FT : China alleges ‘massive’ evidence of chipmaker violations

China alleges ‘massive’ evidence of chipmaker violations
Beijing vows to deepen antitrust probe of chipmakers Samsung, Micron and SK Hynix

Authorities in China have alleged “massive evidence” of antitrust violations by the world’s top three memory chip manufacturers, in the latest industrial spat that threatens to upset global trade relations.

Officials in Beijing said an investigation into South Korea’s Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix and US-based Micron Technology had made “important progress”, and vowed to deepen their probe into the trio, which account for more than 95 per cent of the world’s supply of DRAM chips.

The probe casts a shadow over Samsung, the world’s largest chipmaker by sales, whose soaring profits in recent years have been fuelled almost entirely by the memory chips required by evermore powerful computer servers and cryptocurrency mining devices.

But Beijing’s interest in nurturing domestic technology groups, including chipmakers, also threatens to hollow out business in neighbouring South Korea, where semiconductors this year accounted for 20 per cent of all exports.

“The anti-monopoly investigation into these three companies has made important progress . . . [It] has yielded massive evidence,” said Wu Zhenguo, head of China’s anti-monopoly bureau under the State Administration for Market Regulation.

The inclusion of Micron has sparked fears the probe could form part of a counteroffensive by China in its trade war with the US. 

“This seems to be part of Beijing’s negotiating tactic amid the ongoing trade war. Beijing may be using this as a bargaining chip for its trade talks with the US,” said Daniel Kim, an analyst at Macquarie. 

China last year accounted for 51 per cent of Micron’s semiconductor sales, 40 per cent of Samsung’s sales and 33 per cent of SK Hynix’s, according to SK Securities.

The three companies named in the investigation, which kicked off in June, are serious competition for nascent state-backed Chinese groups. 

In 2015, Beijing unveiled a national initiative to become a global high-tech superpower in key sectors including semiconductors. Chinese firms have received massive state subsidies for the research and manufacture of memory chips.

That has also fuelled complaints that Chinese state-owned companies are stealing US technology to further that goal, accusations that have featured prominently in the US-China trade war.

This month, Washington filed criminal charges against Fujian Jinhua, a Chinese state-owned company, for the alleged theft of trade secrets from Micron as Washington ratchets up its fight against Chinese economic espionage, and it has banned the Chinese group from buying US-made components.

The semiconductor investigation also reflects China’s increasing wiliness to exert its antitrust powers over multinational companies. The anti-monopoly bureau within the commerce ministry has worldwide jurisdiction over any deal above a certain size if the regulators judge that it will have a broad effect on Chinese consumers and suppliers. 

Kim Young-woo, an analyst at SK Securities, said Beijing could impose fines of more than $2.5bn on each the three chipmakers in the worst-case scenario. 

“This would create additional pressure to cut DRAM prices and build more wafer factories as joint ventures with local Chinese companies to spur the transfer of technology to China,” he said.

>>> Sonangol to sell EUR 1.7bn Galp stake, EUR 740m BCP holding

Sonangol to sell EUR 1.7bn Galp stake, EUR 740m BCP holding (translated)
19 NOV 2018
Sonangol, the Angolan state energy group, plans to offload its indirect stakes in Galp Energia [ELI:GALP] worth over EUR 1.7bn and 20% BCP [ELI:BCP] holding valued at EUR 740m, reported Jornal de Negocios.
Speaking ahead of an official visit to Portugal, Angolan President Joao Lourenco said Sonangol now plans to sell its 15% indirect Galp stake held via Amorim Energia which in turn owns 33% of Galp. The Angolan state oil group had been planning to buy out Isabel dos Santos’ stake in Esperanza, its EUR joint venture partner in Galp, but this scheme has been dropped, the Angolan leader said.
Dos Santos, daughter of ex-Angolan leader Jose Eduardo dos Santos, had been made Sonangol CEO by her father but was subsequently fired by Angola’s new head of state.
Sonangol will also sell its one-fifth BCP stake and although both divestitures in major listed Portuguese companies will not occur immediately they will be sooner rather than later, President Lourenco added.

NY Post : Paul Singer scores victory with new Telecom Italia CEO

When Telecom Italia on Sunday named Luigi Gubitosi as its new chief executive officer, it handed Paul Singer a big victory in his struggle to remake the troubled company. Bloomberg had reported that Gubitosi was to be selected.
The board, filled with directors representing Singer’s Elliott Management hedge fund, chose former Merrill Lynch honcho and turnaround specialist Gubitosi to succeed Amos Genish, who was removed Nov. 13 for resisting Singer’s urge to spin off the landline network.
The move represented a defeat for Telecom Italia’s biggest shareholder, Vivendi, which opposed both the spinoff and Genish’s removal, Bloomberg reported.
Gubitosi is the company’s fifth CEO in five years.

>>> Goldman Sachs 2019 macro outlook - We expect the broad Dollar to decline in

Goldman Sachs 2019 macro outlook
- We expect the broad Dollar to decline in 2019 as the US growth boom “catches down” to the moderate pace of expansion in the rest of the world.
- The Euro has room for appreciation, but only on a resolution or containment of the budget standoff in Italy—until then, risks are skewed to the downside.
- We see meaningful upside to the Pound should the UK secure a status quo transition deal with its EU partners. But as recent days have shown, Brexit talks could still result in a wide range of potential outcomes.
- We have revised our long-standing bearish view on the Yen due to slower US growth, a more challenging risk asset environment, and possible policy tweaks by the Bank of Japan.
- Latin American currencies should outperform their EM peers next year. We see the best scope for spot appreciation in the Chilean Peso on solid domestic fundamentals and higher copper prices.
- The near-term outlook for the Yuan is conditional on trade talks; beyond that, look for broad stability due to improving growth on the one hand, but a weaker current account balance on the other.
- Central banks in nearly every small open economy in G10 and the CEEMEA region look set to continue or start raising rates in 2019. We see the most near-term upside in the Swedish Krona, the Canadian, Australian, and New Zealand Dollars, and the Israeli Shekel.
- It has been a bumpy year for the high-yielding CEEMEA currencies. While volatility will likely remain elevated, we think the South African Rand still has favorable medium-term prospects.

>>> What to look at today - 19th of November 2018

 Stocks in Asia kicked off the week in lackluster fashion after U.S.-China trade tensions showed no sign of improvement over the weekend. The greenback ticked higher and Treasuries steadied, while U.S. and European equity futures slipped.
Tension between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. Vice President Mike Pence quashed optimism that relations would improve at Group-of-20 meetings starting next week as the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation failed to agree on a joint statement for the first time in its history. Equities posted modest gains in Tokyo, Hong Kong and Shanghai, while Australian shares fell. Trading activity was below average with volumes in the U.S. likely be thinned by the Thanksgiving holiday this week. The S&P 500 Index had eked out a gain on Friday and Treasuries rallied as shorts reined in their bets.

Nikkei +0.65% Hang Seng +0.63% CSI +0.98% Shanghai +0.74% Shenzen +0.35%

Eur$ 1.1407 CNH 6.9329 CNY 6.9410 JPY 112.77 GBP 1.2839 CHF 1 TRY 5.3503 RUB 66.0160 WTI$ 57.17 +1.26%

S&P -0.25% EuroStoxx +0.06% FTSE -0.13% Dax +0.03% SMI +0.39%

Macro :
- Watch U.K. Homebuilders After Dismal Rightmove House Price Data
- Fed’s Harker ‘Not Convinced’ A Dec. Rate Rise Is Prudent: WSJ
- Italy’s Di Maio Stands Firm on Reforms Planned in 2019 Budget

Keep an eye on :
- ABBN SW : Hitachi in talks to buy ABB’s power grids business
- ABE SM : Abertis Opens Process to Sell Hispasat, Cinco Dias Reports
- ABN NA : ABN Amro Managers Sent Warning Letter to Spvy Board Chairman:FD
- AIR FP : Surrey Satellite in Talks to Move Galileo Test After Brexit: FT
- ACX GY : Bet-at-Home Co-CEO Aims to Return to Sdax in Medium Term: BZ
- ASIT BB : Asit Biotech Starts Confirmatory Phase III Study W/ GP-Asit+
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca Started Succession Planning for Soriot, Times Says
- CS FP : AXA to Buy Remaining 50% Stake in Chinese Venture: Sec. Times
- BAB LN : Babcock Decided Against Splitting Itself Up, Sunday Times Says
- BBVA SM : BBVA Seeks Partner for Insurance Business: Expansion
- BCP PL : BCP’s Maya Reaffirms He Wants to Pay Dividends, Expresso Reports
- BSGR NA : B&S Group Nine Month Revenue EU1.17 Bln
- COPN SW : Cosmo Pharmaceuticals Says FDA Approves Aemcolo
- COTY US : Coty CEO Laubies Buys $20.1 Million of Shares
- DKSH SW : DKSH Says Martina Ludescher Will Leave Co. as of Dec. 31
- ETL FP : Airbus, Eutelsat to Build Satellite Parts in Post-Brexit Britain
- FLYB LN : Top investors continue to dump Flybe shares, Chief’s stock options lose £1.2m in value - FT
- GAM SW : GAM Said to Offer Star Fund Managers Special Retention Bonuses
- GYC GY : Grand City Properties Nine Month Adjusted Ebitda EU204.3 Mln
- JPR LN : Johnston Press Says It Intends to File for Administration
- MC FP : Central-DFS Bid ‘Unofficially’ Wins Thai Airport Retail Tender
- LSE LN : LSE Group looks to shift debt trade to Italy in Brexit hedge
- MTRS SS : Munters Proposes Magnus Lindquist to Replace Curtis as Chairman
- NESN SW : Nestle, Unilever in Final Round for GSK India Consumer Sale: ET
- NOVN SW : Novartis’ Promacta Gets FDA Label Expansion
- ORP FP : CPIC, Orpea to Set up JV for Elderly-Care Business: Sec. News
- RNO FP : France to Maintain Top Renault Stake If Alliance Changes: Nikkei
- ROSE SW : Zur Rose Sees Net Proceeds from Rights Offering at ~CHF200m
- SUN SW : Sulzer CEO Expects Vekselberg to Remain an Investor, SamW Says
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Is Said Ready to Name Luigi Gubitosi Chief
- TCH FP : Technicolor SA Exploring Options, Including Sale: Reuters
- FP FP : French Minister Says Fuel Tax Reform Has to Be Carried Out

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th of November 20

>>> Up
* Bakkafrost Upgraded to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 430 Kroner
* Mercialys Upgraded to Buy at HSBC
* Nexans Upgraded to Buy at HSBC
* Novartis Upgraded to Buy at Goldman
* Novo Nordisk Upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 340 Kroner
* Oerlikon Upgraded to Buy at SocGen; PT 15.50 Francs
* Tele2 Upgraded to Buy at Berenberg

>>> Down
* Arkema Downgraded to Sell at Goldman; PT 85 Euros
* Bpost Downgraded to Hold at HSBC
* Scottish Salmon Co Plc/The Cut to Neutral at SpareBank
* Wacker Chemie Downgraded to Neutral at MainFirst; PT 102 Euros

>>> Initiation
* Aena Rated New Sell at Citi
* Aeroports de Paris Rated New Sell at Citi
* Eiffage Rated New Buy at Citi
* Ferrovial Rated New Neutral at Citi
* Fraport Rated New Neutral at Citi
* Getlink Rated New Sell at Citi
* Vinci Rated New Buy at Citi
* Wacker Neuson Rated New Outperform at MainFirst; PT 24 Euros
* Westwing Group Rated New Buy at Citi
* Zurich Airport Rated New Sell at Citi


>>> Call

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th of November 20

>>> Up
* Bakkafrost Upgraded to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 430 Kroner
* Mercialys Upgraded to Buy at HSBC
* Nexans Upgraded to Buy at HSBC
* Novartis Upgraded to Buy at Goldman
* Oerlikon Upgraded to Buy at SocGen; PT 15.50 Francs
* Tele2 Upgraded to Buy at Berenberg

>>> Down
* Bpost Downgraded to Hold at HSBC
* Scottish Salmon Co Plc/The Cut to Neutral at SpareBank
* Wacker Chemie Downgraded to Neutral at MainFirst; PT 102 Euros

>>> Initiation
* Aena Rated New Sell at Citi
* Aeroports de Paris Rated New Sell at Citi
* Eiffage Rated New Buy at Citi
* Ferrovial Rated New Neutral at Citi
* Fraport Rated New Neutral at Citi
* Getlink Rated New Sell at Citi
* Vinci Rated New Buy at Citi
* Wacker Neuson Rated New Outperform at MainFirst; PT 24 Euros
* Westwing Group Rated New Buy at Citi
* Zurich Airport Rated New Sell at Citi


>>> Call