>>> What to look at today - 7th of February 2019

 Stocks in Asia traded mixed Thursday with European futures pointing toward a mildly weaker start, on signs the global rally in equities is stalling. Indian investors assessed an interest-rate cut by the central bank that most hadn’t foreseen.
Japanese shares fell amid a raft of corporate earnings, even as SoftBank Group Corp. surged as much as 17 percent on plans for its biggest-ever buyback. Australian shares rose for a fourth day, showing little signs of exhaustion as the benchmark index climbed further into technically overbought territory. The New Zealand dollar extended a decline after weaker-than-expected jobs data, while its Australian counterpart traded lower following Wednesday’s central bank shift to a neutral policy stance. China and Hong Kong are shut.\
US After Hours  IRBT / PSDO +13%, CMG / MTCH +10% are notably higher, while VVV / FEYE -8%, SONO / CCK -5% are lower following earnings/guidance

Nikkei -0.59% Hang Seng Closed CSI Closed Shanghai +1.30% Shenzen +2.77%

Eur$ 1.1359 CNH 67749 CNY 6.7451 JPY 109.92 GBP 1.2936 CHF 1.0021 RUB 65.9267 TRY 5.2385 WTI$ 53.70-0.57%

S&P -0.31% FTSE -0.27% DAX -0.43% CAC -0.32% SMI -0.30%

Macro :
- May Heads to Brussels Seeking Escape From Brexit Backstop ‘Trap’

Keep an eye on :
- AA/ LN : AA Says Wins New 5-Year Contract With Lloyds Banking Group
- AIR FP : Dassault Aviation, Airbus Sign Air-Combat System Study Contract
- AIR FP : Qantas Scraps Airbus A380 Order: European Industrials Pre-Market
- AIR FP : Air Liquide Says Airgas to Buy Tech Air From CI Capital
- AAD GY : Amadeus Fire Full Year Revenue EU205.8 Mln
- MT NA : ArcelorMittal Raises Dividend to $0.20; 4Q Sales in Line (1)
- BAMI IM : Banco BPM Fourth Quarter Loss Wider Than Estimates
- BO DC : Watch Bang & Olufsen Shares After U.S. Firm Sonos Plunges
- GBB FP : Bourbon 2018 Consolidated Rev. EU633.9m, Est. EU687.6m
- BPSO IM : Pop. Sondrio Says ECB Set Minimum CET1 Ratio at 9.25% for 2019
- BEN FP : Beneteau Sees 2018-19 Revenue Growth 3%-5%, Says Market Slowing
- BIM FP : Biomérieux Buys Invisible Sentinel For About $75M
- CTM SS : Catena Media Fourth Quarter Revenue Misses Lowest Estimate
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole Says EM Higher-Yeild Assets Remain Supported
- CPG LN : Compass Sees Organic Rev. Growth Slightly Above Middle of Target
- DAI GY : Daimler CEO Zetsche: No-Deal Brexit Would Be ‘Horror Scenario’
- DSY FP : Dassault Aviation, Airbus Sign Air-Combat System Study Contract
- DBAN GY : Deutsche Beteiligungs AG Posts 1Q Loss, FY Forecast in Question
- DFDS DC : DFDS Full Year Ebitda Forecast Beats Estimates
- DIA SM : Investor Group Working on DIA Bid to Fight Letterone: Expansion
- EIG LN : EI Group 18-Week Comp. Net Income Up 2%; Notes Cost Pressures
- ENEL IM : Enel Posts 1.3% Revenue Increase, Debt Rises to EU41.1b
- FAGR BB : Fagron Full Year Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
- FIA1S FH : Finnair January Traffic Gains 5.7%
- GLPG NA : Galapagos, Evotec Enter Into Pact in Field of Fibrosis
- G1a GY : GEA Group Sees Fiscal 2019 Operating Ebitda Trailing Estimates
- GEMD LN : Gem Diamonds On Track to Achieve Four-Year $100m Rev. Target
- HEN3 GY : Henkel’s Strategy Could Spur Upside Earnings Surprises: Liberum
- LI FP : Klepierre Sees FY2019 Net Current Cash Flow of EU2.72-EU2.75/Shr
- KCR FH : Konecranes Full Year Dividend Per Share Misses Estimates
- MMB FP : Lagardere Full Year Revenue Meets Estimates
- LEON SW : Leonteq Full Year Operating Income Beats Highest Estimate
- LSR LN : Local Shopping REIT Says Board Will Consider Thalassa Offer
- MAP SM : Mapfre Full Year Adjusted Net Misses Lowest Estimate
- MBTN SW : Meyer Burger Sells Wafering Business to PSS for CHF50m
- NOKIA FH : *FRENCH SENATE REJECTS GOVT AMENDMENT TO TIGHTEN 5G SECURITY
- NAS NO : Norwegian Air Fourth Quarter Revenue Misses Lowest Estimate
- NOVN SW : Novartis CEO Backs U.S. Plan to End Rebate Payments: Reuters
- OTB LN : On the Beach Says U.K. Core Sales Rose 20% in First Four Months
- OSR GY : Osram 1Q Profit Misses Estimates as Automotive and China Sting
- RI FP : Pernod Ricard Raises FY Organic Profit Growth Forecast
- PUB FP : Publicis 4Q Org. Revenue Misses Estimates On Client Budget Cuts, Publicis Likely to Drop Following Organic Revenue Miss: Citi
- RNO FP : Ghosn’s Wedding at Versailles Probed by Renault: Le Figaro
- SAF FP : Safran, MTU Aero Engines to Develop Next-Gen Combat Jet Engine
- SAN FP : Sanofi CEO Brandicourt to Testify at Senate Drug-Price Hearing, Sanofi Sees Business EPS Rising 3% to 5% This Year
- SCR FP : Scor: Grows Reinsurance Premiums 9.7% in Jan.
- SECUB SS : Securitas Fourth Quarter Net Sales Meet Estimates
- SECUB SS : Securitas Approves Two Transformation Programs Worth ~SEK650m
- SDX LN : SDX Energy Expands in Morocco With Two New Licenses
- SGSN SW : SGS Names Dominik de Daniel CFO as Carla De Geyseleer Resigns
- SDRY LN : Superdry 3Q Group Revenue Down 1.5% to GBP269.3m
- SN/ LN : Smith & Nephew Full Year Revenue Meets Estimates
- STM FP : STMicroelectronics to Buy 55% of Norstel
- SCMN SW : Swisscom Full Year Ebitda Matches Estimates
- GLE FP : SocGen’s Oudea Confirms Prop Trading Unit Is Under Review
- TATE LN : Tate & Lyle Adjusted Pretax Profit in Quarter Ahead of Year Ago
- TAX LN : Tax Systems in Talks on Possible Takeover Bid by Bowmark Capital
- TIT IM : Elliott Owns 9.55% of Telecom Italia: Filing
- FP FP : Total 4Q Adj. Net $3.2B V. Median Est. $3.05B; To Up Div. 3.1%
- UCG IM : UniCredit Posts 4Q Net of EU1.73b Including EU887m Tax Gain
- UCG IM : UniCredit Reshuffles Management; Gen. Manager Papa to Step Down
- VATT SS :
- VEI NO : Veidekke Fourth Quarter Pretax Profit 2.4% Below Estimates
- VOE AV : Voestalpine 9M Profit Slumps, Sees ‘Cooling Off’ in Europe
- WMH LN : William Hill Has Bid Potential on Multiple, U.S. Prospects: Citi
- ZURN SW : Zurich Insurance FY Net Beats Highest Est., Dividend Below Est.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 7th of February 201

>>> Up
* Alstom Upgraded to Buy at Berenberg
* Aperam Reiterates Overweight at JP Morgan; PT 36 Euros
* Bank of Ireland Upgraded to Buy at HSBC; PT 6.50 Euros
* BT Upgraded to Buy at DZ Bank; Price Target 2.80 Pounds
* Daimler Upgraded to Hold at Commerzbank; PT 52 Euros
* Faurecia Upgraded to Hold at HSBC; PT 37 Euros
* OMV Upgraded to Overweight at Barclays; PT 65 Euros
* VIB Vermoegen Upgraded to Buy at Bankhaus Lampe
* Volvo Upgraded to Neutral at Baird; PT 138 Kronor

>>> Down
* Alfa Laval Downgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 210 Kronor
* Amplifon Downgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 17.70 Euros
* GEA Group Downgraded to Neutral at BofAML
* Infineon Downgraded to Hold at DZ Bank; Price Target 20.80 Euros
* Kion Downgraded to Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 60 Euros
* Lundin Petroleum Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 305 Kronor
* Munich Re Downgraded to Hold at DZ Bank; PT 204 Euros
* Orkla Downgraded to Neutral at Goldman; PT 71 Kroner
* Publicis Downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 56 Euros
* Repsol Cut to Equal-weight at Barclays; Price Target 19 Euros
* Wallenstam Downgraded to Reduce at Handelsbanken; PT 90 Kronor

>>> Initiation
* EssilorLuxottica Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 105 Euros
* Haulotte Rated New Outperform at MainFirst; PT 13 Euros
* Henkel Reinstated at Liberum With Buy; PT 98 Euros
* Manitou BF Rated New Neutral at MainFirst; PT 26 Euros
* William Hill Resumed at Citi With Buy; PT 3.10 Pounds

>>> Call
* EssilorLuxottica Has Synergies, But Leadership Issues: Jefferies

>>> US After Hours Summary: IRBT / PSDO +13%, CMG / MTCH +10% are nota


After Hours Summary: IRBT / PSDO +13%, CMG / MTCH +10% are notably higher, while VVV / FEYE -8%, SONO / CCK -5% are lower following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance/SSS: LCI +13.7%, IRBT +12.8%, PSDO +13.3%, CMG +9.8%, MTCH +9.6%, SRCI +5.6%, NOV +4.6%, ZNGA +4.2%, ORLY +3.5%, FTNT +3.4%, GPRO +1.9%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: IAC +5.5% (following MTCH results), ARRY +5.3% (after seeing notable option activity in late trade - coinciding with strength in the underlying stock), IOVA +3.8% (initiated with Outperform at Robert W Baird), GRUB +3.6% / ICE +1.8% (ahead of earnings tomorrow before the open), AAP +3% (following ORLY results), NOK +2.5% / ERIC +2.3% (positive mention on MadMoney), CNC +1.5% (rebounding after CEO appearance on CNBC), PRTK +1.4% (ticking higher after announcing publication of results from OPTIC and OASIS-1 Phase 3 studies of NUZYRA), YELP +1% (activist SQN Investors files proxy statement, intends to solicit proxies for the election of its slate of director nominees at the 2019 annual meeting of stockholders, repeats that it 'knows of multiple buyers who would be interested' in buying Yelp), CTSH +0.7% ( upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital Markets)

Restaurant/QSR names are higher following Chipotle (CMG) upside earnings/guidance: TACO +5.7%, YUM +2%, DNKN +1.7%, SHAK +0.8%

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance/SSS: OSUR -14.5%, VVV -8.2%, FEYE -8%, SONO -5.4%, CCK -4.6%, TTMI -4.5%, MRVL -3.9%, TWO -3.7%, ICHR -3.1%, TRMB -3.1%, FLT -2.7% (light volume), CDAY -2.3%, MET -1.5%, PRU -1.5%, PSEC -1.5%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: USAT -22.1% (to restate select financials), RMBL -7.1% (to offer and sell shares of its Class B Common Stock in an underwritten public offering), PSTI -4.8% (entered into $50 mln Open Market Sales Agreement with Jefferies dated February 6, 2019), BIIB -2.9% (attributed to Tecfidera patent developments disclosed in its annual filing), PCG -2.2% (lower in extended trading in response to San Francisco gas explosion; also the co submitted 2019 Wildfire Safety Plan with additional safety precautions and expanded public safety power shutoff program), IDTI -1.2% (Integrated Device updates on Renesas merger in 10Q filing -- CFIUS informed the parties that its national security review has been extended and this additional phase of the review will conclude no later than March 22)

>>> US Close Dow -0.08% S&P -0.22%


Closing Stock Market Summary

The S&P 500 lost 0.2% on Wednesday in a lackluster trading session. The benchmark index traded with modest losses nearly the entire day with price action dictated by the underperformance of the entertainment software stocks, the outperformance of the semiconductor stocks, and an underlying sense that the market was due for a breather.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.1%, the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.4%, and the Russell 2000 lost 0.2%.  For the second day in a row, the S&P 500 stalled just in front of its 200-day moving average (2742), topping out at 2738.08.

The S&P 500 communication services (-1.5%), real estate (-0.8%), energy (-0.8%), and materials (-0.7%) sectors underperformed the broader market.

Entertainment software stocks dragged on the communication services sector following earnings reports from Electronic Arts (EA 80.21, -12.31, -13.3%) and Take-Two Interactive (TTWO 92.53, -14.76, -13.8%). The two companies disappointed investors with quarterly guidance that was lower than expected, which reportedly fueled competition concerns.

Dow component Walt Disney (DIS 111.41, -1.25) for its part lost 1.1% despite beating earnings expectations.

Conversely, the health care (+0.4%), information technology (+0.2%), and consumer staples (+0.1%) sectors were the lone groups to finish with gains.

The heavily-weighted tech sector derived its relative strength from the outperformance of chip stocks. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.6%.

Certainly, it wasn't the downside guidance for the March quarter from Microchip (MCHP 89.31, +6.07, +7.3%) and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS 84.69, +8.73, +11.5%) that pleased investors. Instead, it was Microchip's contention that the March quarter should be a "bottom" for revenues that presumably fueled broad-based buying interest.

Separately, Snap (SNAP 8.59, +1.55) was a story stock, surging 22.0% after the company provided a better-than-feared indication of its daily active users in its quarterly report. Specifically, the number of daily active users was sequentially flat at 186 million in the fourth quarter.  Snap added that it doesn't expect to see a sequential decline in the first quarter.

U.S. Treasuries ended the day near their unchanged marks. The 2-yr yield decreased one basis point to 2.53%, and the 10-yr yield remained unchanged at 2.70%. The U.S. Dollar Index increased 0.3% to 96.38. WTI crude rose 0.4% to $53.99/bbl.

Reviewing Wednesday's economic data, which included the November Trade Balance report and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index:

  • The trade deficit narrowed to $49.3 billion in November ( consensus -$55.5) from a revised $55.7 billion (from -$55.5 billion) in November.
    • The trade deficit narrowed, because imports fell more than exports, yet the key takeaway from the report is that both exports and imports were down in November from the prior month, which fits with a slower growth narrative.
  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index decreased 2.5% following a 3.0% decline in the prior week.

Looking ahead, investors will receive the weekly Initial and Continuing Claims report and the Consumer Credit report for December on Thursday

  • Russell 2000 +12.6% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite 11.2% YTD
  • S&P 500 +9.0% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +8.8% YTD