(MAKOR) - Special Situation: E.ON (EOAN: GR) post Uniper (UN01: GR) spin-off

January 11, 2017 

 

MAKOR - Special Situation: E.ON (EOAN: GR) post Uniper (UN01: GR) spin-off - BUY

 

E. ON (EOAN: GR) post Uniper (UN01: GR) spin-off – what can drive the upside?

 

 

Ø 2016 has been a transformational year for E.ON. On January it spun-off its fossil fuel business into a new company – Uniper, and then on September IPO’ed it on Frankfurt stock exchange. 

 

Ø Following the spin-off, E.ON is now focused on clean energy - renewables, energy network and energy efficiency services. 

 

Ø ~70% of E.ON remaining assets following the spin-off are RAB/long contracted assets, with high visibility on earnings and stable cash flows. This makes E.ON’s business model attractive with a defensive growth profile.

 

Ø We believe that the threats of the Nuclear waste-and-storage liabilities, and the capital increase that was anticipated in the market, have been to a large extant removed. 

 

Ø Shares are inexpensive relative to the sector and also offer a free option on the Tax fuel case.

 

Ø Dividends and balance sheet structure remain the key question as current yield is below sector average.

 

Ø At current price we believe risk is skewed to the upside, and our SOTP analysis (page 3) values the shares at ~18% above their market price. We recommend to set Long E.ON and hedge the position with an ETF on European utilities (SX6P).

 

 

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