Fed Vice Chair Fischer: Fed will not wait for 2% inflation to raise interest rates; Watching China extra closely, but skeptical of a link between volatility and US monetary policy
- Says: "We should not wait until inflation is back to two percent to begin tightening"; Confident economy is on track to achieve inflation target.
- PCE inflation data "have recently been only above zero" due to temporary factors like declining oil prices.
- Energy price declines should be a one-off event for inflation.
- 17% increase in USD since last summer has lowered the price of imports; Stronger USD likely to restrain US GDP through 2016 and perhaps into 2017.
- Need to "consider the overall state of the US economy as well as the influence of foreign economies on the US economy as we reach our judgment on whether and how to change monetary policy...
At this moment, we are following developments in the Chinese economy and their actual and potential effects on other economies even more closely than usual."
- Reiterates Fed will proceed cautiously in normalizing policy; Fed can remove accommodation at a gradual pace.