FT : UK retail sales post first year on year fall since 2013

UK retail sales post first year on year fall since 2013


UK retail sales fell for the first time since March 2013 in the 12 months to October, according to official data, but the figures were still stronger than economists had forecast.

The quantity of goods excluding auto fuel bought by British consumers fell 0.3 per cent compared to the same month in 2016, according to data from the the Office for National Statistics. While it was the first drop in more than four years, it was slimmer than the 0.3 per cent fall forecast by economists in a Reuters poll.

The month on month statistics look brighter: total volumes rose 0.3 per cent, or 0.1 per cent excluding the volatile automotive fuel component. That beat expectations for a rise of 0.1 per cent and no change, respectively.

“We are continuing to see an underlying picture of steady growth in retail sales, although this October suffered in comparison with a very strong October in 2016,” said ONS senior statistician Kate Davies.

Ms Davies said month on month growth was “particularly strong” in second-hand goods, which includes auction houses and antique dealers.

The mixed reading comes as quickly rising prices have crimped disposable incomes. The ONS said on Thursday that average prices at food stores were up 3.5 per cent from the previous year. Growth was slower for non-food stores, which clocked in growth of 2.5 per cent.

“The squeeze on consumers remained appreciable,” said Howard Archer, economist at the EY Item Club, who added the monthly gain was “uninspiring”.

FT : British Land reports small dip in key profit measure

British Land, the UK’s second largest property company, has reported a slight dip in underlying profit but boasted of strong office leasing activity.

The FTSE 100 company said it generated £198m of underlying profit — a measure of pre-tax earnings that strips out fluctuations in property values — in the half year to September, compared with £199m for the same period in 2016.

Statutory pre-tax profit — a metric which includes property values — stood at £238m for the period, up from a £205m loss for the same period last year.

The value of British Land’s property portfolio fell from £13.9bn to £13.5bn over the half year. It leased 1.3m square feet of office space, up from the 769,000 from the same period in 2016.

British Land announced in July that it would buy back £300m of its own shares after concluding this offers better value than spending its cash pile on land and properties. On Thursday, it said it had bought back £156m to and was on track to complete the buyback by the end of the financial year.

The UK’s second-largest listed property company sold its 50 per cent stake in London’s “Cheesegrater” skyscraper earlier this year for £575m as part of the sale of the whole building to Chinese buyers.

Reuters - D.Telekom considers merger or listing of Dutch business -CEO

D.Telekom considers merger or listing of Dutch business -CEO
* CEO: Open to merger of T-Mobile Nederland with Tele2
* Would also consider floating Dutch unit

BARCELONA, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Deutsche Telekom is open to merging its T-Mobile Nederland division with the local business of Sweden’s Tele2, or floating the Dutch mobile operator on the stock market, CEO Tim Hoettges said on Wednesday.

Telekom would also consider carving out its German mobile towers business to realise value, Hoettges told the Morgan Stanley European Tech, Media & Telecoms Conference in Barcelona.

Hoettges has just called off a tie-up between T-Mobile US , in which Telekom owns 64 percent, and Sprint Corp but the collapse of the deal has not dented his appetite for M&A.

“I‘m open to a merger with Tele2,” Hoettges said in answer to a question about T-Mobile Nederland, adding he would also consider an initial public offering of shares in the Dutch unit. “We haven’t decided yet.”

T-Mobile Nederland has gained market share in the Netherlands with a mobile-only strategy and aggressive pricing.

Still, a merger of T-Mobile and Tele2 might make sense as the two lie a distant third and fourth place in the Dutch market behind KPN, the former state telecom, and Ziggo, a joint venture between Vodafone and Liberty Global that dominates the cable market in the Netherlands.

Tele2 CEO Allison Kirkby was not willing to comment on Hoettges’ overture.

“This is Tim’s comment and as a general rule, we don’t comment on M&A speculations,” she told Reuters.

”With regards to our Dutch business, we are focused on our daily operations and delivering a great customer value in a competitive marketplace.”

KPN CEO Eelco Blok, in turn, said the Dutch regulator might give this proposed deal an easier ride than past attempted mergers.

”I think so – if they can create a stronger number three being able to compete on fixed and mobile, then the regulator would seriously look at this situation,” he said in response to a question.
TOWERING AMBITIONS

Hoettges, commenting on Deutsche Telekom’s German mobile towers business, which has 28,000 masts, said a carve-out would offer potential to realise what he described as “huge untapped value.”

The German group sold its U.S. towers business to Crown Castle in 2012 for $2.4 billion, part of a wider trend of mobile network operators selling such infrastructure to raise capital and cut debt.

He said towers businesses typically run higher leverage than telecoms - of around five times earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) - offering potential to raise capital to invest.

“This is an unregulated business – can we do something to make it grow?” he said.

Deutsche Telekom hired investment banks last year to sell thousands of German mobile phone masts in a potential 5 billion-euro ($5.9 billion) deal that did not come to fruition.

This February it moved the German towers and Dutch mobile businesses into a newly formed Group Development division led by Thorsten Langheim, formerly of private equity group Blackstone, indicating they were no longer considered to be core assets.

>>> Pre Market Indications

BofAML EMEA Indications:

B.LAND - NAV 939, lettings 6.8% ahead.Buyback to complete by end of yr (620)+4% CLOSE BROS - Inline. Well positioned for FY.Stock been weak of late (1348)+2-3% 3I - Decent NAV, is 1% ahead of our numbers. Looks like a good half (920)...+2% SODEXO - Org growth +1.9% v +1.6%. '18 guidance of 2-4% org growth (107)..+1-2%
TELE2 - Sentiment positive. D.Tel is open to merging its Dutch unit (110).+1-2% BOUYGUES - Revs 1.5% and EBIT 7.6% ahead on better telecoms margins (41.3)..+1% SAFE - LFL rev was 3.3% and sees +ve trends. Occupancy up 130bps Y/Y (476)..+1% PREMIER OIL - FY17 prodn YTD 76.6kboe/d v 75-80kboe/d guided for FY (70.9)..+1% ROYAL MAIL - Good start to the yr. EBIT £323m is touch above cons ests (393)+1% D.TELEKOM - Senti +ve. Open to IPO/Merger with Tele2 of its Dutch unit (15).+1% MINERS - Copper -0.25%, Iron Ore fut +2% with BHP OZ -0.29%, RIO OZ +0.21%..u/c ERICSSON - Spec is nearing a sale of its Media business, SVD reports (49.8).u/c KBC - NII and fees inline not good enough for such a well owned stock (69.2)-1% NN - Underlying c5% miss but capital and capital generation both good (34.9)-1% ILIAD - Revs 0.3% below cons, mobile revs +6.4% YoY, a 1% miss v cons (209).-1% WPP - Weak U.S. Performance driven by lack of stimulus;CFO comments (1234)-1-2% QINETIQ - H117 revs of £393m & op profit of £57.5m with margins 14.6% (215).-2% PRU - Not good enough.Growth has slowed from 20% in 1H to 10% in Q3 (1815)-2-3% VIRGIN MONEY - We have trimmed NIM again by 2bps for both '18 and '19 (265).-4% GKN - CEO Designate leaving & group taking another £80-130m writedown (304).-5%

Investec UK Pre Mkt Indications

* 3I GRP-H1.Strong #'s.Continues solid perf. in specialist asset mangers....+1%
* ASSURA-H1.trading remains in line, confident outlook for FY...............+1%
* BILLITON-Aims to complete US Shale exit within 2 yrs(sector +1/2%)........+1/2%
* BR.LAND-H1.In line;strong Rev & projects on track.Usual Brexit caveat.....+1%
* COATS-Update.Sales rise,crafts strong(offset by footwear&apparel)In line.unch
* CLOSE BROS-Update.Strong start to yr. Well positioned for remained of yr..+1%
* DART GRP-H1.Sml margin squeeze but Leisure travel materially ahead......+3-5%
* EASYHOTEL-Benelux franchise developing 2 new hotels(162 rooms)...........unch
* GALIFORD-Named to lead education building framework(upto £3.1b).........+1-2%
* GENUS-Update.Vol,Rev & OpProfit growth. Sees FY18 in line with exp's......+1%
* GLAXO-Wins EU approval for Trelegy Ellipta drug..........................+1/2%
* GLENCORE-Agriculture M&A stalled amid unrealistic selling prices(B'berg).+1/2%
* GKN-Update.Further write off £80-130m. CEO leaving (+ive).................-5%
* INVESTEC-H1 Robust #'s.Asset managers performing well.Weak into stmnt...+2-3%
* JUST EAT-CMA clears JE/Hungryhouse merger.................................+2%
* KELLER-H1.Rev & Op Profit ahead of last yr. On track to meet FY exp's.....+1%
* MEDICLINIC-H1.Trading in line.No agreement with SPIRE.PUSU 20th Nov.....+2-3%
* PEARSON-Positive comments from CFO at conference in Barcelona (B'berg)....+1%
* PREMIER OIL-Q3 Prod'n i/L, expects faster debt reduction through FY18.....+2%
* PRU-Update.9m new business profit +17% to £2.47bn with Asia £1.62b........+1%
* QINETIQ-H1 i/l,relief here after ULE LN related fall......................+2%
* ROYAL MAIL-H1-Prof falls,added cost pressure in H2(inc. Labour issues)....-2%
* SAFESTORE-Q4-Slightly ahead of expect's. Confident outlook..............+2-3%
* SPIRE HC-No agreement in place with MEDICLININC...........................-3%
* SPORTECH- Capital reduction and 29p/sh spec divi..........................+2%
* TED BAKER-Q3-retail sales +4.6% E-comm' +30.5%; re-it's FY guid'.........+1%
* VIRGIN MONEY-G'ance for FY reaffirmed ahead of today's Capital Mkt days..unch
* VITEC-Update- i/l with expect's,reduced debt,strong cash generation.......+1%
* WPP-CFO 'US has been weaker than expected' Wont accept Bain tender offer..-1%

WSJ : Leonardo da Vinci Painting ‘Salvator Mundi’ Smashes Records With $450.3 Mi

Leonardo da Vinci Painting ‘Salvator Mundi’ Smashes Records With $450.3 Million Sale
The rediscovered portrait of Jesus Christ becomes most expensive work of art ever sold
Leonardo da Vinci’s rediscovered portrait of Jesus Christ sold at auction for $450.3 million, making it the most expensive work of art ever sold.

Christie’s auction house didn’t identify the winning bidder of the 500-year-old painting, “Salvator Mundi,” or “Savior of the World.”

The estimate for the work was around $100 million. But before Wednesday night’s sale in New York, dealers had wagered the image of an enigmatic Christ dressed in a blue robe and holding a crystal orb could sell for far more—given that da Vinci is a household name, fewer than 20 of his paintings survive and this is the last one deemed by him in private hands.

The price more than doubled the $179.4 million spent two years ago for Pablo Picasso’s 1955 “Women of Algiers (Version O),” as well as an earlier record of $170.4 million for Amedeo Modigliani’s 1917-18 “Reclining Nude.” In private sales, paintings by Paul Cézanne and Paul Gauguin have commanded as much as $250 million and $300 million, respectively.

Alex Rotter, chairman of Christie’s postwar and contemporary art department, fielded the winning telephone bid after a 19-minute bidding war with at least five rivals in which bids were initially lobbed in $10 million increments. Billionaire collectors in the saleroom watched with their cellphone cameras held aloft as though they were at a rock concert.

“I’ve been going to auctions for decades, and I’ve never heard that room let out a collective gasp like they did when it sold,” said Joanne Heyler, founding director of the Broad, a Los Angeles museum. “It’s hard for me to even comprehend that level of bidding.”

Ms. Heyler and her boss, billionaire Eli Broad, were among a slew of heavyweight collectors in the room alongside Stefan Edlis, Len Riggio, Andrew Saul, Eugenio López and J. Tomilson Hill. None of them openly bid on the da Vinci.

The da Vinci boosted Christie’s sale total to $786 million, making it the auction industry’s second-highest sale total following an $853 million sale of contemporary art held at the house three years ago.

The sale also included Andy Warhol’s $60.9 million “Sixty Last Suppers,” a homage to another da Vinci masterpiece, over the Warhol’s $50 million estimate. Five other pieces in the sale sold for over $20 million, including examples by Cy Twombly, Mark Rothko and Franz Kline, and records were also broken for artists like Kerry James Marshall and Lee Krasner.

Christie’s went to extraordinary lengths to position the da Vinci auction as a blockbuster event on par with Sotheby’s sale in 2012 of Edvard Munch’s “Scream” for nearly $120 million. It exhibited the painting around the world, with stops in Hong Kong, London and San Francisco. At least 27,000 people world-wide turned up to get a glimpse, the house said.

Once the painting arrived at Christie’s Rockefeller Center headquarters in New York, workers hung it at the end of a long, dimly lit gallery that had been painted black, creating a shrine effect. Christie’s produced a short film showing celebrities like actor Leonardo DiCaprio and rocker Patti Smith staring at the work, mouths agape.

“Salvator Mundi” isn’t instantly recognizable, like da Vinci’s “Last Supper” or “Mona Lisa.” This painting was considered a plum for its rarity. Auction records show only a trio of da Vinci’s 2,500 drawings have ever even come up for sale—the highest fetched $11.4 million in 2001—and no authenticated paintings have entered the market in at least a century.

The sale reflects the trophy-hunting atmosphere dominating the international art market lately, as billionaires from China, Qatar and beyond compete for a handful of masterpieces on the block. Bragging rights are at stake, but the collective bidding also has helped reset price levels for dozens of major artists.

It helps that da Vinci is hailed as a hero of the Renaissance, a period in Europe when artists experimented with optical illusion and anatomical dissection to render their subjects lifelike and landscapes infinite.

In this work, da Vinci depicts Christ in flowing robes, his left hand cupping a crystal orb while his right is raised in blessing. The figure’s brown ringlets fall around his shoulders, framing a long face and dimpled chin.

Da Vinci painted the portrait around 1500, and it bounced among European royals for hundreds of years before shoddy cleaning efforts and overpainting rendered it almost unrecognizable.

When it surfaced in 1958 at Sotheby’s, it sold as a “school of da Vinci” work for only £45 (about $125 at the time). But in 2005 a group of Old Master dealers and a conservator took a closer look and campaigned for its reauthentication. Ultimately, they won validation from museums and da Vinci scholars.

“Salvator Mundi” comes from the collection of Dmitry Rybolovlev, a Russian fertilizer billionaire.

Walking out of Christie’s after Wednesday’s sale, art lawyer Thomas Danziger said he felt it was “fitting” for a da Vinci to take top auction honors in this “superheated” art market, adding: “The only thing to be said for the sale price is ‘Wow.’ ”

FT : Altice faces the music, again

Altice faces the music, again
Welcome to Due Diligence, the FT’s daily deals briefing

Two years ago, the top brass at telecoms roll-up company Altice stood before a packed room of upset investors in Barcelona and made a promise: after having splashed tens of billions on deals globally it would finally dial back on dealmaking and focus on running its operations to stem a free fall in its share price.

Fast-forward to Wednesday: same location, same angry investors and same problem. Despite a brief period in between when Patrick Drahi,the billionaire owner of Altice, managed to keep his word about lifting the global telecoms and cable company’s share price, it has seen its value plummet since the start of November.

A poor set of results and the recent departure of Michel Combes, a well-regarded former Alcatel-Lucent executive who Drahi hired to steward Altice in its post-deals afterglow, led the Franco-Israeli founder to take back the reins of the company last week.

But what has gone wrong? Ostensibly, Altice has failed to deliver improvements on its French business and investors have begun getting rather nervy about the company’s enormous debt pile.

The negative aura around Altice is in stark contrast to how things looked this summer when it went to list its US businesses and investors flocked to the offering, praising the improvements the Drahi-Combes duo had made at Suddenlink and Cablevision (which it bought in 2015 and 2016, respectively). Investors loved it so much that no one even seemed to care about the unbelievably cushy perks set aside for management and the fact that the offering consisted exclusively of non-voting shares.

Before November, Altice was flying so high again that it seriously spent time this summer pondering a $185bn+ bid for its much larger US rival Charter Communications, the second-largest US cable company. It would have capped a stunning run for Drahi, whose fortune is geared heavily to that of Altice’s given his over 60 per cent ownership of the company’s shares. (Read our 2015 piece on Altice’s playbook and how Drahi’s strategy relies heavily on the methods of billionaire cable cowboy John Malone

Now what? Is Altice nothing more than a debt-addicted roll-up backed by deal junkies who are busy chasing the next big transaction or are they serious operators? Here’s the scene in Barcelona from Wednesday, courtesy of Nic Fildes, our telecoms correspondent, where Altice chief financial officer Dennis Okhuijsen promised to get its €50bn in debt under control.

How did investors respond?

One shareholder said many institutional investors had been “ruined” this year as a result of the stock collapse. However, another shareholder cautioned that the reaction to the trading statement was “completely overblown”.

Shares in Altice finished up 8 per cent. But the story is just getting interesting.

>>> What to look at today - 16th of November 2017

VW Seeking Cooperation With China’s JAC on Light Vehicles: Exec.Dow -0.59% S&P -0.55% Nasdaq -0.47% Russell -0.49%
US Market closed lower. Senate Republicans announced on Tuesday evening that they've added a provision to their tax reform bill that would repeal the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate, which requires all Americans to have health insurance. The individual mandate is a hotly debated topic among lawmakers and an attempt to repeal it may face resistance--potentially delaying the GOP's tax overhaul effort. Uncertainty surrounding tax reform has been a stumbling block for the market as of late, although it's tough to gauge the true level of concern among investors, who may just see the pause as an opportunity to cash in on recently minted record highs. WTI slid 0.7% to $55.29 per barrel, pushed energy lower.  technology sector (-0.9%) also underperformed on Wednesday, as did the consumer staples (-1.1%), utilities (-1.0%), and real estate (-0.8%) groups. Within the tech space,Apple (AAPL 169.08, -2.26) showed particular weakness, finishing lower by 1.3%. The tech giant has now settled in the red for five sessions in a row. US After Hours  RH +16%, SGH +18%, NTAP +9%, CSCO +5% following earnings/guidance, PG +2.5% on vote recount news. Asian Market, The Shanghai Composite opened the session -0.3%, while the Hang Seng opened +0.4%. The Information Technology index in Hong Kong has risen by over 1%. Component, Tencent, has gained over 1.7% after reporting better than expected Q3 results. China Legislature Official Huang said China should levy a property tax as it curbs speculation. Separately, the PBoC’s Research Head said there could be the risk of a ‘big crisis’ if economic reforms are too slow. M&A has driven price action in the energy sector after SANTOS SAID IT REJECTED an offer from Harbour Energy. THE NIKKEI is higher with the yen steadying following its recent strength against the dollar.

Nikkei +1.47% Hang Seng +0.72% CSI +0.74% Shanghai -0.01% Shenzen +0.35%

Eur$ 1.1799 CNH 6.6343 CNY 6.6327 JPY 113.05 GBP 1.3179 CHF 0.9893 RUB 60.0828 WTI$ 55.38 +0.09%

S&P +0.29% EuroStoxx +0.23%FTSE +0.27% Dax +0.30% SMI +0.13%

Macro :
- Dutch Government Sticking to Proposal to Abolish Dividend Tax
- Janus’s Bill Gross Says Credit Cycle is Peaking: CNBC
- Greenlight’s Einhorn Says Issues That Caused Crisis Not Solved
- China Is Said to Ask EU to Exempt Sectors in Pact Talks: SCMP


Keep an eye on :
- ACS SM : ACS to Sign Loan Deal for Abertis Bid Next Week: Expansion
- ASMI NA : ASMI Expecting to Double Revenue in China Over 2018: CEO
- AXIA SM : Axiare Says Wasn’t Aware of Colonial’s Intentions Before Nov. 13
- EN FP : Bouygues 9M Sales Up 3%; Telecom Unit Raises FY Ebitda Margin
- BLT LN : BHP Looking to Complete Exit from U.S. Shale Within Two Years
- CA FP : Carrefour Proposes New Sunday Opening Plan, Unions Say: AFP
- CLNX SM : Cellnex CEO Sees Opportunity in Altice’s Tower Sale Plans
- CNP FP : CNP Assurances Nine Month Ebit EU2.13 Bln
- DBK GY : Cryan Says German Banking Market May See Consolidation in 2018
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank’s Trading Strength Lies in Credit, Cryan Says
- DEQ GY : Deutsche Euroshop Nine Month Revenue EU161.0 Mln
- DTE GY : Deutsche Telekom CEO Would be Open to Dutch IPO, Merger
- DIREN FP : Direct Energie Holder EBM Trirhena to Sell 4.7% Stake
- ERICB SS : Ericsson Is Nearing a Sale of Its Media Business, SVD Reports
- HLNG NO : Hoegh LNG 3Q Ebitda Misses Lowest Estimate; Sells Grace Stake
- IBAB BB : Ion Beam Sees FY Adjusted Ebit Margin 0% To 5%, Saw 1% To 6%
- ILD FP : Iliad 9M Rev. EU3.71B; 250,000 New Mobile Users in 3Q
- ITV LN : ITV Ready for Takeover Bid, But That’s Not Current Focus: CFO
- KBC BB : KBC Third Quarter Net Income Beats Highest Estimate
- MAT US : Mattel Is Said to Rebuff Hasbro Bid: Reuters
- NHH SM : NH Hotel Nine Month Ebitda EU170.4 Mln
- ORPHATEM DC : Orphazyme Says Final IPO Offer Price Set at DKK80/Shr
- SAL IM : Salini Impregilo New Orders Year-to-Date EU4.3B
- SW FP : Sodexo FY Organic Rev. Growth 1.9%; Sees FY18 Op. Margin 6.5%
- LOCAL FP : SoLocal Says Chairman Danon Buys 60,530 More Shares
- TEF SM : Telefonica Open to Consolidation in Mexico, Chairman Says
- TIT IM : Tel. Italia CEO: We Don’t Share Open Fiber’s View on Our Network
- KVW NA : VolkerWessels 9M Ebitda EU155 Million; Confirms FY Outlook
- VOW3 GY : VW Seeking Cooperation With China’s JAC on Light Vehicles: Exec.
- VOW3 GY : Ex-Audi Manager Hatz Offered EU3m to Get Out of Custody: SZ
- WPP LN : WPP Doesn’t Intend to Accept Tender Offer Launched by Bain

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of November 20

>>> Up
* Aveva Upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 32 Pounds
* Centrica Upgraded to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 1.90 Pounds
* FirstGroup Upgraded to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 1.10 Pounds
* Deutsche Euroshop Upgraded to Buy at Natixis
* Marshalls Upgraded to Buy at Berenberg
* Outokumpu Upgraded to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 7.70 Euros
* Rank Group Upgraded to Buy at Peel Hunt

>>> Down
* Flughafen Wien Downgraded to Hold at HSBC; PT 34 Euros
* Hamburger Hafen Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 24 Euros
* Rockwool Downgraded to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 1,700 Kroner
* TalkTalk Downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 1.90 Pounds
* Tecnicas Reunidas Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 26.80 Euros

>>> Initiation
* AO World Initiated at Peel Hunt With Buy
* Bayer Assumed at Bernstein With Outperform; PT 131 Euros
* Genmab Initiated at Bernstein With Outperform; PT 1,450 Kroner
* Lundbeck Initiated at Bernstein With Underperform; PT 300 Kroner
* Merck KGaA Raised to Outperform at Bernstein; PT 115 Euros
* Novo Nordisk Assumed Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 320 Kroner
* Shire ADRs Assumed at Bernstein With Market Perform; PT $180
* Vantiv Initiated at Berenberg With Buy; PT $85

>>> Call