>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of July 2025 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Aviva PT Raised to 735 pence from 695 pence at JPMorgan (++)
* CVS Group Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 1,600 pence
* Evli Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 21 euros
* Fresnillo PT Raised to 1,850 pence from 1,450 pence at JPMorgan
* Henkel Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
* HF Sinclair Raised to Strong Buy at Raymond James; PT $54
* ING Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 24 euros
* Intershop Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 152 Swiss francs (++)
* Jardine Matheson Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $57
* Orsted Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 360 kroner
* Skanska PT Raised to 253 kronor at Morgan Stanley
* Warner Music Raised to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn

>>> Down
* Accesso Technology Cut to Hold at Shore Capital
* Addnode Group AB Cut to Hold at DNB Carnegie; PT 125 kronor (++)
* ASML Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 686 euros
* ASML Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 686 euros
* BE Semiconductor Cut to Hold at KBC Securities
* CVR Energy Cut to Underperform at Raymond James
* D'Ieteren Cut to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 210 euros
* DoorDash Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $250
* Enphase Energy Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $37
* Essity Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 230 kronor
* F-Secure Cut to Hold at DNB Carnegie (++)
* Freeport Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $54
* Fresnillo Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 920 pence
* Hexatronic Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 22 kronor
* KBC Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays (++)
* Kesko Cut to Reduce at OP Corporate Bank; PT 19 euros (++)
* L'Oreal Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 325 euros
* Note Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 210 kronor
* Poste Italiane Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 16.50 euros
* Puig Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 21 euros
* Siltronic Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 44 euros
* Soitec Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 40 euros
* SolarEdge Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $23
* Stolt-Nielsen Cut to Hold at Norne Securities; PT 330 kroner
* Teck Resources Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT C$60.25

>>> Initiation
* Amrize Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 45.42 Swiss francs
* Aviva Resumed Neutral at Citi; PT 623 pence
* Bank of Ireland Reinstated Buy at BofA; PT 14.60 euros (++)
* Boku Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 320 pence (+)
* Diversified Energy Rated New Accumulate at Johnson Rice
* EnQuest Rated New Buy at Shore Capital
* Grab Holdings Rated New Buy at GF Securities; PT $5.71
* Heineken Holding Rated New Buy at Baptista Research (++)
* MFE Rated New Accumulate at Banca Akros (++)
* Pandora Rated New Sell at UBS; PT 950 kroner (++)
* Salmar Rated New Buy at Baptista Research; PT 524.80 kroner (++)
* Subsea 7 Rated New Buy at Baptista Research; PT 248.10 kroner (+)
* Swisscom Rated New Neutral at Intesa Sanpaolo (+)
* Watches of Switzerland Rated New Neutral at UBS; PT 400 pence (++)
* Yara Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT 412.70 kroner (+)

>>> Call
* Fresnillo Falls as Morgan Stanley Cuts on Share Price Rally (++)
* Orsted ‘Worth a Fresh Look,’ Morgan Stanley Raises to Overweight
* Soitec, Siltronic Both Cut at Citi, Face Continued Weakness

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of July 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* CVS Group Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 1,600 pence
* Evli Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 21 euros
* Fresnillo PT Raised to 1,850 pence from 1,450 pence at JPMorgan
* Henkel Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
* HF Sinclair Raised to Strong Buy at Raymond James; PT $54
* ING Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 24 euros
* Jardine Matheson Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $57
* Orsted Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 360 kroner
* Skanska PT Raised to 253 kronor at Morgan Stanley
* Warner Music Raised to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn

>>> Down
* Accesso Technology Cut to Hold at Shore Capital
* ASML Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 686 euros
* ASML Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 686 euros
* BE Semiconductor Cut to Hold at KBC Securities
* CVR Energy Cut to Underperform at Raymond James
* D'Ieteren Cut to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 210 euros
* DoorDash Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $250
* Enphase Energy Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $37
* Essity Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 230 kronor
* Freeport Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $54
* Fresnillo Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 920 pence
* Hexatronic Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 22 kronor
* L'Oreal Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 325 euros
* Note Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 210 kronor
* Poste Italiane Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 16.50 euros
* Puig Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 21 euros
* Siltronic Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 44 euros
* Soitec Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 40 euros
* SolarEdge Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $23
* Stolt-Nielsen Cut to Hold at Norne Securities; PT 330 kroner
* Teck Resources Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT C$60.25

>>> Initiation
* Amrize Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 45.42 Swiss francs
* Aviva Resumed Neutral at Citi; PT 623 pence
* Boku Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 320 pence (+)
* Diversified Energy Rated New Accumulate at Johnson Rice
* EnQuest Rated New Buy at Shore Capital
* Grab Holdings Rated New Buy at GF Securities; PT $5.71
* Subsea 7 Rated New Buy at Baptista Research; PT 248.10 kroner (+)
* Swisscom Rated New Neutral at Intesa Sanpaolo (+)
* Yara Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT 412.70 kroner (+)

>>> Call
* Orsted ‘Worth a Fresh Look,’ Morgan Stanley Raises to Overweight
* Soitec, Siltronic Both Cut at Citi, Face Continued Weakness

>>> What to look at today - 15th of July 2025

Asian shares moved in a narrow range as traders awaited inflation data from the US to gauge the impact from President Donald Trump’s tariff war before adding to their portfolios. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index swung between small gains and losses, and shares in mainland China dipped 0.6%. While China’s economic growth beat estimates on strong exports, consumer demand at home remained weak. Equity-index futures for the US were flat, after rising as much as 0.4% when Nvidia Corp. said it plans to resume some chip sales to China. Treasuries and a gauge of the dollar were steady while Bitcoin slipped below the $120,000 level. Japan’s 10-year government bond yield climbed to its highest level since 2008 amid concerns about fiscal spending. Stocks globally have rallied from their slump in April, when wide-ranging tariffs were announced, to record high levels as investors speculate the levies won’t significantly harm the US economy and company earnings. That optimism faces a key test this week as investors read the US inflation print Tuesday, which will give clues on the impact from Trump’s tariffs and the direction for interest rates, and corporate reporting season kicks off. Traders are gearing up for results from big banks early on. While corporate America is bracing for its weakest earnings season since mid-2023, lower estimates could be easier for companies to beat. As US financial giants kick off earnings season Tuesday, strategists say subdued profit expectations are setting the stage for their sizzling run to continue. After months of seeing little inflation, the CPI probably experienced slightly faster growth in June as companies started to pass along higher costs of imported merchandise associated with tariffs. The options market is betting the S&P 500 will swing 0.6% in either direction after Tuesday’s CPI, based on the cost of at-the-money puts and calls, according to Citigroup Inc. That would be in-line with implied moves the past two months, though below an average realized swing of 0.9% over the last year. Meanwhile, China’s economic growth exceeded expectations in the second quarter, but strong exports to markets outside the US masked deepening pressure caused by weak consumer demand at home. The GDP deflator — a broad measure of prices across the economy — declined for the ninth consecutive quarter, extending the longest streak since the quarterly data began in 1993.  Separately, Nvidia plans to resume sales of its H20 artificial intelligence accelerator to China based on assurances from Washington that such shipments would be approved, a dramatic reversal from the earlier stance of Trump’s administration. US government officials have told Nvidia that they would green-light export licenses for the H20, the company said. The news is “obviously positive, not just for the company, but also the AI semiconductor supply chain, as well as China tech platforms that are building AI capabilities,” said Vey-Sern Ling, managing director of Union Bancaire Privee. “This is also a good development for US-China relations.” US After Hours ORGO -26.1%, MDXG -21% lower on CMS proposal; TTD +14.2% to join S&P 500; ALSN +12.3% on Maryland contract win.

Nikkei +0.32% Hang Seng +0.55% CSI -0.17% Shanghai -0.63% Shenzen -0.49%

Eur$ 1.1674 CNH 7.1782 CNY 7.1751 JPY 147.68 GBP 1.3429 CHF 0.7970 RUB 78.0515 TRY 40.2200 WTI$ 66.60 -0.54% Gold 3,360 +0.51% BTC 117,442 -2.24% ETH 3,360 +0.51%

S&P +0.31% Nasdaq +0.49% EuroStoxx +0.39% FTSE +0.19% Dax +0.31% SMI +0.34%

Macro :
- Japan, EU to Issue Joint Statement on Economic Alliance: Yomiuri
- EU Targets Boeing, US Cars and Bourbon With €72 Billion List
- Trump Threatens 100% Russia Tariffs, Vows Arms for Ukraine
- Xi Urges ‘New Model’ for China Urban Development in Rare Meeting
- Japan Bond Rout Touches New Pain Point as 10-Year Yield Rises
- France’s Government Risks Backlash With Stringent Budget Plan

Keep an eye on :
- ACLN SW : Accelleron Prelim 1H Revenue $608.0M
- AFRY SS : AFRY 2Q Operating Profit Misses Estimates
- AKRBP NO : Aker BP Narrows FY Avg Production Forecast
- BMW GY : BMW to Meet Investors as Weak China Sales Overshadow EV Strategy
- BA US : Boeing’s Triple China Deliveries Sign of Easing Trade Tensions
- BST IM : Banca CF+ CEO Open to Consider Offer for Banca Progetto: Sole
- 1211 HK : How BYD caught up with Tesla in the global EV race - FT --> +075%
- COP US : ConocoPhillips Seeks to Expand Oil Exploration in Alaskan Arctic
- DHG ID : Pandox, Eiendomsspar to Make Firm €1.4b Offer for Dalata Hotel
- DOCM SW : DocMorris Gets Cardlink Approval Extension Until Jan. 2027
- DOM SS : Dometic 2Q Ebit Beats Estimates
- ELISA FH : Elisa 2Q Comparable Ebitda Meets Estimates
- ERICB SS : Ericsson 2Q Net Sales Miss Estimates
- INDT SS : Indutrade 2Q Profit After Tax Misses Estimates
- KNDS : German Government to Weigh Investing in Tank Maker KNDS, BZ Says
- KTN GY : Kontron Gets Three-Digit Million Euro Contract With SNCF France
- MC FP : LVMH’s Loro Piana placed under court administration over alleged worker exploitation - FT
- MERY FP : Mercialys Buys Remaining Stake in Hyperthétis for €28M
- META US : Meta’s New Superintelligence Lab Is Discussing Major A.I. Strategy Changes
- MOWI NO : Mowi Prelim 2Q Ebit About EU189M, Est. EU172.5M
- NCCB SS : NCC 2Q Operating Profit Beats Estimates
- 7201 JP : Nissan Says It Will End Production at Oppama Plant in Japan
- NSKOG NO : Norske Skog 2Q Ebitda Beats Estimates
- NVDA US : Nvidia to Resume H20 AI Chip Sales to China in US Reversal
- PNDXB SS : Pandox, Eiendomsspar to Make Firm €1.4b Offer for Dalata Hotel
- PTSB ID : Permanent TSB Holder NatWest Group Offers 63.6m Shares
- RNO FP : Nissan Says It Will End Production at Oppama Plant in Japan
- SHOT SS : Scandic 2Q Net Sales Miss Estimates
- SOLB BB : Solvay Cuts FY Underlying Ebitda Forecast, Misses Estimates
- Starling Bank : Starling Bank Weighs New York Listing, FT Reports
- TSLA US : Tesla’s Long-Awaited India Debut Bets on Luxury Vehicle Buyers
- TSLA US : How BYD caught up with Tesla in the global EV race - FT
- THULE SS : Thule 2Q Net Sales Beat Estimates
- TOM2 NA : TomTom Narrows FY Revenue Forecast
- TTD US : Trade Desk Shares Jump as Company to Join S&P 500 Index
- VOLCARB SS : Volvo Car Takes $1.2 Billion Non-Cash Impairment Over Tariffs

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of July 2025

>>> Up
* CVS Group Raised to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 1,600 pence
* Evli Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 21 euros
* Fresnillo PT Raised to 1,850 pence from 1,450 pence at JPMorgan
* Henkel Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
* HF Sinclair Raised to Strong Buy at Raymond James; PT $54
* ING Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 24 euros
* Jardine Matheson Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $57
* Orsted Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 360 kroner
* Skanska PT Raised to 253 kronor at Morgan Stanley
* Warner Music Raised to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn

>>> Down
* Accesso Technology Cut to Hold at Shore Capital
* ASML Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 686 euros
* ASML Cut to Hold at KBC Securities; PT 686 euros
* BE Semiconductor Cut to Hold at KBC Securities
* CVR Energy Cut to Underperform at Raymond James
* D'Ieteren Cut to Neutral at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 210 euros
* DoorDash Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $250
* Enphase Energy Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $37
* Essity Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 230 kronor
* Freeport Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $54
* Fresnillo Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 920 pence
* Hexatronic Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 22 kronor
* L'Oreal Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 325 euros
* Note Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 210 kronor
* Poste Italiane Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 16.50 euros
* Puig Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 21 euros
* Siltronic Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 44 euros
* Soitec Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 40 euros
* SolarEdge Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $23
* Stolt-Nielsen Cut to Hold at Norne Securities; PT 330 kroner
* Teck Resources Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT C$60.25

>>> Initiation
* Amrize Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 45.42 Swiss francs
* Aviva Resumed Neutral at Citi; PT 623 pence
* Diversified Energy Rated New Accumulate at Johnson Rice
* EnQuest Rated New Buy at Shore Capital
* Grab Holdings Rated New Buy at GF Securities; PT $5.71

>>> Call
* Orsted ‘Worth a Fresh Look,’ Morgan Stanley Raises to Overweight
* Soitec, Siltronic Both Cut at Citi, Face Continued Weakness

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Orsted (D2G TH) +3.1%
    • Orsted ‘Worth a Fresh Look,’ Morgan Stanley Raises to Overweight
  • Ericsson (ERCB TH) +3%
    • Ericsson 2Q Adjusted Ebit Beats Estimates
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +2.6%
    • DocMorris Wins Extension for CardLink Product Use in Germany
  • ASML (ASME TH) +1.6%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +1.5%
  • Stellantis (8TI TH) +1.4%
  • Henkel (HEN3 TH) +1.1%
    • Henkel Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.1%
  • Amrize (J0J TH) +1%
    • Amrize Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 45.42 Swiss francs
  • Pandora (3P7 TH) -1.1%
    • NOTE: *PANDORA DEPUTY CHAIR FRIGAST WON’T STAND FOR RE-ELECTION AT AGM
  • L’Oreal (LOR TH) -1.4%
    • L’Oreal Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 325 euros

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Henkel (HEN3 TH) +1.2%
    • Henkel Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 80 euros
MDAX:
  • Redcare Pharmacy NV (RDC TH) +2.5%
    • DocMorris Gets Cardlink Approval Extension Until Jan. 2027
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) +1.4%
  • RENK Group (R3NK TH) +1.2%
  • LEG Immobilien (LEG TH) +1.1%
SDAX:
  • Friedrich Vorwerk Group SE (VH2 TH) +4.4%
    • EQS-News: FRIEDRICH VORWERK wins a major contract for the realization of the energy transmission pipeline ETL 182 as part of a
  • Kontron (KTN TH) +3.7%
    • Kontron Gets Three-Digit Million Euro Contract With SNCF France
  • Energiekontor (EKT TH) +1.8%
  • Suedzucker (SZU TH) +1.2%
  • Siltronic (WAF TH) -2.6%
    • Siltronic Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 44 euros

WSJ : America’s Biggest Rare-Earth Producer Makes a Play to End China’s Dominanc

America’s Biggest Rare-Earth Producer Makes a Play to End China’s Dominance
Fresh Pentagon investment is turbocharging MP Materials’ goals, but the hurdles it has faced—and still faces—highlight the challenge of reviving the industry in the U.S.

FORT WORTH—At an industrial site in this Texas city, men dressed in head-to-toe protective gear dip giant ladles into a well of molten metal heated to 1,800 degrees Fahrenheit. They’re making something the U.S. has hardly, if ever, produced at commercial scale in recent decades: rare-earth metals.

The factory is the most visible mark of MP Materials’ MP 7.56%increase; green up pointing triangle high-stakes, billion-dollar bet that an American company can take on China’s dominance over the metals—and the magnets they power in everything from cars and smartphones to missile systems.

In recent months, China has used its chokehold over 90% of the world’s rare-earth magnets to cut off access to Western companies, rattling industrial giants such as Ford and Tesla and forcing the U.S. to the table for trade talks.

MP has invested more than $1 billion in new infrastructure and equipment. A mine it controls in California has become the largest source of rare-earth minerals in the Western Hemisphere. Now, with its expanding Texas facility and fresh investment from the Pentagon, the company is racing to complete the supply chain so it can start converting large quantities of its minerals into high-grade magnets.

General Motors is signed up to start taking deliveries later this year. The Defense Department last week committed to invest hundreds of millions of dollars in MP and become its largest shareholder, in a deal that will allow MP to increase its planned magnet production to 10,000 metric tons from the previously planned 1,000. As of now, the name of the new factory is simply “10x.”

A White House spokesman said the deal “marks a major step in rebuilding America’s domestic rare earth industry.” The company’s stock jumped around 50% on the day of the announcement, and has tripled this year. Some rivals also gained.

After years of private and government investment under Trump and Biden, magnet-makers are expanding across the U.S. in an effort to build an industrial base that could meet soaring demand independently of China.

Substantially cutting America’s dependence on Chinese rare-earth magnets won’t be easy, or cheap. But some experts posit it could theoretically be achieved within three to five years, if the current slate of projects push ahead.

Vulcan Elements, a Durham, N.C.-based magnet maker founded by a former Navy officer, plans to supply the military starting next year. Noveon, in San Marcos, Texas, has signed a deal to supply U.S.-made rare-earth magnets to Japan’s Nidec, among the world’s biggest motor makers. German magnet specialist VAC is expected to begin operating a large, Pentagon-funded factory near Sumter, S.C., later this year.

The projects are expected to have a combined capacity to produce several thousand metric tons of the magnets by the end of the year, which adds up to around a third or more of current U.S. imports.

“As we start to build out our permanent magnet manufacturing facilities in the U.S. and elsewhere, China starts to lose that leverage,” said Gracelin Baskaran, director of the critical minerals security program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C.

MP, she added, is “essentially working at warp speed to address one of America’s greatest national and economic security challenges of our time.”

The company’s journey there highlights the hurdles American producers face as they look to reawaken the industry.

Chinese dominance
China still holds most of the rare-earth cards. It has some of the world’s best mines. It also has cheap chemicals for processing, a large technically trained workforce and a stomach for handling toxic rare-earth mining waste.

Western producers have long complained that the country uses its dominance to prevent competitors from emerging, sometimes by flooding the market with supplies, sometimes by adopting restrictive export policies. Beijing has banned the export of key rare-earth technologies and is compiling a list of China’s rare-earth scientists to ensure they don’t share their knowledge abroad.

For some companies, finding another source has become critical.

In April, China began requiring buyers of rare-earth magnets to submit elaborate export applications proving they don’t have military links. The slow processing of these applications forced a Ford SUV plant to temporarily close and sent the wider industry into a panic. One auto supplier paid more than $15 a piece for tiny magnets that usually sell for less than 40 cents, according to a trader familiar with the transaction.

“We cannot get any high-power magnets without China,” Ford CEO Jim Farley said at an event in late June.

Although U.S.-China trade negotiations have led to two separate truces that were supposed to make magnet supplies flow again, exports from China have remained lower than anticipated, especially to defense suppliers.

Some U.S. companies have said they are willing to pay a premium for supply-chain security. They may have to. MP and other emerging suppliers don’t disclose the price of their magnets, but people involved in the industry say they are likely to be, at a minimum, 50% more expensive to produce than China’s.

A rare opportunity
The U.S. has significant underground reserves of rare earths, 17 little-known minerals such as neodymium and samarium. Magnets made from the metals are especially strong, able to attract objects hundreds of times their own weight. But mining and processing the minerals is complex and expensive. The country’s once-thriving industry collapsed in the 1990s and 2000s, unable to compete with China.

A few companies tried at various points to revive it and push into magnet-making. Most failed, incurring big losses for investors. Some in the industry concluded that without government support it was too difficult to beat Chinese prices.

MP co-founders James Litinsky and Michael Rosenthal got into the business almost by accident.

Since the middle of the 20th century, rare earths had been dug from Mountain Pass, a rich deposit in California’s Mojave Desert that for decades dominated global production.

Molycorp, the previous company to run the mine, went bankrupt in 2015 after a surge in Chinese rare-earth exports tanked prices. Litinsky and Rosenthal, childhood friends with backgrounds in finance, had invested in Molycorp bonds, hoping to turn a profit. Few others wanted the mine, and the pair worried that a key strategic asset would be abandoned. In 2017 they gained control of Mountain Pass.

“There was a belief that it couldn’t be fixed,” said Litinsky, MP’s chief executive.

He had gotten rich as a young man, after founding a successful Chicago hedge fund at the age of 28, but was looking for a new challenge. “I certainly didn’t know what I was getting myself into.”

MP needed to generate money, and fast, but Litinsky and Rosenthal encountered a bottleneck. Once the ore is mined, it has to undergo a complex process to separate the rare earths from the rock and then isolate the individual minerals. Almost no one outside of China knew how to do that at affordable prices.

Hiring was difficult; the mine had just eight workers—and a lot of wild donkeys—on a remote site that today sits near a billboard with an alien dressed in a cowboy hat advertising beef jerky.

“We’ve got no money, we’ve got eight people, the site was bankrupt, everyone says the U.S. can’t make rare earths,” said Rosenthal, the company’s operations chief. “We couldn’t go to an engineer and say ‘Want to leave Rio Tinto to join us?’”

MP struck an agreement with a Chinese rare-earth company, Shenghe Resources, to provide upfront financing, in exchange for a small stake in MP. Shenghe would then sell MP’s ore to buyers in China, who refined it and then created magnets

As MP got on firmer footing, it used the money it earned from the arrangement to start building its own processing operations. The Pentagon started chipping in grants that came to around $100 million.

Steep learning curve
Although MP’s initial processing operations removed rare earths from the rest of the ore, the company still had to separate out the individual elements, each of which is nearly chemically identical. Rosenthal likened the challenge to designing a chemical process to sort out blue M&Ms from the rest of the M&Ms, and then extracting the cocoa from those candies.

MP built up a plant in California filled with giant vats, called settler-mixers, that gradually winnow out the most valuable rare earths needed in magnets.

By 2023, it was the only U.S. company separating rare earths at commercial scale, allowing it to bypass Chinese refiners and start selling directly to buyers in the U.S., Japan and South Korea.

It is now expanding to separate another class of rare earths: strategically important heavy rare earths, which MP has been stockpiling at its mine.

Despite the progress, the company struggled to stay consistently profitable.

Starting in 2022, a surplus in Chinese rare earths tanked global prices, part of a pattern of Chinese overproduction of critical minerals including nickel, lithium and cobalt that has forced out Western miners around the globe. As prices kept dropping, investors lost patience. MP’s stock crumbled to a fifth of its previous highs.

“I don’t like to be betting behind losing horses,” CNBC analyst Jim Cramer said last year.

Litinsky believed the company’s strategic importance would at some point translate into financial results. But the company still needed to learn how to actually make magnets, as opposed to just processing the ore and sending the minerals to others.

First, they’d need to find the people who could help them.

Magnetic flux
Since rare-earth magnets are hardly made in the U.S. anymore, many of the people with commercial experience are in their 60s and 70s. MP scoured the world for technical talent, netting an executive with experience at a European magnet factory and others with backgrounds at magnet material companies outside of China.

To lead the project, the company hired Alan Lund, a metallurgist who had run a company developing high-performance metal alloys.

Lund was determined to find an anchor customer that would commit to a long-term sales contract. It turned out to be GM, which had analyzed its supply-chain vulnerabilities after Covid-induced shocks and wanted more options.

The next hurdle was finding production equipment for its Fort Worth factory. MP didn’t want to buy in China, the main producer of magnet-making machinery, afraid that Beijing could hold up shipments. That meant seeking out suppliers of tools such as jet mills and furnaces in North America and Europe.

The equipment was more expensive and sometimes required a nearly two-year lead time. But MP’s decisions looked prescient in 2023, when China began expanding export controls to include magnet-production equipment.

MP also had to master the arcane engineering skills needed to make top-quality magnets, including grain boundary diffusion. That process, often abbreviated as GBD, is a way to apply the most expensive materials in a targeted way on the magnet, dramatically lowering the cost.

China is good at it; few others are.

Long before breaking ground in Fort Worth, MP assembled a dedicated team at a small industrial space dubbed “the Garage”—and sometimes called “Bobcat”—to pore over scientific literature and crack the magnet code. Over several years, the company tested different formulations, eventually developing a heavy rare-earth composition that used GBD, and a customized method that gave magnets a consistent coating.

Now, the company is gearing up for commercial-scale magnet production. The front entrance of its Fort Worth plant has a giant American flag composed of red, white and blue hard hats. Compacted rare-earth powders are placed on heat-resistant racks and stuck into furnaces.

Its goal to become a national rare-earths “champion” that can go toe-to-toe with China was turbocharged last week.

Under the deal reached with the Pentagon on Thursday, the Texas plant’s magnet capacity will be tripled and MP will build a second, larger plant. To protect against price fluctuations, the government is setting a price floor for MP’s rare-earth minerals and guaranteeing the purchase of MP’s magnets, giving the company the confidence to plow ahead. Because the Defense Department will likely only require a portion of the magnets, the rest can be sold to commercial customers, like automakers.

But challenges remain. As MP scales up magnet production, it will need to acquire more heavy rare earths than are available at its California mine, which is no easy feat because there are few producers of those outside of China. Building and operating a massive new facility could also create new snags.

Some of its Western competitors say the government’s decision to invest so heavily in a single company could drive promising startups out of the business, hurting U.S. competitiveness over the long term.

“It’s the government picking winners and losers,” said an executive at one rare-earth business, “and they seem to have made a big bet on one company.”

Litinsky says a secure MP is good for the overall industry. “There’s going to be a lot of growth opportunities,” he said.

FT : Measles cases soar in Europe as vaccine coverage falls short

Measles cases soar in Europe as vaccine coverage falls short
The World Health Organization said infections more than doubled in Europe and Central Asia between 2023 and 2024

Measles cases in Europe and Central Asia have climbed to their highest level for more than a quarter of a century, according to the World Health Organization, more than doubling between 2023 and 2024 as vaccination rates failed to recover to pre-pandemic levels.

Outbreaks of the viral disease have killed children in the US and UK, stoking fears that vaccine hesitancy in high-income countries is threatening hard-won gains from mass immunisation programmes.

“In many ways, vaccination has been a victim of its own success,” said Regina De Dominicis, Europe and Central Asia director for the UN children's agency Unicef.

“Today’s generation has not witnessed the devastating impact of vaccine-preventable diseases — leading to complacency and making it easier for misinformation to take hold.”

Reported measles cases surged from 60,756 in 2023 to 148,974 last year in the WHO’s 53-country European region — which includes Central Asian countries — according to figures released by the UN’s global health body on Tuesday. Cases are now at their highest level since 1997, Unicef added.

A child in Liverpool in England died after contracting the illness, the BBC reported on Sunday. Liverpool’s Alder Hey Children’s Hospital said last week that a number of “seriously unwell” children had been admitted with measles and urged people to get vaccinated.

Even when not lethal, measles can cause blindness and damage organs.

Vaccine sceptic Robert F Kennedy’s installation as US health secretary has raised further concerns about inoculation rates. Kennedy has sought to cast doubt on the safety of the jab against whooping cough, another disease that is resurgent in Europe and Central Asia.

Whooping cough cases have soared to the highest level since records began in 1980 in the WHO European region, hitting almost 300,000 last year, up from 87,558 in 2023 and 6,345 in 2022.

The bacterial disease can be particularly dangerous for babies, increasing the risk of breathing difficulties, pneumonia and seizures.

The proportion of children fully vaccinated against measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) and hepatitis B was at 91 per cent last year, down from 92 per cent in 2019, the WHO said. The coverage level generally considered to create so-called herd immunity for measles is 95 per cent.

Diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis (DTP) and polio jab coverage was at 93 per cent, two percentage points below the pre-pandemic level.

The rise in measles cases is seen as a leading indicator of wider problems with disease prevention. Since the pathogen is highly contagious, infections may reveal patients who are under-vaccinated for other diseases too.  

Kennedy caused widespread alarm last month by attacking the vaccine against whooping cough, which is also highly contagious, at a fundraising event for the Gavi international vaccine alliance.

Health experts criticised his remarks, noting he failed to mention the many studies backing its safety. 

Poor vaccine access, inadequate clinical infrastructure and patient concerns about safety were likely the main reasons for stagnating or falling rates, said Dr David Elliman, a child community health expert and honorary senior associate professor at University College London.

“Well trained healthcare professionals are fundamental to reassuring parents with solid evidence that the vaccines in use are effective — and where serious side effects do occur, they are heavily outweighed by the benefits,” Elliman said.

FT : Donald Trump’s Maga base split over handling of Jeffrey Epstein files

Donald Trump’s Maga base split over handling of Jeffrey Epstein files
Swirling conspiracy theories around the convicted paedophile lead the president’s supporters to turn on his officials

Donald Trump is struggling to contain a spiralling crisis over his administration’s handling of files relating to late paedophile Jeffrey Epstein that has exposed a rare fissure in his Maga movement.

During his election campaign, the president promised to release the so-called Epstein files, which have been at the centre of a long-running conspiracy since the disgraced financier died by suicide in 2019.

But the Trump administration’s handling of the case has provoked an uproar in the president’s Maga base, with theories about Epstein’s death and so-called “client list” threatening to cast a long shadow over the White House.

“When people voted for President Trump, releasing the Epstein files was something that was promised to the base,” far-right activist and Maga influencer Laura Loomer told Politico on Monday. “The base is unhappy, and I think that this issue isn’t going to go away.”

Trump’s problems began when the justice department and the FBI last week published a two-page memo after what they described as an “exhaustive review” of material relating to the disgraced financier who in August 2019 was found hanging in a New York jail cell while awaiting trial on sex trafficking charges involving dozens of underage girls.

The memo concluded there was no “client list” and no “credible evidence” that Epstein “blackmailed prominent individuals as part of his actions”. It also stated he had died by suicide.

The findings flew in the face of myriad conspiracy theories that have circulated in the years since Epstein’s death, often at the hands of Trump’s closest allies.

Prior to entering government, FBI director Kash Patel and deputy director Dan Bongino publicly questioned whether Epstein killed himself or was murdered as part of a vast conspiracy to protect powerful people who had been associated with him.

When asked about the list of Epstein’s clients by Fox News in February, attorney-general Pam Bondi replied: “It’s sitting on my desk right now to review.”

Bondi is now the focus of attack from Maga world, with Loomer and others calling on the president to fire her over the justice department memo.

So far, Trump has staunchly defended his longtime ally, who is seen as integral to the administration’s efforts to overhaul the judicial system.

“Are you still talking about Jeffrey Epstein? This guy’s been talked about for years,” he said when a reporter last week tried to ask Bondi a question during a cabinet meeting.

“We have Texas, we have this, we have all of the things, and are people still talking about this guy? This creep? That is unbelievable,” the president said.

Trump went a step further this weekend, saying in a lengthy post on his Truth Social account late Saturday: “What’s going on with my ‘boys’ and, in some cases, ‘gals?’ They’re all going after Attorney General Pam Bondi, who is doing a FANTASTIC JOB!”

“LET PAM BONDI DO HER JOB — SHE’S GREAT!” he added.

But Bondi remains in the Maga crosshairs. Several of the loudest voices in the movement criticised the administration’s handling of the Epstein case at a conference organised by conservative activist group Turning Point USA this weekend.

Former Fox News host Megyn Kelly called the attorney-general the “villain in this story” in a speech to the gathering.

“You either believe that Pam Bondi was telling the truth then, or that she’s telling the truth now, but both cannot be true,” Kelly said, adding that the saga could “actually cost Trump in the midterms”.

Steve Bannon, Trump’s former chief strategist, told conference attendees that Epstein was a “key that picks the lock on so many things, not just individuals, but also institutions, intelligence institutions, foreign governments and who was working with him on our intelligence apparatus and in our government”.

Bannon and Loomer have been among the most vocal Maga figures calling for special prosecutors to investigate the government’s handling of the Epstein investigations.

It is unclear whether a fresh investigation will satisfy the base — or stop the infighting that has reportedly plagued the administration’s top brass in recent days.

Several US media outlets have reported that Patel and Bongino have complained about Bondi’s handling of Epstein, and Bongino has reportedly threatened to quit. The FBI did not respond to a request for comment.

Trump brushed aside reports of Bongino’s possible departure, saying he had spoken to the deputy FBI director, whom he described as a “very good guy” and said Bongino “sounded terrific”.