>>> What to look at today - 6th of July 2018

 Stocks climbed in Asia and the yen slipped with gold as the well flagged U.S. imposition of tariffs on Chinese imports began, something China vowed to fight back on. Treasuries declined, as did the yuan.
Equities rose from Sydney to Mumbai. Chinese shares reversed losses though remained strongly down for the week. Equities in Singapore sank after the government unexpectedly tightened curbs on the property market. The yuan slipped amid scrutiny of policymakers’ next moves. Copper sank for a fifth day, while oil pared recent losses.

Nikkei +1.34% Hang Seng +0.89% CSI +1.09% Shanghai +0.83% Shenzne +1.26%

Eur$ 1.1712 CNH 6.6591 CNY 6.6447 JPY 110.77 GBP 1.3234 CHF 0.9925 RUB 63.1614

S&P +0.25% EuroStoxx +0.61% Dax +0.64% FTSE +0.58% SMI +0.37%

Macro :
- China Says It’s Forced to Retaliate on U.S. Tariffs
- Macron, Sovereign Wealth Funds to Unveil Renewable Energy Plan
- Equities Cut to Underweight at Commerzbank, Prefers Govt Bonds

Keep an eye on :
- ARL GY : Aareal Bank 2Q Loan Repayments Below Plan, CEO Merkens Tells BZ
- AIR FP : Airbus, AirAsia Are Said Still Deadlocked on Order: Reuters
- AI FP : Air Liquide Sees FY Currency Impact on Revenue of -3% to -4%
- ASML NA : Samsung Revenue, Earnings Miss Could Hit European Suppliers
- BCA LN : Apax Partners LLP No Intention to Make An Offer for BCA
- EN FP : Bouygues Construction Buys Australia’s AW Edwards
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole Outlook Raised by Moody’s on Capital Strength
- ELE SM : Iberdrola, Endesa Mull Portugal Concessions Bid: Confidencial
- EO FP : Faurecia Plans to Buy All of Parrot Automotive Ahead of Schedule
- FRE GY : Akorn Spikes Late in Trading Session; Fresenius Trial Monday
- IBE SM : Iberdrola, Endesa Mull Portugal Concessions Bid: Confidencial
- IBS PL : Ibersol Says Completes Capital Increase
- IMPN SW : Consortium Led by Implenia Gets About CHF200m Order
- ISAT LN : Inmarsat Rejected 532p/Share Improved Bid From EchoStar
- KID NO : Kid 2Q Revenue Rises to NOK281.5M Versus NOK278.4M Year Earlier
- KOG NO : *KONGSBERG TO BUY ROLLS-ROYCE COMMERCIAL MARINE; VALUE GBP500M, Norway to Participate for NOK2.5B in Kongsberg Rights Issue
- LYFT IPO : Cabify Said in Talks With Lyft on up to EU3B Sale: Confidencial
- MEKO SS : Mekonomen Makes EU395m Acquisition, Plans SEK1.65b Rights Issue
- PARRO FP : Faurecia Plans to Buy All of Parrot Automotive Ahead of Schedule
- UG FP : Peugeot Motocycles to Cut 90 Jobs in Strategy Shift: Les Echos
- RR/ LN : Kongsberg Buys Rolls-Royce Commercial Marine; Value GBP500m
- RUI FP : Rubis Says Issued 1.61M New Shares for Dividend Payment
- RYA LN : Ryanair Asks Irish Pilot Union To Meet, Call Off Planned Strike
- STM FP : Samsung Revenue, Earnings Miss Could Hit European Suppliers
- SPH LN : China Grand, Huadong Confirm Approach Has Been Made For Sinclair
- SMCP FP : SMCP to Offer Up to 4.69m Shares via JP Morgan, SMCP Majority Holder Sells Stock at EU22.25/Share; Prices Bonds
- TSCO LN : U.K. Retailers Post Worst June Sales Since Brexit Vote: BDO
- TSLA US : China Is Said to Weigh Further Cuts in Electric-Car Subsidies
- TKA GY : Thyssenkrupp CEO Asks Supervisory Board to End His Mandate
- VOW3 GY : Porsche Demanded Over EU200 Mln From Audi for Diesel Engines: SZ
- WPP LN : Sorrell Is Said Close to Defeating WPP for Media Monks: Times

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 6th of July 2018

>>> Up
* Aubay Upgraded to Buy at Gilbert Dupont; Price Target 46 Euros
* Eurazeo Upgraded to Buy at HSBC; PT 86 Euros
* ITV Upgraded to Buy at SocGen; PT 2.20 Pounds
* Petra Diamonds Raised to Buy at Panmure Gordon & Co; PT 69 Pence
* Shell Upgraded to Buy at DZ Bank

>>> Down
* Daily Mail Downgraded to Sell at SocGen; PT 6.45 Pounds
* Direct Line Cut to Equal-weight at Barclays; PT 3.57 Pounds
* Esure Downgraded to Underweight at Barclays; PT 2.20 Pounds
* Gas Natural Downgraded to Reduce at HSBC; PT 20.80 Euros
* Just Group Downgraded to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 1.37 Pounds
* Teleperformance Downgraded to Neutral at Goldman; PT 164 Euros

>>> Initiation
* AB InBev Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 114 Euros
* AMS Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 120 Francs
* ArcelorMittal Reinstated Outperform at Macquarie; PT 30 Euros
* Atresmedia Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 10.70 Euros
* ASMI Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 67 Euros
* ASML Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 200 Euros
* BAE Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 5.90 Pounds
* Beiersdorf Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 97 Euros
* Burckhardt Reinstated at Baader-Helvea With Hold; PT 380 Francs
* CaixaBank Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 4.85 Euros
* Carlsberg Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 820 Kroner
* CNH Industrial Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF
* CVS Group Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 12.30 Pounds
* Cyan Rated New Buy at Hauck & Aufhaeuser; PT 30 Euros
* Eurogerm Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 40 Euros
* Heineken NV Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 100 Euros
* Inside Secure Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 4.70 Euros
* Lanson-BCC Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 33 Euros
* Lindt & Spruengli Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF
* Mediaset Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 3.40 Euros
* Mediawan Rated New Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 15.20 Euros
* Parrot Rated New Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 5 Euros
* Pearson Downgraded to Hold at SocGen
* Salzgitter Reinstated Underperform at Macquarie; PT 34 Euros
* SSAB Reinstated at Macquarie With Outperform; PT 48 Kronor
* Veoneer GDRs Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 570 Kronor
* Voestalpine Reinstated at Macquarie With Neutral; PT 42 Euros

>>> Call
* Equities Cut to Underweight at Commerzbank, Prefers Govt Bonds

Fwd>>> After Hours Summary: PSMT -7% following earnings/guidance, VC +


After Hours Summary: PSMT -7% following earnings/guidance, VC +3% on S&P MidCap 400 addition news

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: CVEO +7.7% (awarded contracts to supply accommodations for four locations along the Coastal GasLink pipeline project in British Colombia, Canada), VC +3.0% (will replace WGL Holdings in the S&P MidCap 400), ERA +2% (ticking higher; Era Group entered into litigation settlement agreement with Airbus (EADSY) Helicopters; Airbus agreed to pay $42.0 mln and provide Era with certain trade account credits), AI +1.3% (still checking)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: PSMT -6.9% 

>>> US Close Dow +0,75% S&P +O,86% Nasdaq +1,12% Russell +1,15%


Closing Summary: Post-Fourth of July Fireworks for the Bulls

The stock market took back on Thursday what it lost on Tuesday, and then some, in what has become a virtual seesaw of activity surrounding trade headlines -- real, perceived, or otherwise.

Today, the bulls won out, capitalizing on thin trading conditions, robust leadership from the S&P 500 information technology sector (+1.5%), and opportunistic reports that U.S. and EU officials may be deliberating over the possibility of eliminating all tariffs on auto imports to the EU and U.S.

It wasn't just a case of the information technology sector carrying the day, however.  The gains were broad based and featured advances by 10 of 11 economic sectors.  Solid gains were also registered by the consumer staples (+1.5%), health care (+1.1%), materials (+1.0%), and real estate (+1.4%) sectors.   

The lone laggard was the energy sector (-0.2%), which fell in conjunction with oil prices ($73.04, -$1.28, -1.7%) after a bearish weekly inventory report.   The energy sector's loss barely registered, however, as sellers lacked conviction overall in the post-Fourth of July trade.

Volume was on the light side, which was to be expected as many market participants remained on vacation -- or at least away from the stock market.

The participants who were involved today showed an affinity for the semiconductor stocks, which rallied around Micron (MU 52.84, +1.36, +2.6%) affirming its fiscal fourth quarter revenue outlook and some bargain-hunting activity following a rough patch for industry components over the last month.

The relative strength of the semiconductor stocks drove the outperformance of the information technology sector along with a cohort of familiar mega-cap names that included Apple (AAPL 185.40, +1.48, +0.8%), Facebook (FB 198.45, +5.72, +3.0%), and Alphabet (GOOG 1124.27, +21.38, +1.9%).  The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 2.7%.

By and large, the market seemed impervious to the understanding that the U.S. is poised to levy tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods, effective at midnight tonight, and that China is set to retaliate in kind with tariffs on a comparable amount of U.S. goods. 

The insouciant trading behavior was viewed as a tacit sign that this tariff action has been priced in already and that the market still expects a full-fledged trade war to be avoided.

That perception could shift on the "next headline," but on Thursday the market traded on positive thoughts and not negative ones.

To that end, the FOMC Minutes for the June meeting were released at 2:00 p.m. ET.   There weren't any notable surprises in the text, which is why there wasn't much reaction overall in the market to their release.

One passage that caught some added attention was an acknowledgement that contacts in many districts were concerned about the possible adverse effects of tariffs and other proposed trade restrictions and that contacts in some districts scaled back, or postponed, capital spending plans as a result of the uncertainty over trade policy.

Following a brief hiccup after the release of the Minutes, the major indices would all go on to reach new highs for the session, which were just a smidgen above today's closing prices.

Today's economic calendar featured four releases:

  • The MBA Mortgage Applications Index for the week ending June 30 (actual -0.5%; Prior -4.9%)
  • The ADP Employment Change Report for June (Actual 177,000; consensus 180,000; Prior revised to 189,000 from 178,000)
    • The key takeaway from the report is that it reflects difficulty for employers in finding qualified workers
  • The Initial Claims Report for the week ending June 30 (Actual 231,000; consensus 225,000; Prior revised to 228,000 from 227,000)
    • The key takeaway from this report is that there are no alarm bells ringing in it. The initial claims and continuing jobless claims levels continue to be low and encouraging, which is why the market keeps hitting the snooze button upon its release.
  • The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for June (Actual 59.1; consensus 58.3; Prior 58.6)
    • The key takeaway from the report is that it matched an uptick in the ISM Manufacturing Index for June, suggesting there was an acceleration in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing activity. That will help substantiate the belief that second quarter GDP growth is poised to pick up noticeably from the first quarter.

Friday's economic calendar will feature the Employment Situation Report for June and the Trade Balance Report for May.

  • Nasdaq Composite +9.9% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +9.2% YTD
  • S&P 500 +2.4% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -1.4% YTD

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • ISCA -0.4%

Other news:

  • ZYNE -20.9% ( top line results from ZYN001 THC-Prodrug Patch Phase 1 study -- target blood levels of 5 to 15 ng/ml THC were not achieved)
  • FIZZ -1.7% (disputes allegations discussed in WSJ article)

Analyst comments:

  • N/A.

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up

M&A news:

  • ENB +2.2% (to sell its Canadian natural gas gathering and processing business in the Montney, Peace River Arch, Horn River and Liard basins in British Columbia and Alberta to Brookfield Infrastructure (BIP) for CAD$4.31 bln)
  • PX +2.1% (to sell the majority of its businesses in Europe to Taiyo Nippon Sanso for EUR 5 bln)
  • COP +1.4% (to sell 16.5% interest in Clair Field in the UK; acquires additional 39.2% interest in the greater Kuparuk Area in Alaska)

Select EU financial related names showing strength:

  • BBVA +6.5%, DB +5.8%, SAN +4.7%, ING +3.6%, CS +2.4%, PUK +1.4%

Select oil/gas related names showing strength:

  • TOT +3.3%, PBR +3%, FRO +2%, BP +2%, RDS.A +1.9%, CHK +1.5%, CVX +1%, XOM +0.9%

Other news:

  • ALV +3.6% (strength in auto sector in EU)
  • GM +2.6% (speculation of easing duties from EU),
  • MU +1.2% (rebounding from Tuesday's report that Chinese court temporarily banned chip sales for Micron in China)
  • BMY +0.8% (European Commission has expanded the indication for Sprycel)
  • ALNY +0.7% (publication of pivotal study results from the APOLLO Phase 3 trial of patisiran in The New England Journal of Medicine)

Analyst comments:

  • GERN +3.4% (initiated with a Buy at B. Riley FBR)
  • QRVO +2.3% (upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts)
  • BIP +1.7% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse)
  • BOOM +0.8% (initiated with a Buy at Chardan Capital Markets)