>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 23rd of June 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Estee Lauder Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $95
* Evercore Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $312
* Freenet Raised to Buy at M.M. Warburg; PT 34.40 euros (+)
* Gjensidige Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 251.20 kroner
* Moelis & Co Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $68
* Rolls-Royce PT Raised to 1,040 pence from 900 pence at JPMorgan
* UCB Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 220 euros

>>> Down
* Air Liquide Cut to Underperform at BofA (+)
* Aker BP Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 283 kroner
* DEME Group Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 135 euros
* Equinor Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 305 kroner
* Getinge PT Cut to 182 kronor from 191 kronor at Morgan Stanley
* Hensoldt Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 88 euros (+)
* Munich Re Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 528 euros
* RENK Group Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 61 euros (+)
* Saab Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 374 kronor (+)
* Swiss Re Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley
* Uniphar Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank (+)

>>> Initiation
* AMRIZE RATED NEW HOLD AT BANK VONTOBEL, PT CHF50 (+)
* Boyd Gaming Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $79
* Caesars Entertainment Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $47
* Choice Hotels Reinstated Underweight at JPMorgan; PT $124
* Deutsche Telekom Rated New Buy at Baptista Research (+)
* DraftKings Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $50
* Grenergy Renovables Rated New Outperform at Mediobanca SpA
* Harworth Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 210 pence
* Henry Boot Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 262 pence
* Hilton Worldwide Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $282
* Host Hotels Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $16
* Las Vegas Sands Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $47
* Linde Rated New Buy at Baptista Research
* Marriott Intl Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $284
* MGM Resorts Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $38
* Napatech Rated New Buy at SpareBank; PT 45 kroner
* Nivika Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 47 kronor
* Park Hotels Reinstated Underweight at JPMorgan; PT $10
* Pfisterer Holding Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 49 euros
* Rheinmetall Rated New Buy at Baptista Research (+)
* Pfisterer Holding Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 42 euros
* Seplat Energy Rated New Buy at Canaccord; PT 450 pence (+)
* Serica Rated New Buy at Shore Capital; PT 221 pence
* Siemens Rated New Buy at Baptista Research; PT 274.90 euros (+)
* Siemens Healthineers Rated New Buy at Baptista Research (+)
* Thule Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT 300.90 kronor
* Wyndham Hotels Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $101
* Wynn Resorts Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $109

>>> Call
* Gjensidige Raised at Citi on Improvement in Frequency Loss Ratio
* Golden Era Reaching an End for Reinsurers, Morgan Stanley Says
* UCB Offers Compelling Entry Point, Morgan Stanley Upgrades
* Vontobel Initiates Holcim’s US Spinoff Amrize With Hold (+)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 23rd of June 2025

>>> Up
* Estee Lauder Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $95
* Evercore Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $312
* Gjensidige Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 251.20 kroner
* Moelis & Co Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $68
* Rolls-Royce PT Raised to 1,040 pence from 900 pence at JPMorgan
* UCB Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 220 euros

>>> Down
* Aker BP Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 283 kroner
* DEME Group Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 135 euros
* Equinor Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 305 kroner
* Getinge PT Cut to 182 kronor from 191 kronor at Morgan Stanley
* Munich Re Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 528 euros
* Swiss Re Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley

>>> Initiation
* Boyd Gaming Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $79
* Caesars Entertainment Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $47
* Choice Hotels Reinstated Underweight at JPMorgan; PT $124
* DraftKings Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $50
* Grenergy Renovables Rated New Outperform at Mediobanca SpA
* Harworth Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 210 pence
* Henry Boot Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 262 pence
* Hilton Worldwide Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $282
* Host Hotels Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $16
* Las Vegas Sands Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $47
* Linde Rated New Buy at Baptista Research
* Marriott Intl Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $284
* MGM Resorts Reinstated Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $38
* Napatech Rated New Buy at SpareBank; PT 45 kroner
* Nivika Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 47 kronor
* Park Hotels Reinstated Underweight at JPMorgan; PT $10
* Pfisterer Holding Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 49 euros
* Pfisterer Holding Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 42 euros
* Serica Rated New Buy at Shore Capital; PT 221 pence
* Thule Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT 300.90 kronor
* Wyndham Hotels Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $101
* Wynn Resorts Reinstated Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $109

>>> Call
* Gjensidige Raised at Citi on Improvement in Frequency Loss Ratio
* Golden Era Reaching an End for Reinsurers, Morgan Stanley Says
* UCB Offers Compelling Entry Point, Morgan Stanley Upgrades

>>> What to look at today - 23rd of June 2025

The dollar and oil pared an early advance, as traders awaited Tehran’s response after Washington struck Iran’s nuclear sites over the weekend.  A Bloomberg gauge of the greenback climbed 0.2%, while global crude benchmark Brent rose almost 2% after surging as much as 5.7%. Contracts for the S&P 500 declined around 0.3% and a gauge of Asian equities fell to the lowest since early June. Treasury yields ticked higher. Oil remained the primary focus as any disruption to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a major artery for global crude and natural gas, has raised the specter of a spike in energy prices. While Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the country reserves all options to respond, there haven’t yet been any signs of actual disruption to physical oil flows. Market reaction had been generally muted since Israel’s initial assault this month. Even after falling for the past two weeks, the S&P 500 is only about 3% below its all-time high from February. The dollar has climbed just over 1% since hitting a three-year low earlier this month.  Whether this will hold depends a lot on Iran’s next move, according to some market watchers. If oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz were to drop by half for a month, and remained 10% lower for another 11, Brent would spike briefly to as much as $110 a barrel, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Iran has vowed to impose “everlasting consequences” for the bombing. Meanwhile, Israel resumed its assaults, targeting military sites in Tehran and western Iran. The downside may be limited because some market participants have been preparing for a worsening conflict. The MSCI All Country World Index has pulled back 1.5% since Israel attacked Iran on June 13. Fund managers have reduced their stock holdings, shares are no longer overbought and hedging demand has increased, meaning a deep selloff is less likely at these levels.  Meanwhile, credit spreads on Asian high-grade dollar bonds widened the most in five weeks. On the equities front, shipping stocks such as Ningbo Marine and Nanjing Tanker advanced on speculation that tanker freight rates may rise following the US airstrikes. Asian defense stocks rose while airline shares declined on the back of higher oil prices. Shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. retreated after the Wall Street Journal reported a US Commerce Department official has told top chip companies he wants to revoke waivers they have used to access American technology in China. Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. also fell. Elsewhere, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly on Sunday said she sees the central bank’s monetary policy stance as “in a good place” currently, with risks to its US employment and price stability mandates as roughly equal. Daly said she sees the central bank cutting rates in the fall, later than Governor Christopher Waller who said Friday he sees a move as soon as July. Traders will be parsing economic activity data in Europe and the US later Monday to gauge whether the US trade war has crimped factory output ahead of the July 9 reciprocal tariff deadline. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is also due to speak. 

Nikkei -0.16%% Hang Seng +0.32%% CSI -0.07% Shanghai +0.29% Shenzen +0.48%

Eur$ 1.1483 CNH 7.1842 CNY 7.1815 JPY 146.52 GBP 1.3415 CHF 0.8188 RUB 78.50 TRY 39.7157 WTI$ 75.76 +2.67% Gold 3,366 -0.12% BTC 100,835 +1.28% ETH 2,237 +2.10%

S&P -0.18% Nasdaq -0.22% EuroStoxx -0.44% FTSE -0.35% Dax -0.56% SMI -0.75%


Macro :
- US ‘Obliterated’ Iran Nuclear Facilities, Trump Says in Address
- 5.1 Mag. Earthquake Strikes 36 KM SW of Semnan, Iran: USGS
- Orano Opposes Niger’s Plan to Nationalize Its Somair Uranium Ops
- Senate Weighs Effectively Killing Rule That Drove Rise of Fuel-Efficient Cars -- WSJ

Keep an eye on :
- AAPL US : Apple Debates a Deal With Perplexity in Pursuit of AI Talent
- AAPL US : Apple Seals Movie Deal With Media Mogul Peter Chernin
- BK US : Bank of New York Mellon Approached Northern Trust to Discuss Potential Merger -- WSJ
- BNTX US : BioNTech Treatment Granted Orphan Drug Status by FDA
- BLK US : BlackRock managing director resigns
- BA U S: Boeing Starts Contract Talks With IAM Fighter Jet Workers
- CON GY : Continental’s Split Shows Germany’s Business Model Is Shifting
- EDF FP : EDF in Pact With Apollo to Issue Up To £4.5b bonds
- EDF FP : EDF May Curb French Nuclear Output From Monday Due to Heat
- LLY US : Lilly’s Experimental Obesity Pill Holds Up to Scrutiny in Trial
- ENI IM : Eni to Sell 20% Stake in Plenitude to Ares for About €2 Billion
- RF FP : Eurazeo Buys Majority Stake in SMP Energies; No Terms
- FNAC FP : Fnac Darty Eyes More Growth in Italy via M&A, CEO Tells Corriere
- HOT GY : Hochtief, Ionos Apply for EU AI Gigafactory Project
- HSBA LN : HSBC eyes AI bots to replace back office jobs
- IDIA SW : Idorsia to Receive Additional Milestone Payment for Quviviq
- IPR LN : Impresa Says It’s in Advanced Negotiations to Sell Building
- LLOY LN : Lloyds Banking Group moves £6bn pension fund in house
- LUNB DC : Lundbeck Says Vyepti Trial Shows Improvement in Chronic Migraine
- META US : Meta Discussed Buying Perplexity Before Investing in Scale AI
- NOVN SW : Novartis Says HSR Waiting Period for Regulus Offer Has Expired
- NOVOB DC : GLP-1s Poised for ‘Paradigm Shift’ in Heart Disease, BMO Says
- NOVOB DC : Novo Nordisk Advances Amycretin to Ph.3 Based on Early Trials
- NOVOB DC : Novo Says Trial Suggests Safe Swap to Its Hemophilia Drug
- PRX NA : Prosus Reports First Profit Under CEO Bloisi’s New Strategy
- RECSI NO : REC Silicon Warns of Urgent Financing Needs
- RGLS US : Novartis Says HSR Waiting Period for Regulus Offer Has Expired
- Revolut IPO : Revolut CEO May Win Musk-Style Payout at ~$150B Valuation: FT
- ROG SW : Roche’s Lunsumio Combo Significantly Prolongs Remission for LBCL
- ROG SW : Roche Says Early NXT007 Data Supports Progression Into Phase III
- RR/ LN : UK lobbies South Korea to switch to Rolls-Royce for new fighter jet programme
- MSTR US : AQR’s Asness Sides With Chanos in Critique of Saylor’s Strategy
- TSLA US : Tesla Says it Plans Capex of Around $8B in US This Fiscal Year
- TSLA US : Tesla Starts Long-Awaited Robotaxi Service With Low-Key Rollout
- 9983 JP : Uniqlo Parent Says France Unit Pursuing Turnaround Plan
- WOLF US : US semiconductor maker Wolfspeed to file for bankruptcy

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • RENK Group (R3NK TH) +4.7%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +3.8%
  • Babcock (BW3 TH) +2.9%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.9%
  • BAE (BSP TH) +2.5%
  • Var Energi (J4V TH) +2.5%
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) +2.3%
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +2.1%
  • Maersk (DP4B TH) +2%
  • Poste Italiane (7PI TH) +2%
  • Italgas (I10 TH) -1.6%
  • AXA (AXA TH) -1.7%
  • Air Liquide (AIL TH) -1.7%
  • Talanx (TLX TH) -1.7%
  • Munich Re (MUV2 TH) -1.8%
    • Golden Era Reaching an End for Reinsurers, Morgan Stanley Says
  • Fuchs (FPE3 TH) -1.9%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -2.1%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -2.3%
  • DNB Bank (D1NC TH) -2.3%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -2.6%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.5%
  • Mercedes (MBG TH) -1.1%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) -1.1%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) -1.5%
  • Munich Re (MUV2 TH) -1.7%
MDAX:
  • RENK Group (R3NK TH) +4.6%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +3.5%
  • Talanx (TLX TH) -1.6%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) -1.7%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -2.3%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -2.3%
SDAX:
  • Deutsche Euroshop (DEQ TH) +2.3%
  • Wacker Neuson (WAC TH) -1.5%
  • Schaeffler (SHA0 TH) -1.6%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) -1.9%
  • Kontron (KTN TH) -2%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) -3.3%

FT : UK government to invest more than £500mn in quantum computing

UK government to invest more than £500mn in quantum computing
Cash boost for technology with potential to transform areas ranging from industrial materials to communications security

The UK is to invest more than £500mn in emerging technology based on quantum physics that experts say has the potential to transform economic and national security. 

The government’s support will be welcomed following questions about what would replace an ambitious Conservative pledge in 2023 to invest £2.5bn over 10 years and project Britain as a world leader in quantum technology. 

The quantum industry’s backers say it will potentially transform areas ranging from the discovery of advanced industrial materials to the imaging of the human body. Quantum computers offer a route to improved communications security and one day may be able to break traditional encryption methods.

“Making sovereign quantum computing capacity is important for both national security and economic resilience,” said Gerald Mullally, interim chief executive of Oxford Quantum Circuits, a quantum computing company.

The government’s four-year investment in quantum computing is due to be announced on Monday as part of the broader industrial strategy, according to people familiar with the matter. That announcement is likely to be followed by news of further money for quantum technologies, adding to initiatives such as the £100mn announced last year for five new research hubs. The backing dovetails with the launch last year of a National Quantum Computing Centre to host machines “designed to push the boundaries of what is possible with the technology”.

Quantum was one of several science and technology strategies announced late in the last Conservative government that Labour has reviewed since taking office last July, partly to examine if funding was available. 

Quantum technologies exploit how the behaviour of matter at the scale of atoms and their constituent particles can differ sharply from the physics of everyday objects we experience.  

Quantum sensing has been tested as a possible method to more accurately locate London Underground trains. Quantum imaging is being developed to scan brain health, including for early signs of dementia.

Tom Grinyer, chief executive of the Institute of Physics, said quantum technologies would be “as much of a game-changer for humanity as artificial intelligence or the internet”.

“We cannot afford to let [the UK’s] advantage slip and the government must recognise quantum as the national priority it is, just like AI, data and green energy,” Grinyer said. “If we don’t invest, others will — and we risk being left behind in the post-quantum world.”

Another driver of government interest is the sales of British quantum-focused businesses to US companies. The acquisitions of Oxford Ionics and the quantum computing arm of Oxford Instruments have both been announced this month. 

Lord Patrick Vallance, science minister, has spoken previously about the importance of supporting innovative UK science and tech companies to scale up independently. 

UK official funding for quantum technologies was crucial because maintaining sovereignty in the sector had “never been more pertinent”, said Richard Murray, co-founder and chief executive of Orca Computing, which develops quantum machines.

“The global race for quantum computing is reaching prime time and we’ve seen several other countries put in sizeable commitments to make sure that they seize a share in this future market,” Murray said.

FT : Revolut chief in line for Musk-style payday at $150bn valuation

Revolut chief in line for Musk-style payday at $150bn valuation
Nik Storonsky struck deal before SoftBank funding round that awards him more shares if valuation clears set hurdles

Revolut’s chief executive Nik Storonsky is in line for a multibillion-dollar windfall if he steers the fintech’s valuation to about $150bn, under a long-standing Elon Musk-style pay package. 

Storonsky, who founded the $45bn start-up in 2015, has an outsized incentive deal that would increase his stake in Revolut by several percentage points if the valuation more than triples from its current level, according to people familiar with the matter. 

The total amount of shares on offer could be worth as much as 10 per cent of the company if all the targets are hit, one of the people said.

However, the package was structured such that it would pay out in stages when the valuation cleared set thresholds, the person said.

Some of the people likened Storonsky’s deal to the bumper pay deal that Musk negotiated with Tesla in 2018. That award, which was the largest in US history, has led to a years-long legal battle.

Storonsky’s deal predates the company’s blockbuster fundraising in 2021, in which an investment round led by SoftBank handed the company a valuation of $33bn.

The chief executive’s direct and indirect holdings in Revolut shares topped 25 per cent in April this year after a reorganisation of its ownership structure, according to the company’s latest annual report.

Before that, no one had more than 25 per cent of the shares in issue, although Storonsky was nonetheless deemed a person with significant control.

The Revolut scheme underscores how investors seek to motivate top executives to reach ambitious growth targets. 

If Revolut reaches a $150bn valuation, it would also deliver outsized returns for the company’s early venture capital backers including Index Ventures and Balderton Capital. 

Storonsky guided the company to its $45bn valuation last year, when employees and early investors were allowed to cash in some of their shares. He sold hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of his own stock in the transaction, the Financial Times previously reported. 

The London-based start-up’s profits more than doubled to £1bn last year as it surpassed 50mn customers, which boosted the fees it makes from card payments and the interest it earns on deposit.

Revolut also benefited from a resurgence of crypto trading, which increased revenues nearly fourfold at its wealth business comprising stock and digital assets trading.

Last year, the fintech received a banking licence in its home market after a years-long process. The award from the Bank of England represented a milestone for the company, with executives now hoping it will help it secure licences in other markets.

The company has also begun to pay out cash bonuses to staff as part of an overhaul of its remuneration policy, a shift from a previous system that only granted bonuses in equity. The move comes ahead of a potential bumper initial public offering for Revolut.

Revolut declined to comment. 

FT : UK lobbies South Korea to switch to Rolls-Royce for new fighter jet program

UK lobbies South Korea to switch to Rolls-Royce for new fighter jet programme
Britain seeks closer ties with Asian nation’s booming arms sector to help rebuild its own defence industrial base

UK officials are lobbying for Rolls-Royce to replace US rival GE Aerospace as the main engine partner on South Korea’s fighter jet programme, as Britain seeks closer ties with the Asian nation’s booming arms sector to help rebuild its own defence industrial base.

South Korean defence group Hanwha Aerospace produces current-generation engines on the KF-21 fighter jet under licence from GE. But US export restrictions over national security concerns have frustrated Seoul’s ambitions to sell the jet to potential buyers such as the United Arab Emirates and Indonesia.

As an alternative, South Korea has been looking to develop its own engines, with Hanwha and local rival Doosan Enerbility pitching for a role in the next generation of the KF-21, which is due to enter production in the mid-2030s.

But with some defence experts expressing scepticism about their capabilities within the timeframe, UK officials have been pressing the case for co-production with a foreign partner as an intermediary step, according to several people familiar with the discussions.

“Rolls-Royce’s involvement would de-risk the project and accelerate the timeline,” said a British official. “This is not about simply selling engines to South Korea. It is about developing a new engine together and seeing that relationship through to the end of the engine’s life.”

Rolls-Royce declined to comment, but one person familiar with the situation said the company, which is hoping to work with India on its indigenous jet engine programme, had made no secret of its interest in opportunities to help other countries develop their own combat capabilities.

UK officials acknowledged their campaign on behalf of Rolls-Royce was part of a wider effort to forge closer defence procurement ties with South Korea, one of the world’s top 10 arms exporters.

But analysts said the efforts could be complicated by Seoul’s decades-long security alliance with the US. Hanwha was pushing for shipbuilding contracts with the US Navy, as well as engine maintenance and repair contracts for US fighter jets based in Asia, said a person close to the company.

Seoul sees defence procurement as a way to meet Washington’s demands to reduce South Korea’s $55bn trade surplus with the US. GE is also interested in continuing its involvement in the KF-21 programme, according to a person familiar with the company’s thinking.

Rolls-Royce supplies gas turbine engines for South Korean naval frigates, while the KF-21’s ejector seat is produced by Uxbridge-based Martin-Baker and its missile system was supplied by MBDA, a European consortium jointly owned by BAE Systems, Airbus and Leonardo.

Hanwha has talked to British officials about partnering with BAE to build munitions factories in the UK, according to people familiar with the discussions, as European countries seek to boost their weapons production capacity following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and signs of wavering US commitment to the continent’s defence.

The UK Strategic Defence Review this month recommended the creation of an “always on” munitions production capacity that could be “scaled up at speed if needed”.

BAE this month announced a partnership with Hanwha Systems, the South Korean conglomerate’s radar and software subsidiary, to co-develop an advanced satellite system for intelligence gathering, surveillance and reconnaissance. Hanwha already supplies BAE with “modular charge systems” for its Nato-standard 155mm artillery rounds.

A UK defence ministry spokesperson said: “The Republic of Korea is an important industrial partner and we continue to scope future collaboration opportunities together.”

GE declined to comment on its future involvement in the programme, but a spokesperson said: “GE Aerospace is proud to be a trusted partner in Korea for more than 60 years. We remain committed to supporting Korea’s defence industry and contributing to future programmes with proven expertise and a strong track record.”

South Korea’s defence procurement agency said: “No decision has been made yet on whether we will co-develop the engines with foreign engine makers or with which foreign company to partner with.”

BAE and Hanwha declined to comment.