NYT : Snapchat’s Path to a Big Payday

Snapchat’s Path to a Big Payday
Snap, the company that runs the social media service Snapchat, is headed for a blockbuster initial public offering of stock in 2017. Here is how Snap got to this point:
Snapchat’s Origins
Created in 2011 by two Stanford University fraternity brothers, Evan Spiegel, 26, and Bobby Murphy, 28, the Snapchat app lets people send messages that disappear. The ephemeral messaging quickly caught on with college and high school students, some of whom used the app to send racy messages and other juvenilia.
Now Snapchat, which is used by more than 150 million people every day, has pioneered new ways to interact with photos, videos and other users, as well as new formats for advertisers to reach customers. The company, which rebuffed a $3 billion acquisition offer from Facebook in 2013, is on track to generate $1 billion in revenue next year, according to the investment bank Jefferies.
This fall, Snapchat changed its name to Snap, indicating that it planned to expand as a company beyond the messaging app. Snap, based in Venice, Calif., also released Spectacles, which are sunglasses with an embedded camera.

A Glossary of Snapchat’s Parts
Snapchat is full of entertaining and addictive features. 
They include:
Chat: Snapchat lets users send messages to one another that disappear within seconds. You have to know your friend’s user name to send a message, which makes Snapchat a place where people tend to connect with those they actually know.
Lenses: The Lenses feature lets people augment their selfies with things like cartoon dog ears, floral hair wreaths and animated butterflies.
Filters: The Filters tool overlays people’s photos with images or stickers. Many Snapchat filters are available based on one’s location; they are known as geofilters. If you are in San Francisco, for example, you may see special stickers with the Victorian homes, known as Painted Ladies, for which the city is famous.
Stories: Snapchat lets users string together photos and short videos to keep a running account of their days. The images disappear over time, so people tend to check in on their friends’ Stories often. People watch Stories for a personal perspective on life.
Live Stories: Snapchat’s editors select images and videos that are taken by the app’s community of users to tell stories about places and events. Users give Snapchat permission to do so via the terms of service. People watch Live Stories for a community perspective on life.
Discover: News and entertainment companies present their stories on Snapchat Discover. Some brands, such as “Saturday Night Live” and the cable network E!, have created Discover-only content, making the Snapchat app feel like a media company in and of itself. People watch and read Discover for an editorial perspective on life.
Memories: This is the Snapchat feature people use to save a personal collection of images and videos. Otherwise, the content on Snapchat — including Discover and Chat messages — will disappear.
Snapchat Ads
The company’s revenue has been growing briskly as advertisers flock to the ad products that are unique to Snapchat. These ad tools look and feel the same as the products consumers use. Advertisers can create their own lenses, as Taco Bell did in May for Cinco de Mayo. The result was a giant taco head that people could integrate with their selfies.

Advertisers can also buy a geofilter. The luxury jeweler Tiffany created a geofilter that worked only when someone was in a Tiffany store. Advertisers can create their own Stories, or create more traditional 10-second video ads that run during Live Stories.
Spectacles
Mr. Spiegel recently introduced Snap’s first hardware product, a pair of sunglasses with embedded cameras, called Spectacles. Wearers can take short videos that automatically upload to the Memories part of Snapchat’s app. While the company has described Spectacles as an experimental toy, the device could provide the app’s editors and advertisers with more content to tell stories and advertise against.
Snapchat’s Users
Snapchat started out as a company for young people. But much like Facebook, which began as a service for high school and college students, Snapchat has started attracting older adults. More than 40 percent of the United States population from ages 18 to 34 use the Snapchat app, and more than half of all new users in the country are older than 25, according to the company.

(Mashable) Rift in Pine Island Glacier points to a coming, broader collapse

Rift in Pine Island Glacier points to a coming, broader collapse  


Scientists say they discovered the "troubling" reason why a massive iceberg splintered off one of West Antarctica's largest glaciers last year, and why this may not bode well for the future of the world's coastal megacities.


Warm ocean waters appear to have melted Pine Island Glacier from underneath, causing a deep subsurface crack that split the ice from the inside out, Ohio State University researchers found.
The 20-mile-long rift eventually broke through the surface and cleaved off a 225-square-mile iceberg in July 2015, according to their study, published Monday in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
Their finding offers further evidence that large parts of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could collapse in coming decades as human-caused climate change and other forces weaken glaciers. Such an event would trigger catastrophic sea level rise and coastal flooding around the world.



"It's generally accepted that it's no longer a question of whether the West Antarctic Ice Sheet will melt, it's a question of when," Ian Howat, the study's lead author and an associate professor of Earth sciences at Ohio State, said in a news release.
"This kind of rifting behavior provides another mechanism for rapid retreat of these glaciers, adding to the probability that we may see significant collapse of West Antarctica in our lifetimes," he added.
Weaker glaciers
Pine Island and the neighboring Thwaites Glacier act like plugs in a kitchen sink: they keep the West Antarctic Ice Sheet's ice streams from flowing directly into the ocean and boosting sea levels.
But as the ice shelves and land-based ice behind them break apart, the main ice sheet loses both its plugs and its defenses against the encroaching warming ocean.

Ice crevasses near the coast of West Antarctica from a window of a NASA Operation IceBridge airplane, Oct. 28, 2016.
IMAGE: MARIO TAMA/GETTY IMAGES
West Antarctica's collapse alone could cause sea levels to rise by more than a meter, or 3.4 feet, by 2100, according to a March study in Nature. Other studies project sea level rise of around 10 feet, an amount that would engulf megacities from New York and Miami to Manila and Dhaka.
Howat and his Ohio State team first noticed the Pine Island rift while they were analyzing Landsat 8 satellite images taken before the iceberg broke off in 2015. The images showed evidence of a rift, which scientists found had started nearly 20 miles inland in 2013, extending out over the next two years.
Rifts typically form on the thin, outermost stretches of an ice shelf that are most vulnerable to breaking into chunks. But this particular rift on Pine Island started near the center of the ice shelf, which tends to be sturdier.

IMAGE: NASA/GSFC SCIENTIFIC VISUALIZATION STUDIO
While scientists have observed inland rifts on the Greenland Ice Sheet, Monday's study is the first evidence of a deep subsurface rift opening within Antarctic ice.
Howat said the rift began at the bottom of a glacial valley in the ice shelf. Warming ocean water likely intruded far inland, weakening the center of the ice shelf from below and creating a deep crack.
"The really troubling thing is that there are many of these valleys further up-glacier," Howat said in the news release. "If they are actually sites of weakness that are prone to rifting, we could potentially see more accelerated ice loss in Antarctica."
Monday’s study will be particularly “useful” for glaciologists trying to project how ice sheets will respond to the changes around them, said Richard Alley, a climate expert and glaciologist at Penn State University, who was not involved in the new research.

A section of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet with mountains, as seen from a NASA Operation IceBridge plane, Oct. 28, 2016.
IMAGE: MARIO TAMA/GETTY IMAGES
Fractures are often difficult to represent accurately in ice-sheet models, because it’s hard to know exactly how breaks will happen, Alley said.
“Think of the ceramic coffee cups you have seen dropped on hard floors — the ones that bounced, or chipped, or broke in a few pieces, or smashed,” Alley told Mashable.
He agreed there is solid scientific evidence that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could experience significant collapse in our lifetimes.
“This is not certain, clearly, but is possible, depending both on decisions humans make, and on processes and conditions that we don’t fully know,” he said.

A section of ice near the coast of West Antarctica, seen from a window of a NASA Operation IceBridge airplane, Oct. 31, 2016.
IMAGE: MARIO TAMA/GETTY IMAGES
Ian Joughin, a senior engineer with the University of Washington’s Applied Physics Laboratory, said he was less certain that Monday’s study offered new insights on the stability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.
He said the Pine Island ice shelf naturally needs to calve icebergs regularly to keep pace with the ice flowing out of Antarctica. “The site where the calving occurred is not remarkably different than that where previous calving events have occurred,” Joughin told Mashable.
He said the new findings are “something to be concerned about, but it’s too soon to tell whether this might be a process that could significantly alter the already substantial pace of retreat” on Pine Island.

Sea ice streaks near the coast of West Antarctica, Oct. 28, 2016 in-flight over Antarctica.
IMAGE: MARIO TAMA/GETTY IMAGES
By studying this type of glacial breaking, scientists could be able to better understand when and how a larger collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet might happen — but not how to stop it.
A separate study recently found that thinning ice and glacier retreat in West Antarctica is "unlikely to be reversible without a major change in marine or glaciological conditions."
The study, published Nov. 23 in the journal Nature, found that the Pine Island Glacier likely first became destabilized in the 1940s following an unusually strong and long-lasting El Niño event in the Pacific Ocean.
The researchers — a team of U.S., British, Dutch, German and Swiss scientists — didn't evaluate the role of human-caused greenhouse gas emissions and global warming in Pine Island's historical melting. But the team noted that, even after the 1940s-era El Niño ended and temperatures cooled off, the glacial retreat hasn't stopped.

(MS) 2017 : European Banks : A Quieter 2017? Buy Swiss

We've long favoured the Swiss low-trigger AT1s and Tier 2s as core holdings. We believe CoCos remain the best value in the Swiss debt structure but here we add a number of high-trigger AT1s and opco and holdco seniors. Expected low volatility, manageable supply and relative value all play roles.

Swiss low-trigger (LT) AT1s and Tier 2s have been staple buys for us since
capital rules were changed in Switzerland earlier this year. With grandfathering
making first calls clear, in our view, we don't need to worry about perpetuity risk
and we also believe regulatory calls (at par or just above) are not possible.
Having reiterated our views here many times, we expand our analysis to look at
the other UBS and CS bonds across the debt stacks.

Our strategists favour financials over non-financials in European credit for 2017,
and considering the political calendar (and despite our economists expecting GDP
growth to be steady and above potential), we believe the Swiss provide safehaven
status. Switzerland is not a member of the EU so it cannot 'Swexit', it has a
stable government and a robust economy and, importantly, it recently revised its
bank capital rules so we have a set of stable regulatory requirements which are
not expected to change any time soon.

New rules on going and gone concern debt should lead to a further CHF5.4bn
(€5bn) of high-trigger (HT) AT1s and CHF32bn (€30bn) of holdco senior. Using
3Q figures, and looking out to January 1, 2020, this equates to less than €1bn of
AT1s per year per bank and, in terms of holdco senior issuance, both banks have
significantly negative net issuance, as opco senior is being refinanced as holdco.
Looking at peers such as BNP, Barclays and ING Group, these issuance numbers
are not large and are entirely manageable, in our view.

How does Swiss resolution work in practice? In terms of debt, all CoCos (holdco,
opco, Tier 2, AT1, low-trigger, high-trigger) would convert or get written down
before the holdco is put into resolution. Any sub debt at the holdco would be
bailed in or converted to equity next, and then senior holdco. We view it as
extremely unlikely that the regulator would then look at the opco for further
bail-in, as this brings with it difficult legal issues. Like UK opco senior debt, we
view Swiss opco senior debt as virtually 'untouchable'.

Trading wide to French and UK peers, we are happy adding more Swiss debt to
our recommendations to buy across the board. We comp CS to Barclays for
senior holdco (litigation risks) and UBS to HSBC Holdings and Lloyds (as strong
credits, the former globally diversified, US earnings). With few comps in £, we
believe CS holdco debt provides good diversification there and elsewhere, both
banks generally trade cheap to peers and clearly do not share the political risks.
Swiss LT CoCo debt has already been shown to be a very low-volatility asset
class this year.