NY Post : Cyber spy ring looks to game US markets

BOSTON — Security researchers say they have uncovered a cyber espionage ring focused on stealing corporate secrets for the purpose of gaming the stock market, in an operation that has compromised sensitive data about dozens of publicly held companies.
Cybersecurity firm FireEye Inc., which disclosed the operation Monday, said that since the middle of last year, the group has attacked email accounts at more than 100 firms, most of them pharmaceutical and health care companies.
Victims also include firms in other sectors, as well as corporate advisers including investment bankers, lawyers and investor relations firms, according to FireEye.
The cybersecurity firm declined to identify the victims. It said it did not know whether any trades were actually made based on the stolen data.
Still, FireEye threat intelligence manager Jen Weedon said the hackers only targeted people with access to highly insider data that could be used to profit on trades before that data was made public.
They sought data that included drafts of Securities and Exchange Commission filings, documents on merger activity, discussions of legal cases, board planning documents and medical research results, she said.
“They are pursuing sensitive information that would give them privileged insight into stock market dynamics,” Weedon said.
The victims ranged from small to large cap corporations. Most are in the US and trade on the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq, she said.
An FBI spokesman declined comment on the group, which FireEye said it reported to the bureau.
The security firm designated it as FIN4 because it is number 4 among the large, advanced, financially motivated groups tracked by FireEye.
The hackers don’t infect the PCs of their victims. Instead they steal passwords to email accounts, then use them to access those accounts via the Internet, according to FireEye.
They expand their networks by posing as users of compromised accounts, sending phishing emails to associates, Weedon said.
FireEye has not identified the hackers or located them because they hide their tracks using Tor, a service for making the location of Internet users anonymous.
The cybersecurity firm believes they are most likely based in the US, or maybe Western Europe, based on the language they use in their phishing emails, Weedon said.
FireEye is confident that FIN4 is not from China, based on the content of their phishing emails and their other techniques, she said.
Researchers often look to China when assessing blame for economically motivated cyber espionage. The US has accused Beijing of encouraging hackers to steal corporate secrets, allegations the government has denied, causing tension between the two countries.
Weedon suspects the hackers were trained at Western investment banks, giving them the know-how to identify their targets and draft convincing phishing emails.
“They are applying their knowledge of how the investment banking community works,” Weedon said.

(BFW) Aviva Proposed Purchase Values Friends Life at 370p/Share


BFW 12/02 07:09 Aviva to Buy Friends Life for GBP5.6b in Shares

MORE: Aviva Proposed Purchase Values Friends Life at 370p/Share
2014-12-02 07:23:23.765 GMT


By Chris Malpass
Dec. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Aviva says excluding payment to RCAP
in relation to value share and Friends Life’s proposed second
interim dividend payment in respect of the 2014 financial year
deal values each Friends Life Share at 394p.
* Says deal secures position as leading insurance company
* Deal seen generating ~GBP600m in excess cash flow/year
* Aviva expected to generate about GBP225m of run-rate cost
savings
* Aviva plans to pay 2014 final dividend of 12.25P/shr
* Deal may add up to ~GBP70b of Friends Life U.K. assets
* EARLIER: Aviva to Buy Friends Life for GBP5.6b in Shares
Statement


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--With assistance from Leon Mangasarian in Berlin.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Chris Malpass in Berlin at +49-30-70010-6234 or
cmalpass@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
James Ludden at +44-20-7673-2645 or
jludden@bloomberg.net

(BFW) SAP May Push 2017 Margin Goal to 2020, JPMorgan Says


SAP May Push 2017 Margin Goal to 2020, JPMorgan Says
2014-12-02 07:17:04.615 GMT


By Claudia Rach
Dec. 2 (Bloomberg) -- SAP’s 2020 plan could foresee ~8%
mid-term sales growth, 35% operating margins, JPMorgan says in
note that looks at several possible scenarios for co.’s 6 year
growth plan to proposed in January.
* Expects co. to push its 2017 margin target forward by 3-yrs
* Says scenarios suggest 2020 rev. target range of EU26.3b to
EU31.4b, margin targets from 33% to 36%
* Sees fair value share price of EU57.30 for “most likely
plan”, EU63.77 for “better scenario”, EU50.72 for
“softer scenario”; implies share price range from EU36.87
to EU72.37
* See no more large acquisitions, focus on organic growth
* Stock is down -8.5% YTD vs a 4.4% rise in the SX8P index
* Of 46 analyst ratings, 29 are buy, 12 hold, 5 sell, with an
average PT of EU64.2 implying ~13% upside
* Nov. 24: SAP has tough road until release of 2020 targets,
Barclays says
* NOTE: Co. is expected to report its annual results Jan. 21

For Related News and Information:
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To contact the reporter on this story:
Claudia Rach in Berlin at +49-30-70010-6219 or
crach1@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
James Ludden at +44-20-7673-2645 or
jludden@bloomberg.net

>>> US After Hours SCVL +9.1%, ENVI +0.7%, QUNR -3.0%, MFRM -2.3

After Hours Summary: SCVL +9.1%, ENVI +0.7%, QUNR -3.0%, MFRM -2.3%, THO -1.2%, UNH -0.7% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: SCVL
+9.1%, ENVI +0.7%, OGS +0.2%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: CODE +14.6% (to merge with Cypress Semiconductor (CY) in a $4 bln all-stock transaction; CY +12.7%), DRYS +5.2% (announced repayment of 5% Convertible Notes due 2014), EOX +4.1% (announced increased borrowing base under its revolving credit facility), RCL +4.0% (to replace BMS in the S&P 500), MRH +2.7% (to replace TYL in the S&P SmallCap 600), TYL +1.0% (to replace TIBX in the S&P MidCap 400), CHRW +0.6% (announced that it has reached an agreement to acquire Freightquote.com for $365 mln in cash)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: QUNR -3.0%, MFRM -2.3%, THO -1.2%, UNH -0.7%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: PSTR -3.2% (disclosed that on November 24, 2014 it received a notice from Nasdaq regarding the minimum bid price requirement), BMS -1.3% (moved from S&P 500 to replace CNQR in the S&P MidCap 400)

(GS) Oil Services - Vallourec Dwg to Sell

* Sector is highly levered to the oil price…
Oil prices have sold off sharply following the OPEC decision on
November 27 to maintain its production target at 30 mn bbl/d. With Brent
spot prices now below US$75/bl, we expect greater focus on capital
discipline, and more pressure on capex budgets. Share prices in the
European Oil Services sector have a strong correlation with the Brent oil
price (54% R-squared since 2007).

* … and is still trading 15% above trough EV/GCI levels
The sector is currently trading at around 0.77x 12-month forward EV/GCI,
which remains at a 15% premium to the average EV/GCI in the sector in
2003, which we view as the last prolonged downturn in the sector. We
remain Cautious on the sector outlook, although we are aware that some
companies are already trading well below asset support levels.

* Avoid operationally and financially levered companies
In an environment characterized by overcapacity and a falling oil price, we
would continue to avoid the financially and operationally levered oil
services companies. The fundamentals for the capital-intensive offshore
segments (seismic, drilling, subsea construction) remain very challenged in
our view, and in a scenario where the demand environment remains weak
for a sustained period of time, it is among these companies that we see the
highest risk of balance-sheet distress. We adjust some earnings estimates;
our EPS for 2015 and 2016 estimates are 12%/19% below Reuters
consensus in aggregate across the sector.

* Remain Sell rated on TGS Nopec, Technip; Vallourec down to Sell
We remain CL-Sell on TGS Nopec as we see a significant slowdown in
demand driving weaker earnings. For Technip (Sell), we see weak order
intake and pressure on pricing leading to a fall in earnings from 2016. We
downgrade Vallourec to Sell as we see slowing demand and pricing
pressure in the OCTG market and our 2015 EPS estimate moves to 31%
below Reuters consensus.

>>> Poste Italiane to list before summer 2015


Poste Italiane, the Italian post office, is likely to list before summer 2015, Italian language daily Il Messaggero reported. The unsourced report noted that up to a 49% stake inclusive of the greenshoe would be listed.

The item noted that bankers have valued Poste Italiane at a minimum EUR 8bn, which would net the Italian Treasury around EUR 3.2bn-3.5bn.

Il Messaggero

>>> Orange in talks with Softbank regarding sale of Dailymotion

Orange in talks with Softbank regarding sale of Dailymotion 

The listed French telecom group Orange is believed to have held discussions with Japanese competitor Softbank regarding Orange's 100%-owned online video subsidiary Dailymotion, Challenges reported.

The French-language report cited a person familiar with the matter as saying that Stephane Richard, head of Orange, met with Softbank head Masayoshi Son at the end of November and offered to sell the business.

The article cited a spokesperson for Orange as saying that there was nothing “tangible” regarding Dailymotion at the moment and the group is in discussions with several parties.

Richard also met with Richard Li, son of the Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-Shing, founder and owner of the conglomerate Hutchinson Whampoa to discuss the same matter.

The report also referred to recent comments made by Axelle Lemaire, the French State Secretary for Digital Affairs, as saying that she was not opposed to welcoming a foreign investor in the share capital of Dailymotion.

The 75% sale of Dailymotion to Yahoo! was blocked in 2013 by the French Economy Minister Arnaud Montebourg, who is no longer part of the government, the article added.


Source Challenges

>>> What to look today - 2nd of December 2014

US Market start the last month of the year on lower note, cyclicals were under pressure on disap. black friday sales & eco data in china (HSBC Man. PMI) & Europe (German Man. PMI) reminded some concerns about growth...transports & Industrial were leading the downside move...Tech was also underpressure, with AAPL -3,25%..the energy sector was the only cyclical group to finish positive thanks to a rebound of crude (+4,01% @ $69,02 after a low at $64...Volumes were above average @850mil shares...VIX @ 14,29 +7,20%...US After Hours SCVL +9.1%, ENVI +0.7%, QUNR -3.0%, MFRM -2.3%, THO -1.2%, UNH -0.7% following earnings/guidance...Australia was in focus in today's session, as a sharp u-turn higher in commodities helped S&P/ASX outperform regional indices after it fell to 6-week lows overnight...Shanghai Composite continued to rally, testing above 2,700 mark. Report out of S&P forecasted 2015 China GDP slowing further to about 7%, with a 25% probability that growth would slow to 6%...USD/JPY traded in a 25pip range below 118.50, with the overnight Moody's sovereign rating cut of Japan largely dismissed as a catch-up move. The analyst who made the call appeared on CNBC, stating the delay in sales tax hike was the primary reason for the cut as it increased uncertainty over achievability of primary budget balance by the govt's 2020 target. Separately, an S&P report also stated the implementation of a future sales tax hike is uncertain as political dynamic could still change. A Nikkei report speculated the ruling LDP party needs to secure at least 60% of lower house seats in the Dec 14 polls to preserve the stock market rally...Nikkei +0.42%..Hang Seng +1.56%...Shanghai +3.05%

Eur$1.2462 S&P +0.26% EuroStoxx +0.53% Dax +0.37% SMI +0.34%

Macro :
- Hedge Funds Shut as Managers Struggle in Worst Year Since 2009
- Fed's Dudley : lower oil prices and employment picture will help move towards growth in real incomes
- Fed's Fischer says worried that Fed powers to fight crisis were eroded; does not agree with an inflation target of 4%
- Fed Will Raise Rates Very Delicately, Sensibly: IMF’s Lagarde

Keep an eye on :
- ACS SM : Spain’s ACS Seeks to Refinance EU2.2b of Debt, Expansion Reports
- ARYN VX : Aryzta 1Q Rev. In Line With Ests., Confirms Outlook
- AV/ LN : Aviva to Buy Friends Provident for 394p / Share
- BBVA SM : BBVA Doesn’t Currently Plan to Charge for Deposits: Handelsblatt
- BMW GY : Italy Treasury Said Not Seeking CDP Special Dividend: Reuters
- BRE IM : Brembo CEO Says Too Costly to Invest in Italy: Repubblica
- CU FP : Club Med’s D’Estaing Says Fosun Offer in Co’s Interests: Echos
- EOAN GY : EON Says Fossil-Fuel Plant Unit Isn’t a ‘Bad Bank’: Handelsblatt
- FCA IM : Fiat Chrysler Italy November Car Sales Rise 5.9%
- FCC SM : FCC CEO Tells Banks 70% of Cap. Increase Covered: Confidencial
- GAS SM : Gas Natural: Anuta G. Zucker discloses 8.3% active stake in 13D filing
- MALA FP : Grand Marnier could attract interest from major competitors, including Suntory - Le Figaro
- MC FP : LVMH Unit Acquires Majority Stake in Seafolly, AFR Says (Swimwear maker)
- NEO FP : Neopost Lowers Targets for FY Rev., Operating Margin
- ORA FP : Orange in talks with Softbank regarding sale of Dailymotion - Challenges
- PTC PL : Investor dos Santos Submits Request to Register PT Bid: Negocios
- PTC PL : Portugal Telecom Says Duarte, Leitao, Rosa da Silva Resign
- Poste Italiana IPO : Poste Italiane to list before summer 2015 - Il Messaggero
- RNO FP : Nissan China Nov. Vehicles Sales Fall 11.8% on Year --> Nissan +0.35%
- ROG VX : Roche Buys Ariosa Diagnostics to Expand in Prenatal Testing
- SAN FP : Sanofi Says FDA Approves Priftin for Tuberculosis Treatment
- S92 GY : Lowers FY14 guidance to net loss -€115M, Rev €775-790M (previously: net loss -€45M, Rev €850-950M)
- SEV FP : Suez Environnement to Double Recycled Plastic Output in 5 Yrs
- SHP LN : Actavis Starts Selling Generic of Shire’s Intuniv ADHD Drug
- SIE GY : Siemens Recalled Bacteria Tests Over Risk of Wrong Results: FDA
- SKY LN : Sky hires advisers amid battle for dominance of UK telecoms - FT
- SRG IM : Snam Says 2015 Allowed Transport Rev EU1.99b
- UBSN VX : S&P Takes Various Actions on Swiss Banks on Economic Risks
- VOW3 GY : VW’s Audi Surpassed 2013 U.S. Sales Record of 158,061 Vehicles

>>> Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 2nd of December 2014

>>> Up
*FORTUM RAISED TO BUY FROM SELL AT INVESTEC
*MAJESTIC WINE RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT LIBERUM
*MTN GROUP RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*STATOIL ASA RAISED TO HOLD AT SANTANDER
*SUPERGROUP RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT LIBERUM

>>> Down
*ABERDEEN ASSET CUT TO SECTOR PERFORM AT RBC CAPITAL; PT GBP500
*GEM EQUITIES CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS BENCHMARK AT CREDIT SUISSE
*KGHM CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT ING
*PARAGON CUT TO SECTOR PERFORM VS OUTPERFORM AT RBC
*SAAB CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT JEFFERIES

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*AECI RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, PT 15,500 RAND
*GENEL ENERGY RATED NEW BUY AT JEFFERIES
*INTEGER RATED NEW SELL AT ING, PT 161 ZLOTY
*OMNIA HOLDINGS RATED NEW SELL AT UBS, PT 19,000 RAND
*SUMMIT GERMANY RATED NEW BUY AT LIBERUM, PT EU0.95

>>> Call
>> Stock
*BHP BILLITON, UBS, DANONE ADDED TO CITI EUROPE FOCUS LIST
*EON, EDF, Drax, Centrica Undervalued Industrial Leaders: Goldman
*RIO TINTO, SIEMENS REMOVED FROM EUROPE FOCUS LIST AT CITI
>> Country
*U.K. EQUITIES RAISED TO BENCHMARK VS UNDERWEIGHT: CREDIT SUISSE
*GERMANY, SPAIN EQUITIES RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT CREDIT SUISSE
*FRANCE EQUITIES CUT TO BENCHMARK AT CREDIT SUISSE

>>> Grand Marnier could attract interest from major competitors, including Sunto

Grand Marnier could attract interest from major competitors, including Suntory

Grand Marnier, the French-listed cognac, Armagnac, pineau and wine producer, is understood to be looking for a stronger partner that could commercialise the products of the group worldwide, the French daily Le Figaro reported.

The unsourced report said that the family shareholders of Grand Marnier, which control 60%of the voting rights in the company, are being advised by Transaction R, part of the Rothschild group. They could be willing to sell a shareholding in the Grand Marnier brand, while retaining the production and real estate assets of the group. The report cited persons familiar with the matter as saying that this “complex” scheme could be but a prelude to an entire sale of the business.

According to the report, all the major drinks and spirits group have been contacted. Interested bidders could include US group Brown-Forman, Bermuda's Bacardi, Italy’s Campari, UK’s Diageo and William Grant, and French groups Pernod Ricard and LVMH. The report went on to say that the Japanese group Suntory could be especially interested in Grand Marnier and ready to splash out. France's Remy Cointreau, a direct competitor to Grand Marnier with its Cointreau brand, is not interested, the report said.

Grand Marnier reported operating profits of EUR 20.6m on revenues of EUR 126.8m in 2013. The company has a market capitalisation of EUR 387m, the piece noted.

Le Figaro