>>> Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
Gapping up:
  • TNDM +18.6%, FTR +15.1%, OPRX +14.6%, MAXR +11%, PANW +10.7%, GWPH +8.9%, DF +8.6%, MELI +8.5%,JAZZ +8%, PUMP +7%, SUPN +6.8%, LTHM +6.6%, IMAX +6.5%, INSP +6.4%, WMGI +6.4%, SE +6.2%, INN +5%,AMRN +4.9%, PLNT +4.6%, GTE +4.4%, VEEV +4.2%, HEI +4.2%, HRTX +3.5%, REI +3.4%, AXGN +3.4%, RTRX+3.1%, CPE +3%, TOL +3%, COKE +2.8%, MMSI +2.6%, OAS +2.5%, IOVA +2.4%, ARNA +2.3%, NIO +2.1%, VSI +2%,CGBD +2%, TLRY +1.4%, PZZA +1.3%, CPB +1.2%, MED +1.1%, GE +1%, PSA +1%
Gapping down:
  • WTW -34.7%, ELF -19.5%, KPTI -15.8%, EVH -15.5%, VICR -13.4%, ADMP -13%, MYL -11.3%, WLL -11.2%, BNFT-10.3%, INGN -9.3%, TIVO -9.3%, NBR -9.1%, CLGX -8.9%, HPR -7.3%, PEN -6.6%, BGS -6.4%, CERS -6.3%, DY-5.7%, VNOM -5.2%, ALDR -4.1%, IMMR -3.7%, LPSN -3.4%, EOG -3.2%, NYMT -2.9%, AAXN -2.7%, ACAD -2.2%,RRGB -2.2%, PSEC -1.7%, AKCA -1.7%, GNL -1.4%, ENPH -1.2%, EQIX -1%, ORA -1%, FB -0.8%

>>> Toll Brothers beats by $0.15, beats on revs; provides Q2 guidance (37.27 -0

Toll Brothers beats by $0.15, beats on revs; provides Q2 guidance (37.27 -0.04)
  • Reports Q1 (Jan) earnings of $0.76 per share, $0.15 better than the S&P Capital IQ Consensus of $0.61; revenues rose 16.0% year/year to $1.36 bln vs the $1.26 bln S&P Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Backlog value at first quarter end was $5.37 billion, down 4%; units in backlog totaled 5,954, down 5%. Home sales gross margin was 21.0% The Company's FY 2019 first quarter net signed contracts of 1,379 units and $1.16 billion, decreased by 24% in units and 31% in dollars, compared to FY 2018's first quarter net contracts of 1,822 units and $1.69 billion.
  • Q2 Guidance: Deliveries of between 1,650 and 1,850 units with an average price of between $860,000 and $890,000. Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin of approximately 23.1%

>>> Papa John's reports EPS in-line, misses on revs; system-wide North America c

Papa John's reports EPS in-line, misses on revs; system-wide North America comps -8.1%, intl comps -2.6%; guides FY19 EPS below consensus (41.79 -0.08)
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.15 per share, excluding non-recurring items, in-line with the S&P Capital IQ Consensus of $0.15; revenues fell 20.0% year/year to $374.0 mln vs the $393.1 mln S&P Capital IQ Consensus.
    • System-wide North America comps -8.1% in Q4; International comps -2.6% in Q4.
  • Co issues downside guidance for FY19, sees EPS of $1.00-1.20, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $1.25 S&P Capital IQ Consensus.
    • 2019 Outlook: Co is targeting North America comps of -5% to -1%; international comps of flat to positive +3.0%; co guides to net global new unit growth of 75-150 net units

WSJ : Fidelity’s Fees on Low-Cost Funds Eyed in Government Probe

Fidelity’s Fees on Low-Cost Funds Eyed in Government Probe
Boston-based firm characterizes so-called infrastructure fee as solution to ‘broken’ business model

The Labor Department is investigating Fidelity Investments over an obscure and confidential fee it imposes on some mutual funds, according to a person familiar with the inquiry.

The annual charge, which Fidelity calls an infrastructure fee, is aimed at companies selling shares on the asset manager’s fund platform, and was described in a 2017 internal Fidelity document reviewed by The Wall Street Journal. The fee, which appears to have been implemented in 2016, is “designed to ensure that each Fund Firm meets a minimum required payment to Fidelity.” By marking the charge as an infrastructure fee, the fund firms may be able to avoid disclosing it to investors.

Fund companies that decline to pay the amount will “be subject to a very limited relationship” with the company, the document says. Funds can either pay the fee themselves or push the cost onto investors in the mutual fund. This can increase the overall fees of a fund, causing individual investors to pay more and dent returns.

The fee is calculated as 0.15% of a mutual-fund company’s industrywide assets, not just on the dollar amount of assets held by Fidelity customers buying shares on the platform, the document says.

The infrastructure fee appears to be a way for Fidelity to make up for revenue the firm has lost as a result of investors flocking to reduced-cost mutual funds, a situation the firm refers to in the document as “unsustainable economics.” Fidelity also stated in the document that its traditional business model is “broken” and characterized the infrastructure fee as a solution to that problem.
Assets under management are still growing at Fidelity—as of September 2018 they stood at $2.6 trillion—but the company is pressured by investors who prefer low-cost index funds and other passive investment products to Fidelity’s traditional actively managed mutual funds.

Fidelity makes thousands of third-party mutual funds available to its customers, Vincent Loporchio, a Fidelity spokesman, said in a statement. Those customers include holders of 401(k) plans for which the firm acts as record-keeper.

“We receive a fee from some of those mutual-fund companies to compensate us for maintaining the infrastructure that is needed to make those funds available,” Mr. Loporchio said, citing “systems and processes for record-keeping, trading and settlement, making available regulatory and other communications, and providing customer support online and through phone representatives. It is costly to maintain this kind of infrastructure and Fidelity is entitled to be compensated for those costs.”

Fidelity had no comment on the government investigation into the fee.

With $1.5 trillion in third-party mutual-fund assets held by Fidelity customers, the firm’s FundsNetwork is a powerful platform for fund companies seeking to engage with investors.

The infrastructure fee is levied on lower-cost share classes such as those aimed at retirement accounts. The Labor Department has jurisdiction over retirement accounts that are subject to extra protections and disclosures under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act, or Erisa.

A spokesman said the Labor Department can neither confirm nor deny the existence of ongoing or prospective investigations. Enforcing Erisa, the department typically brings civil actions.

The issue with the fee is whether it is adequately disclosed to investors and to plan sponsors overseeing retirement accounts, securities lawyers said. Fidelity’s insistence on confidentiality about the amounts funds pay in infrastructure fees suggests investors who ultimately foot these bills may not be apprised of them.

The document outlining the infrastructure fee, “Fidelity FundsNetwork Business & Services Guide,” is “not to be distributed to the public as sales material in oral or written form,” and “may not be shared with any third party.”

The Fidelity spokesman said the firm “fully complies with all disclosure requirements in connection with the fees that it charges.”

Fund shares offered by Eaton Vance Corp. ; Nuveen Investments; Pacific Investment Management Co., or Pimco; and Thrivent Financial for Lutherans are among those available on the Fidelity platform. Asked whether they disclose the company’s infrastructure fees to their clients, spokeswomen for Eaton Vance and Pimco declined to comment.

A Nuveen spokeswoman said the firm provides “extensive detail about all the fees related to the funds we manage.” A spokeswoman for Thrivent said the company doesn’t talk about the fee arrangements it maintains with Fidelity or any other third-party platform.

“Intermediaries and mutual funds are far more candid in their agreements between each other than they are in disclosures to plan sponsors and investors,” said Edward Siedle, a former attorney for the Securities and Exchange Commission who advises pensions on asset-management matters.

The internal Fidelity document was supplied to asset-management companies, the firm said, to help mutual-fund boards evaluate whether fees, including the infrastructure charge, are being used for distribution. That is crucial: When a fund pays a fee that aims to result in the sale of fund shares, either directly or indirectly, securities laws require it to be part of what is known as a 12b-1 plan and to be disclosed to investors. Many lower-cost fund share classes don’t have 12b-1 plans—a reason why they are cheaper.

Funds are also barred from making “payments that are ostensibly made for some other purpose, but which, based on the facts and circumstances, are used in ways that finance distribution,” the SEC said in a guidance update in 2016.

Sponsors of retirement plans must also disclose all payments made related to the plans.

The Fidelity infrastructure fee is also the subject of a lawsuit filed last week in a Massachusetts federal court by a participant in a retirement plan offered by T-Mobile US, Inc. In that suit, the plaintiff contends that the infrastructure charge is prohibited under Erisa and that Fidelity incentivizes mutual funds on its platform to “conceal the true nature of fees associated with these funds.”

The Fidelity spokesman said the company emphatically denies the allegations and intends to defend against them vigorously.

In the internal Fidelity document, the company indicates that it doesn’t consider the infrastructure fee to cover distribution services. Rather, it categorizes the agreement between Fidelity and funds on its platform as “shareholder services”; such fees may not require a 12b-1 plan. A person familiar with the program said each fund must determine what portion of fees paid to Fidelity are for distribution.

The SEC has been examining mutual-fund companies’ payments of fees to financial intermediaries, like Fidelity. In 2015, for example, First Eagle Investment Management agreed to pay nearly $40 million to settle the SEC’s charges that it used $25 million in fund assets to pay for distribution and marketing of fund shares outside of a 12b-1 plan.

FT : Citadel’s Ken Griffin forecasts more market volatility in 2019

Citadel’s Ken Griffin forecasts more market volatility in 2019
Hedge fund billionaire sees potentially lucrative opportunities amid global risks

Ken Griffin, the billionaire founder of the hedge fund Citadel, says he is optimistic about creating lucrative trading opportunities amid what he expects to be a continuation of the heightened volatility that whipsawed financial markets last year.

“The rapidly changing economic landscape and the fast-evolving business landscape across major sectors such as retail, technology and healthcare should provide many opportunities for us to thoughtfully deploy your capital,” he said in an annual letter to investors.

Mr Griffin, 50, pointed to three key macroeconomic risks that the fund would be monitoring: whether there were “constructive” resolutions to the US-China and US-Europe trade disputes; if the EU and the UK can come to a resolution over Brexit; and whether political and economic uncertainty stabilises in Italy.

Citadel, a $29bn multi-strategy hedge fund, was one of the better performers in a tough 2018 for hedge funds. Its flagship Wellington fund was up 9.1 per cent last year, and about 3.6 per cent in January. The group’s global equities and tactical trading funds returned almost 6 per cent and 9 per cent, respectively.

Hedge funds turned in some of the worst-ever performances in the fourth quarter of 2018, although they have rebounded since the start of the new year. Hedge Fund Research’s fund-weighted composite index was up about 3.5 per cent in January, after falling 4.6 per cent last year.

“2018 saw strong economic growth in the United States and Canada, while growth disappointed in the United Kingdom and in Europe,” he said in the letter. “For 2019, economists, in general, have downgraded their global economic growth forecasts, and fixed income markets are clearly pricing in lower inflation expectations.”

Mr Griffin said that the war for talent at hedge funds was intensifying and that they “remain committed to retaining, recruiting and developing the world’s top investment professionals”.

The firm last week hired Samantha Greenberg — a veteran investor specialising in technology, internet and media and consumer equities — to its Ashler Capital unit. Ms Greenberg had been one of the few female portfolio managers running her own hedge fund at Margate Capital, which she founded in 2016 after working as a partner at Paulson & Co.

“We continue to see alpha generated disproportionately by the strongest firms within each investment strategy,” Mr Griffin wrote in the letter. “Firms with the greatest capabilities, the deepest expertise and the most disciplined execution continue to generate significant returns, while firms that falter on these dimensions fall further and further behind.”

FT : T udor among hedge funds betting on Chinese rebound

Tudor among hedge funds betting on Chinese rebound
After miserable 2018, Chinese equities have bounced more than other markets

US billionaire Paul Tudor Jones’s hedge fund is among those to have been riding one of the trades of the year so far, with a bet on a resurgent Chinese stock market that is now the best performing in 2019.

Excessive pessimism over the outcome of the US-China trade dispute, and the health of the Chinese economy, meant Connecticut-based Tudor Investment Corporation saw an opportunity in a Chinese stock market that suffered steep declines last year, according to people familiar with the situation. Tudor declined to comment.

New York-based Key Square Capital Management, founded by Scott Bessent, the former chief investment officer of George Soros’s family office, has also positioned itself in recent months to benefit from a rebound in Chinese stocks, according to people familiar with the matter. Key Square declined to comment.


The trade received a boost on Monday when US president Donald Trump said Washington would delay an increase in tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods following “substantial progress in our trade talks”.

The CSI 300 index of companies listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, which fell 25 per cent last year, surged into bull market territory, gaining 5.9 per cent on Monday. Despite losing some ground on Tuesday, the index is still up 22.4 per cent for the year.

Key Square, which runs $5bn in assets, is up 8 per cent this year, with much of the gains coming from its bet on China, said a person familiar with the matter.

Debate has raged over the health of the world’s second-biggest economy, which has seen growth in the fourth quarter slow to its weakest pace since the financial crisis, although some indicators have been more positive.

“I’m optimistic China is going to do whatever it takes and they will support growth,” said Karen Ward, chief market strategist for Emea at JPMorgan Asset Management, although she added she was more pessimistic on the prospect of trade tensions being resolved this year.

The company’s multi-asset portfolios have been increasing exposure to emerging markets, including China, because of more dovish comments by the US Federal Reserve and stimulus in China, she said.

Those who remain concerned about China will point to the news this week that a Chinese state-owned enterprise had failed to repay a US dollar bond in Hong Kong, the first offshore default in 20 years.

However, bulls point to potential further stimulus by the Chinese government to prop up the economy. JPMorgan Asset Management’s Ms Ward believes Chinese state-owned banks could provide “quite a lot of leeway” in the event of higher defaults.

“Don’t underestimate the Chinese government,” said one hedge fund industry insider with knowledge of hedge fund positioning.

The trade comes amid a tricky time for hedge funds that bet on moves in global bond, currency and stock markets.

Having largely been positioned for a rising US dollar and higher US bond yields, which they expected to lead to more trading opportunities, traders were taken aback by the Fed’s U-turn last month when it put further interest rate rises on hold and said it would change its balance sheet policy if necessary.

Funds have still been finding trading opportunities in situations such as China and Brexit, although they say there are fewer high-conviction trades to latch on to than they might have hoped.