>>> J. C. Penney beats by $0.10, reports revs in-line; guides FY19 EPS within ra

J. C. Penney beats by $0.10, reports revs in-line; guides FY19 EPS within range, midpoint below consensus, sees comps +0-2% (3.92)
  • Reports Q4 (Jan) earnings of $0.57 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.10 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.47; revenues rose 1.8% year/year to $4.03 bln vs the $4.04 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Comparable sales increased 2.6% in the fourth quarter and were on the same 13 week basis as the fourth quarter last year (reported holiday comps +3.4% on January 4). Jewelry, Home, Sephora, Footwear and Handbags and Salon were the Company's top performing divisions during the quarter. Geographically, the Southeast and Gulf Coast were the best performing regions of the country.
  • Gross margin +50 bps to 33.6% The improvement was primarily driven by decreased promotional activity during the quarter resulting from an improved inventory position. This improvement was partially offset by the continued growth in the Company's online and major appliance businesses and higher shrink rates.
  • Co issues guidance for FY19, sees EPS of $0.05-0.25, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.23 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; comps +0-2% vs. ests +0.8% and +0.1% last year.
  • "In 2018, we will intensify our market share efforts in Appliances, Mattresses and Furniture, while continuing to take steps to modernize our apparel assortment and omni-channel. Our strategy and plan is clear and consistent, and we remain focused on two critical factors - to operate the business for growth and deliver profitable earnings."

>>> US Early premarket gappers

arly premarket gappers
Gapping up:
  • VSAR +9.7%, GPS +8.8%, AMBA +7.7%, CNAT +7.3%, SGYP +6.3%, XON +5.8%, SPLK+5.7%, AHT +5.4%, ZIOP +5%, NKTR +4.7%, SRNE +4.6%, MCHP +4.5%, MSCC +4.4%,SWN +4.3%, ENDP +4.1%, NSU +4.1%, PK +3.9%, PK +3.9%, TENX +3.8%, KEYS+3.6%, ZEUS +3.6%, IONS +3.3%, UNIT +3.3%, WIN +3.1%, AT +2.4%, FSIC +2.1%,LTC +1.8%, NTNX +1.3%, SRPT +1.2%, CARG +0.9%
Gapping down:
  • AFH -28.2%, BW -22.8%, OPK -16.7%, AOBC -10.5%, SRRA -8.5%, OMER -8.4%, FL-7.4%, JD -4.7%, PSTG -4.6%, RGR -4.3%, TNDM -4.1%, JWN -3.9%, PBYI -2.9%,FTSI -2.5%, BIIB -2.2%, RETA -1.6%, RIO -1.5%, TXN -0.9%

FT : Spotify founder’s moment of Zen poised to pay off

Spotify founder’s moment of Zen poised to pay off
Looming IPO will turn Daniel Ek, creator of the streaming service, into a billionaire

When Daniel Ek hatched plans for Spotify 12 years ago, he was already a young millionaire, “spraying people with champagne and things like that”. 

After getting rich from a successful marketing start-up, the tech entrepreneur moved to a cabin to meditate on what to do with his life. He decided upon music, which had been ravaged by piracy, as a needed departure from the Ferraris and nightclubs. “You don’t start a music company to become filthy rich,” Mr Ek previously told the Financial Times. 

His long-shot idea has defied the odds, convincing tens of millions of young people to pay for music again — and turning a Swedish technologist into the most powerful music executive in the world. The 35-year-old is barrelling towards a $20bn public listing for Spotify in the coming weeks. Ek owns about 9 per cent of shares, likely making him a billionaire when the company lists publicly on the New York Stock Exchange.

Mr Ek grew up far from Wall Street — in Ragsved, a working-class neighbourhood of Stockholm. His passion for music and computers started early: he played guitar from age four and started his first technology business at 14. Two years later he was earning more than his parents combined. 

Described by the New Yorker as “not long on charisma”, his admirers commend him for being deeply creative, while maintaining a Swedish dispassion that makes his projects practical. 

“When you get up to that level there is always ego that starts to get in the way, but he’s been more interested in learning than in displaying,” says PJ Parson, who has known Mr Ek for nearly two decades. Mr Parson was a board member of Tradera, known as the eBay of Sweden, which gave Mr Ek a senior job while he was still in high school. A tech enthusiast at heart, Mr Ek counts Mark Zuckerberg among his close friends. 

Mr Parson says Mr Ek maintains his low-key demeanour despite the glamour that comes with the music business. “Over the years there were several comments . . . that he should be playing along with the music industry flair. But that’s just not Daniel. He’s not a marketing guy or a label guy.”

Mr Ek becomes more animated when championing his vision for the future of music, taking on a near-religious tone at times. In a 1,237 word letter to investors this week, titled “Our Path”, Mr Ek said he aimed to “create a new paradigm” and “unlock the potential of human creativity”. 

Mr Ek has fiercely defended his vision for Spotify in the face of resistance from the record labels, who control the majority of the world’s music, and from the industry’s biggest stars. Radiohead’s Thom Yorke urged musicians to “fight the Spotify thing”, while Taylor Swift has described the company as “a grand experiment” and “a start-up with no cash flow”.

Scott Borchetta, the chief executive of Big Machine Label Group, Swift’s label, made global headlines in 2014 when he pulled her music off Spotify. In 2018, as Mr Ek’s idea to sell access, not ownership, of music is credited with reviving revenues, Mr Borchetta is complimentary. 

“Daniel is very smart. We’ve always had a dialogue,” he says. “He’s been extremely brave in saying: I’m going to lead this and I believe that I have a platform that can work.” 

Mr Ek, who splits his time between Stockholm and New York, has previously shown little enthusiasm for making Spotify a traditional public company. He told the FT in 2013 that being private was “better in pretty much every regard”. Even now he is opting for an unconventional market debut, foregoing the traditional roadshow and frenzy of an IPO. Instead, Spotify’s existing shares will be listed directly on the market — a strategy that has been reserved for much smaller companies. 

Mr Ek has two children with his wife, Sofia Levander, a writer and former reality TV star. A longtime fan of Arsenal, the football club, his Twitter feed ranges from motivational statements to artist promotions, and he cites interests in genetics and DNA sequencing. 

“I’m not the inventor,” he said in 2013. “But I may be the person that’s dumb enough to go against the system and try to beat it on its own terms.”

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & DOwngrades - 2nd of MArch 2018

>>> Up
* AB InBev Upgraded to Buy at SBG Securities; PT 110 Euros
* Beiersdorf Upgraded to Hold at Nord/LB; Price Target 88 Euros
* Merlin Upgraded to Hold at Berenberg
* Moneysupermarket Upgraded to Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 3.40 Pounds
* Uutechnic Group Upgraded to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 40 Cents
* Valeo Upgraded to Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 53 Euros

>>> Down
* Faurecia Downgraded to Underperform at Jefferies
* Freenet Downgraded to Hold at DZ Bank; PT 28 Euros
* Hoegh LNG Downgraded to Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 60 Kroner
* J. Martins Downgraded to Reduce at HSBC; PT 14 Euros
* Otello Downgraded to Hold at Beringer Finance; PT 25 Kroner
* Travis Perkins Downgraded to Hold at Canaccord; PT 14.20 Pounds

>>> Initiation
* AIB Group Reinstated at Investec With Hold; PT 5.75 Euros
* Amplifon Reinstated at Jefferies With Hold; PT 12.80 Euros
* Essilor Reinstated at Jefferies With Buy; PT 132 Euros
* Implenia Reinstated at MainFirst With Outperform; PT 75 Francs
* Metro Bank Reinstated Buy at William O'Neil & Co Incorporated

>>> Call

>>> Asian Update

Asia Market Update: Protectionism concerns weigh on Asian markets; Japan gov’t notes labor shortages as jobless rate hits new multi-decade low


***Headlines/Economic Data***
General Trend:
- Steelmakers trade broadly lower after Trump Admin formally announces tariffs on aluminum and steel imports
- USD/JPY hits 2-week low
- (JP) BOJ Gov Kuroda: Will be considering exit around Fiscal 2019 because of the chances of hitting inflation target at that time - Parliament comments
- China National People’s Congress to start on Monday, March 5th, will set economic targets for the coming year; Expected to keep GDP growth near or above 6.5% - Xinhua

Australia/New Zealand
-ASX 200 opened -0.5%; closed -0.7%
-ASX 200 Telecom Index -1.7%, Resources -1%, Energy -0.9%, Financials -0.5%
-(AU) Australia Trade Min Ciobo: To seek exemption from US steel tariffs
-(NZ) New Zealand Feb ANZ Consumer Confidence: 127.7 v 126.9 prior
-(NZ) New Zealand Jan Building Permits M/M: +0.2% v -9.6% prior
-(NZ) Citigroup pushes back RBNZ rate hike call: Now sees rates on hold until Q1 2019 vs prior expectation for rate hike in Q3 2018

China/Hong Kong
-Hang Seng opened -1.4%, Shanghai Composite opened -1.8%
-Hang Seng Energy Index -2%, Info Tech -1.9%, Financials -1.8%, Property/Construction -1.2%
-Shanghai Composite Property Index trades at around flat levels
-Chinese industry groups react to US decision to adopt sanctions on steel and aluminum: (CN) China Metals Association: China among nations likely to 'retaliate'
-(CN) China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) Official: US tariffs related to steel and aluminum are 'stupid' trade protection measure
- (US) White House Official: Talks with China Economic Adviser Liu He were 'frank and constructive'; US underscored the importance of achieving balance and reciprocity in the economic relationship with China.

Japan
-Nikkei 225 opened -1.8%; closed -2.5%
-TOPIX Iron & Steel index declines over 3% after US trade move
-Japanese automakers decline after US announcement related to tariffs and gains in the Yen
-Nikkei weighted Fast Retailing [9983.JP] declines over 2% ahead of Feb sales figures (reported Jan figures after the close)
-(JP) Japan Jan Jobless Rate: 2.4% v 2.8%e (multi-decade low*)
-(JP) Japan Feb Tokyo CPI Y/Y: 1.4% v 1.4%e; Ex-Fresh Food (Core) Y/Y: 0.9% v 0.8%e
-(JP) Japan Feb Monetary Base Y/Y: 9.4% v 9.7% prior;
-(JP) BoJ Gov Kuroda: Reiterates will consider further easing if needed and will adjust policy to reach target if needed.
-(JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Won't comment on FX market; Carefully watching effect of labor shortage on economy, clear that there is a labor shortage in Japan
-(JP) BoJ Gov Kuroda Upper House confirmation hearings set for March 6th; The confirmation hearings for the Dep Gov Nominees set for March 7th

Korea
-Kospi opened -0.9%
-(KR) South Korea Feb Nikkei PMI Manufacturing: 50.3 v 50.7 prior
-(KR) South Korea is expected to nominate new Bank of Korea (BoK) chief on Monday - South Korean Press
-(KR) South Korea held meeting on possible impact of US steel tariff; plans to reach out to US officials regarding its tariff plan
-(KR) South Korea Pres Moon reportedly plans to send special envoy to North Korea soon - South Korea press

Other Asia
-(IN) India Steel Sec: No immediate impact of US trade curbs on imports; Trump Administration is 'stretching' security clause as a barrier for steel imports to the US.
-(TH) Thailand Feb Nikkei PMI Manufacturing: 50.9 v 50.6 prior
(TH) Thailand Feb CPI M/M: -0.2% v -0.1%e; Y/Y 0.4%* v 0.7%e
-(TW) Taiwan Premier: No need to 'panic' about inflation

North America
-US equity markets closed broadly lower: Dow -1.9%, S&P500 -1.3%, Nasdaq -1.3%, Russell -0.3%
-S&P500 Industrials -2%, Financials -1.7%, Tech -1.7%
-(US) Pres Trump: US will institute tariffs next week; will impose 25% tariffs on steel and 10% on aluminum imports - comments at White House
-(US) Fed Chair Powell: there's no strong evidence of a decisive move higher in wages; Reiterates gradual rate hikes are expected to be the appropriate path - Senate testimony
-(US) Fed's Dudley (dove, FOMC voter): Four 25bps rate hikes would still be a gradual pace; Can't be too aggressive about rate hikes because inflation is still below target
-(US) PIMCO economist Rich Clarida likely front runner for Fed deputy role – press-(US) Former Fed Chair Greenspan: bond market unwind will ultimately bring us into state of stagflation; As real interest rates rise, it's inevitable that the effect on equity prices is negative - CNBC
-Park Hotels & Resorts [PK]: China HNA said to plan to sell entire 25% stake which may be worth $1.4B - US financial press
Looking Ahead: Canada Q4 GDP due for release

Europe
- (EU) Reportedly ECB unlikely to signal any policy changes at March 8th meeting, but might discuss dropping easing bias language – press
(EU) Likelihood that ECB's Weidmann will replace Draghi is said to be increasing; Reportedly Weidmann gaining support as Germany agrees to support Spain's De Guindos as next ECB Vice President - press
- (EU) EU's Juncker: EU will "react firmly" to T rump administration tariffs; will bring forward countermeasures
(ES) Reportedly Puigdemont may drop his effort to return to Catalan Presidency - Spain press
(UK) Prime Min May: Brexit deal must give UK control of its borders, laws and money; deal must protect people's jobs; Will set out 'five tests' for Brexit deal - preview of March 2nd speech
(UK) PM May spokesperson: held constructive talks with Tusk today; called EU Commission draft text unacceptable
Technicolor [TCH.FR]: InterDigital makes binding offer to acquire Technicolor’s patent licensing business for $150M in cash


***Levels as of 01:00ET***
- Hang Seng -1.4%; Shanghai Composite -0.5%; Kospi -0.8%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax -0.2%; FTSE100 -0.2%
- EUR 1.2259-1.2288 ; JPY 105.93-106.32; AUD 0.7749-0.7775 ;NZD 0.7247-0.7277
- Feb Gold +1% at $1,318/oz; Feb Crude Oil flat at $60.98/brl; Mar Copper +0.4% at $3.138/lb