WSJ : Outcome, a Hot Tech Startup, Misled Advertisers With Manipulated Informati

Outcome, a Hot Tech Startup, Misled Advertisers With Manipulated Information, Sources Say
With funding from Goldman Sachs and Google’s parent, Chicago-based firm reported a $5.5 billion valuation. The company says it is reviewing allegations against employees and has strengthened policies

In an era of celebrity tech entrepreneurs, Chicago has its own local star in Rishi Shah, a charismatic 31-year-old who has parlayed his advertising startup into connections with political and financial heavyweights.

A major donor to the Democratic Party, Mr. Shah has recently held private meetings at his office with Sens. Chuck Schumer and Elizabeth Warren. Fortune named him to its “40 Under 40” list. Forbes crowned him one of the world’s newest billionaires.

Mr. Shah’s startup, Outcome Health, installs video screens in doctors’ offices and charges pharmaceutical companies to run ads on them aimed at patients. After investors including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Google parent Alphabet Inc. poured around $500 million into Outcome at what the Chicago company said was a valuation of $5.5 billion in May, prominent venture capitalist Bill Gurley tweeted that Mr. Shah, its chief executive, was “the real deal.”

Somewhat less real were aspects of some deals Outcome cut with pharmaceutical advertisers, say former employees along with several advertisers. Interviews with these people as well as internal documents and other material from Outcome reviewed by The Wall Street Journal show how some employees misled pharmaceutical companies by charging them for ad placements on more video screens than the startup had installed.

Some Outcome employees also provided inflated data to measure how well ads performed, created documents that inaccurately verified that ads ran on certain doctors’ screens and manipulated third-party analyses showing the effectiveness of the ads, according to some of these people and documents.

The altered reports and data, they say, helped increase business for Outcome, whose customers have included drug companies such as Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. and Novo Nordisk A/S. Those two companies declined to comment. Outcome doesn’t publicly disclose results. It told investors it estimated 2016 sales at about $130 million, up from about $7 million in 2012, according to a presentation reviewed by the Journal.

Lanny Davis, a lawyer Outcome hired as spokesman after the Journal’s inquiries, says the company has hired the law firm of former U.S. attorney Dan Webb “to review allegations about certain employees’ conduct that have been raised internally.” He says Outcome “has always upheld the highest ethical standards” and has adopted new policies throughout 2017 to comply with customer contracts.

Mr. Davis, former special counsel to President Bill Clinton, says Outcome has put three employees on paid leave, including Ashik Desai, a top lieutenant of Mr. Shah’s, “while concerns that have been raised about his conduct are reviewed.” Mr. Desai didn’t respond to inquiries, and Outcome didn’t make him available for comment.

“We are proud of the company we and our employees have built,” said Mr. Shah and Outcome President Shradha Agarwal, in an emailed statement responding to questions about Outcome employees’ alleged misleading of clients. “Of course, we have had growing pains as we scaled from 4,000 to 40,000 doctors’ offices—every high-growth company does. That is why we have taken many steps to implement best practices.”

The two executives declined to be interviewed. The Journal review found nothing to demonstrate top executives’ involvement in the alleged misleading of advertisers.

Outcome is the latest in a series of highly valued startups that promise to overturn old industries with new technologies. Outcome has said its mission is to “activate the best health outcome possible for every person in the world” and provide “actionable health intelligence at the moment of care.”

In practice, it puts flat screens and tablets in doctors’ offices and gets paid by pharmaceutical companies to run ads on them. The screens, which also run educational content, are free to the doctors. The approach digitizes an industry that long tried to reach patients by placing posters, pamphlets and closed-loop television in waiting rooms.

‘Make goods’
Outcome is now providing tens of millions of dollars in free advertising to customers, including Sanofi SA and Biogen Inc., people familiar with the arrangements say. It returned millions of dollars in cash to Pfizer Inc., say people familiar with the refund.

Mr. Davis says Outcome as a policy offers “make goods” to advertisers when it fails to meet contract terms. He says Outcome can’t discuss specific cases involving clients because of confidentiality agreements, including all the pharmaceutical companies mentioned in this article.

A week before Outcome announced the funding round in May, Mr. Shah warned his staff during an employee meeting that the first quarter was “very tough” and that the company had missed expectations, according to a recording of the staff meeting reviewed by the Journal.

To save money, Outcome recently slashed employee travel, according to a staff memo reviewed by the Journal. At least seven executives have departed this year, some shortly after joining, including an operating chief, Sameer Kazi, who confronted Mr. Shah with concerns about business practices, say people briefed on the discussion. Mr. Kazi in a brief phone conversation this summer said he was at the company “two weeks and three days” early this year, declining to comment on his departure.

Mr. Davis says Mr. Kazi’s departure was amicable and that some two dozen executives have also been added in 2017.

Outwardly, Outcome projects a bright future. In late September, Mr. Shah stood next to Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel for a ceremony in the lobby of the 29-story glass building to be renamed “Outcome Tower” where the company recently leased 394,000 square feet, typically enough space for roughly 2,500 staff, though it has fewer than 500 in the city today. The Chicago-area native announced that his company planned to expand its Chicago workforce by 2,000 by 2022. Mr. Emanuel pronounced that “as Outcome goes, so goes Chicago.” Mr. Emanuel’s office didn’t respond to inquiries.

Hours later, Mr. Shah met with executives in a hotel conference room to finalize plans for layoffs, says a person familiar with the planning. By the end of the week, they had laid off at least 76 of their 600-plus total employees. Mr. Davis says Outcome hired more people in the third quarter than it cut that week and has hired about 20 more since.


Growth Story
Outcome Health's revenue
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$150
125
100
75
50
25
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’15
’13
’14
’16*
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Source: company presentation
Outcome, registered in Delaware as ContextMedia Health LLC, was founded in 2006. It began its swift ascent after 2012, and with it rose Mr. Shah’s profile. He regularly flies on private planes and helicopters for business and pleasure, say people familiar with the travel. Mr. Davis says Mr. Shah personally pays for the flights.

Mr. Shah donated over $600,000 to the Democratic Party’s joint fundraising committee for the 2016 election and held a $50,000-a-plate fundraiser for Hillary Clinton at his Chicago mansion. In July, Sen. Warren stopped by his office, followed in September by Sen. Schumer.

A spokesman for Mrs. Clinton and a spokeswoman for Sen. Warren didn’t respond to inquiries. A spokesman for Sen. Schumer confirmed the meeting with Mr. Shah.

Mr. Shah holds a majority stake in Outcome after the fundraising round with Goldman and Alphabet’s CapitalG unit, making him a billionaire on paper in the deal.

Representatives for Goldman and Alphabet didn’t respond to inquiries. Mr. Gurley, the venture capitalist who lauded Mr. Shah at the time, declined to comment; his firm isn’t invested in the company.

A pharmaceutical company wanting to advertise on Outcome’s doctor network typically gives the startup a list of specific doctors whose patients the pharmaceutical company wants to target. A diabetes-medication company, for instance, might want to advertise in endocrinologists’ offices.

Outcome’s analysts match the drug company’s target list against its own list of offices with its screens installed, called its “list match” process. Outcome typically billed clients for what it said was the number of matched screens.

From at least 2014 through 2016, Outcome sometimes charged companies for a list match showing more screens than it had installed, sometimes by as much as double, say people familiar with the process.

Asked if there were cases where clients weren’t informed that a match list included doctors without screens, Mr. Davis says: “Yes. These are among the issues” that the independent counsel will review.

Outcome sometimes charged for doctors it hoped would install its screens but hadn’t yet, say some of the people. Other times, it charged for multiple doctors practicing at the same address, but in different office suites, even if not all had its screens installed.

Mr. Davis says that when the company fails to meet contract terms, it offers make-goods. “Company policy, both currently and historically, is to communicate an accurate list match with transparency to our clients.”

Outcome would give advertisers the numbers of doctors and screens but sometimes declined to provide a full list of matched doctor names, citing privacy concerns, making it more difficult for advertisers to independently verify ads were running, say some of the people familiar with Outcome’s processes.

Mr. Davis says Outcome shares doctors’ identifying information with clients if they agree not to disclose it.

The executive directing the list-match process has long been Mr. Desai, whom Mr. Shah hired in 2012. In October 2014, Mr. Desai gave instructions to prepare a match of doctors for Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH, which wanted to run ads for its drug Spiriva, according to internal messages reviewed by the Journal.

Mr. Desai gave instructions to send to a salesman a list of 4,000 doctors and 2,100 offices for the client, which included some doctors without screens installed, says a person familiar with the matter. The salesman, and by extension the client, weren’t informed of that fact, says this person.

A Boehringer spokeswoman says the company doesn’t discuss advertising partnerships, saying: “We are looking into this matter further.”

Earlier that summer, Johnson & Johnson complained to Outcome after its field representatives noticed there were no screens in some offices where J&J was being charged to run ads for an arthritis drug, according to documents and people familiar with the dispute. Mr. Desai and Mr. Shah apologized and agreed to decrease J&J’s cost, say these people.

A J&J spokeswoman declined to comment on the episode. J&J, she says, expects suppliers to “represent their capabilities accurately.”

The incidents of charging advertisers for doctors without screens continued at least through the end of 2016, say some of the people familiar with the company’s practices.

This summer, Outcome hired media-audit firm BPA Worldwide to audit its network. BPA’s Senior Vice President of Auditing, Richard Murphy, says his firm verified the size of Outcome’s network and delivery of ads for one ad campaign.

Doctored screenshots
Some advertisers required Outcome to provide affidavits with screenshots showing their ads had run in doctors’ offices. Outcome employees sometimes grabbed a screenshot of an ad from their own computers, edited it to add a timestamp and doctor identification number to make them appear genuine, and affixed Mr. Desai’s electronic signature, say people who prepared the documents.

Mr. Davis says such use of screenshots would violate company policy. “We do not know of any instance in which this happened, but these are among the issues” that the independent counsel will review, he says. Outcome is able to capture “live” screenshots remotely from doctors' offices, he says.

Advertisers also asked Outcome to survey patients and doctors to see how they responded to ads. The surveys sometimes got little response, say people with knowledge of the surveys. In one case, an employee asked Mr. Desai to approve a made-up number of respondents to a survey for client Tandem Diabetes Care Inc., according to an internal message.

“Yea I’d inflate it a bit more :),” Mr. Desai said in response. Tandem declined to comment.

Mr. Davis says Outcome doesn’t know of any instance of providing inaccurate survey results.

Outcome has also been accused of altering third-party reports. To convince advertisers their ad campaigns are worthwhile, Outcome commissions agencies including QuintilesIMS, also known as IMS, to estimate how many more prescriptions are written for a drug thanks to ads it runs. Outcome passes the reports to clients.

In May 2016, a representative for Boehringer’s diabetes drug Tradjenta contacted IMS about data in a report forwarded by Outcome, says a person familiar with the episode. When IMS compared the report Boehringer had received with the one IMS had sent to Outcome, it noticed discrepancies in the data, according to an email reviewed by the Journal.

In the email, an IMS representative complained to Mr. Desai, listing inconsistencies and erroneous numbers and emphasizing the importance of “strong ethics.” Mr. Desai responded in an email that IMS’s findings were “terribly concerning,” pledging to get to the bottom of what happened. In a later email, he blamed an unnamed data scientist.

The incidents of altering IMS reports before sending them to clients happened multiple times, say people familiar with the reports.

The Boehringer spokeswoman declined to comment on the incident. An IMS spokesman says: “We expect clients to use our data in a responsible and appropriate manner.” Mr. Davis says Outcome has policies to ensure metrics are reported accurately to clients.

In November 2014, an employee expressed nervousness to Mr. Desai when early data for ads running on tablets for a J&J ulcerative-colitis drug showed clicks were a minute fraction compared with numbers previously shared with J&J, internal messages reviewed by the Journal show. The two discussed what the employee called “very poor engagement” for that tablet campaign. They also discussed similar discrepancies in tablet campaigns run by Novo Nordisk, Biogen, AbbVie Inc., Tandem and Astellas Pharma Inc., the messages show.

Mr. Desai outlined a plan to “use the holidays” to slowly lower numbers shown to those clients, according to a message reviewed by the Journal.

“I mean not to the extremes of reality,” he said. “But lower.”

Mr. Davis says “these are among the issues” to be addressed by the independent counsel. “The company strongly denies the practice of misreporting of campaign information,” he says. “The company’s policy is to accurately report information to every customer on every program.”

The pharmaceutical companies declined to comment.

Over all, Mr. Davis says that “if there was any intentional misconduct, and the company finds out, severe actions will be taken.”

>>> What to look at today - 13th of October 2017

US MARKET: US Sales Trading – OFF HIGHS AND NOW EARNINGS THE DRIVER. CITI GROUP DOWN 3.4% and JPMORGAN DOWN 0.88% struggled after #s (C on call cautious re CCard biz - leaned on peers). Banks lagged on this. Telcos smoked after AT&T MINUS 6.1% (guided down). Media also hit hard after Guggenheim downgraded group. Retail hit on J. JILL warning (DOWN 51% !! ) and ULTA BEAUTY downgrade (fell -8.5% and weakest name on SPX). TelcoEquips hit behind JUNIPER NETWORKS down 5.2% after cut guidance. Autos hit on BORGWARNER downgrade and as GM shuts Detroit factory on weak demand. Casinos also weaker on MS cautious call. Winner was TRANSPORT INDEX as closed above 10k after JPM hiked target on Truckers. Also Industrials closed at record (AeroSpace, Machinery, etc). Lastly Steels held well on ALLEGHENY TECHNOLOGIES +1.1% guidance. Volumes came at 6.017b,n so down -1% vs 20day ave. TODAY BofA, Wells Fargo, PNC Fincl, JB Hunt all due to report. Next week 60 of SPX due to report. Also Retail sales due today. US After Hours HPQ +2% on Annual Meeting updates, EFX +1.2% refutes today's hacker related speculation, AAOI -21% following guidance and weighing on optical names. Asian equity markets opened mixed and the Nikkei 225 has outperformed. Nikkei 225 Oct options are said to have settled at ~20,957.

Nikkei +1.01% Hang Seng +0.02% CSI +0.13% Shanghai +0.06% Shenzen +0.41%

Eur$ 1.1844 CNH 6.57 CNY 6.5788 JPY 112.10 GBP 1.3275 CHF 0.9751 RUB 57.70 WTI$ 50.95

S&P +0.01% EuroStoxx +0.14% FTSE -0.15% Dax +0.04% SMI +0.07%

Macro :
- ECB Said to Mull Cutting QE Purchases in Half: Macro Squawk Wrap
- U.S. Is Said to Make Proposal That Could Kill Nafta After 5 Yrs

Keep an eye on :
- ABE SM : ACS Is Said Set to Start Offer for Abertis Next Week: Reuters
- AC FP : Airbnb Targets Business Travelers to France: Reuters
- BAS GY : BASF Agrees to Buy Parts of Bayer Crop Science Unit for EU5.9b
- BAYN GY : BASF Agrees to Buy Parts of Bayer Crop Science Unit for EU5.9b
- BMW GY : BMW Making Minis in China Would Have Marginal Impact, HSBC Says
- EDEN FP : Edenred Confirms FY Targets; 3Q Sales Rise 11.5% to EU310m
- EO FP : Faurecia 3Q Value-Added Sales Rise 7.3%; Co. Confirms FY Outlook
- GEN DC : Genmab CEO Says Firm Is Likely to Remain Independent: Borsen
- HPQ US : HP Inc. Sees FY18 Adj. EPS $1.74-$1.84 vs $1.76 Estimate
- EMG LN : Man Group AUM Rises to $103.5b; Sees ‘Decent’ Client Interest
- NOKIA FH : Nokia Said to Favor Multiple Buyers for Submarine-Cable Unit
- NDA SS : Nordea CEO Says Bank Takes Client Anger Seriously: Kauppalehti
- POST AV : Austrian Post Plans Financial Services From 2020: Die Press
- RIO LN : Rio Needs Record 4Q to Meet Iron Ore Shipment Target: Macquarie
- SHP LN : Shire’s New Formulation of Oncaspar Gets Positive CHMP Opinion
- TALK LN : TalkTalk Shareholder Selling 4.7% Stake, Terms Show
- TIT IM : Tel. Italia Says It Has Notified Govt Under Golden Power Decree
- TIT IM : Italy Gov May Weigh ‘Golden Power’ on Telecom Italia Today: Sole
- TSLA US : Tesla Recalling 11,000 Model X SUVs for Seat Issue: AP
- VOW3 GY : VW’s Mueller Says E-Cars Profitable Only in 5-7 Years: SZ

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 13th of OCtober 2017

>>> Up
* AMD Raised to Outperform at Exane
* ASML Raised to Outperform at Exane, PT EU200
* GM Raised to Overweight at Barclays, PT $55
* JCDecaux Raised to Buy at Goldman, PT EU37.80
* Mediaset Raised to Neutral at UBS, PT EU3.15
* Suedzucker Raised to Neutral at Goldman, PT EU17
* Tieto Raised to Buy at SEB Equities, PT EU29.50

>>> Down
* Academedia Cut to Hold at SEB Equities
* Airbus Cut to Sell at Independent Research, PT EU7
* Basic-Fit Cut to Hold at Berenberg
* Beni Stabili SpA SIIQ Cut to Sell at Goldman
* Blue Capital Cut to Underperform at Raymond James
* Bourbon Cut to Sell at AlphaValue
* Bpost Cut to Hold at ING
* Danske Bank Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank
* Faurecia Cut to Underperform at MainFirst, PT EU56
* Ford Cut to Equal-weight at Barclays, PT $14
* Fraport Cut to Underperform at RBC, PT EU75
* Industrivarden Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux, PT SEK196
* Nordea Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank
* Renewi Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse
* SocGen Cut to Underperform at MedioBanca, PT EU45
* Swedbank Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank
* TalkTalk Cut to Equal-weight at Barclays, PT GBP2.15

>>> Initiation
* Biocartis New Buy at Berenberg
* Curzon Energy New Buy at SP Angel, PT 37p
* Darden New Neutral at Longbow

>>> Call

>>> After Hours Summary: HPQ +2% on Annual Meeting updates, EFX +1.

After Hours Summary: HPQ +2% on Annual Meeting updates, EFX +1.2% refutes today's hacker related speculation, AAOI -21% following guidance and weighing on optical names

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: EXFO +14.8%, TSE +5.5% (raised Q3 and FY17 EPS guidance), HPQ +2% (issues FY18 guidance at today's Analyst Meeting; expects to return 50-75% of 2018 free cash flow through dividends and share repurchases)

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: TOPS +53% (Top Ships received written Nasdaq notification for minimum bid price; intends to monitor between now and April 9, 2018), ITEK +12.5% (higher after filing its preliminary proxy statement in connection with the previously announced proposed combination with Rocket Pharmaceuticals), ZN +6.5% (provides Israel drilling update; launching new $250 Unit Program under our Dividend Reinvestment and Direct Stock Purchase Plan), EFX +1.2% (company statement circulates in which it denies the most recent claims of security breach)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: AAOI -20.6%, NANO -5.8%, EXAC -1.1% (thinly traded; estimates US revenue impact of the two hurricanes was approximately $1.2 mln to sales in Q3; lowers Q3 EPS guidance)

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: ATRS -40.2% (received FDA letter - identified deficiencies as part of their ongoing review of the New Drug Application for XYOSTED), TNDM -22% (commences offering of its common stock, Series A warrants and Series B warrants), HMNY -11% (continued weakness), ECYT -9.3% (pulls back after filing $150 mln mixed securities shelf offering in addition to offering of 5,278,000 shares of common stock and 722K shares of common stock underlying warrant by the selling stockholders), SGH -3.8% (attributed to block trade pricing), BTX -2.2% (commences common stock offering), SNCR -1.9% (lower on light volume after disclosing it has also identified an error concerning revenue recognition associated with 2014 transaction), PTEN -1.4% (files for 8,798,391 share common stock shelf offering by holders), DISH -1.3% (continued weakness), TWX -0.8% (continued weakness), ANAB -0.6% (prices 3 mln share common stock offering at $68.50/share), AXTI -0.5% (COO resigned), EARN -0.4% (files for $500 mln mixed securities shelf offering)

Optical names are lower across the board following Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) guidance: NPTN -4.1%, FNSR -2.8%, ACIA -2.2%, OCLR -2%, LITE -1.6%

>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Update: Samsung issues Q3 guidance, Singapore Q3 GDP above ests, China Sept trade below; US Retail Sales, CPI, more bank earnings ahead; ECB speculation ahead of Oct meeting

***Asia Summary***
-Asian equity markets opened mixed and the Nikkei 225 has outperformed. Nikkei 225 Oct options are said to have settled at ~20,957.
-Nikkei heavy component, Fast Retailing has gained over 3% following it reporting record earnings. Kobe Steel has declined by over 10% amid reports that its data falsification issue has spread to steel wire products.
-Samsung Electronics guided its Q3 operating profits slightly ahead of estimates, while revenues for the quarter are seen in line. It was also reported that the company’s CEO/Co-vice Chairman Kwon would step down in order to give the company a new start and younger management. Amid the company’s earnings report and announced management transition, shares are slightly lower following the over 4% gains seen earlier in the week ahead of guidance.
-On the macro front, China’s Sept trade balance was below expectations as exports were below forecasts, while imports were higher than expected. The PBoC skipped today’s open market operation (OMO) and instead confirmed a 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF).
-Singapore was the first major Asian economy to release Q3 GDP data, which showed the economy is performing better than expected. Also, the country’s central bank, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), offered a slightly cautious view on the 2018 growth outlook and tweaked its policy language.
-The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) issued its Oct Financial Stability Review in which it announced it was planning ‘top-down’ stress tests for domestic banks. Currently, Australia’s Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) conducts ‘bottom-up’ assessments of the banking sector.
-In South Korea, the Finance Ministry said the country had extended its currency swap agreement with China for 3-years.
-New Zealand’s First Party Leader Peters said his party’s board was expected to meet on Monday regarding the government coalition talks. Peters had previously said that he planned to make his decision regarding a coalition partner this week.
-Ahead of the ECB’s Oct 26th policy meeting, there has been press speculation that the central bank is said to consider cutting its QE program to €30B/month from Jan and extending it until at least Sept 2018. The current level of monthly asset purchases is €60B.
-In the US, traders are focused on the later today releases of Sept CPI and Retail Sales data. HP Inc. guided the mid-point of its initial FY18 earnings view above market expectations. Later today, US financial names, including Bank of America, PNC and Wells Fargo are due to report quarterly earnings. On Thursday, Citi and JPMorgan traded lower after their respective Q3 earnings reports.

***Key economic data***
-(CN) CHINA SEPT TRADE BALANCE: $28.5B V $38.0BE
-(CN) CHINA SEPT TRADE BALANCE (CNY) 193.0B V 266.1BE
-(SG) SINGAPORE Q3 ADVANCE GDP Q/Q: 6.3% V 3.7%E; Y/Y: 4.6% V 3.8%E
-(SG) SINGAPORE CENTRAL BANK (MAS) SEMI-ANNUAL POLICY DECISION: KEEPS ZERO APPRECIATION PATH FOR SGD, maintains width and center of currency band

***Speakers and Press***
China
-(CN) China Customs Official Hu comments on Sept Trade Figures: High base effects led to slowdown y/y in trade growth in Q3; Positive conditions remain for foreign trade in Q4 supported by global recovery and solid domestic recovery; However, uncertainties in global economy still linger in Q4 and higher base last year to impact Q4 trade growth; Also, says fierce global competition to cloud Q4 trade.
-(CN) China Sept Retail Auto Sales 2.23M units, +1.2% y/y

Other
-(AU) RBA OCT FINANCIAL STABILITY REVIEW: NO DIRECT COMMENTS ON MONETARY POLICY: DEVELOPING TOP-DOWN STRESS TEST FOR DOMESTIC BANKS
-ASEAN Central Banks renew currency swap arrangement for 2-years
-(EU) ECB said to consider cutting QE to €30B/month from Jan and extending it until at least Sept 2018 - financial press
-(GR) There is renewed speculation that Greece may issue bonds in the first 3-months of 2018; said to seek to raise at least $3.5B – US financial press
-(KR) South Korea Finance Ministry: Agrees to extend currency swap agreement with China for 3-years
-(NZ) NZ First Party Leader Peters: NZ First board to meet on Monday
-(US) Fed’s Bostic (non-voter): Reiterates not sure if Fed will raise rates in Dec
-(US) President Trump said to plan to end subsidy payments to insurers related to sale of Obamacare insurance coverage – US press

***Asian Equity Indices/Futures (00:30ET)***
- Nikkei +1.2%, Hang Seng flat, Shanghai Composite +0.2%, ASX200 +0.4%, Kospi flat
- Equity Futures: S&P500 flat; Nasdaq +0.1% , Dax +0.1% , FTSE100 +0.2%%

***FX ranges/Commodities/Fixed Income (00:30ET)***
- EUR 1.1825-1.1852; JPY 112.02-112.32; AUD 0.7817-0.7842; NZD 0.7078-0.7146
- Aug Gold +0.1% at 1,298/oz; Aug Crude Oil +0.7% at $50.94/brl; Sept Copper -0.1% at $3.119/lb
- GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings flat at 858.5 metric tons
-(CN) PBOC SETS YUAN REFERENCE RATE AT 6.5866 V 6.5808 PRIOR
-(CN) PBOC offers CNY498B 1-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) OPERATION AT 3.2% V 3.2% PRIOR
-(CN) PBoC OMO: Does not conduct OMO v CNY20B injected with 7-day reverse repos prior

***US markets on close: Dow -0.1%, S&P500 -0.2%, Nasdaq -0.2%, Russell -0.1%***
- Best Sector in S&P500: Real Estate +0.7%
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Financials -0.8%
- At the close: VIX 9.91 (+0.06pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 1.517% (-1bp), 10-yr 2.323% (-3bps), 30-yr 2.852% (-3bps)

***US Market Summary***
-Stocks ended lower, with the S&P confined to a tight range until a moderate drop at the end of the session. Treasury yields have fallen slightly despite a hotter than expected core PPI reading ahead of tomorrow's CPI data. WTI crude futures declined but traded off the morning lows after the EIA report showed a decline in U.S crude stockpiles, while natural gas prices surged on anticipation of colder weather and in-line expectations from the EIA report. JPM weighed on the Dow post earnings along with Exxon and Chevron. Copper continued to press higher, back towards the Sep multiyear high.

***US Afterhours Movers***
- EXFO Reports Q4 $0.02 v $0.06e, Rev $63.0M v $60.9Me (2 est); +7.4% afterhours
- TSE Raises Q3 adj EBITDA $162-168M (prior $110-120M); +2.4% afterhours
- NEO Reports prelim Q3 Rev $63.1M v $65.7Me, test volumes +16% y/y; Reports prelim Q3 Clinical genetic test volume 162.5K, +16% y/y; -1.4% afterhours
- ECYT Registers $150M mixed securities shelf - filing (73% of market cap); -3.3% afterhours
- TNDM Announces proposed underwritten public offering of common stock, Series A Warrants and Series B Warrants; -14.5% afterhours
- AAOI Cuts Q3 $1.04-1.09 v $1.31e, R$88-89M v $112Me (prior $1.30-1.43, Rev $107-115M); -22% afterhours

Nikkei : iPhone X makers still struggling to refine facial recognition

iPhone X makers still struggling to refine facial recognition
As shipment date looms, TSMC, Foxconn say Sept. sales drop on manufacturing delay

TAIPEI -- "For never was a story of more woe than this of Juliet and her Romeo." These words by Shakespeare could well be applied to Apple Inc.'s iPhone X.


A tech executive familiar with iPhone X production told Nikkei Asian Review on Thursday that manufacturers are still struggling to perfect 3-D sensors and in particular dot projectors in Apple premium handset's TrueDepth camera system, though the person could not pinpoint exactly the problem.

The dot projector makes up part of the transmitting module, dubbed "Romeo," of iPhone X's new facial recognition function that allows users to unlock phones and make payments, according to the executive. The receiving module is fittingly named "Juliet."
The iPhone X is the most keenly awaited smartphone this year and is touted as the first major upgrade of Apple's iconic device since iPhone 6. But NAR first reported late September that suppliers were struggling with the production of 3-D sensors for facial recognition. The smartphone is set to go on sale early November.

The executive's comments were confirmed by Jeff Pu, an analyst with Taipei-based Yuanta Investment Consulting, who also identified the dot projector as the troublesome component holding back mass production of iPhone X.
Nonetheless, Pu stuck to his view voiced late September that iPhone X will enter mass production in mid-October and begin to be shipped from China in the third week of this month. He is, however, cutting his forecast of the volume of iPhone X that will be produced this year, from 40 million units to 36 million.
Apple did not immediately return an email request seeking comments outside office hours.

The struggle for Taiwanese suppliers to churn out iPhone X led to a year-on-year drop in revenue in September for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Hon Hai Precision Industry, better known as Foxconn Technology Group.
TSMC's sales in September fell 1.25% from a year-ago to 88.57 billion New Taiwan dollars ($2.93 billion), while Hon Hai's revenue dropped 3.7% to NT$451.04 billion.
TSMC is the sole chip supplier for the new iPhone 8 and iPhone X range. Foxconn is the sole assembler for iPhone X, while it splits orders for iPhone 8 Plus with smaller Taiwanese rivals Pegatron and Wistron.

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:
  • SAH +6.5%
Other news:
  • ARDX +46.3% (Pivotal Phase 3 study of Tenapanor for IBS-C hits primary and all secondary endpoints to support NDA submission in 2H18)
  • INFI +39.5% (announces that an abstract describing new data for IPI-549 has been selected as a late-breaking presentation during an oral session at the 2017 SITC))
  • LTBR +22.5% (received a Notice of Allowance from the European Patent Office for an additional patent relating to Lightbridge's innovative metallic fuel design)
  • CLNT +15.7% (enters into an exclusivity agreement with 3D Discovery)
  • ONCS +14.7% (confirms acceptance of late breaking abstract at upcoming Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer Meeting November 8-12 )
  • KTOV +9.2% (after 55% move higher today)
  • AVXL +8.2% (announces pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) data for ANAVEX2-73 from its positive Phase 2a study)
  • KPTI +7.7% ( signs license development and commercializing agreement with Ono Pharmaceutical in Japan and other Asian countries)
  • BDSI +6.8% (entered into a Settlement Agreement with Teva )
  • BW +6.6% (VIEX Capital Advisors disclosed 6.4% active stake; believes the Board must take immediate action to monetize assets and make aggressive cost reductions)
  • NMIH +5.2% (to join S&P SmallCap 600)
  • DXC +4.6% (DXC Technology to combine its U.S. public sector business with Veritas affiliates to create independent, publicly traded company serving U.S. government clients )
  • FPRX +4.6% (announces Cabiralizumab Phase 1a/1b data abstract selected for late breaking oral presentation)
  • ACLS +4% (to join S&P SmallCap 600)
  • SIGM +3.8% (announces major restructuring actions to accelerate the return to profitability; strategic review ongoing)
  • XL +2.9% (estimates Q3 preliminary hurricane related net losses of approx $1.33 bln and total catastrophe losses of $1.48 bln -- largely in line with co's expectations)
  • ONCE +1.7% (presenting at Cellular, Tissue and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee meeting)
  • DBVT +1.6% (completes blinded period in REALISE study of Viaskin Peanut; topline results expected in Novemberg)
  • HMY +1.6% (reports Q1 gold production)
  • ZTO +1.5% (is implementing certain increases in the prices of its delivery services)
Analyst comments:
  • GLUU +5% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at The Benchmark Company)
  • ADVM +1.4% (initiated with a Outperform at Raymond James )