(BofA-ML) Telecom Italia : Numbers & Conversion

* Mixed trends, but bigger picture drivers right now
TI’s domestic recovery remains a work in progress with service revenue trends
marginally better, but EBITDA worse. And in Brazil, TSU continues to deteriorate, with a
tough fight ahead to regain post-pay traction. Nevertheless, operational trends may take
a back seat to the announced saving share conversion plan and ongoing uncertainty
around the intentions of new shareholder Xavier Niel.

* TI announces saving share conversion plan
TI has proposed the voluntary conversion at 1 Sav + E9.5c for 1 Ord. Ord shareholders
will vote to approve on 15th Dec (2/3 majority required), Savs on 17th (simple majority
required). TI stock should benefit from the c. E570m capital increase and the positive
NPV from reduced Saver dividend premium.

(BofAM-ML) Flows,, Payrolls, Trades

>>> Equity Flows
* Europe booming: $2.6bn inflows (inflows in 23 out of past 25 weeks)
* Japan: modest $0.6bn inflows (3 straight weeks)
* EM: $1.2bn outflows (first outflows in 4 weeks)
* US: small $0.5bn outflows (first outflows in 4 weeks) (note: $7.1bn ETF inflows & $7.6bn mutual fund outflows)
* By sector: financials report biggest inflows ($1.6bn) in 4 months; REITs report biggest inflows ($1.0bn) in 7 months; tech report biggest inflows since Feb’14 ($0.9bn); outflows from healthcare & utilities

>>> Fixed Income Flows
* $3.6bn inflows to HY bond funds (4 straight weeks)
* $1.7bn inflows to IG bond funds (largest in 13 weeks)
* $2.1bn outflows from Govt/tsy funds (largest in 20 weeks)
* $1.2bn outflows from EM debt funds (outflows in 14 out of 15 weeks)

>>> Asset Class Flows
* Equities: ekes out $2.0bn inflows (smallest in 4 weeks) (belies divergence between $7.9bn ETF inflows and $5.9bn mutual fund outflows); ETFs via XLF, IWM, FDN, HEDJ
* Bonds: $2.3bn inflows (4 straight weeks)
* Precious metals: largest outflows in 13 weeks ($0.7bn)

(GS) The New Oil Order : Gasoline: Bright lights after the winter fog

Summer US gasoline demand will exceed production and imports

Gasoline has been the lone bright spot of the oil market
Gasoline demand and cracks have been the sole areas of strength in the oil
complex this year. Demand, both in the US and in Asia, has been
supported by strong consumer spending and low retail prices, with
margins further boosted by refinery issues in the US West Coast and
strong import demand for octanes from Asia. We expect this demand
strength to persist although with growth halving in 2016 given high base
demand in 2015 and sequentially stable oil prices. Importantly, our US
demand growth forecast accounts for continued fleet efficiency gains, with
recent data and rising SUV sales suggesting instead that such gains may
be stalling. Further, lower Chinese sulfur specifications will prolong the
competition with Europe and the US for clean components.

Reuters - After big spending and hard lobbying, Pfizer eyes new tax home

After big spending and hard lobbying, Pfizer eyes new tax home http://reut.rs/1MCxMA5

Pfizer Chief Executive Ian Read, who has been lobbying Congress regularly for a corporate tax cut, is trying for the second time in as many years to do a deal with a foreign company that could produce the savings he has been unable to extract from Washington.
Pfizer Inc (PFE.N), which is pursuing a deal for Dublin-based Allergan Plc (AGN.N), was one of the top spenders among pharmaceutical companies lobbying the U.S. government in 2014, according to data from the Center for Responsive Politics.
But while Read has convinced some U.S. lawmakers that a U.S. corporate tax rate of 35 percent puts them at disadvantage to global rivals, having no tax reform on the near horizon has propelled the largest U.S. drugmaker into pursuing a tax-cutting merger overseas, people close to Pfizer said.
"Ian Reed has been very active... in telling Congress the risk of having an anti-competitive tax structure," said a source close to the company, who asked not to be named because she was not authorized to discuss the matter publicly. "Ian has been to Washington, had meetings in New York, he's been to the White House, he's been on the Hill, in the last two years it's got be seven or eight times, just on encouraging tax reform."
Pfizer and Allergan said last week that they were in friendly merger talks to create what would be the world's biggest drug company. While no other details were available, Pfizer is discussing a tax inversion, in which U.S. companies relocate overseas to take advantage of lower tax rates abroad, sources have told Reuters.
The talks come a year after Pfizer failed to buy British drugmaker AstraZeneca Plc (AZN.L) over a disagreement on price. That deal also would have allowed Pfizer to reincorporate in Britain and pay a significantly lower corporate tax.
While the latest merger move has sparked fresh inquiry into the controversial tax maneuver, lobbyists and analysts said it's unlikely that either the Obama administration or Congress would throw up serious obstacles.
With the 2016 presidential election just one year away, bipartisan agreement in Congress on a subject as controversial and complicated as corporate tax reform seems unlikely.
"Between now and then I think it is next to impossible,” said Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform, a taxpayer advocacy group.
But legislation to close the loopholes on inversion, something many Democrats would like, is seen as an even longer shot in the currently Republican-dominated Congress.
People close to Pfizer stressed that Pfizer's interest in Allergan is driven by the latter's portfolio of products that include wrinkle treatment Botox and Restasis dry eye treatment. But inversion is also an important element in Pfizer's considerations, the sources said.
"It would make no sense for a company to want to penalize the shareholders of an acquired company, of a merged company, by being taxed at the higher rate, in a country where the tax rates are higher," the source close to the company said.

POLITICAL CALENDAR
Pfizer spent $9.49 million on lobbying in 2014 and $10.1 million on lobbying in 2013, according to the Center for Responsive Politics . This makes it a top pharmaceutical spender along with Amgen (AMGN.O), which spent $8.56 million in 2014; Eli Lilly (LLY.N), which spent $8.2 million that year, and Novartis AG (NOVN.VX), which spent $6.54 million.
Pfizer lobbies on a variety of topics and does not break down how much they lobby on tax reform specifically. Among those representing Pfizer's tax interests is Ken Kies, one of Washington's top tax lobbyists.
Read has made a few converts from traipsing up to the Hill to complain.
"I've talked to him a number of times," Republican Senator Rob Portman, of Ohio, said of Read. "I sympathize with his policy analysis. I agree with him that it's stupid for us to put our companies in this situation... and for us to -- you know, blame the companies rather than blaming ourselves -- is a copout," Portman told Reuters.
With its latest maneuver, Pfizer appears to have stopped waiting for Congress to act.
"I don’t think they are giving up, I think they are just dealing with the world as it is ...Investment in cures and patients don't follow a political calendar, they follow a scientific calendar," the source close to the company said.

>>> What to look at today - 6th of November 2015

Dow-0.02% S&P-0.11% Nasdaq-0.29% Russell+0.03% VIX 15.05 (-2.97%)
US MArket Closed lower for a 2nd day. Biotech Was responsible fot he mkt weakness with VRX -14.4% on concerns about the company's revenue recognition practices, GILD -1.1%, CELG-5.3% on Ern...IBB -1.9%. Energy -1%, WTI crude fell 2.3% to $45.26, widening this week's decline to 2.9% after being up nearly 4.0% at its best level on Tuesday. QCOM -15.3% & FCB+4.6% on Ern. Volume were in lione @ 870mil shares. US After Hours STMP +19.8%, ECOM +19.4%, DATA +18.5%, ICON -51.8%, MW -30.2%, SWIR -19.7% following earnings/guidance...PVCT +28.7% on Good clinical result, MHR+20% on refinancing news, KBIO -58% on -ve Phase 2...Asian equities are mixed, tracking the pause on Wall St going into Friday's non-farm payrolls. A strong number - anywhere above 200K - will likely solidify expectations for December FOMC liftoff even further. BoJ Gov Kuroda said the central bank is prepared to adjust policy to achieve 2% target if necessary, but still believes the current setting are enough to achieve price objective. BoJ Gov Kuroda said the central bank is prepared to adjust policy to achieve 2% target if necessary, but still believes the current setting are enough to achieve price objective, BoJ Gov Kuroda said the central bank is prepared to adjust policy to achieve 2% target if necessary, but still believes the current setting are enough to achieve price objective

Nikkei +0.78% Hang Seng -0.81% Shanghai +1.38%

Eur$ 1.0871 CNY 6.3514 JPY 121.89 CHF $0.9965 GBP 1.5191 RUB $63.4630 WTI $45.48

S&P +0.04% EuroStoxx+0.03% Dax+0.05% SMI+0.22%

Macro :
- China Oct. Retail Auto Sales Rise 11.3% on Year, PCA Says
- Bullard Says Fed Challenged to Show Job Slowdown Is Natural:Rtrs http://reut.rs/1MfLYzK
- Chicago Fed Bank Conf.: ‘Worried About’ Impending Liqudity Rules

Keep an eye on :
- AF FP : KLM Nov. 6 Cairo-Amsterdam Passengers Can Only Take Cabin Bags
- ALV GY : Allianz 3Q Net Income Declines 15%, Misses Estimate ; Pimco Outflows Halve
- ANDR AV : Andritz 3Q Profit, Revenue Beat Estimates; Confirms Outlook
- MT NA : ArcelorMittal Slashes FY Ebitda Forecast, Suspends 2015 Dividend. Blames China, Weak Orders For Forecast Cut
- BOL FP : Bollore 3Q Rev. Rises 1% to EU2.66B
- DIE BB : D’Ieteren Auto Suspends Sales of ~25% of 2015 Models Line-Up
- EDF FP : France’s EDF Stock Dividend Amounts to Capital Increase: Echos
- ENEL IM : Enel to Weigh Green Power Reintegration at Nov. 12 Brd: Sole
- EDF FP : Klepierre Could Replace EDF in CAC, Les Echos Says
- EBS AV : Erste Bank 3Q Net Income Beats; CET1 11.6%, Croatia Loans Hurt
- EUCAR FP : Europcar Raises Full-Year Profit Forecast
- FCC SM : FCC Prepares Capital Increase for Up to EU400M: Expansion
- ODET FP :
- FDR FP : Fonciere des Regions 9-Month Rental Income EU415m Vs EU394m
- FNAC FP : Darty, FNAC Boards Say Terms of Offer for Darty Have Been Agreed
- GFT FP : Gameloft 3Q Sales Rise, to Release At Least 4 New Titles in 4Q
- HEN3 GY : Henkel Growth, Earnings Expected to Slow; Cut at Credit Suisse
- JMT PL : Jeronimo Martins 9-mo. Net Income EU252.2m vs EU237.1m Y/y
- MAERSKB DC : Maersk 3Q Sales Miss Estimates; Outlook Maintained
- MPI FP : Maurel Won’t Change MPI Offer Unless External Conditions Change
- PAH3 GY : Porsche Used Test-Situation Recognition Software in 2007: Focus
- PRY IM : Prysmian Mulling Medium-Size M&A for 2016: Radiocor
- RHK GY : Rhoen Klinikum 3Q Sales Falls 0.6%, Net Up 29%; Keeps View
- CFR VX : Richemont 1H Oper. Profit Misses Ests., Sees Challenging 2H, Especially in Wholesale
- SAN FP : Sanofi to Explore Strategic Options for Merial, Europe Generics
- SYNN VX : Syngenta, Dupont Said in Talks Over Agricultural Combo: DJ http://on.wsj.com/1S0Xhzq --> CHF 358 in NY +5.9%
- SYNN VX : Syngenta, DSM Agree Microbial-Based R&D Partnership
- TEF SM : Telefonica 3Q Oibda EU3.69b; Est. EU3.69b
- TIT IM : Tel. Italia Board Approves Savings Shrs Conversion Proposal
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia 9M Sales, Ebitda Fall; Approves Stock Conversion
- THR BB : ThromboGenics to Start Phase 2 Study w/ Jetrea in DR by Yr-End
- VPK NA : Vopak 9-Month Ebitda Ex-Items EU602m Rises; Sees 4Q In Line

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 6th of November 201

>>> Up
*BETFAIR RAISED TO BUY VS REDUCE AT NUMIS
*BPOST RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*ENI RAISED TO MARKET PERFORM AT BMO CAPITAL MARKETS
*PADDY POWER RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT NUMIS
*PIAGGIO RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT CITI
*SVENSKA HANDELSBANKEN RAISED TO BUY AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX
*VERBUND RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS REDUCE AT ODDO

>>> Down
*AMEC FOSTER WHEELER CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*BG GROUP CUT TO MARKET PERFORM AT BMO CAPITAL MARKETS
*CREDIT AGRICOLE CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OUTPERFORM AT MACQUARIE
*FORTUM CUT TO REDUCE VS NEUTRAL AT ODDO
*HENKEL CUT TO UNDERPERFORMM FROM NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE, PT CUT TO €90 FROM €94
*POSTNL CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OUTPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE
*TENARIS CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX

>>> PT Change
*DANONE PT RAISED FROM €60 to €63 AT BARCLAYS (Note atatched)

>>> Initiation


>>> Call
>> Sector
*EUROPEAN CONSTRUCTION SECTOR RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT UBS
*EUROPEAN AUTOS SECTOR RAISED TO NEUTRAL AT UBS
*TOBACCO SECTOR CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT AT UBS