FT : Rio faces new questions about giant Guinea project



From: LAURENT CHEKROUN (MAKOR SECURITIES LO) At: 11/16/16 02:34:46
Subject: FT : Rio faces new questions about giant Guinea project
Rio faces new questions about giant Guinea project
Company lawyers found emails about $10.5bn payment to consultant more than a year ago

Rio Tinto’s lawyers uncovered more than a year ago internal emails about a questionable $10.5m payment to a consultant, but the mining company did not alert law enforcement authorities and investors about the matter until last week.

The Anglo-Australian group said on November 9 it had notified authorities after discovering emails from 2011 that referred to the payment to the consultant, who helped head off a threat to Rio’s claim to the giant Simandou iron ore project in Guinea.

In the emails, seen by the Financial Times, Alan Davies, the executive in charge of Simandou, discusses with Tom Albanese, then chief executive, and Sam Walsh, then head of iron ore, paying a $10.5m fee to François Polge de Combret, a former top French banker and classmate of Guinea’s president.

Following an internal inquiry begun in August, Rio said last week it had referred the matter to law enforcement authorities in the UK, the US and Australia. The company now faces years of scrutiny and the risk of large fines if it is found to have broken anti-corruption laws.

Rio has suspended Mr Davies, the only one of the three executives in the email chain still at the company. He has not responded to requests for comment.

Rio said last week it discovered the emails in August, after they were anonymously posted online.

But two people with knowledge of the matter told the FT that the emails had been uncovered last year by lawyers working for the company on a legal dispute about the Simandou project.

The law firm, Quinn Emanuel, declined to comment. It reported to the department of Debra Valentine, the Rio executive in charge of legal and regulatory matters.

Ms Valentine had been due to retire next May but stepped down early following last week’s revelations. She could not be reached for comment.

The dispute over Simandou dates back to 2008, when the Guinean dictator of the day stripped Rio of the rights to the northern half of the project and handed them to BSG Resources, the mining arm of Israeli diamond tycoon Beny Steinmetz’s family conglomerate. BSGR went on to agree a $2.5bn deal to bring in Vale of Brazil as its partner.

In 2011, Rio secured its claim to the remaining half of Simandou with a $700m payment to the then new government of President Alpha Condé — a deal which, the emails indicate, Mr de Combret helped to facilitate. The ex-Lazard banker declined to comment.

In 2014, an inquiry launched by the Condé government concluded that BSGR had won its rights to half of Simandou through a bribery scheme. The government cancelled those rights and has yet to reissue them.

Rio reacted in April 2014 by bringing a racketeering lawsuit in New York in which it claimed BSGR, Mr Steinmetz, Vale and others had conspired to steal its Simandou rights.

The case was thrown out on a technicality in November 2015 but not before the parties had embarked on discovery — the process whereby claimants and defendants exchange material ahead of a trial.

An October 2014 court filing by Vale’s lawyers specified the information it wanted Rio to hand over. One section demanded: “All Documents regarding or constituting communications between Rio Tinto and any Third Party relating to Rio Tinto’s rights to Simandou Blocks 1 and 2.”

This was a reference to the half of the deposit that had been taken from Rio and handed to BSGR.

The 2011 emails that triggered the internal inquiry by Rio in August appear to fall squarely within the scope of Vale’s request for disclosure.

For instance, Mr Davies writes in one of the emails that, thanks to Mr de Combret’s efforts, “there is also now a glimmer of possibility that we may be able to move ourselves into a useful position in relation to [blocks] 1 and 2”.

People with knowledge of the matter said Rio’s lawyers came across the emails as they compiled documents to be disclosed in the discovery process.

It is unclear whether, after Quinn Emanuel found the emails, Ms Valentine’s department took any action, or contacted Mr Walsh, who in January 2013 had succeeded Mr Albanese as chief executive.

The FT has been unable to obtain comment from Mr Walsh, who stepped down as Rio chief executive in July. Mr Albanese has declined to comment.

Following Rio’s disclosures last week, Guinea’s government said it “had no knowledge, at the time in 2011, that Mr Polge de Combret acted in any capacity on behalf of … Rio Tinto”.

It added that it had “received no specific allegation of corruption” but that it would “follow any development in the self-reporting procedures initiated by Rio Tinto closely and will conduct all investigations that may be necessary to assist the relevant authorities with their mission”.

Jean-Sébastien Jacques, Rio’s current chief executive, told staff this week that the company did not take “lightly” a decision to contact regulators about the $10.5m payment to Mr de Combret. He added the company was taking “this situation very seriously”.

BSGR has always maintained it did nothing wrong in Guinea and that it was the victim of a plot by the government and its allies to confiscate its rights illegally. The company has seized on recent allegations of bribery against the Condé government in a separate legal case as well as Rio’s disclosures last week to argue that it is being vindicated.

>>> Bayer - Completes placement of €4B mandatory convertible not

Bayer - Completes placement of €4B mandatory convertible notes with institutional investors
- The notes will be issued at par with a coupon of 5.625% per annum.
- The minimum conversion price has been set at €90.
- The maximum conversion price has been set at €108, representing a maximum conversion premium of 20%.
- The notes will mature on 22-Nov-19.
- BofA Merrill Lynch, Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan are acting as Joint Global Coordinators and Joint Bookrunners.

FT: RWE and Eon find fortunes diverge

RWE and Eon find fortunes diverge

Hiving off ‘dirty’ gas and coal-fired power stations seems to have been a mistake


Three months ago, investors wanting exposure to Germany’s utilities had a choice of two leading companies. Now, after one of the biggest restructurings the German power industry has seen, they have four.

Both RWE and Eon have divided themselves in two, creating respectively the entities Innogy and Uniper, which listed within less than a month of each other on the Frankfurt stock exchange.

Suddenly, an industry that seemed to be in perpetual crisis has something to brag about. Shares in Innogy and Uniper have risen since their flotations.


For Stephan Lehrke, senior partner at Boston Consulting Group, the utilities “are now looking to the future” and can start thinking about growth options, as well as even mergers and acquisitions. “The risks are still there but they’re manageable now,” he says.

The restructuring has radically redrawn the German energy landscape by splitting it into two parts — ostensibly a “clean” one and a “dirty” one. RWE and Uniper have the old gas and coal-fired power stations that symbolise Germany’s fossil fuel past, while Eon and Innogy hold the clean, green businesses such as infrastructure and renewables. The original companies, Eon and RWE, are still operating the nuclear assets and are liable for any bills and future clean-up costs.

“We’re allowing investors the option to position themselves in one or the other risk class,” Johannes Teyssen, chief executive of Eon, said in an interview earlier this year.

The Innogy and Uniper listings come after a long period when their parent companies were seen as near-hopeless basket cases, as they staggered like wounded giants from the impact of Germany’s revolutionary embrace of renewables — the so-called Energiewende, “energy turning point”.

RWE and Eon found the power generated from their coal and gas-fired plants squeezed out of the market by heavily subsidised wind and solar energy.

The companies were also affected by a decline in the wholesale price of electricity and Germany’s decision, in the wake of the 2011 Fukushima disaster in Japan, to close all its nuclear power stations by 2022.


They face another hit. Last month the government confirmed an announcement that it made in April that Germany’s four nuclear energy companies — RWE and Eon along with Vattenfall and EnBW — should pay a combined €23.6bn into a state-controlled fund to cover the cost of storing Germany’s nuclear waste. This is €6.2bn more than the four had provisioned for.

The storage cost problem is make-or-break for RWE and Eon. Guido Hoymann, a utilities analyst at Bank Metzler, says the flotations of Innogy and Uniper pale into insignificance next to the nuclear issue. Reaching a mutually-acceptable solution on storage costs “is critical for the future of both companies”, he says, and “key to their survival”.

It is one of the reasons why, for Eon, the spin-off of Uniper has proved to be something of a false dawn. “Eon hoped that its shares would re-rate after the [Uniper] IPO,” says Roland Vetter, head of research at PraXis Partners, a utilities-focused investment fund. “But people have woken up to the fact that its balance sheet is stretched.”

The nuclear problem is one of the main factors in that.

Eon had more bad news last week when it announced a widening net loss of €9.3bn in the first nine months of the year, after booking an impairment charge of €6.1bn against Uniper. But Bernstein analyst Deepa Venkateswaran says the results were not all bad: Eon also announced that a potential capital raising to finance the additional cost of the nuclear clean-up would be capped at €1.3bn — analysts had expected it to be as high as €2bn — and said it had ruled out the option of a dilutive rights issue.

RWE owns 75 per cent of something worth €20bn, Eon owns 46 per cent of something worth €4bn
Roland Vetter
For RWE, on the other hand, the outlook has improved since Innogy’s flotation. The listing valued Innogy at €20bn, more than twice RWE’s current market capitalisation and five times more than the market value of Uniper. It raised €5bn, €2bn of which goes to Innogy and €3bn to RWE — a useful infusion of cash.

Meanwhile, RWE will retain 75 per cent of the new company. “Then, if it gets into financial trouble, or if it needs money to help it meet its nuclear liabilities, it can just sell more Innogy stakes,” says one industry consultant who follows the German utilities closely.

In the view of some analysts, RWE’s strategy of hiving off the green assets — rather than following the example of Eon and spinning off the conventional power stations — has proved to be the more sensible approach.

“RWE owns 75 per cent of something that is worth €20bn, while Eon owns 46 per cent of something that is worth €4bn,” says Mr Vetter.

>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: Yuan fix set at multi-year lows again as USD rally continues; Australia Q3 wage growth at record lows

***US Session Highlights***
- (SA) Saudi Energy Min al Falih expected to travel to Doha for production talks with other oil ministers on Friday - press
- (US) Fed's Rosengren (moderate, FOMC voter): We should now be raising rates
- (US) Fed's Tarullo (dovish, FOMC voter): rate hikes are now more on the table than they were before, but still grounds for caution in rate hike debate
- (US) Fed Vice Chair Fischer: 'flash crash' market events may become more frequent; higher capital ratios mitigate fire sale risks
- (US) Fed's Kaplan (moderate, non-voter): the sooner, the better on rate hikes - comments in Texas
- (US) Atlanta Fed GDPNow: raises Q4 GDP forecast to 3.3% from 3.1% on Nov 9th
- (US) Speaker Ryan (R-WI) re-nominated unanimously by GOP to remain as Speaker of the House - press

***US markets on close: Dow +0.3%, S&P500 +0.8%, Nasdaq +1.1%***
- Best Sector in S&P500: Materials
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Healthcare
- Biggest gainers: AAP +15.0%, CHK +10.6%, MUR +9.1%, APA +7.6%, CNC +6.2%
- Biggest losers: SNI -4.2%, AIV -4.1%, AVB -3.6%, REGN -3.6%, UDR -3.5%
- At the close: VIX 13.4 (-1.1pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 0.99% (-1bp), 10-yr 2.24% (+2bps), 30-yr 2.97% (-1bps)

***US movers afterhours***
- ALR: Settles lawsuit with Abbott over bribe investigation documents - financial press; +2.3% afterhours
- MTSI: Reports Q4 $0.54 v $0.56e, R$152.7M v $150Me; -3.0% afterhours
- NVTA: To offer $40M shares of common stock through JPMorgan (15% of market cap); -6.2% afterhours
- FLXN: Announces secondary offering size is 3M shares through Wells Fargo, RBC and BMO, we're told; -6.4% afterhours
- LNTH: To offer 3M shares of common stock (8% of shares outstanding); -7.9% afterhours

***Asia Session Notable Observations, Speakers and Press***
- Sectors in the Trump victory rally took a back seat to those that have underperformed, with Tech, Utilities, and Materials outperforming Healthcare, Industrials, and Financials.
- Oil prices consolidating today's 5% increase in the US session that followed Saudi energy min expressing commitment to production curbs in upcoming talks; Subsequent comments from OPEC Sec Gen indicated OPEC countries are "all hands on deck" to meet Nov 30th target.
- Australia Q3 wage price data were the most notable in an otherwise quiet session, falling to record low on annualized basis. Despite the slowing wage inflation, Citi economists noted that for the first time in 2 years, OIS markets are pricing in an RBA hike over next 12 months, even though inflation expectations see "a rise only to the bottom of the 2-3% target."
- Chinese Yuan midpoint fix was once again set at multi-year lows, tracking ongoing strength in the greenback during the US session. Former PBoC advisor Yu remarked that economic fundamentals do not support long term yuan falls, and that the market may experience an "over-correction" in CNY decline.
- BOJ Gov Kuroda speaking in Parliament warned the central bank is closely monitoring profit margins of regional banks amid negative interest rate policy. Nikkei also reported PB Abe will push for FY17/18 wage hikes that at least match the 2.14% growth in FY16/17.

***Asia Key economic data:***
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q3 WAGE PRICE INDEX Q/Q: 0.4% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 1.9% (record low) V 2.0%E
- (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES M/M: -2.4% v 2.5% PRIOR; Y/Y: 1.2% v 0.8% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: 0.1% V 0.1% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN Q3 HOUSING LOANS Y/Y: 2.7% V 2.4% PRIOR

***Asian Equity Markets (23:00ET)***
- Nikkei +1.1%, Hang Seng +0.6%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%, ASX200 +0.1%, Kospi +0.7%

***FX ranges/Commodities/Futures/Fixed Income (23:00ET):***
- EUR 1.0715-1.0760; JPY 108.80-109.20; AUD 0.7540-0.7570; NZD 0.7080-0.7115
- Dec Gold +0.6% at 1,231/oz; Dec Crude Oil -0.5% at $45.59/brl; Copper -0.7% at $2.49/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 1.4 tonnes to 927.5 tonnes; lowest since June
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: +3.7M v +4.4M prior (4th straight build)
- Equity Futures: S&P e-mini +0.1%, Dax +0.1%, FTSE100 -0.1%
- (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.8592 V 6.8495 PRIOR; weakest Yuan setting since 2008; 9th straight day of weaker Fix
- (CN) China MoF sells 7-yr bonds at 2.79% v 2.80%e; bid-to-cover 2.59x
- (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥400B in 1-3yr JGBs, ¥420B in 3-5yr JGBs, ¥410B in 5-10yr JGBs
- (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$900M in 3.25% 2025 Bonds; avg yield: 2.5613%; bid-to-cover: 2.61x

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: China Southern Airlines 1055.HK +0.9% (Oct result); Car 699.HK -1.1% (9-month result); Navitas NVT.AU +1.6% (guidance); LG Corp 003550.KR +1.9% (Credit Suisse raised to outperform)
- Financials: OzForex Group OFX.AU +6.7% (Macquarie raised to outperform); National Storage REIT NSR.AU +1.8% (JPMorgan raised to overweight)
- Industrials: Virgin Australia VAH.AU +3.2% (guidance); GrainCorp GNC.AU -0.1% (FY16 result); Hyundai Heavy 009540.KR +7.5%, Hyundai Mipo Dockyard 010620.KR +6.8% (business spin-off)
- Technology: LG Display Co 034220.KR +4.7% (takeover chatter); Brambles BXB.AU -0.5% (affirms guidance)
- Materials: Newcrest Mining NCM.AU +2.9%, Resolute Mining RSG.AU +2.0% (Gold climbs); Paladin Energy PDN.AU -2.9% (Q1 result)
- Energy: Woodside WPL.AU +2.8%, Oil Search OSH.AU +3.8%, Beach Energy BPT.AU +6.8% (Crude prices surge)

FT : JLR’s first electric car shines light on strategy

JLR’s first electric car shines light on strategy
UK’s largest carmaker is contending with challenges including technology and Brexit
Read next

Jaguar Land Rover unveils its first electric SUV

Much like its new electric car, Jaguar Land Rover does not make much noise.

While upmarket rivals including BMW and Mercedes regularly update investors and the media about their plans on electric propulsion and self-driving systems, JLR instead beavers away in the background on new cars, only showing them to the world when they are ready.

On Monday at the Los Angeles motor show, JLR finally unveiled its first electric car — the Jaguar I-PACE — and this has served to put the company’s strategy under the spotlight.

Britain’s largest carmaker is late to join the fast-developing electric vehicle market, where industry upstart Tesla is threatening the position of established carmakers, including JLR. This in turn raises questions about whether the UK company’s relatively conservative approach to key technologies could harm its future prospects.

JLR is also grappling with the possible consequences of the UK’s vote in June to leave the European Union.

Ralf Speth, JLR chief executive, acknowledges the complex issues raised by Brexit, but rejects the idea the company is less innovative than core competitors, and believes the I-PACE sport utility vehicle is strong evidence of this.

“As a small company, we are more mobile than our competitors,” he says in an interview with the Financial Times.

JLR has enjoyed strong growth in revenue and profit since being acquired by India’s Tata Motors in 2008 — partly due to the success of the Range Rover Evoque — but it is now contending with major challenges.


The economic slowdown in China — JLR’s second most important market after the UK — was a key factor in the company in 2015-16 reporting its first decline in annual pre-tax profit during the Indian group’s stewardship. However, in the first half of 2016-17, JLR recorded a profit of £679m, compared to £481m one year earlier, when earnings were depressed by one-off charges.

The company’s financial performance has been affected by Brexit. Although JLR sells only 20 per cent of its cars to EU markets — compared to 80 per cent from UK plants run by Nissan, Toyota and General Motors’ Vauxhall unit — the company buys half its components from continental Europe. This has left JLR with higher costs following sterling’s fall in value since the EU referendum.

Privately, senior JLR directors are “concerned” about Brexit, according to two people who know several company executives well. The company has told the UK government that JLR must enjoy tariff free trade with the EU after Brexit if it is to remain competitive.

The company’s options for moving manufacturing from Britain — if the UK struggles to maintain satisfactory access to the EU single market — are limited because JLR does not own multiple factories in continental Europe.

The company has plants in Brazil and China, but the bulk of its manufacturing is done at its UK factories at Solihull, Castle Bromwich and Halewood.

A large new JLR plant in Slovakia, capable of making 150,000 cars each year as well as doing research and development work, is due to open in 2018.

But acutely aware of its UK heritage in the Midlands region, JLR insists it is not looking for excuses to divert work from Britain. “We want to stay here and make here,” says Dr Speth.

It is notable however that manufacturing of Jaguar’s new I-PACE, including the batteries, is being outsourced, because JLR’s existing factories are running at full capacity.

This is the first time the company has done this — the SUV will be assembled in an Austrian factory owned by Magna, a Canadian carmaker.


In the long term, JLR aims to move the I-PACE assembly to the UK, where the company is considering making batteries.

JLR has secured outline planning permission to build a battery factory in an area known as Whitley South, close to its headquarters in Coventry.

Plans for a much bigger expansion project in the Coventry area, which could provide the company with additional manufacturing capacity on up to 200 acres of land, are also lodged with local authorities, according to two people with knowledge of the proposals. This land could be used to make electric as well as conventionally powered cars.

JLR has been “slow to the party” on electric propulsion, according to Professor David Bailey, an industrial policy expert at Aston Business School.

“They have been sceptical about the electric car market,” he says. “But now they realise they have to enter the market. Tesla have taken a chunk of the premium market and they have to get into it.”


But the industry race is not confined to battery-powered cars. JLR will test a fleet of more than 100 driverless cars on UK roads over the next four years, and, like BMW and Ford, it is cautious about rolling out the technology until these systems can operate vehicles without any human intervention.

This contrasts with Tesla, for example, which is pushing ahead with partially autonomous vehicles now. Daimler’s Mercedes has a similar approach.

JLR will be less affected by the autonomous vehicle battle because “people who buy their cars will be less likely to demand driverless technology”, says one consultant who declines to be named.

Nevertheless, the company faces some “pretty tough headwinds”, including rising technology costs, adds this person.

“Why will people buy Jaguars or Range Rovers in the future? It’s because they want something a bit special,” he says. “The company has a bright future, but it is as a niche brand.”