FT : Tyrus Capital hit hard by large bet on NXP Semiconductors

Tyrus Capital hit hard by large bet on NXP Semiconductors
Monaco hedge fund bore significant losses from investment in Dutch chipmaker
Tony Chedraoui stood on stage in front of his hedge fund industry peers at the Monaco yacht club last year to deliver one of his top investment ideas. A Dutch company called NXP Semiconductors, he told the audience at the Sohn Conference, a charity fundraising fixture, had “very low” downside and potentially double-digit upside.

Just over a year later, Mr Chedraoui’s Monaco-based hedge fund Tyrus Capital is dealing with the aftermath of a half-a-billion dollar bet that went very wrong.

The presentation, made in front of peers and prospective clients, turned into the latest blow for Tyrus, which in 2012 paid $5m to settle a regulator’s fraud allegations in Brazil and during 2014 suffered a heavy paper loss betting on an aborted takeover of Shire.

According to data from public filings, Tyrus, which is distinctive for being based in Monaco rather than a more established financial centre, was one of a number of hedge funds that bet heavily on NXP.

Confidence came from two fronts: NXP had an agreed takeover offer from Qualcomm, the US semiconductor company, and the chip sector had rallied since that deal was struck in October 2016. Either Qualcomm would have to improve its offer, or NXP would remain independent but be buoyed by the broader rally.

By the middle of 2017, when Mr Chedraoui promoted his NXP trade, the shares were trading above the $110 Qualcomm offer price.

By February 2018, Qualcomm revised its takeover offer to buy the company to $127.50, raising the deal value to $44bn.

But things took an unexpected turn. NXP shares sold off sharply in the months that followed, as fears emerged that the deal would be caught up in US president Donald Trump’s trade war with China. By July, those fears proved accurate as Qualcomm scrapped its takeover plans after failing to get approval from Chinese authorities.

NXP’s shares have fallen 24 per cent from their February high.

The losses on NXP have ricocheted across the industry, hurting a number of high-profile investors, including Paul Singer’s Elliott Management, and serving as a reminder that even seemingly sure-fire bets can backfire.

Multiple investors who held NXP shares have told the Financial Times that their funds were blindsided by Sino-US tensions over trade, which many cite as the reason for the deal’s collapse.

Public filings show that Tyrus sold its entire position before that happened. Tyrus held 4.3m shares in NXP at the end of the first quarter this year. By the end of the second quarter, the fund had sold off its entire shareholding.

The losses were significant for Tyrus and for Mr Chedraoui, a former director of mergers and acquisitions at Lehman Brothers, who subsequently worked as a portfolio manager at the hedge fund Deephaven Capital Management before he founded Tyrus in 2009.

At one point in the first quarter, Mr Chedraoui bet $508m of his fund, a significant proportion of Tyrus’s assets under management, which stood at $1.7bn in February, according to US regulatory filings and data from HSBC.

Tyrus did not provide comment for publication.

After April, Tyrus’s performance numbers no longer appeared in a weekly report compiled by HSBC, which leading hedge funds use to report their investment returns to prospective clients.

>>> US After Hours Summary: YELP +15%, SAIL / CVNA +10%, ROKU +9%, ANG


After Hours Summary: YELP +15%, SAIL / CVNA +10%, ROKU +9%, ANGI / ZUMZ +5% are higher, while ELF -8%, PEGA -4%, COST -1.3% are lower following earnings/guidance/SSS

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance/SSS: YELP +15.3%, SAIL +10.3%, CVNA +10%, ROKU +8.6% (also expands access to free streaming entertainment with Roku Channel for the Web; adds 'featured free' to Roku UI ), LASR +7.8%, AYX +7.6%, JACK +7.2%, BREW +7.1%, TIVO +6.2%, VNOM +6%, ANGI +5.3%, ZUMZ +4.7% (reports July comps of 9.1% and raises Q2 guidance), NUAN +4%, ZTO +3.7%, SGMO +3.6% (also announces positive preliminary data from Phase 1/2 clinical trial evaluating SB-525), CTL +2.9%, SRPT +2.5%, SUN +2.1%, CDAY +1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: BEL +16.6% (initiated a comprehensive review of strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value and reported earnings), MFIN +6.8% (after NY's City Council passed regulations on ride-hailing companies)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance/SSS: ACAD -11.2%, MRAM -8.9% (light volume), ELF -8.1%, DAR -7.1% (light volume), CPA -6.5%, ADT -6%, INSY -5.4% (also North Carolina AG Josh Stein filed a suit against Insys Therapeutics for 'deceptive marketing and sale practices' ), CDXS -4.5%, UPLD -4.4%, PEGA -4.3%, SENS -4.3%, NKTR -4%, OXY -2.7% (also Occidental Petro to sell Oxy Ingleside Energy Center to Moda Midstream), NTRA -2.5%, MNST -2.4%, FLO -2.3%, FANG -2%, HPR -1.8%, MUR -1.7%, COST -1.3% (reports July comps of +8.3%)

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: STMP -16.1% (seeing continued weakness after disclosing USPS compensation arrangement risks), NVEE -6.6% (announces proposed offering of common stock), SBPH -6% (intends to sell shares of its public stock in an underwritten public offering), RGNX -5% (files for mixed securities shelf offering and 5,057,458 share common stock offering by selling stockholders; to offer and sell $175 mln common stock in an underwritten public offering), APA -1.9% (Apache and Kanye Anderson announce agreement to create Altus Midstream Company), BKNG -1.3% (reschedules second quarter earnings call)

>>> US Notable post-earnings movers


Notable post-earnings movers

  • Post-earnings gainers: SAIL +11.6%, YELP +10.9%, CVNA +10%, AYX +8.8%, LASR +8.4%, ROKU +7.4%, JACK +7%, TIVO +6.6%, VNOM +5.2%, ANGI +4.9%, ZUMZ +4.3%, SRPT +3.7%, CTL +3.6%, NUAN +3.2%, BV +2.7%, IAC +2.4%, SGMO +1.4%, SUN +1.3%, CDAY +1%
  • Post-earnings losers: ELF -10.2%, ACAD -9.1%, INSY -5.3%, PEGA -5.3%, UPLD -4.3%, ADT -4%, FLO -3.9%, SENS -3.6%, NKTR -2.2%, FANG -2.1%, NTRA -2%, OXY -1.1%

>>> US Close Dow -0.18% S&P -0.03% Nasdaq +0.06% Russell -0.08%


Closing Market Summary: Little Changed Following Quiet Day of Trading

The S&P 500 finished Wednesday slightly lower, ending its four-session winning streak with an uneventful, range-bound performance. The benchmark index lost less than 0.1%, remaining within 0.5% of its January 26 record high. The Nasdaq ticked higher, adding 0.1%, while the Dow shed 0.2%.

Sector movement was relatively modest, as no group advanced or declined more than 0.8%. The financials (+0.3%) and technology (+0.3%) spaces were among the top performers, using their influence to balance losses elsewhere. The two groups are heavily-weighted, representing around 40% of the broader market combined.

On the flip side, the energy (-0.8%) and consumer staples (-0.8%) sectors finished at the back of the pack. The energy sector declined with crude prices after the EIA's weekly crude inventory report showed a smaller-than-expected draw of 1.4 million barrels. WTI crude futures dropped 3.2% to $66.94/bbl, a six-week low.

In earnings news, Walt Disney (DIS 113.98, -2.58) lost 2.2% after missing bottom-line estimates; CVS Health (CVS 68.17, +2.72) rallied 4.2% after beating profit estimates and raising the low end of its guidance for FY18; and Snap (SNAP 12.23, -0.89) dropped 6.8% after reporting a decline in daily active users.

Away from equities, U.S. Treasuries ended Wednesday flat, with the yield on the benchmark 10-yr note finishing unchanged at 2.97%. The U.S. Dollar Index ticked down 0.1% to 94.92, and the CBOE Volatility Index slid 1.8% to 10.73, hitting a fresh seven-month low.

On the data front, Wednesday's lone economic report, the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index, showed a decrease of 3.0%. Looking ahead, investors will receive the Producer Price Index for July, the weekly Initial Claims report, and the Wholesale Inventories report for June on Thursday.

  • Nasdaq Composite +14.3% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +9.9% YTD
  • S&P 500 +6.9% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +3.5% YTD