>>> Glenview Capital discloses updated portfolio positions in 1

Glenview Capital discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing with increased CI / HCA positions, closed out TER / SUNE

Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: TWC (~0.9 mln shares)
  • Increased positions in: CI (to ~7 mln shares from ~4.6 mln shares), FMC (to ~11.9 mln from ~6.7 mln), HCA (to ~14.3 mln from ~5.5 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: AMAT (to ~8.2 mln shares from ~19.2 mln shares), JAH (to ~1.5 mln from ~4 mln), PNR (to ~3.6 mln from ~5.5 mln), WRK (to ~1 mln from ~4.4 mln), TMO (to ~5.9 mln from ~8.5 mln)
  • Closed positions in: SIRI (from ~14.8 mln shares), RAD (from ~12.4 mln), TER (from ~12.9 mln), SUNE (from ~9.8 mln)

>>> Paulson & Co discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F f

Paulson & Co discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: New positions in LIVN, AKRX, PFE; closed positions in MGM, HCA, ALTR

Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: LIVN (~3.6 mln shares), AKRX (~2.9 mln) PFE (~0.6 mln) RIGL (~0.5 mln) ETSY (~0.4 mln) DPLO (~0.2 mln) INSM (~0.2 mln), ABBV (~0.1 mln), DWRE (~0.1 mln)
  • Increased positions in: VRX (to ~13.3 mln shares from ~8.9 mln shares), MLNK (to ~8.6 mln from ~6.6 mln), ENL (to ~3.3 mln from ~1.7 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: CVC (to ~3.1 mln shares from ~7.8 mln shares), CIT (to ~3.5 mln from ~7 mln), GLD (to ~5.8 mln from ~9.2 mln), OAS (to ~5.4 mln from ~8.3 mln), FCH (to ~2 mln from ~3 mln), FCH (to ~2 mln from ~3 mln)
  • Closed positions in: MGM (from ~5.8 mln shares), HCA (from ~4.7 mln) ALTR (from ~3.5 mln) CAM (from ~3 mln) INXN (from ~2.5 mln) CYBX (from ~1.9 mln), CSC (from ~0.7 mln), AET (from ~0.4 mln) HHC (from ~0.2 mln)

>>> York Capital discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F f

York Capital discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: New stake in ETE, YHOO; Increased stake in TWC; Trimmed stake in HTZ, CSX; Closed position in CQP, ZTS

Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: CIT (~1.6 mln shares), CCE (~2.3 mln), EMC (~8.4 mln), ETE (~8.4 mln), PFE (~4.1 mln), SYF (~6.5 mln), YHOO (~4.5 mln)
  • Increased positions in: JD (to ~0.2 mln shares from ~0.1 mln shares), TWC (to ~1.2 mln from ~0.8 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: ARMK (to ~1.2 mln shares from ~4 mln shares), CSX (to ~2.9 mln from ~4.5 mln), DISH (to ~2.3 mln from ~3.7 mln), GSAT (to ~18.4 mln from ~27.5 mln), HTZ (to ~4.2 mln from ~9.5 mln)
  • Closed positions in: CQP (from ~3.9 mln shares), PRGO (from ~3.1 mln), ZTS (from ~3.9 mln)

>>> US Close Dow+1.39% S&P+1.65% Nasdaq+2.27% Russell+2.45%

Closing Market Summary: Averages Start Week on Positive Note

The stock market ended its first session of the week on a higher note, with the major indices continuing their rally from the end of last week. Today's trade saw a departure from the recent trend of equities trading lockstep with oil, as well as a persisting appetite for risk in recently sold off sectors. The Nasdaq Composite (+2.3%) ended ahead of the S&P 500 (+1.7%) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+1.4%).

U.S. futures were able to capitalize on positive sentiment out of Europe and Asia thanks in part to dovish comments and a positive view on the banking sector from the President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi. In remarks on Monday, the central bank President defended the banks' capital position and reiterated that the ECB is prepared to do its part to help bolster growth in the region. This sentiment paired with a deal between OPEC and non-OPEC members on a production level freeze was enough to boost futures overnight.

However, market sentiment soured on this deal shortly before the U.S. open, as market participants appeared to favor a production cut agreement. Additionally, doubt over whether Iran and Iraq will participate in the freeze has taken some shine off the deal. Regardless, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Qatar, and Venezuela have proposed a freeze in production at January levels. WTI crude ended its pit session lower by 1.0% at $29.05/bbl.

All ten sectors were able to end their day in positive territory with consumer discretionary (+2.5%), industrials (+2.0%), technology (+1.9%), financials (+1.8%), and health care (+1.8%) leading the pack. These also happen to be the heaviest weighted sectors in the S&P 500, and they outweighed relative weakness in energy (+0.8%). 

In the consumer discretionary space, large-cap Priceline (PCLN 1110.68, +52.67) outperformed ahead of its earnings report before tomorrow's open. Meanwhile, diversified media companies showed relative strength after last week's rough outing. On that note, Viacom (VIAB 34.29, +1.48) rebounded 4.5% after falling 18.1% since its February 8 earnings report.

Money center banks demonstrated relative strength in the financial sector. Morgan Stanley (MS 23.72, +0.63) outperformed after receiving several upgrades including an upgrade at JP Morgan from "Neutral" to "Overweight". Conversely, American International Group (AIG 52.06, -0.94) pulled back slightly from Friday's 4.9% rally.

The high-beta chipmakers outperformed in the heavyweight technology space. Sub-group constituents Micron Technology (MU 10.81, +0.79) and Qorvo (QRVO 40.78, +3.23) helped lead the PHLX Semiconductor Index (+3.5%) with gains of 7.9% and 8.6%, respectively. Meanwhile, large cap Apple (AAPL 96.55, +2.56) outperformed.

In the health care space, Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY 62.18, +1.98) gained 3.3% after Barron's voiced a positive view on the stock over the weekend. Biotechnology had a better showing than the broader health care sector, evidenced by a 3.0% climb in the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 258.72, +7.53).

Treasury yields fluctuated in a narrow range today as the rally in equities went on throughout the day. The yield on the 10-yr note ended its session higher by three basis points at 1.78%.

Today's participation was close to recent averages with more than 1.2 billion shares changing hands at the NYSE floor. 

Today's economic data included the Empire Manufacturing Survey for February and the NAHB Housing Market Index for February.

  • The Empire Manufacturing Survey showed a reading of -16.6 for February (consensus -9.9) versus a prior reading of -19.4. Granted the pace of slowdown decelerated in February, yet things are still a long way from being in a state of expansion in the New York Fed region
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for February came in at 58 from a revised 61 in January (from 60) while the consensus expected the reading to come in at 60.0.

After today's session FOMC voting member and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren is scheduled to speak at 19:30 ET.

Tomorrow's economic data includes the 7:00 ET release of the weekly MBA Mortgage Index while January PPI (consensus -0.2%), January Housing Starts (consensus 1171k), and January Building Permits (consensus 1200k) will be released at 8:30 ET. Separately, the January Industrial Production Report (consensus +0.3%) and Capacity Utilization (consensus 76.6%) will cross the wires at 9:15 ET. Finally, the FOMC minutes from the January 27th meeting will be released at 14:00 ET.

>>> SANDELL discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing

SANDELL discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: New stake in BLT; Increased stake in CVC; Trimmed stake in VIAV, VSLR; Closed position in SUNE, BKD

Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: BLT (~0.5 mln), PMCS (~1 mln)
  • Increased positions in: BRCM (to ~0.3 mln shares from ~0.1 mln shares), CVC (to ~0.5 mln from ~0.3 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: VIAV (to ~3.6 mln shares from ~11.6 mln shares), VSLR (to ~0.1 mln from ~0.9 mln), ALLY (to ~0.5 mln from ~0.7 mln)
  • Closed positions in: BKD (from ~2.5 mln shares), DK (from ~0.4 mln), SUNE (from ~1.6 mln), WIN (from ~2.4 mln)

>>> Par Capital Management discloses updated portfolio position

Par Capital Management discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: new positions in CSX and NSC; increased position in GRUB

Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: CSX (~0.5 mln shares), HCA (~1.1 mln), NSC (~0.5 mln), PAGP (~0.5 mln)
  • Increased positions in: CI (to ~1 mln shares from ~0.1 mln shares), ENSG (to ~0.5 mln from ~0.3 mln), GRUB (to ~2.6 mln from ~0.2 mln), IGT (to ~1.7 mln from ~1 mln), ITG (to ~0.6 mln from ~0.3 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: APA (to ~0.1 mln shares from ~0.3 mln shares), GBX (to ~0.4 mln from ~0.9 mln), SGY (to ~0.2 mln from ~6 mln), TRUE (to ~4.2 mln from ~8.2 mln)
  • Closed positions in: CPA (from ~1.5 mln shares), SAVE (from ~0.3 mln)

>>> Maverick Capital discloses updated portfolio positions in

Maverick Capital discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: new position in KHC; closed position in MTG

Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: CHTR (~1 mln shares), ERIC (~3.7 mln), HDS (~4.2 mln), JAH (~1.8 mln), KHC (~1.5 mln), UNH (~1.4 mln)
  • Increased positions in: ADBE (to ~3 mln shares from ~1.7 mln shares), ARRS (to ~11.6 mln from ~7.9 mln), KSU (to ~3.8 mln from ~2.4 mln), ORI (to ~7 mln from ~5.1 mln), PFE (to ~11.3 mln from ~6.9 mln), PF (to ~4.8 mln from ~3.7 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: AER (to ~0.7 mln shares from ~4.9 mln shares), BUD (to ~0.9 mln from ~2.1 mln), AVGO (to ~0.2 mln from ~0.6 mln), NRF (to ~3.7 mln from ~10.9 mln)
  • Closed positions in: MTG (from ~4.7 mln shares), VRX (from ~0.8 mln)

>>> Eton Park Capital Management discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F fi




Eton Park Capital Management discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: new positions in TWC, AGN, and GMCR

Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: TWC (~1.5 mln shares), AGN (~0.9 mln), EMC (~13.8 mln), GMCR (~2.6 mln), JAH (~2.3 mln), RAD (~8.2 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: ADBE (to ~2.2 mln shares from ~6.6 mln shares), ODP (to ~3.7 mln from ~12.5 mln), PRGO (to ~0.8 mln from ~3.3 mln)
  • Closed positions in: BEAV (from ~1.2 mln shares), C (from ~28.5 mln)

(MS) US Equity Strategy: Bizarro World and The Bull Case


US Equity Strategy: Bizarro World and The Bull Case Is No One Has a Bull Case
Are we on a cube-shaped planet? Should “Us do opposite of all Earthly things?” Everything seems backwards. Sell winners, buy losers, own staples in both up and down markets. Just do the opposite of what makes sense . Bizzaro World.

Martin Marietta reported last week, and they and a couple of other materials companies have blamed their poor quarters on the rain. Even Milli Vanilli’s success with this line turned out to be fake. The rain? Oh, the stock went up a lot that day. Bizarro World. The credit card companies are discounting a consumer recession. The banks are discounting an industrials recession. But, Visa said volumes were good in January, and jobs, housing, delinquencies, confidence, and other metrics appear to belie the market price action. Bizarro World. Companies with good results are being hammered. Companies with bad results have stopped going down, with freight, WMT, and other prior losers outperforming. Bizarro World.

Our portfolio advice has been pretty horrendous lately. As my 90-year old Latin teacher used to tell the class in 1985, “son, you are in left field, without a glove, with the sun in your eyes”.

For those who follow our portfolio, we did quite well over the five years from 2011-2015. But, our portfolio just had its worst month in 61 months in January, and things have not improved in February. The market is down more than we thought it would be. Our biggest sector bet has been financials (particularly credit cards). As an investor recently said to us at a conference, “I am doing a lot of things, just nothing with confidence”. Doing the opposite of what we recommended would have been better. Bizarro World. Or at least hopefully not the real world.

 

http://t.sidekickopen39.com/e1t/o/5/f18dQhb0S7ks8dDMPbW2n0x6l2B9gXrN7sKj6v5dlQxW4XyQDd4WrNJRW5wf5Jx3LvrVvW85mN421k1H6H0?si=5651968104595456&pi=40b2f89e-bd40-4419-8f12-e37509acd14a

>>> EverPoint Asset Management discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F

EverPoint Asset Management discloses updated portfolio positions in 13F filing: new positions in SYF, FDC, & SEM; increased positions in FB & MGM; decreased positions in BDSI & GPK; closed positions in IPG & WEN
Highlights from 2015 Q4 filing as compared to 2015 Q3 filing:
  • New positions in: FDC (~1.2 mln shares), SEM (~1.2 mln), SYF (~2.8 mln), CTL (~0.9 mln), FBP (~1 mln)
  • Increased positions in: FB (to ~1.6 mln shares from ~0.3 mln shares),MGM (to ~1 mln from ~0.1 mln), RLGY (to ~0.7 mln from ~0.1 mln),SGMO (to ~1.9 mln from ~1.1 mln), HTZ (to ~1 mln from ~0.3 mln)
  • Decreased positions in: BDSI (to ~0.4 mln shares from ~3.2 mln shares), GPK (to ~1.5 mln from ~3.9 mln), SPNC (to ~0.2 mln from ~1.1 mln), HOT (to ~0.2 mln from ~1.1 mln), ACHN (to ~1.6 mln from ~2.5 mln)
  • Closed positions in: IPG (from ~1.7 mln shares), SUNE (from ~1.3 mln), WEN (from ~1.7 mln), VNDA (from ~1 mln), FLDM (from ~0.9 mln