(BFW) Pop Emilia Romagna 1Q Net EU45.2m; Est EU46.6m



Pop Emilia Romagna 1Q Net EU45.2m; Est EU46.6m
2015-05-12 17:36:10.319 GMT


By John Simpson
(Bloomberg) -- Loan loss provision down to lowest in 10
qtrs, bank says in statement.
* Net interest income EU314.1m, 0.3% higher y/y
* Bank says cost of credit expected to be “significantly
better”
* Operating profit EU555m, up 2.7% on previous quarter, down
4.9% y/y

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
John Simpson in Toronto at +1-416-203-5726 or
jsimpson12@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Andrea Snyder at +1-202-624-1831 or
asnyder5@bloomberg.net
John Simpson

(BFW) Banco Popolare Having Informal Talks on Possible M&A: CEO



BN 05/12 17:27 *BANCO POPOLARE HAVING INFORMAL TALKS ON POSSIBLE M&A: CEO

Banco Popolare Having Informal Talks on Possible M&A: CEO
2015-05-12 17:31:19.337 GMT


By Sonia Sirletti
(Bloomberg) -- Banco Popolare CEO Pier Francesco Saviotti
says nothing concrete so far for M&A, speaking on conference
call with analysts.
* Co. “keeps dialogue with everyone,” too early to hire
advisers
* NOTE: Banco Popolare 1Q Net Income EU208.8m; Est EU163.9m
Profit Link

Link to Company News:{BP IM <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>}
First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the reporter on this story:
Sonia Sirletti in Milan at +39-02-8064-4206 or
ssirletti@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Daniele Lepido at +39-02-8064-4266 or
dlepido1@bloomberg.net

AOL’s Low Takeout Premium Still Shareholders’ Best Bet: Real M&amp;A



AOL’s Low Takeout Premium Still Shareholders’ Best Bet: Real M&A
2015-05-12 17:48:51.556 GMT


(For a Real M&A column news alert: SALT REALMNA <GO>.)

By Tara Lachapelle
(Bloomberg) -- The takeover premium Verizon Communications
Inc. is offering may seem low to AOL Inc. shareholders. But it’s
probably the best they’re going to get.
Verizon offered to buy the digital-advertising company for
$50 a share in cash, just 24 percent higher than its average
price in the previous 20 days. AOL’s stock rose above the offer
price Tuesday, signaling that investors view it as low. The $4.4
billion transaction values the business at about 11 times
earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization,
making it also one of the cheapest U.S. deals this size in 2015,
according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
While AT&T Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. have been seen as possible
suitors for AOL, competing bids may be unlikely. AT&T is in the
midst of trying to win approval for its $66 billion purchase of
DirecTV, the country’s largest satellite-TV service. And
Armstrong said last month on CNBC that a merger with Yahoo is a
"dead notion."
“With respect to the purchase price, we find it a bit
light,” James Cakmak, a New York-based analyst for Monness,
Crespi, Hardt & Co., wrote in a report Tuesday. “Other bidders
may come into play, but we believe the likelihood is low at this
point.”
Before the deal was made public, analysts were projecting
AOL shares would climb to around $48 on their own in the next 12
months, estimates compiled by Bloomberg show. Verizon’s offer
gives shareholders a chance to cash out sooner and at a slightly
higher price.
AOL traded at $50.50 on Tuesday at 1:41 p.m. in New York.

Tech Convergence

This deal differs from many other recent big acquisitions,
in which buyers are justifying paying higher valuations by
touting big cost-cutting opportunities. Instead, Verizon is
looking to take AOL’s automated, or “programmatic,”
advertising technology and pair it with mobile content. This
would give Verizon a new avenue in which to grow as its heft on
the wireless side makes it challenging to get clearance from
regulators to buy more subscribers.
“The goal isn’t to slash apart AOL,” Sachin Shah, a
special situations and merger arbitrage strategist at Albert
Fried & Co., said in a phone interview. “Everything is
converging and this is how Verizon converges. If this works out,
they’re going to buy more content.”
Tim Armstrong, who has turned AOL around from an antiquated
Internet dial-up company, is going to stay running the business
when it becomes a piece of Verizon. The largest U.S. wireless
provider plans to start a mobile-video streaming service
featuring live TV, original shows and pay-per-view to help it
compete with companies such as Netflix Inc. Americans are
increasingly spending more time online than watching television
the traditional way.
Programmatic-ad buying -- which uses high-powered machines
to buy and sell ad space -- may generate $20.4 billion by 2016,
or 63 percent of digital-display ad sales in the U.S., up from
45 percent in 2014, according to EMarketer. In addition to AOL’s
ad business, it owns news sites Huffington Post and TechCrunch.

For Related News and Information:
Verizon Agrees to Acquire AOL in Deal Valued at $4.4 Billion
You’ve Got Merger. What Twitter is Saying About Verizon-AOL
Real M&A columns: NI REALMNA <GO>
Top deal stories: DTOP <GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Tara Lachapelle in New York at +1-212-617-8911 or
tlachapelle@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Beth Williams at +1-212-617-2307 or
bewilliams@bloomberg.net
Phil Serafino

(BN) *VIVENDI TO MAKE TENDER OFFER OF EU7.60 A SHR FOR CANAL PLUS



BN 05/12 16:12 *VIVENDI SAYS WOULD IMPLEMENT SQUEEZE-OUT IF GETS 95% OF CANAL
BN 05/12 16:11 *VIVENDI DOESN'T PLAN CANAL PLUS SQUEEZE-OUT AFTER OFFER
BN 05/12 16:10 *VIVENDI TO FILE CANAL OFFER WITH AMF `WITHIN THE COMING WEEKS'
BN 05/12 15:57 *VIVENDI : CANAL PLUS 1Q EBITA EU165M VS EU175M
BN 05/12 15:56 *VIVENDI SAYS CANAL PLUS HAD 1Q REV. OF EU1.37B
BFW 05/12 15:54 *VIVENDI TO MAKE TENDER OFFER OF EU7.60 A SHR FOR CANAL PLUS
BN 05/12 15:54 *VIVENDI ALREADY OWNS 48.5% OF CANAL PLUS
BFW 05/12 15:53 *VIVENDI TO MAKE PUBLIC TENDER OFFER FOR CANAL PLUS
BN 05/12 15:53 *VIVENDI TO MAKE PUBLIC TENDER OFFER FOR CANAL PLUS
BN 05/12 15:52 *VIVENDI 1Q EBITA EU218M; EST. EU213M
BFW 05/12 15:51 *VIVENDI 1Q ADJ. NET EU136M; EST. EU124M

*VIVENDI TO MAKE TENDER OFFER OF EU7.60 A SHR FOR CANAL PLUS
2015-05-12 15:54:07.955 GMT

--STEVE RHINDS

-0- May/12/2015 15:54 GMT

>>> ITT Educational shares now down 46% to fresh multi-year lows following this

ITT Educational shares now down 46% to fresh multi-year lows following this mornings SEC fraud charges

The Securities and Exchange Commission today announced fraud charges against ITT Educational Services Inc., its chief executive officer Kevin Modany, and its chief financial officer Daniel Fitzpatrick. The SEC alleges that the national operator of for-profit colleges and the two executives fraudulently concealed from ITT's investors the poor performance and looming financial impact of two student loan programs that ITT financially guaranteed. ITT formed both of these student loan programs, known as the "PEAKS" and "CUSO" programs, to provide off-balance sheet loans for ITT's students following the collapse of the private student loan market. To induce others to finance these risky loans, ITT provided a guarantee that limited any risk of loss from the student loan pools.

(Recode.net) AOL Has Been in Talks to Spin Off HuffPost as Part of Verizon Acqui


AOL Has Been in Talks to Spin Off HuffPost as Part of Verizon Acquisition Deal

ccording to numerous sources, while it has been negotiating its deal to sell to Verizon, AOL has also been in advanced discussions with a number of parties to spin off its flagship Huffington Post content unit.

The talks have been most serious with Axel Springer, the German media conglomerate, but a number of private equity firms have also expressed interest in the high-profile property. Sources said the Huffington Post has been valued at above $1 billion in this scenario that would either be a complete sale or, more likely, structured as a joint venture.

The move would be designed to bring more investment for growth for the Huffington Post, which AOL bought several years ago for $300 million. High content costs and the ability to monetize those assets — AOL also owns TechCrunch and a number of other content properties — has been hard for the company.

AOL’s earnings report from Q1 spells out the difference quite clearly: Its “Brand” group — which includes HuffPo and TechCrunch — grew its revenue by eight percent over the past year and posted operating income of $13 million. Meanwhile, its “Platforms” group — which specializes in automated ad sales on other publishers’ properties — grew by 21 percent but lost $10 million.

Of course, Verizon could pony up more dough for the site’s leader, Arianna Huffington, part of a alleged strategy to own more content. But sources said a spin-off was far more likely. Source said AOL’s other content properties have not been part of these talks, although there may be others interested in them.

Arianna Huffington, who now works for the phone company, is likely to support any deal in which she and her unit gets more money to grow globally. It has been aggressively expanding since it was bought by AOL, opening new sites across the world. It is set to launch four more soon, including in China.

In an interview with Re/code this morning, Armstrong didn’t address that scenario directly, although he seemed to leave the door open. “We’ve spoken to partners about content and scaling,” he said. “Obviously, we’ve seen a lot of interest in the content brands we have. So over the course of the summer, stay tuned.”

I’d take that as a yes, as Armstrong has a tendency to be cagey to the point of obfuscation. He has long denied any talks with Verizon, including when rumors of an acquisition deal surfaced earlier this year. And when I asked him directly last week after hearing those acquisition discussions were again taking place, he also denied explicitly that they were serious.

I guess not. Thus, today, Arianna Huffington and Tim Armstrong work for the phone company.

No comments all around, as you might imagine.

(Oscar Gruss - Makor) Pall Corp First /thoughts

Pall Corp (PLL) - Thermo Fischer Scientific (TMO) purchased Life Technologies (LIFE) in January 2013. Deal price was $76.00/share ($13.1B MC, $15.2B EV, 38% takeover price premium) and TTM multiples (including $275M synergies or 7.2% of $3.84B revs) were 11.0x EV/EBITDA ($1.38B) and 17.1x P/E ($4.56 EPS). The unaffected LIFE TTM valuations multiples (@ $55/share) were 10.5x EV/EBITDA ($1.11B, 29% margin) and 17.1x P/E ($3.21 EPS); existing debt leverage was 2.2x.

The PLL takeover price is reported to be $120/share ($12.8B MC, $13.9B EV); Danaher (DHR) is reported as the most likely acquirer with an all-cash price. Assuming 5%-7% synergies of 2016E $2.94B Revs ($145M-$205M range) at a 20% tax rate, a $120/share deal price (22% premium to prior 20 day $98.40 average closing price) implies takeover valuation multiples of 15.9x-14.9x EV/EBITDA ($874M-933M) and 22.5x-20.8x P/E ($5.34-$5.78 EPS). The unaffected PLL 2016E valuation multiples are 15.9x EV/EBITDA ($727M) and 23.3x P/E ($4.23 EPS); current debt leverage is 2.9x.

Life sciences companies are currently hot commodities which is reflected in the greatly increased standalone and deal valuation multiples between the LIFE/TMO deal and the potential PLL acquisition.

DHR is reported to be the leading contender as it can pay an all-cash deal consideration; TMO would likely have synergies with its LIFE acquisition but would need to have equity funding (either as part of the deal terms or issuing new stock) as it has almost $16B debt (~4x 2015E $4.17B EBITDA). DHR has a slightly larger MC than TMO ($59B vs. $51B) but only $3.4B debt; DHR with 2015E $4.77B EBITDA clearly has the capacity to lever its balance sheet to outbid TMO and a proven cost cutting culture, both which should contribute to an acquisition of PLL being highly cash EPS accretive (as reported earlier today).

>>> Actavis focusing on bolt-ons; wary of large hostile takeovers

Deal Reporter

Actavis focusing on bolt-ons; wary of large hostile takeovers
Actavis (NYSE:ACT), the Ireland-based pharmaceutical company, will concentrate its M&A search on bolt-ons and is reluctant to pursue hostile takeovers, according to executives.

On the 1Q15 earnings call held Monday (11 May), Deutsche Bank analyst Gregg Gilbert asked CEO Brenton Saunders to comment on the near-term desire to pursue a large acquisition.

“Our commitment to maintain our investment-grade rating is of critical importance to us,” the CEO replied. “We will continue to look at bolt-on deals as a matter of course.”

He added that with its current cash constraints, a transformational deal would have to be “truly compelling” for Actavis to use equity.

Later in the session, Piper Jaffray analyst David Amsellem asked about the company’s priorities in terms of US or ex-US bolt-ons for its Generics business.

President, Generics and Global Operations Robert Stewart said while Actavis opportunistically looked at M&A in the US, it already had scale in the country and did not believe further buys would provide it with anything meaningful. He noted that the only area of interest could be a portfolio of injectable products.

“Outside the US, we’re always looking at different geographies that we’re already strong (in),” Stewart continued, noting the purchase of UK-based Auden Mckenzie as an example. “We may look in certain markets where there might be some tuck-in type acquisitions to just increase our overall strength there, more portfolio based, more small company type of transactions.”

He added that the company did not require a large acquisition within the Generics business to remain competitive.

Earlier on the call, Cowen analyst Ken Cacciatore asked if Actavis would consider being less passive in approaching a larger player for a takeover opportunity.

“Doing a hostile deal against a large-going concern, like we’ve seen in the industry over the last 12 months, is value-destroying,” CEO Saunders said.

Saunders noted that Actavis was experienced at integrating buys, with its respectful treatment of a target’s people key to its success. He added that there were opportunities for hostile deals when buying a single product or research program for which staff were not key to the operation.

“But in most of these businesses, people are such a large part of the equation, I think, going hostile in virtually every instance is a mistake. There could always be an exception to that,” Saunders said.

Generics interest

Separately, Goldman Sachs analyst Jami Rubin noted that there were companies that could be willing to pay a very high multiple for Actavis’ Generics business and asked if there was a way to sell the unit in a tax-efficient manner.

Saunders said the space was “in a bit of turmoil,” with two hostile situations in progress. He noted that while selling the Generics business in a tax efficient way would be very difficult, the fact that Actavis considered the unit to have strategic value was of greater importance.

Asked by JPMorgan analyst Christopher Schott whether the company would consider separating its Brand and Generics franchises if its share price remained at current valuations, the CEO said Actavis’ lower than normal stock levels would not cause it to consider selling the Generics business.

He added that the company had only recently closed its purchase of Allergan and needed to integrate the deal and demonstrate to shareholders the value of the combined business.

Recent efforts

In his prepared remarks, Saunders said Actavis had completed one of the largest deals in the healthcare industry over the past 10 years during the first quarter, its USD 66bn purchase of Allergan. Actavis expanded its international portfolio with the acquisition of Auden Mckenzie and sharpened its brand therapy focus with the disposals of its respiratory business and Aptalis Pharmatech, he said. The CEO added that Actavis had also previously sold its generic products in Australia.

The company announced in November last year its agreement to buy California-based health care company Allergan for USD 219 per share in cash and stock. In February 2015, Actavis announced a USD 8.4bn offering to finance the cash portion of the deal.

When combined with Allergan, Actavis’ brand portfolio includes six franchises in therapeutic categories, including: Dermatology and Aesthetics; CNS; Eye Care; Women’s Health & Urology; GI and Cystic Fibrosis; and Cardiovascular and Infectious Disease. The company’s Generics portfolio includes more than 1000 generics, branded generics, established brands and OTC products.

Actavis used JPMorgan for the Allergan deal, along with Arthur Cox, Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton, Covington & Burling, Davies Ward Phillips & Vineberg, Weil Gotshal & Manges and Loyens & Loeff.

For previous sizeable acquisitions, including the purchases of Forest Laboratories in 2014 and Warner Chilcott in 2013, advisors have included BofAML and Greenhill on the financial side, as well as Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom, Loyens & Loeff and Latham & Watkins for legal. The latter was also retained for the Auden Mckenzie deal and several earlier buys.

Actavis has global headquarters in Dublin, Ireland and US administrative headquarters in Parsippany, New Jersey.

On the call, Actavis reported total debt of USD 44bn at the end of the quarter, with a leverage ratio of 4.1x debt-to-pro-forma adjusted EBITDA. The company has a market capitalization of USD 118.4bn.

(GS) The New Oil Order - A self-defeating rally

Market rebalancing derailed by price rally…
The oil market rebalancing has started: weak prices in 1Q15 pushed producers to cut capex while supporting demand. This led to a recovery in prices further fueled by relief that US crude stocks would not breach capacity, strong demand and rising Middle East tensions. The rise in prices was further supported by oil screening as cheap relative to E&P equities, drawing cross-asset investors into buying crude. But while the rally in oil prices has closed the valuation gap to equities, these trade on historically high multiples and oil itself is now trading at a premium to its own still weak fundamentals in our view. We therefore view this rally as derailing this rebalancing and setting the stage for sequentially weaker prices, especially with oil speculative length as long as when oil traded at $100/bbl.

… given still weak current and forward fundamentals
First, while US crude builds turn to draws, it is total petroleum stocks that matter, as rising product stocks will depress refining margins and weigh on crude prices. Second, our updated supply and demand balance points to an only gradual decline in elevated inventories in 2016 as production growth from low-cost producers such as Saudi, Iraq and Russia help offset strong demand growth and declining non-OPEC ex. US production. Further, we don’t see the US rig curtailment as large enough yet to put production on a persistent downward trend with risk to our flat Iranian production path skewed to the upside. Third, we believe that WTI oil prices settling above $60/bbl will eventually lead US producers to ramp up activity, draw down a large well backlog and hedge, given improved returns with costs down by c.20%. Fourth, the broader imbalance of too much capital looking for opportunities in the energy space remains intact.

Sequential price decline still required
As a result, while low prices precipitated the market rebalancing, we view the recent rally as premature with crude oil prices expensive relative to current and forecast fundamentals. Ultimately, with evidence at hand that US producers responded aggressively to low prices, the burden of proof has shifted to how they will respond to the recent recovery and whether low-cost producers can sustainably deliver higher production. This may as a result delay the sequential decline in prices until this fall, especially as we approach a period of seasonally stronger summer demand.