefits in combining it with his existing music holdings. Liberty owns concert promoter Live Nation and satellite-radio outfit Sirius XM.

What’s more, Liberty Global, which counts Malone as its controlling shareholder, is the world’s largest cable operator with growing broadband and mobile operations. Universal’s music content could help drive broadband and mobile traffic.

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: China February Trade weighed down by drop in imports and seasonality; Japan Q4 recovery slower than expected


***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA FEB TRADE BALANCE: $60.6B V $10.8BE (record high surplus); Exports Y/Y: +48.3% v -3.3% prior; Imports Y/Y: -20.8% v -19.9% prior (biggest decline since May 2009)
- (JP) JAPAN Q4 FINAL GDP Q/Q: 0.4% V 0.5%E; ANNUALIZED GDP: 1.5% V 2.2%E; NOMINAL GDP: 1.0% V 1.1%E; Confirms emergence from technical recession
- (JP) JAPAN FEB BANK LENDING (INCL TRUSTS): 2.5% V 2.5% PRIOR; BANK LENDING (EX- TRUSTS): 2.6% V 2.6%E
- (JP) JAPAN JAN CURRENT ACCOUNT: ¥61.4B V ¥270BE; ADJ CURRENT ACCOUNT: ¥1.06T V ¥1.18TE; TRADE BALANCE: -¥864B V -¥936BE
- (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN ANZ JOB ADS M/M: 0.9% V 1.2% PRIOR (9TH CONSECUTIVE INCREASE)
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY Q/Q: -0.7% V -1.1% PRIOR; MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY VOLUME Q/Q: 0.9% V 0.5% PRIOR

***Index Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.6%, S&P/ASX -1.3%, Kospi -0.7%, Shanghai Composite -0.9%, Hang Seng -0.6%, Mar S&P500 -0.3% at 2,067

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Apr gold flat at $1,169, Apr crude oil -0.8% at $49.43/brl
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall to 756.3 tonnes from 760.8 tonnes; Lowest since Jan 27th
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1563 v 6.1533 prior setting; weakest Yuan setting since Nov 7th
- (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥1.0T in T-bills

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- China markets are leading the regional decline, with mixed February trade data compounded by Friday losses on Wall Street after the better than expected US jobs figures added to expectation of an impending rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Although China posted a record high surplus, imports decline exceeded expectations and marked the largest drop in nearly 6 years. A near 50% rise in exports was also indicative of the data being distorted by seasonality of off-month Lunar New Year timing this year. The decline in demand for basic material components of the trade numbers further underscore the slowing mainland economy - imports of iron ore were down 14% and crude oil down 9% on the year. Speaking over the weekend, China premier Li remarked there is more room for further stimulus measures if economic challenges persist deeper into 2015. AUD/USD remains under pressure in the Asian session, falling to 1-month lows below $0.77. NZD/USD is also down some 30pips around $0.7340.

- Japan Cabinet Office released the final Q4 GDP data that confirmed the economy emerged out of recession, but did so at a slower than expected pace. Private consumption component was up 0.5% - ahead of 0.3% prelim and consensus - but corporate sentiment remained cautious, as investment contracted by 0.1% again vs expected 0.2% pickup. Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga spoke after the release, noting economy is still on recovery track. Likewise, BOJ Dep Gov Nakaso remarked the trend toward achieving the 2% inflation target is more important than the pace, although he still expects to reach that goal some time in FY15 unless oil prices continue to pull CPI lower. USD/JPY traded in a 20-pip range just below the ¥121 handle.

- Earlier this weekend, OPEC chief el-Badri noted the current price does not reflect fundamentals even though the market remains oversupplied. Goldman Sachs has also projected continued decline in WTI all the way down to $40/brl as inventories remain high. Oil prices were down nearly 1% in afternoon electronic trade below $49.50/brl.

- Greek govt officials sent a set of proposals to their EU "partners" last week, however the latest reports suggest the lenders have scoffed at the vague set of promises that falls short of what the Syriza negotiators promised in Brussels. Eurogroup chairman Dijsselbloem noted Athens is unlikely to receive a disbursement of aid this month, and PM Tsipras said the new govt could consider another referendum option if European partners reject their promises. After falling to multi-year lows on Friday, EUR/USD traded down further toward $1.0820 before a marginal bounce to $1.0850.

***Equities***
US markets:
- TSLA: Spokesman: Company remains strong and stable in China; To make personnel changes in China - financial press

Notable movers by sector:
- Financials: CITIC Securities 600030.CN -3.8%, Haitong Securities 600837.CN -4.9%, Huatai Securities 601688.CN -5.7% (banks may receive brokerage licenses)
- Materials: Regis Resources RRL.AU -10.0% (analyst action); China Resource Cement 1313.HK -1.3% (FY14 results)
- Industrials: Orient Overseas International 316.HK -3.0% (FY14 results)
- Technology: Japan Display 6740.JP +4.2% (plans on LCD plant); Leshi Internet Info & Tech Co Beijing 300104.CN +2.3% (MIIT encourages Leshi on innovations)