>>> Weir Group the subject of takeover chatter

Weir Group the subject of takeover chatter 

Weir Group (WEIR:LN), a UK-based engineering group, was the subject of takeover speculation yesterday, 15 April, according to The Guardian’s market report. The Market forces blog on The Guardian’s website did not cite a source for the rumour and did not mention any potential bidders.

The article also mentioned a 2.4% rise in the price of Brent Crude, which is relevant as Weir’s customers are in the oil and gas sector.

Weir Group’s share price closed 25p up at 1905p in London yesterday, valuing the company at GBP 4.06bn (EUR 5.63bn).


The Guardian

>>> What to look at today - 16th of April 2015

Dow+0,42% S&P+0,51% Nasdaq+0,68% Russell+0,79%
US MArket closed higher, ignoring data from China or pricing mor QE from PBoC, INTC spiked on earnings...BAC-1.1% on Earnings too...countercyclicals underperformed, volume were ahead of average @ 850mil shares...After Hours NFLX +11.7%, TCPI +4.9%, CPSS +2.9%, PTX -9.8%, CTP -6.3%, SNDK -4.8% following earnings/guidance..INVE +17.2% on agreement with CSCO... Fed's hawkish FOMC voter Lacker spoke in the evening, affirming his preference for a rate hike in June. Lacker said 2015 GDP would be around 2.5%, unemployment is within reasonable band of natural levels, the risk of asset bubbles is remote, and market volatility once the tightening begins would be manageable. On the close, US also put out its treasury TIC data, revealing that Japan has overtaken China as the largest foreign holder of US debt...Trading in China has remained mixed, and reports suggest the markets could become increasingly more fickle based on the elevated inflows of new trading funds. Among notable press reports, state information chief economist Fan said growth could stabilize and rebound in H2 after yesterday's announcement of a 6-year low in quarterly GDP. One of Premier Li's preferred indicators - power consumption - showed its 2nd consecutive month of decline, as electricity use fell 2.2% y/y and 6.3% m/m to 444B kwh. CICC also lowered China 2015 GDP target to 7.1% from 7.3%, however that target is still above the official 7.0% mark. CICC also maintained its 2015 forecast of 1 more rate cut of 25bps and 6 more RRR cuts.

Nikkei +0.07% Hang Seng +0.14% Shanghai +2.29%

RUB 49.4365 (Back on November levels) CHFEUR 0.9708 CHF 0.9644 Eur$ 1.0684

S&P +0.13% EuroStoxx -0.03% Dax +0.06% SMI -0.01%

Macro :
- Barroso Sees Guindos Eurogroup Appointment, Expansion Reports
- Barclays Cuts 2015 Brent Oil Forecast, Sees Tough 1Q for Majors
- ECB QE Crowding Insurers Out, Munich Re CEO Tells Handelsblatt
- EU28 March Car Registrations Rise 10.6% Y/y to 1.604m Units

Keep an eye on :
- ALIPS FP : Qiagen to offer €14.90/share for Qiagen Marseille - stock halted. +11.2% premium
- ATLN VX : Actelion Begins Phase 3 Development With Ponesimod
- BMW GY : BMW’s China Dealers Ask for More Rebates, Lower Prices: WSJ
- DGE LN : *DIAGEO 3Q ORGANIC SALES DOWN 0.7%; ANALYST EST. UP 2%
- ELI1V FH : *ELISA 1Q NET SALES EU381M; EST. EU375M
- FUM1V FH : Fugro CEO Fears It Would Lose Sales If It Was Boskalis Unit: FD
- HEN3 GY : Henkel, Revlon, Coty Said to Prepare Bids for P&G Beauty: Rtrs {http://bit.ly/1DlAA3k}
- HOLN VX : AGM on the 8th of May
- IAM FP : Maroc Telecom 1Q Net Income MAD 1.32b Vs. MAD 1.47b Y/y
- MHG NO : Marine Harvest 1Q Operational Ebit Falls to About NOK910m
- MRL LN : Merlin Properties to Raise EU613.8m in Shr Sale
- MUV2 GY : ECB QE Crowding Insurers Out, Munich Re CEO Tells Handelsblatt
- SAB LN : *SABMILLER FY NET PRODUCER REVENUE UP 4%; EST. UP 4.5%
- SLIGR NA : Sligro 1Q Rev. Rises 2.2% to EU605m
- SW FP : Sodexo 1H Rev. In Line With Ests., Confirms FY Targets
- SUN SW : Sulzer 1Q Orders Drop, Confirms 2015 Forecast
- TTI GY : Tom Tailor 1Q Group-Wide Retail Sales Up 2.9% to EU131.3M
- UNA NA : Unilever 1Q Underlying Sales Growth Beats Estimates

>>> Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of April 2015

>>> Up
*ASML RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT CITI
*CGG RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT GOLDMAN
*GKN RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT GOLDMAN
*GLENCORE RAISED TO CONVICTION BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*IMI RAISED TO HOLD VS REDUCE AT NUMIS
*TGS RAISED TO BUY VS SELL AT GOLDMAN
*VALEO RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN

>>> Down
*ALCATEL-LUCENT CUT TO MARKET PERFORM AT BMO
*ALCATEL-LUCENT CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*ALCATEL-LUCENT CUT TO NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*ANGLO AMERICAN CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*BAE SYSTEMS CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT UBS
*CASINO CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT SOCGEN
*HUHTAMAEKI CUT TO HOLD FROM BUY AT NORDEA
*KUMBA IRON ORE CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*MEGGITT CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*NOKIA CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*NOKIA CUT TO SECTOR PERFORM AT RBC CAPITAL
*NOKIA CUT TO NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*OPHIR ENERGY CUT TO EQUALWEIGHT VS OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*OPHIR ENERGY RAISED TO NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*PREMIER OIL CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT GMP SECURITIES
*SOCO INTERNATIONAL CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT: BARCLAYS
*TATNEFT CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT SOCGEN
*WINCOR NIXDORF CUT TO SELL VS BUY AT BANKHAUS LAMPE

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI RATED NEW OUTPERFORM AT MACQUARIE
*DFS FURNITURE RATED NEW BUY AT BERENBERG, PT 345P
*DFS FURNITURE RATED NEW BUY AT UBS, PT 330P
*GOLD FIELDS RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT MACQUARIE
*OPHIR ENERGY RATED NEW UNDERPERFORM AT MACQUARIE
*PAN AFRICAN RESOURCES RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT MACQUARIE
*RIGHTMOVE RATED NEW HOLD AT BERENBERG, PT 3,200P
*ZOOPLA RATED NEW BUY AT BERENBERG, PT 250P

>>> Call
>> Stock
*AB FOODS, SCA ENTER LIBERUM CONVICTION LIST AS BUYS
*ANGLO AMERICAN, TECHNIP ENTER LIBERUM CONVICTION LIST AS SELLS
*ALCATEL-LUCENT EXITS GOLDMAN CONVICTION BUY LIST, STAYS BUY
*DAIMLER ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN
*NOKIA REMOVED FROM CREDIT SUISSE EUROPE FOCUS LIST

(ManagerMagazin) Henkel will Wella purchase


The consumer goods manufacturer Henkel According to insiders, has his eye on the Wella hair care business of the US company Procter & Gamble (P & G). Henkel ready as well as US corporations Revlon and Coty a bid for parts of the cosmetics business by P & G ago, said people familiar with the process told Reuters on Wednesday. The three companies worked together with investment banks to put together an offer. The deadline for the first round of bidding run from next week.

Henkel According to the insiders interested in P & G's hair care business with the brands Wella and Clairol. The division is expected to be worth about seven billion dollars. Henkel could not be reached for comment.
The maker of Persil and Pritt had declared in March to look for suitable acquisition targets out. Up to 4.5 billion euros could Düsseldorf apply for financial Carsten Knobel said.

Supervisory boss Simone Bagel-Trah had stressed earlier this year that Henkel intends to set up better for the consumer. "In the field of hair we are leading, for example, with care, styling and colorants. This is something we wish to develop," she said in a newspaper interview.
The US cosmetics giant Revlon is, according to the insider interested in the cosmetics business by P & G with drugstore brands like Cover Girl and Max Factor. Coty, which produce perfume for fashion brands such as Calvin Klein or Mac Jacobs would take over the perfume business by P & G, said the person familiar with the process people. Coty but could also check out the cosmetics business. Coty could not be reached for comment. P & G and Revlon declined to comment.

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: AUD spikes on strong Australia jobs data as markets reprice RBA rate cut expectations


***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA MAR FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI )Y/Y: 2.2% v 0.9% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: +37.7K V +15.0KE; UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 6.1% (3-month low) V 6.3%E; PARTICIPATION RATE 64.8% (8-month high) V 64.6%E
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR CONSUMER INFLATION EXPECTATION: 3.4% V 3.2% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES M/M: 0.5% V 2.9% PRIOR; Y/Y: 4.4% V 4.1% PRIOR
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAR MANUFACTURING PMI: 54.5 V 56.1 PRIOR
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAR ANZ JOB ADVERTISEMENTS M/M: -0.8% V +0.7% PRIOR
- (UK) UK MAR RICS HOUSE PRICE BALANCE: 21% V 15%E (6-month high)
- (US) FEB NET LONG-TERM TIC FLOWS: +$9.8B V -$27.2B PRIOR; TOTAL NET TIC FLOWS: $4.1B V $88.3B PRIOR; Japan overtakes China as largest holder of US debt

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 flat, S&P/ASX -0.8%, Kospi +0.4%, Shanghai Composite -0.3%, Hang Seng +0.4%, Jun S&P500 -0.1% at 2,089

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Jun gold +0.3% at $1,205/oz, May crude oil -0.6% at $56.07/brl, May copper +0.7% at $2.73/lb
- (CN) PBoC to inject CNY10B in 7-day reverse repos (15th consecutive injection); Drains net CNY15B this week v drained CNY15B prior (2nd consecutive week of drain)
- USD/CNY: PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1305 v 6.1340 prior setting (strongest yuan setting since Feb 16th)
- (JP) Japan investors bought net ¥215B in foreign bonds v sold ¥3.1T in prior week; Foreign investors bought net ¥1.0T in Japan stocks v bought ¥1.0T in prior week

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- On the day when the greenback was already under heavy pressure against the higher yielding commodity currencies, a particularly strong employment report from Australia has sent AUD/USD up about 70pips to a 2-week high of $0.7780. While the data series has been volatile, analysts note that the minimal seasonal adjustment in this month's figures implies the perception of labor market malaise may have been overstated. Participation rate uptick to an 8-month high of 64.8% is also impressive. Going into the release, fixed income markets priced in about a 70% chance of an RBA rate cut next month, but after the announcement, that probability has slid to about 56%. Analysts with CBA noted the focus will now shift to next week's quarterly inflation data to sway the RBA bias, but Barclays said the bullish response to these figures from AUD could actually sway the central bank to pressure the currency with a surprise cut.

- Trading in China has remained mixed, and reports suggest the markets could become increasingly more fickle based on the elevated inflows of new trading funds. Among notable press reports, state information chief economist Fan said growth could stabilize and rebound in H2 after yesterday's announcement of a 6-year low in quarterly GDP. One of Premier Li's preferred indicators - power consumption - showed its 2nd consecutive month of decline, as electricity use fell 2.2% y/y and 6.3% m/m to 444B kwh. CICC also lowered China 2015 GDP target to 7.1% from 7.3%, however that target is still above the official 7.0% mark. CICC also maintained its 2015 forecast of 1 more rate cut of 25bps and 6 more RRR cuts.

- Fed's hawkish FOMC voter Lacker spoke in the evening, affirming his preference for a rate hike in June. Lacker said 2015 GDP would be around 2.5%, unemployment is within reasonable band of natural levels, the risk of asset bubbles is remote, and market volatility once the tightening begins would be manageable. On the close, US also put out its treasury TIC data, revealing that Japan has overtaken China as the largest foreign holder of US debt.


***Equities***
Market Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT):
US equities / ADRs:
- NFLX: Reports Q1 $0.38* v $0.67e, R$1.57B v $1.57Be; Seeking shareholders' approval for stock split; +11.8% afterhours
- PNRA: Increased share repurchase authorization to $750M (17.3% of market cap); Making progress on announced plans to refranchise cafes; +11.0% afterhours
- GM: US federal judge rules that GM is entitled to 'shield' from lawsuits related to defective ignition switch incidents that occurred before the company's 2009 bankruptcy - press; +1.1% afterhours
- KMI: Reports Q1 $0.22 v $0.23e, R$3.6B v $4.18Be; increases dividend 6.7% to $0.48 from $0.45; -0.8% afterhours
- SNDK: Reports Q1 $0.62 v $0.74e, R$1.33B v $1.36Be; Guides Q2 R$1.15-1.225B v $1.47Be, gross margin 37-40% v 43% q/q - conf call; -5.9% afterhours

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer Discretionary: Nine Entertainment NEC.AU +6.1% (sells asset; to increase div and repurchase); Clarion 6796.JP +6.4% (press speculation on FY15/16 results)
- Materials: Fortescue Metals Group FMG.AU +3.8% (Q3 shipment results); Iluka Resources ILU.AU -6.7% (Q1 results); Showa Denko 4004.JP +4.5% (press speculation on Q1 results)
- Technology: Sharp Corp 6753.JP +4.2% (could reach restructure agreement with banks); Skyworth Digital 751.HK +0.4% (Q1 guidance)

Letemps : l affaire Yves Bouvier

Un mystérieux dîner à Gstaad éclaire d’un jour nouveau l’affaire Yves Bouvier


Quelques jours avant l’arrestation d’Yves Bouvier à Monaco, le ministre de la justice du Rocher rencontrait à Gstaad le pire ennemi du Genevois, le Russe Dmitri Rybolovlev. Un signe de la puissance du Russe sur le Rocher, estiment les proches d’Yves Bouvier


Affaire Yves Bouvier: tout comprendre si vous avez raté le début
Quelques jours avant l’arrestation du transporteur d’art genevois Yves Bouvier à Monaco, celui qui est devenu son plus grand ennemi, le milliardaire russe Dmitri Rybolovlev, rencontrait à Gstaad le ministre de la Justice de la Principauté.

L’oligarque, ancien maître des mines de potasse de l’Oural, accuse Yves Bouvier d’avoir empoché illégalement des centaines de millions de dollars de commissions sur des tableaux qu’il lui vendait. Le transporteur genevois, revenu libre en Suisse, a été mis en examen à Monaco pour «escroquerie» et «complicité de blanchiment d’argent». Il affirme qu’il agissait en marchand d’art et qu’il était libre de fixer les prix des tableaux vendus à ses clients.

Depuis son arrestation, le 25 février dernier, le camp Bouvier a émis des doutes sur l’impartialité de la justice monégasque. Dmitri Rybolovlev n’est-il pas un homme puissant dans la principauté, où il réside et dont il possède le club de football AS Monaco? N’a-t-il pas attiré Yves Bouvier à son domicile monégasque pour le faire arrêter par douze policiers, en s’assurant que c’est bien à Monaco que le dossier serait instruit?

L’épisode gstaadien prend, dans ce contexte, un relief particulier. Selon des sources concordantes, le chef de la Direction des services judiciaires monégasques, Philippe Narmino, a été vu avec Dmitri Rybolovlev lors d’un dîner organisé dans la station bernoise, quelques jours seulement avant l’arrestation d’Yves Bouvier. Le dîner a eu lieu dans un hôtel, explique une personne qui a recueilli le témoignage de deux convives présents lors de la soirée.

Selon nos informations, un troisième invité s’est offusqué, après l’arrestation d’Yves Bouvier, de l’apparente proximité entre le patron de la justice monégasque et le milliardaire russe, habitué de la station bernoise, où sa famille possède des chalets. En tout, selon la personne ayant parlé à deux des convives, le dîner réunissait une dizaine d’invités. Dont des hommes d’affaires familiers de Gstaad et un banquier monégasque, Gérard Cohen, administrateur délégué de la filiale de HSBC dans la Principauté.

Ce détail a son importance. Au début de l’enquête, la banque a transmis par erreur aux autorités monégasques des informations qui faisaient état de transferts entre les comptes d’Yves Bouvier et celui d’une de ses présumées complices résidant dans la Principauté, Tania Rappo. Or Yves Bouvier n’a pas de comptes chez HSBC Monaco. La banque a ensuite admis avoir fait une erreur. C’est aussi dans cet établissement que Dmitri Rybolovlev aurait déposé une bonne partie de sa fortune.

Quel était l’objet de la réunion à Gstaad? Etait-ce un événement simplement privé, ou Philippe Narmino a-t-il évoqué avec Dmitri Rybolovlev l’arrestation imminente d’Yves Bouvier? Difficile de le savoir à ce stade: Philippe Narmino n’a pas répondu aux appels du Temps, ni aux courriels envoyés à son intention au Palais de justice de Monaco. Gérard Cohen n’a pas répondu aux messages laissés auprès de son assistante chez HSBC Monaco.

L’avocate de Dmitri Rybolovlev, Tetiana Bersheda, explique qu’il y a «de nombreuses soirées mondaines à Gstaad, organisées chaque année par de grands joailliers par exemple, avec des centaines d’invités. Il ne m’appartient pas de faire de commentaires sur ces soirées. Mais il n’y a jamais eu de rencontre à Gstaad au sujet de l’affaire en cours entre des représentants des autorités judiciaires monégasques, de la banque HSBC et M. Rybolovlev.»

Dans le camp Bouvier, on souligne néanmoins que l’arrestation du Genevois avait été préparée très en amont, en bonne intelligence entre le Russe et les enquêteurs du Rocher. La plainte visant Yves Bouvier pour escroquerie et blanchiment d’argent a été déposée le 9 janvier, au nom de deux trusts contrôlés par les filles de l’oligarque. Yves Bouvier a été arrêté à Monaco le 25 février. «Cette procédure semble avoir été minutieusement préparée, plusieurs semaines à l’avance, observe-t-on dans le camp Bouvier. Là, cette rencontre à Gstaad a lieu très peu de temps avant que tout se déclenche. C’est une coïncidence vraiment très troublante.»

Doit-on en conclure que l’enquête monégasque serait en quelque sorte biaisée en faveur du Russe?

Pas du tout, assure le procureur général de Monaco, Jean-Pierre Dreno. «Je ne suis jamais allé à ­Gstaad et j’ignore tout de la rencontre dont vous me parlez, déclare-t-il au Temps. De toute façon, aucun des noms que vous évoquez n’est à la manœuvre dans cette affaire.»

Pourtant, Philippe Narmino et Jean-Pierre Dreno ont la réputation de former un tandem soudé à la tête de la justice du Rocher.

«Mais la justice est indépendante à Monaco, répond Jean-Pierre Dreno. Le directeur des Services judiciaires dirige l’action publique, mais c’est moi, le procureur, qui l’exerce. Le prince me l’a encore dit récemment alors que nous évoquions l’affaire devant témoins: «Vous faites ce que vous avez à faire.»

Mais Frank Michel, l’avocat de Tania Rappo, la complice présumée d’Yves Bouvier dans les ventes de tableaux litigieuses, ne veut pas en rester là: «Compte tenu du contexte, j’envisage de demander des investigations pour savoir qui a participé à ce dîner à Gstaad.»

Pour Tetiana Bersheda, l’avocate de Dmitri Rybolovlev, cette contre-offensive judiciaire est vouée à l’échec: les inculpés Bouvier et Rappo, écrit-elle dans un communiqué, «font […] diversion en inventant une grotesque théorie du complot qui fera tout aussi long feu que leur défense désespérée».

>>> US After Hours Summary: NFLX +11.7%, TCPI +4.9%, CPSS +2.9%, PTX -

After Hours Summary: NFLX +11.7%, TCPI +4.9%, CPSS +2.9%, PTX -9.8%, CTP -6.3%, SNDK -4.8% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: NFLX
+11.7%, TCPI +4.9%, CPSS +2.9%, UFPI +2.4%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: INVE +17.2% (announced it has entered into an agreement with Cisco (CSCO) to provide solutions for the Internet of Everything), LLEX +12.7% (Wallington Investment Holdings discloses 22.1% active stake in 13D filing), PNRA +11.4% (increased share repurchase authorization to $750 mln; authorized $500 mln of new debt to repurchase shares; signed letter of intent to sell and refranchise 73 company-owned cafes), MDCO +5.3% (confirmed FDA Advisory Committee recommends approval of cangrelor), TCPI +4.9% (announced that Ellis Yan has decided not to renew his employment agreement as CEO contract to expire on June 30, 2015), RPRX +1.8% (announced November 30, 2015 PDUFA goal date for its enclomiphene citrate product candidate, formerly known as Androxal)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: PTX -9.8%, CTP -6.3%, SNDK -4.8%, KMI -0.6%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: PTX -9.8% (announced it has commenced a private offering of $120 million of convertible senior notes due 2021), CPLP -6.3% (plans to offer 12.8 mln common units representing limited partnership interests in a public offering), CPST -3.9% (filed for $100 mln mixed securities shelf offering), MTDR -3.7% (announced it has commenced an underwritten public offering of 7 mln shares of its common stock), HZNP -1.1% (priced 15.35 mln share public offering of common stock at $28.25 per share), SAVE -0.8% (disclosed investor update with Capacity guidance; sees Q2 32.3%, Q3 34.5%, Q4 30.6%, FY15 30.7%) 

>>> US Close Dow+0,42% S&P+0,51% Nasdaq+0,68% Russell+0,79%

Closing Market Summary: Energy Sector Leads Stocks Higher

The stock market ended the midweek session on an upbeat note after climbing throughout the day. The S&P 500 gained 0.5% while the Russell 2000 (+0.7%) spent the day in the lead.  

Equity indices rallied out of the gate, all but ignoring news that China's GDP growth (+7.0% year-over-year) has slowed to a six-year low. The news was followed by a small uptick in the greenback, but the Dollar Index (98.36, -0.37) surrendered its overnight advance, posting its second consecutive decline.

In turn, the dollar weakness provided a measure of support to crude oil, helping the energy component jump 5.6% to $56.25/bbl. Understandably, the big spike in oil boosted the energy sector (+2.3%), placing the cyclical group in the lead. Thanks to the gain, the energy space is now up 6.8% since the end of March.

Meanwhile, the remaining cyclical groups settled a bit closer to the broader market. Technology (+0.9%) endured a slight struggle early, but the sector ended among the leaders with help from chipmakers after Linear Technology (LLTC 46.17, +0.75) reported better than expected results and Intel (INTC 32.83, +1.34) delivered an in-line report. The two names spiked 1.6% and 4.3%, respectively, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index gained 1.6%.

Staying on the earnings theme, Bank of America (BAC 15.64, -0.18) lost 1.1% after missing bottom-line estimates, but the financial sector (+0.4%) still finished near the broader market.

Also of note, industrials (+0.1%) displayed early strength, but the sector finished among the laggards following an intraday pullback in transport stocks. Delta Air Lines (DAL 44.20, +1.12) surged 2.6% after reporting a one-cent beat while CSX (CSX 32.86, -0.35) lost 1.1% after its own one-cent beat and lowered guidance. For its part, the Dow Jones Transportation Average narrowed its gain to 0.1% by the close.

Moving to the countercyclical side, the consumer staples sector (-0.3%) spent the bulk of the session in negative territory while the remaining
defensively-oriented
groups posted gains. The health care sector (+0.3%) endured an intraday pullback in large insurer names like
Aetna (AET 106.08, -1.80), Cigna (CI 130.22, -2.68), and UnitedHealth (UNH 117.32, -2.60), but biotech names outperformed with the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 360.94, +3.73) climbing 1.0%.

Treasuries ended the day with slim gains, pressuring the 10-yr yield to 1.89% (-1 bp).

Today's participation was ahead of recent averages with more than 850 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.

Economic data included Industrial Production, Empire Manufacturing, MBA Mortgage Index, and NAHB Housing Market Index:
  • Industrial production declined 0.6% in March after increasing an unrevised 0.1% in February while the consensus expected a decline of 0.3% 
    • Over the entire first quarter, industrial production declined 1.0%, which was the first quarterly decline since the Great Recession ended 
    • Nearly the entire decline resulted from warmer temperatures, which reduced utilities usage by 5.9% after extreme cold boosted production by 5.7% in February. Mining production (-0.7%) also contributed to the pullback as relatively low oil prices continue to constrain the industry 
  • The Empire Manufacturing Survey for April registered a reading of -1.2, which was below the prior month's reading of 6.9 
    • The consensus expected an improvement to 7.3 
  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Index fell 2.3% to follow last week's 0.4% uptick 
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for April rose to 56 from a revised 52 (from 53) while the consensus expected an increase to 55 
Tomorrow, weekly Initial Claims (consensus 280K) and March Housing Starts (consensus 1.045 million) will be released at 8:30 ET while the Philadelphia Fed Survey for April will be reported at 10:00 ET (expected 7.2).
  • Nasdaq Composite +5.8% YTD 
  • Russell 2000 +5.8% YTD 
  • S&P 500 +2.3% YTD 
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +1.6% YTD

>>> Fed Beige Book Summary

Fed Beige Book Summary

  • Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicate that the economy continued to expand across most regions from mid-February through the end of March. Activity in the Richmond, Chicago, Minneapolis, Dallas, and San Francisco Districts grew at a moderate pace, while New York, Philadelphia, and St. Louis cited modest growth. Boston reported that business activity continues to expand, while Cleveland cited a slight pace of growth. Atlanta and Kansas City described economic conditions as steady.
  • Demand for manufactured products was mixed during the current reporting period. Weakening activity was attributed in part to the strong dollar, falling oil prices, and the harsh winter weather. 
  • Business service firms saw rising activity, especially for high-tech services, and they expect positive near-term growth. Cargo diversions resulting from labor disputes on the West Coast boosted activity at several East Coast ports. 
  • A majority of Districts reported higher retail sales, and they cited consumer savings from lower energy prices as helping boost transactions. Auto sales rose in most Districts.
  • Tourism and business travel is rebounding from the harsh winter, with contacts expecting growth for the remainder of the year in corporate and leisure travel.
  • Residential real estate activity was steady to improving across most Districts, although there was some slowing in housing starts due to abnormal seasonal patterns owing to the harsh weather. Multifamily construction remains strong. Activity in nonresidential real estate was stable or improved slightly across many Districts. 
  • Agricultural conditions worsened slightly. Factors contributing to these conditions varied by District, but included wet fields, persistent drought, and a harsh winter.
  • Investment in oil and gas drilling declined, while mining activity was mixed. Banking conditions were largely stable, with some improvement seen in loan demand.
  • Labor markets remained stable or continued to improve modestly. Layoffs related to the decline in oil and gas prices were reported in multiple Districts. Difficulty finding skilled workers was frequently reported.
  • Districts noted modest upward pressure on wages and overall prices.

(Argus) Nokia: Combining with ALU carries risks; reiterating Hold

Nokia: Combining with ALU carries risks; reiterating Hold

Argus the combination of ALU/NOK as two low-margin, slowgrowing businesses would not necessarily unlock value. Acquiring all of ALU would mark a step backward for co. In addition to exiting the handset business (which was sold to Microsoft (MSFT)), co has divested most of its wireline business, including the sale of its broadband access business to HOLD-rated Adtran Inc. Should co acquire all of ALU, it would be back in the access business and the optical networks business.